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Summary
Soil properties mapped in two intensive surveys had large nugget variances, leading
to large estimation variances and erratic isarithms when mapped by punctual kriging. I t
i s likely that both surveyors and survey clients are interested in average values of soil
properties over areas rather than point values, and such values can be obtained by
block kriging. Estimation variances are very much smaller, and maps of sodium and stone
content at Plas Gogerddan, Central Wales, kriged over blocks 920m’. and thickness of
cover loam at Hole Farm, Norfolk, kriged over blocks o f 400mZ. are much smoother
than the punctually kriged maps. The map of Hole Farm has a distinct and meaningful
regional pattern.
[*,] = A-'b
I
(3) is replaced by the integral y(x,, x)p(x) dx, wherep(x) is given as follows.
1
if x belongs to V
(4)
p(x) = 0 otherwise,
and
\p(x) dx = 1. (5)
The coefficients for block kriging are therefore given by
[ :]= A-'s,
where
336 T. M. BURGESS and R. WEBSTER
The estimation variance for the area H, is
Comparison of equation (8) with that for the estimation variance of a point
(Equation (12) of Part I) will show that an additional term, the double
integral on the right, has appeared. This is the average variance between
points within V, the within-block variance of classical statistics.
Examples of block kriging
The above modifications were made to the kriging equations used for
interpolation in Part 11, and the following results obtained.
The sodium content for Cae Rue1 at Plas Gogerddan was estimated for
square regions equal in area to four grid cells, i.e. 100 ft x 100 ft (30.5m
x 30.5m). Sixteen data points were used to interpolate the centre points of
the regions at 25 ft intervals, i.e. on a 7.6m mesh grid, with the linear
semi-variogram
y(h) = 8.7 + 1.69 lhl
for h s 4 units of 50 ft (15.7m) as before. The estimation variances in the
central part of the map were
* 0 *
0.8007 0.8075 0.8007
0 0 0 * observation point
0.8075 0.81 5 1 0.8075 0 additional point
* 0
0.8007 0.8075 0.8007,
and are very much less than those for punctual kriging. Within-block
variance was 10.46, somewhat more than the nugget variance, as is to be
expected. The map of average sodium content is shown in Figure 1, and
should be compared with Figure 3 of Part 1. The fine detail of the latter
has gone, and only a few large patches of high value remain.
Values of stone content were interpolated for the same-sized regions
using the nearest 20 observation points and taking account of the anistropy
in the semi-variances:
y(h) = 10.0 + (8.02 - 6.54 sin2(6 - 2.54)). Ih I
where 8 is the angle in radians between the direction of change and the
orientation of the grid and h is in units of 50 ft (15.2m). The estimation
variances for the central portion of the map were
* 0 *
0.5664 0.615 1 0.5664
0 0 0 * observation points
0.6014 0.5670 0.6014 0 other points
* 0 *
0.5664 0.615 1 0.5664
ISARITHMIC MAPPING I1 337
f2\
FIG. 1. Map of sodium content at Plas Gogerddan made by block kriging over areas of
920m2. Only the isarithm for 20 meq/lOkg appears.
The within-block variance was 15.09. Figure 2 is the map of average stone
content. Again the fine detail has gone, revealing relatively large patches
where the stone content exceeds 30 per cent, and a general trend to less
stoniness towards the top left.
Block kriging of the thickness of cover loam at Hole Farm was carried
out for squares 40m x 40m, i.e. four grid cells, using 25 observation points
and interpolating values every 6.67m. The semi-variogram was
FIG. 2. Map of stone content at Plas Gogerddan made by block kriging over areas of Y20m2
with isarithms at intervals of 10 per cent.
FIG. 3. lsarithm map of thickness of cover loam in cm at Hole Farm kriged over blocks of
40m*.
ISARITHMIC MAPPING I1 339
These are only about one tenth of those for punctual kriging. Within-block
variance was 369.2. Figure 3 shows the map of average depth. The short
range ‘noise’ evident in Figure 5 of Part I has been eliminated, and
regional pattern is now clear. The map may be compared with the one
made using SYMAP (Figure 12.8 in Webster, 1977).
