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India-USrelations
Theshockofthenew
ona journey
Indiais todayembarked bymanydreams.
inspired We
welcomehavingAmericaby our side. Thereis muchwe can
accomplish together.2
HISTORICAL OVERVIEW
3 Quoted in Angadipuram Appadorai and M.S. Rajan, India's Foreign Policy and
Relations (New Delhi: South Asian Publishers, 1985), 216.
Economicfactors
In 1991,a watershed in Indianhistory, facedwitha seriousbalanceof
payments crisis,Prime MinisterRao's government initiatedsignificant
reformsto liberalizethe Indian economyunderthe stewardship of
Manmohan Singh, thenthefinance minister. Thisopenedthedoortoforeign
private a significant
capital, amountofwhichwasAmerican. from
Starting
US$165 millionin 1992, annualforeign directinvestment in Indiashotup
to$2.14billionby1997,a 13-fold increase.4Similarly,
two-way tradebetween
IndiaandtheUS grewdramatically duringthisperiod(despitefalling as a
shareoftotalglobaltrade)andin 2006 stoodatalmost$30.6billion.5 The
UnitedStatesin2006 accounted fornearly ofIndianexports.
one-sixth The
growth ofIndia's knowledge economy and theglobaloutsourcing industry
brought aboutmultipleprivatesectorlinkages.Economictiestherefore
playeda vitalroleinpiloting thenewrelationship.
Nowhere was thismoreevidentthanon theissueofnucleartesting.
Although an Indiannuclearweaponsprogram hadbeenintheoffing since
thelate1970swhenChina'sassistancefora Pakistanweaponsprogram
becameknown,RajivGandhiinitiated a covertnuclearweaponsprogram
in
only 1988, based on a nuclear
potential threatfromPakistan. By1994the
Rao government was readyto test.However,testing was delayedby
considerationsofthepossibleimpactofUS sanctions on thenascentpost-
reformIndianeconomy. withStrobe
Rao,ina conversation thenUS
Talbott,
deputy
secretaryofstate, thatIndiawasawareoftheimportance
indicated of
into
integration the globaleconomy and closerelations
withtheUS. He
emphasizedthatIndia's economicsecurity wouldbe jeopardizedif it
its
"overplayed nuclearcard/'6
Politicalfactors
Economic interdependence moreoften thannottendstomoderate thetone
ofpolitical differences between nations. On a
this, new factor was at play.
The1990sbrought totheforea numberofwealthy IndianAmericans who
learned tomobilize and
politically build relationships withinthe US congress
so as to influence policytowardsIndiaand southAsia. The US census
countedover2.5millionAmericans ofIndianoriginin 2007.Themedian
incomeof a familyin thisgroupis almost79 percenthigherthanthe
nationalmedian.7IndianAmericansraisedgrowingsums on behalfof
politicalcandidates as ofthe1992election. Theresulting influence yielded
higher levelsofinterest withincongress in issuespertaining toIndia,such
thatmorethana quarterofthemembersofthehouseofrepresentatives
joinedan informal congressional caucusaimedat fostering India-USties.
This,in turn,tempered traditionallegislative hostilitytowards Indiaas
evincedbythedefeat(from1996 onwards)ofthe"Burton amendments,"
whichhadbeentraditionally passedevery year and were designed toreduce
foreign aid to India.In 2005 and 2006, Indian Americans also undertook a
majorlobbying effort the
topromote passage oflaws allowing nuclear
civilian
cooperation withIndia.
Indianpolicymakers also began to reassesstheirtraditional anti-
Americanism and nonalignedrhetoric.The late 1980s producedan
increasingly fragmented multiparty politicalsystem thatcreated ideological
andpolitical spacefor new voicesinthe articulation of Indian foreignpolicy.
By 1991, the Bharatiya Janataparty's election manifesto was already
dismissing nonalignment as an outdated ideology.The1990sintroduced an
Indianapproachto foreign policygroundedin realpolitik. Thiswas the
to the of
precursor age "strategic partnerships" forIndia. By 2005, Indiahad
concluded suchpartnerships withChina,Iran,Japan, andtheUnitedStates,
arrangement thatfavoured
themajorpowers, doubtlesscontributingtoits
loss in an electionfora UN security
councilseatlaterin theyear,which
Indianofficials attributed
primarily to thechequebook
(ifconveniently)
diplomacy ofthe successful
opponent,Japan.
