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Abstract: The paper compares two liquefaction case histories in California: (1) the response of the Wildlife site in the Imperial Valley to the
2010 El-Mayor Cucapah earthquake (M w ¼ 7.2, amax ¼ 0.15 g); and (2) the response of the Treasure Island Fire Station (F.S.) site in the San
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Francisco Bay area to the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake (M w ¼ 6.9, amax ¼ 0.16 g). Both histories involve silty sand critical layers with
nonplastic fines contents, FC ¼ 24–27%, similar normalized shear wave velocities, V s1 ¼ 145–155 m=s, low cone penetration test (CPT)
cone penetration resistances, and groundwater tables at essentially the same depth. The corresponding data points plot almost on top of each
other on the shear wave velocity field liquefaction charts, which predict liquefaction at both sites. While Treasure Island F.S. did liquefy
during the shaking, Wildlife did not and was far from liquefaction as indicated by piezometers at the site. This paper constitutes an attempt
to understand the reason for these very different pore pressure responses through a detailed analysis of similarities and differences between
the two histories. It is concluded that preshaking by previous earthquakes is the most probable explanation of the higher liquefaction re-
sistance exhibited by the Wildlife site and other sites in the Imperial Valley. While the Wildlife critical layer was subjected to about 60–70
earthquakes capable of generating significant excess pore pressures between its estimated 1907 deposition and the 2010 earthquake,
the Treasure Island F.S. layer was subjected to only about two earthquakes capable of doing so between deposition in the 1930’s and
the 1989 earthquake. This difference is due to the very high seismic activity in the last 100-plus years in the Imperial Valley compared
with a seismically quiet San Francisco Bay Area after the 1906 earthquake. The significance of the prior seismic history is corroborated
by recent results from centrifuge and large-scale experiments. These results as well as the methodology developed in the paper may be
helpful when analyzing the observed high liquefaction resistance of sandy sites located in other seismic regions. DOI: 10.1061/
(ASCE)GT.1943-5606.0001654. © 2017 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Fig. 2. Constant cyclic shear strain liquefaction charts proposed by Dobry et al. (2015a) for (a) recent uncompacted clean and silty sand fills;
(b) natural silty sands in Imperial Valley of California (modified from Dobry et al. 2015a)
Fig. 4. Locations of: (a) Wildlife site and (b) Treasure Island site, along with active faults and epicenters of major earthquakes in their vicinity
(modified from Power et al. 1998; Rockwell and Klinger 2013)
respectively. As shown by Figs. 3(a and c), surface accelerometers indicating an amplification by the soil of more than two times.
recorded the horizontal acceleration time histories in both cases. This amplification in the peak acceleration is consistent with
In addition, piezometers installed since 2005 at the Wildlife site similar amplifications observed in soft sites throughout the San
(Youd et al. 2007; Steidl and Seale 2010) recorded the buildup Francisco Bay Area (Idriss 1990).
and dissipation of excess pore pressures at several depths during Fig. 3(c) indicates that there was a sudden change in the
the 2010 event [Fig. 3(b)]. characteristics of the recorded accelerogram about 5 s after the be-
ginning of shaking, with much smaller accelerations and longer
periods afterward. This is typical of earthquake records at sites that
Response of the Wildlife Site to the 2010 Earthquake
have liquefied, starting with Niigata, Japan, in the 1964 earthquake
On April 4, 2010, the Wildlife site was subjected to the M w ¼ 7.2 (NRC 1985). Therefore, the Treasure Island F.S. record of Fig. 3(c)
El Mayor Cucapah earthquake. The recorded surface ground hori- has been interpreted as providing strong evidence of onset of
zontal acceleration time histories are shown in [Fig. 3(a)]. The peak liquefaction of the site (Idriss 1990; de Alba et al. 1994; Power
accelerations were 0.15 g (NS) and 0.12 g (EW). There were no et al. 1998). As stated by de Alba et al. (1994): “ : : : the surface-
surface manifestations of liquefaction at the site. This nonliquefac- acceleration record obtained at this site, in contrast to those at other
tion behavior was confirmed by the piezometers installed in the soft-soil sites, shows a sudden drop about 15 s into the record and
critical silty sand layer, which recorded a maximum pore pressure practically no response after 16 s (Idriss 1990). This behavior is
ratio, ðru Þmax ¼ 19% [Fig. 3(b)]. almost certainly due to liquefaction of the underlying sand.” This
accelerogram in Fig. 3(c) is the only evidence of liquefaction at the
site as there were no sand boils or other surface manifestations,
Response of the Treasure Island F.S. Site to the 1989
most probably due to the presence of a very thick nonliquefiable
Earthquake
layer (4.5 m) on top of a liquefiable hydraulic fill sand layer of
On October 17, 1989, the Treasure Island F.S site was subjected to significant smaller thickness (2.5 m), see Ishihara (1985) and
the M w ¼ 6.9 Loma Prieta earthquake. The recorded horizontal Liu and Mitchell (2006). On the basis of the strong evidence pro-
surface acceleration histories are shown in Fig. 3(c). The peak ac- vided by Fig. 3(c), a consensus has developed that the site did in-
celerations were 0.16 g (NS) and 0.10 g (EW). The maximum of deed liquefy in 1989, and this case has been incorporated since as a
0.16 g may be compared to the maximum acceleration of 0.067 g liquefaction data point in the calibrated SPT, CPT, and V s charts
recorded at the nearby Yerba Buena Island rock outcrop [Fig. 3(d)], (Andrus et al. 2003; Cetin et al. 2004; Boulanger and Idriss 2014).
Fig. 5. (a) Stratigraphy and CPT results of Wildlife and Treasure Island F.S. sites (data from Bennett et al. 1984; de Alba et al. 1994; Andrus et al.
