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ABSTRACT
Obiectives: To determineany long{erm ettects,6 and 8 years atter childhoodenrollment,of the randomlyassigned
14-monthtreatmentsin the NIMH CollaborativeMultisiteMultimodalTreatmentStudyof ChildrenWith Attention-Deficiv
HyperactivityDisorder(MTA; N = 436); to test whether attention-deficivhyperactivity
disorder (ADHD) symptom tra-
jectory through 3 years predictsoutcome in subsequentyears; and to examine functioninglevel of the MTA ado-
lescents relative to their non-ADHDpeers (local normativecomparisongroup; N = 261). Method: Mixed-effects
regressionmodelswith plannedcontrastsat 6 and 8 years tested a wide rangeof symptomand impairmentvariables
assessedby parent,teacher,and youth report.Results: In nearly every analysis,the originallyrandomizedtreatment
groups did not ditfer significantlyon repeatedmeasuresor newly analyzedvariables(e.9., grades earned in school,
arrests, psychiatrichospitalizations,other clinicallyrelevantoutcomes).Medicationuse decreasedby 62% after the
'14-month
controlledtrial,but adjustingfor this did not changethe results.ADHD symptomtrajectoryin the lirst 3 years
predicted55% of the outcomes.The MTA participantsfared worse than the local normativecomparisongroup on
91% of the variablestested.Conclusions: Type or intensityof 14 monthsof treatmentfor ADHD in childhood(at age
7.0-9.9 years) does not predictfunctioning6 to I years later. Rather,early ADHD symptomtraiectoryregardlessof
treatmenttype is prognostic.This lindingimpliesthat childrenwith behavioraland sociodemographic
advantage,with the
best responseto any treatment,will have the best long{erm prognosis.As a group,however,despiteinitialsymptom
improvementduring treatmentthat is largelymaintainedafter treatment,childrenwith combined-typeADHD exhibit
Innovativetreatmentapproachestargetingspecificareasof adolescentimpairment
significantimpairmentin adolescence.
Key Words: ADHD,adolescence,clinicaltrial,
are needed.J. Am. Acad.ChildAdolesc.Psychiatry,2009;48(5):484-500.
longitudinal.Clinicaltrial registrationinJormation-Multimodal
TreatmentStudy ol ChildrenWith AttentionDeficit and
HyperactivityDisorder.URL:.http://www.clinicalttials.gov.
Unique identifier:NCT00000388.
Th opiniorcand assfftioilscontdinedin this le?ortdrethepiuate tiewsofthe Correspondtnce to BrooheMolina, Ph.D., 3811 O'Hara Street,Pitsburgh,
authors and ar€ not to be constmedas oficial or as reflectingthe uiewsof tbe PA 15213; e-mail: molinab@upmc.edu.
Department of Heabh and Human Seraircs,the National Inxbutes of Heabh, or 0890-856710914805-0484A2009 by the AmericanAcademv of Child and
the Ndtional Institu* of Mental Heahh. AdolescentPsychiatry.
This article is the subjectof an editorial by Dr. Philip L. Haullin this issue. D O I : 1 0 . 10 9 7 l C H I . 0 b 0 3
l e 3 l8 l 9 c 2 3 d 0
The NIMH Collaborative Multisite Multimodal Treat- of the initial advantage of Comb and MedMgt had
ment Study of Children \With Attention-Deficit/ dissipatedby the first follow-up evalrr2lien, l0 monrhs
Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), abbreviated as after the termination of treatment."'t
MTA, compared four distinct treatment strategies By the next follow-up, 3 years after enrollment
during childhood for 579 children diagnosed with (22 months after the end of the randomly assigned
DSM-IV ADHD, combined rype. Children were treatment), there were no longer significant treatment
randomly assignedto 14 months of systematicmedica- group differencesin ADHD/ODD symptoms or firnc-
tion management(MedMgt), which was initial placebo- tioning." That is, although the improvements over
controlled titration, thrice-daily dosing,7 daysper week, baseline for children in all four groups were main-
and monthly 30-minute clinic visits; multicomponent tained, the relative advantage associated with the in-
behavior therapy (Beh), which included 27-session tensive l4-month medication management in the
group parent training supplementedwith eight individ- MedMgt and Comb groups had dissipated."Addidonal
ual parent sessions, an 8-week summer treatment analysesfailed to support the hypothesis that treatment-
program, 12 weela of classroomadministered behavior seeking biases accounted for these results.T Also,
therapy with a half-time aide and 10 teacher consulta- through growth mixture modeling, we identified three
tion sessions; their combination (Comb); or usual subgroups ("iatent classes")of chiidren with differing
community care (CC).\'' Thir randomized, six-site, ADHD symptom trajectories between pretreatment
controlled clinical trial, conducted in parallel at six and the 36-month follow-up (Fig. 1)./ "Class l" (34oto
perFormancesites,featuredrigorousdiagnosticcriteria at of the sample) showed a gradual improvement over
study entry (when the children were in first through time, with an increasingsignificant benefit from medi-
fourth grade) and compared the relative-effectivenessof cation use at 36 months. In contrast, "class 2" (52o/o
treatmenrs of well-established efficaq.' Characteriza- of the sample) showed a larger initial improvement
tion of the MTA children's functioning and servicesuse that was maintained over time, whereas"class 3" (14%
through adolescence,including their continued use of of the sample) returned to pretreatment symptom
prescribedpsychoactivemedication, should provide key levels after an initial positive response to treatment.
