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Effect of EPWS On All Cause Mortality in Hospitalized Pediatric Patients
Effect of EPWS On All Cause Mortality in Hospitalized Pediatric Patients
Editorial
IMPORTANCE There is limited evidence that the use of severity of illness scores Supplemental content
in pediatric patients can facilitate timely admission to the intensive care unit or improve
patient outcomes.
OBJECTIVE To determine the effect of the Bedside Paediatric Early Warning System
(BedsidePEWS) on all-cause hospital mortality and late admission to the intensive care unit
(ICU), cardiac arrest, and ICU resource use.
INTERVENTIONS The BedsidePEWS intervention (10 hospitals) was compared with usual care
(no severity of illness score; 11 hospitals).
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was all-cause hospital mortality.
The secondary outcome was a significant clinical deterioration event, which was defined
as a composite outcome reflecting late ICU admission. Regression analyses accounted
for hospital-level clustering and baseline rates.
RESULTS Among 144 539 patient discharges at 21 randomized hospitals, there were 559 443
patient-days and 144 539 patients (100%) completed the trial. All-cause hospital mortality
was 1.93 per 1000 patient discharges at hospitals with BedsidePEWS and 1.56 per 1000
patient discharges at hospitals with usual care (adjusted between-group rate difference, 0.01
[95% CI, −0.80 to 0.81 per 1000 patient discharges]; adjusted odds ratio, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.61
to 1.69]; P = .96). Significant clinical deterioration events occurred during 0.50 per 1000
patient-days at hospitals with BedsidePEWS vs 0.84 per 1000 patient-days at hospitals with
usual care (adjusted between-group rate difference, −0.34 [95% CI, −0.73 to 0.05 per 1000 Author Affiliations: Author
patient-days]; adjusted rate ratio, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.61 to 0.97]; P = .03). affiliations are listed at the end of this
article.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Implementation of the Bedside Paediatric Early Warning Group Information: The Canadian
Critical Care Trials Group and the
System compared with usual care did not significantly decrease all-cause mortality among
EPOCH investigators are listed at the
hospitalized pediatric patients. These findings do not support the use of this system to end of this article.
reduce mortality. Corresponding Author: Christopher
S. Parshuram, MBChB, DPhil,
TRIAL REGISTRATION clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01260831 Department of Critical Care Medicine,
Hospital for Sick Children, 555
University Ave, Toronto, ON M5G
1X8, Canada (chris@sickkids.ca).
Section Editor: Derek C. Angus, MD,
JAMA. doi:10.1001/jama.2018.0948 MPH, Associate Editor, JAMA
Published online February 27, 2018. (angusdc@upmc.edu).
(Reprinted) E1
© 2018 American Medical Association. All rights reserved.
T
he prevention of near and actual cardiopulmonary ar-
rest is a fundamental element of patient safety. Preven- Key Points
tion is contingent on the timely identification, refer-
Question Does the implementation of the Bedside Paediatric
ral, and treatment of hospitalized children who are clinically Early Warning System (BedsidePEWS) reduce hospital mortality
deteriorating. Implementation of severity of illness scores or compared with no severity of illness score?
criteria with or without a rapid response team may facilitate
Findings In this cluster randomized trial that included 21 hospitals,
timely admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) and the de-
144 539 patient discharges, and 559 443 patient-days,
livery of critical care to improve patient outcomes.1 To date, implementation of the BedsidePEWS compared with usual care
interventional studies in children have used before and after did not significantly decrease all-cause mortality among
designs that may be confounded by temporal trends and lim- hospitalized pediatric patients (1.93 per 1000 discharges vs 1.56
ited by a predominance of single-center evaluations.2-6 per 1000 discharges, respectively).
The Bedside Paediatric Early Warning System (BedsidePEWS) Meaning This study does not support the use of the
is a documentation-based system of care composed of a vali- BedsidePEWS to reduce hospital mortality.
dated severity of illness score, an interprofessionally designed
documentation record, and multidomain recommendations for ≥200 eligible inpatient ward beds). A block size of 4 was used
care escalation and de-escalation among hospitalized patients for both strata, and was only known by the study statistician.
from term to 18 years of age.7-10 Randomization and disclosure of the resulting site allocation
A cluster randomized clinical trial was designed and occurred during the second week of data collection at each site.
