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Chinecherem Uzonwanne
Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka
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OVER THREE DECADES OF TRADE LIBERALISATION IN NIGERIA: IMPLICATIONS FOR INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION View project
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Interest
rate
Md
0
Fig 3.2: Exogenous Money Supply Curve
On the other hand, real money supply is measured in units of constant purchasing power, i.e. the
purchasing power of the existing money stock. The real money supply changes as the nominal
money supply remains constant at the level Ms0 and the price level (P0) declines by 50 percent, i.e.
from P0 to (1/2)P0 then real money supply will increase by 100 percent, i.e. from Ms0/P0. If we
assume exogeneity of money supply, the real money supply can be shown in figure 1.1b as follows:
M𝑠 0 M𝑠1 0 M𝑠2 0
P0 P0 P0
Interest
rate (r)
0
Fig 3.3: Real Money Supply Curve
Alternatively we can get the real money supply by deflating the nominal money supply by price
index. For example, if the nominal money supply in a country was N10,000m in 1970 and 12,000m
in 1979 while the index of retail price for 1979 is N240 (1970 = 100 or base year); then the real
money supply in 1979 is
Index of Retail Price 100
×
Nominal Money Supply 1
240 100
× = N2m
12000 1
In this case, even though the nominal money supply increased by N2000m, the real money supply
increased by N2m over the period.
3.4.2 Determinants of Money Supply
It is normally assumed that nominal money supply is exogenously determined, i.e. it is supplied
monetary authority or the central bank. But the real money supply is endogenously determined
since the price level variation cannot be fixed. In other words, it is determined by the following
factors: the Central bank behaviour, the behaviour of the non-bank public and the behaviour of the
commercial banks. Specifically, money supply is influenced by the following factors:
a. Total reserves supplied by the Central Bank:
If the total reserve supplied by the Central Bank is high, money supply will be high.
b. Reserve requirement:
If the reserve requirement (percentage of commercial banks' deposits legally required to be
kept with the Central bank) is high, money supply will be low.
c. Demand for currency:
If the non-bank public increases its demand for currency, money .supply will increase.
d. Demand for time deposits:
If the non-bank public increases its demand for time deposits, money supply will increase.
e. Demand for excess reserves:
If commercial banks demand for excess reserves increases; money supply increases.
f. Interest rates:
There is a positive relationship between money supply and interest rate. That is the higher
the interest rate the higher the money supply.
g. The bank rate:
If the rate at which commercial banks borrow from the Central bank or discount bill rises,
money supply falls.
Below is an illustration of an Endogenous Money Supply Curve.
rd Ms
0 Ms
Figure 3.4 endogenous money supply curve
Thus, the money supply equation can be stated summarily as:
1+C
M𝑠 = R
rd + rt + t + e
Where Ms is money supply, C is the desired currency ratio determined by the non-bank public, rd
is the reserve requirement percentage against demand deposits and set by the Central Bank, rt is
the reserve requirement percentage against commercial banks time deposits and is also set by the
Central bank, rt is the desired excess reserve ratio, determined by the commercial bank system, e
is the desired time deposit ratio which is determined by the non-bank public, and R is the quantity
of total reserves supplied to the commercial banking system by the Central Bank.
The Central Bank can control the size of the money supply by controlling R, rd and rt but
the other factors are functionally related to interest rates and other variable for example, currency
ratio, c, is said to be inversely related to national income while the public's desired time deposit
ratio, t, varies inversely with market-determined rates of interest and directly with the interest rate
which commercial banks are allowed to pay on time deposits.
On the other hand, the commercial banking system's desired excess reserve ratio, e, varies
inversely with market rates of interest and positively with the discount rate. These are as
summarized in the money supply equation above. Determinants of money supply can also be
alternatively summarized in a fairly simplified and complete money supply function as follows:
Ms = f(c, r, d, q, rd, rt, R)
Where Ms = the money supply
c = currency as demanded by the non-bank public
r = market rate of interest
d = the discount rate
q = time deposit rate
rd = reserve requirement on demand deposits
rt = reserve requirement on time deposits
R = quantity of total reserves supplied by the Central Bank
Thus, we recapitulate that money supply is determined jointly by the behaviour of the non-banking
public, the Central Banking authority, and the commercial banking system.
3.5 The Elementary Quantity Theory of Money
In the seventeenth century, it was discovered that there was connection between the
quantity of money (M) and the general level of prices (P). This the connection led to the
formulation of the Quantity Theory of Money. In its simplest form, the quantity theory of money
stated that an increase in the quantity of money (M) would bring about a proportionate rise in
prices.
Later, Professor Irving Fisher introduced a new concept to describe the relationship
between M and P. This new concept is called the "velocity of circulation of money" written as "V".
Money circulates from hand to hand. Let us illustrate that Musa, the farmer, spent N10 to buy ice
cream, the ice cream boy spent the same N10 to pay for the lunch in a nearby restaurant, while the
restaurant attendant spent the same N10 to buy vegetables from Musa. The N10 was returned to
where it was before the first transaction took place. In this case, the same currency has been used
for four separate transactions. That is to say that N10 did the work of N40. In the course of a year,
each unit of money is used many times. If one unit of money is used to serve four transactions, as
in our example, this is equivalent to four units of money, each being used in only one transaction.