insights into the long-term course of ADHD and The children in class 2 began the study with relative
whether time-limited intensive rreatmenr in childhood sociodemographicand behavioral advantagecompared
influences later outcome. This article reports psychia- with the children in classesI and 3 (e.g., more married
tric, academic,and socialfunctioning outcomesattained parents,higher IQ, lower behavior problem scores,bet-
by adolescence. ter social functioning) and had originally been assigned
The initial MTA findings were basedon comparisons disproportionately more to Comb or to MedMgt. A
of the three MTA-treated groups with one another and more detailed discussion of these and other findings
with the CC at the end of the l4-month treatment from the MTA up to the 3-year follow-up may be found
period.l'2 At that time, all groups showed improvement in Swansonand coworkers.s'9
over baseline, but Comb and MedMgt participants The current study reports the next two follow-up
showed significantly greater improvements in ADHD assessmentsof the MTA sample, at 6 and 8 years after
and oppositional defiant disorder (ODD) symptoms random assignment, when the sample ranged in age
than did Beh or CC participants.Although Comb and from 13 to l8 years.Our first aim was to determine the
MedMgt did not differ significantly in any direcr com- presenceofany differential long-term effectsofthe ran-
parisons, Comb but not MedMgt had significantly domized treatments on adolescent functioning. These
better outcomes than Beh and CC for internalizing analysescontrolled for medication treatment during the
symptoms, teacher-ratedsocial skills, parent-child rela- follow-up period. Although continued merging of the
tions, and reading achievement. Approximately hdf treatment groups' ^veragescoreswas highly likely, given
J . A M . A C A D . C H I L D A D O L E S C . P S Y C H I A T R Y ,4 8 r 5 , M A Y 2 0 0 9 v\ow,JAACAP,coM 485
MOLINA ET AL
486 \fllrw.JMCAP.coM . S Y C H I A T R Y4 ,8 : 5 ,M A Y 2 0 0 9
I . A M . A C A D ,C H I L D A D O L E S C P
8-YEAR FOLLO\T-UP OF THE ]\I'fA
and conduct based on rhe DSM-M svmDroms of conduct disorder (i.e., police contact, arrested,grade retention, psychiatric hospitaliza-
(CD)t6; severity ofdelinquent behavior ioded on a five-point ordi- tions, driving accidents/citations),we used a multinomial generalized
nal scale using parent and youth report across several measures"; linear model with a cumulative logit link function. Grade point
parent report of number of contacts with police and arrests by average was anallzed as a continuous variable with a single 8-year
8 years (Services for Children and Adolescents-Parent Interview endpoint comparison.
ISCAPI])18'te; parent-reported mean rating of overall firnctional Three sets of analyseswere conducted. First, for the MTA par-
impairment with the Clolumbia Impairment Rating Scale (CIS)20; ticipants, mixed-effects models with the planned point-in-time con-
self-reportq4 mean rating of depression (Children's Depression trasts were tested for each outcome measure to establish any
Inventory)'' and anxiery symptoms (Multidimensional Anxiety remaining differencesof initial treatment assignmentsby the 6- and
Scale for^Children)"; the Wechsler Individual Achievement Test 8-year assessments. Following our procedures for ensuring a limited
(\7IAT)" reading and math standardized scores; teacher-rated number of clinically relevant treatment group comparisons lrom
academic performance relaciveto ocher students using the mean of previous articles, rhe effects of treatment were tested using three
the first five items (c = .91 at 8 years) of the Academic Competence orthogonal contrasts following statistically significant treatment-by-
subscale of the Social Skills Rating System (SSRS)'"; grade point time interactions (or for end-point-only analyses, following sta-
average on a four-point scde taken from the final report card closest tistically significant main effbcts of treatment): Comb + MedMgt
in time to the 8-year assessment (coded with more than 90o/o in- versus Beh + CC, termed the MTA Medication Algorithm fficr,
terrater agreement); parent-reported hours per week of special Comb versus MedMgt, the Mubimodaliry efecr, and Beh ver.sus
education (0 = none, I = up to I hour, 2 = up to 5 hours, 3 = more CC, the Behauioral Substitution efect. We also tested an alternate
than 5 hours), counseling or therapy in school, or other school set of planned conrrasts distinguished by using behavioral treat-
servicessuch as help in the classroomto managebehavior or tutoring ment rather than medication algorithm as the primary divider
(SCAPI); posttreatmenr grade retention by 8 years (in lifetime for (see Molina et al.r7): Comb + Beh versus MedMgt + CC, the
MTA versus LNCG comparisons); parent- and teacher-rated total Intensiue Behauioral efect, Conb versus Beh, the Medication Addi-
social skills mean rating ho- the Social Skills Rating System2al tion efect, and MedMgt versus CC, the Intensity of Medication eff€ct.
parent-reported psychiatric hospitalizationsby 8 years (SCAPI); and Sire as a fixed effect and medication use (time-varying for repeated-
parent- or youth-reported accidents or citations stemming from measuresanalyses)were covaried, andp values greater than .025 are
vehicular moving violations. (Driving accidents/citarions were not reported as statistically significant to adjust for c inflation
analyzed for participants who drove or were eligible to drive based because of two sets of treatment group contrasts. Second, com-
on age.) The LNCG parricipanrs who were eligible by age were parisols among the three previously identified 36-month latent
more likely to have a license (1161203 = 57.14o/o)than the MTA classes' for the 6- and 8-year outcome measures were analyzed using
, ' t = 1 4 . 8 2 ,p < . 0 0 1 ) .
p a r r i c i p a n t s( 1 5 2 1 3 7 6 = 4 0 . 4 3 o / o X mixed-effects regressionmodels and point-in-time contrasts among
'I-wo
teachers (English and Math) provided ratings, which the classes,controlling for site. Finally, the MTA subjects were
were averagedfor analysis.Psychiatric diagnoseswere based on the compared with rhe LNCG subjects with mixed-effects regression
DISC-IV, with ADHD diagnosis bxed on the same algorithm models with point-in-time contrasts. The [.NCG subjects who met
used to esrablish study entry (for details and exceptions, see MTA diagnostic criteria for ADHD at recruitment (n -- 3l) were removed;
Cooperative Group'). At the 8-year assessment,55 MTA and results were not appreciably different with these subjects included.
