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Energy Policy 113 (2018) 239–248

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Energy Policy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol

Prices versus quantities: Comparing economic efficiency of feed-in tariff and T


renewable portfolio standard in promoting renewable electricity generation

Gobong Choia, Sung-Yoon Huhb, Eunnyeong Heoa, Chul-Yong Leec,
a
Department of Energy Systems Engineering, Seoul National University, 1 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul 08826, Republic of Korea
b
Department of Energy Policy, Graduate School of Energy & Environment, Seoul National University of Science & Technology, 232 Gongneung-ro, Nowon-gu, Seoul
01811, Republic of Korea
c
New and Renewable Energy Research Division, Korea Energy Economics Institute, 405-11 Jongga-ro, Jung-gu, Ulsan 44543, Republic of Korea

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Keywords: In order to promote renewable electricity generation, several countries have been adopting a feed-in tariff (FIT)
Renewable energy or a renewable portfolio standard (RPS). Of these two renewable energy policies, investigating which one has
Feed-in tariff better performance is a subject of debate. This study comparatively analyzes the economic efficiency of FIT and
Renewable portfolio standard RPS in the South Korean renewable energy market. FIT was implemented from 2002 to 2011, while RPS has been
Economic efficiency
in force since 2012; hence, a comparative analysis of the two policies is ideal. The benefit cost ratio and net
present value were measured from two different perspectives: the government and energy producers. The results
showed that RPS was more efficient for photovoltaic energy from the government's perspective, whereas FIT, for
non-photovoltaic energy, such as wind power, bio-energy, and fuel cells. However, from the energy producers’
perspective, FIT was more efficient for photovoltaic energy, while RPS was more efficient for non-photovoltaic
energy.

1. Introduction development worldwide. Therefore, recently, a majority of the coun-


tries have renewable energy support policies in place (REN21, 2016),
Renewable energy has many environmental and safety advantages while policymakers have developed various policy mechanisms to
compared to conventional energy sources. To address climate change, promote renewable energy worldwide. These policies can be categor-
decrease fuel import dependency, diversify energy sources to respond to ized into fiscal and financial incentives, market-based instruments,
external changes and shocks, and dominate future technology markets, option to provide funds, policy instruments related to investment de-
many countries have been developing their renewable energy supplies cisions, and regulatory measures (Polzin et al., 2015).
(Lee and Huh, 2017). Thus, renewables have now been globally es- Renewable energy is used in three sectors: electricity, heating and
tablished as mainstream sources of energy, providing an estimated cooling, and transport. Despite the growing interest in transport and
19.2% of global final energy consumption as of 2014 (REN21, 2016). heating and cooling, the electricity sector still performs the most crucial
Since combatting global climate change predominantly includes stra- role in expanding the supply of renewable energy, with relatively active
tegies involving renewable energy implementation, its supply is ex- implementation of related policies (Huh et al., 2014). The core policy
pected to grow steadily in the future. decision in the renewable energy sector is to choose between price- or
National- and state-level policies play critical roles in the effective quantity-based policies for adoption as the main scheme. The former is
promotion and dissemination of renewable energy because of its cost represented by feed-in tariffs (FIT) and the latter, by renewable portfolio
disadvantage compared to conventional energy sources. Extant litera- standard (RPS)—the two main support mechanisms for renewable elec-
ture already highlights the importance of government intervention, tricity development (Lipp, 2007). Since most countries predominantly
with adequate policy, in the expansion of renewable energy supply and implement the aforementioned policies over other options, we may
related technological innovations (Dulal et al., 2013; Kim and Kim, conclude that they currently play a key role in the renewable electricity
2015; White et al., 2013; Rao and Kishore, 2009; Tan et al., 2008). For sector. Moreover, a similar number of countries implement either the FIT
example, Zyadin et al. (2014) confirmed that the lack of governmental or RPS policy; hence, it is difficult to ascertain which one of the two
policies was a critically limiting factor for renewable energy policies is evidently superior.1 In fact, for many countries, choosing


Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: gchoi0322@snu.ac.kr (G. Choi), sunghuh@seoultech.ac.kr (S.-Y. Huh), heoe@snu.ac.kr (E. Heo), cylee@keei.re.kr (C.-Y. Lee).
1
The number of states, provinces, and countries with FIT policies is 110, while the number of those with RPS/quota policies is 100 (REN21, 2016).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.11.008
Received 28 July 2017; Received in revised form 30 October 2017; Accepted 3 November 2017
Available online 21 November 2017
0301-4215/ © 2017 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
G. Choi et al. Energy Policy 113 (2018) 239–248