2003); (b) average grain size distributions of soil in critical layers at both sites (data from Vucetic 1986; Power et al. 1998)
Wildlife Site 2010 Case History The April 4, 2010, El Mayor-Cucapah earthquake is also vari-
ously known as 2010 Baja California earthquake, 2010 Easter
This section discusses in detail the Wildlife case history in terms of: earthquake, and 2010 Sierra El Mayor earthquake. It had an
characteristics of the 2010 El-Mayor Cucapah earthquake and its M w ¼ 7.2, and the epicenter was located at 32.286°N, 115.295°W,
location relative to the site; site conditions, stratigraphy and dep- approximately 47 km SSE of Mexicali, Baja California, Mexico,
osition history; threshold acceleration of the critical liquefiable and 180 km SE of San Diego, California (Liao and Meneses
sand layer at the site; measured surface ground accelerations 2013). The hypocentral depth was 10 km. The earthquake occurred
and excess pore pressures in the critical layer during the 2005–
along the principal plate boundary between the North American
2014 instrumented period; estimated seismic preshaking history
and Pacific plates (Gonzalez-Ortega et al. 2014). The earthquake
of the site since deposition of the critical liquefiable layer; and,
was felt in a large area encompassing northern Baja California
finally, liquefaction history of the site.
in Mexico and Southern California, Arizona, and Nevada in the
United States, with the largest damage occurring in Mexico but
2010 Earthquake Location and Characteristics with damage also occurring up to the Salton Sea to the north,
The Wildlife site is located in the Imperial Valley of Southern see Fig. 4(a) (Liao and Meneses 2013). This was the largest earth-
California, 160 km east of San Diego and close to the Mexican quake in Baja California after the 1892 Laguna Salada earthquake,
border, as seen in Fig. 4(a), which also shows the major faults and with the 2010 earthquake being well recorded in Southern
earthquake epicenters in the area. California (Liao and Meneses 2013).
2
Threshold Acceleration of Critical Layer at Site
As shown by Dobry et al. (1981) and Dobry and Abdoun (2015a),
3 the accumulation of excess pore pressure in a sand layer in the field
starts only when the soil ground surface amax exceeds the threshold
Depth [m]
5
measured by a number of researchers in the lab and in the field
over a 40-year period (Dobry et al. 1982; Dobry and Abdoun
2015a). Specifically, γ tv is largely independent of the number of
6
cycles, sand type including nonplastic fines content, relative den-
sity, and sand fabric (deposition method). Also, γ tv is about con-
7
stant and independent of effective confining pressure for the range
of pressures of interest in most liquefaction evaluations (between
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 about 0.2 and 2 atm). Cox (2006) measured the threshold strain of
Shear wave velocity, V [m/s] the liquefiable critical layer at the Wildlife site using a truck-
s
mounted shaker and sensors embedded in the soil. The results
Fig. 6. Crosshole shear wave velocity measurement of critical layers are plotted in Fig. 7, and they confirm that γ tv ¼ 0.01–0.02%
at Wildlife and Treasure Island F.S. sites (data from Bierschwale and for the critical layer at the site. Similarly, Steidl et al. (2014) mea-
Stokoe 1984; Fuhriman 1993; Cox 2006) sured the onset of excess pore pressure generation in the liquefiable
layer at the Wildlife site through analysis of earthquake data from
the permanent accelerometers and pressure transducers at the site,
Site Conditions and Deposition History and found this to be at γ c ¼ γ tv ≈ 10−2 % (Steidl et al. 2014).
Since the threshold acceleration, at , is controlled by the value of
The Wildlife site is composed of a floodplain sediment that lies on
the threshold shear strain, γ tv , which is independent of the number
top of denser sedimentary deposits. Holzer and Youd (2007) sug-
of cycles, at is also independent of shaking duration and hence of
gest that this floodplain sediment may have been deposited by
the magnitude of the earthquake. This is unlike the value of amax
floodwater from the Colorado River that flowed down the Alamo
needed to trigger liquefaction, which depends on earthquake mag-
River in 1905–1907. Specifically, the sediment was deposited by
nitude (Ishihara 1981; Dobry et al. 1981; Dobry and Abdoun
currents from the flooding river and the bedload that was left be-
2015a; Abdoun et al. 2013). Dobry et al. (1981) developed from
hind once the currents waned (T. L. Holzer, personal communica-
the following approximate expression to calculate at for a given
tion, 2016). The floodplain sediment consists of 2.5–3 m of a
critical sand layer
nonliquefiable silty clay to clay silt layer, followed by the 3.5 to
4 m loose silty sand critical liquefiable layer. The 6–7 m of sedi- at γ tv ðG=Gmax Þtv 2
ment lies on top of a thick layer of silty clay to clay [Fig. 5(a)]. ¼ Vs ð3Þ
g gzrd
The groundwater level is shallow, fluctuating at a depth of about
1–1.5 m. Fig. 5(a) also shows the CPT tip resistance (qc ) and fric- where ðG=Gmax Þtv = modulus reduction factor corresponding
tion ratio (Rf ) reported by Bennett et al. (1984), with qc ≈ to a cyclic shear strain, γ c , equal to the threshold strain, γ c ¼ γ tv ;
2–10 MPa in the critical liquefiable silty sand layer. The character- z = depth of the midpoint of the critical layer. Modulus reduction
istics of the soil at the site have been amply investigated and doc- curves, ðG=Gmax Þc versus γ c have been proposed for sands by Seed
umented (Bennett et al. 1984; Youd and Wieczoreck 1984; Vucetic and Idriss (1970) and Darendeli (2001), among others.
