LAPORAN PRAKTIKUM EKOLOGI UMUM

ESTIMASI UKURAN POPULASI

Oleh :
Kelas D2/Kelompok 3
1. Aisyah Rizkyning A.S (081811433016)
2. Ihda Amalia Rosyida (081811433026)

Dosen Pembimbing : Intan Ayu Pratiwi,S.Si.,M.Si

Asisten Dosen : Sanya Dian Firda

PROGRAM STUDI S1 BIOLOGI

DEPARTEMEN BIOLOGI
FAKULTAS SAINS DAN TEKNOLOGI
UNIVERSITAS AIRLANGGA
SURABAYA
2019
 POPULATION SIZE ESTIMATION
Aisyah Rizkyning Astri Sugiarto, Ihda Amalia Rosyida
S1 Biology Study Program, Faculty of Science and Technology
Airlangga University
Surabaya
2019
ABSTRACT
This practicum aims to simulate population size estimation and learn how
to estimate population size. This practicum was held on October 24, 2019 at
08.50-10.30 in the 227th laboratory of the Faculty of Science and Technology,
Airlangga University. The methods used in determining population size estimation
in this practicum were Peterson's method, Schnabel's method and Schumacher-
Eschmeyer method by using 2 jars contain 1392 purple beads and 1060 white
beads. From the data processing that had been done, it showed the differences in
the results of the calculation of the Peterson method, Schnabel method and
Schumacher-Eschmeyer method. In the first practicum using the Petersen method,
bias obtained was 478.5 with a percentage difference of 66% and Unbiaswas 340
with a percentage difference of 75%. For the Schnabel method, 1199 was
obtained with a different percentage of 14%. For the Schumacher-Eschmeyer
method, 1343 was obtained with a percentage difference of 4%. In the second
practice using the Petersen method, the bias obtained was 1020 with a difference
of 27%, while theUnbiaswas 542.5 with a percentage of 61%. For the Schnabel
method 1204 was obtained with a 14% different percentage. For the Schumacher-
Eschmeyer method, 1286 was obtained with a percentage difference of 7.6%.
Thus it can be concluded that the most appropriate method used is the
Schumacher-Eschmeyer method because the results approach the number of
factual beads A.

Keywords: Population estimation, Beads, Method, Population Size, Population.

HASIL

Table 1. Ulangan 1

Sampel 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jumlah 29 33 35 31 27 33 34 32 34 33
Nilai : A. Max :35 B. Min : 27 C. Rata-rata : 32.1 D. Sd : 2.469 E. D/C
: 7.69%

Table 2. Ulangan 2

Sampel 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jumlah 31 30 30 34 37 36 37 36 39 37
Nilai : A. Max :39 B. Min : 30 C. Rata-rata : 34.7 D. Sd : 3.267 E. D/C
: 9.4%

Table 3. Hasil Simulasi Estimasi Populasi Praktikan 1

Sampel Jumlah Individu

Ct Rt Wt Mt Mt ² C t Mt ² R t Mt C t Mt
1 34 0 34 0 0 0 0 0
2 30 1 29 34 1156 34680 34 1020
3 36 5 31 63 3969 142884 315 2268
4 31 1 30 94 8836 273916 94 2914
5 35 3 32 124 15376 538160 372 4340
6 30 7 23 156 24336 730080 1092 4680
7 38 5 33 179 32041 1217558 895 6802
8 33 4 29 212 44944 1483152 848 6996
9 35 9 26 241 58081 2032835 2169 8435
10 37 6 31 267 71289 2637693 1602 9879
11 31 6 25 298 88804 2752924 1788 9238
Jumlah 370 47 323 1668 348832 11843882 9209 56572

Jumlah monte faktual A (hasil cacah) : 1392

Metode Peterson

Peterson Bias Peterson Unbias

𝑀 (𝑀+1)(𝐶+1)
N=𝐶×𝑅 N= (𝑅+1)
34 (34+1)(30+1)
N = 30 × N=
1 (1+1)

N = 1020 N = 542.5
 𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛−𝑃𝑒𝑟ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑛𝑔𝑎𝑛 𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛−𝑃𝑒𝑟ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑛𝑔𝑎𝑛
% Kesalahan = % Kesalahan =
𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛 𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛
1392−1020 1392−542.5
= × 100% = × 100%
1392 1392

=27% =61%

Metode Schnabel

∑(CtMt)
N= ∑ 𝑅𝑡

56572
N= 47

N = 1203.66 (1204)
𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛−𝑃𝑒𝑟ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑛𝑔𝑎𝑛
% Kesalahan = 𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛

1392−1204
= × 100%
1392

= 14%

Metode Schumacher-Eschmeyer

∑(CtMt²)
N=
∑(𝑅𝑡𝑀𝑡)

11843882
N= 9209

N = 12886.12 (1286)
1392−1286
% Kesalahan = × 100%
1392

= 7.6%
Table 4. Hasil Simulasi Estimasi Populasi Praktikan 2

Sampel Jumlah Individu

Ct Rt Wt Mt Mt² CtMt² RtMt CtMt
1 33 0 33 0 0 0 0 0
2 29 2 27 33 1089 31581 66 957
3 39 4 35 60 3600 140400 240 2340
4 40 6 34 95 9025 361000 570 3800
5 34 3 31 129 16641 565794 387 4386
6 35 5 30 160 25600 896000 800 5600
7 37 7 30 190 36100 1335700 1330 7030
8 31 5 26 220 48400 1500400 1100 6820
9 35 4 31 246 60516 2118060 984 8610
10 40 8 32 277 76729 3069160 2216 11080
11 38 8 30 309 95481 3628278 2472 11742
Jumlah 391 52 339 1719 373181 13646373 10165 62365

Jumlah monte faktual A (hasil cacah) : 1392

Metode Peterson

Peterson Bias Peterson Unbias

𝑀 (𝑀+1)(𝐶+1)
N=𝐶×𝑅 N= (𝑅+1)
33 (33+1)(29+1)
N = 29 × N=
2 (2+1)

N = 478.5 N = 340
𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛−𝑃𝑒𝑟ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑛𝑔𝑎𝑛 𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛−𝑃𝑒𝑟ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑛𝑔𝑎𝑛
% Kesalahan = 𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛
% Kesalahan = 𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛
1392−478.5 1392−340
= × 100% = × 100%
1392 1392

= 66 % = 75 %
Metode Schnabel

∑(CtMt)
N= ∑ 𝑅𝑡

62365
N= 52

N = 1199.32 (1199)
𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛−𝑃𝑒𝑟ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑛𝑔𝑎𝑛
% Kesalahan = 𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛

1392−1199
= × 100%
1392

= 14%

Metode Schumacher-Eschmeyer

∑(CtMt²)
N=
∑(𝑅𝑡𝑀𝑡)

13646373
N= 10165

N = 1342.48 (1343)
𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛−𝑃𝑒𝑟ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑛𝑔𝑎𝑛
% Kesalahan = 𝐾𝑒𝑛𝑦𝑎𝑡𝑎𝑎𝑛

1392−1342
= × 100%
1392

=4%