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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 29, 2017 ~ VOL. XLI NO. 146 WSJ.com ASIA EDITION
As of 12 p.m. ET DJIA 20650.11 À 0.48% NIKKEI 19202.87 À 1.14% STOXX 600 377.30 À 0.61% BRENT 51.77 À 2.01% GOLD 1255.90 À 0.04% EURO 1.0849 g 0.14% DLR ¥110.65 g 0.01%
technologies. B1
holders to all earnings after
Tencent bought a 5% the dividend is paid. GM
stake in Tesla, as the elec- would also return funds to
tric-vehicle maker prepares shareholders via buybacks of
to launch its first car aimed the nondividend stock.
at the mass market. A1 Greenlight believes the
move could attract new inves-
Aviva is looking to sell
tors who are willing to pay
its Friends Provident unit
more for potential earnings
in a deal that could fetch as
growth, potentially boosting
much as $750 million. B6
the auto maker’s market capi-
Huishan Dairy said it FORCEFUL: Strong winds and heavy rain from Tropical Cyclone Debbie lash trees in the northeast Australia resort town of Airlie Beach. A4 talization by as much as $38
has lost contact with a top billion, according to people fa-
executive and co-owner miliar with the matter. GM’s
World-Wide
WORLD NEWS
R
agenda for the Asia-Pacific, ather, China’s advance The new administration, candidate—China is pushing a and regressive.” gutted the American working
where global wealth, technol- is being enabled by a says Goh Chok Tong, the for- lower-grade alternative. class and created a middle
F
ogy and military power are factor that few coun- mer Singapore prime minis- Yet, despite the shortcom- or now, the danger is class in Asia.”
concentrat- tries in Asia could have fore- ter, “has taken a step back- ings of this incremental ef- that Mr. Obama’s Trans- On the one hand, this kind
ing. seen, not even China itself: an ward.” fort, known as the Regional Pacific Partnership will of rhetoric scares the Chinese
Today, in- American retreat. At an annual gathering of Comprehensive Economic morph into Mr. Trump’s leadership. “There is deep
creasingly, With no obvious alterna- Asian power brokers on Partnership, Asian economies Trans-Pacific trade war. anxiety,” says Fred Hu, chair-
Beijing does. tives, Beijing is filling a vac- China’s tropical Hainan Island are aligning around it be- Mr. Trump has threatened man of Primavera Capital
That’s not uum that is rapidly expanding last week, Mr. Goh, one of the cause there’s no better deal to impose 45% import tariffs Group, a China-based global
because its in the early days of the region’s most respected elder on the table. on Chinese imports. If he trig- investment firm, who has ad-
economic model is so widely Trump presidency. statesmen, posed an anxious Neighbors are skeptical gers such an action, the ef- vised the Chinese government
admired; Deng Xiaoping’s But while China dominates question: “Who will step into that China can build consen- fects will ricochet around the on financial reform. “They are
“open door” to global trade its region with the sheer size the shoes of the U.S. to make sus across the region. “Lead- entire Asia-Pacific manufac- really alarmed about Trump.”
and investment is creaking of its economy, it struggles to sure that we have free trade?” ership takes humility, humor turing supply chain. The angst is shared in a re-
shut under President Xi Jin- lead—or inspire. It is hard for Chinese poli- and flexibility,” says Thomas A common view in Asia is gion that feels unmoored as it
ping, a hard-line nationalist. Years in the making, the ticians to sound credible Lembong, the chairman of that the success that the U.S. steadily drifts into Beijing’s
Nor does the country’s po- 12-nation Trans-Pacific Part- when they proclaim the vir- the Indonesia Investment Co- did so much to encourage is orbit, as much by default as
litical system, brutally fo- nership was the core of the tues of globalization—the free ordinating Board, a govern- now feeding a backlash. by design.
common stock and $750 million U.S., where sales about doubled Yet its shares trade only
in convertible notes. to $4.2 billion. about 6% above the price in-
China made up 15% of vestors paid when GM re-
Tesla’s $7 billion in revenue turned to the market in 2010
26%
last year, up from 8% in 2015. after its government-backed
The U.S. accounted for 60% of bankruptcy. The stock trades
the company’s 2016 revenue, at the lowest valuation in the
up from 48% in 2015. S&P 500, measured by the
Increase in Tesla’s stock price Tencent’s investment in price compared with its ex- David Einhorn’s Greenlight Capital wants General Motors to split its common stock into two classes.
this year Tesla marks the highest-profile pected earnings per share.
foray into the autos sector for Its dividend yield, mean- At those levels, the stock billion stock-buyback plan. It profitable even if U.S. industry
the Chinese internet giant. Big while, is among the top 25 in gains could total between $12 also detailed to investors the sales fall below 11 million light
Chinese tech companies have the index. billion and $38 billion. return it expected on its own vehicles from the 17.5 million
The new sedan is part of Mr. backed a wave of green-car Mr. Einhorn believes GM’s “We don’t know if there spending, tying executive com- sold last year. Most forecasts
Musk’s bet to transform Tesla startups in the country re- management is doing a good will be market demand and li- pensation to return on in- show sales remaining in the 16
from a luxury car maker into a cently, with Tencent supporting job operating the business and quidity for the proposed secu- vested capital, a favorite met- million to 17 million range for
company that offers a mass- smaller outfits such as NextEV isn’t pushing GM to change its rities,” said GM spokeswoman ric of hedge funds and other the next several years.
market electric vehicle, along and Future Mobility Corp. capital-spending plan, as other Joanne Krell. She said Mr. investors.
with solar panels to generate Tencent, while little known investors have previously, the Einhorn’s proposed setup GM said that above a $20 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
energy to power its vehicles, outside China, is the world’s people said. could endanger its invest- billion cushion, it would re- Dow Jones Publishing Company (Asia)
and batteries to store that largest game publisher by reve- Greenlight has been a GM ment-grade credit rating, turn to shareholders any cash 25/F, Central Plaza, 18 Harbour Road,
Hong Kong
power at home and offices. nue. It owns “League of Leg- investor at various points for among other risks. that it couldn’t put to work for Tel: 852 2573 7121 Fax 852 2834 5291
The Silicon Valley com- ends” developer Riot Games about five years and had a Mr. Einhorn has made a ca- at least a 20% return.
Andrew Dowell, Asia Editor
pany—which is unprofitable Inc. and last year teamed up 0.9% stake and options on 25 reer pushing what he sees as The moves persuaded the Troy McCullough, Senior News Editor, Asia
and deeply indebted—plans to with Chinese investors in an million shares at the end of misunderstood stories on Wall investors, a group that in- Darren Everson, International Editions Editor
begin Model 3 production in $8.6 billion acquisition of Su- December. Street, arguing that Lehman cluded Appaloosa Manage- Hugo Restall, Editorial Page Editor
July, and ramp up to 5,000 ve- percell Oy, the Finnish maker of Investors have pressured Brothers Holdings Inc. was ment LP and Hayman Capital Mark Rogers, Advertising Sales
hicles a week in the fourth “Clash of Clans.” Tencent also GM in recent years to find a overvalued months before its Management LP, to drop their Jacky Lo, Circulation Sales
quarter. owns China’s largest social net- way to improve its stock’s per- collapse and successfully push to add Mr. Wilson to Jacquelyn Drozdoff, Communications
Simon Wan, Technology
But the cost has been high, work, WeChat, which has 889 formance. The auto maker, pushing Apple Inc. to imple- GM’s board.
and Tesla needs a cushion to million monthly active users. which returned to the public ment a $100 billion capital-re- Despite GM’s healthy re- Jonathan Wright,
Managing Director Asia & Publisher
move ahead in the capital-in- Tencent shares rose more markets in November 2010 at turn plan. sults in recent years, investors
Advertising through Dow Jones Advertising
tensive auto industry. than 40% over the past year, $33 a share, closed Monday at His campaign comes just are cautious as U.S. vehicle Sales: Hong Kong: 852-2831 2504; Singapore:
The company has more than thrusting it ahead of e-com- $34.71. two years after GM fended off sales show signs of peaking. 65-6415 4300; Tokyo: 81-3 6269-2701;
$2 billion of debt due in 2018— merce giant Alibaba Group Mr. Einhorn estimates the a proxy fight led by a group of Analysts say they want to see Frankfurt: 49 69 29725390; London: 44 207
842 9600; Paris: 33 1 40 17 17 01; New York:
a year during which it aims to Holding Ltd. and Industrial and dividend stock could trade be- hedge funds and Harry J. Wil- evidence that GM can remain 1-212 659 2176.
sell significantly more vehicles Commercial Bank of China, the tween $17 and $22 and the re- son, an Obama administration solidly profitable in the next Or email: Mark.Rogers@wsj.com
than last year. world’s biggest bank by assets. maining stock could trade at official who ushered GM market downturn. Printers: Hong Kong: Euron Limited, 2/F., Block 1,
Tai Ping Industrial Centre, 57 Ting Kok Road, Tai
It also plans to continue in- —Dan Strumpf contributed $26 to $28, according to peo- through bankruptcy in 2009. GM has said it has posi- Po, Hong Kong; Indonesia: PT Gramedia Printing
vesting heavily in overhead to this article. ple familiar with the plan. GM responded with a $5 tioned the business to remain Group, Jalan Palmerah Selatan 22-28, Jakarta
10270; Japan: The Mainichi Newspapers Co., Ltd.,
1-1-1 Hitotsubashi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, 100-8051;
Korea: JoongAng Ilbo. 100 Seosomun-ro, Jung-gu,
trillion, according to the Fo- tion proposals are known as the incorrectly said the maximum put, including both gas- and Jaylin Walker, a basketball
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rum for Sustainable and Re- One National Program. The range of both cars is 16 miles. electric-power sources. Mean- player for Kent State Univer-
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By phone: Hong Kong: 800 901 216; Australia:
Monday about State Street Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid mini- Chevrolet Bolt is a battery-elec- Platinum is the Pacifica Limited, day edition about players 0011 8000 322 8482; China: 400 991 1174;
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, March 29, 2017 | A3
WORLD NEWS
Iran, Gulf States Move to Mend Frayed Ties
Relations deteriorated times—after talks with Saudi and Arab officials.
officials collapsed. Tehran says the Sunni Mus-
last year after Saudi The hajj deal “shows that lim monarchies have sup-
Arabia executed a there is hope that the relation- pressed the rights of their Shi-
ship can become more prag- ite populations, and fueled
prominent Shiite cleric matic,” said Abdullah al-Sham- extremism through their sup-
mary, a Riyadh-based political port of Sunni rebel groups in
BY MARGHERITA STANCATI analyst and former Saudi dip- Syria.
AND ASA FITCH lomat. “Now is the time is to Yemen is one area where
sit and talk.” improved ties between Iran
Iran and the Gulf states, Behind the steps toward and Saudi Arabia could show
whose contest for power in the better ties, analysts and offi- results. Saudi Arabia leads a
Middle East has been tipping cials say, is a new U.S. adminis- U.S.-backed Sunni Arab coali-
toward open confrontation, are tration that has taken a more tion there that is fighting to
quietly trying to repair the confrontational stance toward unseat the Houthi rebels, who
damaged relationship as the Tehran. President Donald practice an offshoot of Shiite
U.S. takes a more confronta- Trump and his aides have Islam and are supported by
PRESIDENT.IR/REUTERS
tional stance toward Tehran. vowed to reverse the Obama Iran, with the aim of restoring
The longstanding rivalry administration’s outreach to to power ousted President
flared last year when Saudi Iran—a shift America’s long- Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi.
Arabia executed a prominent time Gulf allies have welcomed. In a sign that Saudi Arabia is
Shiite cleric and angry Iranian “Under Obama, Iran was un- softening its stance toward
protesters stormed the Saudi der no pressure to make seri- some Iranian allies, Mr. al-Ju-
Embassy, smashing its win- ous efforts to improve rela- Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani met Kuwait Sheik Sabah al-Ahmad al-Sabah in Kuwait City in February. beir last month became the first
dows and setting the com- tions” with the Gulf, said Saudi foreign minister in more
pound on fire. Saudi Arabia Ibrahim Fraihat, a professor of President Rouhani’s moderate situation.’ ” and publicly, that they want to than two decades to visit Iraq, a
and Bahrain responded by sev- conflict resolution at the Doha political faction. Saudi Arabia, a Sunni mon- turn the page, they would like Shiite-majority country where
ering diplomatic ties with Iran, Institute for Graduate Studies In addition, Saudi Arabia archy, and Shiite-dominated to have dialogue,” said Ab- Iran has extensive influence.
and other Gulf states sided in Qatar. “Iran has realized that has suffered a series of for- Iran are still exchanging sharp delaziz Aluwaisheg, assistant In November, Riyadh sup-
with Riyadh. has changed.” eign-policy setbacks. Riyadh is words. “For 35 years, we have secretary-general for political ported a deal that elevated to
Now, even as public rhetoric The decline in oil prices has trying to extricate itself from extended our arm in friendship affairs at the Gulf Cooperation the Lebanese presidency a
remains strident, signs of a also created pressure to re- its war in Yemen, a costly cam- to the Iranians, and for 35 Council, the umbrella body for Christian ally of the militant
tentative rapprochement have solve differences. In November, paign that it waded into in part years we have gotten death the Gulf’s Arab states. “While and political group Hezbollah,
surfaced in recent low-profile Saudi Arabia dropped its de- to check what it perceived as and destruction in return,” they tell us that, they also con- an Iranian proxy.
meetings between Iranian and mand that Iran slash its crude Iran’s influence in a neighbor- Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al- tinue these activities.” Mr. Rouhani’s deputy chief of
Gulf officials, including a visit output to reach an OPEC deal ing country. And in Syria, Iran- Jubeir told a security confer- The flurry of diplomatic staff, in a Twitter message dur-
by Iranian President Hassan aimed at limiting global pro- and Russia-backed government ence in Germany last month. activity began in January, ing the Iranian president’s visit
Rouhani to Kuwait and Oman, duction to prop up prices, now forces late last year over- “This cannot continue.” with a visit by Kuwait’s for- to the Gulf last month, wel-
and a recent agreement be- hovering around $50 a barrel— whelmed rebels the kingdom Riyadh and others in the eign minister to Tehran on comed the diplomatic opening,
tween Riyadh and Tehran to al- about half of where it was a supported in Aleppo. Gulf accuse Iran of exploiting behalf of the GCC. As a condi- but warned it might not last.
low Iranians to join this year’s few years ago. “Aleppo was a turning sectarian tensions to gain po- tion for improved ties, the “Opportunity passes like a
hajj pilgrimage to the Saudi “It seems that because of a point, and the Saudis have litical influence across the six-nation body has appealed cloud,” he wrote in Arabic, the
city of Mecca. Iranians were lack of money, they have to sit been pragmatic about it,” said Arab world and say Tehran’s to Tehran to end its interfer- language of the Gulf states, in-
excluded from last year’s hajj— around a table and talk to each a Western diplomat based in recent ballistic missile test ence in the region, including stead of his native Farsi.
a religious duty Muslims other,” said Saeed Laylaz, an the Gulf. “They said: ‘We lost. launch worries them. arming and supporting Shiite “Therefore make good use of
should fulfill once in their life- Iranian economist close to Let’s make the best of a bad “Iran is saying, privately proxies, according to Western good opportunities.”
will be a big burden for Ger- volved in the divorce process port for Sunni Arab states upon whether our operations
man businesses, with four of to keep the hurdles for the fighting al Qaeda and Iranian- against al Qaeda get conflated
10 companies expecting trade movement of goods low and backed militias in Yemen, U.S. with the Saudi-led coalition’s
activities to worsen over the possible additional red tape as and Arab officials said, draw- war against the Houthis,” said
coming months, according to a little as possible. ing the U.S. deeper into the Eric Pelofsky, who was senior
survey published Tuesday. Another concern is that the two-year civil war there. director for North Africa and
As a result, one in 10 busi- complexity of the Brexit talks American support now in- Yemen at the National Security
nesses already plans to relo- could mean that details about cludes greater intelligence and Council under former Presi-
cate investment from the U.K. future trade agreements be- logistical support for the mili- dent Barack Obama.
to one of the remaining EU tween the U.K. and the EU will taries of Saudi Arabia and the Senior U.S. defense officials
countries, a German Chambers remain unsolved over the two- United Arab Emirates, these said much of the Trump ad-
of Commerce poll from Febru- year exit process. officials said. ministration’s Yemen strategy
ary of 1,300 companies doing “Brexit negotiations should The Trump administration Houthi supporters attended a Sunday rally in Yemen marking the is now tied to its military alli-
business with the U.K. found. proceed swiftly and transpar- also is moving to resume the second anniversary of the Saudi-led campaign against the rebels. ance with the U.A.E. The two
“Brexit will significantly ently so as not to burden the sale of precision-guided weap- countries historically have
harm German companies’ busi- European economy unneces- ons to Saudi Arabia, which have lauded the increased U.S. sour Hadi from Yemen’s capi- been allies, but cooperation has
ness with the U.K.,” said DIHK sarily. We must absolutely were frozen during the final cooperation as pivotal to their tal in 2015. Iran has denied intensified in recent months.
President Eric Schweitzer. “Fur- avoid standing there in two months of the Obama adminis- own effort to push back supplying arms to the Houthis. “Iran must not be allowed to
ther decreases in trade are ex- years without an agreement,” tration due to concerns about against what they call Iranian Houthi fighters have shown create a Hezbollah-like proxy
pected for the coming months.” said VDMA Chief Executive the rising numbers of civilian expansionism in the Persian an increased willingness to in Yemen through the Houthis,”
The comments come as U.K. Thilo Brodtmann. “This would fatalities in Yemen. Gulf region. target U.S. naval vessels oper- said Yousef Al Otaiba, the
Prime Minister Theresa May is lead to considerable distor- “We have a commit- While Washington’s immedi- ating in the Persian Gulf, view- U.A.E.’s ambassador to the U.S.,
expected to officially trigger tions in bilateral trade.” ment…that they will increase ate focus is on fighting al ing them as aiding Saudi Ara- who called U.S. support to
Britain’s exit from the EU on Both groups also stressed this cooperation,” said Saudi Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, bia and the U.A.E. in denying fight the Houthis and AQAP a
Wednesday, kicking off a two- that it is more important to Gen. Ahmad al-Asiri, spokes- or AQAP, the support for Gulf the flow of supplies into Ye- “welcome development.”
year process of tough negotia- discourage other EU countries man for the Saudi-led coalition countries in Yemen also risks men, particularly the Red Sea Defense Secretary Jim Mat-
tions to settle terms of the from following the U.K.’s ex- in Yemen, who visited Wash- dragging the U.S. more directly port of Hodeida. tis has requested White House
exit and forge new ties be- ample to leave the bloc than ington this month with Saudi into the country’s civil war, U.S. officials have voiced approval to allow the U.S. to
tween the U.K. and the EU’s striving for any short-term Arabia’s defense minister, which has left more than 15,000 growing concern about the provide support to the Saudi
remaining 27 member states. trade relief for the U.K. The Prince Mohammed bin Salman. people dead. The U.S. support flow of commercial traffic and Emirati governments for
Among the key contentious preservation of the European “If there was a hiccup last also creates a counterbalance through the waters off Yemen, their operations in Yemen, to
issues are the future of the free internal market is the main year, this was an abnormality.” to Iranian influence there, and in particular, the Bab-el-Man- include a plan by U.A.E. forces
movement of goods, capital and long-term goal, they said. The U.S. is predominantly could put the U.S. in more di- deb waterway, between the to drive Houthi rebels out of
labor. For Europe’s biggest ex- “Too many concessions interested in providing support rect conflict with Tehran. Arabian peninsula and Djibouti. Hodeida, U.S. officials said.
porting nation, a lot is at stake. from the EU in the negotia- for Gulf nations to fight al Yemen’s Houthi insurgents, The U.S. Navy has warned That proposed operation was
Britain is Germany’s fifth impor- tions mustn’t endanger the Qaeda militants inside Yemen, who receive military and fi- about mines that Houthis, with earlier reported by the Wash-
tant trade partner, with the to- single market as a whole,” said who are seen as posing a direct nancial support from Iran, ac- help from Iranian advisers, ington Post. The U.S. also
tal trade volume reaching €122 Mr. Schweitzer. “That would threat to the American home- cording to U.S. and Arab offi- have placed in the waters wants to provide nonlethal aid
billion ($132 billion) last year, be an even bigger problem for land, according to U.S. officials. cials, drove the government of there. U.S. officials worry that and other equipment as well,
and it was Germany’s third-larg- our international companies.” But Arab military officials President Abed Rabbo Man- those mines may slip off their another U.S. official said.