39 LNCG participants had turned 18 and were administered the To assistwith interpretation, in addition to observed means and
DISC-IV,25 the CIS worded for self-repon,2othe Beck Depression percentagesin the tables by group, effect sizes are presented For
Inventory,26 and the Beck Anxiery Inventory2T instead ofthe parallel statisticallysignificant group comparisons using Cohen / for n.reans
child measures.Results were not appreciably different when their (SDs) and Cohen h for proportions, where 0.2 is considered a small
data were excluded. effect size, 0.5 is considered a medium effect size, and 0.8 is
Medication Usage. From the parent-reported SCAPI, prescription considered a large effect size.29 Because results were not affected by
medication use was defined as the proportion of days that children the inclusion ofage as a covariate, we present findings without age
received any medication for ADHD in the past year. covaried. IQ at study entry was controlled in the latent class and
MTA versus LNCG comparisons for academic outcomes (\WalAT
scores, teacher-rated academic performance, grade point avetage,
StatisticalApproach school services,grade retention). Data were from the 8-year data set
-f c l o s e do n J a n u a r y 3 l . 2 0 0 6 .
he main analytic approach was mixed-effects regression
modeling with point-in-time contrasts.The mixed-effectsregression
is an extension of the ordinary linear regression(see Hedeker and
Gibbons28 for a relevant overview, especially pp. 47-48). These RESULTS
analyses cest whether groups (i.e., randomly assigned treatment
group; membership in 36-month latent class1, 2, or 3; MTA versus
LNCG) differ as a function of time. In contrast to the rraditional MedicationUse Over Time
repeated-measures analysis of variance, mixed-effects regression \We first examined medication use becauseof its im-
models allowed us to include subjects with incomplete data across
portance as a covariatein determining long-term treat-
time and account for within-subject correlations berween observa-
tions. We included individual point-in-time contrasts,treating group ment effbcts.fu previously reported,o medication use
and time as fixed effects and the intercept as a random effect, to test varied at 14, 24, and 36 months according to initial
the significance of group differences at 6 and 8 years. Power was random assignment: mean (SD)-0.71 (0.24), 0.67
sufficient (0.80 or higher) to detect small treatment group differences
(effect size of 0.28 or larger ar ? . .05 or less). For five nominal (0.35), 0.66 (0.41) for MedMgt; mean (SD)-O.Z1
(or categorical) variables analyzed at the S-year endpoint only (0.22), 0.69 Q.35), 0.67 (0.39) for Comb; mean
l . A M . A C A D . C H I L D A D O L E S C . P S Y C H t A T R Y , 4 8 : 5 ,M A Y 2 0 0 9 W.W!(/.JAACAP.COM 487
MOLINA ET AL.
(SD)-0.16(0.28),0.35(0.44),0.43
(0.46)for Beh; treatment group for the six variables analyed only at
mean(SD)-}.54 (0.41),0.58(0.42),0.59
(0.43)for the S-year endpoint.
CC, respectively. By the 6- and 8-year assessments, Two variables were statistically significant in the
however,thesegroup differencesin medication usewere planned contrasts at 6 years only, and these effects were
no longer significant (Ft,qsz= 1.11, ns, and Ft.qoa= small. First, adolescentswho receivedComb had fewer
0.60, ns, respectively.For the MTA sample as a whole, school servicesat 6 yearsthan adolescentswho received
mean (SD) at 6 and 8 yearsis as follows: 0.42 (0.43) and Beh (p = .0204), Second, DISC diagnosesof anxiery or
0.31 (0.42), respectively. depressiondiffered by group at 6 years.The children
At 8 years, only 32.5o/o (1321406 with complete who received Beh had a lower rate of these diagnoses
medication data) were medicated over 50o/oof days in (4.3o/o) than the children in the Comb (17.7o/o),
the past year (versus63.30/oor 2571405 at 14 months). MedMgt (l9.Io/o), or CC (16.40/o) groups. The
Treatment was still predominantly with stimulanrs difference was reflected in four statistically significant
(83olo)or stimulants plus nonstimulant treatment (8olo) contrasts:Comb + MedMgt > Beh + CC (p = .0050);
with few reporting nonstimulant treatments alone Beh < CC (p = .0064); Comb > Beh (p = .0027); and
(9o/o);averagetotal daily dose of stimulant (in MPH Comb + Beh < MedMgt + CC (p = .0132).
equivalentunits) was 44.93 mg (SD 26.08). Most of Psychosis, mania, and hypomania occurred too
the youths medicated at 8 years had also been med- infrequently for reliable statistical analysis, thereby
icated at 14 months (75.0o/ol99ll32)). Averagetotal faillng to support the idea that previous stimulant
daily dose of those taking srimulants at both assess- medication may instigate appreciableincreasesin these
ments was43.36 mg(SD 24.33) at 8 yearsand 30.58 mg disorders.Their prevalence(defined aspresenceofone or
(SD 13.94) at 14 months. Thus, stimulant medication at more of these three conditions) was l.7o/o in Comb,
8 years more often reflected continued treatment, with 2.0o/oin MedMgt, 0.9o/oin Beh, and 2.9o/oin CC. Rates
increaseddosage,rather than newly initiated medication. of tic disorder (new casessince enrollment, when tic
Across rime, 77.2o/o(701406) of the children were disorder was among the exclusion criteria) were 5.2o/o,
medicated at every assessmentbeginning with 14- 5.0o/o,3.5o/o, and3.8o/o,and ratesof elimination disorder
month reports, 20.4o/o(831406) were not medicated at were 0.)o/o, 1.0o/o,0.9o/o,and 0o/o,for Comb, MedMgt,
any of these assessments, and 62.30/o(2531406) were Beh, and CC, respectively.
medicatedat leastonce but not every time. Of the total Figure 2 illustratesthe overall pattern ofscores for six
pool of children medicated at 14 months (n = 257), of the continuous variables. These graphs reveal
61.50/o (158) had stopped medication some time convergenceof the treatment groups from 36 months
after 14 months and were nor medicated at the 8-year to 8 years and maintenance of improved overall
follow-up. functioning relative to baseline.An exception appears
for \MAT math achievement.for which no randomized
treatment grou5related gains were detected at any
Effectsof RandomizedTreatmenton 6- and 8-Year assessment point (seealso references1 and 6).
Outcomes:Intent{o-TreatAnalyses Medication use in the past year, measured at each
Table 1 shows the results of the mixed-effectsmod- assessmentand treated as a time-varying covariate, was
els at 8 years (if different, results of 6-year con- associatedwith outcome over time in a pattern consis-
trasrsare discussedin text). There were no statistically tent with previous ,.po.tr.t'o'u It was associatedwith
significant effects of original randomized treatment symptom remission at 74 and 24 months, when med-
group assignment on any of the 24 outcome variables ication use mostly reflected randomized treatment
tested. ti7hen treatment-by-time interactions were group assignment, but it was associatedwith worse
significant (eight variables), planned contrasts at hyperactivity-impulsiviryand ODD symptoms and CIS
8 years were not. (As confirmed by additional contrasts, impairment (or showed no association with other
previously reported effects of randomized treatment continuous variable repeated-measures outcomes) at 6
group at 14 and 24 months accounted for the years. Most associationswere not significant at 8 years.
