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Origin and history of the Dahomey Gap separating West and Central African
rain forests: Insights from the phylogeography of the legume tree
Distemonanthus benthamianus

Article  in  Journal of Biogeography · January 2016


DOI: 10.1111/jbi.12688

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1   Original  article  

2  

3   Origin and history of the Dahomey Gap separating West and Central

4   African rain forests: insights from the phylogeography of the legume tree

5   Distemonanthus benthamianus.

6  

7   Boris B. DEMENOU1*, Rosalía PIÑEIRO2 & Olivier J. HARDY1

8   1 Evolution Biologique et Ecologie, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Faculté des Sciences, CP160/12, Av.

9   F. D. Roosevelt 50, BE-1050 Brussels, Belgium,


2 Evolutionary Genomics, Centre for Geogenetics -

10   Natural History Museum of Denmark, Øster Voldgade 5-7, 1350, Copenhagen K, Denmark

11  

12   *  Correspondence  : Boris Demenou, Evolution Biologique et Ecologie, Université

13   Libre de Bruxelles, Faculté des Sciences, CP160/12, Av. F. D. Roosevelt 50, BE-1050

14   Bruxelles, Belgique;

15   E-mail : bdemenou@ulb.ac.be

16    

17   SRH:  African  forest  tree  phylogeography  in  Dahomey  Gap  

18  

19   Word count: 7000

20   Number of journal page: 12

21  

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22   ABSTRACT

23   Aim: Understand the origin of the forest flora currently found in the Dahomey Gap

24   (DG), a 200 km wide forest-savanna mosaic separating the West African and Central

25   African rain forest blocks. More specifically, using a widespread rain forest tree

26   species, Distemonanthus benthamianus (Fabaceae), we will test the hypothesis that

27   the DG populations are remnants of a population dating back from the African

28   Humid Period of the Holocene, when West African and Central African rain forests

29   were supposedly connected.

30   Location: Tropical forests of Upper Guinea (West Africa) and Lower Guinea

31   (Atlantic Central Africa) and the forest-savanna mosaic of the DG extending from

32   eastern Ghana to Benin.

33   Methods: 429 D. benthamianus samples from West to Central Africa were

34   genotyped with 11 nuclear microsatellite markers. After detecting geographically

35   coherent gene pools, their genetic diversity and differentiation were estimated and

36   their demographic histories were inferred using coalescent simulations and

37   Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) tests.

38   Results: Five parapatric gene pools were identified: three in Lower Guinea, one in

39   Upper Guinea and one in the DG. ABC tests indicate that the DG gene pool probably

40   originates from the admixture of adjacent Upper and Lower Guinean gene pools, with

41   a higher contribution from Upper Guinea, at a timeframe consistent with the early

42   Holocene (around 13-7 ka). The lower genetic diversity documented in the DG could

43   result from a founder effect and/or from a demographic decline consistent with the

44   Holocene climatic pejoration documented around 3 ka.

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45   Main conclusions: This phylogeographical study inferring the history of the DG

46   populations of D. benthamianus is globally consistent with palaeovegetation data

47   that suggest that the forest flora of the DG might be essentially relicts of the early

48   Holocene period when the Guineo-Congolian forest reached its maximum

49   geographical distribution.

50  

51   Kew words: African Humid Period, Dahomey Gap, demographic tests, Holocene,

52   nuclear microsatellites, phylogeography, Quaternary climate changes, rain forest

53  

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54   Introduction

55   The African Guineo-Congolian phytochoria constitutes the second largest block of

56   rain forest on earth. White (1979) defined it as a phytogeographic centre of species

57   endemism (comprising ca. 8,000 plant species of which ca. 80% are endemic), and

58   subdivided it into three sub-centres (Fig. 1): Upper Guinea (hereafter UG), Lower

59   Guinea (hereafter LG), and Congolia. UG corresponds to the West African rain forest

60   extending from Sierra Leone to Ghana. LG corresponds to the western part of the

61   Central African rain forest, from southern Nigeria to the western part of the Republic

62   of Congo and of the Democratic Republic of Congo.

63   UG and LG are separated by the so-called Dahomey Gap (hereafter DG), a ca. 200 km

64   wide corridor dominated by open vegetation in Benin, Togo and eastern Ghana. The

65   DG is characterized by a decline in annual precipitation from more than 2000 mm in

66   the adjacent rain forest areas to about 1000-1200 mm in the DG. The DG vegetation

67   is constituted mainly of savanna, but also of gallery forests and fragments of swamp

68   forest and dense semi-deciduous forest. We hypothesize that these forest fragments

69   would be legacies of past climatic conditions that maintained a rain forest over the

70   DG in the early Holocene.

71   The important climatic oscillations of the Pleistocene, especially from 1.05 Ma, have

72   largely influenced the history of the Africa rain forest (Dupont et al., 2001; Miller &

73   Gossling, 2014). Palynological records and oxygen isotope stratigraphy show that

74   equatorial Africa became dryer and cooler during glacial periods, exhibiting a sharp

75   reduction in rain forest species in favour of grass species characteristic of open

76   vegetation (Maley, 1996; Dupont et al., 2000; Miller & Gossling, 2014). Hence,

77   during the glacial periods, savannas expanded and rain forests withdrew and became

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78   fragmented, so that the DG was dominated by open vegetation. During the

79   interglacial periods the rain forest extended up, possibly to a distribution slightly

80   greater than today, as was the case during the Holocene Humid Period, c. 9,000-

81   5,500 yr BP, where the Guineo-Congolian rain forest presumably formed a single

82   block because the DG became forested (Salzmann & Hoelzmann, 2005).

83   Nevertheless, in West Africa the Holocene Humid Period might have been more

84   humid than previous interglacial periods (Miller & Gossling 2014), so that it is not

85   guaranteed that the DG became forested during previous interglacials. During the

86   late Holocene, a climatic pejoration characterized by less rainfall and more

87   seasonality affected most of the African rain forest area c. 4-2.5 ka (Marchant &

88   Hooghiemstra, 2004). The opening of the DG, well documented since 4.5-3.4 ka

89   (Salzmann & Hoelzmann, 2005), correlates with this dry period. In addition, human

90   activities may have accelerated the deforestation process (Assi-Kaudjhis et al., 2010).

91   The origin of the forest-dwelling flora of the DG is uncertain as it may correspond to

92   recent migrations from the main forest blocks or to remnants of the last period where

93   the DG was forested. In the latter case, if we look further in time, floristic elements

94   may originate from one of the main forest blocks that expanded to cover the DG or

95   from forest remnants during one of the previous periods where the DG was opened.