Buttherecanbe nodoubtthattheendoftheColdWarliberated India's
foreign policyandallowedittochooseitsfriends
morefreely, and
creatively,
nonexclusively.
Pokhran-II anditsimpact
In May1998,Indiadetonated fivenucleardevicesatPokhran, thesiteofits
firstnucleartest24 yearsearlier.Barelytwoweekslater, Pakistan detonated
six nucleardevicesat the Chagai Hills. These eventssharplyfocused
President Clintonandhis administration's attention on southAsia (until
thenlargely a diplomatic backwater forClinton'steam).The immediate
American response was toplace economic sanctionsonbothcountries. But,
in a paradoxicaloutcome, as C. RajaMohanargues,thetestsofMay1998
wereactually thebeginning oftheendofnonproliferation disagreements
between thetwocountries. "Solongas Indiaremained undecided aboutwhat
itwantedtodo withnuclearweapons,itwasnatural thattheUnitedStates
woulddo everything toprevent Indiafrombecominga nuclearweapons
power,"he writes.10 A high-level negotiation processwas startedby
Washington withlong-term objectivesalongthreelines- nonproliferation,
progressinrelationswithIndia,andcontinued support forPakistan as a pro-
western Islamicstate.Ideological andstrategic differenceswithIndiawere
put aside by the US in the interestof managinga volatilenuclear
subcontinent.Thisvindicated theIndianviewthat"theworldgivesrespect
tocountries withnuclearweapons."11
EvidenceofAmerican respect forIndia'sconcerns camethefollowing
yearwhenPakistanlauncheda daringbutrecklessoffensive on Indian
in the
territory Kargil districtofKashmir. to
Contrarypastexperience, India
foundtheUS willing toplaceresponsibility fortheaggression squarely on
Pakistan'sshoulders it
and subsequently pressured Prime Minister Nawaz
Shariftowithdraw histroops.On thenuclearquestion, domestic lobbiesin
io C. Raja Mohan, Crossing the Rubicon: The Shaping of India's New Foreign Policy
(New York:Viking,2003), 89.
11 Perkovich,"The measure of India," quoting I.K. Gujral,formerIndian prime minister
and foreignminister.
partnership
Strategic
On 18 July2005, thetwocountriesannouncedthemostwide-ranging
partnershipinthehistory oftheirbilateral
relations,
coveringtheeconomy,
energysecurity, democracy promotion, defence cooperation,and high
and
technology spacecooperation. The most aspectofthe
controversial
agreementwas Bush'scommitment to "work withfriendsand toadjust
allies
internationalregimesto enablefullcivilnuclearenergy cooperationand
tradewithIndia."12In effect,
theUS explicitlyrecognizedand castitself
as
to
prepared legitimize thenuclear weaponsprogram ofa non-NPT state
that
had consistentlyopposedtheglobalnonproliferation regime(though, as
Indiaclaimedin itsdefence, ithad de factofulfilled
thenonproliferation
of
objectives an NPT state).
A critical
testofthenewrelationship camelatein2005whenIndiavoted
alongwiththeUnitedStatesagainstIranattheInternational Atomic Energy
Rediscovering commonvalues
The post-1990story ofIndia-USrelationsis notjustabouttheendofthe
ColdWar,India'ssecondroundofnucleartests,oreconomic liberalization.
