ISE500 Fall 2018

Assignment 7

Due on 10/08/2018 11:59 P.M. Individual Assignment

I have also included some material on prediction (source – Hines & Montgomery,
1990)

1. The efficiency ratio for a steel specimen immersed in a phosphating tank is

the weight of the phosphate coating, divided by the metal loss.
ISE500 Fall 2018
Assignment 7
Plot and analyze the data. What are your conclusions? Make predictions at a
temperature of 192 of both individual values and of averages of groups of 5
values. What are the implications of the residuals? How well does the regression
fit the data? If you were the manager, would you be satisfied with these results?
If not, what would you ask for? (0.3 points)
Temp. Ratio
170 0.84
172 1.31
173 1.42
174 1.03
174 1.07
175 1.08
176 1.04
177 1.80
180 1.45
180 1.60
180 1.61
180 2.13
180 2.15
181 0.84
181 1.43
182 0.90
182 1.81
182 1.94
182 2.68
184 1.49
184 2.52
185 3.00
186 1.87
188 3.08
ISE500 Fall 2018
Assignment 7
2. Here are the data I collected over 35 years of running marathons. Use the data
to come up with the best estimate, in your opinion, for a regression equation that
could predict my time in a marathon by selecting the best variables.
(Assumptions: age=80, weight=165, mileage=480, 20 milers=0, Course
difficulty=1, temperature=60, after heart attack=Yes. Explain your result and your
assumptions. (0.6 points)

No. of After
8 Week Course WEIGH 20 Heart
DATE PLACE TIME AGE Mileage DIFFICULTY T TEMP milers Attack
SANTA
10/03/71 BARBARA 4:40:21 33.5 209.0 3 144 90 2 0
12/05/71 CULVER CITY 4:58:00 33.6 296.0 1 142 70 3 0
05/27/72 PALOS VERDES 4:05:39 34.1 367.0 4 139 70 0 0
12/03/72 CULVER CITY 3:43:00 34.6 478.0 1 135 65 1 0
06/09/73 PALOS VERDES 4:10:56 35.2 477.0 4 140 65 2 0
06/14/75 PALOS VERDES 3:21:59 37.2 476.0 4 132 65 1 0
01/25/76 ORANGE 3:32:00 37.8 456.0 1 145 70 3 0
06/12/76 PALOS VERDES 4:16:29 38.2 488.0 4 143 65 7 0
10/24/76 NEW YORK 3:09:00 38.5 637.0 1 140 60 1 0
11/20/76 ROSEBOWL 3:23:00 38.6 679.0 1 137 70 3 0
12/05/76 CULVER CITY 3:28:35 38.6 657.0 1 137 65 4 0
06/11/77 PALOS VERDES 3:48:00 39.2 328.0 4 140 65 0 0
01/14/78 SAN DIEGO 3:29:48 39.8 368.0 1 148 75 2 0
01/29/78 ORANGE 3:26:09 39.8 405.0 1 147 60 4 0
02/12/78 HIDDEN VALLEY 3:29:14 39.8 458.0 5 145 55 5 0
03/11/78 LOS ALAMITOS 3:17:25 39.9 505.0 1 144 55 4 0
ORANGE
04/08/78 COUNTY 3:16:05 40.0 540.0 1 141 55 2 0
06/17/78 PALOS VERDES 4:12:00 40.2 399.0 4 142 70 1 0
01/13/80 SAN DIEGO 4:15:03 41.8 322.0 1 139 60 1 0
03/01/87 LOS ANGELES 4:05:03 48.9 362.0 1 143 75 2 0
05/03/87 LONG BEACH 3:58:17 49.1 457.0 1 138 80 2 0
06/13/87 PALOS VERDES 4:28:00 49.2 407.0 4 141 70 3 0
SAN
07/19/87 FRANSISCO 4:18:00 49.3 309.0 3 141 70 2 0
03/06/88 LOS ANGELES 4:18:00 49.9 389.0 1 143 70 1 0
06/11/88 PALOS VERDES 4:46:00 50.2 212.0 4 146 65 0 0
10/30/88 CHICAGO 4:42:00 50.6 328.0 1 143 45 0 0
03/04/90 LOS ANGELES 4:31:00 51.9 420.0 1 151 80 0 0
12/08/91 SAN DIEGO 4:24:00 53.7 475.0 3 149 55 2 0
01/24/93 SAN DIEGO 4:35:00 54.8 401.0 3 148 55 1 0
02/07/93 LONG BEACH 4:19:00 54.8 407.0 1 146 55 2 0
03/07/93 LOS ANGELES 4:36:00 54.9 372.0 1 146 95 4 0
03/20/93 CATALINA 4:42:00 54.9 378.5 7 143 65 4 0
04/17/93 LAKE POWELL 4:24:38 55.0 406.0 5 138 65 3 0
06/12/93 PALOS VERDES 4:56:55 55.2 404.5 4 137 80 1 0
SAN
07/18/93 FRANSISCO 4:18:01 55.3 369.0 3 136 65 2 0
09/26/93 PORTLAND 4:07:16 55.5 418.0 1 137 65 4 0
10/31/93 CHICAGO 3:57:00 55.6 426.0 1 132 32 5 0
12/05/93 CULVER CITY 4:11:10 55.7 445.0 1 131 55 3 0
01/23/94 SAN DIEGO 3:59:50 55.8 469.0 3 134 65 8 0
02/06/94 LONG BEACH 4:18:00 55.8 461.0 1 133 60 6 0
03/06/94 LOS ANGELES 4:13:25 55.9 440.5 1 132 70 4 0
ISE500 Fall 2018
Assignment 7
03/19/94 CATALINA 4:32:10 55.9 401.5 7 133 60 3 0
04/16/94 LAKE POWELL 4:23:37 56.0 431.0 5 136 75 4 0
SAN
07/31/94 FRANSISCO 4:14:05 56.3 372.5 3 139 75 2 0
10/02/94 PORTLAND 4:05:02 56.5 410.0 1 138 55 4 0
10/30/94 CHICAGO 4:28:16 56.6 380.0 1 136 60 4 0
12/04/94 CULVER CITY 4:19:23 56.7 338.5 1 136 60 4 0
02/05/95 LONG BEACH 4:22:16 56.8 323.0 1 144 50 1 0
03/05/95 LOS ANGELES 4:40:00 56.9 336.5 1 144 75 2 0
03/18/95 CATALINA 4:50:00 56.9 330.5 7 144 65 2 0
04/30/95 Big Sur 4:25:00 57.1 312.5 5 144 55 2 0
06/03/95 Nicene 4:47:00 57.2 347.5 7 146 60 2 0
SAN
07/09/95 FRANSISCO 4:40:00 57.3 283.5 3 147 70 1 0
04/28/96 Big Sur 5:01:00 58.1 257.0 5 151 65 0 0
05/04/96 Shiprock 5:20:00 58.1 306.0 6 151 75 1 0
06/01/96 Nicene 5:43:00 58.2 405.0 7 149 60 2 0
06/08/96 PALOS VERDES 4:55:00 58.2 450.0 4 149 55 3 0
SAN
07/14/96 FRANSISCO 4:50:00 58.3 497.0 3 150 60 3 0
03/02/97 LOS ANGELES 4:39:19 58.9 309.0 1 146 60 2 0
03/19/97 CATALINA 5:01:00 58.9 370.0 7 146 60 3 0
04/27/97 Big Sur 4:47:00 59.1 371.5 5 146 55 5 0
05/03/97 Shiprock 4:32:00 59.1 369.0 6 146 55 5 0
06/07/97 PALOS VERDES 4:50:00 59.2 381.0 4 148 55 4 0
SAN
07/13/97 FRANSISCO 4:42:43 59.3 378.5 3 148 50 2 0
09/28/97 PORTLAND 4:17:37 59.5 446.0 1 146 50 2 0
10/19/97 CHICAGO 4:14:00 59.5 410.0 1 146 50 3 0
03/14/98 CATALINA 5:20:11 59.9 419.0 7 155 55 1 0
03/29/98 LOS ANGELES 4:50:00 60.0 440.0 1 154 70 2 0
04/26/98 Big Sur 4:50:00 60.1 459.0 5 153 50 5 0
05/02/98 Shiprock 5:06:00 60.1 450.0 6 152 65 4 0
06/07/98 PALOS VERDES 5:29:00 60.2 460.0 4 152 55 3 0
SAN
07/12/98 FRANSISCO 5:08:00 60.3 440.0 3 152 70 3 0
12/03/00 Tucson 4:58:00 62.7 419.5 1 153 75 1 1
SAN
07/08/01 FRANSISCO 5:58:00 63.3 211.0 3 158 55 0 1
03/03/02 LOS ANGELES 5:53:00 63.9 353.0 1 162 60 1 1
05/18/02 PALOS VERDES 6:02:34 64.1 332.0 4 162 55 1 1
SAN
07/28/02 FRANSISCO 5:56:57 64.3 315.4 2 160 70 0 1
10/06/02 Detroit 5:25:16 64.5 269.0 1 162 60 2 1
SAN
08/01/04 FRANSISCO 6:40:59 66.3 241.0 3 177 50 0 1
09/10/04 LONG BEACH 6:32:05 66.4 244.0 1 174 70 0 1
ISE500 Fall 2018
Assignment 7