1986; Dobry et al. 1992). Based on radiocarbon information, the Use of Eq. (3) in conjunction with the range, γ tv ¼ 0.01–0.02%,
floodplain sediment liquefiable layer is less than 230 years old. yields a range of threshold accelerations, at ¼ 0.029–0.05 g for the
The grain size distribution of the silty sand in the critical liquefiable critical liquefiable silty sand layer at the Wildlife site. This range
layer is shown in Fig. 5(b). has been included in Table 1. Steidl et al. (2014) examined at
The shear wave velocity of the liquefiable layer of the Wildlife through analysis of earthquake data from the permanent accelerom-
site was measured using the crosshole method by Bierschwale and eters and pressure transducers at the site and found essentially the
Stokoe (1984) and more recently in 2005 by Cox (2006), as shown same threshold acceleration range of 0.02–0.05 g.
in Fig. 6. The figure indicates that the shear wave velocity profile,
reflecting the small-strain shear stiffness of the deposit, remained
Measurement of Surface Accelerations and Pore
practically unchanged between 1984 and 2005. This small change
Pressures in 2005–2014
in shear wave velocity over a period covering two decades is gen-
erally consistent with other field and laboratory evidence, as exam- The Wildlife site was instrumented with accelerometers and
ined later in the “Discussion” section. pore pressure transducers twice in the last 30 years or so. The first
ASCE 7–10 Standard Ch. 20 classifies most sites for seismic time was in 1982 by the USGS and second times was in 2004 and
design into five site classes, A through E, where A is the stiffest 2005 by the Network for Earthquake Engineering Simulation
site (hard rock) and E is the least stiff (soft soil). The classification (NEES) and the University of California at Santa Barbara (UCSB)
is performed using mainly the average shear wave velocity of (Youd et al. 2007; Steidl and Seale 2010). In 2004 a newsite
M w ¼ 7.0, has been used in a number of liquefaction databases and correlations published by several authors over the years, including Dobry et al. (2015a); the
USGS value of Mw ¼ 6.9 is used in this paper.
of the critical layer at Wildlife, it seems reasonable to take amax ¼ calculated in the previous section. Inspection of the piezometric re-
0.09–0.10 g as the lower bound of earthquakes generating signifi- sponse at the site in 2005–2014 reveals that, indeed, for a number of
cant pore pressures that affect the critical layer’s resistance to lique- earthquakes having 0.05 g ≤ amax < 0.09 g, small excess pore pres-
faction to future earthquakes. In this line of reasoning, the authors sures were measured, with ðru Þmax < 0.02 in all cases (Steidl et al.
have defined significant pore pressure to be ðru Þmax ≥ 0.02. 2014). Therefore, while amax ¼ at ¼ 0.029–0.05 g is the accelera-
This lower bound, amax ≈ 0.10 g, is two to three times greater tion value needed to initiate pore pressure buildup, the larger value,
than the calculated threshold acceleration, amax ¼ 0.029–0.05 g, amax ≈ 0.10 g, is required to generate at least ðru Þmax ≈ 0.02, as-
sumed by the authors to be the minimum level needed to have an
effect on the liquefaction resistance of the critical layer.
Therefore, it will be assumed in the next section that any time
an earthquake took place with amax ≥ 0.10 g at the site, the resis-
tance to liquefaction of the critical layer to future earthquake events
was modified. In most of these earthquakes that did induce pore
pressures without liquefying the site [most of the data points in
Fig. 8(a)], this resistance modification consisted of strengthening
the soil (preshaking), but in those events that liquefied the layer (the
two data points in Fig. 8(a) with ðru Þmax ¼ 1.0), the modification
may have consisted of decreasing the liquefaction resistance of the
soil (Heidari and Andrus 2012). The reason for this according to
Yasuda and Tohno (1988), is that liquefaction of a site by a strong
earthquake generates a strong upward flow of excess water from the
lower part of the deposit that disturbs and weakens the upper part,
allowing this upper part to be liquefied again by a subsequent
earthquake.
b
While the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake had an M w ¼ 6.9, it was decided to count it in the Mw ¼ 7.0–7.5 range; this earthquake had a surface wave
magnitude of 7.1, and while it occurred at a distance of 98 km from the Treasure Island F.S. site, it had a recorded amax ¼ 0.16 g, significantly higher
than the cutoff, amax ¼ 0.10 g. It must be added that the authors went back to the seismic catalog to find out what other earthquakes occurred after
1907 with M w > 6.0 and a distance less 120 km; they found two more events; an M w ¼ 6.4 at 84 km from the site and an M w ¼ 6.2 at 83 km from
the site (Morgan Hills earthquake listed in Table 4 with recorded amax ¼ 0.03 g).
evaluation of the Wildlife case history presented here and is elabo- affected the Wildlife site in 1907–2010, that is, since deposition
rated further in the rest of the paper, including a summary in the of the layer. The numbers of earthquakes broken down by magni-
“Discussion” section. The “Discussion” section also examines again tude are also plotted in Fig. 8(b). As shown by Table 3 and Fig. 8(b),
the insensitivity of the shear wave velocity to the preshaking process, most of them were low magnitude events at the local faults nearby,
already mentioned, as well as alternative field measurements that including especially the Brawley fault zone [Fig. 4(a)], which
may correlate better with the increased liquefaction resistance. periodically generates swarms (sequences of earthquakes in a
The seismic preshaking history of the Wildlife site before the short time period). Swarms were reported in this fault zone in
2010 earthquake was estimated by extracting the corresponding 1975, 1976, 1977, 2005, and 2012 (Johnson and Hadley 1976;
numbers of earthquakes for different relevant combinations of mag- Johnson and Hill 1982; Hauksson et al. 2013); and about half of
nitudes and distances that are estimated to have generated amax ≥ the records in 2005–2014 listed in Table 2 were associated with the
0.10 g at the site, from the available combined historical and in- 2012 swarm.
