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1. PROFITABILITY RATIOS:
Revenue Growth
(in million)
DHL FedEx
2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019
€57,334 €60,444 €61,550 €63,341 €47,847 €50,246 €57,007 €62,096
Revenue for DHL’s has been recorded from several segments such as Post & Parcel Germany,
Express, Global Forwarding & Freight, and Supply Chain etc. Revenue of DHL gradually
increased over the years. Though the overall revenue increased over the years, the fluctuations
been observed in the revenue growth rate. In 2017, DHL’s revenue growth rate shows increase of
5.42% & then in 2018 it sloped down to 1.83% which increased by a margin of 2.91% in 2019.
Currency Effects is one the major
reason that shifts the DHL’s growth 14
rate downwards in 2018 that 12
% of Changes
10
amounts to €1,466 million.1 The
8
addition of a new business segment 6
in 2019, namely E-Commerce 4
Solution, is a reason that affects the 2
0
overall revenue generation ability of 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019
DHL that increased revenue growth DHL 5.42 1.83 2.91
FedEx 5.01 13.46 8.93
rate slightly to 2.91%.
On the other hand, FedEx realized revenue from segments like Transportation, E-Commerce, and
Business Services. In 2017, FedEx’s seen revenue growth rate of 5.01%, then the rate
impressively went high with 13.46% in 2018 and in 2019, it slowed down to 8.93%. In every
segment, the growth rate was basically positively impacted by higher number of packages
shipped and average annual growth rate of 4.1% is estimated by 2021.2
1
DHL Annual Report, (2018), P. 41
2
Forbes, (2019)
Net Profit Margin (NPM)
On the contrary, FedEx performed impressively in 2018 that increases both their revenue
and EBIT respectively by 13.46% and 1.10%. But in 2019, the revenue growth slowed
down to 8.93% and simultaneously operating expenses increased by 10.14% that effected
EBIT to decrease by 6.19% during year. As a result, NPM sloped down to 0.77% &
FedEx lacked operational efficiency to continue their NPM progression in 2019. It is
explained that global economic condition and less profitable mix of activities adversely
affected the FedEx.5
3
Kusmayadi, Rahman and Abdullah, (2018)
4
DHL Annual Report, (2019), P. 34
5
FedEx Annual Report, (2019), P. 1
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
In terms of FedEx, their increased nature of debt capital and decreased PBIT costs them
constant fall-down of ROCE. In 2019, FedEx’s debt capital increased by 21.39% but
PBIT declined by 6.19% which led their ROCE to 9.84% & that shows their inefficiency
in utilizing their capital.
6
SINGH and YADAV, (2013)
7
Nurlaela et al., (2019)
revenue changed on a very slightest margin of 1.83% and that causes down-fall of asset turnover
in 2018. For very similar reason, the asset turnover further sloped down to 1.71 in 2019. This
trend of DHL threatens efficiency relating to their ability of asset management & asset control.
Conversely, Study indicates that FedEx has a stable position in utilizing their assets in their
operations to generate revenues and profits. FedEx had turnover of 1.68 for both in 2017 & 2018
that slightly increased to 1.69 in 2019. Although the turnover of FedEx is lower than DHL, the
trend is observed to be progressive for FedEx and in the meantime regressive for DHL.
2. ACTIVITY RATIOS:
Cash Ratio
Similarly, FedEx is also aware of the fact that investing more cash might bring them competitive
advantages in some stage. Hence, FedEx had cash ratio far below than the preferred range in
2017, 2018, and 2019 where the ratio is consecutively 0.12, 0.1, and 0.06.
8
Corporate Finance Institute, (2019)
Current Ratio
In terms of FedEx, study shows current ratio of 1.59 in 2017, 1.39 in 2018, and 1.45 in 2019
which stipulates that FedEx was able to maintain themselves as a solvent company. Both in 2018
& 2018, balance between current assets and current liabilities led FedEx to keep the ratio above
1.
Quick Ratio
to 0.92 in 2018. This has happened due to the increase of current liabilities by 14.36% as a result
9
Corporate Finance Institute, (2019)
10
Durrah et. al., (2016)
11
Durrah et. al., (2016)
of significant increase in current financial liabilities by 188.43%. Similarly in 2019, the ratio
sloped down due to increase nature of current liabilities and the decrease in current assets by
3.92%.
Along with the Current Ratio, FedEx also has strong quick ratio with a ratio of 1.53, 1.33, and
1.39 consecutively in 2017, 2018, and 2019. The stability in such quick ratio justifies FedEx’s
capacity to meet short-term obligations by their most liquid current assets.