Velocity of circulation of money can, therefore, be defined as the rate at which the stock of money
is turning over per year to consummate income transactions.
If the stock of money is turning over very slowly so that its rate of naira income spending
per year is low, then V will be low. If people spend as quickly as they earn, then V will be high.
With the introduction of the velocity of circulation of money, the quantity theory came to be
expressed by a new identity called the Quantity Equation of Exchange.
MV = PT
The symbol M represents the local amount of money in existence (i.e. coins, bank notes
and bank deposits). The symbol V represents the velocity of circulation. MV, therefore, represents
the amount of money used in a given period, P stands for the general price level, that is, some kind
of average of the prices of all kinds of commodities. The symbol T represents the total of all the
transactions that have taken place with money during the period.
The equation of exchange shows that the price level and the value of money can be influenced not
only by the quantity of money, M, but also by (i) the rate at which money circulates, V, and (ii)
the output of goods and services.
Therefore, prices could rise without any change in the quantity of money if a rise occurs in
the velocity of circulation. On the other hand prices might remain unchanged even though there
has been an increase in the quantity of money. This is possible where there has been a
corresponding increase in the output of goods and services.
3.6 Financial Institution
Financial institution is defined as an organized way or system of managing money.
Financial institutions can be classified into two broad headings:
(i) Traditional Financial Institutions, and
(ii) Modern Financial Institutions
3.6.1 Traditional Financial Institutions
The traditional financial institutions will include all arrangements for the management of
money before the development of the banking system. This was the system of borrowing and
lending that existed before the development of modern financial institutions.
A typical example of a traditional financial institution in Nigeria is called Esusu. It was
devised as a means to encourage savings. Under this system, a group of people agree to make
regular contributions of some amount as some specified regular intervals, sometimes daily,
sometimes weekly and sometimes monthly. The amount each participant agrees to contribute
depends on his ability. Usually, an officer is appointed called "collector". His primary function is
to go round members and collect their contributions. When contributions are made by several
individuals, the amount so generated could be quite large.
Varying arrangements exist for the distribution of the funds generated. The most common
arrangement is one in which the amount collected at the end of, say every month, is given to the
participants according to a previously agreed order. However, the system is flexible enough to
recognize people that are hard pressed for funds, such as the death of a member's father or mother,
which would require unexpected expenses for burial.
Apart from the system of Esusu, there is another traditional financial institution that was
common in Africa before the development of the banking system. The system is often referred to
as "money lender". A money lender is one who has lendable funds. He operates these funds on
purely commercial basis. In this case, he usually charges very high interest rates; in some cases,
close to a hundred percent. The factors that influence the interest rates include:
(i). The degree of need: When the degree is high, in which case the borrower is in dire need,
the rate is usually very high.
(ii). The timing of repayment: The longer the timing of repayment, the higher the interest rate.
(iii). Creditworthiness of the borrower: When is creditworthy, that is, he has some property
which could be confiscated, the rates are usually higher than when he is a poor stuff.
Advantages of Traditional Financial Institutions
(i). The institutions make funds available for various purposes.
(ii). Arrangements, for borrowing are simple. It is not a complicated system
(iii). System encourages thrift and saving habit.
Disadvantages of Traditional Financial Institutions
Among the various problems arising from the operation of the traditional financial institutions are:
(i). The system involves some elements of trade by barter. It is not easy to find people who
have money and willing to lend out money.
(ii). There is no protection against the loss of money contributed into Esusu. For example, if a
member who has collected the contributions made by others dies, there is no way of
recovering the money he has collected.
(iii). The fixing of interest rate, in the case of a money lender, is arbitrary and sometimes
inhuman.
(iv). Sometimes, the inability to repay loan leads to an arrangement whereby the son or daughter
of the loan defaulter is handed over to the creditor. The son or daughter would continue to
work for the creditor until the debtor settles his debt. The arrangement is like sending those
children into slavery.
3.6.2 Modern Financial Institutions
In the earlier chapter, an institution for buying and selling things, either commodities or
labour, was called a market. Since financial institutions deal with the lending and borrowing of
money, they are generally called financial markets. Banks, which we examined in the last chapter,
are financial markets and, therefore, one of the modern financial institutions. Also included under
financial markets are development banks, insurance companies, building societies and the stock
exchange.
Modern financial markets can be classified into two:
(i). Money Market, and
(ii). Capital Market.
3.6.2.1 The Money Market
Money market refers to a collection or group of financial institutions or exchange system set up
for dealing in short-term credit instruments of high quality, such as treasury bills, treasury
certificates, call money, commercial paper, Bankers' Unit Fund, certificates, ways and means
advances, as well as the dealing in gold and foreign exchange. These short-term instrument involve
a small risk due to loss, because they are issued by obligors of the highest credit rating and they
mature within one year.
