Professional Documents
Culture Documents
KIM ABELLO
Title: Managing Director
Firm: Duff & Phelps
18 years experience in ESOP transaction structuring and valuation
Member of the ESOP Association’s Legal and Regulatory Committee
Masters in Taxation, Certified Public Accountant, Accredited Senior Appraiser
AICPA Accredited in Business Valuation Exam Committee Member
LESLIE LAUER
Title: Financial Advisor
Firm: UBS Financial Services Inc.
14 years of ESOP related experience as the Director of Marketing for an ESOP administration firm, the
Director of Acquisitions for a 100% ESOP owned holding company and the Chairman and majority owner
of a 30% ESOP owned company. Currently the Chairman of the Finance Committee for The ESOP
Association and Board member for the National Center for Employee Ownership.
Markets Overview
Employer Securities
– Passive investment, once invested only required to divest in
very limited circumstances
– Continued investment in Employer Securities will typically be
presumptively prudent absent compelling circumstances
– Excepted from requirement to diversify
Cash not required to be invested in Employer
Securities
– Active investment, must determine what is best investment
option given overall investment of the Plan
– Must constantly review and analyze return of Plan in light of
investment risk taken, i.e. diversify
– Not excepted from requirement to diversify
– Plan Committee
– Plan Sponsor
– Service providers
– Investment managers
The investment philosophy
Investment objectives and guidelines for permissible investments
Liquidity guidelines and control procedures for monitoring performance
Policy review timetable
Ongoing Due Diligence Does your portfolio advisor perform initial and ongoing due
diligence and how thorough is the process?
Portfolio Managers Do you have access to institutional portfolio managers dedicated to full
time asset management?
Trustee/Third Party Administrator (TPA) Can your asset manager link up with your
existing trustee and TPA for participant reporting efficiency?
Fees Are fees and costs appropriate given the asset pool?
ESOP Experience Does your investment manager understand the unique attributes of an
ESOP company that affect investment recommendations?
Custody Are your assets held in custody at a bank or insurance or trust company that
would allow plan to qualify for a limited scope audit, thereby reducing administration costs?
DUFF & PHELPS
20
Asset & Liability Analysis
Assets (9/30/06)
Calamos Asset Mgmt $912,028
Client Directed $4,104,831
Delaware Investments $782,148
Lord Abbett & Co. LLC $1,023,394
Metropolitan West Capital Mgmt $1,497,600
Santa Barbara Asset Mgmt $1,502,680
Trust Co. of the West $1,440,040
$11,262,721
Total Assets: $11,262,721
Liabilities (12/31/06)
Shares Outstanding 342,647
Price per Share 44.65 (based on 3% growth on last estimate 12/31/05 @ 43.35)
Total ESOP Stock Value $15,299,360
Note Principle Payable to Company$751,412
Total Liabilities: $16,050,772
40% 27% Large Company Stocks 40.00% Is an investor that may also have more plan assets to invest or
other assets outside of the plan
Model Characteristics
33% For investors with the highest risk tolerance
Most volatility risk of all the strategies
Return
Moderate 2% 46% 52% 0% 6.77% 8.42%