strumental UCERF3 Catalog during the period 1907–2004 (Felzer It is important to note that the Imperial Valley has a deep basin
and Cao 2008; Hutton et al. 2010; Field et al. 2013). As mentioned geologic structure and is characterized for having many earthquake
before, amax after 2005 was measured rather than predicted, as the records of long duration (one minute or more), due to the later
site was instrumented that year with accelerometers; and these re- arrival of long period surface waves. Surface waves can be expected
corded events were added to the count. The Catalog includes only to reflect off the basin edge boundaries, with a large part of the
information about each earthquake’s magnitude and distance, with energy trapped in the basin (Olsen et al. 1995). This is clear for
no indication of the peak ground acceleration level. However, the 2010 El Mayor-Cucupah earthquake acceleration time histories
guided by the data from the more recent history of earthquake re- in Fig. 3(a), with Fig. 3(b) showing corresponding long period fluc-
cordings in 2005–2014 for which actual values of M w , distance, tuations of the pore water pressures after approximately 26–27 s,
and amax are available at the site, the following events from the caused by the surface wave arrivals after the main (body wave)
Catalog were counted and included in Table 3, as they were as- shaking had ended. Furthermore, the piezometric records in
sumed to have generated amax ≥ 0.10 g at the site: Fig. 3(b) also reveal that by t ¼ 26–27 s, the excess pore pressures
• Earthquake events with M w ¼ 4.0–4.5 within a distance of 15
km from the site. (As shown in Table 3, only 36% of the events
from the Catalog were considered in the count, because the re- Table 4. Peak Accelerations (amax ) of All Earthquakes Recorded at
corded accelerations during the 2005–2014 instrumented period Treasure Island in 1974–2015 by the Old Fire Station Accelerometer
showed that only four out of 11 (36%) of the events with mag- (Station 58117, Active in 1974–2004) and by the New Geotechnical
nitudes in the range 4.0–4.5 within a distance of 15 km gener- Array (Station 58642, Active in 1992–Present)
ated amax ≥ 0.1 g at Wildlife in 2005–2014); Date and time PDT–Pacific Epicentral
• All earthquake events with M w ¼ 4.5–6.0 within a distance daylight time; PST–Pacific Magnitude Depth distance
of 20 km from the site; standard time (M w ) (km) (km) amaxðgÞ
• All earthquake events with M w ¼ 6–7 within a distance of
04-24-1984 14:15:19 (PDT) 6.2 9 83.2 0.03
60 km from the site; and (Morgan Hills earthquake)
• All earthquake events with magnitudes in the range 7–7.5 within 10-17-1989 17:04:00 (PDT) 7.0 18 97.6 0.160
a distance of 120 km from the site. (Loma Prieta earthquake)
While these magnitude-distance combinations for amax ≥ 01-15-1993 06:29:34 (PST) 5.3 5.0 120.3 0.014
0.10 g at Wildlife were obtained from the experience of recordings 08-02-2006 20:08:12 (PDT) 4.4 9.1 62.6 0.014
at the site in 2005–2014, they are also roughly consistent with gen- 12-20-2006 19:12:28 (PST) 3.7 9.0 12.7 0.02
erally accepted attenuation relations for the western United States, 10-30-2007 20:04:54 (PDT) 5.4 9.2 68.5 0.012
as discussed in Appendix S1 (Petersen et al. 2008). 01-07-2011 06:10:16 (PST) 4.1 7.1 86.5 0.005
Table 3 shows that about 61 earthquakes having an estimated 08-24-2014 03:20:44 (PDT) 6.0 11.3 43.6 0.017
(Napa earthquake)
peak ground acceleration at the site, amax ≥ 0.1 g, may have
in the records of Fig. 3, occurred outside the Valley at a distance 37.04°N 121.88°W, near the summit of Loma Prieta Mountain, with
from the site of 93 km [Table 1 and Fig. 4(a)]. Significant surface a hypocentral depth of about 18 km, approximately 16 km north-
waves have also been observed in closer, lower magnitude earth- east of Santa Cruz and about 30 km south of San Jose, on a section
quakes associated with local faults. A notable example is the 1987, of the San Andreas Fault. An important aspect was the bilateral
Mw ¼ 6.5 Superstition Hills earthquake that did liquefy the site,
character of the fault rupture, which developed along both the
which occurred at a distance of 30.5 km [Fig. 4(a)]. The 1987 ac-
northwest and southwest directions of the fault, with a rupture du-
celeration records also had a long duration due to surface wave
ration of about 7–10 s, resulting in shorter durations of ground
arrivals that caused large cyclic shear strains in the softened critical
shaking (typically less than 15 s) than typically expected for an
silty layer, and the surface waves may have contributed to the lique-
earthquake of M w ¼ 6.9 (EERI 1990; Rockwell and Klinger 2013).
faction process (Porcella et al. 1987; Brady et al. 1989; Dobry et al.
The damage was heavy in Santa Cruz County, with the heavy
1992; Holzer and Youd 2007).
damage extending well to the north into the San Francisco Bay
Area, where Treasure Island is located, both on the San Francisco
Liquefaction History of Site Peninsula and across the bay in Oakland (EERI 1990).
For some of the estimated total of 61 earthquakes that produced As discussed later, the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake was the
significant accelerations and pore pressures in the critical layer largest earthquake felt up to that point at the Treasure Island F.S.
at Wildlife in 1907–2010, liquefaction did occur. Youd et al. site since the soil was deposited in the 1930s. This is an artificial
(2007) reported that six earthquakes in the previous 75–80 years island built in the 1930s, about 30 years after the major 1906 San
generated observed liquefaction effects at or within 10 km of Francisco earthquake, which had relieved stress on the San Andreas
Wildlife. Fig. 1 includes data points from five earthquakes of mag- fault in the region and resulted in a relatively quiet seismic period
nitudes ranging from 5.9 to 7.2 that shook the Wildlife site in the throughout the rest of the twentieth century (ATC 2005).
