Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Introduction
The influence of think-tanks and advocacy coalitions in determining Western
policy responses to crises in the developing world has perhaps been no better
demonstrated in recent years than in the evolution of US responses to the Joseph
Kony/Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA) insurgency in central Africa. Described by
a senior UN official as ‘the biggest neglected humanitarian emergency in the
world’ in 2004 (Guardian, October 22, 2004), the LRA rebellion, and its conse-
quences, had become a major concern for US policy makers less than five years
later at the prompting of a range of policy institutes – including the International
Crisis Group (ICG) – and US advocacy groups, many of which were founded as
recently as 2006–07.
*Email: j.fisher@bham.ac.uk
2013 in Kampala, London and Washington, DC. The analysis is also informed
by insights garnered during the author’s undertaking of a research fellowship in
the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office between 2013 and 2014.
groups such as the ICG, whose reputation is founded upon the richness of reports
produced on crises. More broadly it suggests an even greater range of ‘agencies’
to take into account when reflecting on those who influence Western foreign
policy decisions.
The remainder of this article will seek to make an empirical contribution to
these discussions by exploring the role played by the Ugandan regime in the
evolution of US approaches to the LRA crisis. In assessing the range of factors
leading to Obama’s dispatching of military advisors in 2011, it will ultimately
be argued that the Ugandan regime played an important and decisive role in ren-
dering such a policy both necessary and feasible in the minds of Washington
policy makers. It is first necessary, however, to outline the evolution of the
conflict itself – and of national and international responses to it.
Following the collapse of the talks in 2008 most Western donors have shown
decreasing levels of interest in helping end the LRA rebellion directly, focusing
instead on funding programmes intended to aid recovery in northern Uganda.
The USA has been a major financier of many of these initiatives, although,
unlike its counterparts, it has not shifted its focus away from the LRA. Indeed,
since 2008 the Bush and Obama administrations have come to adopt a firm
position on the crisis – that it can only end through the military defeat of the
rebel group and, particularly, through the killing or neutralisation of Kony. To
this end, Washington has frequently sought to persuade the DRC government to
allow the UPDF to operate against the LRA in its territory, even after Kinshasa
expelled the Ugandan army in 2011.38 Obama officials were also heavily sup-
portive of what eventually became the 2010 LRA Disarmament and Northern
Uganda Recovery Act, legislation which commits the USA to assist in the
‘apprehen[sion] or remov[al of] Joseph Kony … from the battlefield’.39
Washington’s support for this approach has not abated in more recent years
(Washington Post, March 24, 2014; Daily Monitor, April 3, 2014).
Solving the LRA crisis by removing Kony has been a major solution promoted
by Invisible Children, Enough and, to a lesser extent, Resolve since 2008 also.40
The ICG and Human Rights Watch have also either pushed for a similar approach
(see above) or commended policy decisions leading in that direction.41 Senior
staff at all three organisations played a pivotal role in persuading a range of
legislators to introduce a bill in 2009 which eventually became the 2010 Act.42
A number of these individuals now work within the administration itself on the
implementation of the Obama LRA policy, while their former colleagues continue
to place a heavy emphasis on the centrality of the military effort to end the crisis,
as the Kony2012 viral campaign so effectively demonstrated.43 Indeed, a consis-
tent concern expressed by all three organisations during 2013 has been that US
policy makers might lose enthusiasm for the military option as Kony continues
to remain at large.44
Kony’ in 2008 and for a ‘regional strategy [on the LRA] beyond killing Kony’ in
2010, their engagement with media houses and US officials on the issue has
nonetheless focused largely on discussing Kony’s whereabouts and the logistics
of the US-backed Ugandan regional operation against the group (AFP, October
13, 2010).48 In the case of Invisible Children, this organisation has long been
the least vocal in its condemnation of the UPDF role in the northern Ugandan cri-
sis. Indeed, one of its early films – Invisible Children: Rough Cut – made little
mention of the Ugandan government or its encampment policies in Acholi.49
Since around 2009, however, its advocacy efforts have focused increasingly on
promoting US intervention in central Africa in pursuit of Kony where previously
the emphasis was on addressing the humanitarian consequences of the conflict.
