Excellent

Sales units 3000 Sales 11088

SP 3.2 VC 5940
VC 1.8 FC 1260
FC 1200 EBITDA 3888
Cost of Capital 15% Dep 1200
Initial Cost 8000 EBIT 2688
Dep 1200 Tax 1075.2
Tax 40% NOPAT 1612.8
n 10 Dep 1200
VC 5400 FCFF 2812.8

PV $14,116.79
NPV $6,116.79
Prob 15%
Prob*FCFF $421.92
Expected NPV
Dev $869.98
Dev Sqr*P 113528.736
Sum
Std Dev
CV
 Good Normal Bad Worse
9475.2 9600 8664 7776 Sales units
5400 5400 5400 5940 SP
1140 1200 1320 1440 VC
2935.2 3000 1944 396 FC
1200 1200 1200 1200
1735.2 1800 744 -804
694.08 720 297.6 0
1041.12 1080 446.4 -804
1200 1200 1200 1200
2241.12 2280 1646.4 396

$11,247.66 $11,442.79 $8,262.90 $1,987.43

$3,247.66 $3,442.79 $262.90 ($6,012.57) $1,411.52
20% 30% 20% 15%
$448.22 $684.00 $329.28 $59.40 $388.56
$1,942.82
$298.30 $337.18 ($296.42) ($1,546.82)
17796.1007 34106.2965 17573.43756 358899.673
541904.244
736.141456
0.42065226
 Excellent Good Normal Bad Worse
3300 3150 3000 2850 2700
3.36 3.008 3.2 3.04 2.88
5940 5400 5400 5400 5940
1260 1140 1200 1320 1440

Expected NPV last ques 1750