either policy is a crucial, but difficult, policy decision; thus, both are pointed out that economic efficiency is often defined as comprising the
implemented as per the circumstances, or countries switch between po- minimization of the cost of operations and the optimization of invest-
licies at certain points. Therefore, it is important to determine the ad- ment decisions. Since this study considers both benefit and cost factors
vantages and disadvantages of FIT and RPS, and to evaluate their relative of FIT and RPS by using CBA and NPV, it analyzes the two policy al-
performance. Many studies have investigated such policy impacts, but ternatives with a focus on economic efficiency.
presented differing results depending on individual focus (de Mello With such clear differences in the operation methods, advantages,
Santana, 2016; Dong, 2012; Sun and Nie, 2015). and disadvantages of the two policies, there have been constant re-
This study compares the economic efficiency of FIT and RPS by searches on the comparison of the two policies. Some of the earlier
conducting cost-benefit analysis (CBA) and calculating net present studies include Lauber (2004) and Lipp (2007). This section reviews
value (NPV), based on which it provides implications for effective previous literatures that compared the policy impacts of FIT and RPS in
supply of renewable energy. The subject of empirical analysis is South different perspectives, and summarizes the limitations and implications
Korea, which is highly suitable for analysis, since it has implemented of this study. First, major studies that proved FIT's superiority over RPS
both policies within the electricity sector.2 Currently, with the im- are examined. Butler and Neuhoff (2008) compared the two policies by
plementation and establishment of RPS in Korea, an empirical com- comparing the price and deployment level of wind power in England
parison of FIT (which had been already implemented) and RPS can and Germany, which adopted RPS and FIT. The results suggested that
provide both policy implications for institutional operations of FIT or the cost of the FIT is lower than that of the RPS. The long-term price
RPS in other countries and improvement of the domestic RPS scheme. guarantee provided by FIT reduces regulatory and market risk, and
The novelty and contribution of this study are as follows. First, this explains the lower cost. Based on interviews from 43 institutions in
study explores, in detail, which policy—FIT or RPS—is relatively more Southeast Asia, Sovacool (2010) evaluated eight renewable electricity
efficient for each renewable energy source in the economic view. policy mechanisms with five indicators, followed by a comparative
Second, by drawing the costs and benefits of the policies in the gov- analysis. FIT was found to be the only mechanism that met all criteria.
ernment and energy producers’ perspectives, it suggests implementable, Haas et al. (2011a, 2011b) reviewed promotions strategies of renewable
specific actions for individual players. In addition, this study can be energy sources within the European electricity market, and depicted
used as a reference for related research by systematically presenting their properties. Results showed that FIT provided a certain deployment
detailed items to estimate the costs and benefits of FIT and RPS. of renewable electricity in the shortest time and at the lowest costs for
This remaining study is presented as follows. Section 2 summarizes society, while RPS showed a relatively lower effectiveness. Dong (2012)
previous studies covering FIT and RPS policy effects or using CBA in the investigated the relative effectiveness of FIT and RPS for wind capacity
renewable energy sector, and presents the marginal contribution of this development by analyzing five years of panel data in 53 countries. The
study. Section 3 provides a detailed description of the research metho- study claimed that FIT performed better than RPS. It concluded that FIT
dologies—CBA and NPV. It also presents detailed items to estimate the had better long-term effects in promoting wind energy, although, in the
costs and benefits of the two policies in the process. Section 4 includes the short run, RPS could also provide some incentives to developers. Kilinc-
results of the empirical analysis. It provides the results according to the Ata (2016) analyzed which policy is more effective for renewable
scenario setting, based on which it compares the economic efficiency of electricity deployment using panel data of 27 EU countries and 50 US
the two policies for each source. Finally, Section 5 summarizes the study states from 1990 to 2008, as well as the fixed-effect regression model.
results and limitations, and sets the direction for follow-up research. The result showed that FIT was an effective mechanism for stimulating
deployment capacity of renewable electricity, while quota (RPS) was
not. Using a panel regression model, recently, Li et al. (2017) measured
2. Literature review
the effectiveness of diverse policies for the photovoltaic (PV) and wind
power development in the EU. The findings confirmed that the FIT is
2.1. Debates on the policy impacts of FIT and RPS
more efficient than RPS for PV and wind power development.
Meanwhile, there are studies that claim RPS's superiority over FIT.
FIT is a “pricing policy” that covers the difference when the market
Schmalensee (2012) pointed out that the previous studies claiming FIT's
price of renewable electricity is lower than the reference price that
superiority neglected its impact on actors other than investors in re-
reflects the standard cost by each renewable source. On the other hand,
newable energy sector and those who pay subsidies. The theoretical
RPS is a “quota system” that makes it mandatory for energy suppliers to
model presented by the author showed that, as long as the unit cost of
produce a certain ratio of supplied power from renewable sources.3
renewables was higher than the unit cost of fossil electricity, RPS in-
Two frequently used evaluation criteria for renewable support schemes
volved less long-run social risk than FIT. de Mello Santana (2016)
are their effectiveness and economic efficiency (Ragwitz and
analyzed the long- and short-term cost-effectiveness of RPS, FIT, and
Steinhilber, 2014). In order to better understand the aim of this study, it
auctions using levelized lifecycle costs and experience curves. Results
is necessary to distinguish between effectiveness and economic effi-
showed that RPS was more cost-effective than FIT in the short-term
ciency of a renewable policy. First, in terms of renewable policy, ef-
from the consumer perspective.
fectiveness refers to the extent to which a promotion strategy is capable
Certain analysis results also claim that FIT and RPS have different
of triggering renewable deployment, which is either measured in in-
parts that are relatively more effective depending on the detailed policy
creased generation or increased installed capacity (Ragwitz and
effect or evaluation criteria even within the same study. For example,
Steinhilber, 2014). On the other hand, efficiency or economic efficiency
focusing on comparing price-based approaches with quantity-based
of a policy has more varied definitions in extant literature. Considering
ones, Menanteau et al. (2003) examined the efficiency of different in-
all these studies, the major difference between efficiency and effec-
centive schemes for the development of renewable energy sources.
tiveness is whether its criterion considers required costs or additional
They concluded that the quantity-based approach was more effective in
impacts of policy enforcement or not.4 For example, Gunn (1997)
controlling the cost of government incentive policies, while price-based
approaches gave significantly better results in terms of installed capa-
2
South Korea had implemented FIT from 2001 to 2011, and has been implementing city. Sun and Nie (2015) compared different effects of FIT and RPS
RPS since 2012 (Huh et al., 2015). using a game theory model. The results showed that FIT had relative
3
See Lipp (2007) for details on the concept of FIT and RPS, operation methods, and
strengths in installed capacity increase and R&D input stimulation,
major advantages and disadvantages.
4
The concept and practice of economic efficiency and effectiveness of policy instru-
while RPS was relatively strong in reducing carbon emissions and in-
ments can be found in Gunn (1997), Perrels (2001), and Ragwitz and Steinhilber (2014) creasing consumer surplus. Ritzenhofen et al. (2016) quantitatively
in more detail. compared different renewable policy instruments, including FIT and