The high-profile Kony2012 campaign is undoubtedly the most influential exam-
ple of this trend.50
It would be deeply unfair and misleading, of course, to suggest that recent
US policy towards the LRA crisis, or lobbying by any of the groups discussed
above, has neglected or ignored the humanitarian dimension of the conflict. The
2010 Act, for example, authorises a range of funds to be made available for
‘reconstruction, reconciliation and transitional justice’, while Resolve in
particular remains heavily engaged in dialogue and work among and on behalf
of those in northern Uganda.51 It should be noted, however, that the Obama
White House’s first significant response to the passage of the 2010 Act was
a military one: the dispatching of the 100 advisers.52
In terms of broad focus, therefore, the three main categories of actors dis-
cussed above – US policy makers, Ugandan policy makers and the US think-
tank and advocacy community – have come to share a similar perspective on
the LRA crisis since 2009–10. This perspective, which emphasises the importance
of ending the ICG threat on the battlefield and killing or capturing its leadership,
particularly Kony, is also that held by the Ugandan regime fairly consistently
since the launch of the LRA rebellion in 1987. It would be unrealistic to suggest
that this coming together of interests had been wholly engineered by Kampala.
The remainder of this article will nevertheless delineate a range of strategies
consciously employed by the Ugandan regime in its relations with US policy
makers and policy institutes and advocacy groups with the intention of bringing
about this state of affairs. This draws upon interviews with Ugandan officials
themselves in some cases but also relies on the perspectives and experiences of
those US officials and activists who have engaged with Kampala, and with the
LRA issue, on a daily basis since the early 2000s.
interpreted as the result of framing by the Museveni regime (see below), the
reality of the talks’ breakdown rendered peace negotiations unviable as an
option for ending the crisis in the minds of these international actors, making
the alternative – military action – more credible.
Likewise, following the LRA’s flight from Uganda in 2006, the crisis was no
longer a Uganda-specific one and was now a concern of both the southern
Sudanese and Congolese administrations. This, according to several current
and former advocacy group officials, ‘severed the LRA from the political econ-
omy of northern Uganda … making a military solution more possible’.54 This,
of course, overlooks the continued role of the UPDF in the political economies of
southern Sudan and Congo but does acknowledge the changing composition of
the LRA from a wholly Acholi-constituted force.55 Where previously policy mak-
ing and lobbying on the LRA crisis had represented a complex mix of messages
on neutralising the rebel group but also protecting and defending Ugandan civil-
ians, therefore, from 2006 these two agendas separated from one another.
It remains an open question, however, why the White House decided, in the
aftermath of Juba, to focus so heavily on emphasising the military option and
on strengthening and supporting the UPDF – whose territory was no longer
stalked by the LRA – in this regard. Of the many Western donors who had
invested time, energy and resources in the Juba talks, the USA was the only one
to adopt this approach upon their collapse. This question is a particularly salient
one given the assessment of a range of commentators that the US focus in this
regard has actually been deleterious to the ending of the LRA conflict – as well
as a factor in the breakdown of the Juba talks themselves.56 Clearly Obama
administration officials and US legislators have been strongly influenced by
Enough, Resolve, Invisible Children, the ICG and others since 2009 in this
regard, to varying degrees. Individuals from these organisations in particular
played a leading role in influencing the development and language of the 2010
Act, and their contemporary analyses remain a key resource for policy makers
overseeing the 100 advisors’ operations against the rebel group.57
It is clear, however, that several of these groups have aligned themselves
with Kampala’s own prior agenda in doing so. In recent years, for example,
Enough has placed a decreasing amount of emphasis on building or maintaining
networks on the ground in northern Uganda and the region and instead on pro-
moting and defending the counter-LRA mission to policy makers in Washington
as a clear strategic priority.58 Moreover, in a May 2010 advocacy trip to Wash-
ington, DC, ICG representatives used discussions with State Department staff as
an opportunity to persuade them to lobby Kinshasa on the importance of allow-
ing the UPDF freer rein to operate in their territory in pursuit of the LRA.59 Unfet-
tered military access to eastern Congo has been a longstanding security
objective of the Museveni regime, whose troops have invaded the country twice
between 1996 and 1998.
In reflecting on the evolution of their analyses and advocacy activities on the
LRA issue, many individuals from these groups recognise that the policies they
have promoted in recent years are perceived as ‘feeding into the Ugandan mili-
tary approach’.60 Many of these individuals nevertheless insist that earlier advo-
cacy efforts on the crisis had presented highly critical views of the UPDF’s role
and its ‘failure to protect civilians in IDP camps’ but that US policy makers were
696 J. Fisher
reluctant to hear such perspectives. When these efforts were adjusted to better
reflect Kampala’s views (de facto), the same officials are perceived to have been
far more amenable.61
Current and former advocacy staff interviewed for this study cite a range of
examples of this phenomenon occurring in the later 2000s, including in their
lobbying efforts on congressional legislation (where they faced considerable
opposition to suggestions that critiques of UPDF activities in the north be incorpo-
rated alongside those of the LRA by many policy makers) and on broadening the
scope of US approaches to the north to engage with local political grievances.