3. LEVERAGE RATIOS:
12
Nasution, Putri and Dungga, (2018)
13
Ulzanah and Murtaqi, (2015)
14
DHL Annual Report (2017), P. 62
15
DHL Annual Report (2018), P. 49
FedEx had comparatively higher debt to equity ratio than DHL in 2017 and 2019 where the ratio
was consecutively 1.53 and 1.56. The ratio was lowest in 2018 for FedEx due to the significant
increase of equity by 26.31% and slight decrease of debt. FedEx looked better leveraged in 2018
than other years.
4. INVESTOR RATIOS:
FedEx had way more better EPS position than DHL both in 2017 and 2018. Though the profit
amounted lower than DHL, lessen number of shares facilitates EPS to be €9.36 in 2017 and
€14.88 in 2018. In 2019, FedEx’s profit declined by an enormous margin of 87.92% in 2019 that
affects the EPS to move down to €1.84 for the year. The major causes behind such horrific
decline in profit were global trade disputes loss of its prominent customer Amazon.19
16
Yuliza, (2018)
17
DHL Annual Report, (2017), P. 55
18
DHL Annual Report, (2018), P. 41
19
CNN, (2019)
Dividends per Share
In case of FedEx, dividend per share seems to be in growth trend over the years. Analysis asserts
that FedEx delivered dividend of €1.33, €1.75, and €2.32 per share consecutively in 2017, 2018,
and 2019. Even though FedEx faced drops in share by 10% in later of November 2019, higher
dividend in the year seems more of a strategic movement of their dividend policy which is
similar decision as DHL in 2018.21
20
Wet and Mpinda, (2013)
21
CNN, (2019)
SWOT ANALYSIS OF DHL
STRENGTHS:
Global Reach: DHL has Global Reach over 220 countries.22 As a result DHL holds
advantage over the field of market expansion and effective communication throughout
the globe that made DHL a global player.
Robust Brand Value: DHL ranked 83rd with the brand value of $5,987 Million in the
Best Global Brands Ranking in 2019 whereas Commitment, Relevance, and
Responsiveness were the top performing factors for DHL’s brand strength during the
year.23 Brand Value has great impact on the firm Valuation.24 This positive brand value
of DHL can be effectively useful if they want to expand into new product & service
categories.
Healthy Economic Position: Financial Indicators and the Finance Strategy performed
well in the accounting year for DHL (Annual Report-2019, p. 39). DHL has a very strong
finance background and is known to have adequate amount of resources as back up. As a
result, companies trust over DHL and their services is being increased over the years.
This economic position is necessarily helping DHL to expand its business year on year.
Skilled Workforce: Skilled workforce is essential for a firm as the commercial world
getting more competitive with the flow of time passes.26 DHL is investing enormous
resources in training and development processes for its employees & trainees that result
in a workforce that is highly skilled and also self-motivated towards achieving more.
22
DHL Annual Report, (2019), P. 7, Heading: A Global Express Network
23
Interbrand, (2019)
24
KIRK, RAY, AND WILSON, (2013)
25
DHL Annual Report, (2018), p. 61, Heading: Systematic Customer feedback in the Forwarding Business
26
Ortiz, (2019)
Total number of Employees, headcount at the year-end 2019, for DHL amounted 546,924
(Annual Report-2019, p. 55).
Immense Free Cash Flow: There is a relatively direct relationship between the firm
value and Free Cash Flow.27 Though DHL’s Net Free Cash Flow in 2019 went low from
the previous year still an amount as €867 Million is enormous (Annual Report-2019, p.
44). This amount of Free Cash Flow can provide resources for DHL to expand into new
projects. Free cash flow also allows DHL to pursue opportunities to increase share value
that ultimately increases the firm’s value.
Strong Asset Base: In terms of Solvency, DHL holds a large Asset Base which is worth
of €30,484 Million (Annual Report-2019, p. 6-7). DHL is more likely to attract its
shareholders, creditors & other investors being a well solvent entity.
Social Media: Technology nowadays driving the commercial world. Henceforth, Social
Media is another effective marketing tool.29 DHL has significant levels of customer
engagement with minimal customer response time on social platforms like Facebook,
Twitter and Instagram having more than millions of followers.