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RPS, using a long-term capacity investment model. They found both estimated and summarized historical RPS costs and benefits in the
policies increased renewable penetration, but FIT did so at lower cost United States. The costs of RPS was described by percentage of average
and RPS delivered more robust results. retail electricity rates, while its benefit was divided into three cate-
Most extent studies focus on comparing effectiveness of FIT and gories—emissions and human health, economic development impacts,
RPS, which is also an important criterion. However, increase in the and wholesale market price impacts. Results showed that RPS benefits
amount and capacity of renewable power generation is not itself a may at least be of the same order of magnitude as costs. Rouhani et al.
purpose, but a means to achieve a more fundamental goal, such as re- (2016) estimated the costs and benefits of varying 2020 California RPS
duction of greenhouse gas, environmental preservation, and enhance- targets on various factors, including social welfare. Results indicated
ment of energy security. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct research that the planned mandated ratio of 33% RPS for California would not
that compares the economic efficiency of the two policies by calculating maximize the net social benefit objective.
the costs and ultimate benefits of implementing the two policies in the Previous studies that analyzed FIT or RPS using CBA individually
economic perspective. Extant studies are also limited in their scope as analyzed only one of the two policies. They also overlooked the var-
they compare policy effects of FIT and RPS by using the amount and iation in effectiveness of the two policies based on renewable energy
capacity of power generation that includes all renewable energy source type. Furthermore, they failed to specifically identify the factors
sources, or by using only one energy source as the subject of empirical of costs and benefits that may vary depending on individual players,
analysis, such as wind power. such as the government, energy producers, and the public. This study
However, each renewable energy source has different character- introduces new insights that previous studies could not produce. It does
istics, which may result in different policy effects, as well. Therefore, it so by applying CBA for each renewable energy source and participant
is necessary to thoroughly analyze which of the two policies has a type, while targeting the South Korean market, which has had experi-
significantly higher effect on individual renewable energy sources. ence under both FIT and RPS, since 2001 until the present, as the
Finally, the analysis must be conducted within the same energy market subject of empirical analysis.
because the policy effects of FIT and RPS may vary depending on the
policy design of each country. In this aspect, this study overcomes the 3. Methodologies for economic evaluation and scenario
limitations of previous studies that compared FIT and RPS.
3.1. Economic evaluation
2.2. Cost-benefit analysis in the field of renewable energy
To evaluate economic efficiency of FIT and RPS for each renewable
CBA is rooted in the concept of economic efficiency. It compares the energy source, this study calculated the two indicators—benefit cost
gains and losses associated with an investment or with a policy (Pearce, ratio (B/C ratio) and net present value (NPV)—in order to conduct an
1998). It is also an established applied welfare economics approach analysis in multiple aspects.
(Jamasb and Nepal, 2010) that has been historically and extensively
used for academic and practical purposes across fields, such as medical/ 3.1.1. Cost-benefit analysis
healthcare (McIntosh et al., 1999), environment (Atkinson and Benefit cost ratio (B/C ratio) is an indicator that reveals the amount
Mourato, 2008), R&D projects (Kohmoto et al., 2009), law (Brown, of benefit that can be obtained compared to the cost that incurred in the
2004), and education (Blomberg, 1989). One of the most important cash flow of an investment project. It can intuitively reveal the benefit
purposes of CBA is to determine the projects that have high economic compared to the cost of an investment. The equation for B/C ratio is as
efficiency in order to efficiently use limited investment finances. shown in Eq. (1).
CBA has been used in various ways in the renewable energy sector n
since the 2000s, and many related studies have been conducted re- B ∑ Bt /(1 + i)t
= nt = 0
garding it, too. These studies analyzed economic feasibility by applying C ∑t = 0 Ct /(1 + i)t (1)
CBA in using individual renewable energy sources or technologies
Here, Bt is a benefit in t, Ct is a cost in t, i is a discount rate, and n is a
under a specific circumstance. For example, Diakoulaki et al. (2001)
term of the project. The numerator is the total present value of benefits,
analyzed the solar water heating system in Greece, Jamasb and Nepal
and the denominator is the total present value of costs. If the calculated
(2010) analyzed waste-to-energy in the UK, O’Mahoney et al. (2013)
B/C ratio is greater than 1, the former is greater than the latter, thereby,
analyzed electricity from biomass in Ireland, Santamaría and Azqueta
indicating that the relevant project has economic efficiency. If the B/C
(2015) analyzed biofuels use in Spain, and Yano et al. (2016) analyzed
ratio is smaller than 1, the relevant project has no economic efficiency.
PV panels in the smart grid system in Japan. Furthermore, studies that
analyzed the costs and benefits of expanding renewable energy in
3.1.2. Net present value
general (including renewable energy technology and renewable elec-
Net present value (NPV) is the present amount of all cash flows
tricity) use in a single country, such as Germany (Breitschopf et al.,
incurred in the project, where the net benefit or net cost that is ulti-
2016), Spain (Burgos-Payan et al., 2013; Ortega et al., 2013), Greece
mately incurred by the project is presented in monetary value. NPV is as
(Diakoulaki and Karangelis, 2007), and Japan (Esteban et al., 2012),
shown in Eq. (2).
also used CBA.
n n
Compared to the studies above, only a few studies have applied CBA
to renewable policies or supporting schemes. However, this research NPV = ∑ Bt /(1 + i)t − ∑ Ct /(1 + i)t
t=0 t=0 (2)
trend has been increasing as the question of which policy to
choose—FIT or RPS—has gained importance. One typical example of In other words, NPV is total present value of costs subtracted from
applying CBA to FIT is the recent study by Bean et al. (2017). They total present value of benefits. If NPV is positive, there is more benefit
assessed the cost effectiveness of three wind energy policy op- than cost, whereas, if NPV is negative, there is more cost than benefit.
tions—FIT, feed-in premiums, and investment credit policy—by using a Therefore, the relevant project has economic efficiency if NPV is posi-
CBA approach. In the CBA, the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is tive, while it has none if NPV is negative.
representative of the “cost” metric, while the levelized avoided cost of
electricity (LACE) represents the “revenues” metric. It found that the 3.2. Perspective of economic evaluation
most cost effective option for promoting wind energy development
from the government perspective is to use an investment credit policy. To evaluate economic efficiency of a specific project, different
As for research that has applied CBA to RPS, Barbose et al. (2015) perspectives must be applied depending on the main agent of the

