EVALUATION OF BROWN PLANTHOPPER RISK PREDICTION MODEL: MODEL

VERIFICATION IN FELCRA, SEBERANG PERAK

Nurul Syakira Samsuri1*, Mohd Fitri Masarudin2, Mohammad Aufa Mhd. Bookeri1, Arina Mohd
Noh3, Nuraini Ahmad Ariff Shah3
1
Pusat Penyelidikan Kejuruteraan, MARDI Seberang Perai, 13200 Kepala Batas, Pulau Pinang.
2
Pusat Penyelidikan Padi dan Beras, MARDI Seberang Perai, 13200 Kepala Batas, Pulau
Pinang.
3
Pusat Penyelidikan Kejuruteraan, Ibu Pejabat MARDI, Peti Surat 12301, 50774 Kuala Lumpur.
Email : syakira@mardi.gov.my

ABSTRACT

Brown planthopper (Nilaparvata lugens) is a theat to paddy field. If the initial population of
brown planthopper is not controlled or control measures are taken slowly, there is a possibility of
‘hopperburn’ that can cause significant yield losses. Precisely and early warning of pest
population incidence would help farmers in planning to control the brown planthopper
population. An application of risk prediction model of brown plant hopper is experimented on
Felcra, Seberang Perak. A system of light trap is setup in this study area. To determine BPH risk
indeks at study area for the next week, criteria: temperature, humidity, light trap data, crop age
data and rice variety are used to calculate BPH risk index. The results of the model analysis will
be displayed as BPH risk forecast map. Risk evaluation classified into low, medium and high
level. The risk model can help farmers in particular to make crop protection plans in next weeks.
Preventive measures should be the target of a future developed early warning system.

Keywords: Risk Model, early warning, brown planthopper.