3.(0.2 points)

4. The data below are from an undergraduate exam. What analyses would you
conduct and what conclusions would you draw if you were the instructor and
what would you tell the students? (0.4 points)
ISE500 Fall 2018
Assignment 7

ATT_TOT Quiz Total HW Total MT1

3.3 4.5 5.95 18.5
3.3 4.4 5.9 18.5
3.3 4.15 5.85 18.5
3.3 4.4 5.85 18.4
3.3 4.2 5.9 18.4
3 3.5 5.9 18.4
3 4.1 5.8 18.3
2.7 4.25 5.65 17.8
3.3 4.35 5.8 17.5
3 4 5.85 17.5
3.3 3.9 5.85 17.5
3.3 4.5 5.95 17.25
3.3 4.05 5.9 17.25
2.1 4.2 5.35 17.05
3.3 4.25 5.2 17
3.3 4.35 5.8 16.5
2.4 3.95 5.65 16.5
3.3 3.7 5.3 16.25
3 4.15 5.7 16
3 3.8 5.7 16
3.3 3.45 5.45 15.75
3.3 3.3 5.15 15.55
3 2.7 5.75 15.5
2.7 1.25 4.8 14.9
3.3 4.25 5.4 14.5
3.3 3.85 5.35 14.25
2.1 3.05 3.65 14.25
3.3 4.15 5.45 14
2.7 3.9 5.9 14
3.3 3.65 5.55 13.8
2.1 1.3 1.4 13.75
3.3 3.85 5.6 13.3
2.7 3.95 5.75 13.25
1.8 4.3 5.8 12
3.3 4.15 4.7 11.5
3 3.5 4 11.5
3 3.9 6 10
3 3.15 4.1 8.75
2.7 3.65 5.8 7.5