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project. Both FIT and RPS systems for renewable energy are led by the energy facilities, the fuel costs for these existing energy sources can be
government, whereby energy producers act as participants. Thus, eco- saved. In this study, we assumed that renewable energy generation
nomic efficiency can be evaluated in two different perspectives: gov- replaces some of the power generated from the LNG combined power
ernment and energy producers. This study conducted analyses in both generation, which is in charge of middle and peak load in South Korea.
perspectives in order to comprehensively determine the economic ef- Therefore, we assume that the energy production benefit from FIT and
ficiency of the two systems. RPS is the fuel cost of LNG combined cycle power generation as the
FIT and RPS both aid in increasing the supply and generation of benefit of energy production (Eq. (6)).
renewable energy as per government policy aims. Furthermore, they
are accompanied by the government's fiscal outlays incurred, such as Fuel cost (KRW / kWh)
compensation or issuing renewable energy certificates (REC). 860(kcal/ kWh) × Fuel price (KRW /kg )
=
Accordingly, it is necessary to analyze economic efficiency in the gov- (1−Auxiliary power ratio) × Thermal efficiency (%)
ernment's perspective regarding the efficiency of the impact of the × Heating value (kcal/ kg ) (6)
systems.5 Moreover, it is also necessary to analyze economic efficiency
in the energy producers’ perspective, as there must be adequate eco- The second benefit is greenhouse gas reduction, wherein CO2 caused
nomic incentives for the companies participating in the systems for by existing energy sources is reduced by generating power from re-
their efficient functioning. newable energy. CO2 reduction can be calculated with the amount of
CO2 incurred when using fossil fuels to obtain the same amount of
3.2.1. Cost in the government's perspective power generation with renewable energy generation. To convert CO2
The cost incurred in the government's operation of FIT is the sum of reduction into monetary value, the price of South Korea's CO2 emission
system marginal price (SMP) and compensation.6 Each power producer was multiplied to obtain the greenhouse gas reduction benefit (Eq. (7)).
gains revenue equivalent to the wholesale electricity price by selling Since renewable energy generation is presumed to replace LNG com-
generated electricity to the Korea Electric Power Cooperation (KEPCO). bined cycle generation, this study calculated the greenhouse gas re-
In this transaction, the wholesale price of electricity is SMP, which is duction benefit by calculating the CO2 emission of LNG generation.
determined by the generator plant that has the most expensive power
GHG Reduction (KRW ) = CO2 emission (tCO2)
generation cost among the generators operated in order to meet the
power demand. In FIT, power producers are compensated for the gen- × Carbon emission price (KRW /tCO2) (7)
eration cost that cannot be recovered at the SMP. Thus, the sum of SMP The third benefit is air pollution reduction by calculating the eco-
and compensation can be calculated as the cost in the government's nomic benefit from air pollutant reduction effect along with the re-
perspective. Here, the sum of SMP and compensation can be considered duction of CO2. Greenhouse gas reduction also reduces the amount of
the “FIT standard price” for each renewable energy source because other pollutants, thereby, producing other additional economic effects
compensation is the difference between standard price and SMP for in a process called the “co-benefit effect” (Nemet et al., 2010). The co-
each renewable energy source by definition. benefit effect is represented by the economic benefit incurred when
The cost incurred in the government's operation of RPS is the sum of reducing 1 t of CO2. Therefore, the air pollution reduction benefit can
SMP and REC value. In RPS, the government imposes the amount of be converted to monetary value by multiplying the aforementioned CO2
mandatory power generation on power producers; it issues REC for reduction by the co-benefit coefficient (Eq. (8)).
actual power generation. Since the power producers receive not only
this REC, but also sell the generated electricity to KEPCO, the sum of Air pollution reduction benefit (KRW ) = CO2 emission (tCO2)
REC value and the power wholesale price, SMP, can be regarded as the × Co‐benefit (KRW /tCO2) (8)
cost of the government. Here, the REC value (won/kWh) is the concept
that considers the REC price in the market (won/REC); the weight
(REC/MWh) of each form of renewable energy generation, represented 3.2.3. Cost and benefit in the power producers’ perspective
by the price for unit generation as shown in Eq. (5). In the energy producers’ perspective, costs for power producers are
the costs of installing or constructing renewable power generation fa-
REC value (KRW / kWh) cilities and of operating these facilities up to their economic life. This
REC price (KRW / REC ) × REC weight (REC /MWh) study assumed that energy producers install facilities at the beginning
=
1, 000(kWh/ MWh) (5) of the first year, and operate them from that year. For simplification of
Even though each energy producer generated equal amount of analysis, this study excluded analysis on economic efficiency of energy
power, REC is issued by assigning different weights depending on the producers that already had the facilities before implementing the sys-
form of renewable energy generation. Thus, it is appropriate to use the tems. The benefit that can be obtained by these producers participating
REC value instead of REC price in the market to calculate the REC cost in FIT and RPS is the power market price and compensating amount or
provided for each energy producer. REC value, which is the same as the cost in the government's perspec-
tive explained in Section 3.2.1. In other words, cost for the government
is transferred into benefit for energy producers.
3.2.2. Benefit in the government's perspective
Table 1 summarizes the cost and benefit items in the perspectives of
In the government's perspective, renewable energy supply can be
the government and energy producers for FIT and RPS. In addition to
increased by FIT and RPS, with which three benefits can be obtained.
the items listed in Table 1, a ripple effect, such as the dependence of
The first benefit is the “energy production” benefit—assuming that the
energy import and job creation, may be considered in CBA. However,
fuel cost of existing conventional power plant, which can be saved by
this study considered only the items that can be converted into amounts
renewable energy generation, is a benefit. Since power producers can
of money because we intended to measure the economic efficiency of
reduce the amount of generation from existing sources using renewable
FIT and RPS.

5
In South Korea, the costs for REC are calculated by the Korea Electric Power 3.3. Economic efficiency evaluation analysis system
Corporation owned by the government.
6
As Chang and Li (2015), Farmer et al. (2015), and Smulders and Vollebergh (2001)
pointed out, the administration cost is a practical concern. However, since no precise
This study assumed that new energy producers enter the market
administration cost data specific to Korea's FIT and RPS system could be found, this study every year, and they are independent business operators that generate
only considered direct costs associated with revenue and incentive for power producers. power using different renewable energy sources. Therefore, we used

