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PII: S0304-4068(18)30013-2
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmateco.2018.01.004
Reference: MATECO 2214
Please cite this article as: Ha-Huy T., Le Van C., Tran-Viet C., Arbitrage and equilibrium in
economies with short-selling and ambiguity. Journal of Mathematical Economics (2018),
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmateco.2018.01.004
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Arbitrage and equilibrium in economies with
short-selling and ambiguity ∗
February 5, 2018
Abstract
1 Introduction
Equilibrium conditions on financial markets differ with the ones on good mar-
ket when short-selling is accepted. This assumption makes useless traditional
techniques using fixed point theory. In the finite dimension case, there is a huge
∗
The authors are grateful to two referees and the associate editor for their thoughtful
remarks, questions and advices which have helped them to improve the article. They also
have many thanks to Alain Chateauneuf as well as the other participants of the workshop
”Finance and Growth” for their useful insights and comments. Thai Ha-Huy wishes to thank
the Labex MME-DII (ANR-11-LBX-0023-01) for supports during the realisation of the article.
†
EPEE, Univ Evry, Université Paris-Saclay, 91025, Evry, France. E-mail:
thai.hahuy@univ-evry.fr
‡
IPAG Business School, Paris School of Economics, CNRS, TIMAS. E-mail: Cuong.Le-
Van@univ-paris1.fr
§
Unversity of Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne. Email: Viet-Cuong.Tran@univ-paris1.fr
1
literature on well-known conditions called ”no arbitrage conditions”. These con-
ditions in general imply the compactness of the allocations set or the utilities
set. We can classify them in three main categories.
The first category is based on conditions on net trades, for example Hart
[18], Page [20], Nielsen [19], Page and Wooders [21], Allouch [2], Page, Wooders
and Monteiro [22]. We define Individual arbitrage opportunity as the set of
directions along which the agent wants to trade with infinite quantities. In the
case the agents disagree too much, some agents can make an arbitrage which is
”an opportunity with a mutually compatible set of net trades which are utility
non-decreasing and, at most, costless to make” (Hart [18]). Taking the fact
that this opportunity can be repeated indefinitely, equilibrium may not exist.
The Weak-no-market-arbitrage WNMA requires that all mutually compatible
net trades which are non-decreasing be useless. Page [20] proposes the no-
unbounded-arbitrage NUBA, a situation in which there is no group of agents
can make mutually compatible, unbounded and utility increasing trades. Page,
Wooders and Monteiro [22], introduce Inconsequential arbitrage condition to
ensure the existence of an equilibrium.
The second category is based on conditions on prices, for example Green
[14], Grandmont [12], [13], Hammond [17] and Werner [24]. These authors
define No-arbitrage price as element in the strictly positive dual of the set of
useful vectors. If the intersection of No-arbitrage price cones of all agents is
nonempty (this condition is called No-arbitrage-price-system NAPS), then there
exists a general equilibrium.
The third category includes authors, like Brown and Werner [3], Dana, Le
Van, Magnien [6], who assume the compactness of the attainable utility set to
ensure the existence of equilibrium.
Obviously, we can wonder whether we can have equivalent conditions be-
tween the existence of general equilibrium and these no arbitrage conditions
when the utility functions are not strictly concave. Unfortunately, the answer
is no. In this paper, we give an example in which NAPS, NUBA, and WNMA
conditions are violated, but a general equilibrium does exist (Subsection 3.3).
In 2010, Dana and Le Van [7], by considering the relationships between the
agents beliefs and risk when there is ambiguity, propose to use the set of deriva-
tives of the utility function as no-arbitrage prices set. By using this ’trick’, they
give a description of weak no-arbitrage prices and useful vectors. Furthermore,
they give an equivalence between non-emptiness of the intersection of interiors
of no-arbitrage price cones and NUBA condition, or between non-emptiness of
the intersection of relative interiors of no-arbitrage prices cones and WNMA
condition. Hence, if this intersection is non empty, existence of a general equi-
librium is ensured.
