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Ikariam Spy Mission Risk Checker

Purpose: To determine the safety of each of my towns in the game Ikariam.


Seems to be correct, as far as I've tested it, but no guarantees offered.

To Use: Enter the values for any of your towns in the three fields below and find the likelihood of a spy getting in, when
the spreadsheet finally finishes calculating. (And it is VERY slow. Hey, its free.)
Spies: Hall:
Hideout:
Defending Town 12
14
Current Risk 0% (constant for this exercise, since I haven't a clue how it is figured.)

Mission Name/Default Mission Risk


Sender Infiltrate Treasure Inspect Fleet/Troop Observe
Hideout: town: Chamber: Warehouse Spy Research Online Status Spy Garrison Movements Comm. Recall Spy
5.00% 24.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 30.00%

1 59.00% 78.00% 84.00% 94.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 84.00%


2 57.00% 76.00% 82.00% 92.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 82.00%
3 55.00% 74.00% 80.00% 90.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 80.00%
4 53.00% 72.00% 78.00% 88.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 78.00%
5 51.00% 70.00% 76.00% 86.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 76.00%
6 49.00% 68.00% 74.00% 84.00% 94.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 74.00%
7 47.00% 66.00% 72.00% 82.00% 92.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 72.00%
8 45.00% 64.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 70.00%
9 43.00% 62.00% 68.00% 78.00% 88.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 68.00%
10 41.00% 60.00% 66.00% 76.00% 86.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 66.00%
11 39.00% 58.00% 64.00% 74.00% 84.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 64.00%
12 37.00% 56.00% 62.00% 72.00% 82.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 62.00%
13 35.00% 54.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 60.00%
14 33.00% 52.00% 58.00% 68.00% 78.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 58.00%
15 31.00% 50.00% 56.00% 66.00% 76.00% 95.00% 95.00% 95.00% 56.00%
16 29.00% 48.00% 54.00% 64.00% 74.00% 94.00% 95.00% 95.00% 54.00%
17 27.00% 46.00% 52.00% 62.00% 72.00% 92.00% 95.00% 95.00% 52.00%
18 25.00% 44.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 90.00% 95.00% 95.00% 50.00%
19 23.00% 42.00% 48.00% 58.00% 68.00% 88.00% 95.00% 95.00% 48.00%
20 21.00% 40.00% 46.00% 56.00% 66.00% 86.00% 95.00% 95.00% 46.00%
21 19.00% 38.00% 44.00% 54.00% 64.00% 84.00% 94.00% 95.00% 44.00%
22 17.00% 36.00% 42.00% 52.00% 62.00% 82.00% 92.00% 95.00% 42.00%
23 15.00% 34.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 80.00% 90.00% 95.00% 40.00%
24 13.00% 32.00% 38.00% 48.00% 58.00% 78.00% 88.00% 95.00% 38.00%
25 11.00% 30.00% 36.00% 46.00% 56.00% 76.00% 86.00% 95.00% 36.00%
26 9.00% 28.00% 34.00% 44.00% 54.00% 74.00% 84.00% 94.00% 34.00%
27 7.00% 26.00% 32.00% 42.00% 52.00% 72.00% 82.00% 92.00% 32.00%
28 5.00% 24.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 30.00%
29 5.00% 22.00% 28.00% 38.00% 48.00% 68.00% 78.00% 88.00% 28.00%
30 5.00% 20.00% 26.00% 36.00% 46.00% 66.00% 76.00% 86.00% 26.00%
31 5.00% 18.00% 24.00% 34.00% 44.00% 64.00% 74.00% 84.00% 24.00%
32 5.00% 16.00% 22.00% 32.00% 42.00% 62.00% 72.00% 82.00% 22.00%

Calculation fomula retrieved here: Ikariam Wiki


Don't look at this, I need this since Zoho has no User Defined Functions, sorry.

Mission Name/Default Mission Risk

Sender Infiltrate Treasure Inspect Fleet/Troop Observe


Hideout: town: Chamber: Warehouse Spy Research Online Status Spy Garrison Movements Comm. Recall Spy
5.00% 24.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 30.00%

1 59.00% 78.00% 84.00% 94.00% 104.00% 124.00% 134.00% 144.00% 84.00%


2 57.00% 76.00% 82.00% 92.00% 102.00% 122.00% 132.00% 142.00% 82.00%
3 55.00% 74.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 120.00% 130.00% 140.00% 80.00%
4 53.00% 72.00% 78.00% 88.00% 98.00% 118.00% 128.00% 138.00% 78.00%
5 51.00% 70.00% 76.00% 86.00% 96.00% 116.00% 126.00% 136.00% 76.00%
6 49.00% 68.00% 74.00% 84.00% 94.00% 114.00% 124.00% 134.00% 74.00%
7 47.00% 66.00% 72.00% 82.00% 92.00% 112.00% 122.00% 132.00% 72.00%
8 45.00% 64.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 110.00% 120.00% 130.00% 70.00%
9 43.00% 62.00% 68.00% 78.00% 88.00% 108.00% 118.00% 128.00% 68.00%
10 41.00% 60.00% 66.00% 76.00% 86.00% 106.00% 116.00% 126.00% 66.00%
11 39.00% 58.00% 64.00% 74.00% 84.00% 104.00% 114.00% 124.00% 64.00%
12 37.00% 56.00% 62.00% 72.00% 82.00% 102.00% 112.00% 122.00% 62.00%
13 35.00% 54.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 100.00% 110.00% 120.00% 60.00%
14 33.00% 52.00% 58.00% 68.00% 78.00% 98.00% 108.00% 118.00% 58.00%
15 31.00% 50.00% 56.00% 66.00% 76.00% 96.00% 106.00% 116.00% 56.00%
16 29.00% 48.00% 54.00% 64.00% 74.00% 94.00% 104.00% 114.00% 54.00%
17 27.00% 46.00% 52.00% 62.00% 72.00% 92.00% 102.00% 112.00% 52.00%
18 25.00% 44.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 90.00% 100.00% 110.00% 50.00%
19 23.00% 42.00% 48.00% 58.00% 68.00% 88.00% 98.00% 108.00% 48.00%
20 21.00% 40.00% 46.00% 56.00% 66.00% 86.00% 96.00% 106.00% 46.00%
21 19.00% 38.00% 44.00% 54.00% 64.00% 84.00% 94.00% 104.00% 44.00%
22 17.00% 36.00% 42.00% 52.00% 62.00% 82.00% 92.00% 102.00% 42.00%
23 15.00% 34.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 40.00%
24 13.00% 32.00% 38.00% 48.00% 58.00% 78.00% 88.00% 98.00% 38.00%
25 11.00% 30.00% 36.00% 46.00% 56.00% 76.00% 86.00% 96.00% 36.00%
26 9.00% 28.00% 34.00% 44.00% 54.00% 74.00% 84.00% 94.00% 34.00%
27 7.00% 26.00% 32.00% 42.00% 52.00% 72.00% 82.00% 92.00% 32.00%
28 5.00% 24.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 30.00%
29 3.00% 22.00% 28.00% 38.00% 48.00% 68.00% 78.00% 88.00% 28.00%
30 1.00% 20.00% 26.00% 36.00% 46.00% 66.00% 76.00% 86.00% 26.00%
31 -1.00% 18.00% 24.00% 34.00% 44.00% 64.00% 74.00% 84.00% 24.00%
32 -3.00% 16.00% 22.00% 32.00% 42.00% 62.00% 72.00% 82.00% 22.00%

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