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Table 1 operating expenses starting from the end of the relevant year, obtaining
Cost-benefit items of FIT and RPS. benefits from FIT or REC market.
RPS includes a detailed classification according to bio-energy and
Scheme Perspective Cost Benefit
waste energy fuels, whereas FIT included a relatively big category. For
FIT Government FIT standard price Energy production, the comparison, certain RPS categories were merged to match FIT. The
greenhouse gas reduction, air lignocellulosic biomass of RPS is classified as biomass, and the weight
pollution reduction
of by-product gas, waste, RDF firing, and waste gasification are calcu-
Energy producer Installation cost, FIT standard price
operation cost lated into the arithmetic mean, and classified as waste. The bio-energy
RPS Government SMP, REC value Energy production, of RPS was classified as biogas.
greenhouse gas reduction, air For the weight of REC by each renewable energy source, the average
pollution reduction was applied if there were different weights according to installation
Energy producer Installation cost, SMP, REC value
type, but for photovoltaic energy, the average weight excluded floating
operation cost
solar photovoltaic, independent generation facilities, and ESS connec-
tion facilities. Wind power applied only the weight of onshore wind
producers that were independent from energy source and time point in power, while excluding that of offshore wind power, while tidal power
their perspective, and conducted economic efficiency analysis for each generation applied only the weight of installation types with embank-
of these independent producers. Correspondingly, an economic effi- ments.
ciency analysis was conducted for each year on the renewable energy REC price was calculated using the annual average of monthly on-
source in the government's perspective, too. By doing so, the economic shore REC spot price by Korea Power Exchange. Among the sources,
efficiency of FIT and RPS for each renewable energy source can be photovoltaic power applied photovoltaic REC price, whereas other
determined, as well as the changes in the systems, according to the sources applied non-photovoltaic REC price. However, since the two
passage of time and enhancement of economic efficiency. REC markets were combined in March 2016, the same price has been
applied.
The discount rate used in economic efficiency analysis was applied
4. Results and discussion differently depending on government or energy producers’ perspec-
tives. As Short et al. (1995) stated in their study, the discount rate is a
4.1. Assumptions and data for empirical analysis measure of time value; it is influenced or determined by a wide variety
of factors. Therefore, it is necessary to set a different discount rate for a
To analyze the economic efficiency of FIT and RPS in South Korea, government seeking social benefits from the power producers seeking
we used the technology and market data under a series of assumptions. financial benefits. In this study, a social discount rate of 5.5%, which is
Table 2 shows the summary of the items in each data set. used to analyze the cost-benefit analysis of the government's public
Our main assumptions are as follows. First, we assumed that the investment, was applied to the government's perspective. The discount
energy producers fully covered the installation and operating expenses rate of 7.0% based on the WACC (Weighted Average Capital Cost),
of the power facilities. Energy producers installed new facilities by which has used to analyze the generation cost of power producers in
paying all installation costs at the beginning of each year, along with

Table 2
Data to calculate benefits.

Data Reference Note

Installed capacity – Assumed to be 1 MW


Initial investment and operating BNEF (2016), Korea Energy Economics Institute (2015) Assumed that the operating expenses increase according to the
expenses inflation rate
Capacity factor BNEF (2016), Korea Energy Economics Institute (2015) Assumed that it is consistent by year
FIT standard price Korea Energy Agency (2013a) Applied the average price when there are both fixed and variable
prices
Applied SMP instead of FIT standard price when the standard price
is smaller than SMP
REC weight Korea Energy Agency (2013b) Applied by obtaining the average of weights according to the
installation type
REC price Korea Power Exchange (Accessed 31 March 2017) Assumed that it increases according to the inflation rate starting
from 2017
SMP Korea Power Exchange (Accessed 31 March 2017) Assumed that it increases according to the inflation rate starting
from 2017
Exchange rate – 1100 KRW/USD applied across-the-board
Consumer price index Bank of Korea (Accessed 31 March 2017) Used the annual average consumer price index data
Annual average inflation rate 2.74%
LNG combined cycle generation Korea Power Exchange (Accessed 31 March 2017) Assumed that it is consistent with the efficiency of (50.21%) in
efficiency 2015 starting from 2016
Auxiliary power ratio Korea Power Exchange (Accessed 31 March 2017) Assumed that it is consistent with the auxiliary power ratio of
(2.29%) in 2015 starting from 2016
Emission factor Korea Energy Agency (Accessed 22 September 2016) 0.45tCO2/MWh
Price for CO2 emission right Korea Power Exchange (Accessed 31 March 2017) 10,506 won/tCO2
Co-benefit Nemet et al. (2010) Average of developed countries $44/tCO2 (2008 dollar)
Fuel unit cost Korea Power Exchange (Accessed 31 March 2017) Used annual LNG fuel unit cost data
Assumed that it increases according to the increase rate of fuel unit
costs starting from 2015
Fuel unit cost increase rate IEA (2015) 1.88%
Discount rate Korea Development Institute (2013), Korea Electrotechnology Government's perspective: 5.5%
Research Institute (2006, 2010) Producers’ perspective: 7.0%
Analysis period IPCC (2011) Economic lifespan applied

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Table 3
Economic efficiency analysis in the government's perspective – B/C ratio.

Photovoltaic Wind Hydro Tidal Fuel Cells Biogas Biomass LFG Waste

FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS

2002 0.475 – 1.425 – 1.642 – – – – – – – – – 1.640 – 1.654 –


2003 0.475 – 1.448 – 1.649 – – – – – – – – – 1.642 – 1.634 –
2004 0.228 – 1.438 – 1.653 – – – – – – – – – 1.641 – 1.615 –
2005 0.272 – 1.466 – 1.657 – 1.667 – – – – – – – 1.640 – 1.603 –
2006 0.278 – 1.489 – 1.656 – 1.656 – – – – – – – 1.659 – 1.619 –
2007 0.350 – 1.572 – 1.607 – 1.652 – 0.863 – 1.569 – 1.599 – 1.569 – 1.569 –
2008 0.356 – 1.592 – 1.606 – 1.649 – 0.876 – 1.570 – 1.599 – 1.570 – 1.570 –
2009 0.346 – 1.607 – 1.615 – 1.715 – 0.892 – 1.632 – 1.654 – 1.632 – 1.632 –
2010 0.370 – 1.608 – 1.613 – 1.657 – 0.921 – 1.586 – 1.617 – 1.586 – 1.586 –
2011 0.431 – 1.607 – 1.623 – 1.666 – 0.923 – 1.551 – 1.576 – 1.603 – 1.603 –
2012 – 0.611 – 0.722 – 0.681 – – – 0.459 0.722 0.562 – 1.012 – 0.879
2013 – 0.613 – 0.703 – 0.667 – – – 0.440 0.703 0.541 – 1.001 – 0.864
2014 – 0.607 – 0.695 – 0.661 – 0.661 – 0.432 0.695 0.533 – 1.000 – 0.859
2015 – 0.582 – 0.680 – 0.649 – 0.649 – 0.419 0.680 0.518 – 0.989 – 0.845
2016 – 0.557 – 0.664 – 0.638 – 0.638 – 0.406 0.664 0.504 – 0.972 – 0.828