'S7IAT
significant treatment-by-time interactions.) There An exception occurred for math achievement.
were no statistically significant effects of randomized Past-yearmedication and math scoreswere positively
488 www.JAACAP.coM . S Y C H I A T R Y , 4 8 :M
J . A M . A C A D .C H I L D A D O L E S C P 5 .A Y 2 0 0 9
8 . Y E A RF O L L O \ f l - U O
P FTHE I\,{TA
TABLE 1
8-Year Outcomes (Mean, SD, or Percentage) by Original Randomized Treatment Group
Mixed Effects or Multinomial Model Results,
Randomly Assigned Treatment fotX-@J),p
(Continued)
J, AM. ACAD. CHILD ADOt.ESC. PSYCHIATRY, 48:5, MAY 2009 ww\)7.IAACAP.COM 489
MOLINA ET AL.
TABLE1
(Continued)
Mixed Effects or Multinomial Model Results,
Randomly Assigned Treatment F ot x2 @f), P
o
2.5 2.5
L
2.O
o
o .9 o
15
\r: _-=Z--=--:*
E
o
1,5
; z \
o
---:- -=.:-==-==
r
z
o
1.0
c-
rn
, -'-
z
0.5 o o.s 0.5
0.0
14 24 36 14 24 36 't4 24 36
Monthsof Study Monlhsof Study Months of Study
ParentAggression CIS Parent Math
1.35 115
L30 110
1.25
\ N
.fi t.zo
E
O1r. ,,
,,,
t.10
r.05
t.00
36 36 72 14
Monthsof Study Monthsof Study Monthsof Study
Fig' 2 Selected outcome variables for MTA children, graphed by originally randomized treatm€nt group rsignment and LNCG. Beh = behavior therapy; CC =
community care; CIS = Columbia Impairment Rating Scale; Comb = combined; LNCG = locd normative comparison group; MedMgt = medication management;
ODD = oppositional defiant disorder; SNAP = Swanson, Nolan, Pelham Rating Scale.
interaction (e.g., delinquency severiry raring) or as a and overall functioning (CIS impairment) of the MTA
group-by-dme interaction reflecting variation in the youths relative to the LNCG youths. For example,
magnitude of group differencesover rime (e.g., SNAP for ADHD and ODD symptom ratings, where the
inattention). Two comparisons were nor statistically MTA averagescore is a full SD higher than the LNCG
significant (Multidimensional Anxiery Scale for Chil- (even higher for inattention ratings), Figure 2 shows
dren anxiety and driving accidents/citations). Effect sizes that treatment-related decreasesin symptoms do not
in the far right column for statistically significant MTA "normalize" the children as a group. Figure 3 showsthat
versus LNCG group differences generally ranged from both childhood ADHD diagnosis and latent class
0.4 to l.0-medium to large effects, revealing worse membership predict long-term outcome, but original
outcome over time for the MTA children for each random assignmentdoes not. The Table 2 statisticsand
variable tested.All repeated-measures comparisonsthat Figures 2 and 3 show that these findings are steady over
were statistically significant at 8 years were also time, from 24 months after baselinewhen the LNCG
statistically significant at 6 years. was recruited, through 8 years.
Figures 2 and 3 show the LNCG mean scores for Ratesof diagnosisof ADHD decreasedfrom 43.0o/o
selectedcontinuous variables,contrastedwith the mean at the 6-year assessmentto 30.2o/o at the S-year
scoresfor the MTAyouths by treatmentgroup (Fig. 2) or assessmentfor the MTA sample, versus 4.3o/o and
by 36-month latent class(Fig. 3). These figuresillustrate 2.2o/o, respectively, for the LNCG sample. (Recall that
the relatively poorer behavioral (ADHD and ODD these results exclude 3l LNCG with ADHD at
symptom ratings), academic |VIAT marh achievemenr), recruitment. Rates of ADHD diasnosis at 6 and
J. AM. ACAD. CHILD ADOLESC. PSYCHIATRY, 48:5, MAY 2009 \7!7!r.lAACAP.coM 491
\o
A. TABLE 2
f.J
8-Year Outcomes (Mean, SD, or Percentage)by 36-Month Latent (llass
-
-
36-Month Latent Class z
a For c' (4),P an
? Mixed-Effects
or Multinomial Model Resulrs, -]