Shipment Insurance: Physical loss or damage may occur during the shipment from
external causes. As a proactive measure, to protect the shipment, insurance are being
provided to the customers that further enhances customer satisfaction.31
27
Ghodrati and Hashemi, (2014)
28
Kasamska, (2017)
29
Paquette, (2013)
30
Darskuviene and Bendoraitienė, (2014)
31
DHL Express, (2018)
WEAKNESSES:
Poor Supply Chain Management: In February of 2019, DHL sold its supply chain
operations, in China, Hong Kong and Macau, for €700 Million to SF Holding. 33 In
Africa, DHL preparing to sale the supply chain which is worth of €500 Million.34 Such
actions from DHL insights the dependencies on external agency that has a direct impact
associated with risk on the efficiency of DHL.
Significant Impairment Loss: Impairment Losses are more of a bad news for an entity
in a perspective that it has to write down the value of assets.35 Also, Impairment loss
impacts significantly & makes difference in the profitability & capital structure. 36 At the
end of 2019, DHL faced Impairment Loss of €44 Million whereas it appeared €16
Million in the previous year (Annual Report-2019, p. 114).
Lower Advertising Expenses: To promote & publicize goods & services, advertising is
essential. Also, preserving the brand image is one of the vital roles that advertising plays
as a tool of marketing.37 DHL slightly cuts its expenses, in comparison with previous
32
Boulding, and Staelin, (1990)
33
Logistics Manager Magazine, (2020)
34
Reuters, (2019)
35
Wathen, (2020)
36
Sooriyakumaran, and Thirunavukkarasu, (2013)
37
Terkan, (2014)
year, during the accounting period for advertising & public relations (Annual Report-
2019, p. 114). It reflects that DHL is less concerned about its brand promotion whereas
its competitors (e.g. FedEx) are increasing their expenses for advertising & public
relations.
Zero Effort in Research & Development (R&D): It has been examined that R&D has a
great impact on the ratio of Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), and
overall firm performance whereas it is probable that ROA & ROE will increase with the
increase in R&D budget.38 DHL has no significant effort in R&D field though other
players within the industry are making significant effort in R&D (Annual Report-2019, p.
17). Due to the course of action, DHL is more likely to go backward in long-term
strategies like product development & innovation.
Probable Liquidity Problem: Liquidity shows the ability of a company to pay back its
short-term liabilities & is essential mechanism to smoothen operations of the company.39
The DHL has current asset of €15,052 Million which is decreased from previous year &
current liabilities of €16,873 Million that is increased from previous year (Annual
Report-2019, p. 89). Though DHL holds an impressive asset base, still liquidity problems
may arise due to low level of current asset in relation to the current liability.
Limited Liability for Carriage: In comparison with its competitors, DHL’s approach to
take liability for carriage lacks customer attraction. Though it bears the liability but to a
very limited extent that is basically based on the weight of the goods shipped which can
be relatively lower than the actual cost of replacement.40
38
Ghaffar and Khan, (2020)
39
Yameen, Farhan, and Tabash, (2019)
40
DHL Express, (2018)
OPPORTUNITIES:
Merger or Acquisition of Local Entity: DHL is one of the renowned brands within the
industry and is in a position of growth. Inorganic Growth is one of the two growth
options that a firm shall choose in order to grow.41 As Inorganic Growth mechanism,
Merger or Acquisition in target markets can accelerate the growth DHL needs to compete
with its competitors.
Appropriate Utilization of Existing Market: Nearly there is no nation where DHL does
not operate its business. As DHL emerged into nearly every possible market, it’s high
time for DHL to adopt Concentrated Growth Strategy that focuses in existing markets to
increase market share.42 DHL also needs to expand in order to use potentials in the
existing markets. Hence, DHL is required to eye for the Customer Focused Supply Chain
Management (CFSCM) that is an effective tool to increase customer satisfaction &
profitability.43
Increased Capacity in Developing Countries: DHL has increased its loading capacity
in China, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Hong Kong in 2018 (Annual Report-2018, p. 16). This
course of action enables the company to take advantages over its competitors in that
particular market.
Changes in Consumer Behavior: New trends in consumer behavior have been observed
along with the acknowledgement of new consumer groups.44 Such trends can create new
market within an existing market and DHL shall proceed to grasp the opportunity to
attract the consumers.
Stable Free Cash Flow: DHL’s Net Free Cash Flow in 2019 amounted to €867 Million
(Annual Report-2019, p. 44). Such stable Free Cash Flow incorporates DHL’s chances to
invest into new projects using new technologies. As DHL seems not fascinated by the
R&D effort earlier, the can use their Free Cash Flow in future in innovation to surprise its
customers.