(Most policy makers reportedly showed limited enthusiasm for this argument
but maintained a clear dialogue with advocacy personnel on questions of secu-
rity and military assistance.)62
This pragmatic set of recalibrations by many of these groups speaks, to some
extent, to their ultimate purpose as organisations. The ICG, Enough and other
such groups state explicitly on their websites that their mission is to ‘influence
political leaders to adopt our proposals’ and most bookend their reports with
‘recommendations’ and ‘strategic advice’ as précis for busy policy makers. A
line of analysis and advocacy that gains little purchase with decision makers
over an extended period of time is not a profitable or effective one. Indeed,
Enough has viewed its changing LRA advocacy efforts as a strategic response to
what it perceives as a failed earlier attempt at influencing US policy on Darfur –
where its activities ‘didn’t move the [policy] needle one bit’.63
This strategic shift of focus in response to policy makers’ intransigence also
raises the issue of agency and structure within the policy-making process high-
lighted above. For, while Enough and others doubtless influenced the evolving
content of specific US policy (the 2010 Act and dispatching of military advisers,
for example) it did so within a context where policy makers’ minds were open
to such pro-Kampala, military options and closed to others more critical of the
Ugandan role. To interpret US policy makers as unconstrained by broader struc-
tures within this dynamic, however, would be to overlook the process by which
their own perspectives on the LRA crisis had come to be formed. The final part
of this article will explore the role of the Ugandan regime in moulding these
perspectives.
Conclusion
This article has used evolving US policy on the northern Uganda conflict as a
lens through which to explore and unpack the nature of ‘influence’ in Washing-
ton’s foreign policy-making arenas. In focusing on the under-explored role of
African governments within this dynamic, it has been argued that the Ugandan
regime of Yoweri Museveni has played a significant and critical role in framing
the LRA issue in a way that has persuaded both Washington officials and many
of the analysts, advocates and activists who hope to influence them to ultimately
adopt its perspective on the ‘problem’, and on the best ‘solution’ to the crisis.
The ICG itself, for example, has increasingly adopted a Kony-centric perspective
on the conflict in recent years and, along with its advocacy-focused creation –
Enough – has played an important role in lobbying US officials to bolster
Kampala’s military approach to the issue.
While it is not claimed that this has been a systematic and singular ‘policy’ of
Kampala since the 1990s, the strategies and actions taken by the regime, which
have contributed to this dispensation, have nevertheless been adopted consciously
by Ugandan officials to dissuade Western actors from alternative interpretations
of the conflict and how to respond to it. The Ugandan case raises important ques-
tions about the nature of African agency in Western policy-making processes that
affect the continent, and suggests an important area for future study for those
interested in the external influences on foreign policy making in the West.
Acknowledgements
An earlier version of this article was presented at a workshop at Aberystwyth University in October 2013 and
I am grateful to the organisers of and participants in this event, as well as to two anonymous reviewers, for
their helpful and constructive feedback. The advice and support of the Special Issue editor – Berit Bliesemann
de Guevara – has also been greatly appreciated and I thank her also. Finally, I would like to acknowledge
financial assistance received from the Economic and Social Research Council (Award Numbers
Third World Quarterly 701
PTA-031-2007-ES/F024509/1 and PTA-026-27-2861), University of Oxford (St Antony’s College and Chester
and Mellon Fund) and University of Birmingham (International Development Department and North America
Fund), which supported several of the fieldwork trips undertaken in researching this article.
Notes on Contributor
Jonathan Fisher is Lecturer in the International Development Department, Uni-
versity of Birmingham. His research focuses on Africa’s place and agency in the
international system and the political economy of international development
interventions. He has a particular interest in security in Eastern Africa and has
published in a range of journals, including African Affairs, Conflict, Security
and Development and Third World Quarterly.
Notes
1. White House, Letter from the President; and ICG, LRA, ii.
2. Enough Project, “New Law Gives President Obama Mandate to Help End LRA’s Violence and Child
Abductions in Central Africa,” Press Release, May 25, 2010.