35,000 birds who had so much As a result, slaughterhouses away. used by corn and soy farmers.
room when they were skinny, across Brazil have shut down Increasingly desperate, “It’s what makes farming a
dull-feathered poults are or dramatically slowed pro- growers here have asked per- good business here,” said Ion-
plump and white and ready for duction, leaving those who mission from the Agriculture aldo Villegla, owner of 300
table. raise turkeys, chicken and Ministry to use another cows, who feed on grass forti-
No slaughterhouse will take other fowl scrambling to fig- slaughterhouse 300 miles fied with mix of turkey ma-
them, though, and along with ure out what to do with the away. nure and wood chips, rich in
the birds, worries are growing birds. The delay in getting an an- nitrogen, phosphorous and po-
in this steamy, poultry-cen- Raising fowl is a highly swer is prompting Aloir Vi- tassium.
tered town. time-sensitive business. While cente da Silva, a grower who People here fear that if the
“It’s good when they go for cattle ranchers can hold off as leads a local association of slaughterhouse takes too long
slaughter; if they stay here too they wait for slaughterhouses poultry farmers, to ponder to reopen—or if foreign rivals
long, the whole system is in to open and exports to re- The Santa Luzia turkey farm on the outskirts of Mineiros, Brazil. whether he will have to start start to take over Brazil’s
trouble,” said Wanderson sume, chicken and turkeys destroying eggs. global clientele—Mineiros
Domiense, 24, who works at have short lifespans and fatten turkey farms are in operation. have closed it down, as they “I am thinking of letting my could be exposed to the reces-
this largely automated farm. up fast. Producers need to The townspeople in this re- have others nationwide. The turkeys out in front of the Ag- sion and joblessness battering
Brazilians aren’t big turkey move fat birds to slaughter af- mote community that sits hulking white building, with riculture Ministry,” he said the rest of the country.
eaters, and much of the global ter 120 days of being fed to amid undulating hills, eucalyp- its distinctive water tower, jokingly. “The lack of a deci- Over the weekend, Donizete
market has banned the coun- make room for younger ones. tus trees and soybean farms now sits idle on a hill just out- sion is killing us.” The Agricul- da Rocha, 54, whose restau-
try’s poultry, along with its Few towns know more are worried. side town. ture Ministry said it still had rant buys beef and chicken
beef, since federal police al- about the intricacies of this in- “It has an impact on all of The turkeys it normally no date to reopen the local grown locally, noted that meat
leged that meatpackers were and-out style of production, us,” said Juliano Pina, 22, who slaughters take a firmly set slaughterhouse and hasn’t prices were going down be-
paying health inspectors for with its tight time schedule, works at a gift store. path to their end. ruled on whether local produc- cause of the whole scandal in-
sanitary certificates. Even as than this one deep in Brazil’s Usually, the slaughterhouse First they hatch in nurser- ers can use another one. volving meat and poultry.
the crisis eases somewhat— agricultural heartland, where here is busy killing off 25,000 ies, where they take 30 days to Poultry’s role here can “But I can’t celebrate,” Mr.
China reduced its sanctions to birds outnumber people by turkeys and 120,000 chickens reach about 2 pounds. hardly be overstated. Farmers da Rocha said. “It’s bad for the
a handful of Brazilian export- more than three to one and 171 daily. But Brazilian authorities Then they are moved to growing corn and soy sell part whole town.”
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A4 | Wednesday, March 29, 2017 HK JP KO ML SI IN UK FR MN PR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
Defectors to South
Learn Capitalism
North Koreans with details of her story. on maps and is ringed with
Even sophisticated inves- barbed-wire fence.
scant financial know- tors fall prey to financial In response to concerns of
how are ripe for scams. But North Korean de- defectors falling victim to
fectors, many of whom arrive scams, South Korean officials
fraudulent schemes with virtually no experience in in the past two years have
the modern financial system, nearly doubled the time they
SEOUL—Four years after are even more vulnerable, say spend teaching finance. They
arriving in capitalist South Ko- South Korean government ex- also have created a matched
rea from the nominally social- perts involved in the educa- savings program to encourage
charges against pro-democ- mer No. 2 official in this semi- nessmen and activists. suggest the Western freedoms
racy demonstrators in Hong autonomous Chinese city, Ms. On Tuesday, Ms. Lam dis- Hong Kong enjoys are eroding
Kong, filed right after this Lam negotiated with the pro- missed any significance to the as China exerts more control.
weekend’s election, have testers and is unpopular timing of the charges. “This is Ms. Lam has promised to
prompted public criticism and among them. an action of the current [Hong try to heal divisions within
a denial from Hong Kong’s “Obviously the timing was Kong government], done inde- Hong Kong. But some Hong
newly elected leader Tuesday planned, and it looks rather pendently by the investigation Kongers say that will be diffi-
that the timing was delayed to absurd to launch this the day and prosecution authority,” cult since she is seen as deeply
help her. after the election,” said Albert she said. “I want to reiterate pro-China. Her election victory
Police on Monday filed a Ho, a human-rights lawyer and that the rule of law and the in- was dogged by allegations that
range of public-nuisance former Hong Kong legislator dependence of the judiciary she defeated a more-popular
charges against nine activists who also participated in the are important core values of second-place contender with
and local lawmakers who protests. “They wanted to wait Hong Kong.” the help of a behind-the-
helped organize weeks of “Oc- until the election was over.” Hong Kong’s Justice De- scenes arm-twisting effort or-
cupy” protests in 2014 that The charges also drew at- partment rejected what it said Activist Tanya Chan, before authorities charged her on Monday. chestrated by Beijing. She has
paralyzed parts of Hong Kong. tention in the U.S., where Sen. were accusations in Hong denied that allegation.
The charges came a day after Marco Rubio (R., Fla.) called Kong that Ms. Lam had or- ence and organizers had been The nine defendants have a Mainland China authorities
Carrie Lam, a pro-China candi- them “ominous” and urged Ms. dered the police action. The expecting some form of prose- court hearing Thursday. Police have consistently denied sway-
date widely viewed as Beijing’s Lam to push for the demo- department “stresses that cution. He said the biggest also charged an officer ac- ing the vote and said any con-
pick, was elected. cratic changes sought by pro- such surmising is completely test would be whether the de- cused of using excessive force. tacts with Hong Kong electors
Critics say that the charges, testers, who are seeking the baseless and utterly untrue.” fendants get a fair trial. Hong Kong, a former British by Chinese officials were con-
coming more than two years universal right to vote in Hong Mr. Ho said the protests The charges carry potential colony, enjoys a special status ducted lawfully under the ex-
after the protests, were de- Kong. Under the current sys- were a form of civil disobedi- sentences of up to seven years. under a “one country, two sys- isting framework.
WORLD WATCH
Powerful Cyclone Batters Australia TAIWAN nulled measures put in place in
BY ROB TAYLOR 2014 against Aisha Muammer
Court Clears Former Mohamed Gadhafi, which in-
CANBERRA, Australia—One Leader in Leak Case cluded travel restrictions and
of the most ferocious tropical freezing of funds.
storms to hit Australia in Taiwan’s China-friendly for- The EU courts have struck
years blew ashore, causing mer President Ma Ying-jeou down a number of targeted
widespread flooding and dam- was found not guilty of libel sanctions against Syrian, Ira-
age, after thousands of people and leaking confidential infor- nian and other individuals in re-
were evacuated from its path. mation in a case involving sus- cent months, all citing a dearth
Tropical Cyclone Debbie, pected influence peddling by a of evidence to support the re-
the most powerful storm since powerful lawmaker. strictive measures.
Cyclone Yasi made landfall in Mr. Ma was credited with Gadhafi was driven from
February 2011, lashed tourist substantially improving Tai- power in Libya in 2011 after a
DAN PELED/EUROPEAN PRESSPHOTO AGENCY
islands and resorts in Queens- wan’s relations with China dur- campaign of airstrikes by the
land state with destructive ing his two terms in office U.S. and the North Atlantic
winds of more than 160 miles from 2008 to 2016. His Nation- Treaty Organization and was
an hour, tearing the roofs off alist Party lost both the presi- killed in October 2011. The EU
homes and uprooting trees. dency and its parliamentary imposed targeted sanctions in
There were few early reports majority to the pro-indepen- 2014 after the outbreak of a
of injury and death. dence Democratic Progressive renewed civil war in Libya.
“This is a very destructive Party in elections in January Tuesday’s ruling was similar,
storm and storm system,” said 2016. raising questions about the justi-
Queensland Police Commis- The charges against Mr. Ma fication used by the EU to place
sioner Ian Stewart. He said stemmed from a 2013 lawsuit her on a list of people subjected
one man was seriously injured A fallen palm tree crosses the yard of a motel in the resort town of Airlie Beach, Queensland. brought by Democratic Progres- to the targeted sanctions.
during the storm after a wall sive Party lawmaker Ker Chien- Ms. Gadhafi argued that she
fell on him and a tourist was (US$2.75 billion) in cyclone-re- Bay, Hay Point and Abbot sugar crops in the Bowen- ming alleging that the then- didn’t represent a threat to
killed as the storm approached lated claims. Point were closed Tuesday Mackay region. Around a quar- president leaked information peace and security in Libya and
the coast on Monday. Prime Minister Malcolm ahead of the cyclone’s arrival. ter of all sugar produced in from a wiretapped conversation therefore the restrictive mea-
Television footage showed Turnbull said a navy amphibi- Weather and climate scien- Australia comes from the Mac- featuring powerful Nationalist sures were unfair.
boats smashing into harbor ous transport ship, helicopters tists have warned that Austra- kay-Proserpine region [hit by lawmaker Wang Jin-pyng. In its ruling, the court again
walls as the storm hit, while and aircraft would help with lia is likely to face fewer but the storm],” Mr. James said. The Taipei District Court took issue with the EU’s evi-
more than 50,000 homes were the cleanup. Emergency per- more powerful cyclones in the Resource companies includ- cleared Mr. Ma of the charges. dence against Ms. Gadhafi, ar-
left without electricity after sonnel helped to evacuate coming years, which they have ing BHP Billiton Ltd. and Glen- Mr. Ma, a U.S.-educated legal guing that there was no infor-
power lines fell. Several yachts more than 30,000 people. attributed to climate shifts. core PLC closed port-and-min- scholar, had denied the charges. mation about “her individual,
sank, said Clayton Matthews, “The federal and Queens- Last year, Australia’s weather ing operations in a state that —Associated Press specific and concrete role” in
the port manager in Airlie land governments have pre- bureau warned that this year’s accounts for about 60% of attacks against civilians in
Beach, a resort town. pared well for the onset of cyclone season was likely to global production of coking EUROPEAN UNION Libya. Rather the initial action
As Australia’s military and this cyclone. We have acti- be intense. coal, used to make steel. BHP against her included vague ac-
thousands of emergency per- vated the disaster response Craig James, an economist said operations at its Hay Gadhafi Daughter cusations of being close to the
sonnel began a disaster opera- plan,” Mr. Turnbull told Parlia- with securities brokerage Point coal terminal and BHP Sanctions Annulled former Libyan regime.
tion after the eye of the storm ment. CommSec, said the repair of Billiton Mitsui Coal’s South The court called Ms. Gad-
crossed the coast near Airlie The affected area is one of damaged buildings and infra- Walker Creek mine had been The European Union’s sec- hafi’s complaint well-founded
Beach, the Insurance Council Australia’s biggest producers structure could increase Aus- suspended. Glencore ceased ond-highest court invalidated and therefore nullified the mea-
of Australia declared a catas- of sugar, fruit and vegetables tralian economic activity in work at its Collinsville and targeted sanctions against the sures against her and ordered
trophe. Since 2006, insurers and is home to significant coal the coming months. Newlands coal mines. daughter of the former Libyan the European Council to pay
have paid out more than 3.6 and gas export ports. The “Most concern surrounds —Rhiannon Hoyle in Sydney leader Moammar Gadhafi. the court costs.
billion Australian dollars ports of Mackay, Dalrymple the impact of the cyclone on contributed to this article. The EU’s General Court an- —Julian E. Barnes
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, March 29, 2017 | A5
WORLD NEWS
a French tradition of the A shift began in 2008, Mr. Philippot’s mother died Another is examining the
economy being steered when he called for the end of in October 2009 without mechanics of pulling France
largely by the state rather “euro-globalism” and an “an- knowing, and he didn’t tell out of the eurozone.
than market forces. ticrisis shield,” but the party his father for years. In late January, Ms. Le
Her recruitment of elites lacked a brain trust that He told a television inter- Pen gathered about 90 Hor-
is a delicate matter that be- could articulate an economic viewer that he didn’t want aces at a restaurant in Paris
gan years before Ms. Le Pen alternative. his father to worry. He didn’t to thank them for their
formed Les Horaces. The “Before, you didn’t really respond to requests to com- work, according to Mr.
National Front keeps many need a macroeconomic pro- ment for this article. Messiha. He predicted that
of their identities confiden- gram,” said Wallerand de Mr. Philippot gradually important members of the
tial to shield the group from Saint-Just, who joined Na- went public with his ties to group will run her govern-
public attention, according tional Front in the 1980s. Ms. Le Pen, initially granting ment if she wins.
to aides to Ms. Le Pen. She “We could just chirp about it interviews to French news- “I’m counting on you until
declined to comment for here and there.” papers using aliases, accord- my victory, and all the more
this article. As National Front’s heir ing to “Philippot 1er,” a new The candidate receiving a blue rose, a Le Pen campaign symbol. afterwards,” she said.
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A6 | Wednesday, March 29, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
Ryan Rejects Call for Nunes to Step Aside
Democrats say chair Trump Tower had been wire-
tapped,” he said.
of Intelligence panel Mr. Nunes’s meeting on the
should recuse himself White House grounds took
place in what is called a SCIF,
from election probe or Sensitive Compartmented
Information Facility, where
BY BYRON TAU classified information can be
viewed and classified matters
discussed in a secure setting.
WA S H I N G T O N — H o u s e Members of his House Intelli-
Speaker Paul Ryan on Tues- gence Committee and its Sen-
day rejected calls by the top ate counterpart have access to
Democrat on the House Intel- such facilities on Capitol Hill.
ligence Committee for the Mr. Nunes’s spokesman said
panel’s chairman, Rep. Devin that the information in ques-
Nunes, to recuse himself tion couldn’t be transported to
from investigating alleged the Capitol because of rules
Russian interference in the concerning the handling of
2016 election. classified information, necessi-
Democratic Rep. Adam tating an in-person visit by
Schiff of California said Mon- the chairman.
electricity. 1.0
Coal
President Donald Trump
was scheduled to sign an exec- Nuclear
utive order Tuesday that 0.5
would begin to reverse the
Clean Power Plan, which would
have required utilities to re- 0 Petroleum
duce power-plant carbon-diox-
ide emissions to 32% below 1990 2000 ’10 ’20 ’30 ’40
2005 levels by 2030. The order Duke Energy is looking to cut its greenhouse-gas emissions by 35% from 2005 levels by 2026. Source: Energy Department THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
also rolls back guidance from
the Council on Environmental of gas-fired plants, which re- estimates gas will be the domi- clining utilization of coal,” said Plan, however, the Energy De- panies that burn coal over
Quality on climate change and quire fewer workers to operate. nant fuel, followed by coal, nu- Terrell McCollum, a spokes- partment expects coal-fired concerns about the environ-
rescinds a temporary ban on Companies are also taking ad- clear and renewable power. man for the Atlanta-based util- generation from existing plants ment, said Fiona Reynolds,
new coal leases on federal vantage of tax credits for re- “Because of the competitive ity. to rise and natural gas-fired managing director at Princi-
lands, a senior White House newable power to build out so- price of natural gas and the U.S. utilities generated generation to fall by 2020, fol- ples for Responsible Invest-
official said. lar and wind farms, which are declining price of renewables, more electricity from natural lowed by another reversal after ment, a London-based non-
While the action may give a becoming more cost-competi- continuing to drive carbon out gas than from coal last 2030 when it anticipates gas profit that helps funds figure
reprieve to some coal-fired tive with fossil-fuel generation makes sense for us,” Ms. Good year. Power from coal plants will exceed coal again. out how to cut the carbon
plants facing extinction, large thanks to economies of scale said. “Administrations will fell to 3.4 million megawatt- The extent of a coal recov- footprint of their investments.
utilities said they would con- and advances in technology. change during the life of our hours a day in 2016 to supply ery will depend largely on the “Investors want to see compa-
tinue long-term investments to Duke Energy Corp. said it business and our assets, and 30% of U.S. generation, down price utilities pay for gas, nies that are moving away
generate more power from gas, planned to invest $11 billion in we’ll continue to move forward from 33% in 2015, according to which averaged about $3 a from coal, to other energies,”
wind and solar, which are be- natural-gas and renew- in a way that makes sense for the U.S. Energy Department. million British thermal units she said.
ing driven by economic as well able power generation over our investors and our custom- Natural-gas plants supplied 3.8 last year. The department pre- Nearly 700 institutions val-
as regulatory forces. The the next 10 years, as the com- ers.” million megawatt-hours daily, dicts it will rise to more than ued at more than $5 trillion
White House official said that pany aims to cut its green- Southern Co. plans to invest or 34% of total power supplies $4.50 in 2020, and $5 in 2029. have pledged to divest them-
the order is part of the presi- house-gas emissions by 35% at least $1 billion a year over this past year, up from 33% the Many energy companies selves from fossil-fuel compa-
dent’s promise to restore the from 2005 levels, by 2026. the next five years in new previous year. face state requirements to in- nies, according to a December
coal sector, but the official ac- That represents a long-term wind farms. It now uses natu- Hydropower and other re- crease renewable power gen- report by consulting firm Ara-
knowledged that merely re- company strategy and isn’t ral gas to generate 47% of newables generated 1.7 million eration and are coming under bella Advisors.
pealing the regulations likely to change, Duke Chief Ex- its power, with coal providing megawatt-hours daily, or pressure from large investors Still, some coal plants that
wouldn’t bring back jobs. ecutive Lynn Good said in a Feb- 31%, nuclear 15%, and hydro- about 15% this past year, up such as pension funds and uni- are economical to run, particu-
Cheap U.S. natural gas un- ruary interview. The util- power, wind, solar and other from 13% in 2015. Nuclear versity endowments larly those owned by rural
locked by hydraulic fracturing ity’s power-generating mix is renewable sources 7%. plants contributed 20%, and to clean up their operations. electric cooperatives in
and horizontal drilling has now 34% coal and 28% natural “Going forward, we antici- petroleum and other sources More pension funds, univer- states where coal is plentiful,
prompted many companies to gas, compared with 61% coal pate an increase in renewable produced the rest. sity endowments and other are likely to enjoy longer lives
scrap older coal plants in favor and 5% gas in 2005. By 2026, it generation capacity and de- Without the Clean Power funds are divesting from com- without the carbon rule.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, March 29, 2017 | A7
Police unions expect the forcement unions chafed over police unions become the lead-
Trump administration to re- criticism they felt was overly ing voice in shaping policy.
scind former President Barack broad and disparaging follow- “They have one constitu-
Obama’s 2015 executive order ing several police shootings of ency—that’s the rank-and-
that banned local police from unarmed minorities, some of file officer and that’s going
acquiring tank-like armored which triggered large pro- to be their priority, not nec-
vehicles, grenade launchers tests. Some felt Mr. Obama essarily what’s in the best
and other equipment from the wasn’t supportive enough af- interest of the public,” he
federal government. Last year, ter police were killed in tar- said. “Should they be at the The Obama White House restricted police use of military-style vehicles, as in Ferguson, Mo., above.
