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Interim Results
31 December 2008
No Offer of Securities
Nothing in this release should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell
BHP Billiton securities in any jurisdiction.
Interim Results
31 December 2008
Interim Results
31 December 2008
(50)
16
3
14
0
1H2009
FY2002
FY2003
FY2004
FY2005
FY2006
FY2007
FY2008
12
10
8 Return to Shareholders(b)
(US$bn)
6
9
4
6
2
3
FY2002
FY2003
FY2004
FY2005
FY2006
FY2007
FY2008
1H2009
1H2009
FY2002
FY2003
FY2004
FY2005
FY2006
FY2007
FY2008
(a) Includes capital and exploration expenditures (excludes acquisitions)
(b) Includes dividends paid and share buy-backs
FY 2005 to FY 2008 have been calculated on the basis of IFRS. Prior periods have been calculated on the basis of UKGAAP
FY 2007 and FY 2008 cashflow reflects proportional consolidation of joint ventures
Interim Results
31 December 2008
(68) WTI
(67) Copper
(53) Aluminium
(50) Nickel
(45) Lead
(40) Zinc
3 Actual
Jan 2008
2 Apr 2008
Jul 2008
Oct 2008
1
Jan 2009
(1)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
80
70
60
50
40 Ex China
30
20
10
0
Iron Ore Energy Steel Zinc Alumina Aluminium Copper Nickel Oil
Coal
Source: CRU, Brook Hunt, IISI, PEL, BP Statistical Review of Energy, China Customs, BHP Billiton estimates
Construction 15
Machinery 48%
20%
10 9
5
Infrastructure
14%
0
2000 2008 2015 2025
Source: BHP Billiton estimates Source: McKinsey & Co; BHP Billiton estimates
Enterprise Value(d)
(EVA) Desired Minimum Credit Rating(c) (US$10bn)
50
Need Financial Well
40 Restructuring Positioned
BHP
30 Billiton
ROIC – WACC(b)
20
10
Breakeven
0
(10)
Possible Need Operating
Distress Restructuring
(20)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Z
Predicted Credit Rating 2009(a)
(a) Forecasted Altman Z score
(b) Median WACC for selected sample
(c) Z score corresponding to S&P’s B grade credit rating
(d) Enterprise value is calculated as sum of Market value (as of January 22, 2009), book value of minority interest, preferred stock, total debt, net pension obligations less book value of long term
investment and excess cash (defined as cash over 2% of sales)
Source: Bloomberg; Analyst reports; McKinsey & Co analysis
10
0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009E
2010E
Source: McKinsey Mining Database; RMG
30 75
20 50
10 25
0 0
H1 FY
FY 2001
FY 2002
FY 2003
FY 2004
FY 2005
FY 2006
FY 2007
FY 2008
2009
Moody’s Investment A3 A2 A1 A1
Services
Standard & Poor’s A- A A+ A+
Underlying Gearing and Underlying EBITDA interest cover shown for FY2005 to H1 FY2009
FY 2005 to FY 2008 have been calculated on the basis of IFRS. Prior periods have been calculated on the basis of UKGAAP
US$bn FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009F FY 2010F
Growth 1.9 2.0 1.7 2.6 4.0 5.5 6.1 8.7
Sustaining and Other 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.3 2.1 1.6 1.8 1.3
Exploration(a) 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.3
Total 3.1 3.0 3.1 4.4 6.9 7.9 9.3 11.3 9.8
(US$bn)
15 FY 2010F
Exploration
12
Sustaining Capex
9 Growth Expenditure
0
FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009F FY 2010F
(a) FY2009F includes US$700m for Petroleum
FY 2005 to FY 2008 have been calculated on the basis of IFRS. Prior periods have been calculated on the basis of UKGAAP
(%)
60
Return on Capital
(a)
EBIT Margin
50 48 48
46
44
40
40 38 38
35
30 29 30
30
24
20 21
20
13
11
10
0
FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 H1 2009
70 H1
250
60
200
50
40 150
30
100
20
50
10
0 0
(a)
FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 1H 2009 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 1H 2009
Note: BHP Billiton’s EPS represents reported underlying EPS for the financial year ending 30 June
(a) Excludes exceptional items amounting to 63.1 cents per share
(US$m)
16,000
518
1,457
14,000
2,960
(1,610) 11,899
12,000 (262) (423) (251) (113)
10,000 9,623
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Dec 2007 Net Price(a) Exchange Other (b) Cash Non Cash Inflation Volume(c) Exploration Dec 2008
Costs Costs & Bus Dev
(US$m)
4,000
Met Coal
3,000 2,816
Iron Ore
2,043
2,000 Manganese
1,093 Energy Coal
1,000 716 Petroleum Diamonds
219 46
00
Aluminium
(1,000) (152)
Nickel
(916)
(2,000)
(3,000)
Copper
(2,905)
(4,000)
(US$m)
500 Petroleum
401
400
100
00
D&SP Energy Coal Met Coal Aluminium/
(100) (12) (32) (36) Alumina
(200) (42)
Manganese Nickel
(300) (193) (202)
Copper
(400)
(339)
(500)
(a) Volume variances calculated using previous year margin and includes new operations
8
25
6 20
15
4
10
2
5
0 0
FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 1H 2009
Note: FY 2005 to FY 2008 have been calculated on the basis of IFRS. Prior periods have been calculated on the basis of UKGAAP
Debt Balances
(US$m(b))
2,000
1,600
1,200
800
400
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Post
2020
US$ Euro Bank CP Jointly Controlled
Bonds Bonds Debt Issuance Entities(c) Subsidiaries(d)
% of Portfolio 61% 16% 0% 0% 20% 3%
Capital Markets 77% Bank Supported 0% Asset Financing 23%
6,000
5,293
5,013 4,951 Other
5,000 China Japan SSM
3,999 Energy Coal
4,000 3,611
North America Manganese
Other Asia
2,946 Iron Ore
3,000
2,407
Base Metals
2,000 1,588 Aluminium
1,357
1,075 Petroleum
1,000 785
371 431
00
FY 2002
H1 2003
H2 2003
H1 2004
H2 2004
H1 2005
H2 2005
H1 2006
H2 2006
H1 2007
H2 2007
H1 2008
H2 2008
H1 2009
Interim Results Presentation, 4 February 2009 Slide 33
Summary of Key FX Components
in Tax Expense
Other Items 31 52
Total 1,163 44
3.5
0.5
0.0
Jun 2008
Jul 2008
Nov 2008
Jan 2008
May 2008
Aug 2008
Jan 2009
Mar 2008
Feb 2008
Apr 2008
Sep 2008
Oct 2008
Dec 2007
Dec 2008
Source: Datastream