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0401516031
1. Let e = ( I, j ) represent an arbitrary outcome resulting from two rolls of the four-
sided die of Example 2.1.1. Tabulate the discrete pdf and sketch the graph of the CDF
for the following random variables :
(a) Y (e) = i + j.
(b) Z (e) = i j.
(c) W (e) = (i j)2
Jawaban:
Ruang sampel:
S = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (4,
1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4)}
n(S) = 16
(a) Y (e) = i + j.
Y (e) Titik sampel fyy
(var. (Fkp)
Rand.)
2 (1, 1) 1
16
3 (1, 2), (2, 1) 2
16
4 (1, 3), (2, 2), (3, 1) 3
16
5 (1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1) 4
16
6 (2, 4), (3, 3), (4, 2) 3
16
7 (3, 4), (4, 3) 2
16
8 (4, 4) 1
16
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
1
, y = 2, y = 8
16
2
, y = 3, y = 7
16
Fungsi pdf : fy y = 3
, y = 4, y = 6
16
4
, y=5
16
{ 0 y lainnya
0, y < 2
1
, 2y<3
16
3
, 3y<4
16
6
, 4y<5
16
Fungsi CDF: Fy y = 10
, 5y<6
16
13
, 6y<7
16
15
, 7y<8
16
{ 1, y 8
Grafik CDF
(b) Z (e) = i j.
Z (e) Titik sampel fyy
0, y<0
4
, 0y<1
16
7
Fungsi CDF: Fy y = , 1y<2
16
9
, 2y<3
16
10
{ 16 , y3
Grafik CDF
0, y<0
4
, 0y<1
16
10
Fungsi CDF: Fy y = , 1y<4
16
14
, 4y<9
16
16
{ 16 , y9
Grafik CDF
2. A game consists of first rolling an ordinary six-sided die once and then
tossing and unbiased coin once. The score, which consists of adding the
number of spots showing on the die to the number of heads showing on the
coin (0 or 1), is a random variable, say X. List the possible values of X and
tabulate the values of :
(a) The discrete pdf.
(b) The CDF at its points of discontinuity.
(c) Sketch the graph of the CDF.
(d) Find P [X>3].
(e) Find the probability that the score is an odd integer.
Jawaban
Ruang Sampel:
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
S = {(1, 0), (2, 0), (3, 0), (4, 0), (5, 0), (6, 0), (1, 1), (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2,
6)}
n(S) = 12
1 (1, 0) 1
12
2 (1, 1), (2, 0) 2
12
3 (2, 1), (3, 0) 2
12
4 (3, 1), (4, 0) 2
12
5 (4, 1), (5, 0) 2
12
6 (5, 1), (6, 0) 2
12
7 (6, 1) 1
12
1
, x=1
Fungsi pdf : fy y = { 2 12
, x = 2, 3, 4, , 7
12
0, x < 1
1
, 1x<2
12
3
, 2x<3
12
5
, 3x<4
Fungsi CDF: Fy y = 12
7
, 4x<5
12
9
, 5x<6
12
11
, 6x<7
12
{ 1, x 7
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
3. a. Misalkan:
H menyatakan koin bagian muka.
T menyatakan koin bagian belakang.
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
H
1
Tiga kali pelemparan T
koin
2 H
1 T
(1 ) =
3
2
(2 ) =
3
0 1 2 3
() 1 1 1 5
12 4 4 12
CDF
Untuk = 2, = {, }
2 1 1
(2) = . =
5 4 10
Untuk = 3, = {, }
2 3 1 3 2 1 2
(3) = . . + . . =
5 4 3 5 4 3 10
Untuk = 4, = {, , }
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
2 3 2 1 3 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 3
(4) = . . . + . . . + . . . =
5 4 3 2 5 4 3 2 5 4 3 2 10
Untuk = 5, = {, , , }
2 3 2 1 3 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 4
(4) = . . . .1 + . . . .1 + . . . .1 + . . . .1 =
5 4 3 2 5 4 3 2 5 4 3 2 5 4 3 2 10
Sehingga diperoleh:
1
() = ; = 2,3,4,5
10
Penyelesaian:
1
( ) , untuk = 1,2,3
(a) Diketahui () = { 2
0 , untuk lainnya
Ditanya: Nilai k
Jawab:
f(x) merupakan pdf jika memenuhi syarat-syarat berikut:
1) () 0 ,
2) () = 1
Sehingga,
( ) =1
1
( ) =1
2
1
( ) =1
2
1
1 1 2 1 3
(( ) + ( ) + ( ) ) = 1
2 2 2
1 1 1
( + + ) =1
2 4 8
7
( ) =1
8
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
8
=
7
8
Jadi, nilai k adalah 7.
