RISK ANALYSIS TABLE for {name of the base}

!!!! Please specify the location: THE RISK ANALYSIS IS RELATED TO A SPECIFIC AREA !!!!
Last Update:

Likelihood Impact Reduction of Threats Reduction of Vulnerabilities

Ranking Threats (1) Vulnerabilities (2) Contextual factors Risks (3) Level of residual Risk
from 1 to 5 from 1 to 5 (Acceptance Strategy) (Protection Strategy)

CONFIDENTIAL
 RISK ANALYSIS TABLE for BASE

Last Update:

Likelihood Impact Reduction of Threats Reduction of Vulnerabilities

Ranking Threats (1) Vulnerabilities (2)
Fleet:
- Large fleet (vehicle and motorbikes)
- Bad state : 50% of cars are in bad
state
- 30% of motorbike are in bad state
- high number of daily movements
with a lack of coordination
RH
- Lack of leadership of direct line
managers of drivers
- No regular team meetings and
refreshing trainings
Transport accidents - no respect of drivers' and
9 - Medium (Indirect threat) passengers' regulations
Communication
- No follow up of movements of
vehicles and motorbikes
- No strategy of communication
equipment (movements)
- no global covering (phone and
radio)
Contextual factors Risks (3) Level of residual Risk
from 1 to 5 from 1 to 5 (Acceptance Strategy) (Protection Strategy)
State of roads • System of regular control (respect of rules and
enhance speed on highways with regulation) to be implemented
unappropriate equipment, uneven on • Review and update of SOP
secondary roads, animals • Implement communication strategy, rules and system
Driving (in general) between vehicles and bases
- Bad state of national fleet, especially • Plan of renewing vehicles
public transports. • Improve the planning of movement (reduce number of
- Poor respect of raods regulation movement and reduce speed)
- wet season and dark hours are more • Maximal driving distances, obligation for drivers to
risky take a break
• Plan coaching of direct line managers and trainings
session for drivers and bikers
To be subjected to a transport •Plan regular team meetings/workshop
accident
3 3 •Officialize adherence to rules by drivers and passengers 6 - Low
(Review of vehicle policy, sensitization, trainings and
signing by every one)
• implement a strict adherence to use of safety clothing
and equipments
• plan regular Safety refreshing trainings (drivers and
programs)

EID / RCIED / Anti tank mines
8 - Medium
(Indirect threat)
Report major incidents:
. Suspected IED discovered on
XXX main road on 11th
November
. Few incident have been occurred
. Movement to our intervention on the road between XX
area . One RCED attack against
. Mistaken identity demining organization on 2010
. One RCED on the road from
XXX
. 2 RCED attack in XXX in 2009.
on 2010 one more on the road
from XXX
To be subjected to an
EID/RCIED/Anti tak mine
explosion
. Limitation of movement
. Collection of information from locals before using
the road (constant re-assessment of the situation)
. Not to be the 1st car to take the road
. Use of alternative roads
. Use of low profile cars
. Movement with public transportation
. Community support & contact with AOG
2 4 5 - Low

. Wrong time in wrong place . The most recent suicide attacks . Avoid going to Governmental offices before 9am.
related to: was in xx, the target was XXX Official meetings after 9:30am
. convoys convoy district in XX area . UN guest houses, GH and offices located close to
. Governmental, UN, embassies . Attack on XXX in district XXX GOA and UN buildings and embassies are no go
buildings in July. areas.
Suicide attack . In 2009: complex attacks to To be subjected to a suicide . Restricted list of recreative locations.
8 - Medium XXX 2 4 . Distance from military convoys 4 - Low
(Indirect threat) attack
. Most of suicide attacks are . Avoid traffic congestions.
occurring in the morning before . Low profile policy
9AM. Refer to the current SOPs

. Presence of 8 International staff . Strong presence of Afghan low profile policy . Confidentiality & unpredictability of movement,
in KBL security personnel in the city . No use of HF and VHF
. Movements during and out of . No kidnapping of NGO . Group movement & presence of a guard in
working hours international staff reported in addition of a driver for any movement
To have an international staff
Kidnapping 2009/2010 . Walking restriction.
8 - Medium victim of a kidnapping or an 2 4 4 - Low
(Crime related) . 2008: NGO staff kidnapped in . Mapping: no go areas clearly identified.
hostage taking
district 5 CH Qambar + . Low profile policy
kidnapping AFRAN in Karte Refer to the current SOPs
Parwan.

. Wrong time, wrong place during . In 2010, violent demonstration in . Low profile policy . Good information collection and adapted
movements. district X and 5 between XX and . To respect the culture of the people in terms movement plan
. Population perception of NGO XX. of religion and living. . Communication with teams during movement:
. Demonstration of election alert system
candidate followers due to result . Only HoM in contact with media
Crowd/mob/riot of election. To be subjected to a crowd / . No sign and logo to the office and GH
6 - Low 2 3 3 - Very low
(Indirect threat) . 2010: media reports that NGOs mob/riot Refer to the current SOPs
are involved in convertion to
chrystianity.
. NGO perception fluctuant

. Perception of expatriates & . Criminality is assessed as being . low profile policy . 2 guards per shift,
Armed Robbery international organizations low for the time being . good relations with neighbours in case of . Existing & implemented cash policy
2 - Very low . Cash movement To be victim of a robbery 2 1 evacuation from ACF premises Refer to the current SOPs and national security 2 - Very low
(Crime related)
plan

CONFIDENTIAL