Forecast is any attempt to try and predict the future based on quantitative or non-quantitative means. To achieve a certain organizational goal, one must try to foresee the possibilities of the alternative it uses.
The main purpose of forecasting is to use the possible future to be prepared. If
an organization is able to predict what would happen, it can use this prediction to plan for its course of actions and solutions for the possible problems it might encounter upon the happening of the expected event, and, it can use its prediction as well as a tool for success to work effectively and efficiently and be more competitive against its competitors.
2. Briefly differentiate quantitative from non-quantitative means of forecasting.
In order to come up with a more accurate forecast, we need certain information that will help us obtain our goal. It can be Quantitative or Non-Quantitative.
Quantitative means of forecasting is the attempt to predict the future using
quantitative techniques and formulas. This uses numbers/amounts in order to calculate a future amount that will be useful for the organization’s decision making especially on decisions that are concerned with its inventories, expected sales and expenses, and predicting its profit. While Non-Quantitative means of forecasting uses intuition, trends, experiences, facts/opinions, etc. This means of forecasting helps an organization through providing possible future that cannot be calculated and supplied by formulas.
3. What is a “Causal System”?
One of the features common to all forecasts is that forecasting techniques generally assume that the same underlying causal system that existed in the past will continue to exist in the future. Causal system pertains to all factors and considerations why a certain future event will happen.