n=154 n=Zl4 n=63 Class Time 36,72,96 Classby Time Class Contrasts (Effect Sizes) -
o
- ADHD symptoms
o
c SNAP inattention parent r.49(0.73) 1 . 2 8( 0 . 7 r ) 1 . 6 5( 0 . 8 1 ) 1 0 4 . 1(32 ) , . 0 0 0 r 60.76(2) .0001 109.77(4),.0001 2 < | (0.28),2 < 3 (0.48)
SNAP inattention teacher 1.4r (0.72) r . r 6( 0 . 7 r ) 1.54(0.76)
SNAP hyperactive/ 0.82(0.66) 0.65(0.63) 1 . 1 2( 0 . 7 9 ) 1 3 r . 4 0 ( 2 ) , . 0 0 0 r200.88(2),.0001 105.85(4),.0001 2 < | (0.26),2 < 3 (0.70),1 < 3 (0.43)
impulsive parent
SNAP hyperactive/ 0.77(0.77) 0 . 1 0( 0 . t 7 ) 0 . 8 1( 0 . 6 7 )
impulsive teacher
ODD symptoms
SNAP ODD parent 1 . 0 6( 0 . 7 1 ) 0.89(0.78) r.4o (0.84) 8 3 . 6 1( 2 ) ,. 0 0 0 1 41.26(2),.0001 40.06(4),.0001 2 < | (0.23),2< 3 (0.64),| < 3 (0.45)
SNAP ODD teacher 0.63(0.72) 0.37(0.52) 0.74(0.76)
Antisocial behavior
Aggression conduct parent 1 . r 8( 0 . 2 7 ) 1 . 1 1( 0 . 1 6 )r.23 (0.24) 8 3 . 0 2( 2 ) ,. 0 0 0 1 19.14(2),.0001 33.72(4),.0001 2 < | (0.34),2< 3 (0.66)
Aggression conduct teacher 0 . 1 8( 0 . 2 4 ) 0 .r 1 ( 0 . 1 7 )0.20(0.22)
Delinquency severiry rating r . 7 6( 1 . 6 2 ) 1 . 4 1( t . 5 2 ) 2 . 0 5( 1 . 5 0 ) 29.92(2),.0001 8.47 (2),.0145 1.5t (4),.8174 2 < | (0.22),2< 3 (0.42)
Police conracts, o/o once o/o 40.4,12.2 3 4 . 4 , 9 . 6 t 2 . 3 , 1 2 . 3 9.38(2),.0092 2 < 3 Q.25)
tvvo or more times
Arrested, o/o once o/o 2 0 . 6 , 9 . 7 t 7. 9 ,4 . 9 24.7,8.2 5.62(2),.0603
two or more times
Impairment: CIS 1.03(0.70) 0.91(0.70) r.26 (0.69) 3 1 . 6 0( 2 ) ,. 0 0 0 1 25.95(2),.0001 26.80(4),.0001 2 < 3 (0.44)
Depression: CDI 7.99(7.57) 7.06(7.01) 6.74(7.51) 4 . 1 4( 2 ) ,. 1 2 6 r 9.78(3),.0206 7.87(6),.2475
o Anxiery: MASC 84.9(r9.5) 82.4(t6.3) 7 9 . 3( r 7 . 9 ) 4.82(2),.0900 405.37(3),.ooor 2.83(6),.8298
Academic
9
- \7IAT reading 9 5 . 2( r 3 . 8 ) 9 6 . 4( r 3 . 7 ) 9 4 . 0( r 4 . 3 ) 0.45(2),.7985 54.00(2),.0001 3.96(4),.4116
I '\71AT
- math" 9 2 . 8( 1 6 . 1 ) 9 7 . 1( 1 6 . 5 ) 89.6(r5.4) 4.r3 (2),.r03e 1 1 9 . 6 (92 ) ,. 0 0 0 1 3.62(4),.4603
o SSRS academic 2.92(0.73) 3.r 7 (0.83) 3 . 0 9( 0 . 9 1 ) 5.26(2),.0719 24.74(2),.0001 21.10(4),.0003
o performance teacher
o 2.76(0.57) 2.79(0.59) 2.63(0.46) r.43 (2),.4882
- Grade point average
School services 0 . 5 0( 0 . 7 r ) 0 . 3 6( 0 . 6 1 )0.67(0.76) 29.21(2),.000r 77.37(2),.0001 5.79(4),.2150 2 < 1 ( 0 . 2 2 ) , 2< 3 ( 0 . 4 8 )
n Grade retention, 7o 4l.r 33.8 28.8 6.3r (2),.0425 2 < I (0.1t)
!
Social functioning
o
SSRS social skills parent r . 2 r ( 0 . 2 5 ) 1.30(0.28) I . 1I ( 0 . 3 0 ) 6 6 . 9 t( 2 ) ,. 0 0 0 1 94.19Q), .ooor 32.58(4),.0001 2 < 1 ( 0 . 3 3 ) , 2 < 3 ( 0 . 6 7 )
I
- SSRS social skills teacher l . l l ( 0 . 3 1 )r.25(0.28) t . r 4 ( 0 . 2 8 )
Other
J
Psychiatric hospitalizations, o/o r3.4 7.6 12.7 r.73(2),.4207
P
Accident/citations/ticket, o/o 22.2 21.8 24.r 0.24(2),.8862
3 Diagnosis
ADHD, o/o 28.l 26.5 48.4 3 3 . 3 1( 2 ) ,. o o o l 4 8 . 8 9( 2 ) ,. 0 0 0 1 2 0 . 1r ( 4 ) ,. 0 0 0 1 r < 3 Q . 4 2 ) , 2 < 3 ( 0 . 4 6 )
ADHD combined, o/o 7.2 6.4 21.0
ADHD hyperactive, 7o 3.3 0.9 6.5
ADHD inartentive, o/o 17.6 19.2 2 1. 0
: z0.l 38.7 23.85(2),.0001 7.96(2),.0187 5 . 7 0 ( 4 ) , . 2 2 224< I ( 0 . 1 6 ) , 2 < 3 ( 0 . 4 2 )
o ODD/CD, o/o 26.8
Conduct 1 0t. 5.t l 1.3
o
o ODD 17.0 rr.5 1al
l*aiisaeritl+*t*rligilg*liiii
MOLINA ET AL
o
: 2.5
.9.
2.0
o o
G
* o
c E 15 c 15
o
z z
o o '1.0
6 o.u 0.5
0.0
14 24 36
14 24 36
Months of Study l\,lonthsof Study
LS
110
1.25 105
5 100
o o
o-
1.10 90
1.05 85
1.m 80
l4
Months of Study
Fig. 3 Selected
outcomevariables
for MTA children,graphedby 36-monthADHD symptomlatentclxs and LNCG. CIS = ColumbiaImpairmentRatingScale
LNCG = local normativecomparisongroup;ODD = oppositionaldefiantdisorder;SNAP = Swanson,Nolm, PelhamRatingScale.