In this paper, we reconsider the equilibrium theory of assets with short-
2
selling when there is risk and ambiguity. The agents have maximin expected
utility functions. They are not only risk averse but also ambiguity averse. We
suppose the set of beliefs of each agent is convex and polyhedral, i.e. it is the
convex hull of a finite number of strictly positive probabilities1 . In particular
when the agent has a linear utility with one prior, our no-arbitrage condition
implies existence of equilibrium while the one by Dana and Le Van [7] cannot.
Moreover, we give an example where NUBA, WNMA, no-arbitrage a la Dana
and Le Van are not satisfied. However, there exists an equilibrium because our
condition holds.
Using the notion of no-arbitrage prices proposed by Dana and Le Van [7],
that we call weak no-arbitrage prices, we prove the equivalence between exis-
tence of a general equilibrium and non-emptiness of the intersection of weak
no-arbitrage prices cones. It is easy to prove that any equilibrium price is a
weak no-arbitrage price. The difficulty is to prove the converse.
To the best of our knowledge, when the utility functions have half-lines 2 ,
such a result does not exist in the literature.
Our paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 we recall briefly several
well-known conditions (No unbounded arbitrage - NUBA, or Weak no market
arbitrage - WNMA, or No arbitrage price system - NAPS) for the existence of
an equilibrium in a general framework. In Section 3, we consider an economy
in which any agent i has a maximin expected utility function. As in Gilboa
and Schmeidler [15], each agent faces a set of subjective probabilites. Here we
assume that this set is the convex hull of a finite number of strictly positive
probabilities. We introduce the cone of common weak no-arbitrage prices and
state the equivalence between existence of equilibrium and existence of a weak
no-arbitrage price common to all the agents. In Subsection 3.3, we give an
example of economy which does not satisfy either NUBA or WNMA or NAPS
and however has an equilibrium since it satisfies our no-arbitrage condition.
Proofs are in Section Appendix.
3
any i, U i is strictly increasing and concave.
For a subset X ⊂ RS , denote by intX the interior of X, X 0 the polar of X
where X 0 = {p ∈ RS | p · x ≤ 0, ∀ x ∈ X} and X 00 = (X 0 )0 . It is well known
that if X is closed, convex and contains the origin then X 00 = X.
For x ∈ RS , agent i0 s weak preferred set at x is
Let Ri (x) be recession cone of Pbi (x) (see Rockaffellar [23]). The set Ri (x) is
called the set of useful vectors for U i is given as
Let S = ∩i S i .
4
• A vector p in S is called a no-arbitrage of the economy
We now recall the definitions of the attainable allocations set and the individ-
ually rational utility set.
is the limit of λn (x1 (n), x2 (n), . . . , xm (n)) with (x1 (n), x2 (n), . . . , xm (n)) ∈ A
and λn converges to zero when n tends to infinity, there exists > 0 such that
for n sufficiently big we have U i (xi (n) − wi ) ≥ U i (xi (n)).
Definition 6 An equilibrium is a list (xi∗ )i=1,...,m , p∗ ) such that p∗ ∈ RS+ \{0}
and
(a) For any i, U i (x) > U i (xi∗ ) ⇒ p∗ · x > p∗ · ei .
P Pm i
(b) m i∗
i=1 x = i=1 e .
Definition 7 An quasi equilibrium is a list (xi∗ )i=1,...,m , p∗ ) such that p∗ ∈
RS+ \ {0} and
(a) For any i, U i (x) > U i (xi∗ ) ⇒ p∗ · x ≥ p∗ · ei .
P Pm i
(b) m i∗
i=1 x = i=1 e .
Claim 1
5
Proof : See Dana, Le Van and Magnien [8] for the existence of quasi-equilibrium.
Since short sales are allowed, in our model quasi equilibrium is also equilibrium.
For this result, see Florenzano [10].