96   New insights into these questions could be provided by phylogeographical and

97   population genetics studies, which can detect past events of population

98   fragmentation, colonization, or demographic changes and date them using coalescent

99   simulations (Piñeiro et al., in prep.). A few recent genetic studies performed on

100   tropical rain forest tree species (e.g. Budde et al., 2013; Daïnou et al., 2014; Duminil

101   et al., 2013) revealed phylogeographical breaks separating differentiated gene pools

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102   in most species, suggesting past forest fragmentation (reviewed in Hardy et al., 2013).

103   Piñeiro et al. (in prep.) and Duminil et al. (2015) furthermore reported signatures of

104   past demographic changes occurring during the late Pleistocene. These studies

105   focussed on forests from LG and sometimes UG but none inferred the origin of forest

106   species in the DG.

107   To fill this gap, this paper focuses on a tree species, Distemonanthus benthamianus,

108   which is characteristic of UG and LG rain forests but also occurs in the DG, in isolated

109   forest fragments and gallery forests. Using nuclear microsatellite markers, Debout et

110   al. (2011) already documented three gene pools in LG. Here, using additional samples

111   from UG and the DG and new microsatellite loci, we address the following questions:

112   (i) Do UG and DG samples form additional gene pools? (ii) How do gene pools

113   compare in terms of genetic diversity and differentiation? (iii) Are there distinct

114   signatures of past demographic changes (decline, expansion or bottleneck) in each

115   gene pool and, if so, when did they take place? (iv) Does the DG population originate

116   from UG and/or LG and when did it separate from its ancestral population(s)? Under

117   the hypothesis that the forest fragments currently found in the DG originate from the

118   forest extension that occurred during the Humid Holocene period 9-4,5 ka, and are

119   relics of the recent Holocene climate pejoration (starting c. 4 ka), we can expect that

120   current DG populations of D. benthamianus (i) may come exclusively from UG or

121   from LG, or may result from a population admixture of UG and LG populations after

122   their the expansion during the Humid Holocene period, and (ii) may have suffered

123   from a decline in population size with a loss of diversity due to genetic drift.

124  

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125   MATERIAL AND METHODS

126   Study taxon and sampling

127   Distemonanthus benthamianus Baillon (Caesalpinioideae) is a tropical tree widely

128   and sparsely distributed throughout the rain forests of LG and UG. It is also found in

129   the DG, mainly in the dense semi-deciduous forest fragments but also in mosaics of

130   fields and plantations, when it is spared during deforestation. It is a big tree up to 40

131   m height and a trunk diameter up to 1.2 m. Being a light-demanding species, its

132   natural regeneration in mature forest is very limited with few saplings observed in

133   closed-canopy forests (J-L Doucet, pers. comm.), while it regenerates well in canopy

134   openings. Trees grow on average between 3 and 4 mm in diameter annually. Flowers

135   are hermaphroditic but self-fertilization is rare and c. 60% of the pollen disperse

136   >1000 meters in closed canopy forest (B. Delaide & O.J. Hardy, unpublished). The

137   pollinators are not documented but the size and structure of flowers suggest that the

138   African bee (Apis mellifera scutellata) could be an important pollinator, known to be

139   able to carry pollen over a few kilometers in open landscapes (Dick, 2001). Fruiting

140   begins at a diameter at breast height of 20 cm, but only trees with a diameter >40 cm

141   fruit regularly. The fruit is a flat indehiscent pod measuring 10 cm by 3.5 cm which is

142   wind-dispersed up to 50-100 m, though dispersal over at least 500 m can sometimes

143   occur (B. Delaide & O.J. Hardy, unpublished). Mature pods are predated by parrots

144   (Psittacus erithacus; White & Abernethy, 1996).

145   We used samples (leaves or bits of cambium dried in silica gel) from 429

146   georeferenced (GPS) individuals of D. benthamianus in 12 different countries from

147   Guinea to Congo, specifically, 336 samples from LG (including 80 samples used by

148   Debout et al., 2011), 60 from UG and 33 from DG (Fig. 1). Our sampling covers well

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149   the whole known distribution of the species but only a few individuals were available

150   from Guinea-Conakry, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

151  

152   DNA extraction and nuclear microsatellites genotyping

153   Total DNA was extracted using the NucleoSpin plant kit (Macherey-Nagel) following

154   the manufacturer’s instructions. Eleven polymorphic nuclear microsatellite (nSSR)

155   loci isolated for D. benthamianus and named dis054, dis069s, dis092, dis103, dis112,

156   dis116, dis125, dis127, dis130, dis138 and dis140 were used. They include 8 loci

157   characterized by Debout et al. (2011) and three additional loci described in this study

158   (Table S1, Appendix S1). Amplification was performed following the protocol

159   described in Appendix S1. When there was no trace of PCR amplification product for

160   a given locus while alleles were clearly visible at the other loci amplified in the same

161   PCR mix, an individual was considered to be homozygote for a null allele and coded

162   as such. Six nSSR loci, Dis054, Dis112, Dis130, Dis140, Dis103 and Dis116, were

163   coded as missing data or null alleles in 5, 4, 24, 8, 8 and 39 individuals, respectively.

164  

165   Identification of genetic discontinuities

166   Gene pools were inferred using the individual-based Bayesian genetic assignment

167   method implemented in STRUCTURE 2.3.4 (Falush et al., 2003) using the admixture

168   and independent allele frequencies models, with no a priori partitioning of

169   individuals into groups. K=1 to 10 gene pools were tested with runs of 106 generations

170   (burnin period of 105 generations) and 10 runs at each K. In order to compute and

171   plot the mean and variance of the log-likelihood of the data, Ln P(D), against the

172   range of K values, we used the online tool STRUCTURE HARVESTER (Earl &

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173   vonHoldt, 2012). We determined the best number of gene pools K as the one where

174   Ln P(D) starts reaching a plateau as K increases. Individuals were considered as

175   admixed when their probability of assignment to the most likely gene pool was below

176   0.7.

177  

178   Diversity and differentiation parameters: detecting phylogeographical

179   signal

180   Diversity and differentiation parameters for nSSRs (Table 1) were computed for each

181   Bayesian gene pool using unadmixed individuals only (243 in LG, 58 in UG, and 33 in

182   DG). Deviation from Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) was tested for each locus

183   in each gene pool with SPAGeDi 1.5 (Hardy & Vekemans, 2002). Null allele

184   frequencies were estimated with INEst 1.0 (Chybicki & Burczyk, 2009), which also

185   provided corrected estimates of the inbreeding coefficient (Fi).