Mr. Trump said he would re- geted shootings, and was table? Of course. But I don’t
scind the Obama order. partly to blame for inflaming think they should be the peo- their recommendations seri- pying army. in touch with his organization
“We’re going to remind him tensions between police and ple that a president or a ously,” said spokeswoman Police unions and the coun- for input on the restrictions
of that promise and ask him to minority communities. mayor goes to first when Kelly Love. try’s sheriffs have cited exam- on military equipment, some-
deliver,” said Chuck Canter- Now, they feel they have they go to set policy.” Much of law enforcement ples such as an Alabama sher- thing he said didn’t often oc-
bury, national president of the Mr. Trump’s full backing as The White House declined have fought to reverse tighter iff who used tracked armored cur under Mr. Obama. “What a
Fraternal Order of Police, the the new administration pre- to comment specifically on the controls put in place under vehicles to search for armed difference six months makes,”
nation’s largest police union, pares to crack down on crime union’s involvement in the ex- Mr. Obama on riot gear and suspects in the woods. Some he said.
with more than 333,000 mem- tied to gangs, guns and illegal ecutive order, which called other items after images of of- argued that criminals had ac- As of last summer, police
bers, according to its website. immigration, citing a surge in for new federal crimes to pro- ficers wearing fatigues, carry- cess to more sophisticated ar- departments had returned 126
The union’s executive board murders in some big cities. tect officers. ing military-style weapons and mor and weaponry. tracked armored vehicles,
was scheduled to meet Tues- The administration’s ap- “In general, we listen to law traveling in armored vehicles Jonathan Thompson, execu- which look like tanks without
day morning with Mr. Trump. proach is unnerving civil enforcement organizations at protests in Ferguson, tive director of the National guns, 138 grenade launchers
An executive order issued rights advocates and even about what they think works sparked concern that the po- Sheriffs Association, said ad- and 1,623 bayonets to the fed-
by Mr. Trump’s last month some police chiefs. They say and doesn’t work, and we take lice seemed more like an occu- ministration officials had been eral government.
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A8 | Wednesday, March 29, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
IN DEPTH
since 2005, said he and his used the hashtag to post photos from the stands. Both planes planes, Arsenal lost, dropping
crews have now flown over a of the plane on Twitter. Some made it to the game in the to sixth in the standings. Mr.
dozen soccer stadiums and asked where they could send first 15 minutes. Simon Moores, owner of a banner-flying company, is a winner. Wenger, 67, whose contract is
that new commissions have donations, while others joked The anti-Wenger banner up this summer, was in no
been rolling in since the Arse- about shooting it down with a conspirators had been the first have marched in protest outside had 10 years of misery.” mood to talk light aircraft.
nal display. “Football and avia- bazooka. “This club is becom- to call. They were led by long- of Arsenal matches, unfurled After laying out “the stan- “We lose game after game at
tion seem to be coming to- ing a joke,” said one post. time Arsenal fan Chris Butler, Anti-Wenger signs in the stands dard Scrabble kit” of up to 32 the moment and that is for me
gether now,” he said. Another perennial problem: whose crowdfunding page for and hammered the coach with characters in red or black, in- much more important than my
Yet the growing market for English weather. On the Satur- anti-Wenger displays has raised coordinated attacks on social cluding spaces, Mr. Moores future,” he said.
mile-high diatribes isn’t al- day of the Arsenal match, Mr. nearly $4,000 this month. media. “We lose against the big factored in fuel, distance, and Wenger In, Wenger Out, it
ways a blue-sky affair. “Deal- Moores looked at the stormy “We’re just tired of our teams. We have an appalling re- landing fees. The quote for a didn’t really matter to Mr.
ing with fan groups is one of skies and warned his clients it Groundhog Day seasons,” said cord in Europe. The guys are job like this: $935. Moores. “I kind of support
the most difficult things,” Mr. might not be possible to fly. Mr. Butler, whose followers just fed up,” he added. “We’ve As word of the Wenger Out Manchester United,” he said.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, March 29, 2017 | A9
LIFE&ARTS
ART REVIEW
Paris
CAN ANYTHING MORE be said
about Auguste Rodin (1840-1917)?
Few artists are as universally re-
vered and celebrated as this icono-
clastic titan who brought sculpture
into the modern age. At the same
time, genuinely iconic works like
“The Thinker” and “The Kiss” have
made Rodin instantly recognizable
throughout the world. On the cen-
tenary of his death, France is pull-
ing out all the stops for a yearlong
celebration that will see a newly
minted €2 coin (predictably embla-
zoned with “The Thinker”), com-
memorative stamps, a major fea-
ture film and, of course, numerous Clockwise from left: Rodin’s ‘The
museum exhibits. Burghers of Calais’ (1884-89/2005);
The centerpiece is “Rodin, the ‘The Thinker’ (1904); ‘Mask of
Centenary Exhibition,” a sprawling Camille Claudel With the Left Hand
show at the Grand Palais. A collab- of Pierre de Wissant’ (around 1895)
oration with the Musée Rodin, it
both seeks to immerse the visitor ais the vast majority are in plaster,
CHRISTIAN BARAJA/MUSÉE RODIN
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK
A ‘New Approach’
Pay for Slay in Palestine To North Korea
R
epublicans in Congress want to stop the says Sen. Lindsey Graham, a co-sponsor.
flow of hundreds of millions of dollars The legislation faces hurdles because some Rex Tillerson was regime change can be pursued—and one
widely criticized earlier can be used in furtherance of the other.
a year in U.S. aid to a state sponsor of Democrats and Israelis argue that cutting aid
this month when he The first type of regime change is pro-
terrorism: the Palestinian Au- could cause the PA to collapse, suggested that “efforts China. Beijing has little sympathy for Kim
thority. That’s the same PA U.S. aid becomes a inviting chaos and a possible of the past 20 years to Jong Un, who brutally purged his regime
that the U.S. and Israel have transfer payment takeover of the West Bank by bring North Korea to a of its China sympathizers after coming to
long supported as a partner Hamas, which already controls point of denucleariza- power five years ago. But Beijing’s distaste
for peace. But the PA is no for terrorists. the Gaza Strip. By this logic GLOBAL
tion have failed.” The is tempered by its interest in the existence
VIEW
such thing, so this is a chance the PA is the devil we know, By Bret
U.S. secretary of state of North Korea as an independent state,
to bring policy into line with and its support for small-scale then promised “a new mainly because it has good reason to fear
Stephens
moral and strategic realities. terrorism must be balanced against its coopera- approach” without of- the strength and example of a unified,
The effort highlights a scandal hiding in plain tion with Israel in combating threats from fering details. democratic Korea led from Seoul.
sight: PA officials tell foreign audiences that they Hamas and Islamic State. Perhaps he doesn’t yet know what Pro-China regime change would take
that new approach is. But recognizing the form of a coup, in which Kim would
oppose terrorism, yet they pay generous rewards These are real concerns, but the PA and its de-
failure is the first step on the road to be given the choice of exile or execution,
to Palestinians who carry out bombings, stab- fenders have a long history of threatening col- wisdom. to be replaced by a pro-Beijing figure
bings and other attacks against innocents in Is- lapse to avoid reform. This is one reason 81-year- Since the end of the Cold War the U.S. willing to move the country from totali-
rael. These payments are codified in Palestinian old PA President Mahmoud Abbas is in the 13th has pursued a three-pronged approach tarianism to authoritarianism—a Korean
law, which dictates that the deadlier an attack, year of a four-year term, still rewarding terror- toward North Korea. First has been a pol- replay of the transition from Mao Zedong
the richer the reward. Payments equaled $315 ism. It’s also why Israeli security veterans in- icy of inducements aimed at getting to Deng Xiaoping. The U.S. would recog-
million last year, or 8% of the PA budget. creasingly support action against the PA. Pyongyang to change its ways. These in- nize the new government in exchange for
Beneficiaries include the family of Bashar “Pressuring the PA to end its ‘murder for hire’ clude the unilateral removal of U.S. nu- verifiable nuclear disarmament, sealing
Masalha, who last year stabbed 11 people near policy is accompanied by political and security clear weapons from South Korea in 1991, the division of the peninsula.
Tel Aviv and killed 28-year-old Taylor Force, a risks, but moral rectitude often entails facing yearly shipments of heavy fuel for most
of the 1990s, South Korea’s construction
U.S. Army veteran visiting Israel on a break from dangers,” former Israeli army chief Moshe It’s time to make regime
of the Kaesong Industrial Complex inside
business school. Police killed Masalha, but his Ya’alon and military intelligence chief Amos Yad- North Korea in 2003, and the removal of
relatives now receive monthly payments equal lin wrote this month. Defense Minister Avigdor North Korea from the U.S. list of state
change the explicit aim
to several times the average Palestinian wage. Liberman recently designated the Palestinian sponsors of terrorism in 2008. of American policy.
With special offices and more than 500 civil ser- National Fund, which disburses the PA’s blood None of it worked. North Korea is too
vants dedicated to disbursing these funds, the money, as a terrorist organization. cynical, greedy and poor to stay bribed
PA’s message is clear: Terrorism pays. President Trump hasn’t commented on the for long. And it knows it cannot abandon The U.S. could support such a policy
The U.S. has effectively endorsed this mes- Taylor Force Act, but Director of National In- its nuclear program, lest it also forsake and work with China to achieve it be-
sage by sending billions of dollars to the PA telligence Dan Coats co-sponsored the original the only reason the West would pay cause it would ease the suffering of
while overlooking its pay-for-slay policy. But bill in the Senate last year. A White House en- bribes in the first place. North Korea’s people and put the coun-
now the Taylor Force Act promises to cut more dorsement would be timely as Mr. Trump has Then there are sanctions. North Korea try’s nuclear arsenal in safer (and more
may be the “most sanctioned” country on negotiable) hands. China should support
than $200 million in annual economic aid to the invited Mr. Abbas to Washington “in the near
earth, as Barack Obama pointed out in it because it would maintain the North
PA unless it stops paying terrorists. “We’re not future.” Whenever that meeting happens, end- 2015, but sanctions on North Korea tend as a buffer state and get rid of a regime
going to invest in a group of people that have ing the PA’s bureaucracy of terror should be to fail because China has generally been that might otherwise collapse in unpre-
laws like this. It’s just not a good investment,” atop the agenda. reluctant to enforce them. China last year dictable and dangerous ways.
imported $1.2 billion of North Korean Achieving such regime change will be
coal, above the level allowed by U.N. sanc- tricky, but China could move things
So Much for Donald Mussolini tions. More recently, Beijing announced along by cutting off fuel supplies to the
W
that it would cut off coal imports from North and “inviting” Kim and his family
ell, that was fast, if predictable. and the President’s nominee for deputy AG is Pyongyang, but only after it had already for an extended luxury vacation.
We’re referring to the conventional held up in a Republican Senate. purchased its annual quota. And politi- And if the Chinese aren’t amenable to
wisdom that has moved without a The permanent bureaucracy is leaking like cally influential Chinese individuals con- this strategy? In that case, the U.S.
tinue to help the North evade sanctions should support the anti-China model of
moment of self-reflection a tent in a monsoon, and Mr.
through front companies. regime change, aiming not only at the
from declaringDonald Trump Remember when Trump Trump is getting the worst Finally there is what the Obama ad- end of the Kim regime but of North Ko-
to be a dangerous fascist to a was going to roll over U.S. press of any President since ministration called “strategic pa- rea itself.
hopeless incompetent. the final days of Richard tience”—a policy of waiting for the re- That would mean a formal U.S. decla-
Not too long ago our lead- checks and balances? Nixon. Mr. Trump may rage gime to collapse or change course. ration in favor of unification. Other steps
ing media lights were using against the press, but the Strategic patience would be a more might include cutting off Chinese banks
Mussolini and Hitler analogies Alien and Sedition Acts plausible policy if time weren’t working and companies that do business with
to describe the new American President’s threat aren’t coming back. Rest assured that if Mr. against us. The North is now preparing Pyongyang from access to U.S. dollars,
to “democratic norms.” The Washington Post Trump’s Internal Revenue Service ever does its sixth nuclear test. Its ability to marry undertaking a campaign to highlight Chi-
rolled out a portentous new slogan, “Democracy to liberal groups what President Obama’s did a nuclear warhead to an intercontinental nese mistreatment of North Korean refu-
Dies in Darkness.” Academics like Yale’s Timothy to the tea party, the media will provide non- ballistic missile capable of hitting the gees, and further speeding the deploy-
U.S. mainland is no longer a theoretical ment of antiballistic missile systems to
Snyder and Dartmouth’s Brendan Nyhan have stop coverage. risk. A state-of-the-art uranium-enrich- South Korea. As another inducement,
used the theme to become minimedia celebrities The greater likelihood has always been that, ment plant gives it the ability to produce Donald Trump could return to his sugges-
predicting that America in 2017 is ripe for 1930s as a rookie politician, Mr. Trump would be too as many as eight bombs a year. Some of tion last year that the South should have
European tyranny. weak and ineffective, not too strong. He lacks those bombs could be shared with or an independent nuclear deterrent.
So much for all that. The real story of the a solid party base, and the inertial forces of gov- sold to Iran or other malign actors. Mr. Trump is scheduled to meet Xi
Trump Presidency so far is that the normal ernment resist any change that means lost So what’s the alternative? Jinping at Mar-a-Lago next month. It
checks and balances of the American system are power. His Presidency is young, and perhaps It’s time to make regime change in would be a good occasion for the presi-
working almost to a fault. The courts have Mr. Trump will still find his bearings and make North Korea the explicit aim of U.S. pol- dent to ask his Chinese counterpart
blocked Mr. Trump’s immigration order, albeit some progress on his reform agenda. icy, both on strategic and humanitarian which kind of regime change he’d prefer.
with some faulty legal reasoning. Congress has We can’t say the same about the lost credi- grounds. But there are two ways in which Write bstephens@wsj.com.
rejected the House health-care bill, his first big bility of the many worthies who sold American
legislative priority. institutions short while predicting fascist LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
The FBI and the House and Senate Intelli- doom. They were always more partisan than
gence Committees are investigating the Trump principled. As for those quaking Yale and Dart-
campaign’s ties to Russia. Mr. Trump’s Attorney mouth professors, their students should de-
Trump, Comey: Who Is Monitoring Whom?
General has recused himself from the FBI probe, mand a tuition refund. Regarding your editorial: “Comey should be finding who broke the law,
Doesn’t Say Much” (March 22): It’s not on implicating a Trump-Russian
true that FBI Director James Comey collusion.
The GOP Entitlement Caucus was reticent and evasive, but what he
did say had a strong partisan bias
At the very end of his administra-
tion President Obama changed the
T
he full dimensions of the GOP’s self- duce the worst health outcomes of any insurance and ramifications. rules on how widely such secret and
A FISA court approval is required sensitive information can be shared.
defeat on health care will emerge over in the U.S. A pioneering New England Journal of
for surveillance of Americans, and He did so by dramatically increasing
time, but one immediate consequence is Medicine study in 2013 found that Medicaid “gen- one was obtained under Obama’s the number from what used to be per-
giving up block grants for Medicaid. This trans- erated no significant improvement” across mea- presidency. This wasn’t needed to haps 20 individuals to hundreds. Was
formation would have put the program on a bud- sures like mortality, high blood pressure or diabe- monitor the Russians, so was it ob- this done to increase the likelihood of
get for the first time since it was created in 1965, tes compared to the uninsured. tained to monitor Donald Trump or a leak or was it done to make it more
and the bill’s opponents ought to be held ac- The House bill would have transitioned to a his advisers? Add to this, as you say, difficult to identify the leaker?
countable for the rising spending that they could per capita block grant that would grow with an President Obama’s former Director Mr. Comey wouldn’t confirm any in-
have prevented. index of medical infla- of National Intelligence James Clap- vestigation into what was a known fel-
The members of the tion. The change would per and former CIA Director Michael ony crime, but he was comfortable in
House Freedom Caucus Federal Medicaid Outlays have broken the direct Morell “have said publicly that they repeatedly stating the FBI was investi-
who killed ObamaCare’s $500 billion have seen no such evidence” of “col- gating a Trump-Russian collusion. As
link between state
lusion between Trump officials and such, he supplied fodder for Demo-
repeal and replacement spending and federal Russia.” crats and undermined Republicans.
claim to be fiscal 400 subsidies and started Someone, at a minimum, leaked RYAN SEARLE
hawks. Most of them to make more of a de- information about the surveillance Newburyport, Mass.
support a balanced fined contribution. In and “unmasked” an American who
Projections
budget amendment. Yet 300 exchange, Governors was talking to the Russians. Such a I agree with your editorial “A Pres-
they gave zero credit to would have gained re- leak is a felony that could result in ident’s Credibility” (March 23) that
a reform that would form flexibility. Fed- up to 10 years in prison. It seems to President Trump is his own worst en-
200 me the focus on this investigation emy and that his rash behavior could
have restored Medic- eral Medicaid rules
aid—a safety net origi- strictly limit state free- compromise future communications
nally intended for poor 100 dom to try new ideas, of grave import. But let’s also recall it
women, children and and the poor would be It May Make the World Go was President Obama, caught on an
open mic, passing the message that
the disabled—to its better off if decisions Round, but What’s Money? he could do more for Vladimir Putin
original, more limited 0 about their welfare are “Inflation Premises May Be All after the 2012 election.
purposes. 2001 2005 2010 2015 made locally instead of Wrong” (Markets, March 7) misses the Obama administration shenanigans
Over the years lib- Source: Congressional Budget Office in Washington. States most critical issue regarding the de- have included: IRS targeting of conser-
eral and some other- would have been better termination of prices. Monetary mea- vative organizations, Justice Depart-
wise conservative states opened Medicaid benefits off as Medicaid crowds out other state priorities surements are wrong, not the theory. ment failure to enforce a contempt of
to new populations. And in 2010 ObamaCare added like education and public safety. Milton Friedman argued that money Congress citation against the official
working-age, able-bodied adults above the poverty The bill wasn’t perfect. Per capita block supply is the sum of currency and involved, the FBI whitewash of Hillary
level. The result is that Medicaid now insures more grants that rise with medical inflation is insuf- bank deposits—not simply how much Clinton’s email server, expanded ac-
than 72 million people, or one of every five Ameri- ficient fiscal discipline, and the bill would have money a central bank prints. Since cess to intelligence reports, suspected
Friedman’s day, the construct of as the source of leaks about Mike
cans. In six states it’s one of every four or higher. added to the political pressure to join new Med-
money has changed as distant substi- Flynn’s Russian contacts and former
Medicaid is now the third-largest program in the icaid in the 19 states that haven’t. Block grants tutes for money have evolved. government officials now coalescing
federal budget and the fastest growing. Federal also would have been delayed until 2020, and Today, Prof. William A. Barnett ad- into a “resistance.”