31-year period between 1979 and 2010, with these earthquakes
listed in Table S1 of Appendix S1. Two of these five events are
known to have liquefied the silty sand layer: the 1981 Westmorland Site Conditions and Deposition History
earthquake and the 1987 Superstition Hills earthquake, with the Treasure Island is an artificial island created by hydraulic filling of
liquefaction in the 1987 Superstition Hills earthquake confirmed sand over soft mud sedimentary deposit in 1936–1937. The specific
both by surface manifestations and recordings from the piezometers method of deposition was from a pipe into open water, so the criti-
installed at the time (Holzer et al. 1989; Andrus et al. 2003; Zeghal cal liquefiable layer of interest was probably formed by settling
and Elgamal 1994; Holzer and Youd 2007; Dobry et al. 2015a). No (T. L. Holzer, personal communication, 2016). The island was
liquefaction has been reported since 1987. Two other earthquakes formed from 21 cubic yards of dredged sand under the direction
in Table S1 of Appendix S1 are known not to have liquefied the of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. The dredged sand was ob-
site: the 1987 Elmore Ranch and the 2010 El Mayor-Cucupah tained from different borrow sources in the San Francisco Bay
earthquakes, with this nonliquefaction status confirmed in both (Power et al. 1998). The soil profile of the Treasure Island F.S. site
cases by lack of surface manifestations and piezometric recordings was summarized by Pass (1994) and Faris and de Alba (2000). It
(Zeghal and Elgamal 1994). It is not clear if the site liquefied or not consists of [Fig. 5(a)]: (1) from 0 to about 4.6 m, fine sand with
in the 1979 Imperial Valley earthquake, also listed in Table S1, as rock and concrete fragments; (2) from about 4.6 to 12 m, fine gray
no observer visited it at the time (Youd et al. 2007; Youd 2013). silty sand, which was deposited by hydraulic filling with a clayey
The corresponding question mark for this case history has been zone in the middle located approximately from about 7 to 9 m;
added in Table S1. (3) from about 12 to 14 m, a transitional clayey sand zone; and
(4) from about 14 to 30 m, the Young Bay Mud native normally
Treasure Island Fire Station Site 1989 Case History consolidated clay. Fig. 5(a) also shows the CPT tip resistance (qc ,
MPa) and friction ratio (Rf , %) reported by de Alba et al. (1994),
This section discusses in detail the Treasure Island F.S. site case with qc ≈ 1–7 MPa in the critical liquefiable silty sand layer.
history utilizing the same viewpoints used in the previous section The critical layer of the deposit was defined by Andrus et al.
for the Wildlife site case history. Specifically, the titles of the sub- (2003) to be between 4.5 and 7 m, which is confirmed by the
sections are the same in both sections. The main difference between low cone tip resistance of this layer. The average grain size distri-
the discussion here as compared with the similar discussion in the bution curve of the silty sand in the critical layer is shown in
previous section about the Wildlife case history, is associated with Fig. 5(b). The crosshole shear wave velocity profile in the critical
the absence of pore pressure measurements in the Treasure Island layer at the Treasure Island F.S. site was measured by Fuhriman
F.S. site. Therefore, some of the results shown here are based on (1993) and is reproduced in Fig. 6.
tion, the Imperial Valley has a very deep basin structure that tends San Francisco, about 15 km from Treasure Island (Bonilla
to generate surface waves that arrive late in the shaking records and 1960). The earthquake caused extensive liquefaction and land slid-
may increase both the duration and the long period response at the ing of hydraulic fills in Lake Merced, very close to the epicenter
Wildlife site. This is very different from the Treasure Island F.S. (Youd and Hoose 1978). However, while it probably generated
site, where Franciscan bedrock is located at about a 90-m depth. some excess pore pressures in the critical layer at the Treasure
On the other hand, this difference should not affect the short period Island F.S. site, it certainly did not liquefy the site.
response of the site, with the peak ground acceleration, amax , not Therefore, the Treasure Island F.S. site has experienced lique-
being affected except for a very large magnitude event happening at faction only once—in 1989—with a couple of other earthquakes
a great distance, an event not relevant to this study. This reasoning possibly generating excess pore pressures short of liquefaction after
is confirmed by the fact that for the Wildlife site, as per Table 3, 1937, both before and after 1989.
earthquakes in the magnitude range, M w ¼ 7–7.5 at distances,
d < 120 km, are expected to produce a value of amax ≥ 0.10 g.
The Loma Prieta earthquake, with Mw ¼ 6.9, is close to that earth- Comparison between the Two Case Histories
quake magnitude range and occurred at d ¼ 98 < 120 km from
Treasure Island; this earthquake had a recorded amax ¼ 0.16 g > As mentioned previously, the Wildlife and the Treasure Island F.S.
0.10 g, consistent with the Wildlife magnitude-distance relation- case histories plot very close to each other on the V s -based lique-
ship of Table 3. faction charts (Fig. 1). As shown in Fig. 6, the shear wave velocity
Therefore, the same magnitude-distance combinations utilized profiles of both sites also plot on top of each other, indicating al-
for the Wildlife site and listed in Table 3, were used to count earth- most identical small-strain shear stiffness of the two critical layers.