1 1
(b) Diketahui () = [(2) 2] , untuk = 0,1,2
Ditanya: Apakah f(x) pdf untuk sebarang nilai k ?
Jawab:
Pilih = 4
Maka
1 1
)
( = 4 [( ) ]
2 2
1 1
= 4 [( ) ]
2 2
1 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
= 4 [(( ) ) + (( ) ) + (( ) )]
2 2 2 2 2 2
1
= 4 [1 + 0 ]
4
3
=4
4
=3
1
Diperoleh ( ) 1, oleh karena itu, () bukan pdf untuk sebarang nilai k.
6. Didefinisikan bahwa [x] adalah bilangan bulat terbesar yang tidak melebihi x. Untuk
pdf pada contoh 2.2.1, tunjukkan bahwa CDF-nya dapat dituliskan menjadi () =
[]
( ) , < <
{ ,
,
Penyelesaian:
1
Diketahui () = 144 (2 1) untuk x = 1, 2, , 12
Ditanya: F(x)
Jawab:
() = ( ) , untuk x = 1, 2, , 12
Untuk 0, maka () = 0 , sehingga () = 0
1
Untuk 0 < < 13, maka () = 144 (2 1) , sehingga
() = ( )
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
1
= (2 1)
144
1
= (2 1)
144
(2 1)
=
144
[ 2 ]
=
144
[]2
= 2
12
2
[]
=( )
144
Untuk 13, maka
() = (0) + (1) + (2) + + (12)
1 1 1
=0+ ((2 1) 1) + ((2 2) 1) + + ((2 12) 1)
144 144 144
1 3 23
=0+ + ++
144 144 144
=1
[] 2
( 12 ) , jika 0 < < 13
Jadi, () = { 0 , jika 0
1 , jika 13
7) () = ( )
= , , , , ,
a) Syarat pdf / / ( ) = 1
(8 0) + (8 1) + (8 2) + (8 3) + (8 4) + (8 5) = 1
[8 + 7 + 6 + 5 + 4 + 3] = 1
1
=
33
b)
0 1 2 3 4 5
() 8 7 6 5 4 3
33 33 33 33 33 33
() 8 15 21 26 30 1
33 33 33 33 33
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
0 , < 0
8/33 ,0 < 1
5/11 ,1 < 2
() 7/11 ,2 < 3
26/33 , 3 < 4
10/11 ,4 < 5
1 , 5
c) ( > 2) = 1 ( 2)
= 1 (2)
= 1 21/33
12
=
33
d)
0 1 2 3 4 5
() 8 7 6 5 4 3
33 33 33 33 33 33
8 7 6 5 4 3
() = 33 + 33 + 33 + 33 + 33 + 33
55
() = / / ( ) = 33
9. Sometimes it is desirable to assign numerical "code" values to experimental responses that are
not basically of numerical type For example in testing the color preferences of experimental
subjects, suppose that the colors blue, green, and red occur with probabilities 1/4, 1/4, and 1/2,
respectively. A different integer value is assigned to each color, and this corresponds to a random
variable X that can take on one of these three integer values.
||
a. Can () = () ()|| for x = -1, 1, 0 be used as a pdf for this experiment?
b. Can () = ( ) () for x = 0, 1, 2 be used?
c. Can () = ( )/ for x= -1,0,2 be used?
Jawab:
10. Let X be a discrete random variable such that P[X = x] > O if x = 1, 2, 3, or 4, and P[X = xi ] = O
otherwise. Suppose the CDF is F(x) = 0,05x(1 + x) at the values
x = 1,2,3, or 4.
Y-Values
1.2
1
Axis Title
0.8
0.6
0.4 Y-Values
0.2
0
0 1 2 3 4 5
Axis Title
b. Sketch the graph of the discrete pdf f(x)
Jawab:
F(X) = P(X+x) = f(X = x)
f(1) =0,1
f(2) = F(2) - F(1) = 0,3 - 0,1 = 0,2
f(3) = F(3) - F(2) = 0,6 - 0,3 = 0,3
f(4) = F(4) - F(3) = 1 - 0,6 = 0,4
Y-Values
0.45
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2 Y-Values
0.15
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
c. Find E(X).