outlays are nearly three times higher today than the danger of waiting is that they get over- vocates an even more expansive defi- Though not yet specifically sub-
in 2000, as the nearby chart shows. turned by a future Congress or become a new nition of money as well as quantita- stantiated (maybe it’s all smoke and
Republicans had a rare opening to change the version of the old “sustainable growth rate” tively differentiating among various no fire), President Trump’s claims
projected trajectory, by limiting the federal gov- recipe in Medicare—an orphan that Congress contributors to money in the econ- aren’t implausible.
ernment’s open-ended commitment. The federal defers year after year. omy. When evaluated through the DEL COON
government “matches” between 50% and 74% of But the Freedom Caucus decided to wait not proper lens, the absence of inflation Crown Point, Ind.
costs for the pre-ObamaCare population, while until 2020 but forever. A fragile compromise coincident with quantitative easing is
readily explained. Money growth was
new Medicaid earns 90% to 95%. This formula that could attract majority support was rejected Letters intended for publication should
either negative or well below rates be addressed to: The Editor, 1211 Avenue
rewards states that spend more and means they in favor of sustaining Medicaid’s march into in- associated with inflation. Similarly, of the Americas, New York, NY 10036,
are less accountable for controlling spending or solvency. Republicans may not get a better today with money growth over 5%, or emailed to wsj.ltrs@wsj.com. Please
allocating resources toward high-quality care for chance for decades to modernize Medicaid in a global reflation should be no surprise. include your city and state. All letters
the most vulnerable. way that helps the poor and taxpayers, and vot- LAWRENCE GOODMAN are subject to editing, and unpublished
These disincentives, combined with price con- ers would be right to doubt the Freedom Cau- Center for Financial Stability letters can be neither acknowledged nor
returned.
trols and low provider reimbursement rates, pro- cus’s evanescent fiscal bona fides. New York
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, March 29, 2017 | A11
OPINION
W
ulative effects from reduced corpo- store the fiscal balance.
ith Republican efforts rate rates. A different, perhaps cynical argu-
to replace ObamaCare Reforming energy, environmental ment is that a border-adjusted tax
in tatters, President and financial regulations could also would allow the president to claim to
Trump now says that boost growth. Predicting the effects be protectionist (taxing imports as
he should have started is difficult, but the World Bank’s promised) while not really being so
with tax reform. Better late than rankings on the ease of doing busi- (because of the offsetting adjust-
never. With the right mix of policy to ness are a good place to start. The ments of exchange rates). A value-
stimulate the economy, the Trump U.S. stood at third overall in 2006 but added tax, which is a levy on con-
administration could realistically slipped to eighth in 2017. sumption, would be better according
generate 3% to 4% growth in gross Empirical analysis across countries to economic theory. But the border-
domestic product. shows a substantial positive effect on adjusted tax is still a good idea.
economic growth from a more favor- America’s economy hasn’t recov-
able business climate, as measured by ered from the Great Recession. Real
Cut taxes, deregulate, the World Bank’s overall indicator. In GDP has been growing at around 2%
GETTY IMAGES
research for an upcoming American a year. This weak performance
build roads, bridges and Enterprise Institute paper, my col- mostly reflects the lack of productiv-
airports—and don’t start leagues and I have found that improv- ity growth since 2010. If Mr. Trump
ing America’s business conditions to can raise annual productivity growth
a 1930-style trade war. match those of the top performer The president meeting small-business owners at the White House on Jan. 30. from zero to 2%, that alone would be
(New Zealand in 2017, Singapore in a huge favor to the economy.
2012), would boost annual economic America’s transportation networks, to interest the Trump administration With reduced tax rates, regulatory
Any package proposed by Mr. growth by about 0.3%. they are likely to be substantial. is scaling back the Medicaid expan- reform and infrastructure invest-
Trump will probably cut corporate- Investing in infrastructure could Mr. Trump hopes some of his in- sion under ObamaCare. ment, economic growth could hit 3%
tax rates, reduce individual marginal help, too. The job-creating aspects of frastructure program can be privately The president’s economic package to 4% a year for the next couple of
rates and broaden the tax base. This the construction phase of a building funded. But the rest could put signifi- may also include restrictions on years. It will all be wasted, however,
could be the biggest overhaul to the spree wouldn’t matter as much as the cant strain on the federal budget, a trade and immigration. These are if the U.S. ends up in a 1930-style
tax system since the Reagan reforms productivity effects—such as more-ef- consideration heightened by the al- negatives for economic growth. In trade war.
of 1986, which lowered households’ ficient transportation due to improved ready high ratio of U.S. public debt to this context, a border-adjusted tax With any luck, the coming focus
average marginal income-tax rates highways. An infrastructure program GDP, about 78% for privately held fed- levied on imports and used to subsi- on tax reform—and then on regula-
by 2 percentage points each in 1987 should focus narrowly on useful proj- eral debt. dize exports, as House Republicans tions and infrastructure—will lead
and 1988. ects: roads, bridges, airports and Acknowledging this fiscal reality, have proposed, could be a good idea. the Trump administration away from
Since 1930, these types of tax-rate maybe railroads. Avoid “bridges to no- the 2010 Simpson-Bowles report Theory holds that such a tax would the idea of adding impediments to in-
cuts have stimulated economic where” and building for its own sake, touted entitlement reform, including not have much effect on trade vol- ternational trade.
growth. If Mr. Trump lowers average for which Japan has become famous raising the age of eligibility for Social umes, because the value of the dollar
marginal individual tax rates by 2 over the past couple of decades. Security. That’s important to get would rise to compensate. But the Mr. Barro is a professor of eco-
percentage points, I estimate that the It’s difficult to quantify the growth done. Raising the age for Medicare U.S. runs a substantial trade deficit, nomics at Harvard and a visiting
boost to real growth in GDP would be effects from an infrastructure pro- would also be a good idea. So far, the so the border-adjusted tax would scholar at American Enterprise Insti-
about 0.5% a year for the next two gram, but given the poor state of only entitlement reform that seems raise around $100 billion a year in tute.
O
about began two years ago, when output per shale drilling rig—has oilfield is also the animating logic of now), but net imports have declined
nly a few years ago Amer- Saudi Arabia decided it would try been rising by more than 20% a the huge merger of oil services gi- by half. America is now the world’s
ica’s policy makers were to tame American shale oil and gas year. That means every 3½ years the ant Baker Hughes with General Elec- biggest natural-gas producer and has
wringing their hands about production. The technology of hy- average rig produces twice as much tric’s “industrial internet” and oil- become a net exporter. Other places
“peak oil” and dependence on im- draulic fracturing, which began to oil or gas. No other energy technol- and-gas business. Even more can gush hydrocarbons into markets.
ported fuels. Now headlines feature emerge barely over a decade ago, ogy of any kind is improving at that portentous, a new ecosystem of tech But they’re all slow-moving, in some
the return of oil gluts. What hap- led to the fastest and largest in- rate. Put another way, the cost to startups is chasing the prize of un- cases monopolistic, leviathans. As Ed
pened? Saudi Arabia undertook a crease in hydrocarbon production produce shale oil keeps falling. locking value in petabytes of un- Morse, Citi’s head of global commod-
“stress test” of America’s oil-and- in history. tapped shale data. ities, recently observed, OPEC “has
gas industry that produced unin- Oil prices started to collapse in Venture capitalists like to talk lost its clout.”
tended consequences. 2014 because American shale busi- It’s entirely feasible for about unmet needs in big markets. With all the hype over energy al-
We’re witnessing the first signs nesses oversupplied markets. The Oil is the world’s biggest market in ternatives, one might conclude that
of a new normal in oil markets. Call Saudis responded by increasing pro- the U.S. to become a far a traded commodity, and America’s hydrocarbons don’t matter much. You
it Shale 2.0, characterized by a po- duction, which drove prices even bigger oil exporter, even shale market went from near zero to can be sure that neither Russia nor
tent combination: eager and liquid lower. Their theory was that this $150 billion in a decade, largely OPEC thinks that. Nor does the U.S.
capital markets funding hundreds of would wreak havoc on small and one of the biggest. without help from software. Energy Information Administration
experienced (now-lean) small to midsize petroleum upstarts in states For the Saudis and other oil oli- or the International Energy Agency,
midsize companies that can respond from Texas and Oklahoma to Penn- garchs, the worrisome feature of whose forecasts see hydrocarbon de-
to modest upticks in price with a sylvania and North Dakota. As a result, with an assist from Shale 2.0 is that software enhances mand rising for decades regardless of
velocity unseen in oil markets in The fall from the $120-a-barrel the recent modest increase in oil the most remarkable feature of subsidies for alternatives.
eons—all using shale technology stratosphere to less than $30 did prices, shale investors and drillers shale production: velocity. The It’s hard to imagine a more po-
that is shockingly better than before take a toll on producers every- are returning. Bad as that is for thousands of small to midsize shale tent combination than huge mar-
and poised to keep improving. where. Businesses reduced invest- OPEC, the really frightening pros- operators and investors make rapid kets, willing investors and galloping
This year sees the U.S. not only ments and staffing. Many went pect is that software tools and tech- individual decisions, each involving software technology. It’s entirely
filling storage tanks to the brim but bankrupt. It also deprived OPEC niques will now start to invade the a tiny fraction of capital for every feasible for America to become a far
also exporting more than a million member states—and Russia, it bears shale domain, one of the least- decision compared with the super- bigger oil exporter, even one of the
barrels of crude oil a day. Exports noting—of hundreds of billions of computerized industrial sectors. majors. This fluid, chaotic, very biggest. Such is the power of shale
are at the highest level in American dollars in revenues, forcing them to “The cloud” will be just as much of American entrepreneurial environ- and software. It’s not what the Sau-
history, twice the previous crude ex- tap sovereign-wealth funds and cut an economic accelerant for shale as ment operates in private markets, dis had in mind when they launched
port peak in 1958. The U.S. is ex- domestic budgets. it has been for other complex and largely on private land, and can ex- that stress test.
porting more oil than five of the Or- Something else happened. Little distributed industries. pand or pull back with a volume
ganization of the Petroleum noticed outside the petroleum cog- Established tech companies such and velocity unseen in oil markets Mr. Mills is a senior fellow at the
Exporting Countries’ 13 members. noscenti, shale technologies kept as IBM, Microsoft, Splunk and Tera- in a century. Manhattan Institute.
W
the peaceful transition of power defense, Sergei Shoigu, announced a ganda tools—favoring friendly out- cial media is spammed with seem-
hen historians look back from one president to the next. realignment in Russia’s cyber and lets and sponsoring ideological ingly legitimate comments opposing
at the 2016 U.S. election, About this we shouldn’t be sur- digital assets. “We have information journals—this represents an incred- the senator’s position. The senator’s
they will likely determine prised. Far from it. troops who are much more effective ibly powerful tool. phone lines are flooded with robo-
that it represented one of the Propaganda is perhaps the sec- and stronger than the former ‘coun- Now extrapolate one step fur- calls. Fake news articles are pushed
most successful information opera- ond- or third-oldest profession. Us- ter-propaganda’ section,” Mr. ther: Apply botnets, artificial in- out on Russian-controlled media
tion campaigns ever conducted. A ing information as a tool to affect Shoigu said, according to the BBC. telligence and other next-genera- suggesting that the senator has bro-
foreign power, through the tar- outcomes is as old as politics. Pro- Russia, more than any other coun- tion technology. The result will be ken campaign-finance laws.
geted application of cyber tools to paganda was familiar to the ancient try, recognizes the value of informa- Can you imagine the disruption
influence America’s electoral pro- Greeks and Romans, the Byzantines, tion as a weapon. Moscow deployed to American society? The confusion
cess, was able to cast doubt on the and the Han Dynasty. Each genera- it with deadly effect in Estonia, in Propaganda is nothing in the legislative process? The ero-
election’s legitimacy, engender tion applies the technology of the Georgia and most recently in sion of trust in democracy? Unfor-
doubts about the victor’s fitness day in trying to influence an adver- Ukraine, introducing doubt into the new. But Moscow is tunately, this is the reality the U.S.
for office, tarnish the outcome of sary’s people. minds of locals, spreading lies about frighteningly effective— faces, and without a concerted ef-
the vote and frustrate the presi- What’s new today is the reach of their politicians and obfuscating fort it will get worse.
dent’s agenda. social media, the anonymity of the Russia’s true intentions. and worse is on the way. Congress is too focused on the
Historians will also see a feck- internet and the speed with which A report last year by RAND trees to see the frightening forest.
less Congress—both Democrats and falsehoods and fabrications can Corp., “The Russian ‘Firehose of Rather than engaging in sharp-
Republicans—that focused on play- propagate. Twitter averaged 319 Falsehood’ Propaganda Model,” automated propaganda, rapid edged partisanship, lawmakers
ing partisan “gotcha” and funda- million monthly active users in the noted that cyberpropaganda is spamming and more. We shouldn’t should be investigating Russian
mentally failed in its duty to gather fourth quarter of 2016. Instagram practically a career path in Russia. be surprised to see any of this in propaganda operations and infor-
information, hold officials account- had 600 million accounts at the A former paid troll told Radio Free the future. mation warfare. They should be fig-
able and ultimately serve the coun- end of last year. Facebook’s Europe that teams were on duty Imagine an American senator uring out how to reduce the influ-
try’s interests. monthly active users total 1.86 bil- around the clock in 12-hour shifts. who vocally advocates a new strate- ence of foreign trolls, and teaching
Whether or not the Trump cam- lion—a quarter of the global popu- He was required to post at least gic-forces treaty with European al- Americans about Moscow’s capabil-
paign or its staff were complicit in lation. Yet even these staggering 135 comments of not fewer than lies. Moscow, feeling threatened, ities. That would go a long way to
Moscow’s meddling is missing the figures don’t fully capture the in- 200 characters each. launches a directed information save the republic.
broader point: Russia’s intervention ternet’s reach. In effect, Moscow has developed campaign to undermine the senator.
a high-volume, multichannel propa- His emails are breached and pub- Mr. Rogers was chairman of the
ganda machine aimed at advancing lished, disclosing personal details House Permanent Select Committee
its foreign and security policy. and family disputes, alongside draft on Intelligence from 2011to 2015.
PUBLISHED SINCE 1889 BY DOW JONES & COMPANY
Rupert Murdoch Robert Thomson
Matthew J. Murray DOW JONES MANAGEMENT: From “Elite Press Offers Readers in which he “didn’t read, watch or under the headline, “Depressed By
Deputy Editor in Chief Mark Musgrave, Chief People Officer; Advice on How to Avoid News of listen to a single story about any- Politics? Just Let Go.” . . .
Edward Roussel, Innovation & Communications;
DEPUTY MANAGING EDITORS:
Anna Sedgley, Chief Operating Officer & CFO;
President Trump” by Ira Stoll, New thing having to do with our 45th It all amounts to a statement
Michael W. Miller, Senior Deputy;
Thorold Barker, Europe; Paul Beckett, Katie Vanneck-Smith, President York Sun, March 27: president.” about journalism today. The press
Washington; Andrew Dowell, Asia; OPERATING EXECUTIVES: A Times shopping column about a has gotten away from its traditional
Christine Glancey, Operations; Ramin Beheshti, Product & Technology; A New York Times magazine store that sells men’s pajamas at job of just telling readers what the
Jennifer J. Hicks, Digital; Jason P. Conti, General Counsel;
Neal Lipschutz, Standards; Alex Martin, News; Frank Filippo, Print Products & Services; travel article about Hawaii carries a prices starting at $266 a pair in- news is. Its new, self-appointed role
Shazna Nessa, Visuals; Ann Podd, Initiatives; Steve Grycuk, Customer Service; subheadline describing the journey cludes this complaint from the work- involves advising people how they
Matthew Rose, Enterprise; Kristin Heitmann, Transformation; as “a desperate bid to escape the from-home journalist who wrote it: should feel about the news and how
Stephen Wisnefski, Professional News Nancy McNeill, Advertising & Corporate Sales;
Jonathan Wright, International news.” The Times Sunday etiquette “the house no longer feels like such to get away from it.
Paul A. Gigot, Editor of the Editorial Page;
Daniel Henninger, Deputy Editor, Editorial Page
DJ Media Group: column led with a question from a a safe space. There are CNN and all In so doing, the Times discloses a
Almar Latour, Publisher; reader who wrote in a letter that be- the other news channels on my TV, certain set of assumptions about the
WALL STREET JOURNAL MANAGEMENT: Kenneth Breen, Commercial
Suzi Watford, Marketing and Circulation; Professional Information Business: gan, “Lately I’ve been feeling de- alerts from The New York Times and ideological uniformity of its own read-
Joseph B. Vincent, Operations; Christopher Lloyd, Head; pressed about the news, so I decided The Washington Post on my phone ership. After all, there may have been
Larry L. Hoffman, Production Ingrid Verschuren, Deputy Head to avoid it.” screen. Anxiety is persistent.” some Americans who could have used
EDITORIAL AND CORPORATE HEADQUARTERS: The Times technology columnist, The president of the American En- all this advice about dealing with
1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y., 10036 Farhad Manjoo, wrote a column terprise Institute, Arthur Brooks, news-related anxiety and depression
Telephone 1-800-DOWJONES
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A12 | Wednesday, March 29, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MY RIDE
Yen vs. Dollar 110.6470 g 0.01% Hang Seng 24345.87 À 0.63% Gold 1255.90 À 0.04% WTI crude 48.68 À 1.99% 10-Year JGB yield 0.060% 10-Year Treasury yield 2.385%
A
Akzo Nobel..................B4
Alibaba Group
Holding................A8,B1
GIC...............................B3
Greenlight Capital......A1
H
S
Shanghai Five Bulls
Fund Management...A8
Shanghai Huarui
Bertelsmann Turns Focus on U.S.
Allianz ......................... B6
Henan Oriental Silver
Star Investment.......A8 Bank.........................A8 German publisher
Alphabet....................B10 HNA Group..................B3 Shanghai
QianShengQian
says deal for Obamas’
Amazon.com.....B4,B5,B9 Huawei
Ant Financial Services Technologies......A8,B3 Financial Information books is part of plan
Group ........................ A8 Services .................... A8
Apple......................A2,B1
Hywin Group...............A8
Snap.............................B4 to boost its growth
I SoftBank..............B1,B10
ARM Holdings.............B1
Intelsat........................B1 Souq.com.....................B4 BY ZEKE TURNER
B
J Space Exploration
Baidu ........................... B1 Technologies.............B4
Bertelsmann ............... B2 Janus Capital Group...B6
SpaceX.........................B1
BERLIN—Penguin Random
Blue Origin..................B1 J.P. Morgan Chase......B5 House pulled off what may be
Suning Commerce
C L Group.......................A8 the publishing industry’s big-
China Huishan Dairy LVMH Moët Hennessy- Swissport gest deal of 2017 when it won
Holdings....................B1 Louis Vuitton............B2 International............B3 an auction in February for the
Constellation Brands..B1 M T rights to books by former U.S.