conducted to test the hypothesis that implementation of During the first 26 weeks, an interprofessional team at the
BedsidePEWS would reduce rates of all-cause hospital mor- Center for Safety Research supported implementation teams
tality and significant clinical deterioration among hospital- at hospitals randomized to the intervention as they led local
ized children compared with usual care at hospitals without preparations. The implementation of the intervention in-
an early warning score. volved several steps. First, the inpatient unit–based vital sign
documentation was changed to the paper-based BedsidePEWS
documentation record. The chart designed by health care pro-
fessionals enabled documentation and graphical presenta-
Methods
tion of individual vital signs, and manual calculation of the
Study Design BedsidePEWS score. The BedsidePEWS score ranges from 0 to
A detailed description of the study rationale, design, inter- 26, with higher scores indicating greater severity of illness. Five
ventions, and outcomes was described previously11 and ap- age-specific paper documentation records for each of the age
pears in Supplement 1 and Supplement 2. Research ethics board groups of the BedsidePEWS score were introduced at each hos-
approval was obtained at each participating hospital. The need pital. Second, the language of the BedsidePEWS recommen-
for written informed consent for patient or clinician partici- dations for care escalation and de-escalation were revised to
pation was waived in all jurisdictions. This 21-center cluster match the local vernacular. These recommendations encom-
randomized clinical trial was coordinated by the Center for passed multiple domains including documentation fre-
Safety Research at the Hospital for Sick Children, in Toronto, quency, physician review, and ICU consultation and were
Ontario, Canada, and was overseen by the study executive printed on each documentation record. Third, locally rel-
steering committee and the Canadian Critical Care Trials Group. evant education programs were developed and delivered 1 to
Eligibility criteria were based on hospital, inpatient unit, 2 months prior to clinical implementation, which began dur-
and patient criteria. Hospitals were included if they had a pe- ing week 26 as the study run-in phase.11
diatric ICU and if their hospital leadership agreed to random- ImplementationinvolvedtheroutineuseoftheBedsidePEWS
ization. Hospitals with rapid response teams were eligible to documentation record and the score-matched care recom-
participate. Eligible inpatient units were defined as areas in mendations for all patients admitted to eligible inpatient unit
which care was provided to pediatric inpatients, including beds. The BedsidePEWS intervention was continued through-
emergency departments that used inpatient documentation out the 52-week intervention period (Figure 1).
records to care for admitted patients. Hospitals with usual care (control) did not receive a new
Hospitals were ineligible if they were already using a se- prospective severity score to help identify children at risk of
verity of illness score on inpatient units, or were planning to significant clinical deterioration during the study, but contin-
introduce or discontinue a rapid response team. Ineligible in- ued to use preexisting rapid response teams, ICU consulta-
patient units were ICUs, areas designated for anesthesiologist- tion mechanisms, and resuscitation teams.
supervised procedures, and high-dependency units in which During the run-in phase, adherence to the BedsidePEWS
critical care physicians supervised care. documentation recommendations was assessed by review of
Infant (gestational age ≥37 weeks) to adolescent (aged ≤18 documentation frequency and scoring accuracy. The study ex-
years) patients were included if they had received care in 1 or ecutive steering committee reviewed weekly adherence data
more eligible inpatient units. Participating hospitals were ran- leading to either extension of the 5-week run-in phase or tran-
domized in a 1:1 ratio to either the BedsidePEWS intervention sition to active data collection during the intervention pe-
or usual care using a computer-generated random sequence. riod. Ongoing review of adherence included practice audits
Randomization was within 2 strata of hospital size (<200 and with local reporting at implementation hospitals.
11 Hospitals excluded
1 Did not meet inclusion criteria
10 Refused to participate
23 Hospitals randomizeda
a e
Enrollment began in 2011 for 8 hospitals, in 2012 for 10 hospitals, and in 2013 Discharges were all eligible patients discharged from the hospital and included
for 5 hospitals. Disclosure of randomization to the hospital occurred during the the patients who died. Patients who were in the hospital at the end of the
second week of the 26-week baseline period. study period were regarded as discharged.
b f
Hospitals randomized to the BedsidePEWS intervention collected data during Unable to adhere to implementation timelines specified by the study and were
the 26-week baseline period as they prepared for implementation of the excluded before implementation. These hospitals were regional pediatric
intervention. During the 5-week run-in phase, adherence to vital sign centers. One hospital had a rapid response team and no extracorporeal
documentation was assessed and reported to the study executive steering membrane oxygenation and the other did not have a rapid response team but
committee. Implementing hospitals required a minimum of 80% adherence to had extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. The numbers of patient-days and
documentation standards and the majority vote of the executive steering patient discharges reported reflect the amount of data received from each
committee to move into the intervention period. hospital before they withdrew from the study.
c g
Hospitals randomized to usual care collected data during the 26-week baseline The 5-week run-in phase included weekly assessment beginning during the
period, did not collect data during the 5-week run-in phase, and then resumed second week of implementation.
data collection for the 52-week intervention period.
d
Did not include beds in the intensive care unit.