Itis alsoaboutrediscovering
commonpolitical values.Formostofthe20th
century, American failedtosee thepotential
policymakers in Indiatobe a
strong (anddemocratic) in
partner Asia. Insteadtherewas a tendency tosee
Indiaas "a revisionist
powerbentonrestructuring theinternational system
Regionalpowerbalances
Therewerea numberofregionaland international factorsthatwerealso
fundamental tothewarming ofIndia-USrelations. Takentogether, a growing
Indiaand an increasingly powerful China all combined to spurIndia-US
entente.On Pakistan,Jaswant Singh, India's former foreignminister,
reportedly proclaimedtohiscounterpart Strobe Talbott in1998thatPakistan
is a "failedstate"whileIndia"staystogether," thusmakingbetter relations
withIndiatherightstrategic choicefortheUnitedStates.18 No longerdid
theUS viewitsactionsinthesubcontinent as a zero-sum gamebetween its
twomostbitter ThisallowedtheUS todeclarePakistan
rivals. a majornon-
NATOallyin 2004 andto signagreements in 2006 forarmstransfers to
Pakistan worth$3.5billionforfighting thewaronterrorism whilebuilding
geostrategically moresignificantlytieswithIndia."[Particularly striking
aboutthebuildingblocksforthenewIndo-U.S.relationship is howlittle
Pakistan figures inthem."19
In fact,China,notPakistan, has gradually emergedas thenewthird
party intheIndia-USrelationship. Varshney describes thisdevelopment as
"a newtriangle" on
predicated realistlogic: "when the first-
and second-
rankedpowersfight, thefirstoftenardently courtsthethird."20 Chinais
growing rapidlyandalthough itsstatedphilosophy of
is one peaceful growth,
itsdefence expenditureshavebeenrisingandnowrankthirdin theworld
behindthe US and Russia.It is also a knownproliferator of nuclear
to like
technology rogueregimes Libya,Pakistan, Iran, and North Korea,
although todayit mayregret thoseearlieractions.Therefore it is hardly
surprising thattheUS gravitated towards India,growing lessrapidly andin
23 Shyam Saran, "The India-US joint statement of July18, 2005: A year later,"in Atish
Sinha and Madhup Mohta, eds., Indian Foreign Policy: Challenges and Opportunities,
(New Delhi: ForeignService Institute,2007), 759-66.
24 Stephen P. Cohen, "The US and south Asia," Seminar 545, January2005.
article
byTeresitaSchaffersuggeststhatonemustnotoverlook theUnited
States'andIndia'scommoninterests andpotentialforcooperation inglobal
governance, particularly
throughinformalinstitutions.25
Withregard totheUnitedStates,
statusrelative
tojuniorpartner India's
deep internaldivisions
overtheIndia-US nucleardeal signalled a national
unwillingnesstoplaysecondfiddle.DespitevotingagainstIrantwiceinthe
IAEA,Indiasought tomaintain relations
positive withthatcountry through
bilateral
channels.Moreover,India'spursuitofenergy security through a
proposed Iran-Pakistan-India
gas pipeline continues to be a source of
disagreement betweenIndiaandtheUnitedStates, as doitsfriendly policies
towards undemocratic regimesin itsneighbourhood, notably Burma.In
theseways,IndiaescapesWashington's controland intendsto continue
doing so.
25 TeresitaC. Schaffer,"The United States, India, and global governance: Can theywork
together?" WashingtonQuarterly-}!,no. 3 (July2009): 71-87.
26 Condoleezza Rice, "Rethinkingthe national interest,"ForeignAffairs87, no. 2 (July-
August 2008): 23.
27 Quoted in Mario E. Carranza, "From nonproliferation to post-proliferation: Explaining
the US-India nuclear deal," Contemporary Security Policy 2%, no.3 (2007): 464-93.
29 The concept of "smart power," seen as a combination of "hard" and "soft" power,
in order to produce positive results is associated withAmerican scholar Joseph Nye.
***
Authors' note:
Thisarticleis intendedtobereadalongside thatofRyanTouhey inthisissue.
His articlearguesthatCanada'srelationship withIndiahas moreclosely
conformed tothatoftheUS thanmanyCanadianstudents ofIndianforeign
policyhave realized. Alert
readers of the two will
articles note thattheonly
in
majordifferenceoutlook between Canada and the United StatesonIndia
overrecent decadesoccurred as a resultoftheinüuenceduring the1980sof
the "freeKhalistanmovement/' for
struggling independence of India's
Punjabstate, on elements of the Sikh community in Canada, ultimately
involving actsofterrorism - notably thedestruction mid-flightwithgreat
lossoflifeofanAirIndiaaircrañin 1985.IndianofficialsbelievedCanadians
oneswerenottaking thethreatseriously enough and were doing littleto
too
combatit.Thisaddedan Indiangrievance totheCanadianoneoverIndia's
1974nucleartest(whichalsogreatly preoccupied theUS.)Arguably, other
differences arisemainlyfroma "great power"perspective in Washington
toa "middle
relative power"viewin Ottawa, andtoIndianperceptions ofthe
relative
importance internationallyofthe two countries.