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over the continental United States during the 25. C. A. Woodhouse, J. T. Overpeck, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Enterprise’s Global Modeling and Analysis Program and
spring and winter seasons (not shown) suggests Soc. 79, 2693 (1998). the NASA Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project.
that the impact of the land is primarily a contem- 26. D. L. Bark, in North American Droughts, N. J. Rosen-
poraneous feedback and not the result of memory Supporting Online Material
berg, Ed. (AAAS Selected Symposia Series, Westview www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/303/5665/1855/
of the previous season’s anomalies. We note that Press, Boulder Colorado, 1978), pp. 9 –23.
the observations do show substantial precipitation DC1
deficits to the north and east of the core region 27. U.S. Drought Monitoring Page (www.drought.unl.edu/ Materials and Methods
during spring, but similar anomalies are also obtained dm/monitor.html). Fig. S1
for some of the individual model runs, suggesting 28. Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, D. Battisti, J. Clim. 10, 1004 References and Notes
that the observed precipitation anomalies in the (1997).
spring may not have been forced by SST anomalies. 29. This work was supported by the NASA Earth Science 23 December 2003; accepted 20 February 2004
L⫽ f (s)[(1 ⫹ v)/][(y – f )/ qualitatively captures the trends of the exper- and assume that the average radius of n con-
iments, the data exhibit a dependence on tacting asperities, a0, is constant. As the pres-
( – f ) 2 ]Gd 0 (1) pressure stronger than P–1. sure over a macroscopic contact area, A
A natural way to modify Andrews’ results (equal to nD2), is increased, n, as well as the
Applying Eq. 1 to our experiments, the tran- is to introduce some microcontact physics real contact area, Ar (equal to na02), in-
sition length is inversely proportional to the and to thus consider the effect of pressure on crease. By defining the hardness, H, as the
applied uniaxial pressure, P, as d0. We first note that there exists a linear ratio of the normal force N to Ar (23), N can
relation between a characteristic surface be expressed as N ⫽ HAr ⫽ A ⫽ APcos2␣.
L ⫽ f (s)[(1 ⫹ v)/]G[(s – d)/ length (half-distance between contacting as- Substitution of A and Ar in terms of D and a0,
(tan ␣ – d)2](d 0/P) (2) perities, D) and the critical slip distance d0 respectively, gives D ⫽ 公H a0cos ␣P –1/2.
{d0 ⫽ c[(y – f )/ f ]MD, where c and M are With the use of the relation d0 ␣ D, d0 is
We can compare our experiments to An- constants} (22). We then denote the normal found to depend on the pressure as d0 ␣ P–1/2.
drews’ theory (Fig. 4). Although the theory stress applied on the fault as ( ⫽ Pcos2␣) By further using Eq. 2, a modified expression
2c 冉 s 冊冑
s ⫺ d 3
Ha 0 P – 2 cos–1␣ (3)
1.
References and Notes
A. Lin et al., Science 296, 2015 (2002).
San Diego, CA, 1999), p. 752.
27. F. F. Abraham, H. J. Gao, Phys. Rev. Lett. 84, 3113
(2000).
28. Authors appreciate fruitful discussions with T.
For seismic applications, we rewrite Eq. 1 in 2. M. Bouchon, M. Vallee, Science 301, 824 (2003). Heaton and G. Ravichandran from Caltech and J. R.
terms of the effective stress, e ⫽ – f, as 3. R. J. Archuleta, J. Geophys. Res. 89, 4559 (1984). Rice from Harvard. This study is supported by NSF
L ⫽ f(s)(1 ⫹ v)(1 ⫹ s)Gd0/e. Application 4. P. Spudich, E. Cranswick, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 74, grant EAR-0207873 and Office of Naval Research
2083 (1984). grant N00014-03-1-0435.
of this equation to both seismic faulting and 5. K. B. Olsen, R. Madariaga, R. J. Archuleta, Science 278,
to laboratory data allows us to scale L from 834 (1997). 25 November 2003; accepted 13 January 2004
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