D Mubadala Telefon L.M. Ericsson.B3 President Barack Obama and
Development.............B1 Temasek Holdings ...... B3 ex-First Lady Michelle Obama.
company LVMH Moët Hen- nearly 25%, according to Wine treasury, as well as its cash pany among major competi-
nessy-Louis Vuitton SE, re- Marlborough, a local industry operations and bank relation- tors in China growing its own
ceived regulatory approval in group. ships. Huishan said this was alfalfa—a protein and vitamin-
November to buy 52 acres Meanwhile, tastes are shift- because she had been part of rich cattle feed—saying it did
there for an undisclosed sum. ing toward lighter styles, ben- Mr. Yang’s team before the so on fields as big as Hong
The U.S. was the world’s efiting varietals like Sauvignon company was publicly listed in Kong Island. The company
biggest wine consumer in Blanc, analysts say. The wine 2013. said it is involved in all as-
2015, the OIV says, and drink- made up 85% of New Zealand’s The company said Tuesday pects of the dairy supply
ers there have been willing to exports last year. that it has missed some bank Huishan dairy products at a grocery store in the company’s home chain, from growing feed and
pay more for higher-quality Tim Heath, senior wine- loan payments and has city of Shenyang, China. Huishan’s shares tumbled 85% on Friday. raising cows on its own farms
product. U.S. sales of wine maker at Cloudy Bay, said the reached out for assistance to to producing dairy products.
priced at less than $7.99 a bot- region’s Sauvignon Blanc the government of its home and improve the company’s Huishan’s bank loans In the past few years, com-
tle fell in 2016, while sales of wines offer characters of pas- province of Liaoning. It said cash position within four reached 10.8 billion yuan at pany statements show, Huis-
more expensive wines in- sion fruit, grapefruit and box- Mr. Yang had met with 23 weeks. the end of September, more han has dabbled in businesses
creased, according to data wood. A cooler climate and creditors and discussed a gov- Huishan’s statement didn’t than 11 times its 909 million from solar power to beef pro-
from Nielsen. It says drinkers longer growing season con- ernment proposal to service say whether the proposal was yuan in loans at the end of duction, in which it made an
in Britain have shown similar tribute to the wine’s flavors. A the loans within two weeks accepted. March 2013. Huishan’s net unsuccessful push.
behavior, with consumers Sauvignon Blanc from Napa
shifting toward bottles priced Valley in California, in com-
from £6 to £7 ($7.3 to $8.6)
and away from the £4 to £5
range.
The change in consumer
parison, would be “more tropi-
cal, like rock melon and melon,
and mangoes, and fruit salad
sort of things,” Mr. Heath said.
SPACEX about long-term plans to oper-
ate a fleet of next-generation
reusable rockets—intended to
be refueled in space and trans-
will be able to safely fly the
same engines.
In the interim, skepticism
among Pentagon brass, policy
terview. But so far, he said, the
concept “has not been shaken
out” and its “impact isn’t any-
where near” as significant as
preferences has companies Phillip Neal, who is convert- Continued from the prior page port a steady stream of set- makers at the National Aero- proponents contend.
snaring higher-quality wine ing his farm to vineyards un- a relatively modest $200 mil- tlers to the red planet—Mr. nautics and Space Administra- Claire Leon, the Pentagon’s
assets outside New Zealand, der an agreement with Cloudy lion boost to profit through Musk said it is reasonable to tion and the bulk of SpaceX’s top launch-acquisition official,
too. Bay, used to have some 2,000 2020. Total launch revenue is contemplate launch costs fall- commercial customers seems told reporters in early March
Constellation last year breeding ewes on his property, anticipated to be around $3.2 ing to roughly $200,000 per bound to impede widespread that existing military launch
bought California-based Pris- where he also grows garlic, al- billion by then. person, or “equivalent to a adoption of reused boosters. contracts specifically prohibit
oner Wine Co. for $285 mil- falfa and sweet corn. Now he By contrast, the Pentagon median price house in the reusing flight hardware. “If it
lion, adding “fast-growing, is down to about 700 ewes, has routinely paid $500 mil- U.S.” Russia—the only nation proves successful for commer-
higher-margin, superluxury with the figure bound to de- lion or more to launch just one whose rockets and capsules cial” customers, she said, “we
wine brands” to the company’s cline further as he switches of its biggest, most-advanced can ferry astronauts to the in-
Total launch revenue might consider it for the fu-
portfolio, it said. Also last over most of his roughly 180 spy satellites on a conven- ternational space station— is anticipated to be ture.”
year, Treasury Wine bought hectares to grapes. He already tional rocket flown by a joint charges more than $80 million Still, early adopters such as
Diageo PLC’s U.S. and U.K. grows grapes on 70 hectares venture between Boeing Co. a seat.
around $3.2 billion SES SA, the Luxembourg-
wine business for $552 mil- and has been supplying Cloudy and Lockheed Martin Corp. Before anything close to by 2020. based satellite operator that
lion, increasing its offering of Bay for decades. In decades to come, how- that can become reality, how- agreed to the maiden launch
premium wines. A short drive away from its ever, SpaceX’s goals are strik- ever, technical advances must on a refurbished Falcon 9, are
Nearly 20 years ago, New winery in Marlborough, Con- ing. “We want to be launching shorten today’s four-month re- enthusiastic. “It is good for
Zealand wine barely registered stellation recently planted rockets just like airlines fly furbishment timetable to sev- For example, satellite-services the industry,” Martin Halliwell,
with U.S. drinkers. Its wine ex- grapes on land that was previ- airplanes,” Gwynne Shotwell, eral days, or even less. Satel- provider Hughes Network Sys- the chief technology officer for
ports to the U.S. have risen ously a dairy farm. Rows of SpaceX’s president and chief lite makers and insurance tems, a unit of EchoStar Corp., SES, said in an interview. “It is
from about 2.5 million liters in tiny vines in green plastic operating officer, said at a companies also need to be- supports the initiative but has good for us. I am sure there
the 2000 fiscal year to about guards stand near an open-air space conference in 2015. come significantly more com- doubts about near-term bene- will be a queue behind us.”
61 million liters in 2016, ac- shed holding dormant milk “If you don’t get reusability fortable with reused space fits. Weather or other factors
cording to New Zealand Wine- pumps. to work,” she told a different systems. And SpaceX, which is “It’s going to help a little,” could delay the launch past
growers. “New Zealand is still rela- audience in fall 2016, “it’s a initially looking at reusing its Paul Gaske, general manager Thursday.
In Marlborough, on the tively under-penetrated in the one-way trip to Mars.” boosters once, has to deter- of the unit’s North American —Robert Wall
northern end of New Zealand’s U.S. market, even though it’s In a presentation last year mine how many more times it business, said in a recent in- contributed to this article.
windswept south island, it is been growing at double dig-
becoming harder to find suit- its,” said Simon Towns, man-
able land for new plantings,
industry participants say. And
there is debate over how many
more vineyards the valley-dot-
aging director at Constellation
Brands New Zealand, the local
subsidiary. “We think the run-
way’s pretty long.”
STREET bank, Italy is basically paying
interest to itself.
Italian politics might work
out; 5 Star is leading in the
well in the face of a panic.
Debt is sustainable only until
bond yields rise so much that
it is unsustainable. Like a
rozone means there will be a
“very slow tapering” by the
ECB to avoid a surge in
yields triggering problems.
Continued from the prior page polls but is unlikely to win bank run, panic can become Another option would be a
how bad it could get, that by enough to form a govern- self-fulfilling, because higher taper with added flexibility
Bottoms Up seems too little reward. ment if it sticks to its refusal yields become a reason to about which bonds are
The U.S. has become New Zealand’s biggest wine market by volume. There are four main to work with other parties. If sell, not a reason to buy. Af- bought, abandoning the cur-
sources of hope for Italian 5 Star does take power, it ter the Brexit vote and Don- rent fixed allocations be-
New Zealand’s wine exports, in millions of liters bonds: economic, financial, will still be hard to leave the ald Trump’s surprise election tween countries, so Italian
Rest of
60 U.S. U.K. Australia the world political and monetary. It- euro, as last year’s failed at- win, investors have become purchases continue and Ger-
aly’s economic output per tempt to make a much more cautious about political pros- man buying winds down.
50 person has shrunk since the minor change to the consti- pects, too, making them Another crisis still isn’t
euro was created in 1999, a tution showed. more likely to overestimate 5 the most likely outcome. A
40 performance worse even Finally, there is the poli- Star’s chances. Relying on shaky Italian coalition and a
than Greece, according to tics of the central bank. Call the ECB to step in eventually, little economic improvement
30
IMF data. But it has looked a it “ItExit” or just say “ciao,” as it did in 2012, isn’t much could push Italy’s date with
20 bit perkier recently, and la- either way The euro is toast of a case for buying bonds destiny back a few years. But
bor overhauls have made if Italy leaves, and the ECB now, as we can be sure that it doesn’t take that many
10 progress. Stronger growth would vanish, too. Central the central bank will only bondholders deciding the
makes it easier to service the bankers in Frankfurt have break its rules in a deep cri- risks are too great for the
0 government debt pile. shown they will do anything sis. problems to spiral. For now,
FY2012 ’14 ’16 FY’12 ’14 ’16 FY’12 ’14 ’16 FY’12 ’14 ’16 The pile is easier to han- to avoid that outcome. Laurence Boone, chief investors are focusing else-
Note: Fiscal years end June 30. dle, too. For bonds that have Unfortunately, these reas- economist at Axa Group, where. When attention turns
Source: Statistics New Zealand THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. been bought by the central suring arguments don’t work thinks the fragility of the eu- back to Italy, watch out.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, March 29, 2017 | B3
BUSINESS NEWS
HNASeeks
ToBuyStake Ford Adds New U.S. Investments
InSwissFirm Bulk of factory
upgrades in Michigan
Chinese conglomerate HNA were first disclosed
Group is seeking to buy a
stake in Swiss airport retailer in 2015 labor pact
Dufry AG, which is currently
valued at $7.6 billion, people BY CHRISTINA ROGERS
familiar with the plans said. AND JOHN D. STOLL
Thank You
The Wall Street Journal’s Heard on the Street Live series brought
together WSJ editors and leading executives from Morgan
Stanley, Goldman Sachs and more for in-depth discussions
on the opportunities and risks in markets driven by the
U.S. administration’s new domestic and foreign policies.
WSJ would like to thank the moderator and speakers who made each of these events a success.
Ken Brown: Editor, Heard on the Street, Ken Brown: Editor, Heard on the Street, Ken Brown: Editor, Heard on the Street,
The Wall Street Journal (moderator) The Wall Street Journal (moderator) The Wall Street Journal (moderator)
Louis Kuijs: Head of Asia Economics, Karby Leggett: Head of Asia Public Sector, Client Robert Feldman: Chief Economist,
Oxford Economics Coverage–Financial Institutions, Standard Chartered Bank Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities
Andrew Tilton: Chief Asia Pacific Economist, Steve Okun: Vice Chairman, Asia Pacific Council, Naoki Kamiyama: Chief Strategist,
Goldman Sachs American Chambers of Commerce (APCAC) Nikko Asset Management
Anjani Trivedi: Columnist, Heard on the Street, Ashley Perrott: Managing Director, Head of Pan Asia William Pesek: Executive Editor, Barron’s Asia
The Wall Street Journal Fixed Income, UBS Global Asset Management
© 2017 Dow Jones & Co., Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ5266
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B4 | Wednesday, March 29, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
Building a mass-market
electric vehicle and colonizing
‘If you assume
any rate of
BY NICOLAS PARASIE Amazon beat Dubai’s shop- Mars aren’t ambitious enough
ping-center heavyweight, for Elon Musk. The billionaire advancement in
DUBAI—Amazon.com Inc. Emaar Malls, which made a entrepreneur now wants to [artificial
said Tuesday it is acquiring last-ditch $800 million offer to merge computers with human
Dubai-based Souq.com, plac- acquire Souq.com. Amazon’s brains to help people keep up intelligence], we
ing one of its biggest global acquisition of video technol- with machines. will be left
bets in recent years on the ogy company Twitch Interac- The founder and chief exec-
small but rapidly expanding tive Inc. for about $842 mil- utive of Tesla Inc. and Space behind by a lot.’
Middle Eastern online shop- lion, after adjustments, in Exploration Technologies
ping market. 2014 was its last publicly an- Corp. has launched another
Amazon didn’t give a value, nounced deal of a larger size. company called Neuralink
but a banker familiar with the “We are guided by many of Corp., according to people fa-
PATRICK FALLON/REUTERS
deal said it was valued at the same principles as Ama- miliar with the matter.
roughly $700 million. The ac- zon, and this acquisition is a Neuralink is pursuing what
quisition is unusual for the critical next step in growing Mr. Musk calls “neural lace”
global giant, which has spent our e-commerce presence on technology, implanting tiny
heavily on expanding its global behalf of customers across the brain electrodes that may one
footprint but doesn’t often region,” Mr. Mouchawar said. day upload and download
take over whole companies as “We’ll be able to vastly expand thoughts.
large as Souq.com. our delivery capabilities and Mr. Musk has taken an ac- Treating Depression, products could be advanced im- how humans struggle to process
“We’re looking forward to customer selection much tive role setting up the Cali- plants to treat intractable brain and generate information as
both learning from and sup- faster.” fornia-based company and Enhancing Cognition disorders like epilepsy or major quickly as they absorb it.
porting them with Amazon The acquisition is expected may play a significant leader- depression, a market worth bil- Others pursuing the idea in-
technology and global re- to close this year. ship role, according to people lions of dollars. Such implants clude Bryan Johnson, the
sources,” said Russ Grandi- Amazon has been looking briefed on Neuralink’s plans, a It is unclear what sorts of would build on simpler electrodes founder of online payments
netti, Amazon’s senior vice abroad for growth as it in- bold step for a father of five products Neuralink Corp. might already used to treat brain disor- company Braintree, who plans
president for international creasingly dominates the U.S. who already runs two techno- create, but people who have ders like Parkinson’s disease. to pump $100 million into a
consumer. market. It has launched Prime logically complex businesses. had discussions with the com- If Neuralink can prove the startup called Kernel, which has
Souq.com, founded in 2005 offerings—a service giving Mr. Musk didn’t respond to pany describe a strategy similar safety and efficacy of technology 20 people and is pursuing a
by Syrian-born entrepreneur members access to perks such a request for comment. to SpaceX and Tesla, where it develops and receive govern- similar mission.
Ronaldo Mouchawar, has as free, fast shipping for a flat Max Hodak, who said he is Elon Musk developed new ment approval, perhaps it then Mr. Johnson said he has
grown into one of the region’s annual fee—in 13 countries in- a “member of the founding rocket and electric-car technolo- could move on to cosmetic brain spoken to Mr. Musk and that
biggest e-commerce busi- cluding China and Mexico. An- team,” confirmed the com- gies, proved they work and is surgeries to enhance cognitive both companies want to build
nesses—offering over 8.4 mil- alysts estimate the total num- pany’s existence and Mr. now using them to pursue function, these people say. Mr. better neural interfaces, first to
lion products across categories ber of Prime members world- Musk’s involvement. He de- more ambitious projects. Musk alluded to this possibility in attack big diseases and then to
such as consumer electronics, wide at over 60 million, a scribed the company as “em- These people say the first comments last June, describing expand human potential.
fashion and household goods— figure Amazon doesn’t release. bryonic” and said plans are
with about 6,000 employees —Laura Stevens in San still in flux but declined to
and local operations in Saudi Francisco and Sam provide additional details. Mr. first, but later to help human- coming shortly. He hasn’t ter. They include Vanessa To-
Arabia, the United Arab Emir- Schechner in Paris Hodak previously founded ity avoid subjugation at the made an official announce- losa, an engineer at the Law-
ates and Egypt. contributed to this article. Transcriptic, a startup that hands of intelligent machines. ment, but Neuralink registered rence Livermore National
provides robotic lab services “If you assume any rate of in California as a “medical re- Laboratory and an expert in
accessible over the internet. advancement in [artificial in- search” company last July. flexible electrodes; Philip Sa-
Mr. Musk, 45 years old, is telligence], we will be left be- Mr. Musk has discussed fi- bes, a professor at the Univer-
part businessman, part futur- hind by a lot,” he said at a nancing Neuralink primarily sity of California in San Fran-
ist. He splits his time between conference last June. himself, including with capital cisco, who studies how the
Tesla, which is under pressure The solution he proposed borrowed against equity in his brain controls movement; and
to deliver its $35,000 Model 3 was a “direct cortical inter- other companies, according to Timothy Gardner, a professor
sedan on time, and SpaceX, face”—essentially a layer of a person briefed on the plans. at Boston University who is
which aims to launch a satel- artificial intelligence inside Neuralink has also dis- known for implanting tiny
lite-internet business and a the brain—that could enable cussed a possible investment electrodes in the brains of
rocket that can carry humans humans to reach higher levels from Founders Fund, accord- finches to study how the birds
to Mars. He is also pushing de- of function. ing to people familiar with the sing.
AHMED JADALLAH/REUTERS
velopment of a super-high- Mr. Musk has teased that he matter. The venture firm was Reached by phone, Dr.
speed train called Hyperloop. is developing the technology started by Peter Thiel, with Gardner confirmed he is work-
Somewhere in his packed himself. “Making progress [on whom Mr. Musk co-founded ing for Neuralink, but declined
schedule, he has found time to neural lace],” he tweeted last payments company PayPal. to elaborate on its plans.
start a neuroscience company August, “maybe something to In recent weeks, Neuralink Dr. Sabes declined to com-
that plans to develop cranial announce in a few months.” hired leading academics in the ment. Dr. Tolosa didn’t re-
computers, most likely to treat In January he tweeted that field, according to another spond to a request for com-
Souq.com’s Dubai office. Amazon is buying the e-commerce firm. intractable brain diseases an announcement might be person familiar with the mat- ment.
BUSINESS WATCH
SOCCER chase of the club from Fininvest chemicals business, in the Dutch
SpA, the Berlusconi family hold- company’s latest effort to ward
Hedge Fund Backs ing company that controls AC off a $24 billion takeover ap-
Deal to Buy AC Milan Milan. The remainder will be proach from U.S. rival PPG In-
used to cover Milan’s debt and dustries Inc.
U.S. hedge fund Elliott Man- provide short-term financing for The plan, announced earlier
agement Corp. has agreed to the club. this month, comes on the heels
provide part of the financing for The purchase is scheduled to of Akzo’s rejection of a second,
Chinese investor Yonghong Li’s be finalized on April 14, accord- sweetened offer by PPG last
deal to buy Italian soccer team ing to one of the people. week of €88.72 a share, up from
AC Milan, according to people fa- In November, China put re- an initial bid of €83 a share.
miliar with the matter. strictions on yuan spending out- Akzo said it would outline
The development revives side the country. The move sta- plans for the separation of the
hopes of closing the deal signed bilized the yuan’s value but left specialty chemicals unit from
in August to buy the team, several deals—including the AC the paints business, along with a
which is owned by former Italian Milan transaction—in limbo be- fresh financial guidance, when it
Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, cause the buyers lacked cash. reports first-quarter results on
valuing it at €740 million ($804 —Manuela Mesco April 19.
million). That transaction nearly The announcement comes
fell through due to tighter capi- AKZO NOBEL amid efforts by some of Akzo’s
tal controls recently introduced largest investors to push the
by Beijing. Firm to Detail Plan Amsterdam-based company to
On Monday, Elliott and Mr. For Chemicals Unit engage in negotiations with
Li’s investment vehicle, Rosson- Pittsburgh-based PPG Industries.
eri Lux, agreed on €253 million Paint giant Akzo Nobel NV On Tuesday, Akzo’s stock fell
2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. of financing, one of the people said Tuesday that it would an- 0.9%, to €77.60.
said. Of that amount, Elliott will nounce in April specific plans for —Ben Dummett
provide €180 million for the pur- the separation of its specialty and Christopher Alessi
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To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, March 29, 2017 | B5
MANAGEMENT
Soldiering On Wharton
To Widen
In Business Pool for
Isn’t Easy M.B.A.