treatment group assignmenr ar 7 to 9 yearsof age. The advantage, and strength of ADHD symptom response
ADHD symptom rajectory in childhood, however,was to any treatment, are befter predictors of later adolescent
a strong predictor of outcome at both 6 and 8 years. functioning than the type of rrearmenr received in
Finally, despite overall maintenanceof improvement in childhood for 14 months. This conclusion follows from
functioning relative to baseline (pretreatment), the our analyses comparing the children's 6- and 8-year
MTA group as a whole was functioning significantly functioning on the basis of their previous ADHD
less well than the non-ADHD classmate sample symptom "latent class" membership, when children in
(LNCC) recruited at24 months. These findings provide "class 2" were characterizedby the strongest and most
evidence that the differential effects of the ADHD enduring decreasein ADHD symptoms between base-
treatments, evident when the interventions were line and 36 months. Compared with children in classes
delivered, attenuated when the intensity of treatment I and 3, class2 children alsohad better scoresat baseline
was relaxed. To our knowledge, these findings are rhe on a range of variablesthat included symptom severiry,
first in the ADHD treatmenr literatureto document, for conduct problems, learning problems and IQ, social
a wide rangeof symptom and functioning ourcomes,the skills, and family characteristicsconferring socioeco-
sustained absence of long-term effects of an initial nomic advantage (fewer marital breakups and better
period of randomly assigned rrearmenr (separate financial picture). These findings reflect, in a clinical
analysesof long-term efFectson subsranceuse, growth, sample,the moderate degreeof stabiliry in relative rank
and heart rate are in progress). ordering of children's behavior or personality also seen
Our results suggestthat the initial clinical presenta- in nonclinical samples.3OYet for most of the MTA
tion in childhood, including severiry of ADHD children (those in classesI and 2), functioning was sdll
symptoms, conduct problems, intellect, and social substantially improved over baseline levels, suggesting
8.1
-
Conduct. 7o 2.2 f
A. (Conrinued) =
-t
s. 7
A
TABLE 3 -
(Continued) -
z
Group Mixed Effectsor Multinomial Model Results,F or X' @f), p
4 Effect
LNCG Group (MTA vs. LNCG) i
q Group by Time Size
o |-
ODD, O/O 17.7 2.6
:J
o Anxiety/dep ression, o/o t0.4 1 6 . 0 6( 1 ) ,. 0 0 0 1 10.27o), .0164 r . 3 9( 3 ) ,. 7 0 8 8 (0.19)
o
Note:.Where applicable, means r
efects. For ur variables
on the frst variable listed. SNA? measures rated 0 (not at all) to 3 (ver much); aggression conduct parent measure rated I (never) to 4 (ofen); aggression conduct reacher measure
rated0(notatalltrue)to3(verymuchtrue);CISrated0(noproblem)to4(averybadproblem);CDIrated0(best)to2(worst),2Tirernssummed;MASCratedl(nevertrue)to4
(ofen true), 45 items summed; SSRS academic performance teacher measure rated 1 (lowest 10oloof class) to 5 (highest l0olo of cl s);
(very often). School services data not available for LNCG. Results reported from analyseswithout age as covariate but with IQcontrolled for ourcomes in academic domain. Only
efect sizesfor contrasts signifcant et ? < .05 are reported. Efect sizeswe re calculated on obsered data using Cohen / for means (SD) and Cohen for proportions (0.2 [small], 0.5
[medium], and 0.8 [arge]) afer confrming correspondencewith leastsquaresestimated mean diferences (which are lessclinically interpretable). z = 31 LNCG caseswith HD at
recruitment removed from analyses;results were not appreciably diferent when they were included. HD
communiry care; CDI = Children's Depression Inventory; CIS = Columbia Impairment Rating Scale; Comb = combined; LNCG = local normative comparison group; MASC =
Multidimensional Anxiety Scale for Children; MedMgt = medication management; MTA = NIMH Collaborative Multisite Multimodal Treatment Study of Children Vith
Attention-Defcit/Hyperactiviqy Disorder; SNAI' = Swanson, Nolan, Pelham Rating Scale;ODD/CD = oppositional defant disorder/conduct disorder; SSRS = Social Skills ting
Svstem: \fIAT = Wechsler Individual Achievement Test.
i iilligiffii{lliigiiigi;l*siligigii
8 . Y E A RF O L L O \ r - U PO F T H E M T A
data fail to provide support for long-term advantage of some evidence that remission of symptoms does not
medication treatment beyond 2 yearsfor the majoriry of equatewith recoveryof function.35'36Fo. example,only
children-at least as medication is monitored in modest associations were found between ADHD
community settings.Decisions about starting, conrinu- symptom reports and various measuresof impairment
ing, and stopping medication may have to be made on in daily functioning acrossfour separateADHD samples
an individualized basis,avoiding untested assumprions spanning the elementary to early adulthood years.al A
about continuing benefit and using periodic trial comparison of diagnostic algorithms in relation to
discontinuations to check for need and benefir. indicators of impairment was beyond the scope of this
Indeed, long-term monitoring of children with article but would be a fruitful analysis to aid firture
ADHD may be wise, given the pervasivedifferencesin nosology decisions, panicularly with regard to develop-
symptoms, functioning, and apparent need for services mental changesin these associations.Our results also
found between the MTA and LNCG samples in lend some support to the idea that indicators of
adolescence.In an effort to fully appreciate the MTA functioning (beyond symptoms) may be crucial, if not
children's firnctioning as adolescents,we expanded the more important than measurementof symptoms, in the
range of variables studied. These results showed that, design and study of treatments for ADHD .4''4t Dirrrt
although symptoms and impairment remainedapprecia- measurements of academic performance in school
bly improved over baseline levels, normalization was (specifically,gradesearned as a reflection of homework
generally not achieved. \We found poorer performance completion and quiz and test performance), behavioral
for the MTA children as a group versusLNCG children transgressionsincluding office referrals, disciplinary
for 9lo/o of the variables. For example, although we actionsand conflict with parents,and socialdysfunction
replicated an expected decreasein parent- and teacher- ultimately drive treatment-seekingbehavior and prob-
rated symptoms of hyperactiviry and impulsiviry,'u'u ably mediate long-term outcome. Given the wide-
the MTA children's scores on all of the ADHD ranging differences between the MTA and the LNCG
symptom measureswere still substantiallyhigher than samples in variables that transcend the symptoms of
those of their former classmates.Standardizedachieve- ADHD and their potential imponance as treatment
ment test scores, teacher ratings of academic perfor- targets, future clinical trials may be forced to broaden
mance, and even grades earned in high school were narrow definitions of primary outcome variables.