International Equity 8.21% $743,041 7% $1,914,663 17% International Equity U.S. Small
7% Company Equity
U.S. Short Term Fixed Income 5.19% $2,421,850 22% $1,689,408 15% 19%
U.S. Long-Term Fixed Income 6.10% $0 0% $1,802,035 16% Cash and Cash
Alternatives Other
Cash and Cash Alternatives 4.53% $1,979,374 18% $225,254 2% 2% 5%
U.S. Large
U.S. Long-
Company
Other 8.14% $0 0% $563,136 5% Term Fixed
Equity
Income
Target 35%
$11,262,721 $11,262,721 16%
Allocation U.S. Short
Term Fixed
Income
Source: Financial Goal Analysis 12/12/06 15%
U.S. Small
International
Company
Equity
Equity
17%
10%
2007 $11,262,721 $350,000 $1,370,588 ($179,411) ($2,001,403) ($460,226) $755,734 $11,558,229 342,647 45.99 $621,232 $16,379,573 ($4,821,344) 0.71
2008 $11,558,229 $350,000 $1,384,188 ($179,411) ($1,674,402) ($119,625) $787,642 $12,226,245 346,047 47.37 $481,697 $16,873,845 0.72
($4,647,600)
2009 $12,226,245 $350,000 $1,397,388 ($179,411) ($1,726,161) ($158,184) $832,080 $12,900,141 349,347 48.79 $332,136 $17,377,058 0.74
($4,476,917)
2010 $12,900,141 $350,000 $1,410,188 ($179,411) ($1,600,762) ($19,985) $882,975 $13,763,131 352,547 50.25 $171,828 $17,888,912 0.77
($4,125,781)
2011 $13,763,131 $350,000 $1,422,588 ($179,411) ($2,025,781) ($432,604) $927,958 $14,258,485 355,647 51.76 $0 $18,409,059 0.77
($4,150,574)
2012 $14,258,485 $0 $1,462,844 $0 ($2,062,870) ($600,026) $956,155 $14,614,614 365,711 53.33 $0 $19,502,127 0.75
($4,887,512)
2013 $14,614,614 $0 $1,488,336 $0 ($2,223,170) ($734,834) $975,933 $14,855,713 372,084 54.93 $0 $20,437,234 0.73
($5,581,521)
2014 $14,855,713 $0 $1,513,085 $0 ($2,090,090) ($577,005) $997,854 $15,276,562 378,271 56.57 $0 $21,400,395 0.71
($6,123,832)
2015 $15,276,562 $0 $1,537,114 $0 ($2,933,000) ($1,395,886) $998,635 $14,879,311 384,278 58.27 $0 $22,392,450 0.66
($7,513,138)
2016 $14,879,311 $0 $1,560,442 $0 ($2,345,200) ($784,758) $992,355 $15,086,909 390,111 60.02 $0 $23,414,267 0.64
($8,327,358)
2017 $15,086,909 $0 $1,583,091 $0 ($1,865,800) ($282,709) $1,023,770 $15,827,970 395,773 61.82 $0 $24,466,738 0.65
($8,638,768)
2018 $15,827,970 $0 $1,605,081 $0 ($1,676,600) ($71,519) $1,081,766 $16,838,218 401,270 63.67 $0 $25,550,783 0.66
($8,712,566)
2019 $16,838,218 $0 $1,626,430 $0 ($1,991,100) ($364,670) $1,140,928 $17,614,475 406,607 65.59 $0 $26,667,350 0.66
($9,052,875)
2020 $17,614,475 $0 $1,647,157 $0 ($2,193,400) ($546,243) $1,187,883 $18,256,115 411,789 67.55 $0 $27,817,414 0.66
($9,561,299)
Note: Asset Return is based on an expected returns of asset allocation only. Actual past returns of managers have been excluded from the model.
1. Employer Contribution - $350k per schedule provided
2. Employer Distribution - Calculated at $4 per share
3. Debt Repayment – annual P+I payments on remaining ESOP loan
4. Benefits Paid – Repurchase obligation of the ESOP
5. Net Inflow/Outflow – A+B (Inflows) less C+D (Outflows)
6. Estimated Asset Return Given Current Allocation – Investment portfolio return assuming net inflows and outflows come in once each year, mid-year.
7. End Asset Value – B (beginning value) + G (net flow) + H (earnings)
8. # of Shares – 2007 to 2011 Shares in ESOP being released, 2012 forward assumes annual contribution of $350K is being made in newly issued shares.