BY KELSEY GEE
After a collective push to Some companies are ad- Wharton School of Business
hire more than a million U.S. justing their veteran strate- was expected to launch a pro-
military veterans in recent gies to smooth the entry spe- gram Tuesday for undergradu-
years, business is wrestling cifically for those coming ates studying liberal arts, sci-
with a new challenge: hold- into their first civilian jobs. ence and nursing at the Ivy
ing on to them. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. League institution and looking
Hiring initiatives by Veri- recently launched a pilot to gain early admission to its
zon Communications Inc., project dubbed “Pathfinder” graduate business school.
Amazon.com Inc., Union Pa- that pairs newly recruited Investment banker Ken
cific Corp. and hundreds of veterans with a more experi- Moelis and his wife, Julie Taf-
other companies have helped enced veteran peer to guide fet Moelis, gave a $10 million
cut unemployment among them through areas in which gift to their alma mater to cre-
younger veterans—in the company research showed Navy veteran LaTesha Ford says a support network at PricewaterhouseCoopers helped her greatly. ate the program, which is
double digits six years ago— they often need more sup- open to Penn seniors aiming
to close to the 4.7% national port. Those include setting jobs, such as financial ana- dismissed his problem-solv- trol of some 600 detainees in to work for as many as four
average, according to the Bu- first-year goals and navigat- lyst. The recruits go through ing initiatives—such as a Iraq. years after graduation before
reau of Labor Statistics. But ing corporate nuances such a 12-month program covering proposal to better acclimate Hired by PwC just over six returning to campus to study
many veterans stumble in as forgoing “sir” or “ma’am” everything from how the new hires—as coming from years ago as a consultant, management.
the transition to civilian ca- when addressing colleagues company’s lines of business someone who “doesn’t un- she turned to her assigned The initiative, called the
reers, landing in jobs in and the how-tos of network- intersect with one another to derstand how things work mentor frequently, including Moelis Advance Access Pro-
which they don’t earn ing, a largely foreign practice “flexing your leadership style here,” he said. for communication help. She gram, will make financial aid
enough, encounter culture in the military, where hierar- when you don’t have your “In the military, you see a and her team “weren’t click- available for each fellow, offer-
clashes or struggle to trans- chy typically sets career rank on your collar,” said problem, you fix it,” said Mr. ing 100%,” she said, and she ing tuition costs for students
late military skills to the cor- paths. Sean Passmore, USAA’s head Klein, now an operations worried she was too short who work for nonprofits, or in
porate world. PricewaterhouseCoopers of military hiring. manager at a Dallas-area en- and direct, a style to which jobs with relatively low pay
A 2016 U.S. Chamber of LLP is rolling out a program Even well-paying white- gineering and architecture she was accustomed. She for recent college graduates.
Commerce Foundation sur- for hires who recently left collar jobs can discourage firm he says is a better fit. said her mentor from the The idea is to broaden the mix
vey of 1,000 veterans found the service that applies qual- some veterans. “I felt like “Corporate America some- veteran network helped her of students beyond typical
44% left their first post-mili- ity-control-like checklists to [my employer] didn’t know times moves a bit slower.” adjust her delivery to a more M.B.A.-seekers, who tend to
tary jobs within a year—a their coaching, such as regu- how to utilize me,” said Before PwC’s public-sector conversational tone, such as apply after working in finance
finding similar to that of a lar chats with a veteran James Klein, a retired lieu- group launched a veteran prefacing requests by asking or consulting roles.
2014 Syracuse University “buddy” for advice. Later tenant commander in the support network roughly a colleagues about what work “We don’t want students to
study involving more than this year, the firm plans to U.S. Coast Guard. After 23 decade ago, only about 20% they already had on their have to choose between fol-
1,400 veterans. The result, systematically train human- years with the service, he of the practice’s veteran plates. “Before, I thought, lowing their intellectual pas-
company recruiters say, can resource managers on the joined a Fortune 500 telecom hires were staying a year or ‘That’s flowery—let’s just get sion or social values and get-
mean delays before veterans challenges veterans face, in- company in 2014 but left the longer, according to Michael it done,’” she said. ting a good job,” said Wharton
find meaningful employment cluding, in rarer cases, the next year after his project- Donoghue, a PwC principal Now a senior associate Dean Geoffrey Garrett.
and high turnover costs for stresses of grappling with manager position was out- who helped start the net- working on cybersecurity University of Pennsylvania
employers. physical combat injuries or sourced overseas. work. Within several years, and other projects for PwC’s administrators are marketing
“One of the biggest mis- post-traumatic stress disor- In the Coast Guard, his that improved to more than government clients, she says the program to students who
takes employers can make is der. work included commanding a 95%. PwC has since estab- she gives pointers to other will enter their senior year in
not understanding how to Financial-services firm patrol boat in the Persian lished the network company- veteran hires and attends fall 2017; it is expected to ad-
take advantage of veterans’ USAA—where veterans and Gulf. In contrast, much of his wide. veteran career fairs to help mit around 10 students. If the
skills” despite wanting to military spouses are nearly a 15 months at the telecom The network “is one of the identify where potential re- program is successful, the
hire them, said Brian Stann, quarter of its 30,000-em- company was spent on main reasons I’m still at the cruits can find the best fit in school might invite applicants
a former captain in the Ma- ployee workforce—began last spreadsheets and writing firm,” said LaTesha Ford, the firm. “We retain veterans from other universities, Dean
rines and head of Hire He- fall targeting exiting service equipment-installment in- whose nearly five years as a a lot longer,” she said, “be- Garrett said.
roes USA, a nonprofit that members with business lead- structions. It was a frustrat- naval officer included over- cause we try to put in that Business schools at Harvard
helps veterans find jobs and ership potential for specific ing comedown. Supervisors seeing care, custody and con- legwork at the beginning.” University, University of Vir-
ginia and other elite institu-
tions also offer deferred-en-
Division
the changes could have gone
activities that qualify further. Deutsche Bank AG
called for better alignment be-
BY TATYANA SHUMSKY tween U.S. and international
hedge accounting guidelines in BY KANE WU
One of the most Byzantine a comment letter, saying that AND JULIE STEINBERG
areas of corporate accounting significant differences be-
is about to get simpler. tween the two impede compa- U.K.-based insurer Aviva
The Financial Accounting rability of financial state- PLC is looking to sell Friends
Standards Board is putting the ments. Provident International Ltd.,
finishing touches on new rules All companies that attempt its unit that serves high-net-
DANIEL ACKER/BLOOMBERG
governing how companies re- hedge accounting under the worth clients in Asia and the
port hedging activities, such new rules will benefit from Middle East, in a deal that
as using futures and options having to do less math, said could fetch up to $750 million,
to insulate profits from cur- Mark Scoles, partner in charge according to people familiar
rency or interest-rate swings. of the accounting principles with the situation.
Current rules allow compa- group at Grant Thornton. For Aviva’s sale of Friends
nies to delay recording the example, FASB won’t require Provident International comes
economic impact of a hedge Grain trucks at an ADM plant in Illinois. The company would benefit from the accounting changes. companies to measure and re- less than two years after it
on their income statement un- cord any discrepancy in how bought the business in April
til the same period as the ler and chief accounting offi- 2018. “There’s still going to be rivatives that don’t qualify as effective the hedge is at miti- 2015, as part of a £5.6 billion
transaction involved is com- cer at General Motors Co. rules, there’s still going to be hedges must be recorded in gating the relevant risks each ($8.8 billion) deal to acquire
pleted. This typically results in GM uses futures and other hurdles, but it’s not going to the income statement each quarter, as it currently does. Friends Life Group Ltd., which
less volatile earnings quarter derivatives to hedge its for- be as onerous as it is now,” quarter, which can result in “If they’re applying hedge at the time created the U.K’s
to quarter. eign currency, commodity and said Rob Royall, partner in fi- large earnings swings. accounting now, they’re doing largest insurance, savings and
The FASB’s proposal aims interest-rate risk, but not all nancial accounting and advi- The result is that ADM’s a lot of math every quarter,” asset-management company.
to give companies more time of these qualify for hedge ac- sory services practice at Ernst losses on derivatives not des- Mr. Scoles said. Based on the Isle of Man, a
to meet the strict documenta- counting. At the end of 2016, & Young. ignated as hedges reduced FASB is making it easier to self-governing island situated
tion requirements needed to GM held derivatives not desig- The commodities sector is earnings by $352 million, to avoid restatements for compa- between the U.K. and Ireland
qualify for hedge accounting. nated as hedges with $47.7 bil- expected to benefit from the $1.28 billion in 2016. The com- nies attempting the simpler, that many consider a tax ha-
The new rules also expand its lion in total notional value, a proposal. When a company pany held derivatives not des- shortcut hedge accounting ven, Friends Provident Inter-
application to a broader range measure of the amount cov- such as Archer Daniels Mid- ignated as hedges with a fair method. Currently, a small er- national provides life assur-
of circumstances, simplify the ered when the hedge is trig- land agrees to mill wheat into value of $1.26 billion at the ror would trigger a restate- ance and investment products
way hedges are recorded and gered. The fair value of these flour and sell it to its custom- end of 2016. ment, but the new rules allow to global expatriate and do-
offer relief for companies that contracts was insignificant at ers in the future, the company By contrast, the economic companies to avoid this if the mestic affluent customers in
made small errors in applying the end of 2016, according to might lock in the wheat price impact of qualified hedges for hedges are still effective. Hong Kong, Singapore, United
the rules. regulatory filings. using futures, as no flour fu- expected sales or purchases is “If you missed something, Arab Emirates and other mar-
At stake for companies is GM is one of roughly three tures exist. only recognized in the income or there was a misunderstand- kets.
the treatment of futures, op- dozen companies, including Current rules require com- statement at the same time as ing of the fact pattern, you
tions and other derivatives Verizon Communications Inc. panies like ADM to hedge the the relevant transaction is had an error on your hands,”
valued at billions of dollars
that don’t currently qualify for
and Archer Daniels Midland
Co., that have thrown their
total price of its flour sales
contract, without singling out
concluded, like the delivery of
flour to the customer.
said Peter Kwan, executive di-
rector of accounting at Veri-
Analysts say the
hedge accounting. support behind the effort to the wheat-price risk on its The proposal “would allow zon, adding that the new rule U.K. insurer sees
“It will simplify the docu-
mentation process, saving us
make hedge accounting easier.
The new rules are expected to
own, and so such hedges may
not qualify for hedge account-
ADM increased ability to
adopt accounting models that
gives companies a safety net.
“You don’t necessarily have to
little growth coming
time and money.” said Tom be completed this summer and ing treatment. reflect the way risk is actually go back and blow up the ac- from the unit.
Timko, vice president, control- become effective as early as Changes in the price of de- managed,” said John Stott, counting.”
former star manager Bill Gross views with officers such as fund Mr. Gross managed at Group, intends to donate the dropped 4% year over year in
for $81 million, people familiar Pimco President Jay Jacobs, Pimco, Pimco Total Return, proceeds to charity through 2016, compared with a 12% in-
with the matter said, ending a have occurred already, one dropped below the Pimco In- his Bill and Sue Gross Family crease in gross operating
feud that shook the investing person familiar with the case come Fund as the firm’s big- Foundation, one person said. profit globally.
world. said. gest. Total Return had once “Bill Gross has always been Aviva has received a num-
Mr. Gross abruptly left Inside Pimco, executives stood as the world’s largest larger than life,” said Dan Ivas- ber of offers for the unit, al-
Pimco in September 2014 after feared some of the emails and bond fund. Mr. Gross’s exit, cyn, Pimco’s chief investment though a formal bidding pro-
disagreements with the firm’s other documents revealed at though, accelerated the flow of officer, in a statement. “He has cess hasn’t started, the people
other executives. In 2015, he trial could cast the firm, them client money to other invest- a well-deserved stellar reputa- said. Chinese conglomerates
sued the manager for at least and Mr. Gross in a poor light, ments. tion as an investor and a phi- Fosun Group and HNA Group
$200 million in damages, al- people familiar with the mat- The two sides released a Bill Gross had sued the lanthropist.” are among those evaluating
leging he was forced out. ter said. Some clients told the joint statement Monday con- investment firm in 2015 The two sides had held the unit, according to two of
The settlement resolves firm they were concerned the firming their settlement. Nei- for breach of contract. sporadic discussions over a the people. Both companies
what had been a bruising legal lawsuit would remain a dis- ther disclosed the amount that settlement for more than a declined to comment.
skirmish for both Mr. Gross traction to the money man- Pimco, a unit of Allianz SE, tablish an annual Bill Gross year, people familiar with the A spokeswoman for Aviva
and the firm he co-founded. ager, one person said. agreed to pay, but the state- Award for community organi- matter said. As 2016 drew to a said there is no update on the
The two sides traded sharp ac- Pimco, which appointed for- ment described other steps be- zations. close, Mr. Roman began to review and declined to com-
cusations, with Pimco contend- mer hedge-fund manager Em- ing taken by the money man- “Pimco has always been zero in on the firm’s ongoing ment further.
ing in a September filing that manuel Roman as its chief ex- ager. family to me, and, like any legal battles. Overseas insurance compa-
Mr. Gross harbored a “sad ob- ecutive last year, has been For one, there will be a new family, sometimes there are In late January, Pimco’s nies are attractive to Chinese
session with attacking his for- eager to move past any ves- Founders Room at Pimco’s disagreements. I’m glad that lawyers approached Mr. buyers as they can then rein-
mer employer and colleagues.” tiges of the Gross era. Mr. Ro- Newport Beach, Calif., head- we have had the opportunity Gross’s legal team with a vest the premiums collected
A California judge’s Septem- man’s arrival signaled that quarters. The Pimco Founda- to work through those, and see much better offer, paving the without going through China’s
ber ruling compelled Pimco to Pimco would further its push tion also is naming Mr. Gross a the Pimco founders receiving way for the final agreement, foreign-exchange approval
turn over a slew of documents into distressed debt, real es- director emeritus and will es- the recognition they deserve,” the people said. process.
China A-Share Fund Cls A AUD UnH OT OT HKG 03/27 AUD 11.46 4.8 9.5 -0.4
China A-Share Fund Cls A CAD H OT OT HKG 03/27 CAD 11.65 6.7 12.6 -1.2
posed a 10% import tax on tur, a China A-Share Fund Cls A EUR H OT OT HKG 03/27 EUR 12.23 6.4 11.4 -1.4
variety of lentils, again to pro- China A-Share Fund Cls A EUR UnH OT OT HKG 03/27 EUR 12.25 6.2 13.5 NS
Net Profit Declines AGRICULTURAL BANK OF CHINA the 0.6% gain it posted in 2015,
China Greenchip-A Units AUD H AS
China Greenchip-A Units CAD H AS
EQ CYM
EQ CYM
03/27 AUD
03/27 CAD
9.61
9.34
11.9
11.7
20.6
19.1
-5.7
-6.8
China Greenchip-A Units NZD H AS EQ CYM 03/27 NZD 9.88 12.0 21.4 -4.9
As Finance Costs Rise Earnings Rise 1.8% but the bank has had to write China Greenchip-A Units USD AS
China Greenchip-A2 QDIs Units AS
EQ CYM
EQ CYM
03/27 USD
03/27 HKD
9.41
10.37
11.8
11.9
19.9
19.9
-6.0
-5.2
off large volumes of bad loans GC Hi Yield Inc - Cls A MDIs GBP H OT OT CYM 03/27 GBP 9.93 5.8 20.7 NS
China Evergrande Group’s net as slower growth makes it GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls A MDIs AUD H OT
GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls A MDIs CAD H OT
OT CYM
OT CYM
03/27 AUD
03/27 CAD
9.49
9.56
6.3
6.1
22.9
21.5
14.4
13.0 In print & online. Contact:
profit fell 51% in 2016 as higher Agricultural Bank of China harder for customers to repay GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls A MDIs NZD H OT OT CYM 03/27 NZD 9.84 6.5 23.7 15.4
GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls P HKD Acc sh OT OT CYM 03/27 HKD 14.99 6.3 22.0 13.1
finance costs and reduced gains Ltd. said its net profit rose 1.8% what they have borrowed. GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls P HKD MDIs sh OT OT CYM 03/27 HKD 9.45 6.4 22.1 13.2
GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls P MDIs SGD H OT OT CYM 03/27 SGD 10.37 6.1 21.7 13.5
on changes in the fair value of last year to 183.94 billion yuan Net interest income fell 8.7% GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls P USD Acc sh OT OT CYM 03/27 USD 15.09 6.2 21.9 13.1
its assets more than offset ($26.71 billion), buoyed by com- to 398.1 billion yuan, while net GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls P USD MDIs sh OT OT CYM 03/27 USD 9.49 6.2 21.8 13.0 wsja.advertising@dowjones.com
GC Hi Yield Inc-ClsA MDIs EUR H OT OT CYM 03/27 EUR 10.38 5.7 19.9 11.9
higher property sales. missions and fees. fee and commission income rose Hi-Div Stk Cls A RMB H Acc OT OT HKG 03/27 CNH 11.33 13.3 20.8 5.3
Hi-Div Stk Cls A RMB UnH Acc OT OT HKG 03/27 CNH 13.48 10.0 23.2 7.3
The Chinese real-estate de- The result was slightly higher 10.2% to 90.94 billion yuan. Hi-Div Stk Cls A1 OT OT HKG 03/27 USD 80.53 12.3 18.5 2.9
veloper said after markets than the median net-profit fore- The bank also reported Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 AUD H MDIs OT
Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 CAD H MDIs OT
OT HKG
OT HKG
03/27 AUD
03/27 CAD
9.68
9.80
12.0
12.2
18.4
17.3
3.1
1.9
closed Tuesday that full-year net cast of 179.03 billion from ana- 230.83 billion yuan of nonper- Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 GBP H MDIs OT OT HKG 03/27 GBP 9.27 13.2 17.7 1.5
Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 HKD MDIs OT OT HKG 03/27 HKD 10.09 12.7 18.9 2.9
profit was 5.09 billion yuan lysts polled by S&P Global Mar- forming loans at the end of Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 MDIs OT OT HKG 03/27 USD 11.02 12.1 18.3 2.8
Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 NZD H MDIs OT OT HKG 03/27 NZD 9.90 12.1 19.0 4.0
($740.6 million), compared with ket Intelligence. 2016, up from 229.82 billion Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 RMB H MDIs OT OT HKG 03/27 CNH 9.59 13.7 21.1 5.2
10.46 billion yuan a year earlier. China’s banks are still dealing yuan three months earlier. Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 RMB UnH MDIs OT
Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 SGD H MDIs OT
OT HKG
OT HKG
03/27 CNH
03/27 SGD
10.00
10.64
10.3
NS
24.5
NS
7.7
NS
Its revenue rose 59% to with the effects of a broad The bank’s bad-loan ratio fell Intel-China Converg Fund-A AUD H AS EQ CYM 03/27 AUD 10.06 14.3 17.2 NS
Intel-China Converg Fund-A CAD H AS EQ CYM 03/27 CAD 10.83 6.5 10.1 NS
211.44 billion yuan from 133.13 slowdown in economic growth. slightly to 2.37% from 2.39% at Intel-China Converg Fund-A NZD H AS EQ CYM 03/27 NZD 11.36 10.7 12.9 NS
billion yuan a year ago. The 1.8% increase in Agricultural the end of September. Intel-China Converg Fund-A Units AS
Intel-Chinese Mainland Foc Fund AS
EQ CYM
EQ CYM
03/27 USD
03/27 USD
150.30
42.68
12.6
15.2
16.7
21.1
-2.3
0.0
—Joanne Chiu Bank’s profit was an uptick from —Chuin-Wei Yap VP Classic-A Units AS EQ HKG 03/27 USD 284.51 11.8 21.8 1.0
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Wednesday, March 29, 2017 | B7
Crude-Oil Prices
Rise as Supplies
From Libya Drop
BY ALISON SIDER time high reached in 1970,”
AND NEANDA SALVATERRA said Barclays analysts in a re-
cent note.