Hospitals randomized to usual care resumed data collec- ing each study week. The number of documented assess-
tion after a 5-week hiatus. Documentation practices were re- ments were abstracted for each of 7 clinical observation types,
viewed to reflect implementation fidelity at BedsidePEWS hos- and the number of clinical observation types in the most re-
pitals and documentation practice at control hospitals. Five cent set of clinical observations was counted.
patients who had been on an eligible inpatient ward for more The analysis of clinical documentation completeness was re-
than 24 hours were randomly selected from each hospital dur- vised from the protocol-specified method before the analyses
were conducted. Instead of evaluating all sets of docu- For each urgent ICU admission, the revised Paediatric
mented clinical observations, the last 1 was selected. The Index of Mortality (PIM2) score,22,23 organ dysfunction using
threshold number of observations within that set of observa- the Paediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction score,24 and ICU mor-
tions was reduced from 7 to 5 to be consistent with the mini- tality were determined. If a patient had more than 1 admis-
mum number of observations recommended to calculate sion, the mean was used. Ventilator-free days were deter-
a BedsidePEWS score. mined for the 28 days after the first ICU admission during each
study period. Complementing the above prespecified out-
Study Outcomes comes, we report rates of ward-based cardiac arrest and ur-
The primary outcome was all-cause hospital mortality. This in- gent ICU admission, and the PIM2 score at ICU admission.
cluded deaths among children with do-not-resuscitate (DNR) These outcomes were not prespecified.
orders because the DNR order reflects current expectations of The process of care outcomes were immediate calls for
outcome rather than the preventability of the clinical events a physician, immediate calls for the resuscitation team,
that preceded the DNR order. Among hospitalized pediatric pa- consultations to the ICU or rapid response team (response
tients, the majority of deaths occur remote from the clinical within 15 minutes), and documentation of clinical observa-
deterioration event (within days),12-15 and there is a relatively tions. Resource use among patients after urgent ICU admis-
short period (within hours) between following the DNR order sion was assessed by the ICU length of stay and the days in
and death.16-18 Thus, the placement of a DNR order may not which mechanical ventilation, high-frequency oscillatory ven-
provide a good separation between potentially preventable and tilation, hemodialysis, extracorporeal membrane oxygen-
unpreventable death. ation, and nitric oxide were used. Definitions of these out-
The main secondary outcome was the significant clinical comes appear in eTable 1 in Supplement 3. The perceptions of
deterioration event. This measure of late ICU admission was frontline staff and administrators were sought using surveys
a composite outcome that occurred among patients without and are not reported herein. Data were collected by trained re-
DNR orders and was composed of 1 or more of the following: search coordinators.
death before ICU admission; provision of cardiopulmonary re-
suscitation, tracheal intubation, administration of vasoac- Sample Size and Assumptions
tive medication, or provision of fluid boluses of 60 mL/kg or Power calculations were based on data from 2007 to 2009
greater within the 12 hours before ICU admission; tracheal in- using an established method for cluster randomized trials.25
tubation, cardiopulmonary resuscitation, initiation of extra- We assumed a baseline all-cause hospital mortality of 5.1
corporeal membrane oxygenation, or death within the first deaths per 1000 hospital discharges and estimated a mortal-
hour of ICU admission. ity reduction of 1 per 1000 hospital discharges (from 5.1 to 4.1)
The study protocol included 21 other prespecified to be sufficient to change practice. Given a κ of 0.15 (interclus-
outcomes.11 The outcomes included mortality without a DNR, ter coefficient of variation), inclusion of 20 hospitals random-
ICU mortality (overall and after urgent ICU admission), poten- ized in a 1:1 ratio with an average of 119 beds, occupancy of
tially preventable cardiac arrest, unplanned ICU readmission 0.90, and average hospital stay of 4 days could show an abso-
and hospital readmission within 48 hours, predicted mortal- lute risk reduction of 0.9 per 1000 hospital discharges for mor-
ity using severity of illness at ICU admission, organ dysfunc- tality with 2-sided type I error probability of .05 and 80%
tion in the ICU, and ventilator-free days in the ICU among pa- power. Assuming attrition of 1 to 2 hospitals, we planned to
tients urgently admitted to ICU. enroll 22 hospitals.11
Urgent ICU admission was defined as (1) transfer to the ICU
within 6 hours of the transfer decision from an eligible inpa- Data Analyses
tient unit and (2) transfer initiated while an eligible patient was Demographic and unadjusted outcomes data are reported using
in the operating room. This definition intentionally incorpo- descriptive statistics, medians with interquartile ranges, means
rated patients in which preoperative review may have identi- and SDs, as proportions with 95% CIs, and as rate differences
fied candidates for elective postoperative ICU admission, with 95% CIs. Patient outcomes are expressed as rates per
and recognizing that unexpected intraoperative complica- 1000 eligible patients discharged from the hospital (all-cause
tions (in previously well patients) that lead to ICU admission mortality, hospital readmission), per 1000 ICU discharges (ICU
are uncommon.11 mortality), per 1000 patient-days in the ICU (ICU outcomes),
The potential preventability of cardiac arrest was defined and per 1000 patient-days on eligible inpatient units (other out-
as the degree to which events may have been avoided given comes). Outcomes are reported for the baseline and interven-
the application of reasonable current standards of practice tion periods for each hospital as recommended for cluster ran-
by an average practitioner and system anticipated to manage domized trials26 using odds ratios (ORs) or rate ratios and
the condition in question. The assessment method was based between-group rate differences with 95% CIs.
