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Business Business outlook on the economy turned more upbeat for Q4 2017, with the overall
sentiment confidence index (CI)2 rising to 43.3 percent from 37.9 percent for Q3 2017. This means that
improves. the number of optimists increased and continued to be greater than the number of pessimists
during the quarter. This quarter’s confidence level is also higher compared to its year-ago level.
Respondents cited the following factors behind their more buoyant outlook during the fourth
quarter: (a) expected increase in orders and consumer purchases during the Christmas
holidays, (b) increasing number and expansion of businesses, (c) higher disbursements for the
government’s infrastructure and other development projects, (d) favorable macroeconomic
conditions in the country, particularly manageable inflation and low interest rates, and
(e) expansion of export markets and stronger demand for Philippine products.
The sentiment of businesses in the Philippines mirrored the more bullish business outlook in
Australia, Canada, Germany, and Indonesia, but was in contrast to the less favorable views of
those in the US, UK, Hong Kong, South Korea, New Zealand and Thailand, and steady outlook in
France.
For the quarter ahead (Q1 2018), business outlook turned less optimistic, with the next quarter
CI declining to 39.7 percent from 51.3 percent in the previous quarter’s survey results.
Respondents attributed their less positive outlook mainly to the usual slowdown of demand
after the holiday season. Other reasons cited by firms were lag in business transactions at the
beginning of the year (e.g., delay in renewal of contracts and drydock season for the shipping
industry), stiffer business competition, concerns on the effect of the new excise tax rates to
the automobile industry, and higher inflation.
1
The Business Expectations Survey (BES) is a quarterly survey of firms drawn at random from the combined list of the Securities and
Exchange Commission’s Top 7,000 Corporations in 2010 and Business World’s Top 1,000 Corporations in 2015. Results of the BES
provide advance indication of the direction of the change in overall business activity in the economy and in the various measures of
companies’ operations as well as in selected economic indicators.
2
The CI is computed as the percentage of firms that answered in the affirmative less the percentage of firms that answered in the
negative with respect to their views on a given indicator. A positive CI indicates a favorable view, except for the inflation rate and the
peso-borrowing rate, where a positive CI indicates the opposite.
A quarterly survey conducted by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Department of Economic Statistics Manila, Philippines
www.bsp.gov.ph
Page 1 of 6
Business Expectations Survey Fourth Quarter 2017
Businesses in Respondents in the National Capital Region (NCR) and Areas Outside the NCR (AONCR) were
both NCR both more optimistic for the current quarter but their outlook for the next quarter was less
and AONCR favorable.
are more
optimistic for A more detailed look at the responses of firms in AONCR3 showed that outlook was mixed
Q4 2017 but across regions for the current and next quarters. For Q4 2017, the sentiment of firms in
less positive eight regions (I, II, VI, VII, IX, X, XI and XII) was more bullish, similar to the national trend,
for the next largely on account of the expected increase in demand during Christmas, main palay harvest
quarter. and fishing seasons. Meanwhile, firms in Regions III, IV and VIII registered a less positive
outlook for the current quarter in view of the seasonal decline in production output for
industrial electronics (particularly semiconductor assembly, testing and packaging), decreased
maritime operations due to the drydock season, adverse impact of the Avian Influenza
outbreak in Nueva Ecija and Pampanga, and stiffer competition with new entrants in the
market.
For the quarter ahead (Q1 2018), firms were less optimistic across regions. This is with the
exception of businesses in Region VI whose confidence improved on account of expectations
of business expansion, higher sales with the increase in production capacity, and uptick in
demand during the graduation period. Meanwhile, business outlook in Region VII was steady
as the positive views of the industry and services sectors countervailed the pessimism of the
wholesale and retail trade sector.