Iower for the ADHD than for the LNCG group. The Taken together, these 8-year findings point to a
MTA children also had a twofold higher rate of grade crucial need for development of ffeatments that are
retention. Ratesof delinquencyand arrestwere higher in efficacious, accessible,and lasting for high school-aged
the ADHD sample, and psychiatric hospitalizations youths with ADHD and their parents. The available
were more common, occurring for 10oloof the ADHD literature on this tooic is small and in need of
sample versus only |o/o of the LNCG (although this innovation.4' Unfo.,rrr,"tely, teenagerswith ADHD
difference did not seem to be a firnction of increased are not easyto treat. There is the temptation, despiteour
rates of psychosis, mania, or hypomania, dispelling failure to find long-term advantage of medication
concerns that CNS stimulant treatment triggers such treatment, to somehow improve adherenceto medica-
disordersar high ,"t.rjt). tion treatment. However, an underrecognizedproblem
In contrast to this pattern of lower firnctioning, on in the treatment of adolescentADHD is the dramatic
average,in the MTA versus the LNCG samples,only decline in medication adherence with the onset of
30oloof the MTA children fulfilled DSM-IV criteria for adolescence.44'45 In the current study,620/oof the MTA
ADHD by the 8-year follow-up. This figure is low children taking medication at 14 months (posttreat-
compared with some previous estimates of ADHD ment) had stopped by the B-yearfollow-up, despitethe
persistence in adolescen ce36'38'39and may be an advances in long-acting stimulant medications. This
underestimate that fails to consider age-appropriate decline is imponant in the larger context of studies
symptom cutoffs. Indeed, arguments have been put finding poor adherence,more generally,with stimulant
forth that the symptom count thresholds developed for treatment regimens.noThus, treatments may need to
the diagnosis of ADHD in children may be overly target motivadonal variables to encourage adolescent
stringent for adolescentsand adults.noMor.ou.r, there is participation in nonpharmacological interventions (as
l . A M . A C A D . C H I L D A D O L E S C . P S Y C H I A T R Y ,4 8 : 5 , M A Y 2 0 0 9 wlrw.JAACAP.coM 497
N{OLINA ET AL.
well as pharmacological interventions that may be was a National Institute of Mental Health (NIMH) cooperarive
agreement randomized clinical trial involving six clinical sites.
acutely effective for a given individual)47 and that also
Collaborators from the National Insritute of Menral Health: Peter
address continued family and school involvement.48 Jensen,M.D. (currently at Columbia Universiry), L. EugeneArnold,
There are also data ro suggesrthat periodic psychosocial M.D., M.Ed. (currently at Ohio State Universiry), Benedetto
Vitiello, M.D. (Child and Adolescent Treatment and Preventive
treatments for 10 years are effective, including for
Interventions Research Branch), Kimberly Hoagwood, Ph.D.
diagnosisof ADHD (for the children in the fast-track (currently at Columbia); previous conrributors from NIMH to the
study wirh high externaiizing behaviors at baseline).ae early phase:John Richters, Ph.D. (currently at National Institute of
\X4rether these strategiesassistparents and adolescents Nursing Research); Donald Vereen, M.D. (currently at National
Instirute on Drug Abuse). Principal investigatorsand coinvestigators
with motivation to mainrain rrearm€nr, and whether from the clinical sites are as follows: Universiry of California,
these results would apply to children diagnosed with Berkeley/San Francisco: Stephen Hinshaw, Ph.D. (Berkeley), Glen
ADHD combined type, is a subject of future study. Ellion, Ph.D., M.D. (San Francisco); Duke Universiry: C. Keith
C o n n e r s ,P h . D . , K a r e n ! 7 e l l s , P h . D . , J o h n M a r c h , M . D . , M . P . H . ,
Overall, the findings of this 6- and S-yearfollow-up of
Jeffery Epstein, Ph.D.; Universiry of California, Irvine/Los Angeles:
the children in the MTA indicate thar trearment-related James Swanson, Ph.D. (Irvine), Dennis Cannsell, M.D., (deceased,
improvements for the children in the MTA are generally Los Angeles), Timothy Vigal, Ph.D. (lrvine); Long Island Jewish
Medical Center/Montreal Children's Hospital: Howard Abikoff,
maintained, but diffe rential treatment efficacy conrinues
Ph.D. (currently at New York University School of Medicine), Lily
to be lost at and beyond 36 months; initial patient Hechtman, M.D. (McGill Universiry); New York State Psychiatric
characteristicsand demographics and improved ADHD Institute/Columbia Universiry/Mount Sinai Medica.l Center: l.aur-
symptom responseto any of the MTA rrearmenrsor ro ence Greenhill, M.D. (Columbia), Jeffrey Newcorn, M.D. (Mount
Sinai School of Medicine); University of Pittsburgh: Wiltiam
communiry care predicts high school-aged functioning Pelham, Ph.D. (currently at State University of New York at
for a range of outcomes; on average, children with Buffalo), Betsy Hoza, Ph.D. (currently at Universiry of Vermont),
combined-rype ADHD, despite having received 14 Brooke Molina, Ph.D., Parricia Houck, MS. Original statisticaland
trial design consultant: Helena Kraemer, Ph.D. (Stanford Uni-
months of intensive state-of-the-an behavior therapy or
versiry). Follow-up phase statistical collaborators: Robert Gibbons,
medication management, are frrnctioning less well than Ph.D. (Universiry of Illinois at Chicago), Sue Marcus, Ph.D. (Mt.
their non-ADHD age-mates across mosr indices of Sinai College of Medicine), Kwan Hur, Ph.D. (Universiry of Illinois
at Chicago). Collaborator from the Office of Special Education
functioning. Some children were lost ro follow-up, and
Programs/U.S. Depanment of Education: Thomas Hanley, Ed.D.
their families were demographically disadvantaged.Thus, Collaborator from Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquenry
the MTA versus the LNCG group differences that we Prevention/Depaftment of Justice: Karen Stern, Ph.D.
observed may be underestimates. Our findings suggest
that community treatments can improve ADHD
Disclosure:Dr. Jensenbas receiuedresearch fundingfrom McNeil; has
symproms and associatedimpairment, but even when receiuedunrestrictedgranx fom lfzer: has consultedto Best Practice,
preceded by intensive medication managemenr and/or Shire,Janssen,Nouartis, Otsuka, and UCB; and hasparticipated in
behavioraltherapy for 14 months, continuing commu- speahers'bureausfor Janssen-Ortho, Alza, McNeil, UCB, CMED,
CME Outfners, and theNeuroscience EducationInstitute.Dr. Amold
niry interventions are unable, on average,to "normalize"
has receiuedrcsearchfunding fom Celgene,Shire, Nouen, Eli Lil\,
children with ADHD. These findings apply to a range of Targacept,Sigma Tau, Nouartis, and Neuropharm; has consubedto
symptom and functioning indices including delinquency, Shire,Nouen,Sigma Tau, Ros, Organon,and Neuropharm;and has
beenon speahers'bureausfor Abbott, Shire,McNeil, and Nouartis.Dr.