3. Allison, Essence of Decision; George, “The ‘Operational Code’”; Axelrod, Structure of Decision; Jervis,
Perception and Misperception; and Vertzberger, The World in Their Minds.
4. Kingdon, Agendas.
5. Paris, “Ordering the World.”
6. Haas, “Introduction”; Lemay-Hébert and Mathieu, “The OECD’s Discourse on Fragile States.”
7. See also Krasner, “Government and Academia.”
8. Duffield, “Risk Management.”
9. Fisher, “When it Pays to be a ‘Fragile State’.”
10. Atkinson, The Roots of Ethnicity, 288–289, 306–307.
11. Branch, “Neither Peace nor Justice,” 4–8.
12. Prunier, “Rebel Movements,” 359; and van Acker, “Uganda and the Lord’s Resistance Army,” 348–355.
13. Doom and Vlassenroot, “Kony’s Message,” 25–28; and Branch, “Neither Peace nor Justice,” 8–9.
14. Finnstrom, Living with Bad Surroundings.
15. However, see particularly Branch, “Neither Peace nor Justice,” 4–8.
16. See particularly Allen and Vlassenroot, The Lord’s Resistance Army; Dolan, Social Torture; Doom and
Vlassenroot, “Kony’s Message”; Finnstrom, Living with Bad Surroundings; Atkinson, The Roots of Eth-
nicity; and Branch, Displacing Human Rights.
17. Atkinson, The Roots of Ethnicity, 284.
18. Dolan, Social Torture, 43–97; and Atkinson, The Roots of Ethnicity.
19. Tripp, Museveni’s Uganda, 159–163.
20. Doom and Vlassenroot, “Kony’s Message,” 25–26.
21. Schomerus, “‘They forget what they came for’”; and Titeca, “The Lord’s Resistance Army.”
22. Branch, “Neither Peace nor Justice,” 2–4; Branch, “Uganda’s Civil War,” 180–190; and Finnstrom, Liv-
ing with Bad Surroundings, 155. The author has even heard a senior Ugandan diplomat suggest in a pri-
vate – but not closed/off-the-record – meeting that the northern conflict was purposefully prolonged
(May 2013).
23. Atkinson, The Roots of Ethnicity, 283.
24. Dolan, Social Torture, 55–56; and Tripp, Museveni’s Uganda, 162–163.
25. Dolan, Social Torture, 97.
26. Tripp, Museveni’s Uganda, 165.
27. Atkinson, From Uganda to Congo, 13; and Omach, “Democratization and Conflict Resolution,” 19.
28. Schomerus, with Ogwaro, “Searching for Solutions,” 11.
29. Tripp, Museveni’s Uganda, 166–167; and Schomerus, “Even Eating You can Bite Your Tongue.”
30. Author interviews with former US and UK policy makers based in Uganda during the 1990s, London
and Washington, DC, August–October and November–December 2009, respectively.
31. Author interviews with former senior UK official, London, October 14, 2009 and with former senior US
official, Washington, DC, November 10, 2009.
32. Author interviews with former US and UK policy makers.
33. Author interview with former senior UK official, London, May 5, 2009.
34. Author interviews with former senior US officials, Washington DC, November 10, 2009 and May 8,
2012.
35. Author interviews with US-based Uganda analyst, December 6, 2013 and UK-based Uganda analyst,
January 17, 2014.
702 J. Fisher
36. Author interviews with a range of US and UK-based Uganda analysts, including former Enough and ICG
staff, Washington, DC, October–November 2009, December 2014; London, May–June 2009, January
2014.
37. Author interviews with former senior US official, Washington, DC, October 28, 2009 and US-based
Uganda analyst, November 4, 2009.
38. Author interview with UK-based Uganda analyst, January 17, 2014.
39. White House, Letter from the President; and author interviews with US-based Uganda analysts, Washing-
ton, DC, December 3, 6 and 9, 2014 and with senior US official, Washington, DC, May 9, 2012.
40. See Atkinson, The Roots of Ethnicity, 327, on Resolve’s evolution in this regard.
41. Atkinson et al., “Do No Harm,” 372–375.
42. Ibid
43. Schomerus et al., “KONY 2012.
44. Agger, Counter- LRA Mission, 1.
45. Author interview with Michael Poffenberger, Washington, DC, November 2009.
46. Author interviews with US-based Uganda analysts, Washington, DC, November 4, 2009 and August 17,
2012.
47. Leaked embassy cable from US Embassy Kampala, dated January 2009. https://wikileaks.org/cable/2009/
01/09KAMPALA94.html.