The outlook The sentiment of businesses across trading types was mixed for Q4 2017. Among business
of exporters types, exporters’ outlook was the most robust, maintaining a record-high confidence level for
stayed at the second consecutive quarter (at 50 percent CI), on expectations of increased availability of
record-high. raw materials during harvest and fishing seasons (e.g., coconuts, fish products), improved
production and market prices in the mining industry, business expansion as a result of firms’
improved marketing strategies, and higher volume of business process outsourcing (BPO)
services rendered during the holidays. Likewise, domestic-oriented firms’ outlook also
improved (with CI of 49.6 percent) as they expected that economic growth would be driven by
higher consumer demand during Christmas and harvest periods, improved quality of products
and services, new projects, and a more favorable business climate. Meanwhile, the improved
optimism of importers stemmed from expectations of brisker demand during the holidays as
well as the opening of new stores. However, the outlook of dual-activity firms was less
favorable due to lower demand for certain products (e.g., ceramics and electronics), and low
supply of poultry exacerbated by the bird flu outbreak.
For the quarter ahead (Q1 2018), the sentiment across different types of businesses was less
optimistic, following the national trend.
Optimism is Firms across employment size were more positive for Q4 2017 but less so for Q1 2018.4
up across Large-sized firms were the most upbeat for the current and next quarters.
firm size for
Q4 2017.
3
The survey covered all 16 regions of the Philippines. (For the list of regions and the distribution of top 7000 corporations by region,
please see Annexes A and B).
4
Small firms have less than 100 employees; medium firms, 100-499 employees; large firms have over 500 employees.
Page 2 of 6
Business Expectations Survey Fourth Quarter 2017
Sectoral Outlook
The services Business sentiment across sectors was mixed for Q4 2017. Business confidence was highest in
and the services sector, followed by wholesale and retail trade while those in the industry and
wholesale construction sectors were less favorable. Firms’ sentiment across sectors was less optimistic
and retail for Q1 2018 due largely to the usual slack in demand after the holiday season, except that for
trade sectors the construction sector which turned bullish.
are more
confident Sentiment was high across the services sub-sectors, with hotels and restaurants posting the
while highest confidence index, reaching a two-year record-high at 73 percent. Hotels and
industry and restaurants cited expectations of more business opportunities in the last quarter of the year
construction (known as “convention season”), opening of new franchisees locally and abroad, and uptick in
are less tourism activities with the holding of the 31st Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)
positive for Summit in the Philippines in November 2017, as reasons behind their optimistic outlook. Real
Q4 2017. estate remained buoyant as well, as respondents continued to expect an increase in demand
for housing units, supported by higher remittances from overseas Filipinos (OF) during the
holiday season.
The positive sentiment of the wholesale and retail trade firms was driven by expectations of
generally more robust demand during Christmas and main harvest seasons. Consumption is
anticipated to be propped up by a favorable domestic economy, steady investment flows, and
better business strategies of firms.
Page 3 of 6
Business Expectations Survey Fourth Quarter 2017
Meanwhile, in the industry sector, firms in the manufacturing and mining and quarrying
sub-sectors cited seasonal slack in demand for some products (e.g., ceramics), stiffer
competition as a result of business expansion of some firms, and oversupply of bananas in the
world market as reasons for their pessimism. This outweighed the more optimistic outlook of
firms in the agriculture, fishery and forestry, and electricity, gas and water supply sub-sectors.
Likewise, construction firms’ outlook for the current quarter was less favorable as firms take
their cue from the government’s rollout of infrastructure projects. For the next quarter
(Q1 2018), the construction sector registered the highest confidence index since Q3 2014, as
respondents anticipate the commencement of big construction projects (both public and
private). In particular, construction activities related to rehabilitation efforts in Mindanao,
power generation, infrastructure and communication developments were reported to be on
the rise for the next quarter.
Firms are The outlook of firms about their own business operations improved for Q4 2017 compared to
more upbeat that a quarter ago. The sectoral outlook of firms on the volume of business activity and total
about their orders booked was consistent with those at the national level—more bullish for the services
own business and wholesale and retail trade sectors but less upbeat for industry and construction.
operations.
