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Technical Analysis
Course - Part 1
Surfing the Waves with Richard Tataru
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ELLIOTT WAVE PRINCIPLE – COURSE MODULE 3
AUTHOR’S THOUGHTS 4
Sit back and surf the waves, it’ll be worth your while!
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ELLIOTT WAVE PRINCIPLE – COURSE MODULE
This course is delivered in a way that allows you to develop a whole new approach to trad-
ing or to perfect your current strategy. Besides the Elliott Wave Principle, it will also include
Fibonacci Mathematical Measurements, Consolidation Areas, Points of Interest or Vibra-
tion Levels, Divergences (Differences in the Price Action), Types of Structure, and so much
more.
The course will be delivered in a series of EBooks to allow you to progress through the
course at your own pace.
Before we get started on the Elliot Wave Course and talk about how this Principle can be
applied to Forex & CFD trading, please be aware that that the following material has been
published for educational purposes only and should not be considered as immediate
investment advice. Should you attempt to use any of the information provided, please
acknowledge the risks involved.
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AUTHOR’S THOUGHTS
In my personal opinion, this is by far the This module will be split into two catego-
most reliable leading analysis tool that a ries; a basic and an advanced approach.
trader can have in his/her arsenal and can
be a significant asset to you if applied
correctly.
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BASIC MODULE
INTRODUCTION TO ELLIOTT WAVE PRINCIPLE
After a brief introduction into the Wave Principle and what it can do. Let’s take a step back
in time and assess why this trading technique intrigues so many people.
Ralph Nelson Elliott was American accountant who, in the early 30’s, studied around 75
years’ worth of stock market data. The data consisted mostly of indexes from annual
data, all the way down to 30 min charts. He discovered that the Stock Market did not
move randomly and chaotically as it was initially believed to, and that it followed natural
laws, which could be measured and predicted using the Fibonacci sequence (golden
ratio). In short, Elliott identified that prices unfolded in specific patterns.
t
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Elliott developed this amazing analytical tool in the 1930’s. Then in 1938, he published his
theory of market behavior in the book entitled ‘’The Wave Principle’’.
Elliott was a genius. His inspiration came from understanding the ‘Dow Theory’ which
then progressed to a point where he could measure and predict significant Stock Market
movement. Elliott understood the mechanics of trends and counter-trends and saw that
Charles Dow (the founder of modern technical analysis) had indeed been correct with his
theory. Elliott implemented his own thoughts and created a masterpiece, resulting in his
unbelievable and accurate predictions of the Stock Market Crash.
Confidence Hope
Growing recognition Disbelief
Caution Apprehension
Skepticism Shock & fear
Disdain Surrender
Disgust
Time
Elliott’s theory intrigued many, especially after the book with the same name, “The Wave
Principle” was published in 1978. In the book Robert Prechter and A.J. Frost rescue Elliott’s
discovery from obscurity.
So, you see, even after more than 80 years, this amazing theory and pattern is still being
used by hundreds of thousands of traders and investors worldwide.
When setting goals, it is a must to ask these three questions. Thus far, we have covered the
‘’what’’ in the Elliott Wave explanation. The ‘’why’’ is very simple: Wave Traders use this tech-
nique to trade better or more successfully and aim to generate a certain profit consistency. But
“how”? That, my fellow traders, is the million-dollar question. The answer lies within the course.
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R.N. ELLIOTT’S LEGACY
As previously discussed in the Author’s thoughts; Elliott believed that market cycles came
about from investor reactions. The price action movements reflect investors buy or sell
sentiment. Market cycles can be broken down into repetitive patterns which can then be
broken down into waves. These waves are what we will be identifying, counting and
analyzing in Elliot wave analysis.
Wave 2
can
NEVER
go
b yond
e
the start
of
Wave 1
Before we begin learning about patterns in the concept, we must remember that there
are 3 commandments, stated by R.N Elliott that are imperative to the theory:
These rules, just like all rules in general, are bent sometimes, so don’t be afraid to think
outside the box and question everything.
What I would suggest is that when one of these 3 rules are broken, then a review needs
to be done for the wave count.