186   For each gene pool, the following multilocus genetic diversity parameters were

187   computed with SPAGeDi 1.5: total number of alleles (A0), allelic richness (RS),

188   expected heterozygosity (He). The private allelic richness (Rpriv) was computed with

189   the rarefaction procedure implemented in HP-RARE 1.1 (Kalinowski, 2005),

190   considering random resampling of 60 gene copies per gene pool and locus to

191   compute a mean number of private alleles per gene pool (Table 1). Differentiation

192   between pairs of gene pools was computed using FST and phylogeographic signal was

193   checked by computing RST, which is based on allele sizes and expected to be larger

194   than FST if mutations (under stepwise mutation model) have contributed to

195   differentiation (Hardy et al., 2003).

196  

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197   Demographic history of each gene pool

198   In order to infer processes such as population fragmentation, gene flow and

199   expansion/bottleneck, phylogeographical data can be treated using model-based

200   analyses (Pelletier & Carstens, 2014). The demographic history of each gene pool was

201   investigated in two steps using coalescent simulations and Approximate Bayesian

202   Computation (ABC) tests implemented with DIYABC 2.0.4 (Cornuet et al., 2014).

203   ABC is a bayesian approach in which the posterior distributions of the model

204   parameters are determined by replacing the computation of the likelihood

205   (probability of observed data given the values of the model parameters) by a measure

206   of similarity between observed and simulated data through the use of summary

207   statistics. We first tested demographic evolution scenarios for each of the five gene

208   pools detected (see results) to identify the most likely demographic event that had

209   shaped its genetic structure, considering four models with broad time priors (A.

210   DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODELS, Fig. 2): (a1)  constant population size, (a2)

211   population decline, (a3) population expansion, (a4) population bottleneck followed

212   by expansion (hereafter “population bottleneck” for short). To have a global

213   assessment of possible demographic changes without a priori hypotheses on the

214   timing of these changes, we choose broad priors from 1 Ma to the present, hence

215   including several glacial cycles of the Pleistocene. In doing so, we implicitly assumed

216   that genetic signatures within gene pools reflect demographic changes occurring after

217   that gene pools diverged in in isolation. Subsequently, once the most likely

218   demographic scenario was identified, temporal priors were narrowed down in order

219   to test specific time scales (B. NARROW TIME MODELS, Fig. 2). Here, the choice of

220   time priors for demographic expansion, bottleneck or decline events were guided by

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221   current palynological and palaeoclimatic knowledge of tropical African rain forests

222   (e.g., Dupont et al., 2001), assuming that population sizes could increase during

223   interglacial periods and decrease during glacial periods or the Holocene climatic

224   pejoration. More specifically, for the DG gene pool where a population decline was

225   detected (see results), we tested: (b1) null model of constant population size, (b2)

226   decline before the Penultimate Glacial Period [Pre-PGP, 1Ma - 190 ka], (b3) decline

227   during the Penultimate Glacial Period [PGP, 190-140 ka], (b4) decline during the Last

228   Glacial Period [LGP, 70-20 ka], (b5) decline during the climatic pejoration of the

229   recent Holocene [HCP, 4- 2ka]. For the three LG gene pools and the UG gene pool

230   where demographic expansion or bottleneck were detected (see results), we tested:

231   (b1) null model of constant population size, (b2) bottleneck and/or expansion before

232   the Penultimate Glacial Period [Pre-PGP, 1Ma - 190 ka], (b3) bottleneck during the

233   Penultimate Glacial Period [PGP, 190-140 ka] and/or expansion during the

234   Penultimate Deglaciation [PD, 130-120 ka]; (b4) bottleneck during the Last Glacial

235   Period [LGP, 70-20 ka] and/or expansion during the Last Deglaciation [LD, 12-10

236   ka]; and (b5) bottleneck during the climatic pejoration of the recent Holocene [HCP,

237   4- 2ka] and/or subsequent expansion [3-1 ka].

238  

239   Origin of the Dahomey Gap gene pool

240   DIYABC was also used to infer the origin of the DG gene pool, considering its

241   relationship with the geographically adjacent gene pools in UG and LG (“UG” and

242   “wLG” gene pools, see results). Six possible scenarios were built (C: ORIGIN

243   MODELS; Fig. 3): (c1) DG gene pool originates from UG; (c2) DG gene pool

244   originates from LG; (c3) all the three gene pools diverged simultaneously from an

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245   ancestral population; (c4) all the three gene pools diverged simultaneously from an

246   ancestral population followed by a decline of the DG population size; (c5) DG gene

247   pool diverged first with an ancestral population leading to the UG and LG gene pools,

248   and (c6) DG gene pool results from the admixture of the two other gene pools. Here

249   we used broad priors for all events of populations split, admixture or demographic

250   changes between 1 Ma to present.

251   After choosing the most likely scenario (c6: admixture, see results) and integrating

252   the results of models A and B (bottleneck in PGP in the western LG gene pool and the

253   UG gene pool, recent decline in DG gene pool, see results) we tested again six

254   scenarios with narrow time intervals to infer when the admixture occurred and

255   whether the population decline was concomitant with admixture due to founder

256   effects or occurred after admixture in a period of forest decline (D: ADMIXTURE

257   MODELS): (d1) formation of DG by admixture before the PGP [Pre-PGP, 1Ma - 190

258   ka] with decline of the population size later in the PGP [PGP, 190-140 ka]; (d2)

259   formation of DG by admixture with small effective population size in the interglacial

260   period before PGP [Pre-PGP, 1Ma - 190 ka]; (d3) formation of DG by admixture

261   before the LGP with decline of the population size later in the LGP [LGP, 70-20 ka];

262   (d4) formation of DG by admixture with small effective population size (actual size)

263   in the last interglacial [LIG, 130-115 ka]; (d5) formation of DG by admixture during

264   the Holocene humid period with decline of the population size later in the Holocene

265   climatic pejoration [HCP, 4-2 ka] and (d6) formation of DG by admixture with small

266   effective population size (actual size) during the African Holocene humid period

267   [AHP, 10-4 ka].

268  

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269   Summary statistics, setting of priors, and robustness tests in ABC

270   analyses

271   Summary statistics provided by DIYABC 2.0.4 were used (Appendix S2). A million

272   simulations were performed for each scenario. We assumed a mean generation time

273   of 100 yr for this species. Given that the mean generation time of most tropical tree

274   species seems to range from 100 yr to 200 yr (Baker et al., 2014), we also performed

275   tests assuming a mean generation time of 200 yr, but as results regarding scenario

276   testing proved to be robust, they are not shown hereafter.

277   To perform the DIYABC analysis, setting priors is essential for credible results. As

278   part of this work, outside the range of well-fixed time priors based on models and

279   scenarios to be tested, the choice of values of the priors for the effective population

280   sizes remain problematic. In line with recent studies on African rain forest tree

281   species (Budde et al., 2013; Piñeiro et al., in prep.) the A-B-C-D models described

282   above were based on Ne values distributed uniformly between 1,000 and 50,000 for

283   phases of large population size, and N1 ranging uniformly between 10 and 500 for

284   phases of small population size in case of bottleneck or decline scenarios.

