A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T

1 a 2.372373
2 lambda 0.555179
3 b 2.948116 delta A(t)
4 c -0.426231 SSE Rsq stderr
5 0 #VALUE! #DIV/0!

6 Actual
Month Sales Advertising Lagged Sales delta A(t) Forecast Sq Err error
7 1 12 15
8 2 20.5 16 12 Sales Forecast = a + lambda*lastsales + bLn (A(t)) + c*max (0,deltaA(t))
9 3 21 18 20.5
10 4 15.5 27 21
11 5 15.3 21 15.5
12 6 23.5 49 15.3
13 7 24.5 21 23.5
14 8 21.3 22 24.5
15 9 23.5 28 21.3
16 10 28 36 23.5
17 11 24 40 28
18 12 15.5 3 24
19 13 17.3 21 15.5
20 14 25.3 29 17.3
21 15 25 62 25.3
22 16 36.5 65 25
23 17 36.5 46 36.5
24 18 29.6 44 36.5
25 19 30.5 33 29.6
26 20 28 62 30.5
27 21 26 22 28
28 22 21.5 12 26
29 23 19.7 24 21.5
30 24 19 3 19.7
31 25 16 5 19
32 26 20.7 14 16
33 27 26.5 36 20.7
34 28 30.6 40 26.5
35 29 32.3 49 30.6
36 30 29.5 7 32.3
37 31 28.3 52 29.5
38 32 31.3 65 28.3
39 33 32.2 17 31.3
40 34 26.4 5 32.2
41 35 23.4 17 26.4
42 36 16.4 1 23.4