6
Lemma 1 The vector w ∈ RS is useful for agent i if and only if for any x ∈ RS ,
any π ∈ ∆i we have
XS
πs ui0 (xs )ws ≥ 0.
s=1
For each vector w ∈ RS , define S+ (w) = {s such that ws > 0}, and S− (w) =
{s such that ws < 0}. The following proposition is a direct consequence of
Lemma 1.
Proposition 1 The vector w is useful for agent i, if and only if, for any π ∈ ∆i
we have X X
ai πs ws + bi πs ws ≥ 0.
s∈S+ (w) s∈S− (w)
Lemma 2 For all i, P i is a convex cone. Moreover for any useful vector w 6= 0,
we have p.w ≥ 0, ∀p ∈ Pi . If Pi is open, for any useful vector w 6= 0, p.w > 0
for all p ∈ Pi .
Proposition 2 Suppose that for all i except at most one agent, we have either
ai < ui0 (z), ∀ z ∈ R, or bi > ui0 (z), ∀ z ∈ R, then we have:
m
\
P i 6= ∅ ⇔ NUBA condition ⇔ U is compact ⇔ there exists equilibrium.
i=1
7
Proof : See Appendix.
Case 2: Now we consider the case where for some i, the utility function ui
becomes affine when the consumption is large enough, i.e. there exists z i such
that
ui0 (z) = ai for z ≥ z̄ i and ui0 (x) = bi for z ≤ −z̄ i .
Theorem 2 Suppose that each probabilities set ∆i is a convex hull of the set
of M i points, i.e. ∆i = conv{π0i , π1i , . . . , πM
i }. Then:
i
m
\
P i 6= ∅ ⇔ U is compact ⇔ there exists a general equilibrium.
i=1
8
3.3 Example
We present here an example in which the weak no-arbitrage prices cones are
closed, their intersection is non empty, the model does not satisfy NAPS, NUBA
or WNMA conditions, but there exists an equilibrium.
We consider an economy with two agents, the number of states is S = 2. The
belief of agent 1 is represented by the probability π11 = π21 = 21 . The belief of
agent 2 is π12 = 13 , π22 = 32 . Their endowments are 0. Their utility functions are
defined as follows:
ln(x) if x ∈ [1/3, 1/2]
1
u (x) = 2x − 1 − ln 2 if x ≥ 1/2
3x − 1 − ln 3 if x ≤ 1/3
ln(x) if x ∈ [1/3, 4/9]
2 9 4 4
u (x) = 4 x − 1 + ln( 9 ) if x ≥ 9
3x − 1 − ln 3 if x ≤ 13
We have u10 (+∞) = 2, u10 (−∞) = 3 and u20 (+∞) = 94 , u20 (−∞) = 3.
Therefore, the cone of no-arbitrage prices of agent 1 is P 1 = {λ(ζ1 , ζ2 )}λ>0
with 1 ≤ ζ1 ≤ 23 , 1 ≤ ζ2 ≤ 23 . The one of agent 2 is P 2 = {λ(ζ1 , ζ2 )}λ>0 with
3 3
4 ≤ ζ1 ≤ 1, 2 ≤ ζ2 ≤ 2.
The set of common weak no-arbitrage prices is the intersection of the two
T
cones P 1 P 2 = λ(1, 23 ) λ>0 . If S 1 , S 2 are the interiors of P 1 and P 2 , then
T
S 1 S 2 = ∅ (i.e. NAPS does not hold).
Moreover, our economy does not satisfy either NUBA or WNMA conditions.
Indeed, consider the useful vector w1 = (1, − 32 ) of agent 1, the useful vector
w2 = (−1, 32 ) of agent 2. We obtain that w1 + w2 = 0. That means NUBA
is not satisfied. But −w1 , −w2 are not useful vectors, hence are not in the
linearity spaces. That means WNMA does not hold.