arrests, grade retentions and letter grades earned in
Swansonhas receiuedresearchsupportfrom Alztt, Richwood, Shire,
school, and psychiatric hospitalizations that occur for an Celgene,Nouartis, Celbech, Gliatech, Cephalon, Watson, CItsA,
important minoriry of the sample. Hence, there is a Janssen,and McNeil; has been on the aduisory boards of Alztt,
practicalneed to pursue funher researchto developand Richwood, Shire, Celgene,Nouartis, Celhech, UCB, Gliarech,
Cephalon,McNeil, and Eli Lilly; has beenon the speakers' bureausof
deliver more effective sustainable interventions and to Alza, Shire, Nouartis, Celhech,UCB, Cephalon, CIBA, Janssen,and
shift the emphasis in the field from reliance on ADHD McNeil; and ha consubedto Alza, Richwood,Shire, Celgene,Nouartis,
symptoms as the key outcome of treatment to include Celbech,UCB, Gliatech, Cephalon, IVatson, CIBA, Janssen,McNeil,
and Eli Lilly. Dr. Abihofli has receiuedresearchfunding fom
measurementof impairments that bring families in for
McNeil, Shire, Eli Lilly, and Bristol-Myrs Squibb; has consultedto
treatment and that are likely to mediate adulthood McNeil, Shire,Eli Lilf, Pfzer, Celhech,Cephalon,and Nouartis; and
functionine. has been0n the s?eahers'bureaus of McNeil, Shire,and Celltech.Dr.
Greenhillhas receiued funding fom or has beena consubant
research
to the National Institute of Mental Health, Eli Lilly, Alza, Shire,
The NIMH Collaborative Multisite Multimodal Treatment Study Cephalon,McNeil, Nouen, Ortho-McNeil, Celltech,Nouarti, Sanof
of Children With Attention-Deffcit/Hyperactiviry Disorder (MTA) Auentis, Otsuha, Ifzer, and Janssen.Dr. Hechtntan has receited
498 wvnv.JAAcAP.coN{ J . A M . A C A D . C H I L D A D O L E S C . P S Y C H I A T R Y ,4 8 , 5 , M A Y 2 0 0 9
8 - Y E A RF O L L O V - U P O F T H E M T A
research fundingfom the National lnstitute of Mental Heahh, Eli Lilb, 12. Greenhill LL, Swanson JM, Vitiello B, Davies IvI, Clevenger V, Wu M.
Gl.uoSmithKline,Janssen-Ortho, PurduePharma,and Shire;hasbeen Impairment and deponment responses to dift'erenr methylphenidate
on thespeakers' bureausof theNational Institateof Mental Health,Eli doses in children with ADHD: the MTA titrarion. J Am Acad Cbild
Lilly, Janssen-Ortho,PurduePharma,and Shire;and hn beenon the Adolesc Psychiatry. 200 l;40:1 80-1 87.
aduisoryboardsof Eli LilQ, Janssen-Ortho, 13. Hinshaw SP, March JS, Abikoff HB et al. Comprehensive assess-
PurduePharma,and Shire.
Dr. Elliott hasreceiuedresearch ment of childhood attention-deffcit hyperactiviw disorder in the
fundingfrom Cephalon,McNeil, Shire, context of a multisite, multimodal clinical trial. J Atten Disord. 1997:
Sigrta Tau, and Nouartis; hasconsultedto Cepbalonand McNeil; and
1 : 2 1 72 3 4 .
hasbeenon thespeakers'bureaus ofJanssen,
Eli Lilb, and McNeil. Dr. 14. Wells KC, Pelham VE, Kotkin RA et al. Psychosocial treatment
Epsreinhasreceiuedresearch fundingfom McNeiL Shire,Eli Lil/1, and strategies in the MTA study: rationale, methods, and critical issues in
Nouartis;hasbeenon the aduisoryboardofShire; and hasbeenon the design and implementation.,/ Abnom ChiA Psychol. 2000;28:483 505.
sreakers'bureausof Sbire and McNeil. Dr. Hoza has receiuedresearch 15. Shaffer D, Fisher P, Lucas CP, Dulcan MK, Schwab-Stone NIE. NIMH
iunding from MeiiaBalance and has receiuedsup?ortfor educational Diagnostic Interview Schedule for Children Version IV (NIlt{H DISC-
conferences fom Abbott Laboratories. Dr. Newcornhasbeenan aduisor/ I$: description, differences from previous versions, and reliability of
consubant to Eli Lil4, Alza, McNeil Pediatrics, Janssen, Shire, some common diagnoses. J Am And Child Adolesc Pslchiatry. 20OO;
Nouartis, Cephalon,Celltech,UCB, Sanof-Auentis,Abbon, Pfzer, 39:2838.
16. American PsychiatricAssociation.Diagnosticand StatisticalManual of
Cortex, Lupin, Sepracor,and Bristol-Mlers Squibb; receiuedresearch
Mental Di:orders. Fourtb Edition (DSM-M. \Vashington: American
funding fom Eli Lill1, Shire, Alza, McNeil, Gliatech, Medeua, PsychiatricAssociation;1994.
Nouartis, and SrnithKline Beecham;and has beenon the speakers' 17. Molina BS, Flory K, Hinshaw SP et al. Delinquent behavior and
bureausofAlza, McNeil, Eli LilU, Shirc,Nouartis,Celbech,and UCB. emergingsubstance use in the M-fA at 36 months:previJence, course,
Dr. \Yigal has receiuedresearchfindingfrom Eli Lilb, Shire,Nouartis, and rreatment effecrs./ Am Acad Child Adoler Psychiatry 2007;46:
and McNeil, and has beenon the sfreahers' bureausof McNeil and 1 0 2 8 - l0 4 0 .
Shire. Theotherauthlrs reportn0 co'nflicxof interest. 18. JensenP, HoagwoodK, Roper M et al. The servicesForchildrenand
adolescenm parent interuiew(SCAPI): developmentand perfbrmance
characteristia./,4 m Acad Child AdolescPsychiatry.2004;43:1334-1344.
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