TEORIA DE LAS DECISIONES

PHASE 1

TUTOR: NURY YASMIN MORENO

PRESENTADO POR: IVAN ARTURO RAMIREZ SALAZAR

GRUPO:212066_40

UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL ABIERTA Y A DISTANCIA – UNAD

2020
Exercise 1. Probabilities of a given event:
Suppose you have three dice which are not altered, this assumes fair play and the odds of
any one of their heads coming out are equal. When rolling the three dice, you must
determine that:
1. Exit number 6 on all dice.

2. The sum of the three dice adds up to 7.

Exercise 2. Graphic solution of equations:
Using the algebraic graphical method, determine the cut-off point and solution that
satisfies the following systems of equations:

1. Y = -3X + 5
2. Y = -3X + 2
Exercise 3. Matrix operations:
The Markov chains use probabilities of previous states, from there that the matrix
multiplication is very important to solve this type of problems. Given the following
matrices of size (n * m) or (m * m) solve the product of them.
0.3 0.4 0.3
1. 𝐴 = [0.1 0.3 0.6] 𝐵 = [0.5 0.3 0.2]
0.3 0.3 0.4
0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2
2. 𝐴 = [0.1 0.4 0.5] 𝐵 = [0.1 0.3 0.6]
0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5

1.

2.