285   To assess the robustness of our results, we tested population size priors reflecting less

286   intense bottlenecks in models A and B with Ne ranging uniformly between 10 and

287   10,000, and N1 between 10 and 2,000 (Ne>N1).

288  

289   RESULTS

290   Inferred gene pools

291   The Bayesian clustering algorithm showed that the log-likelihood of the data

292   increased with the number of gene pools, K, until a plateau was reached at K= 5. The

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293   hierarchical Evanno’s delta K method (Evanno et al., 2005) indicated that the most

294   likely numbers of gene pools were K= 2 and K=5.

295   At K=2, the first gene pool gathers all the populations from UG (from Sierra Leone to

296   Ghana) and DG (Eastern Ghana to the east of Benin), and the second gene pool, all

297   the populations of LG from the Congo to central Nigeria (Fig. 4). At K=5 we observe

298   three closely related gene pools in LG (“Western LG” (wLG) gene pool; “Northern LG”

299   (nLG) gene pool; and “Southern LG” (sLG) gene pool), one gene pool in UG (“Upper

300   Guinean” (UG) gene pool), and one grouping populations from the DG (“Dahomey

301   Gap” (DG) gene pool, Fig. 1). Given the clear geographic pattern obtained we will

302   hereafter keep the clustering solution for K =5. However, it is worth noting that at

303   K=3, we observed that UG and DG form distinct gene pools, while all LG samples

304   remain in a single gene pool.

305   Pairwise FST differentiation among the five gene pools revealed that the three LG gene

306   pools were closely related (FST between 0.039 and 0.094) and well differentiated

307   from the DG and UG gene pools (FST ranging from 0.173 to 0.291). The DG gene pool

308   was the most differentiated (FST =0.204 and 0.173 with UG and wLG, respectively).

309   RST values, which account of microsatellite allele sizes, showed a similar trend as FST

310   but with larger values indicating phylogeographical signals that were significant

311   (p<0.01) between the nLG gene pool and the DG and UG gene pools (allele size

312   permutation tests; Hardy et al., 2003).

313  

314   Variation of genetic diversity among regions

315   Gene pools from forested areas, in general, displayed higher genetic diversity (Rs

316   ranging from 5.41 to 8.06, He from 0.52 to 0.69) and private alleles richness (Rpriv

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317   ranging from 0.47 to 1.19 private alleles) than the DG gene pool (Rs =3.90, He =0.55,

318   Rpriv=0.20; Table 1). However, DG, despite low allelic richness, exhibits a similar He

319   than some forest gene pools (sLG: 0.54 and UG: 0.52). We note a low inbreeding

320   coefficient for all gene pools (Fi<0.1) after correcting for null alleles. In general, most

321   of the loci were in HWE in all forest gene pools (except for dis130 in wLG, nLG and

322   sLG gene pools; dis130, dis069, dis116 and dis140 in UG gene pool). In the DG, six

323   loci, dis054, dis92, dis130, dis069, dis116 and dis140 exhibited strong deficits in

324   heterozygotes which might be related to the presence of null alleles (frequency

325   between 0.097 and 0.252, Table S2 in Appendix S1) but also to a higher

326   substructuring of the genetic diversity in the DG where local populations are often

327   distant from each other.

328  

329   Inference of demographic events within each gene pool

330   The tests of DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODELS with broad time priors revealed high

331   support for the population bottleneck scenario for the wLG (posterior probability of

332   79%) and sLG (87%) gene pools (Table 2A). The nLG gene pool showed a similar

333   support for bottleneck (42%) and population size constancy (41%). In contrast, high

334   support was found for a population decline in the DG gene pool (87%). In the UG

335   gene pool, the test also supported a bottleneck (59%) or an expansion scenario

336   without bottleneck (41%). Population decline scenarios were rejected for all gene

337   pools from forested areas, and scenarios of expansion showed low but not negligible

338   posterior probabilities for the LG gene pools (7%, 17% and 10% respectively for wLG,

339   nLG and sLG).

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340   The power to select the correct scenario was high (99% and 89% respectively) for

341   gene pools DG and nLG and moderate (60-66%) for the other ones. The mean bias

342   was below 0.5 for several parameters and around 0.8 for the other ones, while factor

343   2 was below 1 for all parameters and gene pools (Table S3, Appendix S3), indicating

344   good confidence in parameters estimates.

345  

346   The NARROW TIME MODELS tests clearly rejected scenarios for demographic

347   events occurring before the penultimate glacial period (PGP) for all gene pools except

348   UG (posterior probability of 37%). These tests showed stronger support for

349   demographic events occurring from the PGP in forested areas (90%, 53%, 91% and

350   63% respectively in wLG, nLG, sLG and UG gene pools; Table 2B). However, in the

351   DG gene pool, a decline during the last glacial period (LGP, 55%) or the Holocene

352   (40%) received highest support. Confidence in scenario choice was high for all gene

353   pools (> 91%) (Table 2B). The relative mean bias was low (0 for several parameters

354   and <0.4 for all the rest) and factor 2 ranged from 0.8 to 1 for all parameters and

355   gene pools, revealing a good accuracy of parameter estimates (Table S3, Appendix

356   S3).

357  

358   Influence of the priors on population effective sizes

359   The use of the second set of priors on effective sizes influenced significantly the

360   posterior probabilities of scenarios, times, mutation rates and, obviously, effective

361   sizes (Table S4, Appendix S3). However, it did not affect the choice of the most likely

362   scenarios, which appears robust (Table 2A). Nevertheless, we observe non negligible

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363   changes in the posterior probabilities of each scenario, particularly when inferring the

364   time scale of demographic events (Table 2B).