on a validated approach used to evaluate clinical data describ- Generalized estimating equation models with an exchange-
ing cardiac arrest and other adverse events.19-21 Blinded re- able correlation structure and grouping by center were used
view by 2 independent experts resulted in either initial agree- to compare outcomes between centers assigned to Bedside-
ment or discussion leading to a consensus rating. Assessment PEWS and usual care. Binary outcomes used a logistic model,
ratings of preventable by greater than 50% were deemed po- count outcomes used a Poisson model with patient-days as
tentially preventable.11 an offset, and continuous outcomes used a Gaussian model.
To estimate absolute differences in rates and proportions, the and without rapid response teams were described in the pro-
logistic and Poisson models were fitted using an identity link tocol, but are not reported herein.
function. If the generalized estimating equation model with
the identity link did not converge, the differences and their 95%
CIs were calculated using the corresponding model without
adjusting for baseline.
Results
Hospital-level data were used for mortality, readmission Thirty-four hospitals were screened for enrollment in this
and resuscitation team calls, stat calls, and ICU consultation. study. Twenty-three hospitals met the eligibility criteria. The
In each analysis, the 2 predictors were a binary variable for 21 hospitals that completed the study were located in Belgium,
intervention and the center’s baseline summary value of the Canada, England, Ireland, Italy, New Zealand, and the Neth-
corresponding outcome. Individual-level data were used for erlands and had a total of 2085 eligible inpatient unit beds
analyses of urgent ICU admission outcomes and accounted for (Figure 1). Hospitals had a range of pediatric services includ-
clustering within center. An interim analysis was neither ing cardiopulmonary bypass, solid organ transplantation, and
planned nor performed. bone marrow transplantation, and all had pediatric trainee phy-
A 2-sided P value of .05 was regarded as significant. Post sicians and continuous in-house physician staffing (Table 1).
hoc adjustment for multiple comparisons of the 21 prespeci- Because only 3 hospitals had more than 200 eligible inpa-
fied outcomes used the method of Holm. The assumptions sup- tient beds, the planned stratification was removed from the
porting the trial sample size calculation and those found af- statistical analysis.
ter its conduct were tabulated to enable post hoc comparison. Enrollment was initiated on February 28, 2011, and ended
The analytic team were not blinded to the treatment alloca- on June 21, 2015. Follow-up was completed on July 19, 2015.
tion. Four planned subgroup analyses including hospitals with There were 73 382 hospital discharges and 292 197 patient-days
Table 2. Measurements to Assess the Completeness of the Documented Clinical Observations Among Randomly Selected Patientsa
during the baseline period and 144 539 hospital discharges and 1000 patient discharges]; adjusted OR, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.61 to
559 443 patient-days during the intervention period. There was 1.69]; P = .96). Hospital mortality among patients without a
no loss to follow-up for study events. DNR was 0.84 per 1000 discharges at the BedsidePEWS hos-
The frequency of documentation increased at the pitals compared with 0.50 per 1000 discharges at the usual care
BedsidePEWS hospitals for 5 of the 7 clinical observation types hospitals (adjusted between-group rate difference, 0.36 [95%
reviewed (Table 2). At the BedsidePEWS hospitals compared CI, −0.53 to 1.25 per 1000 patient discharges]; adjusted OR, 2.05
with the usual care hospitals, the difference in the number of [95% CI, 0.64 to 6.61]; P = .23).