Jawab:
4
() = ( )
=1
= 1(0,1) + 2(0,2) + 3(0,3) + 4(0,4)
= 0,1 + 0,4 + 0,9 + 1,6 = 3
11. Seorang pemain memutar enam sisi dan menerima sejumlah dolar yang sesuai
dengan jumlah titik sisi muka yang muncul. Berapa jumlah yang harus dibayar
pemain untuk bergulir agar game ini "adil"?
x 1 2 3 4 5 6
F(x) 1 1 1 1 1 1
6 6 6 6 6 6
1 2 3 4 5 6
E(x) = ( ) = + + + + + = 3,5
6 6 6 6 6 6
Jadi jumlah yang harus dibayar pemain untuk bergulir agar game ini "adil" adalah $3,5
12. Variabel acak kontinyu X memiliki pdf yang diberikan oleh f(x) = c(1 x)x2 jika 0 <
x < 1 dan
a. Tunjukkan konstanta c
b. Tunjukkan E(x)
Jawab :
(1 ) 2 , 0 < , 1
() = {
0,
1
a. 0 (1 ) 2 = 1
1
1 = c0 2 3
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
1 1 1
1 = c [3 3 4 4 ]
0
1 1
1 = c [3 4]
1
1 =12
c = 12
12(1 ) 2 , 0 < , 1
Diperoleh () = {
0,
1
b. E(x) = 0 . 12(1 ) 2 dx
1
= 12 0 3 4 dx
1 1 1
= 12 [4 4 5 5 ]
0
12
= 20
3
=5
1 (+1) dx = 1
1 = k1 (+1) dx
1
1 = k [ ]
1
1 = -1 [ ]1
1 1
1 = -1 [ ]
1
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
1 1
Agar [ ] menghasilkan suatu bilangan real, maka k 0, dan k berhingga, dan
1
1 1
k>0, karena 0, 1 adalah bilangan tak tentu, serta apabila k < 0 maka [ ]
1
akan menghasilkan .
1 1 (+1) x = 1 k 1 (+1) x
1
= 1 k [ ]
1
= 1 + [ ]1
1 1
= 1 + [ ]
= 1 -
E(x) = 1 . . (+1) dx
= 1 dx
= k1 dx
1
= k [1 1 ] k>0
1
= [1 ]1
1
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
= [0 11 ]
1
= 11
1
= 1
E(x) > 0
> 0
1
k > 1
14.Tentukan apakah masing-masing fungsi berikut merupakan suatu CDF atas bagian
yang ditandai dengan daerah asal :
a. () = ; 0 <
b. () = ; < 0
c. () = 1 ; 1 <
Penyelesaian :
a. () = (0,1..) ()
() = =
() =
0 0
= ]
0
= 1
F(x) bukan CDF dengan (0,..) ()
b. () = (.,2,1,0) ()
() = =
0 0
() =
= ]0
=1
F(x) adalah CDF dengan (.,2,1,0) ()
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
c. () = 1 (10,1..) ()
() = =
() =
1 1
= ]
1
=
F(x) bukan CDF dengan (1,0,1,..) ()
++
15. a. () = (,,,,) ()
() 2+2 +1
() = ()
= 16
= 8
+1
() =
8 (1,0,1,2,3)
()
b. () = 1
()
() = ()
= ( + () )
() = + () )
() = 2
Penyelesaian:
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
, 0<1
2
() = { 1 3
,1 <
2 2
a) Graph ()
F(X)
1
2
X
1 3
2
1
2
X
1 3
2
1 1
1 1 1 1
c) [ 2] = 02 2 = 2 | 2 = 4
0
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
1 1 1 3
d) [ 2] = 1 [ 2] = 1 4 = 4
5
5
11 11 1 1 3
e) [ 1,25] = 0 2 + 1 = 2 | + |41 = 2 + 4 = 4
1
4
2 0
2
f) [ = 1,25] = 0 .
18. A continuous random variable has a pdf of the form () = for < < and
zero otherwise.
2
() = { 9 , 0 < < 3
0 ,
2 1 1
a) () = 0 = 9 2 | = 9 2 untuk 0 < < 3
9 0
2
() = { 9 , 0 < < 3
0 ,
1 2 22 4
b) [ 2] = 0 = 9 2 | = 9
9 0
0 1,5 2 1 1,5 1
c) [1 < < 1,5] = 1 0 + 0 9 = 0 + 9 2 | =4
0
d) [ ] = [ ]
[ ] = 1 [ ]
2[ ] = 1
2
2 = 1
0 9
2
2 | =1
9 0
2
2 0=1
9
2
2 =1
9
9
2 =
2
9
2 =
2
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
3
2 =
2
32
2 =
2
e) () = . ()
3
2
() = .