Page 4 of 6
Business Expectations Survey Fourth Quarter 2017
Capacity The average capacity utilization (in the industry and construction sectors) for Q4 2017 was
utilization slightly lower at 76 percent (from 76.7 percent in Q3 2017). Meanwhile, the results of the
decreases. Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (MISSI) of the Philippine Statistics Authority
(PSA) showed a steady level level of capacity utilization in Q3 2017 compared to the previous
quarter.5
Firms expect The financial conditions index remained in negative territory at -0.9 percent for Q4 2017 from
better -1 percent in the previous quarter. This means that firms that expected tighter financial
financial conditions continued to outnumber those that said otherwise. However, firms were of the
conditions view that their financing requirements could be met through available credit as respondents
and easy reported easy access to credit. The results of the Q3 2017 Senior Bank Loan Officers’ Survey
access to (SLOS) likewise showed that most of respondent banks continued to maintain their credit
credit. standards for loans to both enterprises and households for the 34th consecutive quarter
starting Q2 2009.
Employment The employment outlook index for the next quarter declined to 24.7 percent from
outlook and 27.3 percent in the last quarter’s survey. This indicates that more firms will continue to hire
industry new employees than those that indicated otherwise even as the number of firms with hiring
expansion intentions declined relative to a quarter ago. Moreover, the percentage of businesses with
plans expansion plans in the industry sector for Q1 2018 decreased to 31.1 percent from
decline. 32.8 percent in the previous quarter. The outlook was weaker across industry sub-sectors.
Business Constraints
Domestic The major business constraints identified by respondents for Q4 2017 were domestic
competition competition and insufficient demand leading to low sales volume (indicated by 55.9 percent
and and 24.2 percent of the total number of respondents, respectively).
insufficient
demand are However, the percentage of businesses whose operations were affected by business
the major constraints showed a declining trend since the start of the nationwide survey in Q4 2006. The
risks to easing of these business constraints could indicate that business conditions are improving.
business.
5
The average capacity utilization of the BES used sample firms from the industry and construction sectors while that of the MISSI was
based on a sample of large manufacturing firms. The average capacity utilization of the MISSI was steady at 83.8 percent in Q3 2017.
6
Financial conditions refer to the firm’s general cash position, taking into account the level of cash and other cash items and
repayments terms on loans. Access to credit refers to the environment external to the firm, such as the availability of credit from the
banking system and other financial institutions.
Page 5 of 6
Business Expectations Survey Fourth Quarter 2017
A breakdown of responses by type of business showed that 11.8 percent were importers,
6.5 percent were exporters, 17.6 percent were both importers and exporters and 56.1 percent
were domestic-oriented. About 8 percent of the respondents did not specify their firm type.
By size of employment, the survey showed that 21 percent of respondents were large firms,
37.9 percent were medium-sized and 30.4 percent were small-sized. About 10.7 percent of the
respondents did not specify the number of employees in their company.
The BES sample was derived through stratified random sampling. The combined list of top
corporations was subdivided into 192 strata classified by region—NCR and Areas Outside NCR
(the other 16 regions of the country)—and by industry sub-group, namely: (a) Group 1:
Industry, which consists of manufacturing, mining and quarrying, electricity, gas and water,
and agriculture, fishery and forestry; (b) Group II: Construction; (c) Group III: Services, which
consists of financial intermediation, real estate, renting and business activities, hotels and
restaurants, transport, storage and communications and community, social and personal
services; and (d) Group IV: Wholesale and Retail Trade. Beginning Q1 2012, industry
classification of companies shifted from the 1994 Philippine Standard Industrial Classification
(PSIC) to the 2009 PSIC.
7
The expectations on key economic indicators are expressed in terms of confidence indices (CIs), which are computed as the
percentage of firms that answered “up” less the percentage of firms that answered “down” with respect to their views on a given key
economic indicator. A positive CI indicates a favorable view, except for the inflation rate and the peso-borrowing rate, where a positive
CI indicates the opposite.
