Future Trends in Automotive

Industry and Challenges

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Focus

01. Evolution of ICE for Compliance

02. New technologies for Competitiveness

03. Big Cost & Weight Reduction for all PT

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■ Requirement from Powertrain

• To meet stringent Emission Legislation

• Fuel Efficiency
• Better Performance
• Drivability

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Major Issues to be solved for automotive Industry
Automotive Industry have many issues to be solved
Especially, CO2 reduction; Neutral/Zero Emission Mobility realization
is the urgent issue for sustainable society.

Global Warming Air Pollutant

出典: NASA earth observatory

（http:/ / www.nasa.gov/ vision/ earth/ environment/ arcti cice_decl ine.h tml）

Congestion Traffic Accidents

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Pollutant Emission regulations
◼ RDE Regulations will be very severe.
◼ Clean pollutant technologies are key.

Source: 2014 SAE paper of European Commission – JRC, IET

2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026

Euro5b Euro6b Euro6d Euro6d Euro7
-temp

NEDC WLTC
RDE RDE
(CF=2.1)
(CF=1.0+margine) RDE
PN
PN

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 Regulation for CO2 and Pollutant
Emissions
To realize sustainable society, CO2 and pollutant regulation are
getting severer.

CO2 Emission regulations Exhaust Emission

regulations

180 LEVⅡ ULEV (～2019)

PM (mg/km)
Euro6c (2017～)
140
(g/km)

(≒PN 6E+11 [#/km])

LEVⅢ SULEV
100 (2019～)
Euro7
CO2

(2022～)(TBD)

60
2015 2020 2025 2030

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 Electrification is Mandatory for this Direction

Every OEM have to realize more than 90% CO2 reduction with more clean
pollutant emission.
EV expansion with Renewable electricity is mandatory for 2050 final target.

100 100
100%:ICE CO2 @2000y

Well to Wheel CO2 (%)

ICE BEV
Well to Wheel CO2 (%)

Renewable
Thermal Efficiency Electricity

Improvement

Current
Roadmap toward 90%
0 0
2000 2020 2050 30 40 50 60
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Positioning of Every Types of Vehicles

Series Hybrid Vehicle is 100% motor drive with 100% Fuel drive

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Vehicles using electricity are classified by type.
Unlike PHEV or EV, since HEV cannot charge its battery with external energy, its
performance is determined eventually by the efficiency of the engine.

HEV ・・・ Engine is the energy source of all.

BATT

Engine Motor
Fuel tank

Fuel

PHEV ・・・ Part of energy serves as the electricity generating plant.

BATT

Engine Motor
Fuel tank

Fuel Electricity

EV ・・・ All of energy serves as the electricity generating plant.

BATT
Motor

Electricity

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10

MILLENNIAL MINDSET
Bike
Food Cabs
Delivery
Groceries
➔ Higher Aspiration

Car Pick
& Drop Resale Price
➔ Gig Economy E Commerce Economy Guarantee

➔ Diversity & Abundance of Furniture

Cashless Stay & on Rent
Choice. Economy Purchase
after a year

❖ Customers today are demanding- The Choices to Experience differently!!

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Cost and weight innovation
• Cost of BOP & In-House are reduced by following aspects
1. Design optimization 3. Design & Production innovation
➢ Shape / Structure < Example > ➢Innovative Structure
➢ Material Simplified PKG ex. Ultimate integration
➢ PKG (Parts number ▲50%) (Block & Head)
etc…

MR16DDTg2 New

2. Production optimization ➢Innovative Production

ex. Aluminum cracking
➢Automation < Example >
➢ Material usage quantity Material cost reduction
➢ Machining condition (by thin wall thickness)
etc…

One Die Split

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Summary
◼ To realize sustainable society, how to expand the “Zero emission” vehicle
is the key.
◼ But, it will take some period to realize this ideal situation because of e-P/T
cost, charging infrastructure, range for each charge, etc.
◼ “EV-ness” is attractive option for e-P/T.
◼ As the “Gateway” to EV, ICE assisted e-P/T or e-P/T assisted ICE can be
considered.
◼ Both are important technologies, but “Game Change” will happen, and
preparation for this situation is important.

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