quakes from the UCERF3 Catalog, expected to have had amax ≥ In addition, the two silty sands have similar grain size distributions,
0.10 g at the Treasure Island F.S. site. The results of this counting the two peak accelerations were 0.15–0.16 g, and the magnitudes
are listed in Table 3 and plotted in Fig. 8(b). As seen in Table 3, a of both earthquakes were also similar (6.9–7.2); see Table 1. As a
total of only four earthquakes are estimated to have caused amax ≥ result, the magnitude corrected CSR of the liquefiable layers of
0.10 g at the Treasure Island F.S. site between the years 1907– both sites during the 1989 and 2010 earthquakes—presented by
2010. This is a very small number for the 103-year period, which Andrus et al. (2003) and Dobry et al. (2015a) using the Simplified
is reduced even further when one considers the shorter 52-year Procedure—are found to be 0.11 and 0.13, respectively. These sim-
period between construction of the island in 1937 and just before ilar CSR and shear wave velocities are the reason why the two data
the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. That is, after considering that points are so close on the chart of Fig. 1. These and other similar-
one of the four events in Table 3 is the Loma Prieta event itself; ities presented in Table 1 support the validity of the one-to-one
the unavoidable conclusion from Table 3 is that between deposition comparison between both case histories. The main question ad-
and the 1989 earthquake, the critical layer was subjected to about dressed in this paper is why, despite these similarities, the pore
two earthquakes producing amax ≥ 0.10 g and generating signifi- pressure responses of the sites to the 1989 and 2010 earthquakes
cant excess pore pressures in the critical layer. This is in turn were so different. The Treasure Island F.S. site liquefied while at
confirmed by the instrumental records in Table 4, which indicate Wildlife a small pore pressure was generated that was far from
that no record of this type occurred in the 15 years between 1974 liquefaction.
and just before the Loma Prieta event in 1989. This very small On the basis of field and small-sample laboratory investigations
number of earthquakes in 1937–1989 (≈2) potentially affecting presented in the literature and discussed in Appendix S1, the two
the liquefaction resistance of the critical layer at the Treasure Island factors that could potentially explain the higher field liquefaction
F.S. site, confirms the fact that the San Francisco Bay Area was resistance in Wildlife than in Treasure Island at essentially equal
seismically very quiet in the twentieth century after the stress V s1 , are (1) the longer geologic age of the Wildlife critical layer
relief caused by the large 1906 San Francisco earthquake (ATC at the time of the 2010 earthquake (103 years since deposition),
2005). compared with the age of the Treasure Island F.S. site at the time
of the 1989 earthquake (52 years since deposition); and (2) the
much more intense seismic preshaking that has taken place in
Liquefaction History of Site
the Imperial Valley compared with the San Francisco Bay Area dur-
Youd and Hoose (1978) performed a comprehensive compilation of ing the twentieth century and the beginning of the 21st century.
historic ground failures in Northern California triggered by earth- These two factors are explored in the next section.
quakes, including detailed tables and maps. The study included A question could arise about the possible influence of the differ-
earthquakes between 1800 and 1970 and all phenomena typically ent fabrics the two layers had immediately after deposition on their
associated with surface manifestations of liquefaction (sand boils, different liquefaction responses in 1989 and 2010. As mentioned
V s1 due to geologic age is limited at most to 5–10% (Anderson age can be taken into account by multiplying the CRR obtained
and Stokoe 1978; Kokusho et al. 1982); and (2) centrifuge and from a chart such as Fig. 1, by a factor K DR. That is, the CRR ¼
large-scale experiments discussed later in this paper indicate that ðCRRÞyoung associated with the curves in such liquefaction charts is
V s1 is not significantly affected by a preshaking sequence such assumed to correspond to a geologically young deposit having a
as that affecting the Wildlife site before the 2010 earthquake representative age, t ¼ 23 years. For deposits older than 23 years,
(El-Sekelly et al. 2016b). Based on this, the difference in fabrics ðCRRÞold ¼ ðCRRÞyoung × K DR , where K DR ¼ 0.13 logðtÞ þ 0.83,
between the two layers probably did not result in a significant dif- and t (years) is either the time since the layer last liquefied, or if
ference in their shear wave velocities after deposition, so it is rea- never liquefied, the time since deposition. More details about K DR
sonable to infer that their liquefaction resistances at that time were can be found in Appendix S1. The authors calculated this factor,
also similar. and obtained K DR ¼ 1.01–1.09 for the Wildlife layer (using respec-
tively, 23 years since last liquefaction in 1987, or 103 years since
deposition in 1907); and K DR ¼ 1.05 for the Treasure Island F.S.
Possible Effects of Geologic Age and Preshaking layer (52 years since deposition). These values of K DR are all very
low and similar, which rules out geologic age as an explanation of
After a sediment is deposited and buried by other sediments there the significant difference in pore pressure responses at the two sites
are a number of processes that may occur within the deposit and during the 2010 and 1989 earthquakes.
change its engineering properties over geologic time under static On the other hand, Fig. 8(b) compares the numbers of preshak-
load, typically stiffening and strengthening it, which can finally re- ing earthquake events affecting the Wildlife and Treasure Island
sult in lithifying the soil into rock. These processes are collectively F.S. sites between 1907 and 2010 (values extracted from Table 3),
known as diagenesis (e.g., Press and Siever 1978; Finn 1981). In for several magnitude ranges as well as for the total number of
areas that are seismically active during the same geologic time, earthquakes. The difference between the two sites is striking.
earthquakes occurring from time to time also have an effect, either Whether the comparison is performed by earthquake magnitudes
additionally stiffening and strengthening the soil, or, if they pro- or by looking at the total number of events, the number of earth-
duce a great enough disturbance by, for example, massively lique- quakes preshaking the Wildlife site has been greater by more than
fying and deforming the ground, by weakening the soil and making one order of magnitude, when compared with the Treasure Island
it perhaps less stiff. Therefore, in principle, the two factors that F.S. site (61 versus two earthquakes). In other words, while the
could help explain the higher field liquefaction resistance at equal critical layer at the Wildife site was preshaken (including some
V s1 shown by the Wildlife site compared to the Treasure Island F.S. liquefaction events) several dozen times by earthquakes of amax ≥
site are as follows: 0.10 g before the El Mayor-Cucupah earthquake in 2010, the criti-
1. The interlocking (Schmertmann 1991; Arango and Migues cal layer at the Treasure Island F.S. site was preshaken only about
1996) and/or cementation (Seed 1979; Mitchell and Solymar twice since deposition. This is consistent, again, with the general
1984) that strengthens the contacts between neighboring sand observation that the Imperial Valley has been subjected to very in-
grains (with the cementation caused by small amounts of miner- tense seismic activity in the last century, while the San Francisco
al precipitation), that accumulate with time (labeled here as geo- Bay Area was very quiet seismically between the 1906 and 1989
logic age effect for simplicity); and/or earthquakes.