Page 6 of 6
BUSINESS EXPECTATIONS SURVEY
2011 - 2017
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
1. Overall Business Outlook on the Macroeconomy
Confidence Index: All Sectors
Current Quarter 47.5 31.8 34.1 38.7 40.5 44.5 42.5 49.5 41.5 54.9 42.8 52.3 37.8 50.7 34.4 48.3 45.2 49.2 41.4 51.3 41.9 48.7 45.4 39.8 39.4 43.0 37.9 43.3
NCR 54.4 35.2 38.4 38.5 46.1 49.3 48.9 54.5 45.6 60.6 49.9 58.7 40.6 53.4 37.5 49.8 47.3 52.3 45.7 55.2 44.3 53.2 48.1 38.0 40.8 43.8 37.0 44.2
AONCR 35.7 26.1 26.6 39.1 31.1 36.4 31.9 41.1 34.5 45.1 30.7 41.5 33.0 46.1 29.1 45.8 41.5 43.9 33.9 44.3 37.5 40.8 40.5 42.9 36.9 41.7 39.7 41.8
Next Quarter 59.4 33.0 53.9 36.1 55.4 44.6 59.6 43.8 56.4 46.2 60.0 40.7 50.8 48.9 52.9 43.1 58.2 47.3 53.1 43.9 49.6 45.3 56.8 34.5 47.2 42.7 51.3 39.7
NCR 62.3 35.6 55.0 37.5 59.0 48.1 64.5 47.7 60.9 47.8 68.3 42.3 52.7 51.4 56.8 44.1 61.3 50.0 54.5 44.3 48.5 48.8 58.4 33.0 47.8 42.6 52.2 40.1
AONCR 53.6 28.1 51.4 32.9 48.1 37.9 50.3 36.6 48.8 43.4 45.8 38.1 47.3 44.5 46.2 41.4 52.7 42.5 50.8 43.2 51.4 39.1 54.2 37.2 46.3 42.9 49.7 39.2
1
BUSINESS EXPECTATIONS SURVEY
2011 - 2017
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
6. Companies with Expansion Plans (in percent of total respondents): Next Quarter
All Industry Sector 33.9 24.7 26.6 27.0 28.8 29.1 27.8 28.9 29.6 28.7 32.1 30.5 32.9 30.0 34.2 32.0 32.5 29.1 32.9 31.9 31.3 30.3 28.1 31.7 34.9 34.6 32.8 31.1
Mining Quarrying 47.3 41.8 62.6 41.1 47.3 35.2 49.7 41.0 40.0 45.0 42.3 55.0 50.9 40.3 30.7 31.8 21.8 31.8 36.1 22.3 31.8 19.4 27.2 13.7 21.6 24.2 33.8 25.5
Manufacturing 32.5 24.2 24.9 24.9 27.9 28.6 27.2 28.0 28.4 27.5 31.2 29.2 31.5 28.8 33.2 31.0 31.5 27.8 31.5 31.3 30.8 30.9 27.5 31.5 35.5 34.7 31.8 31.0
Electricity, Gas and Water 38.5 23.8 34.4 41.0 32.2 31.3 26.2 38.2 42.3 40.2 35.3 38.7 48.6 50.0 54.5 52.9 44.8 35.7 41.2 34.5 30.8 28.9 36.3 40.1 30.9 34.4 33.4 33.3
Agriculture, Fishery and Forestry 45.3 24.3 31.7 41.9 31.5 31.7 30.1 29.7 33.3 30.1 40.3 33.9 33.3 24.8 34.0 28.4 41.5 43.1 46.7 43.8 38.5 27.3 29.5 37.1 38.0 40.7 49.9 33.1
7. Business Constraints (in percent to total respondents): Current Quarter
High Interest Rate 19.8 19.9 20.1 19.8 14.6 13.8 10.8 9.9 8.7 8.1 7.4 7.3 9.1 9.3 8.4 7.8 7.8 7.3 7.4 7.1 8.3 6.4 6.2 7.1 8.0 7.7 7.0 7.3
Unclear Economic Laws 21.2 21.6 21.9 24.2 18.5 17.8 18.1 15.8 13.4 14.1 13.8 11.6 12.0 13.3 13.8 14.4 14.5 14.6 13.6 13.2 13.3 13.6 11.7 15.8 14.2 14.3 13.2 13.9