Korea Electrotechnology Research Institute (2006, 2009), was applied mandatory amount to protect the photovoltaic energy market. How-
to the power producer's perspective. ever, an oversupply of REC, compared to the mandatory amount of
photovoltaic energy, occurred, resulting in the decrease of REC price.
Accordingly, photovoltaic energy producers suffered deteriorated eco-
4.2. Results of empirical analysis nomic efficiency under the RPS system, rather than the FIT system
through which they received compensation with a fixed price.
4.2.1. Government's perspective On the contrary, REC demand, which is the mandatory supply of
The B/C ratio in the results of economic efficiency analysis on FIT non-photovoltaic energy, was greater than REC supply, which resulted
and RPS in the government's perspective is shown in Table 3. In the in constant increase of REC price. With the constant increase of this
government's perspective, the B/C ratio exceeded 1 in all sources except price, non-photovoltaic power producers could enjoy higher economic
photovoltaic and fuel cells for FIT, thereby, proving that it has eco- efficiency under the RPS system, whereas the government suffered in-
nomic efficiency. The sources with economic efficiency all had B/C creased burden of fiscal outlays. With such limitations in the dual op-
ratios at the level of 1.6, which shows that there is no difference in the eration of the REC market, South Korea integrated both REC markets in
preference over the sources in the government's perspective. March 2016, which enabled energy producers to supply and purchase
Changes in economic efficiency of each source in FIT tend to be REC regardless of whether they are photovoltaic or non-photovoltaic
consistent with the changes in the system and standard price. At the power producers. However, there was a lack of supply compared to the
initial stage of implementing the FIT system, a compensation amount mandatory amount in the integrated market as well. Thus, both non-
was offered to all sources for five years, and the term was increased to photovoltaic and photovoltaic energy have high economic efficiency.
15 years since 2004 for photovoltaic power and wind power. Some non-photovoltaic energy producers, such as biogas, biomass, and
Accordingly, the economic efficiency of photovoltaic power slightly LFG, have excessively high economic efficiency. Therefore, South Korea
decreased in the government's perspective. In this perspective, wind suffered deterioration in economic efficiency, for the government, by
power did not have a significant effect on economic efficiency, as SMP switching to the RPS system. The implementation of this system con-
in 2008–2014 was higher than the FIT standard price of wind power stantly aggravated economic efficiency.
generation, thereby, obtaining the same SMP benefits from energy Table 4 shows NPV in the results of economic efficiency analysis in
producers regardless of the supporting period. the government's perspective. Since this study assumed that 1 MW fa-
Moreover, economic efficiency of photovoltaic power and wind cilities were installed for all renewable energy generation, this result
power increased slightly in 2007. This is because the support fund can be interpreted as the NPV of the government for a 1 MW power
provided for photovoltaic and wind power producers was reduced by plant. The net cost or net benefit may increase if the scope is expanded
applying the decrease rate to the FIT standard price during the sup- to all power plants. A net cost of 7.3 billion KRW was incurred for each
porting period. For other sources, the supporting period was extended 1 MW power plant for photovoltaic energy in 2004, and a net cost of
to 15 years in 2007, which increased the government's expenditures, approximately 2 billion KRW continued to be incurred in each power
thus, resulting in a slight decrease of economic efficiency. plant even after switching to the RPS system. There are cases in which
In the government's perspective, economic efficiency seemed to NPV deteriorated remarkably in the RPS system for non-photovoltaic
deteriorate in all sources except for photovoltaic power, as the system energy sources—a typical example being fuel cells, in which the gov-
was changed from FIT to RPS. Intuitively thinking, FIT is operated by ernment covers a net cost of 23 billion KRW per 1 MW facility.
the voluntary participation of energy producers, whereas RPS is oper-
ated by the government that makes it mandatory for energy producers
4.2.2. Power producers’ perspective
to generate renewable energy.7 Thus, economic efficiency is expected to
Table 5 shows the B/C ratio as a result of analyzing the economic
increase in RPS in the government's perspective. However, for non-
efficiency of FIT and RPS in the power producers’ perspective. In their
photovoltaic energy source, the results were contrary to expectations.
perspective, FIT had a section that fulfilled economic efficiency when
Thus, it is necessary to examine the history of the South Korean RPS
using photovoltaic, hydro power, biogas, biomass, and LFG generation
system for interpretation. Since 2012, the REC market in South Korea
facilities. The B/C ratio of hydro power and LFG was 1.7 and 1.9, re-
had a separate photovoltaic energy REC market. It provided a separate
spectively (in 2011) among the sources that fulfill the economic effi-
ciency. Energy producers operating these facilities could obtain rela-
7
In South Korea, power producers with at least 500 MW power generation facilities are tively higher economic benefits than others.
given the RPS obligation. With FIT, the producers of wind power, tidal power, fuel cell, and

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Table 4
Economic efficiency analysis in the government's perspective – NPV (million KRW).