However, from our main Theorem 2, an equilibrium exists in this model. Com-
putations show there exists an equilibrium with allocations equal to x∗1 1 =
1, x2 = −2/3, x1 = −1, x2 = 2/3, and with equilibrium prices p1 = 1, p∗2 =
∗1 ∗2 ∗2 ∗
3/2.
4 Appendix
4.1 Proof of Proposition 1
Suppose that w is a useful vector of agent i. Using Lemma 1, and letting xs
converge to +∞ when s ∈ S+ (w), and xs converge to −∞ when s ∈ S− (w), we
obtain the inequality. For the converse. For any x ∈ RS we have ai ≤ ui0 (xs ) ≤
P P P
bi . This implies Ss=1 πs ui0 (xs )ws ≥ ai s∈S+ (w) πs ws + bi s∈S− (w) πs ws ≥ 0.
From Lemma 1, the vector w is useful for agent i.
9
4.2 Proof of Proposition 2
Suppose that for any i 6= i0 , we have either ai < ui0 (z) ∀z, or bi > ui0 (z), ∀z.
Using Dana and Le Van [7], for any i 6= i0 , P i is open. Let (w1 , . . . , wm ) ∈
P
R1 × . . . × Rm satisfy i6=i0 wi + wi0 = 0. We will prove that wi = 0 for all i
(i.e. NUBA holds). Suppose (wi )i6=i0 6= 0. Since ∩m i
i=1 P 6= ∅, then there exists
P
p ∈ P i for any agent i. By Lemma 2, one obtains p· i6=i0 wi > 0 and p·wi0 ≥ 0
P
which contradicts i wi = 0. Hence (wi ) = 0, ∀i 6= i0 and this implies wi0 = 0.
Summing up, we have proved that U is bounded. Now we prove that U is closed.
6
A more simplified version of Clarke’s one, which can be used for the case of utility functions
in theorem 2, can be found in [11].
10
We will construct a sequence of economies {Et }t≥0 . For each economy Et ,
there are m agents, each agent has a utility function
m
X m
X
Uti (x) = min i
πs u (xis ) = min πs ui (xis ),
∆it ˜i
∆
s=1 t s=1
which implies X X
ai i
π0,s wsi + bi i
π0,s wsi = 0.
s∈S+ (wi ) s∈S− (wi )
Pm
But actually, if i=1 wi = 0 with wi ∈ Ri , then for any i ∈ / I, we have wi =
0. Indeed, in the contrary case, since for i ∈ / I, P i is open, we have p · wi > 0,
P P
a contradiction. Hence if ai s∈S+ (wi ) π0,s i w i + bi
s
i i
s∈S− (wi ) π0,s ws > 0, then
i ∈ I.
˜ i }m , denote
For each economy Et = {Uti , ∆it , ∆ t i=1
( m
)
X
1 2 m S m i i i i i
At = (x , x , . . . , x ) ∈ (R ) | x = e and U (e ) ≤ Ut (x ) .
i=1
Ut = (v 1 , v 2 , . . . , xm ) ∈ Rm | ∃ x ∈ At such that U i (ei ) ≤ v i ≤ Uti (xi ) .
We denote also Rti the set of useful vectors of Uti , and Wt the set
( m
)
X
1 2 m 1 2 m i
Wt = (w , w , . . . , w ) ∈ Rt × Rt × · · · × Rt | w =0 .
i=1
11
U0i (xi ) = U i (xi ) for all i, for all xi ∈ RS . If for all (w1 , . . . , wm ) ∈ W0 , for all
π i ∈ ∆i we have:
X X
ai πsi wsi + bi πsi wsi = 0
s∈S+ (wi ) s∈S− (wi )
then we stop.
Suppose that there exists (w1 , w2 , . . . , wm ) ∈ W0 such that:
X X
ai0 π̃si0 wsi0 + bi0 π̃si0 wsi0 > 0
s∈S+ (wi0 ) s∈S− (wi0 )
S
X
U1i0 (xi0 ) = inf πs ui0 (xis0 )
i
π∈∆10 s=1
XS
= min πs ui0 (xis0 )
i
π∈∆10 s=1
XS
= min πs ui0 (xis0 ).
