India Meteorological Department

(Ministry of Earth Sciences)

BULLETIN NO. : 19 (BOB/02/2020)

TIME OF ISSUE: 2000 HOURS IST DATED: 14.10.2020

FROM: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT (FAX NO. 24643965/24699216/24623220)
TO: CONTROL ROOM, NDM, MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS (FAX.NO. 23093750)
CONTROL ROOM NDMA (FAX.NO. 26701729)
CABINET SECRETARIAT (FAX.NO.23012284, 23018638)
PS TO HON’BLE MINISTER FOR S & T AND EARTH SCIENCES (FAX NO.23316745)
SECRETARY, MOES, (FAX NO. 24629777)
H.Q. (INTEGRATED DEFENCE STAFF AND CDS) (FAX NO. 23005137/23005147)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, DOORDARSHAN (23385843)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, AIR (23421105, 23421219)
PIB MOES (FAX NO. 23389042)
UNI (FAX NO. 23355841)
D.G. NATIONAL DISASTER RESPONSE FORCE (NDRF) (FAX NO. 26105912, 2436 3260)
DIRECTOR, PUNCTUALITY, INDIAN RAILWAYS (FAX NO. 23388503)
CHIEF SECRETARY, GOVT. OF MAHARASHTRA (FAX NO. 022 22028594)
CHIEF SECRETARY, KARNATAKA (FAX NO. 080- 22256360)
CHIEF SECRETARY, GUJARAT (FAX NO.079-23250305)

Sub: Depression weakened into a well marked low pressure area

The Depression over north Interior Karnataka and adjoining areas of

Maharashtra moved west-northwestwards and weakened into a well marked low
pressure area over south Madhya Maharashtra & neighbourhood.
It is very likely to move west-northwestwards and emerge into eastcentral
Arabian Sea off Maharashtra coast around 16th October morning. It is very likely to
intensify into a Depression during subsequent 24 hours over eastcentral & adjoining
northeast Arabian Sea off Maharashtra – south Gujarat coasts. It is very likely to
move gradually west-northwestwards and intensify further.

Warnings:
(i) Rainfall warning
 14th October 2020: Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very
heavy falls at a few places and Extremely heavy rainfall (>20 cm per day) at
isolated places would occur over Madhya Maharashtra, Konkan & Goa and
coastal Karnataka and heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places. Also Heavy
rainfall at isolated places likely over south Gujarat.
 15th October 2020: Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very
heavy falls at a few places and Extremely heavy rainfall (>20 cm per day) at
isolated places would occur over Konkan & Goa, heavy to very heavy falls at
isolated places over coastal Karnataka and heavy falls at isolated places over
Madhya Maharashtra and south Gujarat.
Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: ≤25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.
 (ii) Wind warning
 Strong wind speed reaching 20-30 kmph gusting to 40 kmph very likely to prevail
around the system centre and over Madhya Maharashtra, Konan and adjoining
North Interior Karnataka during next 12 hours and gradually decrease thereafter.
 Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph very likely to
commence along & off Maharashtra & south Gujarat coasts from 15th October
evening. It would gradually increase becoming 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph
over eastcentral & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea and along & off Maharashtra
& Gujarat coasts from 16th October evening and 55– 65 kmph gusting to 75
kmph over the same area on 17th October evening.
(iii) Sea condition
 Sea condition will be rough to very rough over eastcentral & adjoining
northeast Arabian Sea and along & off Maharashtra & Gujarat coasts during
16th -18th October.
(iv) Fishermen Warning
 Fishermen are advised not to venture into the Sea along & off Maharashtra &
south Gujarat coasts and over eastcentral & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea
from 16th October onwards for the subsequent 3 days.
 Fishermen out at Sea are advised to return to coast by 15th October 2020.
(v) Damage expected over coastal Karnataka and Madhya Maharashtra,
Konkan & Goa
 Damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees and orchards & drumstick
trees and Horticultural crops. Minor damage to Kutcha embankments due to
heavy rain.
 Flooding / water logging in low lying areas, disruption of surface transport,
landslides, water pooling etc. Also Roads could be wet & slippery.
 Clogging of Drainage system and flash floods due to heavy rains.

The next bulletin will be issued at 0830 hrs IST of 15th October, 2020.

(Sunitha Devi.),
Scientist-E, RSMC, New Delhi

Copy to: ACWC Kolkata/ Chennai/ CWC Bhubaneswar/CWC Visakhapatnam/CWC

Thiruvanathapuram

Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: ≤25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.
 Well Marked Low Pressure area
over south Madhya Maharashtra
& neighbourhood

Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: ≤25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.
 OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK OF DEEP DEPRESSION OVER BAY
OF BENGAL BASED ON 1200UTC OF 14TH OCT, 2020

Spatial rainfall distribution: Isolated: ≤25%, A few: 26-50%, Many: 51-75%, Most: 76-100%
Rainfall amount (mm): Heavy rain: 64.5 – 115.5, Very heavy rain: 115.6 – 204.4, Extremely heavy rain: 204.5 or more.