documented observations within 24 hours increased for respi-
ratory rate by a mean of 0.85 (95% CI, 0.02-1.68; P = .05); sys- Secondary Outcome
tolic blood pressure, 1.12 (95% CI, 0.59-1.65; P < .001); transcu- There were 386 (127 at BedsidePEWS hospitals vs 259 at usual
taneous oxygen saturation, 1.06 (95% CI, 0.27-1.85; P = .009); care hospitals) significant clinical deterioration events (Table 3).
respiratory effort, 4.67 (95% CI, 3.23-6.12; P < .001); and capil- This corresponded to rates of 0.50 per 1000 patient-days at
lary refill, 4.65 (95% CI, 3.49-5.80; P < .001). The overall pro- BedsidePEWS hospitals compared with 0.84 per 1000 pa-
portion of sets of clinical observations with 5 or more of the 7 tient days at usual care hospitals (P = .03). The baseline-
clinical observation types reviewed increased by 38.1% (95% CI, adjusted rate ratio was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.61 to 0.97) and the ad-
20.8%-55.4%) at BedsidePEWS hospitals compared with usual justed between-group rate difference was −0.34 (95% CI, −0.73
care hospitals (P < .001) (eFigure 2 in Supplement 3). to 0.05) events per 1000 patient-days. Significant clinical de-
terioration events comprised 15.3% of urgent ICU admissions
Primary Outcome of eligible patients at BedsidePEWS hospitals and 22.0% at
For the primary outcome of all-cause mortality, there were 244 usual care hospitals and included 59 cardiac arrest events and
deaths that occurred at the hospital, corresponding to 1.69 per 8 deaths before transfer to the ICU.
1000 patient discharges and including 155 deaths (63.5%) after
DNR orders (Table 3). During the baseline period, there were no Other Outcomes
deaths at 4 hospitals. During the 52-week intervention period, There were no significant differences in the rates of cardiac ar-
there were fewer than 10 deaths at 13 hospitals (Figure 2 and rest, potentially preventable cardiac arrest, unplanned ICU re-
eTable 2 in Supplement 3). Hospital mortality was 1.93 per 1000 admission, or hospital readmission (Table 3); however, indi-
patient discharges at the BedsidePEWS hospitals compared with vidual hospital rates were low (eTable 3 in Supplement 3).
1.56 per 1000 patient discharges at usual care hospitals. The 1653 patients with urgent ICU admission in the per-
The primary analysis found no significant differences be- patient analysis remained in ICU for 15 212 days and received
tween the BedsidePEWS and usual care hospitals (adjusted mechanical ventilation for 6400 days. There were no signifi-
between-group rate difference, 0.01 [95% CI, −0.80 to 0.81 per cant between-group differences for the severity of illness at
jama.com
Baseline Period Intervention Period Baseline Period Intervention Period
No. of No. of No. of No. of Adjusted Between-Group
Urgent ICU admissione 469 3.62 828 3.29 652 4.01 1178 3.83 −0.18 (−0.67 to 0.30) RR, 0.95 (0.82 to 1.09)f .45
ICU readmission <48 hh 64 34.43 94 28.40 73 28.09 108 21.25 4.95 (−1.62 to 11.52) OR, 1.11 (0.77 to 1.61)d .58
Hospital readmission <48 hc 101 3.79 170 3.39 201 4.30 387 4.10 −0.71 (−4.92 to 3.49) OR, 0.93 (0.61 to 1.41)d .74
g
Abbreviations: DNR, do-not-resuscitate; ICU, intensive care unit; OR, odds ratio; RR, rate ratio. The analyses of these outcomes should be regarded as exploratory. There was adjustment for multiple
a comparisons using the Holm method and yielded P values of >.99 for these 10 outcomes.
Calculated using binomial and Poisson generalized estimating equation models with an identity link function and
h
adjustment for baseline values. For significant clinical deterioration, cardiac arrest, immediate call for physician, Rates expressed per 1000 discharges from the ICU.
and hospital readmission, the model was not adjusted for baseline values. i
Assessed by 2 blinded expert reviewers using a 6-point scale. A rating of 4 indicates more than likely
b
Data were used for the rate calculations. preventable. Weighted κ, 0.35 (95% CI, 0.15-0.51) for agreement of initial reviewer ratings. Discussion between
E7
Research Original Investigation Effect of a Pediatric Early Warning System on All-Cause Mortality in Hospitalized Children
7
Hospital dischargesa
2000
Deaths per 1000 Discharges During Intervention Period
6 5000
10 000
5 20 000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Deaths per 1000 Discharges During Baseline and Intervention Periods
All-cause hospital mortality rates during the baseline and intervention periods the slopes were assumed to be equal. In Supplement 3, eFigure 1 provides
are presented by hospital. Each circle represents a hospital. The circle center linkage of these hospital-level mortality data to additional information about
reflects the coordinates of the baseline and intervention mortality rates. the individual hospitals contained in eTables 2 and 3.