365  

366   Origin of the Dahomey Gap population

367   The ORIGIN MODELS tests regarding the origin of the DG gene pool showed a

368   relatively high support for the admixture scenario (scenario c6: posterior probability

369   of 60%) and low probabilities for the other scenarios, especially the one assuming a

370   LG origin (scenario c2: 1%), or a basal origin (scenarios c5: 0%, c3: 1% ; Table 2C).

371   The posterior distribution of scenario c6 for population mixture indicates r =29 %

372   (i.e. DG population would result from 29% of gene pool wLG and 71 % of gene pool

373   UG). This is consistent with the higher support for the scenario c1 (UG origin, 27%)

374   compared to c2 (wLG origin, 1%). Posterior parameters estimation under the most

375   likely scenario (c6) revealed that admixture time estimates is 142 [21.1-492]

376   generations (mean and 2.5–97.5% quantiles of the posterior distribution respectively,

377   Appendix S3). The confidence of scenario choice is 72%.

378  

379   Furthermore, when we compare the ADMIXTURE MODELS with specific time scales

380   for a population decline occurring after admixture (scenarios d1, d3, d5) or

381   simultaneously with the admixture event (scenarios d2, d4, d6), we observed high

382   support for scenarios d5 and d6 involving a decline during the Holocene climatic

383   pejoration, with somewhat higher support for the scenario d6 (51%) than d5 (39%;

384   Table 2D), which suggests the formation of the DG population by admixture with

385   small populations size (actual size). Note that our results rejected all other

386   hypotheses of formation of the DG population involving a decline in size before the

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Journal of Biogeography

 
387   Holocene (PGP and LGP: scenarios d1, d2, d3 and d4 close to zero). The confidence of

388   scenario choice (d6) is 73%.

389  

390   DISCUSSION

391   The Dahomey Gap is a band of open vegetation bordered by two Guineo-Congolian

392   forest blocks, a pattern explained by current rainfall gradients. Nevertheless, rain

393   forest plant species still survive in scattered microhabitats throughout the DG,

394   questioning when and how these species appeared there. Palaeovegetation data

395   indicate that the DG was forested during the Humid Holocene Period while it was

396   probably covered by an open vegetation during glacial periods of the Pleistocene, as it

397   is now since c. 4000 years (Salzmann & Hoelzmann, 2005). The forest flora of the DG

398   may thus be relict of the time the DG was forested, in which case the forest may result

399   from the postglacial expansion of Lower Guinean and/or Upper Guinean forests, but

400   it may also have arisen through more recent dispersal.

401   To address these biogeographical questions, the present study is the first to

402   investigate the history of the DG vegetation using genetic data and state-of-the-art

403   methodology for quantitative demographic history inference. It reveals contrasted

404   signals of demographic history of the Guineo-Congolian legume tree, D.

405   benthamianus, within forested and non-forested areas.

406  

407   Genetic discontinuities among D. benthamianus populations

408   Our phylogeographical study of the tropical rain forest tree D. benthamianus

409   detected five gene pools with a clear geographical pattern (Fig. 1). One potential

410   explanation for the existence of several gene pools in the range of one species

18  

Journal of Biogeography

 
411   displaying a rather continuous distribution is the presence of (past) barriers to gene

412   flow, as suggested by Debout et al. (2011).

413   In west African forests, only one gene pool was observed, suggesting a genetic

414   homogeneity. A similar result was obtained on other African forest species, like

415   Pentadesma butyracea (Ewedje, 2012) and Milicia excelsa (Dainou et al., 2014),

416   suggesting that the West African forest has not been deeply fragmented following

417   past climate changes. However, the absence of detected discontinuity may be due to

418   an insufficient sampling in the western end of the Upper Guinean forest and also to

419   the limited number of forest species studied so far.

420   In central Africa, we obtained three gene pools with limited differentiation (FST<0.1),

421   as observed by Debout et al. (2011). Within inland regions a genetic discontinuity

422   separated northern LG (Cameroon) and southern LG (Gabon) gene pools, and a

423   clearly defined western LG gene pool contained mostly individuals from coastal

424   regions of Gabon, Cameroon and Nigeria, but also encompassed a few individuals

425   with further inland location. Contrary to our results, Debout et al. (2011) reported a

426   Cameroon gene pool ranging westwards to the coast and a western gene pool limited

427   to Gabon. This difference probably results from the limited sampling in western

428   Cameroon (and none from Nigeria) in the study of Debout et al.(2011). This shows

429   the importance of a sufficient sampling for a good resolution of phylogeographical

430   pattern.

431  

432   High distinctiveness of the relict populations of the Dahomey Gap

433   The DG gene pool, which regroups individuals from south east Ghana, Togo and

434   Benin, shows a high genetic differentiation from both western (RST = 0.208) and

19  

Journal of Biogeography

 
435   central forest gene pools (RST between 0.212 and 0.345), despite the absence of a real

436   physical barrier. Contrary to the situation in UG or LG, D. benthamianus in the DG

437   forms scattered and probably isolated populations because open vegetation types

438   dominate the landscape. Despite the large dispersal potential of pollen of this species

439   in dense forests (B. Delaide and O.J. Hardy, unpublished), gene flow seems to be

440   limited among the scattered populations of the DG because the FST between these

441   populations increases faster with geographic distance than the FST between

442   populations from forested areas (results not shown). However, the recognition of a

443   single gene pool encompassing individuals from the DG indicates that the DG

444   populations were more connected in the past.

445   Our results also suggest that either there is no gene flow between the DG and

446   adjacent populations or that gene flow, if it exists, is too rare or recent to be traced by

447   our data. Indeed, if the DG populations were connected to the adjacent forest gene

448   pools through continuous gene flow, or if they resulted from the contemporaneous

449   admixture of these gene pools, the clustering algorithm would have detected within

450   the DG a rather continuous gradient of genetic admixture between the UG and LG

451   gene pools rather than a distinct gene pool. As current physical barriers to gene flow

452   cannot explain the origin of the genetic differentiation between the DG gene pool and

453   those of forest areas, nor the genetic homogeneity between isolated populations of the

454   DG, these patterns should be related to past climate changes.

455   We observed a low genetic diversity in the DG gene pool comparatively to the UG and

456   LG gene pools, a result consistent with those obtained in Pentadesma butyracea in

457   DG (Ewedje, 2012). Interestingly, the decay of diversity in DG is much more

458   pronounced for allelic richness than for He, a situation expected after a recent

20  

Journal of Biogeography

 
459   increase in genetic drift which affects more rapidly the allelic richness than He. In

460   addition, the number of private alleles is also lower in the DG. This low diversity may

461   be due to the small size of the populations as seen currently in the DG, and/or to

462   founder effects that may have occurred at the formation of the DG population.

463   Human action in the recent past, reducing furthermore the DG populations, might

464   also contribute to the limited genetic diversity. In fact, human impact might explain

465   the absence of D. benthamianus in southwestern Benin and southeastern Togo.

466  

467   Admixture origin and decline of DG population during the Holocene

468   The ABC tests on the origin of the DG populations of D. benthamianus show great

469   support for the scenario of admixture between UG and western LG populations, with

470   a higher contribution from UG (71%). The latter is also supported by the results of the

471   Bayesian clustering analysis for K = 2, which places all DG samples with the West

472   African forest samples (Fig. 4). An admixture origin of the DG would also explain its

473   low number of private alleles. Ancient admixture is the best explanation for the origin

474   of the DG gene pool since no recent gene flow was detected between DG and forested

475   areas. The case of D. benthamianus differs from the pattern obtained on the tree

476   Pentadesma butyracea where DG populations would originate only from UG

477   (Ewedje, 2012).