0 9
3 2
2
() =
0 9
2 3 3
() = |
27 0
() = 2
Diperoleh:
0 , 0
1
3 , 0<1
3
F(x) = 2 1
, 1<2
3 3
{ 1 , > 2
Gambar ditunjukkan dengan menggunakan software geogebra sebagai berikut.
0 < 1
1
F(x) = {2( 2 + ) 1 2
1 2 <
1
(a) P =3
1 1
2( 2 + ) =3
1 1
2+ =6
1
2 2 + 1 =6x
13
2 +1 =0
6
2 3
( 3) ( 2) = 0
2 3
x = 3 (tidak memenuhi) atau x = 2
3
Jadi, 1 = 2.
3
1
(b) F(x) = 2 ( 2 + )
f(x) = 2 + 2(-1) 2
2
f(x) = 2 2 untuk 1 x 2.
Diperoleh:
2
2 ; 12
F(x) = { 2
0 ;
21. Buktikan bahwa fungsi berikut mempunyai empat properti dari teorema 2.2.3 dan
temukan titik yang tidak kontinu, jika Diberikan fungsi
= lim 0.25 ()
= lim 0.25(0)
= 0
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
lim () = lim (1 )
= lim (1 )
= lim (1 0)
= 1
lim ( + ) = lim ( + 0+ )
0+ 0+
= lim (0.5)
0+
= 0.5
= ()
(0) = 0.5
(1) = (1 1 )
1
= [1 ]
1
= (1 2.72)
= 0.63
22. Untuk CDF, (), dari contoh 21, temukan CDF dari tipe diskrit () dan CDF dari
tipe kontinu, () dan bilangan < < sedemikian hingga
() = () + (1 ) ()
Untuk menjawab pertanyaan no 22, dilihat pada distribusi campuran contoh 2.3.4.
() = () + (1 ) ()
3 3
= ( 1 ) . 1 + ((1 ( 1 )) (1 ))
4 4
3 1
= 1 + (( + 1 ) (1 ))
4 4
3 1 1
= 1 + ( + 1 1 )
4 4 4
1
= 1 1
4
Sedemikian hingga distribusi dari diberikan 0 < sesuai dengan
[0 < ]
[ |0 < ] =
[0 < ]
[0 < ]
=
[0 < ]
() (0)
=
1 (0)
1 3
(1 4 1 ) (4 1 )
=
3
1 (4 1 )
1 1
4 + 1 1
= 4 4
1 1
+
4
1 + 4 1 4 1
=
1 + 4 1
Jadi
0 <0
1
() = { 01
3 4 1
1 1
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
<0
(1 + 4 1 )
1
() = 0<1
1 4 1
1 + 4 1 4
{ 1
1 + 4 1
;=,,
23) () = { ;
1 2 5 30
a. () = . () = 1. 8 + 2. 8 + 5. 8 = 8
1 2 5 134
b. ( 2 ) = 2 . () = 12 . 8 + 22 . 8 + 52 . 8 = 8
134 30 2 172
() = ( 2 ) [()]2 = [8] =
8 64
30 42 21
c. (2 + 3) = 2() + 3 = 2. +3= =
8 4 2
;< <
24) () = { ;
1 1 1 3 3
a. () = 0 . () = 0 . 3 2 = 4 | = 4
0 4
1 1 3 1 3
b. ( 2 ) = 0 2 . () = 0 2 . 3 2 = 5 5 | = 5
0
2)
3 32 3
() = ( [()]2 = [ ] =
5 4 80
3 3 1
c. (3 5 2 + 1) = 3() 5( 2 ) + 1 = 3. 4 5. 5 + 1 = 4
1
,1 x
25. f ( x) x 2
0, otherwise
1
a. E ( x) x. 2
dx ln x |1 E ( x) tidak ada
1 x
1 1 1 1 1
b. E ( ) . 2 dx x 2 |1 E ( x) ada
x 1
x x 2 2
c. E ( x k ) x k .x 2 dx
1 k 1
k 1
x |1
1
k 1
k 1 1k 1
1
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
f (x) 1 3 3 2 1
c. Y 35x 40
E (Y ) E (35 x 40) 35E ( x) 40 35(1,9) 40 26,5
V (Y ) V (35x 40) 35 2 V ( x) 1225(1,29) 1580,25
27. The measured radius of circle, R has pdf f(r) =6r(1-r),0 < r < 1, Find:
a) The expected value of radius
b) The expected circumference
c) The expected area
Jawab