The colored lines represent the linearized fitted relationships between a
The circle size is proportional to the number of discharges during the
mortality during the baseline and intervention periods for the BedsidePEWS intervention period of that hospital. Thus hospitals with larger circles are
intervention hospitals (dashed orange line) and usual care hospitals contributing more data and will have narrower 95% CIs for the true values
(solid blue line). The estimated difference in the slopes between the of their mortality rates.
BedsidePEWS (slope = 0.57) and the usual care group (slope = 0.53) was
not statistically significantly different from 0 (P = .94). In the analysis,
have been reduced; however, exclusion of smaller regional pe- the study results to hospitals providing a different range of in-
diatric centers would have reduced the generalizability of the patient services, and to hospitals caring for pediatric patients
trial results. of different ages than the regional centers studied.
The composite outcome used to measure late ICU admis- Third, the study was not blinded. Unmeasured quality ini-
sion (significant clinical deterioration events) was signifi- tiatives may have narrowed observed differences along with
cantly reduced in hospitals implementing the BedsidePEWS the BedsidePEWS implementation training of frontline staff
intervention. This isolated positive finding was not accompa- that began during the baseline period.
nied by significant effects on cardiac arrest, urgent ICU admis- Fourth, the initial agreement between reviewers was
sion, mortality after urgent ICU admission, risk-adjusted ICU low for the rating of potentially preventable cardiac arrest.
mortality, or ICU resource use. These latter findings contrast The assessment method used was based on validated ad-
with the data underpinning the Society of Critical Care Medi- verse event evaluation methods that were modified to in-
cine 2016 guidelines for adult ICU admission27 and sugges- crease reviewer blinding and were supported by reviewer train-
tions that other measures of timeliness of ICU admission among ing. Low initial agreement may reflect the subjectivity of
pediatric patients are associated with ICU outcomes.28,29 It is preventability review. In addition, there was a loss of context
possible that among urgent pediatric ICU admissions, late ICU associated with presentation of the consistently abstracted
admissions may constitute too small a proportion to modify data, which was used to ensure reviewers remained blind to
overall mortality or ICU resource use, or that the indication for randomization group.
cardiorespiratory intervention was a greater determinant of pa- Fifth, BedsidePEWS is a complex health care interven-
tient outcome than the time that the intervention was initi- tion that required the actions of multiple persons and teams,
ated relative to ICU admission. with the intent of becoming embedded in social systems.33 The
Exploratory analyses found no significant between- evaluation of adherence was mechanistic, focusing on docu-
group difference in cardiac arrest among patients without mentation rather than effects on clinical communication and
a DNR order. Rates were similar to previous single-center culture. The 2 sites that withdrew from the study were both
reports.30,31 Eight cardiac arrests (14%) resulted in death be- randomized to the BedsidePEWS intervention. The extended
fore ICU admission, and most were judged to be potentially pre- run-in phase lasting 1, 5, and 6 weeks in 3 of the BedsidePEWS
ventable (78% in the BedsidePEWS intervention group vs 91% hospitals may have biased the results. However, this also il-
in the usual care control group). Realizing the potential to pre- lustrates the practical challenges of conducting clinical trials
vent these rare serious events and to improve overall patient that randomize the routine business of hospital inpatient units
outcomes may require other cardiac arrest prevention strate- to complex health care interventions.
gies that operate in other hospital areas,32 and may include in- Sixth, the inclusion of mortality with DNR orders was a
creased human health resources, monitoring, and educa- pragmatic decision that reflected assumptions that such or-
tional interventions. ders may occur after a preventable clinical deterioration. Un-
The strengths of the study include the cluster random- certainty about the validity of this assumption provided ra-
ized design, the large size of the trial, the geographic diver- tionale for the conduct of the sensitivity analysis of mortality
sity of participating hospitals, complete follow-up of clini- after DNR order, and remains a potential limitation of all-
cally relevant outcome measures, demonstration that the cause hospital mortality.