41
Tamosiuniene and Duksaite, (2009)
42
Pearce and Robinson, (2013)
43
Strong, (2011)
44
Anna, (2013)
Shifts in E-Commerce Trends: number of people who are using e-commerce has been
increasing day by day. Also, recent trends in E-Commerce includes connecting through
social media, mobile commerce, quick service, video based marketing, websites & apps,
and virtual sales force.45 DHL needs to assess such trends & shall take appropriate
measures to make those trends into a scope of growth and business expansion.
THREATS:
Currency Fluctuation & Inflation: DHL operates within numerous countries over the
globe, hence is exposed to currency fluctuations and inflation (Annual Report-2019, p. 7
& 132). Unstable political situations across the world accelerate the currency fluctuations
and adversely affect the inflation of a country which creates obstacles to the growth of a
firm.
45
Menaka and Seethal, (2018)
46
Chowdhury, (2019)
47
Kenney, (2016)
Consumer Behavior Changes: Consumer behavior is shifting along with the
advancements of e-commerce.48 It can also possess threats to the existing physical
infrastructure of DHL.
Natural Disasters & World Pandemic: Impacts of natural calamities, also world
pandemic, in a country’s economy cannot be neglected that can results in huge
infrastructural damages.49 Though DHL cannot prevent such threats but still proactive
measures to mitigate the risk and effect needs to be approached.
48
Makarewicz Anna, (2013)
49
Annual Disaster Statistical Review (2013)
PESTLE ANALYSIS OF DHL
POLITICAL FACTORS: Political Factors are the parameters within which a firm must operate
that either may expose the firm both to the restrictive and beneficial regulations.50 DHL operates
within multiple national boundaries, hence facing following political factors in recent times:
50
Pearce and Robinson, (2013)
51
Jalloh, Djatmika, and Putra, (2017)
52
European Union, (2020)
53
Political Stability Index, (2018)
54
Luo, Roos, and Moavenzadeh, (2006)
Barrier of Taxation: Taxation significantly impacts a country’s growth and its industry.
Operating in a country with high taxation level will impact the profitability of DHL. On
the contrary, DHL can expand into low taxation level markets to generate high profits.
Industry specific taxation structures require proper assessment by DHL in developing
industries to point out the government priorities.
Corruption & Bureaucracy: Bureaucracy can rise as one of the major obstacles for a
country’s economy (e. g. Bangladesh).56 Also, World Bank mentioned that the level of
corruption increases with the increase of the level of bureaucracy. 57 Conducting
operations in a country that has higher corruption level with higher level of bureaucratic
complexity makes business environment uncertain for DHL.
ECONOMIC FACTORS: Economic factors affect the context of shaping the environment of a
business.58 DHL also exposed to different economic factors as following:
Labor Market: The wage rates and availability of skilled force are determined by the
demand supply of labor of a country.61 DHL needs to study its policies to attract skillful
employees to use their potential in order to enhance the organizational performance. In a
flexible market, an organization like DHL can be advantageous of higher labor
productivity.
Efficiency of Financial Markets: Financial market is strongly related with the economic
growth, savings & investment. Also, financial market plays essential role when it comes
to the matter of ability to raise capital.62 DHL’s operations in high efficient financial
markets may lead them to a strong liquidity position that strengthens their capacity to
emerge into new markets.
59
Lichtenstein and Lyons, (2008)
60
Egbunike and Okerekeoti, (2018)
61
Fleetwood, (2014)
62
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, (2005)
SOCIAL FACTORS: Social factors that affect an organization include the values, beliefs,
attitudes, opinions, and lifestyles of a person that usually developed from the cultural,
demographic, ecological, educational, religious and ethnic reasoning.63 Social factors that
affect DHL are broadly explained as following:
63
Pearce and Robinson, (2013)
64
Danziger, (2018)
65
GEERTZ and HERMAN, (2017)
66
Dauda and Ismaila, (2013)
Continuous Technological Advancements: Changes in technological advancements
affects not only the business but the industry also.67 DHL needs to in line with the
continuous technological development to stay ahead than its competitors.
Cost-Benefit Investment: DHL must analyze the cost benefit relationship while making
investment on technologies. R&D activities regarding technological advancements
needed for DHL to maximize profit.
LEGAL FACTORS: A careful concern required for every organization in terms of their legal
environment. Legal factors, related to DHL, are explained as following:
Labor & Employment Laws: Most of the countries where DHL operates, they have
distinctive laws to their protect labor & employees from discriminations and to ensure
health and social safety. Studying such laws and practices on those can provide a positive
image of DHL to regulatory bodies within the country.