9. Price Per Share – Share price growing at 3% per year
10. Debt – ESOP debt outstanding
11. End Liability Value – JxK+L (Enterprise value of Stock within the ESOP)
12. Plan Surplus Deficit – I (Ending Asset Value) – M (Ending Liability Value)
13. Plan Asset Liability Ratio – I (Ending Asset Value) / M (Ending Liability Value)
2007 $11,262,721 $350,000 $1,370,588 ($179,411) ($2,001,403) ($460,226) $800,967 $11,603,462 342,647 45.99 $621,232 $16,379,573 ($4,776,110) 0.71
2008 $11,603,462 $350,000 $1,384,188 ($179,411) ($1,674,402) ($119,625) $838,069 $12,321,906 346,047 47.37 $481,697 $16,873,845 0.73
($4,551,939)
2009 $12,321,906 $350,000 $1,397,388 ($179,411) ($1,726,161) ($158,184) $888,828 $13,052,551 349,347 48.79 $332,136 $17,377,058 0.75
($4,324,508)
2010 $13,052,551 $350,000 $1,410,188 ($179,411) ($1,600,762) ($19,985) $946,890 $13,979,455 352,547 50.25 $171,828 $17,888,912 0.78
($3,909,457)
2011 $13,979,455 $350,000 $1,422,588 ($179,411) ($2,025,781) ($432,604) $999,205 $14,546,056 355,647 51.76 $0 $18,409,059 0.79
($3,863,003)
2012 $14,546,056 $0 $1,462,844 $0 ($2,062,870) ($600,026) $1,034,263 $14,980,293 365,711 53.33 $0 $19,502,127 0.77
($4,521,834)
2013 $14,980,293 $0 $1,488,336 $0 ($2,223,170) ($734,834) $1,060,895 $15,306,354 372,084 54.93 $0 $20,437,234 0.75
($5,130,880)
2014 $15,306,354 $0 $1,513,085 $0 ($2,090,090) ($577,005) $1,090,296 $15,819,645 378,271 56.57 $0 $21,400,395 0.74
($5,580,750)
2015 $15,819,645 $0 $1,537,114 $0 ($2,933,000) ($1,395,886) $1,097,836 $15,521,594 384,278 58.27 $0 $22,392,450 0.69
($6,870,856)
2016 $15,521,594 $0 $1,560,442 $0 ($2,345,200) ($784,758) $1,098,381 $15,835,217 390,111 60.02 $0 $23,414,267 0.68
($7,579,049)
2017 $15,835,217 $0 $1,583,091 $0 ($1,865,800) ($282,709) $1,139,374 $16,691,883 395,773 61.82 $0 $24,466,738 0.68
($7,774,855)
2018 $16,691,883 $0 $1,605,081 $0 ($1,676,600) ($71,519) $1,209,235 $17,829,598 401,270 63.67 $0 $25,550,783 0.70
($7,721,185)
2019 $17,829,598 $0 $1,626,430 $0 ($1,991,100) ($364,670) $1,281,191 $18,746,120 406,607 65.59 $0 $26,667,350 0.70
($7,921,231)
2020 $18,746,120 $0 $1,647,157 $0 ($2,193,400) ($546,243) $1,341,140 $19,541,016 411,789 67.55 $0 $27,817,414 0.70
($8,276,398)
Note: Asset Return is based on an expected returns of asset allocation only. Actual past returns of managers have been excluded from the model.
2007 $11,262,721 $350,000 $1,411,706 ($179,411) ($2,001,403) ($419,108) $802,460 $11,646,073 342,647 45.99 $621,232 $16,379,573 ($4,733,500) 0.71
2008 $11,646,073 $350,000 $1,468,485 ($179,411) ($1,674,402) ($35,328) $844,222 $12,454,967 346,047 47.37 $481,697 $16,873,845 0.74
($4,418,878)
2009 $12,454,967 $350,000 $1,526,964 ($179,411) ($1,726,161) ($28,608) $903,192 $13,329,551 349,347 48.79 $332,136 $17,377,058 0.77
($4,047,508)
2010 $13,329,551 $350,000 $1,587,179 ($179,411) ($1,600,762) $157,006 $973,425 $14,459,982 352,547 50.25 $171,828 $17,888,912 0.81
($3,428,931)
2011 $14,459,982 $350,000 $1,649,169 ($179,411) ($2,025,781) ($206,023) $1,042,316 $15,296,275 355,647 51.76 $0 $18,409,059 0.83
($3,112,784)
2012 $15,296,275 $0 $1,747,091 $0 ($2,062,870) ($315,779) $1,099,047 $16,079,543 365,711 53.33 $0 $19,502,127 0.82
($3,422,584)
2013 $16,079,543 $0 $1,830,863 $0 ($2,223,170) ($392,307) $1,153,134 $16,840,370 372,084 54.93 $0 $20,437,234 0.82