intervention changed practice, and the use of robust pro- Seventh, the generalizability of these results to other less
cesses to ensure the integrity of the study data, analyses, and well-developed or less robustly implemented early warning
interpretations. scoring systems cannot be assumed. In this trial, implemen-
tation was enabled by local teams that were closely overseen
Limitations by the Center for Safety Research and a variety of hospital-
This study has several limitations. First, temporal reductions specific strategies were used to maintain adherence.
in mortality provided the rationale for the cluster random-
ized design3-5; however, the observed mortality was lower than
the conservative estimates used in planning,6,11 and cardiac ar-
rest was infrequent (eTable 4 in Supplement 3). Enrollment of
Conclusions
more hospitals with higher event rates, less diverse charac- Implementation of the Bedside Paediatric Early Warning Sys-
teristics, or from fewer countries may have increased the pre- tem compared with usual care did not significantly decrease
cision of the results. all-cause mortality among hospitalized pediatric patients.
Second, descriptions of the 144 539 enrolled patients were These findings do not support the use of this system to re-
not collected. This may limit the confident generalization of duce mortality.
ARTICLE INFORMATION Author Affiliations: Critical Care Program, Hospital Centre for Safety Research, SickKids Research
Accepted for Publication: February 2, 2018. for Sick Children, Toronto, Ontario, Canada Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (Parshuram,
(Parshuram, Dryden-Palmer, Gray, Hutchison, Dryden-Palmer); Interdepartmental Division of
Published Online: February 27, 2018. Moga); Child Health Evaluative Sciences Program, Critical Care, University of Toronto, Toronto,
doi:10.1001/jama.2018.0948 SickKids Research Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Ontario, Canada (Parshuram, Gray, Hutchison,
Canada (Parshuram, Dryden-Palmer, Parkin); Moga); Institute of Medical Science, University of
Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (Parshuram, management, analysis, and interpretation of the Dip, Tracey Bushell, RN, Miriam Rea, BN, Louise
Gray, Hutchison); Institute of Health Policy data; preparation, review, or approval of the Armriding, RN, and Greta Olykan, RN (site
Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript members); Erasmus MC Sophia–Rotterdam, the
Toronto, Ontario, Canada (Parshuram, Parkin, for publication. Netherlands: Cynthia Van der Starre, MD, PhD (site
Tomlinson); Centre for Quality Improvement and Group Information: The Canadian Critical Care investigator), Angelique Hogeboom, RN, and
Patient Safety, University of Toronto, Toronto, Trials Group and the EPOCH Investigators were Andrea De Oude-Lubbers (site members); St
Ontario, Canada (Parshuram); Department of located at the following institutions and included George’s University Hospitals NHS Foundation
Paediatrics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, the following individuals: Queen Fabiola Children’s Trust, London, England: Martin Gray, MB, ChB,
Canada (Parshuram, Gray, Moga, Parkin); Division of University Hospital, Brussels, Belgium: Ariane MRCP, FFICM (site investigator; regional lead,
Pediatric Intensive Care, Centre Hospitalier Willems, MSc Biomed, PhD (site investigator), England), and Nargis Hemat (site member); Kings
Universitaire de Ste-Justine, Montreal, Quebec, Malika Hazim, RN, and Bernard Wenderickx, RN College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London,
Canada (Farrell, Lacroix); Montreal Children’s (site members); Hospital for Sick Kids, Toronto, England: Simon Broughton, BM, MRCP, FRCPCH,
Hospital, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (Gottesman); Ontario, Canada: Afrothite Kotsakis, MD, FRCPC PhD (site investigator), Sarah Harris, and Emily
Department of Paediatrics, Hospital for Sick (site investigator); Saint John Regional Hospital/ Downing, MNurseSci (site members); Imperial
Children, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (Gray, Hilyard Place, Saint John, New Brunswick, Canada: College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, England:
Hutchison, Parkin); Neuroscience and Mental Sarah Gander, MD (site investigator), and Wendy David Inwald, FRCPCH, FFICM, PhD, and Ruchi
Health Research Program, SickKids Research Harris, RN, BN (site member); IWK Health Centre, Sinha, MBChB (site investigators), and Sophie
Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (Gray, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada: Joanna Holland, MD Raghunanan, RN (site member); Bart’s Health NHS