Consumer Laws: DHL has to comply with consumer protection laws in different
countries. Compliance here means to maintain the laws regarding setting the maximum
price, certain level of quality standard, and avoidance of fraudulent marketing claims.
Intellectual Property Laws: Organizations patent and ideas are protected by the
intellectual property laws of a country. DHL should be able to protect its intellectual
property rights otherwise it can lose competitive advantage that surely weakens the
position of DHL against its competitors.
Renewable Sources: A lot of countries offering subsidies and other benefits to business
to encourage them in renewable technologies.68 DHL can be benefitted from such
opportunities by investing on renewable technologies and can become more sustainable.
Anti-pollution Activities: To mitigate the pollution in every level, more countries are
engaging businesses in their territory into anti-pollution activities like recycling and
waste management. DHL needs to adopt & practice such policies or standards as so many
countries are strict regarding their policies especially about the waste management.
67
Barnat (2005)
68
Bahar, Egeland and Steenblik, (2013)
Green Business: Green policies have become strategic approach for the logistics
companies.69 Consideration about green business practices can create new opportunities
for DHL to increase trust of its stakeholders & also to comply with the regulatory
standards.
Depletion of Scarce Resource: Study needs to be undertaken by DHL to avoid excessive
depletion of resources to comply with the environmental regulations of a country. Using
scarce resources excessively might bring trouble to the organization through
environmentalist groups, journalists or general public.
69
Karagülle, (2012)
PORTER’S FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS
Threat of New Entrants: The entry barriers are high in logistics industry as high level of capital
requirements needed within the industry. It is highly difficult to achieve economies of scale in
the industry where DHL operates that makes new entrants a weaker force. Product differentiation
in logistics industry is strong that is considered as a competitive advantage for DHL & makes
entry barriers high.70 DHL and other firms within the industry have a great emphasis on
promotions and customer feedback programs that limits the threat of new entries. Governmental
policies and strict regulations regarding registration, licensing & other requirements make new
entrants a weak force. Further, DHL can mitigate the threats by engaging more in product
differentiation. Also DHL needs to build capacity on R&D sector for innovation and
development of product and services to eliminate threat of new entrants.
Bargaining Power of Suppliers: The industry where DHL operates has a large supplier base
compared to its customers that indicates supplier dominance a weaker force as bargaining power
of supplier is manipulated by number of suppliers.71 The switching cost in the industry is low;
hence, DHL has dominance over its supplier. Supplier in the industry dominants over DHL due
to there are no substitute products. Being one of the top players in the industry, DHL became an
important customer to its supplier.72 Therefore, suppliers have profit dependency over DHL that
shows supplier as a weaker force. To tackle the bargaining power of suppliers, DHL needs to
consider multiple suppliers within its supply chain and to build close relationship among the
parties for mutual benefit.
Bargaining Power of Buyers: Power of buyers depends on the market situation and the
importance of that purchase.73 Though buyers in the industry have fewer options of choosing,
still they want maximum quality with a given price that puts pressure on DHL. The buyers also
are concerned about the quality that indicates their less price sensitivity. To minimize the
bargaining power, DHL needs to develop cost advantage through economies of scale to provide
products and services at a lower price to attract more buyers.
70
Business Wire, (2017)
71
Slater & Olson, (2002)
72
Transport Topics, (2019)
73
Chowdhury, Hasan and Islam, (2017)
Threats of Substitute Products or Services: From the perspective of the company, it’s better to
have threats of substitute at low level.74 Threats of substitutes in the industry, where DHL
operates, have a weak force due to the availability of fewer substitutes. The substitutes that are
available are of high quality that is expensive whereas DHL sell at a lower price. Threats of
substitutes would be stronger if cheaper facilities than DHL are available in the industry. To
eliminate such threats, DHL have to continuously focus on improving the quality by maintaining
its cost leadership at the same time.
Rivalry among Competitors: The competition among the existing firms is really high due to the
presence of well-known international companies such as FedEx, UPS etc. Due to low product
differentiation, competitors are most likely to compete with their quality and price.75
Differentiating DHL’s facilities will create uniqueness within the industry and the competitors
will have less effect on customers of the industry. DHL also needs to strengthen its core
competencies in order to better compete with its competitors.
74
Bruijl, (2018)
75
Kaunyangi,( 2014)
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