The Nigerian Financial System
Federal Ministry of
finance and Economic
Development
Insurance Building
Industries Societies
Ways and Development Mortgage
Debenture
Means Banks Institutions
Bonds
Advances
Shares Merchant
Treasury
Commercial
While denoting trading in money and other short-term financial assets, the money they money
market comprises all the facilities of the country for the purchase and sale of money for
intermediate and deferred delivery and for the borrowing and lending of money for short periods
of time it is manifestation of dealing in short-term financial instruments (their sale and purchase,
as also borrowing and lending for short periods) on the one hand, and a collection of the dealers in
these assets on the other. H is thus a collection of financial institutions set up for granting of short-
term loans and dealing in short-term loans and dealing in short-term securities, gold and foreign
exchange.
Advantages of & Well-Developed Money Market:
The existence of a well-developed and a sensitive money market is necessary for the smooth
operation of monetary policy of the Central Bank. This is because, through the money market the
Central Bank can influence the short and long term structure of interest rates, and thus make an
impact on other rates as well.
The existence of an efficient money market enables commercial banks to conduct their
operations with smaller cash reserve ratios. That is, the money market imparts an element of
efficiency to the working of the banks.
With the existence of a bill market, the money market helps in financial trade and business
activities and hence promotes competition and trade generally.
Thus the money market is able to provide genuine trade activities and meet their varying
financial needs, while providing a lever in the hands of the authorities to implement their credit
controls more effectively
Also, the money market serves the business and trade by providing huge sums of money
according to its requirements and changing the supply there of as need be
In addition, the money market provides a mechanism whereby huge sums of money can
change quickly and safely.
Features of a Developed Money Market:
A developed money market refers to one which is comparatively efficient in the sense that it is
responsive to changes in demand for and supply of funds in any of its segments, and effects
initiated in any part of it quickly spread to others without significant time lags. To meet this
definition, a money market should possess these features:
a Presence of a Central Bank:
A Central Bank with adequate legal powers, sufficient relevant information and expertise,
must exist as a lender of last resort and as the initiator and executor of monetary policy in
a whole
b Presence of a developed Commercial Banking System:
A well-developed money-market should be characterized by the presence of a developed
commercial banking system, along with a wide-spread banking habit on the part of the
public.
c Adequate Supply of a Variety and quantity of financial assets:
In a well-developed money market, there should be an adequate supply of a variety and
quantity of short-term financial assets or instruments such as trade bills, treasury bills, etc.
d Presence of well-developed sub-markets:
The existence of a well-developed sub-markets and their adequate responsiveness to small
changes in interest and discount rates make room for a well-developed money market. If
the demand and supply of certain instruments dominate, the interaction between different
interest rates will be limited.
e Existence of Specialized institutions:
For competitiveness and efficiency, there must exist specialized institutions in particular
types of assets, e.g. specialized discount houses, acceptance houses specializing in
accepting bills, or specialized dealers in government securities.
f Existence of Contributory Legal and Economic Factors:
For the money market to well-developed, there must exist appropriate legal provisions to
reduce transaction costs, protect against default in payment, while prerequisite economic
forces such as speedy and cheap transmission of information, cheap fund remittance, and
adequate volume of trade and commerce, must exist.
Reasons for the establishment of the Nigerian money market:
a To provide the machinery needed for government short-term financing requirement,
b As an essential step on the path to independent nationhood, it was part of a modem financial
and monetary system to enable a nation to establish the monetary autonomy as a part and
parcel of the workings of an independent, modern state.
c To nationalize the credit base by providing local investment outlet for the retention of funds
in Nigeria and for the investment of funds repatriated from abroad as a result of government
persuasions to that effect.
d To perform for the country all the functions which money market traditionally performs,
such as the provision of the basis for operating and executing an effective monetary policy.
e To effectively mobilize resources for investment purposes.
Functions of the money market:
a It provides the basis for operating and executing an effective monetary policy.
b To promote an orderly flow of short-term funds.
c To ensure supply of the necessary means of expanding and contracting credits.
d It is a central pool of liquid financial resources upon which the banking system can drew
when it is in need of additional funds, and into which it can make payment when it holds
funds surplus to its needs.
e It provides the mechanism through which the liquidity of banking system is maintained at
the desired level.
f To provide banks to basic financial instruments for effective management of their
resources. Thus helps them to diversify their assets holdings by providing a forum for
investment of their surplus case.
g To provide the machinery needed for government short-term financing requirement, hence
achieving even seasonal variation in the normal flow of revenue.
h Mobilization of funds from savers (lenders) and the transmission of such funds to
borrowers (investors).
i It provides channel for the injection of Central Bank cash into the system r the economy.
j To maintain stable cash and liquidity ratios as a base for the operation.
k It helps commercial banks to lower cash reserves through the provision of a first line of
defence for cash in the form of call money, while providing second line of defence for cash
shortages through bills. If banks are threatened with cash shortages and if their cash
balances at the central Bank falls below the statutory minimum, the can draw on call money
and if need be they discount bill, for cash, including balances at the Central Bank.