Photovoltaic Wind Hydro Tidal Fuel Cells Biogas Biomass LFG Waste

FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS

2002 −2,678 – 1,033 – 3,647 – – – – – – – – – 5,698 – 5,131 –


2003 −2,689 – 1,100 – 3,763 – – – – – – – – – 5,864 – 5,169 –
2004 −7,263 – 1,111 – 3,869 – – – – – – – – – 6,006 – 5,202 –
2005 −7,011 – 1,190 – 3,982 – 3,516 – – – – – – – 6,162 – 5,279 –
2006 −6,955 – 1,259 – 4,070 – 3,561 – – – – – – – 6,532 – 5,585 –
2007 −5,064 – 1,422 – 3,958 – 3,617 – −2,623 – 5,305 – 5,275 – 5,968 – 5,305 –
2008 −5,024 – 1,477 – 4,024 – 3,675 – −2,379 – 5,402 – 5,369 – 6,077 – 5,402 –
2009 −5,239 – 1,494 – 4,086 – 3,729 – −2,022 – 5,438 – 5,403 – 6,118 – 5,438 –
2010 −4,722 – 1,505 – 4,116 – 3,756 – −1,436 – 5,515 – 5,477 – 6,204 – 5,515 –
2011 −3,701 – 1,435 – 4,198 – 3,827 – −1,399 – 5,326 – 5,276 – 6,347 – 5,641 –
2012 – −1,801 – −1,539 – −5,161 – – – −19,852 −5,767 −11,268 – 194 – −2,055
2013 – −1,775 – −1,679 – −5,504 – – – −21,268 −6,291 −12,125 – 18 – −2,349
2014 – −1,793 – −1,714 – −5,655 – −4,948 – −21,680 −6,423 −12,365 – 1 – −2,408
2015 – −1,937 – −1,819 – −5,938 – −5,196 – −22,642 −6,815 −12,965 – −179 – −2,655
2016 – −2,119 – −1,968 – −6,306 – −5,518 – −23,949 −7,373 −13,793 – −467 – −3,024

Table 5
Economic efficiency analysis in the power producers’ perspective—B/C ratio.

Photovoltaic Wind Hydro Tidal Fuel Cells Biogas Biomass LFG Waste

FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS

2002 0.979 – 0.909 – 1.474 – – – – – – – – – 1.611 – 0.604 –


2003 0.983 – 0.920 – 1.506 – – – – – – – – – 1.656 – 0.631 –
2004 1.785 – 0.949 – 1.542 – – – – – – – – – 1.705 – 0.657 –
2005 1.785 – 0.957 – 1.580 – 0.335 – – – – – – – 1.759 – 0.683 –
2006 1.786 – 0.965 – 1.621 – 0.346 – – – – – – – 1.817 – 0.707 –
2007 1.456 – 0.934 – 1.710 – 0.355 – 0.955 – 1.180 – 1.271 – 1.932 – 0.732 –
2008 1.458 – 0.939 – 1.746 – 0.362 – 0.957 – 1.202 – 1.296 – 1.969 – 0.746 –
2009 1.483 – 0.926 – 1.742 – 0.361 – 0.935 – 1.189 – 1.281 – 1.947 – 0.737 –
2010 1.362 – 0.952 – 1.757 – 0.365 – 0.900 – 1.212 – 1.303 – 1.967 – 0.746 –
2011 1.181 – 0.933 – 1.761 – 0.365 – 0.913 – 1.226 – 1.325 – 1.941 – 0.735 –
2012 – 0.838 – 2.054 – 4.115 – – – 1.784 2.590 3.649 – 3.041 – 1.322
2013 – 0.827 – 2.091 – 4.201 – – – 1.848 2.637 3.754 – 3.039 – 1.333
2014 – 0.820 – 2.077 – 4.216 – 0.901 – 1.852 2.620 3.750 – 2.989 – 1.317
2015 – 0.830 – 2.095 – 4.276 – 0.914 – 1.887 2.642 3.806 – 2.977 – 1.319
2016 – 0.859 – 2.159 – 4.402 – 0.941 – 1.957 2.722 3.938 – 3.044 – 1.354

waste power could not benefit from sufficient economic efficiency. symmetrically with the government's perspective. As the compensation
Since FIT is operated by voluntary participation of energy producers, support period increased in 2004, the economic efficiency of photo-
failing to fulfill economic efficiency indicates that sufficient benefits voltaic power producers increased remarkably, whereas it decreased in
were not provided for them. This study assumed that the energy pro- 2007, when the decrease rate of FIT standard price was applied. For
ducers fully covered the costs of installing and operating the renewable other sources, the FIT rate support period was extended to 15 years in
energy facilities, while, in fact, those who received partial funding 2007, which resulted in a slight increase of economic efficiency for
support from the government can also participate in FIT.8 If wind power power producers.
and fuel cell producers received 30% support fund for installation, the Contrary to the government's case, all economic efficiency tended to
B/C ratio of wind power producers is 1.222 in 2011, which has eco- increase for power producers except for photovoltaic when switching
nomic incentives. The B/C ratio of fuel cell producers is 0.995, which from FIT to RPS. Intuitively thinking, this result is also contrary to the
guarantees a marginal level of economic efficiency. expectation that economic efficiency will deteriorate in RPS, whereby
However, even if tidal power and waste power producers received certain obligations are imposed on energy producers. As mentioned
30% of installation costs, they could not fulfill economic efficiency above, the REC price of non-photovoltaic energy was set relatively high
under FIT. Tidal power generation has a lower FIT standard price during the switch to RPS, which enabled energy producers to generate
compared to the initial installation cost, thereby, failing to fulfill eco- power with economic efficiency under RPS. In particular, wind power
nomic efficiency. For energy producers, lack of economic efficiency in and biogas producers showed a B/C ratio of 2 or higher in RPS, with an
waste power generation is also well displayed in their performance in excessively high economic efficiency in biomass and LFG that exceeded
the actual system. Under FIT, one waste power producer newly entered 3, while water power exceeded 4. Especially, with the increase in REC
in 2009 and withdrew in 2014, and currently there is no power plant price, economic efficiency is steadily growing, gaining excess benefit in
operated under FIT. On the contrary, under RPS, where there are eco- the REC market.
nomic incentives, 33 waste power plants operated as of the end of 2015. Table 6 shows NPV in the results of economic efficiency analysis in
Economic efficiency of energy producers under FIT changes the energy producers’ perspective. Since this study assumed that 1 MW
facilities were installed for all renewable energy generation, this result
can be interpreted as the NPV of the energy producers for a 1 MW
8 power plant. Renewable energy producers evidently gained high net
Only the facilities that have the government support fund of less than 30% of all
installation costs can participate in FIT. benefits under the RPS system, except for photovoltaic and tidal power.

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Table 6
Economic efficiency analysis in the power producers’ perspective—NPV (million KRW).