2. The preshaking due to repeated earthquakes. Several laboratory Therefore, it seems that after looking at the situation from a
studies were conducted in the 1970s involving cyclic loading number of viewpoints, the seismic preshaking history emerges
undrained tests of saturated sand samples that had been sub- as the most significant difference between the two sites. The results
jected to a previous sequence of events of cyclic undrained from this side-by-side comparison suggest that seismic preshaking
loading (cyclic prestraining or preshaking), while allowing dis- history is the most significant difference between the two sites, and
sipation of the excess pore pressures between events. Low-level is therefore the most probable reason for the increased liquefaction
cyclic prestraining was found to increase liquefaction resistance resistance of the Wildlife site compared to the Treasure Island F.S.
rather rapidly (Youd 1977; Seed et al. 1977; Seed 1979), while site as evidenced by their different responses to the 2010 and 1989
large liquefying cyclic prestraining was found to decrease lique- earthquakes.
faction resistance (Finn et al. 1970). Although the low-level pre-
straining did not change the relative density of the soil much, it
probably induced a stronger fabric with added particle interlock- Centrifuge and Large-Scale Experimental Results
ing. Additional discussion of possible mechanisms associated
with preshaking that are relevant to liquefaction resistance is This section provides experimental evidence on the effect of pre-
presented in the “Discussion” section. shaking on the liquefaction resistance of sand deposits. The effect
ments 1 and 2 were performed on silty sand deposited by dry three or four shakings, plotted on the V s -based field liquefaction
pluviation, while Experiments 3 and 4 were performed on a clean chart for recent uncompacted fills proposed by Dobry et al.
sand deposited by dry pluviation and hydraulic filling, respectively. (2015a) and previously shown in Fig. 2(a). For Experiments 2–4,
More details about the experimental program conducted by El- the four data points in Fig. 9(a) correspond to the first four shakings
Sekelly (2014) can be found in Appendix S1. The results of Experi- (Events ND, A, B, and C). For Experiment 1, there are only three
ment 1 are also reported by El-Sekelly et al. (2016a, b). data points in Fig. 9(a), as no Event C was applied at the beginning or
The shaking sequences in the four experiments were different, end of the test. At this early stage of the experiments, the centrifuge
However, in all four tests the soil deposits were subjected to the and large-scale deposits tested are comparable to recent uncom-
same three or four types of events applied at the base of the model; pacted artificial fills in the field which have not been subjected to
Events A, B, and C/D. In all four tests, Events A were defined as five significant preshaking. As expected, the curve in Fig. 9(a) generally
sinusoidal cycles of a peak base acceleration, apb ≈ 0.035–0.05 g; separates well liquefaction from no liquefaction events, thus validat-
Events B as 15 sinusoidal cycles of apb ≈ 0.04–0.05 g in prototype ing both the Dobry et al. (2015a) chart and Experiments 1–4.
units; and Events C/D as 15 sinusoidal cycles of apb ≈ 0.1=0.25 g, Fig. 9(b) shows the data points corresponding to the same three
respectively, all in prototype units. The prototype frequency in all or four shakings of Experiments 1–4 on clean and silty sands
cases was 2 Hz. The 15-cycle duration of Events B and C/D cor- plotted on the same V s -based field liquefaction chart, but now cor-
responds approximately to an earthquake of moment magnitude, responding to the end of the corresponding experiment. Fig. 9(b)
M w ≈ 7.5; while the five-cycle duration of Events A corresponds also includes the higher liquefaction curve proposed by Dobry et al.
to M w ≈ 6 (Idriss and Boulanger 2008). The total number of shak- (2015a) for the Imperial Valley [dashed curve in Fig. 9(b)].
ing events in the experiments ranged from 37 to 91 shakings in order The solid and dashed curves in Fig. 9(b) are the same previously
Fig. 9. (a) Locations of first three or four shakings (recently deposited uncompacted fills before preshaking) from Experiments 1–4 on clean and silty
sand deposits on Dobry et al. (2015a) V s -based liquefaction chart; (b) locations of last three or four shakings (heavily preshaken fills) from Experi-
ments 1–4, Dobry et al. (2015a) V s -based liquefaction chart; full data points represent liquefaction, open data points represent no-liquefaction (mod-
ified from El-Sekelly 2014; Dobry et al. 2015d); all data points in the figure correspond to events A, B, and C as well as weak nondestructive
ND shakings (stronger event D was applied to deposit only once in middle of Experiment 3)
different pore pressure responses of the Wildlife site and the ticle interlocking in the sand.
