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    Winters

    Uploaded by

    annisa yovinda

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 1

    Winters' Method Plot for grand total 2014- 2018

    Multiplicative Method
    4000 Variable
    A ctual
    Fits
    3500
    Smoothing Constants
    grand total 2014- 2018

    A lpha (lev el) 0.2


    3000 Gamma (trend) 0.2
    Delta (seasonal) 0.2

    A ccuracy Measures
    2500 MA PE 3.5
    MA D 86.2
    MSD 30603.4
    2000

    1500

    1000
    1 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60
    Index

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