Fungsi kepadatan probabilitas diberikan jari-jari lingkaran R sebagai berikut ,
6(1 ), 0<<1
() = {
0
() = [6(1 )]
1
= 0 6( 2 3 )
1
= 6 0 ( 2 3 )
1
3 4
= 6[3 ]
4 0
1 1
= 6 (3 4)
1
= 6(12)
6
= 12
(2) = 2[6(1 )]
1
= 0 12( 2 3 )
1
= 12 0 ( 2 3 )
1
3 4
= 12 [ 3 ]
4 0
( 2 ) = 2 [6(1 )]
= 6( 3 4 )
0
1
= 6 0 ( 3 4 )
1
3 4
= 6 [ 4 ]
5 0
1 1
= 6 (4 5)
1
= 6(20)
3
= 10
28. Prove theorem 2.4.5 for continuous case. Hint : use the transformation =
is the integral and note that () = ( + )is an odd function of y.
Teorema 2.4.5 menyatakan bahwa jika distribusinya simetris tentang mean, =
E (X), maka momen ketiga tentang mean, adalah nol, = 0.
Sekarang Misalkan distribusi X adalah simetris tentang sehingga E (X) = .
Momen sentral X untuk setiap nilai integral positif k diberikan oleh E [(X-) ^ k]
For k = 3
3]
[( ) = ( )3 ()
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
0
= ( )3 () + 0 ( )3 ()
= 0 ( )3 () + 0 ( )3 ()
=0
29. consider the discrete random variabel X with pdf given by the following table :
-3 -1 0 2
()
Penyelesaian :
-3 -1 0 2 22
() 1 1 6 32 1 32
4 4 16 8 16
Distribusi x simetris tentang c jika :
( ) = ( + ) untuk semua x
() = ()
1 1 632 1 32
= (3) 4 + (1) 4 + 0. + 2. 8 + 22.
16 16
() = 0
= ( 3 3 2 () + 3[()]2 [()]3 )
= 3 ()
1 1 632 1 3 32
= (3)3 . 4 + (1)3 . 4 + 03 . + 23 . 8 + (22) . =0
16 16
30. Let X be a nonnegative continuous random variable with CDF F(x) and () < .
Use integration by parts to show that
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
() = [ ()]
Note: For any Continuous random variable with (||) < , this result extends to
() = () + [ ()]
Penyelesaian :
[ ] = [ ]2 2 = 2 2
1 1
(b) () = 1/ ; () = ( 2 ) ; () = ( 3 )
The approximate mean value as
1 1 1 1 2
[1/] = + ( 3) 2 = + 3
2 2
The approximate variance is
1 2 2 2
[1/] = [ 2 ] = 4
1 1
(c) () = () ; () = () ; () = ( 2 )
The approximate mean value as
1 1 2
[ ()] = + ( 2 ) 2 = 2
2 2
The approximate variance is
1 2 2 2
[ ()] = [ ] = 2
(b) What is [ = ]?
Jawaban:
1
, =1
8
2
, =2
() 8
5
, =5
8
{ 0,
37. Use the FGMF of Example 2.2.2 to find E[X(X-1)(X-2)], and then find E(X3)
Example 2.5.5 Kita perhatikan ditribusi diskret dari of Example 2.5.3. FMGF dari X
adalah
Gx(t) = Mx(ln t)
= ,t<2
Catatan bahwa turunan tertinggi mudah menggunakan FMGF , dimana tidak semua
kasus untuk MGF. Khusus , turunan dengan pangkat r adalah :
() = ! ( )
Jawab :
Rifky Ardhana K.
0401516031
Dengan FMGF ,
E[X(X1)(X2)] = (1)
= 3! (2 1)4
= 6 (1)-4
6
= 14
=6
39.Buktikan bahwa = [( )] ( )
Bukti :
2 = ( 2 ) 2
= ( 2 ) 2 () + , diketahui bahwa () =
= ( 2 ) () 2 +
= ( 2 ) ( 1)
= [( 1)] ( 1)