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To analyse changes in game animals population I chose wild boars, hares and roe deer.
PREPARATION
To analyse data properly I need to present formulas which are necessary to count final data.
1. formula
percentage difference in population size between different years = (actual year data – past year data) / past
year data *100 %
2. formula
percentage amount of shot animals per year = animals shot / overall amount of population * 100 %
3. formula
percentage real growth of population = (amount of actual year population – animals shot in actual year) –
(amount of past year population – animals shot in past year) / (amount of past year population – animals shot
in past year) * 100 %
4. formula
survived animals = amount of population – shot animals
DATA PROCESSING
Wild boars
Percentage growth of population (acc. to 1. formula):
2000 => 2005: (174 – 118) / 118 * 100 % = 47,4576… ≈ 47 %
2005 => 2008: (212 – 174) / 174 * 100 % = 21,8390… ≈ 22 %
2008 => 2009: (251 – 212) / 212 * 100 % = 18,3962… ≈ 18 %
1. Mały rocznik statystyczny Polski 2010, pod red. Haliny Dmochowskiej, Zakłąd Wydawnictw Statystycznych,
Warszawa 2010
Survived animals (acc. to 4. formula):
2000: 25 000
2005: 36 000
2008: 63 000
2009: 25 000
Hares
Percentage growth of population (acc. to 1. formula):
2000 => 2005: (475 – 551) / 551 * 100 % = - 13,7931… ≈ - 14 %
2005 => 2008: (532 – 475) / 475 * 100 % = 12 %
2008 => 2009: (562 – 532) / 532 * 100 % = 5,6390… ≈ 6 %
Roe deer
Percentage growth of population (acc. to 1. formula):
2000 => 2005: (692 – 597) / 597 * 100 % = 15,9128… ≈ 16 %
2005 => 2008: (760 – 692) / 692 * 100 % = 9,8265 % ≈ 10 %
2008 => 2009: (828 – 760) / 760 * 100 % = 8,9473… ≈ 9 %
60
50
40
30
Wild boars
20
Hares
10
Roe deer
0
-10 2000 => 2005 2005 => 2008 2008 => 2009
-20
Time period [years]
Diagram 3. Percentage real growth in different time periods.
100
80
60
40
20 Wild boars
0 Hares
-20 2000 => 2005 2005 => 2008 2008 => 2009 Roe deer
-40
-60
-80
Growth period [years]
Survived animals
800
Survived animals [in thousand heads]
700
600
500
100
0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Years
CONCLUSIONS
Wild boar
Despite their start population still grows, it’s only an illusion. After data processing we can notice that the
growth percent is more and more lower (diagram 2.). That value should be rather equal. It’s not maybe be-
cause still the bigger amount allows to hunt more wild boars – physically there is bigger probability to meet
a band of that species. Otherwise it allows to hunt at once more and gives evidence about smart policies in
game animals cases. Hunters can hunt more, but the population still grows with the same amount of heads
(that’s why the percent values are lesser and lesser. Generally on first diagram we can notice that venison is
really popular because the values of animals shot are much bigger in comparison with hares and roe deer.
How we see on the diagram 1. there’s a big jump between 2008 and 2009. It might have been caused by
previous season when the amount of animals shot was lower. The market could require more venison. Oth-
erwise big population of wild boars could make to much damages in agriculture (fields, etc.). The same we
can notice on diagram 3. – big population boom had to be recompensed next year. Diagram 4 shows that this
action was held well because the amount of animals which survived returned to its value before the boom.
Hares
In 2005 population of hares was really endangered. Not even the real growth was decreasing (diagram 3.),
but also start population was lower (diagram 2.). It might have been caused by very rapidly increasing popu-
lation of foxes. In 2000 their population was 145 thousand and five years later already 200 thousand! [1]
Foxes are hares’ natural enemies. Due to this situation the amount shot animals has been decreased (compare
year 2000 and 2005 on diagram 5.). As we see on diagram 4. the population is back to its last state. Despite
that percent is still decreasing as we see on diagram 3. real growth of population from the last time period is
also lower than in the previous season. What is more the population of foxes has been decreased up to this
time. That may indicate bad future for that species caused by some disease like rabies. There are rumours
that government wants to ban the cull of hares within the whole year.
Roe deer
The situation of this species is the best. Diagram 4. shows that their population increases evenly – always
the same amount. On the other diagrams of growth percents are decreasing, but the differences aren’t so big
– nothing to matter. The amount of animals shot is also near to be equal. Every data give us information that
the dependance between people and roe deer is very good – it gratifies people’s needs and allows to develop
the population of this game species.
Bibliography:
Mały rocznik statystyczny Polski 2010, pod red. Haliny Dmochowskiej, Zakłąd Wydawnictw Statystycznych,
Warszawa 2010