Cosmetics
The relative smoothness of maps made by block kriging and the likeness
of such maps to those made by other techniques such as SYMAP raise the
matter of visual appearance. The smoother maps might be thought to look
better. The question will undoubtedly be asked: is it worth going to the
trouble of kriging if a simpler method, perhaps embodied in standard
software, can produce a similar map? The question is largely irrelevant, for
the purpose of block kriging is to provide accurate estimates of soil
properties for blocks of land with known error. The technique is only
incidentally cosmetic.
Error Maps
When maps are compiled from several sources, from a survey of
different intensities, or from air photography of varying quality, it is usual
to present reliability diagrams to accompany them. Similarly estimation
variances can be mapped as an adjunct to kriging. This is valuable where
FIG. 4. Error map of sodium content at Plas Gogerddan for block kriging over areas of
920m2. Isarithms are in units of (meq/tOkg)*, from the innermost 1.0 in steps of 0.2 t o the
outermost, 1.4.
340 T. M. BURGESS and R. WEBSTER
the data points are irregularly scattered (see, for example, Huijbregts,
1975). Error maps from regularly gridded data are not very interesting
since the same pattern is repeated within each cell, and in the case of block
kriging do not vary much throughout the central part of the map.
However, at the edges of a map there are effectively fewer data points
from which to interpolate, and the error increases substantially. Figure 4 is
an example. It is the error map of sodium kriged over lOOft x 1OOft
blocks at Plas Gogerddan.
If values at the edge of a region are to be estimated with the same
confidence as those elsewhere then the observation grid should be
extended somewhat beyond the bounds of the region.
Conclusion
Kriging is clearly an advanced technique. It can involve heavy computing,
especially if the observation points are irregularly scattered. For kriging to
be worthwhile data must be collected at short intervals so that they are
spatially dependent, and sample transects at least must be sampled densely
to provide accurate estimates of the semi-variogram. These are all reasons
why kriging has not been used previously for soil mapping. Now that soil
scientists are aware of the method and of its advantages, and with
computing costs falling rapidly the first two are no longer stumbling blocks.
Only the cost of obtaining sufficient data is just cause for not using these
optimal methods.
However, semi-variograms can be computed from transect data collected
in a reconnaissance stage of survey, and can then be used to estimate the
interpolation error for any given sampling density, and hence cost, in the
subsequent main part of the survey. Armed with semi-variograms those
who commission and plan soil survey can judge what sampling effort to
devote to achieve maps of any given precision, or alternatively what can be
achieved for given effort, or indeed whether they can obtain maps with the
required precision for the cost they can afford.
Planners and surveyors must also consider whether they really want to
predict values of soil properties at points. We believe that they will usually
be interested in average values over areas, and that block kriging is likely
to prove more appropriate than punctual kriging. It remains only to decide
the area of such blocks, and this must depend on the particular
circumstances of each survey.
Acknowledgements
We thank Dr. D. 1. H. Jones and Mr. T. A. Thomas of the Welsh Plant
Breeding Station for the data from their soil survey, and Mr. W. M.
Corbett and Dr. S. Nortcliff who provided the data for Hole Farm used
here and in Part I. We also thank the Natural Environment Research
Council for their award of a CASE studentship to TMB and Dr. P. H.T.
Beckett for his help and interest.
REFERENCES
BURGESS. T. M. and WEBSTER, R. 1980. Optimal interpolation and isarithmic mapping of
soil properties 1 The semi-variogram and punctual kriging. Journal of Soil Science 31,
3 15-331.
ISARITHMIC MAPPING II 34 1
HUIJBREGTS. C. J. 1975. Regionalized variables and quantitative analysis of spatial data.
In: Disptay and analysis of sparial dara (editors J. C. Davis and M. J . McCullagh),
pp. 38-53, London: Wiley.
WEBSTER, R. 1977. Quanrirativc and numerical merhoh in soil classificurion and survey.
Oxford University Press.