Crude-oil prices rose Tues- But investors haven’t aban-
day amid disrupted supply in doned all hope that OPEC’s
Libya, rallying from near four- cuts will be successful.
month lows Monday. Data from ICE showed that
U.S. crude futures were up traders are largely holding on
89 cents, or 1.86%, at $48.62 a to their record-high specula-
barrel in tive position that Brent prices
COMMODITIES m i d d a y will rise. According to ICE fig-
ANDY WONG/ASSOCIATED PRESS
250K
AND AKANE OTANI Hong Kong’s Hang Seng In- est level since Nov. 11, shortly Dan Miller, director of equities ing whether production cuts
dex ended the day up 0.6% at after Mr. Trump’s election. at GW&K Investment Manage- by the Organization of the Pe-
Global stock markets stead- 24345.87 with China heavy- Expectations for a tax over- ment. “Stocks are still quite troleum Exporting Countries
ied Tuesday, inching higher af- weights including tech giant haul and large-scale infra- attractive compared to every- and 11 outside suppliers are
ter the Dow Jones Industrial Tencent leading gains. Shares structure spending had under- thing else out there.” helping to shrink the oversup- Daily barrels of oil interrupted by
Average posted its eighth con- of China Southern Airlines, the pinned gains in global markets Energy shares rose with oil ply of oil that has weighed on North Africa pipelines closure
secutive session of declines a nation’s biggest airline by rev- since the U.S. election. Stocks prices Tuesday. prices. Libya was exempt from
day earlier. enue, fell 2.7% after news the have slipped as doubts have The S&P 500 energy sector the cuts, and its output had
Near midday in New York, carrier is entering a deal to grown over whether the ad- added 1%. returned to about 700,000
the Dow was up 82 points, or sell shares to American Air- ministration can deliver. Shares of financial and in- barrels a day—partially offset- Still, Mr. Saucer said the
0.4%, to 20633, lines boosted the stock on Many investors believe dustrial companies, among the ting cutbacks by other produc- prices may face resistance on
TUESDAY’S buoyed by Monday. stocks were in need of a pull- biggest gainers in the post- ers. their way back up, as U.S. pro-
MARKETS gains in shares Japan’s Nikkei Stock Aver- back given the speed of the re- election rally, climbed. Finan- Oil prices have faced selling ducers take advantage of any
of energy, fi- age ended 1.1% higher at cent rally. cial stocks jumped 1.1% in the pressure lately as rising crude rally to lock in higher prices
nancial and in- 19202.87, partly recouping “It’s a healthy part of a con- S&P 500 and industrial stocks production in the U.S. threat- for their output by selling fu-
dustrial companies. The S&P losses recorded Monday, when tinuing, positive market,” said rose 0.8%. ens to frustrate a continuing tures.
500 rose 0.4%, and the Nasdaq the yen soared as investors Kevin O’Nolan, a portfolio The S&P 500 is still up effort to reduce global stock- “This market will have
Composite added 0.2%. sought haven assets due to manager at Fidelity Interna- about 9% since Election Day piles. some work to do to locate sup-
The uptick followed gains in concern that the Trump ad- tional, who remains slightly despite declining in recent Data show U.S. production port to move back above $50,”
both Europe and Asia. The ministration won’t be able to overweight in equities. sessions. The relative resil- has remained above 9 million he said.
Stoxx Europe 600 index rose follow through with key policy Others say stocks are likely ience of U.S. equities “has to barrels a day for the past four Some analysts said OPEC is
2.29 points, or 0.6%, to 377.30, initiatives. to climb higher yet, given im- do with the underlying weeks, and the number of at risk of failing to make a
with sectors including autos, The dollar was steady on provement in global economic strength of the global econ- drilling rigs at work has dent in global inventories un-
mining, media, technology and Tuesday at ¥110.6310, com- growth and accommodative omy and the picking-up in steadily risen this year, reach- less the cartel decides to ex-
banks all ticking higher. pared with ¥110.66 late in New central bank policies. [corporate] earnings data,” ing its highest level since Sep- tend its cuts into the second
In Asia, energy and mining York on Monday. “It seems like as soon as said Jeroen Blokland, a senior tember 2015. half of 2017 at its meeting
shares helped push Australia’s The WSJ Dollar Index, the market pulled back, the portfolio manager at Dutch as- “We now forecast U.S. May 25.
S&P/ASX 200 index up 1.3% to which measures the greenback buyers sitting on the sidelines set manager Robeco. crude-oil production to reach —Benoit Faucon
close at its highest level in against a basket of 16 curren- decided they couldn’t take a —Kenan Machado a multidecade high by Decem- and Jenny W. Hsu
nearly two years following a cies, was flat near midday af- chance of missing the rally contributed to this article. ber, within sight of the all- contributed to this article.
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B8 | Wednesday, March 29, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS DIGEST
Nikkei 225 Index STOXX 600 Index S&P 500 Index Data as of 12 p.m. New York time
Last Year ago
19202.87 s 217.28, or 1.14% Year-to-date s 0.46% 377.30 s 2.29, or 0.61% Year-to-date s 4.39% 2354.58 s 12.99, or 0.55% Trailing P/E ratio * 24.52 23.53
High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 19633.75 14952.02 High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 378.32 308.75 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 18.27 17.55
trading day of the past three months. All-time high 38915.87 12/29/89 trading day of the past three months. All-time high 414.06 4/15/15 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 1.97 2.23
All-time high: 2395.96, 03/01/17
International Stock Indexes Data as of 12 p.m. New York time Global government bonds
Latest 52-Week Range YTD Latest, month-ago and year-ago yields and spreads over or under U.S. Treasurys on benchmark two-year
Region/Country Index Close NetChg % chg Low Close High % chg and 10-year government bonds around the world. Data as of 12 p.m. ET
World The Global Dow 2697.83 17.51 0.65 2193.75 • 2720.47 6.7 Country/ Spread Over Treasurys, in basis points Yield
MSCI EAFE 1809.05 11.21 0.62 1471.88 • 1956.39 5.4 Coupon Maturity, in years Yield Latest Previous Month Ago Year ago Previous Month ago Year ago
MSCI EM USD 970.43 4.72 0.49 691.21 • 1044.05 22.2 5.250 Australia 2 1.746 47.2 47.5 55.0 110.6 1.732 1.814 1.975
4.750 10 2.711 32.7 33.6 34.3 70.7 2.713 2.737 2.593
Americas DJ Americas 567.65 3.10 0.55 480.90 • 577.65 5.0
3.000 Belgium 2 -178.2 -172.8 -184.0 -130.2 -0.471 -0.576 -0.433
-0.508
Brazil Sao Paulo Bovespa 64443.74 135.35 0.21 47873.65 • 69487.58 7.0
0.800 10 0.857 -152.7 -150.0 -169.3 -144.5 0.877 0.701 0.441
Canada S&P/TSX Comp 15594.90 88.68 0.57 13217.17 • 15943.09 2.0
0.000 France 2 -0.485 -175.9 -172.1 -179.7 -128.5 -0.464 -0.533 -0.416
Mexico IPC All-Share 49428.92 115.93 0.24 43902.25 • 49523.94 8.3
0.250 10 0.969 -141.5 -139.5 -150.6 -135.0 0.981 0.888 0.536
Chile Santiago IPSA 3730.33 56.69 1.54 2998.64 • 3733.02 15.7
0.000 Germany 2 -0.700 -197.4 -197.1 -216.5 -134.6 -0.714 -0.901 -0.477
U.S. DJIA 20650.11 99.13 0.48 17063.08 • 21169.11 4.5
0.250 10 0.389 -199.5 -197.6 -218.6 -170.3 0.401 0.209 0.184
Nasdaq Composite 5861.45 21.08 0.36 4574.25 • 5928.06 8.9
0.300 Italy 2 -0.078 -135.2 -130.6 -129.2 -83.5 -0.049 -0.028 0.035
S&P 500 2354.58 12.99 0.55 1991.68 • 2400.98 5.2
1.250 10 2.152 -23.2 -17.6 -30.6 -58.7 2.201 2.089 1.299
CBOE Volatility 11.64 –0.86 –6.88 9.97 • 26.72 –17.1
0.100 Japan 2 -0.261 -153.5 -151.5 -153.4 -109.4 -0.258 -0.270 -0.225
EMEA Stoxx Europe 600 377.30 2.29 0.61 308.75 • 378.32 4.4 0.100 10 0.060 -232.4 -231.5 -234.0 -197.6 0.061 0.055 -0.090
Stoxx Europe 50 3135.75 17.88 0.57 2626.52 • 3151.89 4.2 4.000 Netherlands 2 -0.725 -199.9 -196.2 -209.7 -136.5 -0.705 -0.833 -0.496
France CAC 40 5046.20 28.77 0.57 3955.98 • 5054.91 3.8 0.750 10 0.627 -175.7 -173.1 -191.5 -161.3 0.646 0.480 0.273
Germany DAX 12149.42 153.35 1.28 9214.10 • 12158.72 5.8 4.450 Portugal 2 -0.128 -140.1 -132.2 -128.4 -59.0 -0.065 -0.020 0.279
Israel Tel Aviv 1401.00 5.91 0.42 1372.23 • 1504.42 –4.7 2.875 10 3.732 134.9 137.6 147.2 89.8 3.752 3.866 2.784
Italy FTSE MIB 20330.42 206.23 1.02 15017.42 • 20330.42 5.7 2.750 Spain 2 -0.213 -148.7 -148.1 -152.5 -84.3 -0.224 -0.261 0.026
Netherlands AEX 512.15 2.83 0.56 409.23 • 518.88 6.0 1.500 10 1.658 -72.6 -68.8 -85.6 -43.6 1.689 1.539 1.450
Russia RTS Index 1125.58 10.92 0.98 835.75 • 1196.99 –2.3 4.250 Sweden 2 -0.595 -186.9 -182.8 -193.6 -151.1 -0.571 -0.672 -0.642
Spain IBEX 35 10389.00 86.10 0.84 7579.80 • 10394.80 11.1 1.000 10 0.632 -175.2 -173.5 -186.5 -136.8 0.642 0.529 0.518
Switzerland Swiss Market 8597.02 2.48 0.03 7475.54 • 8704.11 4.6 1.750 U.K. 2 0.181 -109.3 -108.7 -117.8 -38.4 0.170 0.086 0.486
South Africa Johannesburg All Share 52309.23 584.31 1.13 48935.90 • 54704.22 3.3 4.250 10 1.194 -119.0 -120.7 -124.3 -42.9 1.169 1.151 1.457
Turkey BIST 100 90181.73 486.68 0.54 70426.16 • 91497.00 15.4 1.250 U.S. 2 1.274 ... ... ... ... 1.257 1.264 0.869
U.K. FTSE 100 7343.42 49.92 0.68 5788.74 • 7447.00 2.8 2.250 10 2.384 ... ... ... ... 2.377 2.394 1.886
Asia-Pacific DJ Asia-Pacific TSM 1567.56 14.30 0.92 1308.52 • 1570.38 10.2
Australia S&P/ASX 200 5821.20 74.50 1.30 4924.40 • 5821.20 2.7 Commodities Prices of futures contracts with the most open interest 12 p.m. New York time
China Shanghai Composite 3252.95 –14.01 –0.43 2806.91 • 3282.92 4.8 EXCHANGE LEGEND: CBOT: Chicago Board of Trade; CME: Chicago Mercantile Exchange; ICE-US: ICE Futures U.S.; MDEX: Bursa Malaysia
Hong Kong Hang Seng 24345.87 152.17 0.63 19694.33 • 24593.12 10.7 Derivatives Berhad; TCE: Tokyo Commodity Exchange; COMEX: Commodity Exchange; LME: London Metal Exchange;
NYMEX: New York Mercantile Exchange; ICE-EU: ICE Futures Europe. *Data as of 3/27/2017
India S&P BSE Sensex 29409.52 172.37 0.59 24673.84 • 29648.99 10.5 One-Day Change Year Year
Indonesia Jakarta Composite 5541.20 … Closed 4704.22 • 5567.13 4.6 Commodity Exchange Last price Net Percentage high low
357.00 1.25 0.35% 387.25 354.25
Japan Nikkei Stock Avg 19202.87 217.28 1.14 14952.02 • 19633.75 0.5 Corn (cents/bu.) CBOT
Soybeans (cents/bu.) 972.25 0.75 0.08 1,088.25 968.25
Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite 1754.42 9.47 0.54 1614.90 • 1754.67 6.9
Wheat (cents/bu.)
CBOT
CBOT 423.00 2.25 0.53 477.00 416.25
New Zealand S&P/NZX 50 7065.23 2.52 0.04 6664.21 • 7571.11 2.7
Live cattle (cents/lb.) CME 111.875 0.425 0.38 114.200 103.150
Pakistan KSE 100 48523.41 –156.75 –0.32 32879.67 • 50192.36 1.5
Cocoa ($/ton) ICE-US 2,131 -19 -0.88% 2,273 1,869
Philippines PSEi 7331.46 85.49 1.18 6563.67 • 8102.30 7.2
Coffee (cents/lb.) ICE-US 138.55 -0.65 -0.47 159.30 136.20
Singapore Straits Times 3157.82 30.94 0.99 2729.85 • 3169.38 9.6
Sugar (cents/lb.) ICE-US 17.56 -0.14 -0.79 21.21 17.02
South Korea Kospi 2163.31 7.65 0.35 1925.24 • 2178.38 6.8
Cotton (cents/lb.) ICE-US 77.37 0.43 0.56 79.46 71.55
Taiwan Weighted 9876.45 –0.32 –0.003 8053.69 • 9972.49 6.7 Robusta coffee ($/ton) ICE-EU 2164.00 -22.00 -1.01 2,279.00 2,093.00
Thailand SET 1576.72 6.22 0.40 1356.69 • 1591.00 2.2
Copper ($/lb.) COMEX 2.6650 0.0330 1.25 2.8360 2.4800
Source: SIX Financial Information;WSJ Market Data Group Gold ($/troy oz.) COMEX 1258.10 -0.70 -0.06 1,268.10 1,152.20
Silver ($/troy oz.) COMEX 18.210 0.102 0.56 18.540 16.000
Currencies London close on March 28 Aluminum ($/mt)* LME 1,924.50 -5.50 -0.28 1,939.00 1,688.50
Tin ($/mt)* LME 19,535.00 -575.00 -2.86 21,225.00 18,760.00
Yen, euro vs. dollar; dollar vs. major U.S. trading partners US$vs,
Tue YTDchg Copper ($/mt)* LME 5,694.00 -121.50 -2.09 6,156.00 5,518.00
Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Lead ($/mt)* LME 2,318.00 -37.00 -1.57 2,445.00 2,022.00
20%
s Europe Zinc ($/mt)* LME 2,778.00 -54.00 -1.91 2,958.50 2,555.00
Yen Bulgaria lev 0.5556 1.7997 –3.2 Nickel ($/mt)* LME 9,750.00 -200.00 -2.01 11,095.00 9,430.00
10
Croatia kuna 0.1459 6.855 –4.4 Rubber (Y.01/ton) TCE 240.90 3.40 1.43 n.a. n.a.
s
Euro Euro zone euro 1.0849 0.9218 –3.0
0 Palm oil (MYR/mt) MDEX 2706.00 11.00 0.41 3068.00 2642.00
Czech Rep. koruna-b 0.0401 24.907 –3.0
s WSJ Dollar index Denmark krone 0.1458 6.8588 –3.0 Crude oil ($/bbl.) NYMEX 48.71 0.98 2.05 57.50 47.01
–10 0.003504 285.40 –3.0
Hungary forint NY Harbor ULSD ($/gal.) NYMEX 1.5349 0.0264 1.75 1.7770 1.4825
Iceland krona 0.009057 110.41 –2.3 RBOB gasoline ($/gal.) NYMEX 1.6525 0.0262 1.61 1.9065 1.5824
–20 Norway krone 0.1177 8.4966 –1.7
0.2561 3.9047 –6.7
Natural gas ($/mmBtu) NYMEX 3.156 0.025 0.80 3.5070 2.7370
2016 2017 Poland zloty
Russia ruble-d 0.01757 56.904 –7.1 Brent crude ($/bbl.) ICE-EU 51.88 0.98 1.93 59.89 50.00
US$vs, US$vs,
YTDchg YTDchg Sweden krona 0.1138 8.7903 –3.5 Gas oil ($/ton) ICE-EU 461.00 9.75 2.16 523.50 444.00
Tue Tue
Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Switzerland franc 1.0146 0.9856 –3.3
Turkey lira 0.2752 3.6335 3.1 Sources: SIX Financial Information; WSJ Market Data Group
Americas Hong Kong dollar 0.1287 7.7677 0.2
Ukraine hryvnia 0.0369 27.1300 0.2
Argentina peso-a 0.0644 15.5206 –2.2
India rupee
Indonesia rupiah
0.0154
0.0000751
65.0457
13312
–4.3
–1.6
U.K. pound 1.2495 0.8003 –1.2 Cross rates London close on Mar 28
Brazil real 0.3194 3.1304 –3.8 Middle East/Africa
Japan yen 0.009038 110.65 –5.4
Canada dollar 0.7485 1.3361 –0.6 USD GBP CHF JPY HKD EUR CDN AUD
Kazakhstan tenge 0.003172 315.26 –5.5 Bahrain dinar 2.6525 0.3770 –0.0
Chile peso 0.001502 665.70 –0.6 Australia 1.3077 1.6337 1.3268 0.0118 0.1684 1.4185 0.9788 ...
Macau pataca 0.1250 8.0023 1.1 Egypt pound-a 0.0548 18.2443 0.6
Colombia peso 0.0003438 2908.26 –3.1 Canada 1.3361 1.6693 1.3557 0.0121 0.1720 1.4495 ... 1.0218
Malaysia ringgit-c 0.2266 4.4135 –1.6 Israel shekel 0.2770 3.6095 –6.2
Ecuador US dollar-f 1 1 unch
New Zealand dollar 0.7032 1.4221 –1.5 Kuwait dinar 3.2834 0.3046 –0.3 Euro 0.9218 1.1518 0.9351 0.0083 0.1187 ... 0.6899 0.7048
Mexico peso-a 0.0530 18.8739 –9.0
Pakistan rupee 0.0095 104.817 0.4 Oman sul rial 2.5970 0.3851 0.02 Hong Kong 7.7677 9.7063 7.8810 0.0702 ... 8.4274 5.8139 5.9398
Peru sol 0.3084 3.2430 –3.3
Philippines peso 0.0199 50.164 1.1 Qatar rial 0.2746 3.642 0.04 Japan 110.6470 138.2500 112.2700 ... 14.2450 120.0400 82.8100 84.6100
Uruguay peso-e 0.0352 28.430 –3.1
Singapore dollar 0.7175 1.3938 –3.7 Saudi Arabia riyal 0.2666 3.7503 –0.01 0.9856 1.2315 ... 0.0089 0.1269 1.0694 0.7376 0.7538
Venezuela bolivar 0.100150 9.99 –0.1 Switzerland
South Korea won 0.0008985 1112.91 –7.9 South Africa rand 0.0774 12.9193 –5.7
U.K. 0.8003 ... 0.8120 0.0072 0.1030 0.8684 0.5991 0.6120
Asia-Pacific Sri Lanka rupee 0.0065794 151.99 2.4 Close Net Chg % Chg YTD % Chg
0.7647 1.3077 –5.8 Taiwan dollar 0.03313 30.188 U.S. ... 1.2495 1.0146 0.0090 0.1287 1.0849 0.7485 0.7647
Australia dollar –7.0 WSJ Dollar Index 89.73 0.07 0.08 –3.45
China yuan 0.1453 6.8802 –0.9 Thailand baht 0.02910 34.370 –4.0 Sources: Tullett Prebon, WSJ Market Data Group Source: Tullett Prebon
Condo resale prices, mean- When the firm bought the The roots of the city’s
while, are up 3.3% in the past site in 2014, the entire block downtown renaissance go back
year to $628 a square foot in consisted of parking lots and a to the development of the Sta-
downtown Los Angeles, ac- mannequin sales center, he said. ples Center in 1999 and the
cording to Polaris Pacific, a “Flash forward to today: L.A. Live entertainment com-
San Francisco-based real-es- You have almost 1,000 people plex in 2007. There was a surge Retail landlords are trying to lure medical practitioners. Here, a dentistry office in Bradenton, Fla.
tate sales and marketing firm. living on that same block,” Mr. of condo and rental develop-
By comparison, resale prices
for all condos in L.A. County
were flat during the same pe-
riod, Polaris said.