($3,596,864)
2014 $16,840,370 $0 $1,917,147 $0 ($2,090,090) ($172,943) $1,216,333 $17,883,760 378,271 56.57 $0 $21,400,395 0.84
($3,516,634)
2015 $17,883,760 $0 $2,006,020 $0 ($2,933,000) ($926,980) $1,264,712 $18,221,492 384,278 58.27 $0 $22,392,450 0.81
($4,170,958)
2016 $18,221,492 $0 $2,097,559 $0 ($2,345,200) ($247,641) $1,313,891 $19,287,742 390,111 60.02 $0 $23,414,267 0.82
($4,126,525)
2017 $19,287,742 $0 $2,191,844 $0 ($1,865,800) $326,044 $1,412,125 $21,025,912 395,773 61.82 $0 $24,466,738 0.86
($3,440,826)
2018 $21,025,912 $0 $2,288,958 $0 ($1,676,600) $612,358 $1,548,710 $23,186,980 401,270 63.67 $0 $25,550,783 0.91
($2,363,803)
2019 $23,186,980 $0 $2,388,986 $0 ($1,991,100) $397,886 $1,697,818 $25,282,684 406,607 65.59 $0 $26,667,350 0.95
($1,384,667)
2020 $25,282,684 $0 $2,492,014 $0 ($2,193,400) $298,614 $1,846,363 $27,427,660 411,789 67.55 $0 $27,817,414 0.99
($389,754)
Note: Asset Return is based on an expected returns of asset allocation only. Actual past returns of managers have been excluded from the model.
1.00
0.90
Ratio
0.80
0.70
0.60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Year
Current Plan
Target Plan w/o Increasing distributions/share
Target Plan increasing distributions with stock price
– Strong buyer demand exists for consumer and business service companies (particularly
companies with niche sector focuses)
– Private equity sponsors and cash flow lenders continue to be aggressive due to the excess capital
available in the market – capital raised by Private Equity firms reached record levels in 2006 Æ
$215.4 billion was raised by 322 funds in 2006
– Private equity deals accounted for nearly $740 billion in aggregate value, more than double the
value of 2005 deals
– Private equity sponsors are paying premium multiples (>8x EBITDA) for the “right” asset – those
exhibiting strong growth outlooks and profitability metrics
– M&A activity among strategic acquirors has continued to gain momentum due to strong earnings,
large cash reserves and the necessity for growth
– In 2006, 20.3% of all M&A deals involved financial sponsors versus just 3.1% 10 years ago
– Uncertainty over the future general economic environment is driving business owners to capitalize
on the current robust M&A environment
160 8,000
1,400
12,000
140 7,000
1,200
10,000
120 6,000
Number of Deals
Number of Deals
1,000
8,000 100 5,000
800
80 4,000
6,000
600
60 3,000
4,000
400
40 2,000
2,000
200 20 1,000
0 0 0 0
92 93 4 95 996 997 998 999 000 001 002 003 004 005 006 007 2 93 994 995 996 997 998 999 000 001 002 003 004 005 006 007
19 19 1 99 19 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 12 1 99 19 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 12
Q Q
Deal Value Number of Deals Deal Value Number of Deals
796
14.0x 800
Average: 10.1x 741
13.4x
12.0x 700
12.1x
11.7x 11.5x
600
Number of Deals
10.0x
10.3x
10.0x
9.5x 500
9.1x 444
8.0x
400
7.3x
6.0x 288
6.3x
300
225
4.0x 172
200
134
2.0x 80 86
100
0.0x 0
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900 8,000
Aggregate Deal Value ($ in billions)
800
7,000
700
6,000
Number of Deals
600
5,000
500
4,000
400
3,000
300
2,000
200
100 1,000
0 0
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1