˜ i0
π∈∆ 1 s=1
12
Then:
S
X S
X
π̃si0 ui0 (xis0 + λwsi0 ) − π̃si0 ui0 (xis0 )
s=1 s=1
X
= π̃si0 [ui0 (z̄ i0 ) + a (xis0 + λwsi0 − z̄ i0 )]
i0
s∈S+ (wi0 )
X
+ π̃si0 [ui0 (z̄ i0 ) + bi0 (xis0 + λwsi0 − z̄ i0 )].
s∈S− (wi0 )
And we have:
S
X X X
π̃si0 ui0 (xis0 + λwsi0 ) = Z + λ ai0 π̃si0 wsi0 + bi0 πsi0 wsi0 , (1)
s=1 s∈S+ (wi0 ) s∈S− (wi0 )
where Z is a constant:
S
X X
Z = π̃si0 ui0 (xis0 ) + π̃si0 [ui0 (z̄ i0 ) + ai0 (xis0 − z̄ i0 )]
s=1 s∈S+ (wi0 )
X
+ π̃si0 [ui0 (z̄ i0 ) + bi0 (xis0 − z̄ i0 )].
s∈S− (wi0 )
P P
Since ai0 s∈S+ (wi0 ) π̃si0 wsi0 + bi0 s∈S− (wi0 ) π̃si0 wsi0 > 0, if we let λ tends to
infinity, the right hand term of (1) converges to infinity. Then for λ > 0 large
P
enough, Ss=1 π̃si0 ui0 (xis0 + λwsi0 ) > C, the upper bound of U1 . Hence we have
S
X S
X
i0
min πs u (xis0 + λwsi0 ) = min πs ui0 (xis0 + λwsi0 )
˜ i0 \{π̃ i0 }
∆ ˜ 0
π∈∆
i
0 s=1 0 s=1
and then
S
X
U0i0 (xi0 + λwi0 ) = min πs ui0 (xis0 + λwsi0 )
˜ i0
π∈∆ 0 s=1
S
X
= min πsi0 ui0 (xis0 + λwsi0 )
˜ i0 \{π̃ i0 }
∆ 0 s=1
S
X
= min πsi0 ui0 (xis0 + λwsi0 )
˜ i0
∆ 1s=1
i 0 i0
= U1 (x + λwi0 ).
13
Now we are ready to finish the proof. The economy E1 has U1 = U0 . Since
T
π0i∈ ∆i1 for all i, we have i P1i 6= ∅. This implies U1 is bounded. We recall
P
that T (E1 ) = T (E0 ) − 1. If in the economy E1 , for any i wi = 0 with wi ∈ R1i ,
we have X X
ai πsi wsi + bi πsi wsi = 0,
s∈S+ (wi ) s∈S− (wi )
then we stop.
If there exists w ∈ W1 such that there exist i1 and π̃ i1 ∈ ∆i11 satisfying
X X
ai1 π̃si1 wsi1 + bi1 πsi1 wsi1 > 0,
s∈S+ (wi1 ) s∈S− (wi1 )
then i1 ∈ I and by the same argument as for the previous step, we can construct
a new economy E2 , and so on. After each step, the number of probabilities which
determine the ambiguity set of the agents diminishes by 1: T (Et+1 ) = T (Et ) − 1.
Since there exists a finite number of probabilities which determine ∆i , the
process has to stop at some step T . The utility sets of T + 1 economies are
equal U0 = U1 = · · · = UT . The economy ET satisfies the property: for all
w ∈ WT , for all π i ∈ ∆iT we have
X X
ai πsi wsi + bi πsi wsi = 0.
s∈S+ (wi ) s∈S− (wi )
14
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16