Lack of Equipment 16.1 16.0 17.3 16.7 10.9 10.2 9.9 7.7 11.1 7.0 7.7 6.8 7.1 6.8 6.8 5.8 7.1 7.2 6.2 6.4 6.7 5.6 6.2 6.5 5.2 5.8 5.3 5.7
Insufficient Demand 42.2 44.0 43.7 44.4 36.5 36.5 36.5 34.5 32.0 33.5 35.7 34.9 31.6 30.2 29.5 28.4 27.0 25.4 29.0 26.6 26.6 27.5 25.6 24.8 24.0 25.0 24.5 24.2
Access to Credit 17.8 18.4 18.6 18.6 11.7 10.5 9.4 8.2 9.4 8.5 6.8 6.2 6.7 6.2 6.0 5.2 7.8 5.8 5.9 4.8 6.4 4.5 4.0 4.7 4.4 3.9 3.9 4.1
Financial Problems 22.6 24.4 21.7 22.9 16.9 15.9 13.2 11.6 16.1 12.8 10.9 10.6 10.8 10.3 9.8 10.1 8.1 6.4 7.0 8.0 8.7 7.9 7.3 8.3 7.4 8.5 8.5 7.7
Competition 68.8 65.5 68.1 66.4 60.6 62.9 60.7 61.3 60.0 59.8 59.6 58.5 57.9 55.5 54.7 54.5 53.1 57.7 55.4 52.6 53.3 54.2 50.2 52.6 53.0 56.4 53.1 55.9
Labor Problems 19.3 21.6 20.4 18.5 13.4 12.5 11.8 11.0 13.7 11.4 10.7 8.6 9.6 9.5 10.2 9.7 11.4 9.4 10.2 10.3 11.5 12.4 10.9 12.4 13.2 13.5 12.7 13.2
Lack of Materials Input 18.4 19.1 19.0 18.4 12.4 12.5 11.2 9.4 8.1 8.9 9.4 8.4 6.5 7.6 8.8 9.2 8.1 7.3 7.0 7.5 7.8 7.2 7.1 8.0 8.1 6.6 7.7 7.4
Others 21.1 23.6 22.2 25.7 23.0 25.3 22.9 22.5 21.0 22.4 22.3 23.4 22.9 23.2 25.5 25.9 25.5 26.3 23.5 23.1 22.6 23.8 22.7 24.4 23.7 23.1 24.8 23.6
None 6.0 7.9 5.7 7.5 8.0 7.6 9.3 9.1 13.2 11.8 8.2 8.2 10.1 10.0 8.6 9.4 10.5 8.4 9.0 9.0 11.5 12.5 10.7 9.8 10.5 10.2 10.1 10.2
8. Business Expectations Index on Selected Economic Indicators: Current Quarter
P/$ Exchange Rate 15.0 19.4 29.3 14.9 11.7 19.3 29.8 32.0 35.1 16.9 -2.4 12.3 3.9 10.1 7.4 10.0 3.1 5.6 2.7 12.3 2.7 23.4 -6.7 -25.7 -22.2 -4.1 -28.7 -18.2
Inflation Rate 21.3 38.7 32.1 28.3 16.8 15.4 5.4 3.3 1.1 10.4 22.8 25.0 43.0 31.4 40.2 38.7 -0.7 11.6 10.2 18.2 25.2 31.4 25.3 49.4 51.0 49.4 35.9 50.1
Peso Borrowing Rate 4.0 13.9 11.1 5.7 -2.1 1.1 -4.5 -11.1 -10.8 -14.4 -3.0 -0.9 11.4 11.3 13.8 16.8 6.9 6.8 8.5 8.1 15.1 12.3 7.9 8.4 12.1 17.4 8.3 14.9
Inflation Rate Expectations (in %) 3.3 3.2 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.2 4.3 3.9 3.2 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.1 3.1
Exchange Rate Expectations (Php : $1.00) 44.9 45.4 47.1 46.8 46.8 48.0 49.5 49.9 50.3 50.9
Note: Unless otherwise stated, all numbers are in diffusion indices, i.e., Confidence Index (CI) is computed as the percentage of firms that answered in affirmative less the percentage
of firmsinthat
theanswered
negative with respect to their views on a given indicator.