Hearing said.
Fawaz Gailani, a retired on-
cologist, sold his house on 1.3
acres in Riverside, Calif., to buy
ment before the downturn, but
disappointing condo sales at
several high-profile projects
discouraged developers from
Curing Vacancies With Doctors
“Developers who have gone a $1.6 million unit on the 17th returning to the market. BY ESTHER FUNG Mall landlords worried high build-out costs. Some
out and done deals have done floor of TEN50. He said he likes Instead, rental apartment about rising vacancies as re- medical offices require rein-
very well,” said Paul Zeger, a the quick access to food, enter- developers snapped up many of As demand grows for tailers close stores are also forced walls, extra plumbing
Polaris partner. tainment and other amenities. the sites that had been assem- health-care services to be trying to woo these newcom- and enhanced electrical utili-
Chinese developers are “You don’t need a car at all,” bled for condo development. more accessible, landlords are ers. Vanderbilt University ties compared with the aver-
among the busiest in downtown he said. “That’s the beauty.” But new rental units are trying to attract medical prac- Medical Center, for instance, age retail tenant.
Los Angeles. They include a Greenland is set to open the now being delivered at such a titioners to their slumping occupies the entire upper floor Mr. Niebrugge said when he
subsidiary of Greenland Group, first of Metropolis’s three tow- fast pace that developers are malls and strip centers. of the 100 Oaks Mall in Nash- is in discussions with land-
which is building a $1 billion ers later this year and is already being forced to offer more in- The lure: customizable ville, Tenn., where patients lords he tells them the average
cluster of towers named Me- in contract for 80% of its 308 centives and even cut rents in space that is often close to can get an ultrasound and upfront cost to fit out a Heart-
tropolis, and Oceanwide Hold- units, at prices averaging more some cases, according to bro- where clients live and work. then shop at TJ Maxx on the land Dental office is around
ings, which plans to complete a than $1,000 a square foot, ac- kers. Average rents are down In the past, doctors, dentists ground level. $215 a square foot.
complex in 2019 that will in- cording to Cory Weiss, an exec- 4% compared with this time and other practitioners pre- “If someone comes to see a “There’s silence on the
clude 504 condos, a Park Hyatt utive vice president at Douglas last year, according to Polaris. ferred to hole up in hospitals doctor, it’s likely an upscale other end,” he said. “They
hotel and seven floors of retail. Elliman Development Market- “Everything went rental for and traditional office buildings. consumer who can afford in- think it’s astronomically high.”
Downtown Los Angeles once ing, the project’s sales agent. a while and not enough condo But the success of “doc-in-a- surance and that’s going to at- Landlords typically provide
was a financial district that Roughly 30% of the units in product was built to meet box” clinics in strip centers tract a landlord,” said Greg an allowance averaging $45 a
largely emptied out at night. It the second tower, which is market demand,” said Miles that provide quick fixes for Ferrante, a senior vice presi- square foot to tenants to ret-
has been enjoying a broader scheduled to open in 2018, are Garber, head of research for people suffering from minor dent at JLL, a Chicago-based rofit the space, and the tenant
development surge over the in contract, Mr. Weiss said. Buy- Polaris Pacific. “The pendulum ailments is prompting them to real-estate services company. is on the hook for the remain-
past few years with a mush- ers include foreign investors and swung too far.” start identifying themselves as “These consumers would have ing cost, he added. This means
rooming of stores, restaurants retail tenants, brokers and more money to spend at the health-care tenants are likely
and bars. The Wilshire Grand health-care providers said. retail property.” to sign longer leases to make
Center, a 73-story skyscraper “Instead of hiding them in a An advertisement to attract it worthwhile.
with a 900-room InterConti- medical office complex, we’re tenants at White Marsh Mall Health-care real-estate
nental hotel, is scheduled to transitioning to better loca- in Baltimore said the space is landlords, meanwhile, are
open later this year, becoming tions so that the community is ideal for a medical office. The looking to add retailers to
the tallest building in the U.S. more aware of them,” said Ja- mall, which has J.C. Penney, their premises.
west of the Mississippi River. cob Niebrugge, vice president Macy’s, Sears and Boscov’s as Toledo, Ohio-based health-
But almost all of the residen- of development at Heartland anchors, is currently in lease care real-estate investment
tial development since the 2008 Dental LLC. “It’s all about ex- negotiations with potential trust Welltower Inc. is plan-
downturn has been rental proj- posure for the doctors and tenants in the medical field, ning a 15-story senior-living
ects, not condos. In all, the their teams.” said Mr. Ferrante. center in Midtown Manhattan,
number of rental units in down- Heartland Dental, which While landlords are eager with 12,000 square feet of re-
town Los Angeles has swelled provides business and prac- to bring in health-care provid- tail space on the ground floor
to 20,361 from 14,365 in 2012, tice-management services to ers as tenants, in some cases that is slated to open in 2019.
according to CoStar, while ask- dentists, supports 775 clinics they would have to renegotiate Stores could include pharma-
ing rents rose to $2.71 a month across 34 states. It stopped with existing tenants because cies, financial services and
per square foot from $2.14. opening new clinics in medical previous lease agreements food and beverage options fo-
Condo developers had been office buildings in 2011, and might have clauses banning cused on wellness.
reluctant to make a postcrash plans to open 36 this year in medical uses, said Melina Cor- “We’re looking at how to
RINGO CHIU/ZUMA PRESS
bet on the willingness of Los retail centers. So far, the or- dero, head of retail research at use retail to enhance the lives
Angelinos to buy boxes in the ganization has opened new CBRE, a Los Angeles-based of the people living in the
sky for the same price they dental offices in grocery-an- property-services firm. building and also how retail
could land a house with a yard chored shopping centers Doctors also are seen as could draw people to this
and swimming pool. rather than enclosed malls, as having better credit ratings community of aging seniors,”
Only recently, as developers the former draws more daily compared with smaller retail- said Tom DeRosa, chief execu-
saw downtown become more The 73-story Wilshire Grand Center is scheduled to open this year. foot traffic. ers. The flip side, however, is tive of Welltower.
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B10 | Wednesday, March 29, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS
Bond Buying Makes a Comeback With Focus
On India,
The undoing of the
‘Trump trade’ brings
investors back to the
Bullish Investor sentiment in the Treasury market has turned sharply in recent weeks. Wagers on
higher yields have declined, while funds focusing on government debt have received the Price of
on Bonds largest inflows in a year. These factors, together with increased foreign official buying, have
safety of Treasurys pushed yields down. Sugar Falls
BY MIN ZENG Futures-market bets on Treasury rates, weekly BY CAROLYN CUI
20 billion
Negative number means
Government bonds are back wagers on higher yields, Sugar futures edged lower
in fashion, as the “Trump 10 lower prices Tuesday, even as speculation
trade” on higher growth and on a change in India’s import
inflation begins to unravel. policy seemed to be gathering
The yield on the 10-year 0 momentum again.
Treasury note was at 2.381% Raw sugar for May delivery
midday Tuesday in New York, –10 fell 0.5% to 17.62 cents a pound
down from a two-year high of on the ICE Futures U.S. ex-
2.609% on March 13 and change.
–20
2.446% at the end of last year. Early this year, the sugar
Yields fall as bond prices rise. market had seen an influx of
The two-week-long Trea- –30 new participants attracted by
sury rally has corresponded rising sugar prices and a bull-
with a modest pullback in –40 ish outlook for commodities in
stocks and the unwinding of general. In particular, many
2016 ’17
market bets that the Trump believed that a fall in India’s
administration’s economic pol- production would eventually
icy would boost the pace of Flows into Treasury-focused Foreign Treasury holdings Yield on 10-year force the government to lower
U.S. growth. The Dow Jones mutual and exchange-traded in Federal Reserve custody Treasury note* import tariffs and allow more
Industrial Average fell 10 funds, monthly imports, boosting global sugar
times in 11 sessions through prices.
$6 billion $3.0 trillion 2.6%
Monday. Midday Tuesday, it But in recent weeks hopes
4 2.4
was up 0.5%. dimmed for Indian imports as
2 2.9 2.2
The bond buying reflects the India Sugar Mills Associa-
0 2.0
concerns about the timing of a 1.8
tion lowered its estimate for
–2 2.8
fiscal stimulus and tax-cut 1.6
consumption, leading some
plans after the political de- –4 traders to question whether
2.7 1.4
mise last week of a Republi- 2015 ’16 ’17 the government could fill the
can bill to replace Obamacare, 2016 ’17 2016 2017 gap by tapping into the na-
as well as the relative attrac- *Through Monday tion’s sugar reserves. Some
tiveness of bonds featuring Sources: TD Securities (bets); Lipper (flows); St. Louis Fed (holdings); Tradeweb (yield) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. traders began to bet on prices
higher yields. falling in recent days. Sugar
Foreign central-bank hold- Bets on higher bond yields was the highest since February rencies, including the Chinese est foreign owner of Treasury prices fell to their lowest lev-
ings of U.S. government debt have been falling. Unwinding 2016. A 10-year Treasury auc- yuan, which eases the burden bonds after Japan has some els in 10 months last week.
via the Federal Reserve’s cus- these so-called shorts requires tion earlier this month also of central banks in these coun- breathing room. China’s for- “India news and gossip con-
tody account reached a seven- investors and traders to return drew strong indirect bidding, tries to sell Treasurys to cur- eign-exchange reserves rose in cerning ‘will they won’t they’
month high last week, a note- to the bond market as buyers, with overall demand hitting the tail local currencies’ weakness February, snapping an eight- seems to be rising in decibels,”
worthy shift because official driving yields lower. Hedge highest since last June. and capital outflows. The dol- month decline. wrote Tom Kujawa, co-head of
accounts had in recent months funds and money managers Another big factor boosting lar was down about 2% this Effective capital controls softs department at Sucden Fi-
been large sellers of U.S. gov- accumulated a net $10 billion Treasury holdings by central year through Monday against and some stabilization in the nancial Ltd., in a note Tuesday.
ernment debt. worth of shorts for the week banks, analysts said, is the the yuan traded outside main- dollar suggest that China Some market participants
“Treasury bonds offer a that ended March 21, via 10- U.S. dollar’s break from its land China. “doesn’t have to sell as much now expect the Indian govern-
healthy yield pickup versus year Treasury futures, accord- multiyear bull run. On Mon- China’s central bank has Treasurys to defend its cur- ment to reduce import duty,
other global rates markets, ing to TD Securities. That was day, the ICE dollar index, a been at the forefront in selling rency,’’ said Alejandra Grindal, encourage imports directly, or
even still to this day,’’ said down from $41 billion at the measure of the dollar’s value Treasurys after a large devalu- senior international economist come up with some other
George Goncalves, head of end of February. against a number of its main ation of the Chinese yuan in at Ned Davis Research. mechanism by asking the mills
fixed-income strategy in the A $26 billion sale of two- rivals, hit the lowest since No- August 2015 raised market ex- China’s Treasury holdings to start in September and
Americas for Nomura Securi- year Treasury notes on Monday vember. At the start of this pectations of a weakening of all maturities fell by $168 build up domestic stocks
ties International. “Central attracted indirect bidding—or year, it had jumped to the yuan. billion between last July and quickly, he added.
banks are long-term investors bids made through intermedi- highest since 2002. With the yuan stabilizing this January, according to the Analysts expect sugar prices
and are all about seeking aries—of 53.6% of total bids. A A weakening dollar has over the past few months and latest capital-flow data from to become volatile again as the
Treasurys when they clearly proxy of foreign demand in- been pushing up the value of China’s measures to curb capi- the Treasury, which is released financial year ends on Friday and
offered value.” cluding from central banks, it many emerging-market cur- tal outflows, the second-larg- with a two-month lag. the May contract expires soon.
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
little too fast, too soon. tandem, there are now over those financing arms. lion for the streaming video
China sells more than 2 2.5 million two dozen auto-finance com- BMW has been a market service a little over 10 years
million cars a month, with panies, including arms of Toy- leader in financing, and its ago, it seemed an incredible
growth running up 15% last 2.0 ota and Volkswagen, that is- auto-financing penetration outlay. Google even described
year. Much of the rush to sued almost 900 billion yuan levels in China have risen YouTube’s financial contribu-
buy has been propped up by 1.5 of auto-loan-backed ABS in from 36% in 2013 to almost tion as “not material.”
a soon-to-expire government 2016, up 40% on the year. 50% in 2016, according to Ironically, that is more
1.0
purchasing incentive. But as In reality, the growth has Bernstein analysts. Yet bor- than the company says about
it wears off, auto financing is been too fast. While it is still rowing costs aren’t standing YouTube’s finances now. A
0.5
stepping in to prop up the hard to draw conclusions, de- still. A BMW-backed ABS in growing number of large ad-
market. Over a third of new- fault rates of individual trans- China was issued at 4.2% in vertisers are pulling ads from
0
car sales are now on credit, actions are edging up just as December, just months after the service, citing their prox-
a contrast to as recently as 2014 ’15 ’16 ’17 the number of transactions it issued an ABS at 3%. imity to objectionable con-
three years ago when stacks Source: CEIC New cars in northeast China’s and underlying loans surge. Car sales are showing signs tent.
of cash were the only source THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Liaoning province For investors in auto-loan- of coming off peak levels. De- Instinet analyst Anthony
of funding. Beijing, too, is in- backed securities, there is a mand is slowly shifting be- DiClemente had estimated
creasingly encouraging con- past year, though the exact penetration rates of 30% to short track record to go by. yond China’s first- and sec- YouTube revenue of about
sumers to borrow. size is hard to pin down. Con- 40%. That is expected to in- Consumers, for their part, ond-tier cities, to where $10.2 billion this year, which
At first blush, auto-financ- sumers are funding car pur- crease to well over 50%, ac- were prepaying debt at a fast income levels are lower—and he now expects to be $750
ing penetration numbers chases in a host of other cording to Deloitte. Official clip with rates stable. Default where the ability to pay off million less with the hit to
aren’t startling compared ways—including through statistics track auto credit rates remain low, although loans quickly is potentially advertising. Four others esti-
with the developed world. In banks, credit cards, and peer- back to 2001, when the market recently issued transactions lower. Going by Beijing’s re- mate $10 billion to $17 billion.
the U.S., auto-finance pene- to-peer lending platforms and was just over 43 billion yuan show more defaults. The cord, it could continue to push That would make it between
tration is close to 80% and other nonbank institutions. Of- (about $6.3 billion). The latest trouble is all this exuberance lending to support the car 9% and 11% of Google owner
in Japan around 50%. The ficial statistics are sparse and figures put it at more than 700 has come as borrowing costs market. But it could be a lot Alphabet’s total business—
pace of growth, however, is. understated when compared billion yuan at the end of 2015. are on the rise as the central tougher this time, as stresses way, way beyond the “not
China’s auto-financing mar- with unofficially collected A growing pool of auto bank squeezes financing in elsewhere in the financial sys- material” designation.
ket has grown rapidly over the numbers. Dealerships boast loans has led to a burgeoning short-term money markets. tem build. —Anjani Trivedi
SoftBank’s Fund Keeps Unicorns Happy Chinese Bidder for AC Milan Gets Assist
SoftBank is flexing its a $100 billion fund. Total A deal involving Silvio crushed by strengthened Chinese banks, fearing
muscles as the technology Rainbows, Unicorns global venture-capital invest- Berlusconi, a little-known controls on outbound Chi- blowback from regulators at
industry’s 800-pound gorilla. Valuations of the world's biggest ment was merely $127.4 bil- Chinese investor and a nese foreign direct invest- home, may be hesitant to get
The Japanese conglomer- private technology companies lion last year, according to money-losing Italian soccer ment announced in Novem- involved. That creates a
ate, which controls U.S. car- KPMG. That means SoftBank club normally raises a few ber to support the yuan. clear opening for deep-pock-
$ Billions
rier Sprint, has approached Uber 68 would likely have to put a sig- red flags. Stemming outflows into eted Western institutions
Didi Chuxing, China’s ride- Xiaomi 46 nificant chunk of the fund in But American hedge fund vanity acquisitions—sus- like Elliott, which can almost
hailing giant, to invest around Didi Chuxing 34 consensus ideas like Didi. The Elliott Management, which pected in many cases to be a name their terms on a deal.
$6 billion, according to The Airbnb 29 $6 billion investment would has swooped in to save the front for currency specula- If the Chinese owner goes
Wall Street Journal. The in- Palantir Technologies 20 have been enough to buy all Chinese bid for AC Milan, tion or money laundering— belly up, a risk given AC Mi-
vestment will likely come Lu.com 19 of Didi two years ago, around could end up on the winning was a major goal of the pol- lan’s dubious record of prof-
from the soon-to-be-launched Meituan-Dianping 18 the time SoftBank made its team. Elliott will provide the icy. itability under Mr. Berlus-
$100 billion SoftBank Vision WeWork 17 investment into the company. Chinese-backed investment Chinese year-to-date ac- coni, Elliott may end up
Fund, which counts Saudi Source: CB Insights This is good news for these vehicle with €253 million quisitions in Europe totaled owning the club. Assuming a
Arabia, Apple and Qualcomm THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. “unicorns,” which likely could (about $275 million): €180 just $5 billion as of mid- restructuring engenders a
among its investors. enjoy higher valuations and million toward the €740 mil- March. big discount, Elliott might be
Investing in Didi Chuxing China’s ride-hailing market. delay tapping the public mar- lion price tag, with the re- Nonetheless, Chinese hun- one of the very few investors
isn’t a tough decision for Soft- The three biggest internet gi- ket for a further while. But for mainder to service the club’s ger for foreign assets re- to make a profit on a vanity
Bank, which is already an in- ants in China—Alibaba, Ten- investors who are expecting existing debts. mains intense. If capital con- deal.
vestor in the private company, cent and Baidu—as well as SoftBank to pull off another The main reason behind trols remain in place, which With other Chinese over-
valued at $36 billion as of Au- Apple, are all investors. master stroke like its invest- the deal is tougher restric- seems likely as long as the seas deals in limbo, Elliott
gust. It is precisely access to But buying into Didi at this ment in Alibaba, which has tions on getting cash out of U.S. Federal Reserve is rais- and its rivals could score as
deals like this that attracted stage is also not a particularly turned $20 million into $80 China. Chinese acquisitions ing rates, more deals like the the lender of last resort for
the fund’s core Saudi backers. innovative move—highlight- billion, the deal could be dis- in Europe hit a record $54 AC Milan one seem all but desperate buyers.
Didi is the anointed winner in ing the difficulty of managing appointing. —Jacky Wong billion in 2016 but have been certain. —Nathaniel Taplin