Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Concluding Remarks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
“How well is my Developed by Aon plc and the Wharton School of the University
organization’s of Pennsylvania, the Aon Risk Maturity Index was designed to help
risk management senior finance and risk leaders respond to questions like those
framework prepared posed here. The “Index” is an innovative platform that assists
to address the severity organizations in strengthening their operating performance and/
and complexity or reducing volatility by empowering them with insights and
of the risks and guidance on best practices, tools and techniques to enhance their
opportunities in today’s risk governance and risk management practices.
dynamic economic
environment?” Over the past four years, analysts from the Aon Risk Maturity Index
team and the Wharton School have aggregated and analyzed
Risk Maturity Index participant data and have developed annual
“How does adopting Aon Risk Maturity Insight Reports which present findings on the
sophisticated risk interplay of organizational risk management and the relative
management practices maturity of their enterprise risk management approaches. The
help my organization 2015 Aon Risk Maturity Index Insight Report is a new installment
better manage capital that endeavors to drive marketplace insights on the importance
allocation and firm of advanced risk management practices with the proper tools and
volatility?” techniques to empower results.
Respectfully submitted,
The interconnected nature of these risks has been We re-examine the relationship between
felt by many organizations, as witnessed by the Risk Maturity and Financial Performance:
multitude of data breaches over the past two
— We confirm past analysis from the Aon Centre
years, which has in some cases eroded consumer
of Innovation and Analytics (ACIA) on the
trust in organizations. The ability of organizations
relationship between a higher Risk Maturity
to understand and manage the increasingly
Rating and superior stock price performance.
interconnected nature of risks and develop the
organizational governance and processes that — We confirm prior analysis on the inverse
encourage improved risk-based decision making is relationship between a higher Risk Maturity
imperative to their financial and operational well- Rating and stock price volatility
being. The substantial volatility experienced in major — We introduce new and expanded findings
equity and commodities markets in the second half on the relationship between a higher Risk
of 2015, stagnating growth in emerging markets, and Maturity Rating and the relative resilience of
changing nature and complexity of risk reinforces an organization’s stock price in volatile equity,
that advanced risk management practices not only currency, and commodity market scenarios
provide protection to organizational performance
We look at the importance of building a cross-
during significant risk events but also provide the
functional understanding of risk, discuss a case
ability to recognize and take action on opportunities.
study example to illustrate this in practice,
and explore the following three key factors
In this edition of the Aon Risk Maturity Index
that distinguish high and low risk maturity:
Insight Report, we present our latest insights
and guidance to enable organizations — Communication of risk management
-20%
-30%
-40%
Risk Maturity Rating
60%
Share Price Volatility
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
0.0%
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
-0.2%
-0.4%
Share Price Impact
-0.6%
-0.8%
-1.0%
-1.2%
-1.4%
Risk Maturity Rating
Source: Bloomberg
The Volatility Index (VIX) represents one measure of the overall implied volatility of
the stock market. For this scenario, the VIX index is shocked with a 20% increase with
extension to its effect on other Bloomberg Factors.
-4.0%
-6.0%
-8.0%
-10.0%
-12.0%
Risk Maturity Rating
Source: Bloomberg
For this scenario, all base metals are shocked with a 20% decrease with extension to its
effect on other Bloomberg Factors.
0.0%
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
-2.0%
-4.0%
Share Price Impact
-6.0%
-8.0%
-10.0%
-12.0%
-14.0%
Risk Maturity Rating
Source: Bloomberg
Athens’ resistance via referendum, and ultimately the agreement to rush through long-
resisted economic reforms imposed by its creditors in a bid to stay in the Eurozone.
Historical risk factor returns from 06/22/2015-07/08/2015.
Risks arise and evolve within organizational silos. The Aon Risk Maturity Index has afforded Aon and
Standalone departments, business functions or Wharton researchers the opportunity to capture data
units in distinct and disparate geographies respond on the characteristics of organizations that effectively
to risks in siloed fashion, which drives a precise united organizational siloes and implemented an
but narrow approach, ultimately introducing integrated approach to understanding risk. At Aon
inaccuracy that may be at odds, or even confounding we are frequently engaged by senior risk leadership
to the organization’s broader risk management on specific strategies that the more sophisticated
approach. The response is not quite right. organizations are implementing to distinguish
their risk management practices. Analysis of over
The financial crisis of 2007 – 2008 is one example nine hundred organizations that have participated
of how even the most sophisticated organizations in Aon’s Risk Maturity Index has enabled Aon and
are subject to operating in silos, making strong Wharton researchers to identify key factors to
individual decisions with refined techniques, but successfully understanding and managing risk:
resulting in an unreliable solution. In 2007, at the
onset of the financial crisis, there were a total of Three factors differentiate high- and
eight companies assigned a Triple A (AAA) rating low- risk maturity operations:
by the three major rating agencies but over fifty-
thousand financial instruments with the same – Cross-functional collaboration
60.0%
50.9%
50.0% 48.2%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0% 16.7%
11.2%
10.0%
0.8%
0.0%
Rarely or never Yes, on an ad hoc basis Yes, through a defined,
to cooperate in data jointly executed risk
gathering or analysis assessment process designed
to reduce duplicative effort
70.0% 67.5%
59.8%
60.0%
50.0%
39.6%
40.0%
30.0%
19.0%
20.0%
13.4%
10.0%
0.5%
0.0%
Rarely or never Yes, on an ad hoc basis Yes, through a defined,
to cooperate in data jointly executed risk
gathering or analysis assessment process parties on
a consistent and formal basis
30.0% 25.5%
20.0%
10.0%
1.3%
0.0%
Inconsistent, varies within Inconsistent, though Consistent across
functional areas, units consistent within functional the organization
or processes areas, units or processes
Better/More Mature
7%
37.5% 35.8%
Comparable
47%
Worse/Less Mature
46%
We suggest the following key areas may help explain these differences;
The schematic below illustrates the different priorities, areas of focus and concern
on the minds of C-Suite level executives and corporate risk managers.