478   If admixture occurred relatively recently, it implies that the assumption that each

479   gene pool was isolated when performing the first demographic tests is violated.

480   Hence, the timing of the population decline (Table 2B) inferred in the DG (i.e. LGP or

481   Holocene) must be interpreted with caution. Nevertheless, the tests of the different

482   admixture models integrating simultaneously gene pools divergence, admixture and

21  

Journal of Biogeography

 
483   demographic changes (Table 2C), definitively support the formation of the current

484   DG population during the humid Holocene period, around 9-5 ka. The colonization of

485   the DG could have occurred with small population sizes (51% support) or with large

486   populations that declined afterwards towards 4-2 ka during the Holocene climatic

487   pejoration (39% support). Both hypotheses would explain the low diversity of the DG

488   gene pool, respectively through initial founder events or through subsequent high

489   genetic drift, but our data cannot disentangle them.

490  

491   Consistency between genetic and paleoenvironmental reconstructions

492   The formation of the D. benthamianus population in the DG during the early

493   Holocene followed by a population size decline is consistent with palaeovegetation

494   data acquired in the DG (Sélé Lake, Nokoué lake and others core: Tossou, 2002;

495   Salzmann & Hoelzmann, 2005) and around in lake Bosumtwi in Ghana (Talbot et al.

496   1984; Miller & Gossling, 2014), lake Barombi Mbo in Cameroon (Maley & Brenac,

497   1998), and the Gulf of Guinea (Dupont et al., 2000).

498   By contrast, in forested areas, ABC demographic tests indicate a bottleneck followed

499   by expansion (except possibly for the northern LG gene pool which might have

500   remained stable) during the penultimate glacial period, suggesting that the more

501   recent glacial period (LGP) and the Holocene climatic pejoration have had no or little

502   effect on the populations of D. benthamianus, or at least have not left strong genetic

503   signatures. A more important impact of the PGP compared to the LGP is not usually

504   expected but is similar to recent findings in LG for two shade-tolerant African tree

505   species (Piñeiro et al., in prep.). Hence, it might be important to consider not only the

22  

Journal of Biogeography

 
506   LGP but also previous glacial periods when attempting to interpret phylogeographic

507   patterns in terms of forest refugia in tropical Africa.

508   In the light of the ABC tests, we can argue that the dense semi deciduous forest

509   fragments found nowadays in the DG would be relics of a forest which was installed

510   by the expansion and admixture of the LG and UG forest blocks during the wet

511   Holocene and have declined in size (as shown by low allelic richness compared to

512   expected heterozygosity) during the Holocene climatic pejoration c. 4 ka.

513  

514   Importance of adequate priors for ABC analysis

515   ABC inferences are sensitive to the priors imposed. Defining adequate priors for the

516   effective population sizes (Ne) remains tricky because there is little biological

517   evidence to assess an asymptotic Ne integrating the impact of genetic drift over

518   evolutionary time. As shown in the different simulations, posterior parameter

519   estimations of models A and B were largely influenced by the maximum values of Ne

520   priors. Although, the choice of the best scenario in models A and B remained robust

521   to the Ne priors, which is reassuring, it is important in ABC inferences to explore

522   different priors and check the robustness of the results obtained.

523  

524   CONCLUSION

525   Overall, our study illustrates the relevance of genetic data to better understand and

526   complete the history of African tropical vegetation. The Guineo-Congolian forest has

527   undergone profound changes following the Quaternary climate changes. The DG has

528   probably been dominated by open vegetation during most of the time in the late

529   Pleistocene but it was forested during the early and middle Holocene. Genetic data

23  

Journal of Biogeography

 
530   indicate that, for D. benthamianus at least, the DG was colonized from both UG and

531   LG populations at the beginning of the Holocene, suggesting that local forests

532   resulted from the expansion of the UG and LG forest blocks at the onset of the African

533   Humid period. The climatic pejoration that occurred in the DG c. 4 ka dramatically

534   reduced the DG forest cover and, probably, also the genetic diversity of the forest

535   species due to increased genetic drift. This scenario can leave a genetic signature

536   whereby DG populations form a distinct gene pool with less diversity in terms of

537   allelic richness and private alleles than in the UG and LG forest blocks, as observed in

538   D. benthamianus.

539    

540   ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

541   This research was supported by the Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique (F.R.S.-

542   FNRS) through a PhD fellowship (FRIA) awarded to Boris DEMENOU and through

543   project T.0163.13, and by the Belgian Science Policy (project AFRIFORD). For their

544   help with sampling, we thank Nils Bourland, Kasso Dainou, Gilles Dauby, Eben-Ezer

545   Ewédjè, Myriam Heuertz, Guillaume Koffi and Franck Monthe Kameni. For help in

546   the laboratory, we also thank Esra Kaymak. We are especially grateful to Gilles Dauby

547   and two anonymous reviewers for their comments that improved the manuscript.

548  

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629   Salzmann, U. & Hoelzmann, P. (2005) The Dahomey Gap: an abrupt climatically

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633   Gulliksen, S. (1984) Preliminary results from sediment cores from Lake Bosumtwi,

634   Ghana. Palaeoecology of Africa, 16, 173-192.

635   Tossou, G.M. (2002) Recherche palynologique sur la végétation Holocène du Sud-

636   Bénin (Afrique de l’Ouest). PhD thesis, Université de Lomé, Lomé.

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641   Première édition. Écofac Gabon - B. P. 9352 Libreville, Gabon, 224 pp.

642  

643   SUPPORTING INFORMATION

644   Additional Supporting Information may be found in the online version of this article:

645   Appendix S1. Microsatellite amplification protocol and primers details.

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646   Appendix S2. Summary statistics of ABC tests; Posterior Probability and Posterior

647   value computation.

648   Appendix S3. Demographic analyses of nSSR data of Distemonanthus

649   benthamianus, Posterior probability, Posterior distributions of demographic

650   parameters, Bias and Confidence in parameter estimates obtained with first priors

651   and second priors on effective population sizes.

652  

653   DATA ACCESSIBILITY

654   Three new microsatellites sequences have been submitted to GenBank and accession

655   numbers are indicated in Appendix S1. For the eight microsatellites developed by

656   Debout et. al. (2011), the accession numbers are also indicated in Appendix S1.

657  
658  
659   Biosketch

660   BD is a PhD student, RP a postdoc and OJH a senior research associate, who are

661   interested in plant ecology and evolution, using (phylo)genetic approaches to infer

662   the history of plant populations, with a special focus on African forest species.