Treasure Island F.S. site to the 2010 and 1989 earthquakes. This Both field and laboratory evidences suggest that shear wave
difference is consistent with several reported observations after velocity may not reflect the increased strength of soil deposit from
earthquakes which suggest that—other things being equal—natural seismic preshaking. Cox et al. (2013) reported the following about
sands appear to liquefy less than nearby artificial fills in highly Urayasu City in the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake: “Median V s
seismic regions in California and Japan (Pyke 2003; Ishihara et al. profiles showed no significant difference in small-strain shear
2011; Cox et al. 2013; Dobry et al. 2015a). Ishihara et al. (2011) modulus between soils of different age or between areas of different
reported the following for Urayasu City on Tokyo Bay after the liquefaction severity.” This is also clear from the results of the cen-
2011 Great East Japan earthquake: “It is of interest to notice that trifuge and large-scale experiments, which showed only a small in-
although the SPT N-value of 5–15 for the alluvial sand is only crease in the shear wave velocity of the deposit after a number of
slightly larger as compared to N ¼ 5–10 for the reclaimed sand, shaking events ranging between about 40 and 90 [El-Sekelly 2014;
the new sand was more vulnerable to liquefaction, as evidenced Fig. 9(b)]. These relatively unchanged values of V s1 measured in
by the clear manifestation of liquefaction in the reclaimed area the experiments are also consistent with the V s measured by cross-
in contrast to no liquefaction in the old area in the north.” These hole tests in the field at the Wildlife layer in 1984 and 2005
and other examples of increased liquefaction resistance of natural (Bieschwale and Stokoe 1984; Cox 2006), before and after the
sands in both highly seismic and less seismic areas have been 1987 liquefaction of the site, as shown by Fig. 6. The insensitivity
variously attributed to geologic age and/or seismic preshaking of V s to preshaking is consistent with other evidence from the lit-
by previous earthquakes (e.g., Arango et al. 2000; Heidari and erature. Specifically, two of the three mechanisms discussed earlier
Andrus 2012; Hayati and Andrus 2008, 2009; Dobry et al. 2015a). that would explain the effect of preshaking in increasing liquefac-
In the specific case of the Imperial Valley of California, the in- tion resistance are densification and increase in K 0 . It is useful to
creased liquefaction resistance of the geologically very young silty quantify the possible variation of V s at a given depth if the relative
sand deposits there, was almost surely caused by intense preshak- density increases from 38 to 50% (as measured in Experiment 1 and
ing rather than geologic age, as discussed throughout this paper. reported by El-Sekelly et al. 2016b), and K 0 experiences a simul-
The effect of geologic age is small and similar for these two taneous assumed increase from 0.5 to 0.7. Using the procedure
representative sites in the Imperial Valley and San Francisco Bay described by Seed and Idriss (1970), the predicted increase in
Area, so geologic age cannot possibly explain their very different V s is only 14%.
liquefaction resistances at the time of the 2010 and 1989 earth- This inability of shear wave velocity to capture the increase in
quakes. On the other hand, 60–70 earthquakes have induced sig- liquefaction resistance due to preshaking was a main reason behind
nificant excess pore water pressures on the critical layer at the the Dobry et al. (2015a) recommendation of a higher liquefaction
Wildlife site in the Imperial Valley, between its 1907 deposition curve for natural silty sand sites in the Imperial Valley of Southern
and the 2010 El Mayor-Cucupah earthquake, explaining its high California discussed in a previous section and shown in Figs. 2(b)
liquefaction resistance in 2010. Contrast this with about two earth- and 9(b). Based on the experimental results summarized in
quakes that may have induced significant excess pore pressures in Figs. 9(a and b) and especially Experiment 1, it is possible to quan-
the critical layer at the Treasure Island F.S. site, between its 1937 tify in a very preliminary way the number of shakings at the
deposition and the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake, explaining why Wildlife site that were needed to increase the liquefaction resistance
this layer still behaved as a recent uncompacted fill with low lique- of the site to the level defined by the dashed curve in Fig. 9(b).
faction resistance in 1989. Of special interest is the data shown in Figs. 9(a and b) correspond-
The authors speculate that there are three main mechanisms ing to the triangular data point at V s1 ≈ 100 m=s and CSR in the
inducing this observed increase in liquefaction resistance of the range 0.15–0.20, associated to an Event B similar to the El Mayor-
Wildlife silty sand layer over the last century due to the 60–70 shak- Cucupah earthquake that shook the site in 2010 and did not induce
ings experienced by the layer. The first mechanism would be the liquefaction. As shown by Figs. 9(a and b), supplemented by the
collapse of the loose unstable array of particles present in the sand information in El-Sekelly et al. (2016b), the first shaking of this
immediately after deposition, prompted by the first few earthquakes Event B, S1, did induce liquefaction, while the last relevant Event
felt by the layer. As proposed by Youd (1977), this collapse pro- B for the site, S56, did not. Events B stopped liquefying the cen-
duces a stronger fabric more resistant to liquefaction without much trifuge model deposit somewhere between shakings S12 and S45,
change in relative density. The second and third mechanisms would suggesting that several dozen earthquakes happening during much
have acted simultaneously and more slowly over the 100-plus-years of the twentieth century were needed at Wildlife before the dashed
of the history of the layer. The second mechanism would be line in Fig. 9(b) became applicable to the site.
densification of the layer by the shakings, with a higher relative Given this insensitivity of shear wave velocity to the beneficial
density known to increase liquefaction resistance (Seed 1979). effect of preshaking in increasing liquefaction resistance, it is useful
stresses, and is consistent with other evidence in the literature ground motion observations for the Treasure Island site, and the
(Baldi et al. 1981; Salgado et al. 1997, 1998; Dobry 2010). While U.S. Geological Survey National Strong Motion Instrumentation
these results for Experiment 4 were for clean rather than silty sand project (NSMP) provided the 1987 ground motion and pore pres-
and also the sequence of shakings was quite different from that ex- sure observations from the Wildlife Site. The authors also want to
perienced by the Wildlife site, these results suggest that the CPT thank Professor R. Andrus for useful discussions about the effects
point resistance may have increased significantly at the Wildlife of geologic age, preshaking and liquefaction, Dr. T. Holzer for his
silty sand layer during its more-than-100-year history of shakings. help in clarifying the types of soil deposition at the Wildlife and
Additional research is needed on the effect of preshaking on CPT Treasure Island sites, and Professor S. Thevanayagam for his con-
resistance to clarify if the dramatic results of Experiment 4 on clean tribution to the experimental results included in Fig. 9.
sand are also valid for other clean and silty sands as well as for a
variety of shaking sequences.
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