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The company is thinking of acquiring machinery with new technology to carry out

its workshop work. The purchase will be decided according to several alternatives
presented by the seller (adaptability), this to facilitate the implementation in the
workshop. The decision variables presented below represent the cost of adaptatio
that will arise after acquiring the machinery and training the workers in their use.
Table 11 shows the costs in millions of currency units per technology. Determine
the optimal size of the premises to be purchased, using the methods of LAPLACE,
WALD, HURWICZ AND SAVAGE. Hurwicz Alpha 0,70.

Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812

Maximin o de Wald

Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812

Technology 1 780
Technology 2 820
TECHNOLOGY3 IS THE
Technology 3 830 HIGHEST AMONG THE
WORST
TECHNOLOGY3 IS THE
HIGHEST AMONG THE
Technology 4 630 WORST

Maximax

Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812

Technology 1 860
Technology 2 880
TECHNOLOGY 4 IS THE
Technology 3 900 HIGHEST BETWEEN THE
Technology 4 910 BEST

Hurwicz

Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812

α= 0.7
1-α= 0.3

Alternative
Technology 1 (780*0,70)+(860*0,30) 572
Technology 2 (820*0,70)+(880*0,30) 838
Technology 3 (830*0,70)+(900*0,30) 851
Technology 4 (630*0,70)+(910*0,30) 714

THE OPTION TO CHOOSE IN THIS CASE ARE


TECHNOLOGIES 2 AND 3

Laplace

Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812

THE SAME PROBABILITY APPLIES

Technology 1 (780+810+818+860)/4 817


Technology 2 (880+820+855+820)/4 844
Technology 3 (830+875+878+900)/4 871
Technology 4 (630+872+812+910)/4 806

THE OPTION TO CHOOSE IN THIS CASE ARE THE


TECHNOLOGIES 3

Savage

Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812
MAXIMO VALOR 880 875 878

Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 100 65 60
Technology 2 0 55 23
Technology 3 50 0 0
Technology 4 250 3 66

THE OPTION TO CHOOSE IN THIS CASE


ARE THE TECHNOLOGIES 3
technology to carry out
g to several alternatives
implementation in the
nt the cost of adaptation
he workers in their use.
technology. Determine
e methods of LAPLACE,
pha 0,70.

Fits
well
860
820
900
910

Fits
well
860
820
900
910

HNOLOGY3 IS THE
HEST AMONG THE
WORST
HNOLOGY3 IS THE
HEST AMONG THE
WORST

Fits
well
860
820
900
910

HNOLOGY 4 IS THE
HEST BETWEEN THE
BEST

Fits
well
860
820
900
910

Fits
well
860
820
900
910

Fits
well
860
820
900
910
910

Fits
SUMA
well
50 275
90 168
10 60
0 319

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