48. ICG, LRA; and ICG, The Lord’s Resistance Army.
49. Invisible Children, Invisible Children: Rough Cut, documentary film directed by Bobby Bailey, Jason
Russell and Lauren Poole, released August 2006.
50. Invisible Children, KONY 2012, documentary film directed by Jason Russell, released March 2012.
51. White House, Letter from the President; and author interviews with US-based Uganda analysts, Washing-
ton, DC, December 3 and 9, 2013.
52. Atkinson et al., “Do No Harm,” 371–375.
53. Interview with US official, Washington, DC, December 3, 2013.
54. Ibid; and author interview with US official, Washington DC, December 6, 2013.
55. Titeca, “The Lord’s Resistance Army.”
56. Atkinson et al., “Do No Harm”; and Schomerus, “‘They Forget what they Came For’,” 143–146.
57. Author interview with US official, Washington, DC, December 3, 2013.
58. Author interviews with former US-based Uganda analysts and US officials, Washington, DC, December
3 and 9, 2013.
59. Author interview with UK-based Uganda analyst, London, January 17, 2014.
60. Author interview with former US-based Uganda analyst, Washington, DC, December 3, 2013.
61. Author interviews with US-based Uganda analysts, Washington, DC, November 4, 2009, August 17,
2012 and December 2013.
62. Ibid. See also Fisher, “Structure, Agency and Africa,” 548–551.
63. Author interview with former US-based Uganda analyst, Washington, DC, December 6, 2013.
64. See, for example, Fisher, “‘Some more Reliable than Others’,” 19–26.
65. Fisher, “When it Pays to be a ‘Fragile State’”; and Gready, “You’re either With Us.”
66. Fisher, “When it Pays to be a ‘Fragile State’”; and Tripp, Museveni’s Uganda, 165.
67. Dolan, “Understanding War,” 45–46.
68. Fisher, “When it Pays to be a ‘Fragile State’.”
69. Author interview with former US-based Uganda analyst, Washington, DC, December 6, 2013.
70. Author interview with senior Ugandan military official, Kampala, April 24, 2013.
71. Author interviews with current and former US officials, Kampala, June 2009 and Washington, DC,
October–November 2009 and May 2012.
72. Mullin, Decline and Fall, 81–83.
73. Author interview with former senior Ugandan military official, Kampala, April 25, 2013.
74. Fisher, “When it Pays.”
75. Author interview with senior Ugandan official, by telephone, September 2012.
76. Author interviews with five former US officials based in Kampala, Washington, DC, October–November
2009.
77. Author interview with former US-based Uganda analyst, Washington, DC, December 6, 2013.
78. Author interviews with three former US officials based in Kampala, Washington, DC, October–Novem-
ber 2009.
79. Rosenblum, “Irrational Exuberance,” 196–200.
80. Leaked embassy cable from US Embassy Kampala to Washington, October 2007, https://wikileaks.org/
cable/2007/10/07KAMPALA1595.html.
81. Author interviews with three former Bush administration officials, Washington, DC, November 5, 18 and
19, 2009.
82. Author interview with Jendayi Frazer, Washington, DC, May 8, 2012.
83. Author interviews with Ugandan diplomats, Kampala, May 26, 2009 and Washington DC, November 6,
2009.
Third World Quarterly 703
84. Schomerus, “Even Eating You can Bite Your Tongue”; and Schomerus with Ogwaro, “Searching for
Solutions.”
85. Leaked embassy cables from US Embassy Kampala, dated July 2007, https://wikileaks.org/cable/2007/
07/07KAMPALA1236.html; September 2007, https://wikileaks.org/cable/2007/09/07KAMPALA1419.
html; and https://wikileaks.org/cable/2007/09/07KAMPALA1449.html.
86. Author interviews with former senior UK official, London, October 14, 2009 and former senior US offi-
cial, Washington, DC, November 10, 2009.
87. Author interview with former senior UN official, by telephone, June 9, 2010.
88. Atkinson, From Uganda to Congo; and Schomerus et al., “Obama takes on the LRA,” Foreign Affairs,
November 15, 2011.
89. Atkinson, From Uganda to Congo.
90. Fisher, “Structure, Agency and Africa,” 549.
91. Comments made by expert participant in a roundtable held under Chatham House Rule on “Human
Rights in Africa”, Foreign and Commonwealth Office, London, January 22, 2014.
92. Branch, “Uganda’s Civil War,” 187–188.
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