With that being said, next we’re going to go over some important bullet-points to be
treated as guidelines when using Wave Analysis.
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BASIC SEQUENCE & WAVE PATTERN
There are 2 choices that one can make when applying the Elliot Wave theory to his/her
charts and when counting the waves, Simple and Advanced. The Simple technique implies
counting the waves normally (without any solid understanding) and the Advanced implies
going more technical and recognizing the Impulsive or Corrective structure type.
We will start with the Simple Approach and then move towards the Advanced one and
expand our trading senses.
3 B
1
4 5 A
3 C
2 5
5
3 5
3 5
The Market has a law of its own and the progression unfolds in ‘’Waves’’, as R.N. Elliott
called each Price Action Swing.
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5
3 B
1
4 5 A
3 C
2 5
5
3 5
3 5
Wave Sequence:
In a Dominant Trend, progress ultimately takes the form of 5 Waves, which are labeled with
numbers; 1,2,3,4,5.
Three of these swings, which are 1, 3 and 5, affect the overall direction in favor of the Domi-
nant Trend. These Swings are known as Motive Waves or Impulses.
Within the 5 Wave Sequence, the 3 Waves that unfold in favor of the Dominant Trend are
separated by 2 countertrend interruptions, which are labeled as 2 and 4. These Swings
represent a temporary interruption of the Impulse Waves, hence why they are called
Corrective Waves.
Simply put, the Wave Principle states that; a Full Cycle is made up of 8 Swings. The Market
moves with 5 Waves in the direction of the Main Trend with 3 Waves against it.
Once the Impulsive Phase is complete, then the Trend Corrective Legs unfold and act as a
pull-back. Labeled A, B & C.
Structures:
Impulsive or Motive Waves come in 3 forms: Extensions, Ending and Leading Diagonals.
Corrective Waves come in 5 forms: Zig-Zag, Flat, Triangle, Double & Triple Three.
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Time for some fun facts!
So, if you don’t want to complicate things, you can apply the basic theory, 12345-ABC, simple
right? BUT! It’s not that simple, if only it would be.
If you aspire for greater accuracy levels, then the advanced technique would be of benefit.
Impulsive or Corrective Waves are Fractal by nature meaning that they are usually
formed from other Elliott Waves. So, you will find an Elliot Wave within a larger Elliot
Wave as each wave has ‘sub-waves’.
Impulse Wave 3 is usually the strongest swing but sometimes 5 can be just as strong.
Traders can take profit on the 3rd Impulsive Wave then after the 4th Retracement
Wave, they can get in again on the 5th Impulsive Wave. Or simply put, traders became
accustomed to the Elliott method and this is why the 5th Wave tends to have a bigger
impact on the charts, especially in the commodities market.
Most of the time, Impulse 3 contains an extension, which would imply Impulse 5 has the
same length as Impulse 1.
Corrective Waves 2 & 4 can have 2 forms; Simple (3 moves) and Complex (5 moves). If
Wave 2 is Simple, then Wave 4 will be Complex and vice versa, due to the Law of Alterna-
tion. Usually, corrective wave 2 unfolds with a Zig-Zag Structure.
Sometimes, on rare occasions, the C Corrective Wave can transcend into Impulse Wave1.
Wave C always unfolds with a 5 Wave Sequence.
Wave B and Wave X always unfold with a 3 Wave Sequence and are known to be the
cause of Market uncertainty, fake break-outs or even Structure change.tt
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ABC Correctives can provide a strong gain, depending on the size of the Impulsive Waves.
This is because at the end of the 5th Wave, Divergences occur giving Traders the possibili-
ty to spot the difference in the price action.
For example in an up-trend a new high would be created while the volumes would
decrease, meaning that Bulls pushed the Market higher but they are not justifying a
continuation with enough liquidity, leaving room for Bears to take over.
When the Market goes into a Correction, the correction itself would often end its first
swings inside the price territory of the previous Wave 4 of a lesser degree. This is valid
exclusively for a Wave 4 which would end in the territory of the previous Wave 4, within
the main Impulse 3.
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