1 1
Increasing Damage to
competition reputation/brand
2 3 2 3
Economic Regulatory/ Regulatory/ Economic
slowdown/slow legislative legislative slowdown/slow
recovery changes changes recovery
4 5 4 5
Damage to Cash flow/ Failure to attract or Business
reputation/brand liquidity risk retain top talent interruption
1
Risk
2
Formalized
3
Formalized
4
Risk
Dashboards Risk Team Post Mortems Mapping
The use of advanced risk quantification techniques Researchers from Wharton found strong correlations
and the utilization of those outputs in the decision- between sophisticated risk-based forecasting and
making process can provide increased precision to planning practices and reduced firm volatility as
an organization’s forecasts and provide management reflected in cash flow, earnings, sales, and stock
with greater transparency into the organization’s price. In addition, researchers also found strong
risk exposure. The October 2014 Risk Maturity correlation between RBFP practices and the accuracy
Index Insight Report analyzed the effects of risk- of an organization’s earnings forecast. This year,
based forecasting and planning (RBFP) on firm researchers from Aon and Wharton take a step further
volatility as well as on an organization’s earnings in identifying best practices around quantitative
forecast accuracy. Characteristics of organizations risk management, specifically through the analysis
with advanced RBFP capabilities include the extent of risk appetite and the integration of quantification
to which formal, quantitative risk assessments methods into the decision-making process. But
and evaluations are conducted; the identification before delving into the specific findings from the
of risk drivers and risk interdependencies and Risk Maturity Index, we’ll quickly examine one
the integration of this information into decision- company that has successfully made the transition to
making; and the incorporation of risk considerations integrating risk into its decision making processes.
in budgeting, project and capital investment
decisions and strategy development.
1 2 3 Premium
+ + = and Retained
Quantified Insurable Determined Risk Redesigned
Risk Savings
Risk Exposure Contribution Insurance Program
to Expenses and Risk Portfolio
Analyzing results from over 900 organizations responding to the Risk Maturity Index,
researchers found that over 50% of organization’s scoring above average make risk transfer
and insurance decisions based on a robust analysis of their risk exposure and tolerance
for insurable risks; taking into account the impact on financial position and performance
whereas only 15% of organizations scoring below average on the Index made their
risk transfer and insurance decisions utilizing robust analysis on their risk exposure and
tolerance. This is further evidenced by data showing that 41% of organizations scoring
above average on the Index make risk management decisions with formalized quantified
measures of risk tolerance versus only 8% of organizations scoring below average. A
final observation that researchers noticed was around optimization of an organization’s
total cost of risk. 74% of organizations scoring above average on the Risk Maturity Index
utilize risk tolerance and robust risk analysis techniques to drive decisions on the optimal
total cost of risk. Graphs 12, 13 and 14 illustrate the analysis from Aon and Wharton.
51% 50%
50.0%
43%
40.0%
35%
30.0%
20.0%
15%
10.0% 8%
0.0%
Primarily on benchmarks Primarily on benchmarks, On a robust analysis of risk
and historical approaches supplemented with exposure and tolerance for
analysis of risk exposure insurable risks, taking into
for selected risks account the impact on financial
position and performance
50.0%
41%
40.0% 35%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0% 8%
4%
0.0%
Rarely or never Yes, informally or Yes, formally and with
inconsistently development of or reference to
quantified meaures of tolerance
Graph Fourteen: Risk tolerance and the results of robust analysis of insurable
risks combine to drive decisions on the optimal total cost of risk
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
27%
30.0%
20.0%
8%
10.0%
0.0%
Yes
Aon Risk Maturity Index: Distribution of Risk Maturity Ratings (October 2015)
Aon Risk Maturity Index
25% Distribution of Risk Maturity Ratings (October 2015)
21.1%
20% 19.6%
14.5%
15% 14.0%
11.2%
10% 10.6%
5%
3.7% 4.6%
0.6%
0%
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
Initial Initial to Basic Basic to Defined Defined to Operational Operational Advanced
Basic Defined Operational to Advanced
Aon will continue its research with The Wharton School to identify
key risk management practices and processes that contribute to
improved financial performance as well as a deeper understanding
of industry-specific best practices in regards to risk management.
1 1.5 3
2 2.5
3.5 4.5 5
4
The Aon Risk Maturity Index is a free,
confidential and online tool. For more information
or to participate, please visit aon.com/rmi or
email risk.maturity.index@aon.com.
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About Aon
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