Demand Forecast

Product 01 (Extension Cord)

Demand Forecast
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16
No. of 20 22 28 19 20 27 21 20 28 21 21 23
working
days
Plan 100k 120k 130k 150k 180k 200k 200k 160k 175k 175k 150k 150k
No. of 5,000 5,455 4,643 7,987 9,000 7,407 9,524 8,000 6,250 8,333 7,143 6,522
units
per day
Output 100,239 120,797 130,063 147,019 181,760 200,448 201,120 161,280 179200 174,300 157,500 148950

Variance

January
Jan. Hrs/Unit = 7.5 hours ~ 1 hour
16 113 units 15 units
No. of 20
working
= 0.07 hour x 60 mins
days unit 1 hour
Plan 100k = 4 mins /unit
No. of 5,000 Cycle time = 4 mins/unit
units
per day = 15 units/hour
Output 100,239 = 113 units/working
Variance day

Within 20 days of work

No. of days No. of workers No. of absent workers Output
/ on-leave
5 44 1 24,860
113 x 10 x 45 0 50,850
5 43 2 24,429
Total 100,239
 February
Feb. Hrs/Unit = 7.5 hours ~ 1 hour
16 113 units 15 units
No. of 22
working
= 0.07 hour x 60 mins
days unit 1 hour
Plan 120k = 4 mins /unit
No. of 5,455 Cycle time = 4 mins/unit
units
per day = 15 units/hour
Output 120,797 = 113 units/working
Variance day

Within 22 days of work

No. of days No. of workers No. of absent workers Output
/ on-leave
14 49 0 77,518
113 x 7 x 48 1 5,311
1 47 2 37,968
Total 120,797

March
March Hrs/Unit = 7.5 hours ~ 1 hour
. 16
113 units 15 units
No. of 28
working = 0.07 hour x 60 mins
days unit 1 hour
Plan 130k = 4 mins /unit
No. of 5,455 Cycle time = 4 mins/unit
units
per day
= 15 units/hour
Output 130,063
= 113 units/working
Variance day

Within 22 days of work

No. of days No. of workers No. of absent workers Output
/ on-leave
9 42 0 42,714
113 x 13 x 41 1 60,229
6 40 2 27,120
Total 130,063
 April-May-June-July-Aug-Sept
April April
May 16 June 16 July 16 Aug Sept 16
16 16 Hrs/Unit = 7.5 hours ~ 1 hour
No. of No.19of 1920 27 21 20 28 128 units 17 units
working working
days days = 0.059 hour x 60 mins
175k
Plan Plan 180k 200k 200k 160k unit 1 hour
150k 150k
= 3.5 mins /unit
No. of No.7,895
of 9,000
7,895 7,407 9,524 8,000 6,250
units units Cycle time = 3.5 mins/unit
per day per day
Output Output 181,760
147,019 147,019 200,448 201,120 161,280 179,200 = 17 units/hour
= 128 units/working
Variance Variance
day

Within 19 days of work

Month No. of days No. of Inventory Output
workers
April 19 42 1,099 147,019

May 20 41 181,760

June 27 40 200,448
128 x July
x 21 74
+ 2,208 201,120

Aug 20 63 161,280

Sept 28 50 179200
 Oct16 Nov 16 Dec
Oct-Nov-Dec
No. of 21 21 23
Hrs/Unit = 7.5 hours ~ 1 hour
working
days
150 units 20 units
= 3 mins /unit
Plan 175k 150k 150k = 150 units/working day

No. of 8,333 7,143 6,522

units per Cycle time = 3 mins/unit
day
= 20 units/hour
Output 174,300 157,500 148,950
= 150 units/working
Variance day

Within 19 days of work

Month No. of days No. of Last month’s Output
workers Inventory
Oct 21 54 4200 174,300
Nov 21 50 157,500
150 x x +
Dec 23 42 7,500 148950