663  

664   Editor: Stephen cavers

29  

Journal of Biogeography

 
665   Figure legends

666   Figure 1. Spatial genetic structure of D. benthamianus according to Bayesian

667   clustering (STRUCTURE) of 429 individuals genotyped at 11 nuclear microsatellites.

668   The inset delimits the part of Africa covered.

669  

670  

671   Figure 2: Design of demographic ABC tests applied on each gene pool using

672   DIYABC. (a) DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODELS: compare four scenarios to identify

673   the nature of population size changes using broad time priors t0 and t1 (0-1 Ma). (b)

674   NARROW TIME MODELS: compare five scenarios guided by paleoenvironmental

675   data to identify the time scale of demographic changes. For (a) and (b), first priors on

676   effective population sizes were Ne: 1000-50000, N1: 10-500; second priors were Ne:

677   10-10000, N1: 10-2000 with Ne>N1. (c) Time priors: illustration of the time priors (t0

678   to t9) used to test the impact of particular climatic periods: PGP (Penultimate Glacial

679   Period), PD (Penultimate Deglaciation), LGP (Last Glacial Period), LD (Last

680   Deglaciation), HCP (Holocene Climatic Pejoration), with t2 and t3 : 190-1000 ka

681   (t2>t3), t4: 140-190 ka, t5: 120-130 ka, t6: 20-70 ka, t7: 10-12 ka, t8: 2-4 ka , t9: 1-3 ka.

682   Left graph: variations of deuterium (δD) in Antartic ice core as a proxy for global

683   temperature between 600-0 ka (IPCC 2007,

684   http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/figure-6-3.html). Right graph:

685   temperature change between 18-0 ka

686   (http://www.lakepowell.net/sciencecenter/paleoclimate.htm).

687  

30  

Journal of Biogeography

 
688   Figure 3: Design of ABC tests models to assess the origin and timing of the DG gene

689   pool. (a) ORIGIN MODELS: compare six scenarios of relationships between the DG

690   and its adjacent UG and wLG gene pools (effective size priors on Ne, Ne1, N1 and N3:

691   1000 – 50000, and N2 : 10 – 500, and time priors on T0 and T1 : 0-1 Ma with T1>T0).

692   (b) ADMIXTURE MODELS: compare six admixture scenarios involving pre-

693   admixture founder effects (d2, d4, d6) or post-admixture population size decline (d1,

694   d3, d5) and ancestral demographic changes (effective size priors as above,

695   Ts>Td>Te>Ta>Td). (c) Time priors used to test the impact of particular climatic

696   periods in (b): LIG (Last interglacial), AHP (African Humid Period), and see Fig. 2

697   legend.

698  

699   Fig.4: Gene pools detected in D. benthamianus samples from Upper Guinea (UG),

700   Lower Guinea (LG) and the Dahomey Gap (DG) using the Bayesian clustering

701   algorithm implemented in STRUCTURE. The histograms show the individual

702   assignment to clusters for K=2 (above) and K=5 (below).

703  

704  

705    

31  

Journal of Biogeography

 
706   Table 1. Genetic diversity and differentiation parameters of the five gene pools

707   inferred in D. benthamianus using 11 nuclear SSR loci (only samples assigned to a

708   gene pool with a probability ≥ 0.7 were included).

709  
Differentiation  parameters  :  FST \  RST   Diversity  parameters  
Gene  pool  
wLG   nLG   sLG   DG   UG   N   A0   RS   He   Fi   Rpriv  
wLG       0.064  NS   0.107  NS   0.212  NS   0.303  NS   70   106   8.06   0.688   0.001   1.19  
nLG   0.039       0.068  NS   0.286  *   0.352  *   96   89   6.53   0.665   0.012   0.55  
sLG   0.082   0.094       0.345  NS   0.362  NS   77   85   6.13   0.545   0.020   0.48  
DG   0.173   0.177   0.291       0.208  NS   33   43   3.90   0.553   0.047   0.20  
UG   0.173   0.177   0.281   0.204       58   69   5.41   0.522   0.059   0.47  
All  samples   FST =  0.116                                                                                                                    RST =  0.164   334   138   8.02   0.689      
710    
Differentiation:  FST below  and  RST  above  the  diagonal;  test  of  phylogeographic  signal  (i.e.  RST>FST)  are  indicated  by  NS  (P>0.05)   and  
711   *P<0.05.  Diversity:  N:  sample  size,  AO:  Number  of  alleles,  Rs:  rarefied  allele  richness  (among  k=60  gene  copies  per  locus),  He:  expected  
712   heterozygosity  corrected  for  sample  size,  Fi:  inbreeding  coefficient  estimated  by  INest,  Rpriv:  private  alleles  richness  (k=60).    

713  
714  

32  

Journal of Biogeography

 
715   Table 2. Demographic analyses of nSSR data of Distemonanthus benthamianus
716   implemented with DIYABC (see details in Figs 2 & 3): posterior probabilities of
717   demographic scenarios and confidence in scenario choice under the most likely
718   scenario. (A) DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODELS, (B) NARROW TIME MODELS, (C)
719   ORIGIN MODELS and (D) ADMIXTURE MODELS. Values are given for the first set
720   of priors on effective population sizes (Ne: 1000 – 50000, N2 : 10 – 500), except
721   those under parentheses corresponding to the second set of priors for models A and B
722   (Ne: 10 – 10000, N2 : 10 – 2000).
723  
724   A. DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODELS (nature of demographic changes; Fig. 2)
a1:   a2:   a3:   a4:   Confidence  Scenario  
Gene  pool   Constant   Decline   Expansion   Bottleneck   Choice  
wLG   0.14  (0.29)   0.00  (0.00)   0.07  (0.14)   0.79  (0.57)   0.60  
nLG   0.41  (0.32)   0.00  (0.13)   0.17  (0.17)   0.42  (0.38)   0.89  
sLG   0.03  (0.07)   0.00  (0.02)   0.10  (0.22)   0.87  (0.69)   0.62  
DG   0.01  (0.05)   0.97  (0.82)   0.01  (0.06)   0.01  (0.07)   0.99  
UG   0.00  (0.01)   0.00  (0.01)   0.40  (0.42)   0.60  (0.56)   0.66  
725   Bottleneck:  population  decline  followed  by  an  expansion  
726  
727   B. NARROW TIME MODELS (timing of demographic changes; Fig. 2)
b1:   b2:   b3:   b4:   b5:   Confidence  
Gene  pool   Constant   Pre  PGP   PGP   LGP   Holocene   Scenario  Choice  
wLG  (Bottleneck)   0.01  (0.11)   0.09  (0.18)   0.90  (060)   0.00  (0.06)   0.00  (0.05)   0.94  
nLG  (Bottleneck)   0.12  (0.14)   0.12  (0.14)   0.53  (0.34)   0.18  (0.27)   0.05  (0.11)   0.91  
sLG  (Bottleneck)   0.00  (0.03)   0.06  (0.11)   0.91  (0.71)   0.03  (0.13)   0.00  (0.02)   0.93  
DG  (Decline)   0.00  (0.01)   0.01  (0.10)   0.04  (0.25)   0.55  (0.47)   0.40  (0.17)   0.91  
UG  (Bottleneck)   0.00  (0.01)   0.37  (0.29)   0.63  (0.68)   0.01  (0.01)   0.00  (0.01)   0.94  
728   PGP:  penultimate  glacial  period;  LGP:  last  glacial  period  
729  
730   C. ORIGIN MODELS (relationships between the DG and its adjacent gene pools; Fig. 3)
Confidence  Scenario  
c1   c2   c3   c4   c5   c6   Choice  
 