2
Business Expectations Survey
2011 - 2017
12. Business Outlook Index on the Macroeconomy
by Type of Business
Current Quarter
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Importer 50.3 36.5 39.6 47.8 44.0 47.9 44.4 52.0 39.7 55.2 33.8 50.0 33.9 41.4 36.5 50.4 41.0 46.1 39.8 57.2 45.8 58.8 51.4 40.1 43.9 46.5 39.2 43.8
Exporter 45.3 36.0 26.1 17.1 19.1 37.2 12.7 22.4 26.9 35.2 31.0 31.5 24.1 33.8 27.6 29.0 28.8 35.6 13.6 11.1 13.4 26.4 32.5 29.5 33.3 46.9 50.0 50.0
Both (Importer and Exporter) 42.5 26.3 32.0 24.8 30.6 39.1 38.5 26.2 30.7 46.7 41.8 45.5 43.0 54.4 34.3 38.0 41.2 37.6 37.8 34.5 36.8 37.7 46.4 27.0 36.4 42.9 39.3 33.0
Domestic-Oriented 40.5 29.7 28.1 33.9 39.3 43.3 40.1 56.3 45.5 54.7 39.6 51.0 39.9 55.0 34.6 58.1 52.1 56.2 40.4 59.4 45.3 50.1 44.9 48.8 42.3 47.2 38.4 49.6
13.Number of Respondents
by Type of Business
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Importer 181 189 169 157 218 211 187 175 189 192 195 312 218 227 233 232 173 167 161 152 155 153 140 147 155 144 148 146
Exporter 86 86 69 76 68 94 71 76 93 91 84 92 83 77 76 107 80 87 81 81 82 87 83 78 81 81 88 80
Both (Importer and Exporter) 179 171 175 161 206 202 195 191 215 227 232 233 242 250 265 234 260 255 233 252 201 199 196 200 214 217 219 218
Domestic-Oriented 592 644 584 552 534 589 596 629 650 570 671 537 546 616 601 570 603 612 612 623 704 672 641 664 685 702 675 694
Not Specified 237 217 247 289 222 168 126 112 100 210 112 114 178 113 113 129 169 161 155 158 129 118 175 97 104 95 108 99
Total 1275 1307 1244 1235 1248 1264 1175 1183 1247 1290 1294 1288 1267 1283 1288 1272 1285 1282 1242 1266 1271 1229 1235 1186 1239 1239 1238 1237
3
Business Expectations Survey
2011 - 2017
16. Business Outlook Index on the Macroeconomy
by Type of Business
Next Quarter
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Importer 62.4 39.2 55.0 42.7 56.0 46.9 62.0 44.0 52.9 39.1 56.4 38.5 53.2 52.0 51.9 41.4 56.6 46.7 50.3 44.7 51.0 53.6 62.9 40.8 48.4 46.5 53.4 38.4
Exporter 55.8 48.8 34.8 27.6 42.6 44.7 39.4 25.0 44.1 47.3 29.8 38.0 45.8 37.7 46.1 37.4 50.0 41.4 17.3 18.5 37.8 37.9 44.6 30.8 53.1 51.9 51.1 41.3
Both (Importer and Exporter) 62.0 36.3 50.9 32.9 54.9 45.5 50.3 35.1 54.4 48.9 41.8 37.3 51.2 46.8 40.8 44.0 54.2 46.3 43.8 40.5 46.3 42.7 40.8 31.5 39.7 41.9 35.2 34.4
Domestic-Oriented 56.1 27.8 58.6 42.6 52.2 39.4 60.4 47.4 54.9 49.6 61.1 43.2 52.2 51.5 58.4 46.1 61.5 45.6 64.1 50.2 56.0 44.6 63.2 36.7 52.6 42.9 57.3 44.5
4
Annexes: Business Expectations Survey (BES) Report Q4 2017
Annex A. Distribution of Combined List of 2010 SEC's Top 7000 Corporations and 2015 Business World's Top 1000 Corporations by Region
Population
SECTOR/SUB-SECTOR Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Region 7 Region 8 Region 9 Region 10 Region 11 Region 12 CARAGA ARMM CAR NCR Philippines
Agriculture 4 8 1 5 4 5 4 33 9 22 95
Business 1 15 38 1 1 18 2 8 2 568 654
Community 6 14 28 8 8 1 2 4 2 111 184
Construction 1 24 46 8 4 33 3 1 12 1 1 326 460
EGW 4 18 8 1 3 15 3 69 121
Finance 3 8 11 1 4 15 1 1 16 2 2 380 444
Hotels and Restaurants 5 10 7 3 6 13 1 8 135 188
Manufacturing 4 3 164 580 7 8 106 9 3 4 38 7 2 3 838 1776