Photovoltaic Wind Hydro Tidal Fuel Cells Biogas Biomass LFG Waste

FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS FIT RPS

2002 −102 – −215 – 1,493 – – – – – – – – – 2,967 – −4,506 –


2003 −84 – −190 – 1,596 – – – – – – – – – 3,184 – −4,206 –
2004 3,827 – −122 – 1,707 – – – – – – – – – 3,422 – −3,904 –
2005 3,831 – −103 – 1,828 – −8,577 – – – – – – – 3,682 – −3,612 –
2006 3,836 – −83 – 1,957 – −8,432 – – – – – – – 3,965 – −3,340 –
2007 2,227 – −157 – 2,237 – −8,327 – −808 – 1,269 – 1,677 – 4,521 – −3,056 –
2008 2,232 – −144 – 2,351 – −8,227 – −777 – 1,430 – 1,832 – 4,702 – −2,896 –
2009 2,356 – −175 – 2,338 – −8,238 – −1,173 – 1,335 – 1,741 – 4,595 – −2,990 –
2010 1,767 – −116 – 2,387 – −8,196 – −1,866 – 1,518 – 1,903 – 4,791 – −2,957 –
2011 884 – −159 – 2,397 – −8,187 – −1,579 – 1,594 – 2,008 – 4,566 – −3,016 –
2012 – −791 – 2,504 – 9,818 – – – 14,160 11,227 16,394 – 9,904 – 3,668
2013 – −843 – 2,593 – 10,090 – – – 15,305 11,560 17,044 – 9,893 – 3,787
2014 – −880 – 2,560 – 10,136 – −1,276 – 15,379 11,437 17,017 – 9,650 – 3,606
2015 – −827 – 2,602 – 10,325 – −1,111 – 16,021 11,594 17,367 – 9,593 – 3,633
2016 – −686 – 2,754 – 10,722 – −763 – 17,283 12,161 18,179 – 9,919 – 4,027

5. Conclusion and policy implications show excessively high economic efficiency in the energy producers’
perspective must be lowered, whereas the weights of photovoltaic en-
This study compared the economic efficiency of FIT and RPS sys- ergy and tidal power that show low economic efficiency must be in-
tems that increase the supply of renewable energy for power generation creased. In addition, the optimum use of the policy instruments of the
in South Korea. It uses the cost-benefit analysis to this effect. In parti- FIT and RPS scheme, FIT standard price, and mandatory generation
cular, it analyzed the economic efficiency of FIT and RPS for both the amount, respectively, is essential. In the case of FIT, the level of the FIT
government and energy producers’ perspectives. It compared them in standard price (or compensation) determines the economic incentives
multiple aspects in an analysis that focused on the year and renewable of the power producers and the level of the government's financial
energy source. burden. Therefore, the FIT standard price should be determined at a
The results showed that there was a difference between the two level that not only allows generation companies to recover generation
perspectives and between photovoltaic and non-photovoltaic energy. In costs, but also obtains cost-effective social benefits from the govern-
the government's perspective, photovoltaic energy showed an increase ment's perspective.
in economic efficiency when operating under RPS, rather than FIT. This In the case of RPS, the mandatory amount of power generation is
is because the unit price fell due to increased competition that followed important for determining REC demand and price. As shown in the non-
an increase in the supply of photovoltaic energy. However, economic photovoltaic energy case of this study, if the mandatory amount is far
efficiency deteriorated for non-photovoltaic energy under RPS. This is greater than the actual power generation—that is, the REC supply—the
because the REC price skyrocketed due to insufficient supply compared REC price will rise and the power producers will have extremely high
to mandatory amount of non-photovoltaic power generation. Contrary economic efficiency. On the other hand, if the mandatory amount is too
to the government's perspective, photovoltaic energy producers suf- small compared to the actual power generation, REC will be over-
fered deterioration of economic efficiency under RPS, whereas non- supplied and the power producers will not be able to meet the economic
photovoltaic energy producers benefited from the economic efficiency feasibility of renewable energy generation. This REC oversupply pro-
progress under RPS, as government costs benefited the energy produ- blem is evident in the case of photovoltaic energy in Korea. Therefore,
cers. rather than imposing a generation amount of obligation to expand the
The purpose of the support policy for renewable energy is to bring renewable energy, it is necessary to impose an appropriate amount of
down prices by increasing supply and reaching grid parity. In this as- mandatory generation by considering the supply condition of renew-
pect, the renewable energy policy in South Korea is not currently effi- able energy and the prediction of the fulfillment of the obligations of
cient as the mandatory amount of renewable energy generation is the power producers. Countries that want to implement FIT or RPS need
greater than market supply, thereby increasing prices. Therefore, the to pay attention to these implications.
South Korean government must choose a more reasonable method of However, this study has a few limitations despite key findings and
the two. First, it is necessary to improve the systems to increase the policy implications. First, it failed to consider the economies and dis-
supply of renewable energy. Currently, the key factor that hinders re- economies of scale of renewable energy plants. While this study equally
newable energy supply is the lack of acceptance by local residents. As controlled the capacity of the facilities for comparison among renew-
Kwon (2015) pointed out, non-photovoltaic facilities in Korea have able energy sources, there actually may be economies or diseconomies
been experiencing expansion difficulties due to resistance from local of scale depending on the capacity of the facilities, for each source.
residents. Thus, it is necessary to improve acceptance by establishing a Furthermore, this study failed to analyze the economic efficiency of
benefit-sharing system with renewable energy facilities. Second, the actual energy producers. Even though each renewable energy project
government can consider lowering the mandatory amount of RPS with has different operating expenses, such as initial investment costs, in-
respect to the conditions of renewable energy supply. This may lead to terest costs, taxes, insurance premiums, and rents, this study failed to
lowering of prices by promoting competition among renewable energy reflect such differences, but considered only standard costs. Finally, this
sources. These suggestions that address such fundamental problems are study failed to take into account the administrative costs incurred by
expected to help the Korean government improve the RPS system in the the government in implementing the FIT and RPS schemes. In the case
current situation, where the limitations of RPS, which is the imbalance of FIT, administration costs—such as facility check, FIT standard price
between supply and demand in the REC market, are pointed out. adjustment, and monitoring of power generation amount—arise. In the
The analysis results of this study may have policy implications for case of RPS, administration costs—such as REC issuance, computation
REC market operation and appropriate REC issuance weight selection. of the amount of mandatory power generation, performance evaluation,
In other words, the weights of water power, biomass, and LFG that and operation of REC market—occur. If the government's

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G. Choi et al. Energy Policy 113 (2018) 239–248

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