COVID-19 Cases

Day Cases
1 Mar-08 10 16 600
2 Mar-09 20 57
3 Mar-10 33 98
4 Mar-11 49 140
5 Mar-12 52 181
6 Mar-13 68 222
500
7 Mar-14 111 264
8 Mar-15 140 305
10 Mar-17 187 388
11 Mar-18 202 429
12 Mar-19 217 470
13 Mar-20 230 512 400
14 Mar-21 307 553
15 Mar-22 380 594
17 Mar-24 552 677
18 Mar-25 718
19 Mar-26 760 300
20 Mar-27 801
21 Mar-28 842
22 Mar-29 884
23 Mar-30 925
24 Mar-31 966
11
25 Apr-01 1008 200 10; 20
26 Apr-02 1049 9; 187
27 Apr-03 1090
28 Apr-04 1132
29 Apr-05 1173 8; 140
30 Apr-06 1214 100 7; 111
31 Apr-07 1256
32 Apr-08 1297
6; 68
33 Apr-09
5;
4; 49 52
34 Apr-10
3; 33
35 Apr-11 2; 20
36 Apr-12 0 1; 10
Oct-06 Jul-09 Apr-12 Dec-14 Sep-17
37 Apr-13
38 Apr-14
39 Apr-15
40 Apr-16
41 Apr-17
42 Apr-18
43 Apr-19
44 Apr-20
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9423172762598
15; 552
R Square 0.8879618491377
Adjusted R Square 0.8793435298406
Standard Error 53.0159426412819
Observations 15

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 289590.761069465 289590.761069465 103.0319 1.513E-07
Residual 13 36538.9722638681 2810.6901741437
14; 380
Total 14 326129.733333333

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept -72.938530734633 27.6174043271472 -2.64103497456261 0.020356 -132.6023
13; 307
Day 28.5318590704648 2.81089230619045 10.1504632559664 1.513E-07 22.4593

Y = -72.94+28.53Y

RESIDUAL OUTPUT 12; 230

11; 217
10; 202
Observation
9; 187 Predicted Cases Residuals Standard Residuals
1 -44.41 54.41 1.06
2 -15.87 35.87 0.70
8; 140 3 12.66 20.34 0.40
7; 111 4 41.19 7.81 0.15
5 69.72 -17.72 -0.35
6 98.25 -30.25 -0.59
6; 68
7 126.78 -15.78 -0.31
5;
49 52
8 155.32 -15.32 -0.30
9 212.38 -25.38 -0.50
10 240.91 -38.91 -0.76
Apr-12 Dec-14 Sep-17 Jun-20 Mar-23 Dec-25
11 269.44 -52.44 -1.03
12 297.98 -67.98 -1.33
13 326.51 -19.51 -0.38
14 355.04 24.96 0.49
15 412.10 139.90 2.74
16 -1138.51
18 -1284.3616941529
19 -1357.3002248876
20 -1430.2387556222
28.5318590704648
28.5318590704648
Significance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
-13.27476 -132.6023 -13.27476
34.60442 22.4593 34.60442