Mining 4 5 2 1 55 67
Real Estate 9 36 1 4 15 7 2 268 342
Trade 19 11 203 239 36 49 125 11 21 12 89 20 1 1369 2205
Transportation 1 22 28 1 2 14 3 15 3 259 348
Services Sector 13 3 78 148 7 25 83 1 7 3 58 11 2 1721 2160
Industry Sector 8 3 186 600 9 16 130 9 8 8 76 16 1 2 3 984 2059
Grand Total 40 18 491 1033 60 94 371 24 37 23 235 48 4 3 3 4400 6884
Number of Samples
SECTOR/SUB-SECTOR Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Region 7 Region 8 Region 9 Region 10 Region 11 Region 12 CARAGA ARMM CAR NCR Philippines
Agriculture 3 6 1 3 3 5 4 19 9 16 69
Business 1 9 23 1 1 12 2 6 2 69 126
Community 3 10 19 7 8 1 2 4 1 15 70
Construction 1 10 22 6 2 22 3 1 9 1 1 41 119
EGW 3 12 6 2 9 2 22 56
Finance 3 6 9 1 4 10 1 1 3 2 2 48 90
Hotels and Restaurants 5 8 5 2 6 10 1 7 18 62
Manufacturing 3 2 21 66 5 6 16 8 1 2 21 7 2 3 98 261
Mining 0 3 5 2 1 29 40
Real Estate 6 22 1 3 14 4 2 34 86
Trade 17 9 21 31 30 39 20 8 18 9 18 18 1 161 400
Transportation 15 18 2 11 1 11 2 34 94
Services Sector 9 3 54 96 5 23 65 1 5 3 35 9 2 218 528
Industry Sector 6 2 36 81 6 11 33 8 6 6 44 16 1 2 3 165 426
GRAND TOTAL 32 15 121 230 47 75 140 20 30 18 106 44 4 3 3 585 1473
Annexes: Business Expectations Survey (BES) Report Q4 2017
Regions Provinces
I-Ilocos Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union and Pangasinan
II-Cagayan Valley Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya and Quirino
III-Central Luzon Aurora, Bataan, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Pampanga, Tarlac and Zambales
IV-Southern Tagalog Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Marinduque, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Palawan, Quezon, Rizal and
Romblon
V-Bicol Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Masbate and Sorsogon
VI-Western Visayas Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Guimaras, Negros Occidental and Iloilo
VII-Central Visayas Cebu, Bohol, Negros Oriental and Siquijor
VIII-Eastern Visayas Biliran, Eastern Samar, Leyte, Northern Samar, Samar and Southern Leyte
IX-Zamboanga Peninsula Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, Isabela City and Zamboanga City
X-Northern Mindanao Bukidnon, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental and Misamis Oriental
XI-Davao Compostela Valley, Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur and Davao Oriental
XII-SOCCSKARGEN Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat, South Cotabato and Sarangani
Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR) Abra, Apayao, Benguet, Ifugao, Kalinga and Mountain Province
Autonomous Region of Muslim Basilan (excluding Isabela City), Lanao del Sur, Maguindanao, Sulu and Tawi-Tawi
Mindanao (ARMM)
Caraga Agusan del Norte, Agusan Del Sur, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte and Surigao del Sur
National Capital Region (NCR)1 Caloocan, Las Piñas, Makati, Malabon, Mandaluyong, Manila, Marikina, Muntinlupa, Navotas, Parañaque,
Pasay, Pasig, Pateros, Quezon City, San Juan, Taguig and Valenzuela
1
NCR is composed of 16 highly-urbanized cities and one municipality (Pateros).