Hutchison); Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, (site investigator), Julie MacLean, RN, and Darlene Trust, London, England: Mamta Vaidya, MD,
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (Helfaer, Nadkarni); Boliver, RN, BN (site members); Montreal Children’s MRCPCH (site investigator), and Leanne Reardon,
Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Maryland Hospital, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, RN, MNursSci (site member); and Royal Brompton
(Hunt); Stollery Children’s Hospital, University of Quebec, Canada: Samara Zavalkoff, MDCM, FRCPC and Harefield NHS Trust, London, England:
Alberta, Edmonton, Canada. (Joffe); St Mary’s (site investigator), Maryse Dagenais, RN, MScA, Margarita Burmester, MBBS, MRCP, FRCPCH, FFICM
Imperial Healthcare, London, England (Ninis); CNCCPC, Sarah Shea, RN, and Josee Gaudreault, (site investigator), Kanwarjit Kailay, and Loredana
British Columbia Children’s Hospital, Vancouver, RN, MScA, CNCCPC (site members); Centre Haidu, RN (site members). Coordinating Center:
Canada (Wensley); Ontario Child Health Support Hospitalier Universitaire de Quebec–Université Center for Safety Research, Child Health Evaluative
Unit, SickKids Research Institute, Toronto, Canada Laval, Quebec, Quebec, Canada: Marc-Andre Sciences, The SickKids Research Institute, Toronto,
(Willan); Department of Medicine, University Dugas, MD, MSc, FRCPC (site investigator), and Ontartio, Canada: Susan Ferri, RN, BSCN, CCRP,
Health Network and Mt Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Louise Gosselin, RN (site member); Centre Jessica Grillo, MSc, BSc, Nida Shahid, HBSc, CCRP,
Ontario, Canada (Tomlinson). Hospitalier Universitaire Sainte-Justine, Montréal, MSc, Sarah Ashley, Simran Singh, RN BScN, ENCc,
Author Contributions: Dr Parshuram had full Quebec, Canada: Catherine Farrell, MD (site Kate Byrne, BcSH, CCRP, Aarthi Kamath, and
access to all of the data in the study and takes investigator), Caroline Proulx-Clerc, RN, Laurence Kristen Middaugh, RN, BScN.
responsibility for the integrity of the data and the Bertout, RN, and Isabelle Grisoni, RN (site Meeting Presentation: This was presented in part
accuracy of the data analysis. members); Stollery Children’s Hospital, Edmonton, at the 47th critical care congress of the Society of
Concept and design: Parshuram, Dryden-Palmer, Alberta, Canada: Jonathan Duff, MD (site Critical Care Medicine; February 27, 2018;
Farrell, Gottesman, Hutchison, Helfaer, Hunt, Joffe, investigator), Jodie Pugh, RN, and Denise Capito, San Antonio, Texas.
Lacroix, Nadkarni, Parkin, Wensley, Willan, RN, BScN, BA (site members); British Columbia Additional Contributions: We thank K. Choong,
Tomlinson. Children’s Hospital, Vancouver, Canada: David MBBCh (Departments of Pediatrics, Critical Care,
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Wensley, MB BS (site investigator), and Gordon and Health Research Methods, Evidence and
Parshuram, Dryden-Palmer, Farrell, Gottesman, Krahn, BSc, RRT (site member); Victoria General Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario,
Gray, Hutchison, Hunt, Joffe, Lacroix, Moga, Hospital, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada: Canada), for formal review and feedback on the
Nadkarni, Ninis, Parkin, Willan, Tomlinson. Amanda Barclay, MD (site investigator), Fiona Auld, study protocol; A. J. E. Seely, MD, PhD (Ottawa
Drafting of the manuscript: Parshuram, BSN, Laurie Robson, RN, and Emma Carrick, RN Hospital Research Institute, University of Ottawa,
Dryden-Palmer, Hutchison, Helfaer, Lacroix, (site members); McMaster Children’s Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada), for review and feedback
Nadkarni, Willan, Tomlinson. Hamilton, Ontario, Canada: Jonathan Gilleland, MD, on the study protocol and the manuscript; and D.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important FRCPC (site investigator), and Lois Saunders (site Cook, MD, MSc, OC (Departments of Medicine,
intellectual content: Parshuram, Dryden-Palmer, member); Children’s Hospital–London Health Clinical Epidemiology, and Bioststatistics,
Farrell, Gottesman, Gray, Hutchison, Hunt, Joffe, Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada: Douglas McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada),
Lacroix, Moga, Nadkarni, Ninis, Parkin, Wensley, Fraser, MD, PhD, FRCPC (site investigator), Paige for review and feedback on the manuscript.
Willan, Tomlinson. Bechard, RN BSCN, Colleen Martin, RN, and Lindsay None of the persons listed received compensation
Statistical analysis: Willan, Tomlinson. Spear, RN (site members); Alberta Children’s for their work.
Obtained funding: Parshuram, Dryden-Palmer, Hospital, Calgary, Canada: Kathleen Tobler, MD,
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