wLG,  DG,  UG   0.27   0.01   0.01   0.11   0   0.60   0.72  

731  
732   D. ADMIXTURE MODELS (timing of the admixture origin of the DG gene pool; Fig. 3)
Confidence  Scenario  
d1   d2   d3   d4   d5   d6   Choice  
  derived  from  
DG  
0   0   0.10   0   0.39   0.51   0.73  
admixture  
733  

33  

Journal of Biogeography

 
734  

 735  
736  
737   Dahomey  Gap  (DG)  
738  
739  
740  
Upper  Guinea  (UG)  
741  
742   Lower  Guinea  (LG)  
743  
744  
745  
746  
747  
748  
749  
750  
751  
752  
753  
754  
755   Fig.1: Spatial genetic structure of D. benthamianus according to Bayesian clustering

756   (STRUCTURE) of 429 individuals genotyped at 11 nuclear microsatellites. The inset delimits

757   the part of Africa covered.

758  

34  

Journal of Biogeography

 
(a)  DEMOGRAPHIC  EVENT  MODELS  
a1:  CONSTANT   a2:  DECLINE   a3:  EXPANSION   a4:  BOTTLENECK  

Ne   N1   Ne  
t1   t1   t1  
Ne   N1   Ne   N1  
t0  
Ne  

(b)  NARROW  TIME  MODELS      


b1:  CONSTANT        b2:  Pre  PGP   b3:  PGP   b4:  LGP   b5:  HOLOCENE  

t2   t4  
t6  
t3   t5  
t7   t8  
t9  

759   (c) Time priors  (in  ka)

Change  in  Temperature  (°C)  


PD  

Pre  PGP   PGP   LGP   LD   HCP  

 
t7 t8

t9
t4 t5 t6
760  

761   Fig.2: Design of demographic ABC tests applied on each gene pool using DIYABC. (a)
762   DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODELS: compare four scenarios to identify the nature of
763   population size changes using broad time priors t0 and t1 (0-1 Ma). (b) NARROW TIME
764   MODELS: compare five scenarios to identify the time scale of demographic changes. For (a)
765   and (b), first priors on effective population sizes were Ne: 1000-50000, N1: 10-500; second
766   priors were Ne: 10-10000, N1: 10-2000 with Ne>N1. (c) Time priors: illustration of the time
767   priors (t0 to t9) used to test the impact of particular climatic periods: PGP (Penultimate Glacial
768   Period), PD (Penultimate Deglaciation), LGP (Last Glacial Period), LD (Last Deglaciation),
769   HCP (Holocene Climatic Pejoration), with t2 and t3 : 190-1000 ka (t2>t3), t4: 140-190 ka, t5:
770   120-130 ka, t6: 20-70 ka, t7: 10-12 ka, t8: 2-4 ka , t9: 1-3 ka. The graph on the left: variations of
771   deuterium (δD) in Antartic ice core as a proxy for global temperature between 600-0 ka (IPCC
772   2007, http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/figure-6-3.html). The graph on the right:
773   temperature change between 18-0 ka (http://www.lakepowell.net/sciencecenter/paleoclimate.htm).
774  

35  

Journal of Biogeography

 
775   (a) ORIGIN  MODELS  
776                        c1                                c2             c3  

T1   T1   T1
   
T0   T0  
   
0   0   0  
UG DG wLG DG wLG UG wLG DG UG
777          
778   c4             c5             c6  

T1   T1   T1  
     
T0   T0   r 1 -r
T0  
     
0   0   0  
779         DG wLG UG wLG UG DG wLG DG UG  
780    
781   (b)  ADMIXTURE  MODELS  
782   d1,  d3,  d5                                                                                                    d2,  d4,  d6

Ts   Ts  
Tb   Tb  
Te  
Te  
Ta  
1 -r r Ta  
Td   1 -r r
0   0  
UG DG wLG UG DG wLG
783  
784  
785   (c) Time  priors  (in  ka)                    
Change  in  Temperature  (°C)  

HCP  
LIG  

Pre  PGP   PGP   LGP   AHP  


1,000  I-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐  
786      
787     T0,  T1,  Ts  (d1-­‐d6),  Tb  (d1,d2),  Te  (d1,d2),Ta(d1,  d3,  d5)   Ta  (d6) Td  (d5)
788     Ta  (d2)  

789     Te  (d3-­‐d6),  Ta  (d4)

790     Tb  (d3-­‐d6),Td  (d1)


Td  (d3)

Fig.3: Design of ABC tests models to assess the origin and timing of the DG gene pool. (a) ORIGIN36   MODELS:
compare six scenarios of relationships between the DG and its adjacent UG and wLG gene pools (effective size
priors on Ne, Ne1, N1 and N3: 1000 – 50000, andof
Journal N2Biogeography
: 10 – 500, and time priors on T0 and T1 : 0-1 Ma with
T1>T0). (b) ADMIXTURE MODELS: compare six admixture scenarios involving pre-admixture founder effects
(d2, d4,   d6) or post-admixture population size decline (d1, d3, d5) and ancestral demographic changes
(effective size priors as above, Ts>Td>Te>Ta>Td). (c) Time priors used to test the impact of particular climatic
periods in (b): LIG (Last interglacial), AHP (African Humid Period), and see Fig. 2 legend.  
791    

UG  +  DG   wLG  +  nLG  +  sLG  

792  
793                

UG   DG   wLG   sLG   nLG  

794  
795  
796  
797  
798   Fig.4: Gene pools detected in D. benthamianus samples from Upper Guinea (UG), Lower
799   Guinea (LG) and the Dahomey Gap (DG) using the Bayesian clustering algorithm
800   implemented in STRUCTURE. The histograms show the individual assignment to clusters for
801   K=2 (above) and K=5 (below).
802    

37  

Journal of Biogeography

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