2007
Deal Value Number of Deals
600%
500%
400%
300%
200%
100%
0%
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1
2007
DJIA Nasdaq Composite S&P 500 S&P Midcap 400 S&P SmallCap 600
Note: Nov 1994 = 100, S&P SmallCap 600 Began in Nov. 1994
As of 3/31/2007
(a)
Measures of Corporate Liquidity
Industry Total Debt / EBITDA Current Ratio EBITDA / Interest Exp. Debt/Equity Debt/Total Capital
Financial Services NA NA NA NA NA
5.0x
2.3x 2.1x
1.7x
2.5x 2.0
4.0x 2.5x
2.4x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x 1.6x
3.0x 1.5x
2.0x
3.5x 3.6x 3.5x
3.3x 3.3x 3.2x 3.2x 3.4x
2.7x 2.8x 2.9x
2.6x 2.4x
2.2x 2.3x
1.0x
0.0x
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Bank Debt/EBITDA Non-Bank Debt/EBITDA
(a) (b)
Historic and Current Yield Curve Historic Federal Funds Rate
7.0%
6.0%
6.0%
4.0% 4.0%
3.0% 3.0%
2.0% 2.0%
1.0% 1.0%
0.0% 0.0%
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
yr
yr
o
yr
yr
yr
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
m
10
30
2
5
3
400 12.0
12
9.7
10
300 8.8
9.2
250 7.3 8
6.3 6.3
200 6.3 5.9 5.8
6
4.9
150 4.0
3.3 4
2.9
100 2.7
1.6
2
50
13 13 18 12 0.2
5 1 7 37 23 54 61 46 102 251 440 244 115 32 28 1
0 0
A
+
B
+
-
B
C
-
-
A
B
B
C
A
B
B
C
A
C
B
C
A
B
B
C
A
C
B
A
C
B
C
B
C
Credit Rating
Default Volume Average Time to Default
Source: Standard and Poor’s, As of 3/31/2007
(a): For Defaulting Companies
Private Equity Funds Raised: 1992-2006 Investment Horizons for Existing Funds
$250 350
$215
$250
Commitments ($ in billions)
300
$200
Commitments ($ in billions)
$174
# of Funds Raised
250 $200
$150
200
$150
Maximum Investment Term
150
$100
$80 $100
$64 $65 100
$50 $47 $52
$50 $34 $30 $50
$27 $26 50
$18 $21
$12
$0 0 $0
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Commitments ($ in billions) # of Funds Raised
100%
Equity Percentage
75%
64.3% 62.2% 59.4% 60.0% 60.5% 64.7% 61.0%
70.0% 68.3% 67.0%
78.0% 74.8% 73.8% 76.3% 77.1%
50%
25%
35.7% 37.8% 40.6% 40.0% 39.5% 35.3% 39.0%
30.0% 31.7% 33.0%
22.0% 25.2% 26.2% 23.7% 22.9%
0%
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
8.8x 8.8x
8.5x
8.0x 8.3x 8.3x 8.2x
8.0x
7.7x 7.8x 7.7x
7.5x 7.5x
7.2x 7.2x
6.9x 7.0x 7.0x 7.0x
6.8x 6.8x 6.7x 6.7x 6.8x
6.0x 6.5x 6.5x
6.1x 6.1x
4.0x
2.0x
0.0x
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q1 2007
80.0% 33.0%
32.9% 27.7%
70.0%
40.0%
30.0%
53.7% 50.8%
45.8%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
Transaction Value <$250mm Transaction Value $250 - $499mm Transaction Value >$500mm
Bank Debt Sub Debt Secured Debt Common Equity Rollover Equity Other Sources
Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10
EBITDA 15.0 16.04 17.16 18.36 19.66 21.06 22.56 24.18 25.93 27.81
Implied multiple 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
Enterprise value 75 80.2 85.8 91.8 98.3 105.3 112.8 120.9 129.7 139.1
EBITDA 15.0 16.04 17.16 18.36 19.66 21.06 22.56 24.18 25.93 27.81
Assume no debt, i.e. no interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Depreciation & Amortization 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5
Taxable Income 13.00 13.99 15.06 16.21 17.46 18.81 20.26 21.83 23.53 25.36
Income Taxes 5.20 5.60 6.02 6.49 6.98 7.52 8.11 8.73 9.41 10.15
Purchased EBITDA (5.0x) 1.04 1.12 1.20 1.30 1.40 1.50 1.62 1.75 1.88 2.03