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Crude oil is a naturally occurring and flammable liquid found in rock formations in
the earth. It consists of a complex mixture of hydrocarbons of various molecular weights
plus other organic compounds. It is often referred as the “mother of all commodities”
because of its importance in the manufacturing of a wide variety of materials.
APPLICATIONS
Crude oil is used to produce fuel for cars, trucks, airplanes, boats, and trains. It is also used for manufacturing a
wide variety of other products, including asphalt for roads, lubricants for all kinds of machines, and plastics for toys,
bottles, and food wraps, among others.
Due to the chemical structure of oil, its long hydrocarbon molecules can be “cracked” or recombined into shorter
molecules that have different characteristics. It is because of this property that crude oil can be made into a variety of
products, including tar, gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and natural gas.
metric tonnes (MMT) as compared to 36.942 MMT in FY16. SUPPLY 2015 2016 2017
In 2017-18, up to October ‘17, oil production stood at 21.063 OECD 23.9 23.4 24.1
million metric tonnes. As of 2016, the country had 600 Non OECD 29.7 29.3 29.3
million metric tonnes of proven oil reserves. OPEC 38.4 39.6 39.2
Others 4.5 4.6 4.7
Ÿ Oil consumption in India expanded at a CAGR of 2.98%
Total Supply 96.5 97.0 97.4
during 2008–2017. Consumption of petroleum products has
DEMAND 2015 2016 2017
also been rising with the passing years, and was 183.5 MMT
OECD 46.4 46.9 47.4
in FY15, 184.6 MMT in FY 16 and 193.75 MMT in FY17.
Non OECD 48.6 49.3 50.4
Ÿ In FY17, total crude oil imports were valued at USD 80.3 Total Demand 95.0 96.2 97.8
billion as compared to USD70 billion in FY16. In FY17, Source: IEA, Oil Market Report-April 2018
imports accounted for 82% of the country’s total oil
demand. In FY18, up to October ‘17, Crude Oil Production
and Imports stood at 0.42 mbpd and 2.52 mbpd
respectively.
INDIA CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION
Ÿ Rapid economic growth is leading to increasing demand of
oil for production and transportation. Hence, India’s 250
200
dependency on oil imports is likely to increase further.
150
MMT
Mangalore, Karnataka.
Variants:
Two factors that determine the market value of a specific FUTURES OPTIONS
grade of crude oil are density (measured in American
Petroleum Institute (API) gravity) and the sulphur content,
CONTRACTS Vs CONTRACTS
respectively, which are representative of how light and
sweet or sour the crude oil is.
DEFINITION
West Texas Intermediate
A high-quality crude oil explored and physically traded in An agreement which
the U.S., West Texas Intermediate is one of the largest
gives the buyer the
traded commodity in the world. Its API gravity is An agreement to buy
right but not the
approximately 39º API and has 0.24% sulphur content. The or sell an underlying
obligation to buy or
New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX Division of CME on a certain date and
sell an underlying at
Group) is the primary exchange facilitating futures trade in at a certain price, in
a certain price on or
this light sweet crude oil. the future.
before a certain
date.
Brent Crude Oil
Crude oil from the North Sea, UK, Brent is a pricing OBLIGATION
benchmark for crude from Europe and Africa. With an API
gravity of 38º API and 0.4% or less of sulphur content by
weight, Brent crude oil is the second most traded variety of Buyer and seller are Only seller is
crude in the world. both obligated to obligated to honour
honour the contract the contract on
Middle East Crude Oil upon expiry. expiration.
It is generally taken as the arithmetic average of Dubai and
Oman crude grades. An API gravity between 31º API and
37º API and 2.05% or less of sulphur content by weight
MARGIN ACCOUNT
makes Middle East Crude Oil a heavy and sour crude oil. It
is a variety with a very large physical market in the Gulf
region. Most of the Indian refineries use crude Both parties need to Only option writer
benchmarked against Middle East Sour Crude Oil. TOCOM maintain a margin. maintains a margin.
is a prominent futures trading platform that offers trading
in this grade of crude oil.
ADVANCE PAYMENT/
CONTRACT PRICING
FACTORS AFFECTING MARKET FUNDAMENTALS:
Ÿ Prices ruling in the international markets
Requires upfront
Ÿ Currency exchange rate movements, especially, the US No, except the
fixed premium from
dollar initial margin.
the buyer.
Ÿ Economic factors: industrial growth, global financial
crisis, recession, and inflation
Ÿ OPEC announcements RISKS
Ÿ Weather variability
Ÿ Government trade policies (import duties, penalties, Option buyer has
and quotas) Both buyer and
seller have limited risk; Option
Ÿ Geopolitical events writer has unlimited
unlimited risk.
Ÿ Changes in the refining sector; for example, a drop in risk.
the refinery utilisation rate
Ÿ US crude and product inventories data
CRUDE OIL PRICE MOVEMENT*
*MCX crude oil futures near month prices
6300
Expectations of tightening supply in the global oil
5800
market in coming months because of Iran sanctions.
5300
`/Barrel
3800
3300
2800
Shrinking US stockpiles and amid Oversupply of crude oil in market as US pumps
2300
Output Curbs by OPEC and Allies. 11.6 million barrels of crude oil per day.
1800
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