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Journal of Sports Sciences


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Match running performance fluctuations in elite


soccer: Indicative of fatigue, pacing or situational
influences?
a b
Paul S. Bradley & Timothy D. Noakes
a
Department of Sport & Exercise Sciences , University of Sunderland , Sunderland SR1 3SD ,
UK
b
Department of Human Biology , University of Cape Town , South Africa
Published online: 01 Jul 2013.

To cite this article: Journal of Sports Sciences (2013): Match running performance fluctuations in elite soccer: Indicative of
fatigue, pacing or situational influences?, Journal of Sports Sciences, DOI: 10.1080/02640414.2013.796062

To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2013.796062

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Journal of Sports Sciences, 2013
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2013.796062

Match running performance fluctuations in elite soccer: Indicative of


fatigue, pacing or situational influences?

PAUL S. BRADLEY1 & TIMOTHY D. NOAKES2


1
Department of Sport & Exercise Sciences, University of Sunderland, Sunderland SR1 3SD, UK, and 2Department of Human
Biology, University of Cape Town, South Africa

(Accepted 11 April 2013)


Downloaded by [Florida Atlantic University] at 10:43 01 September 2013

Abstract
The aims of this study were to: (1) quantify match running performance in 5-min periods to determine if players fatigue or
modulate high-intensity running according to a pacing strategy, and (2) examine factors impacting high-intensity running
such as score line, match importance and the introduction of substitutes. All players were analysed using a computerised
tracking system. Maintaining ‘high’ levels of activity in the first half resulted in a 12% reduction (P < 0.01) in the second half
for high-intensity running (effect size [ES]: 0.8), while no changes were observed in ‘moderate’ and ‘low’ groups
(ES: 0.0–0.2). The ‘high’ group covered less (P < 0.01) high-intensity running in the initial 10-min of the second versus
first half (ES: 0.6–0.7), but this was not observed in ‘moderate’ and ‘low’ groups (ES: 0.2–0.4). After the most intense
periods, players demonstrated an 8% drop in high-intensity running (P < 0.05) compared to the match average (ES: 0.2)
and this persisted for 5-min before recovering. Players covered similar high-intensity running distances in matches with
differing score lines but position-specific trends indicated central defenders covered 17% less (P < 0.01) and attackers 15%
more high-intensity running during matches that were heavily won versus lost (ES: 0.9). High-intensity running distances
were comparable in matches of differing importance, but between-half trends indicated that only declines (P < 0.01)
occurred in the second half of critical matches (ES: 0.2). Substitutes covered 15% more (P < 0.01) high-intensity running
versus the same time period when completing a full match (ES: 0.5). The data demonstrate that high-intensity running in
the second half is impacted by the activity of the first half and is reduced for 5-min after intense periods. High-intensity
running is also influenced by score line and substitutions but not match importance. More research is warranted to establish
if fluctuations in match running performance are primarily a consequence of fatigue, pacing or tactical and situational
influences.

Keywords: football, pacing, fatigue, score, substitutions, match importance

Introduction concentrations can reach 8–12 mmol ∙ l−1 (Ali &


Farrelly 1991; Bangsbo, 1994). Such demands
The activity pattern of soccer is intermittent, with
would certainly threaten homeostasis (Edwards &
players switching between brief bouts of high-intensity
Noakes, 2009).
running and longer periods of low-intensity exercise
Research demonstrates that high-intensity running
(Rampinini, Coutts, Castagna, Sassi, & Impellizzeri,
declines from the first to the second half of a match
2007). During elite matches players cover a total
(Di Salvo, Gregson, Atkinson, Tordoff & Drust,
distance of 10–13 km and 1–3 km of high-intensity
2009; Mohr et al., 2003), although some observe
running (Bangsbo, Norregaard, & Thorso, 1991;
minimal changes (Di Salvo et al., 2007). Down
Bradley et al., 2009; Mohr, Krustrup, & Bangsbo,
regulation of running performance in the second
2003). This results in an average intensity of ~70%
half could be attributed to fatigue, as studies have
of maximal oxygen uptake and elicits blood lactate
reported depleted muscle glycogen stores at the
concentrations of 3–6 mmol ∙ l−1 (Mohr, Krustrup, &
end of a match (Bendiksen et al., 2012; Krustrup
Bangsbo, 2005). However, expressing match intensity
et al., 2006). Findings demonstrate that high-intensity
as an average disguises the unique physiological stress
running is also reduced temporarily after the most
induced during intense periods (Glaister, 2005).
intense period of the match (Bradley et al., 2010,
During such periods, heart rate can exceed 95% of
2011; Di Mascio & Bradley, 2013; Mohr et al.,
maximal heart rate and peak blood lactate
2003). This could be due to a decline in muscle

Correspondence: Dr Paul S. Bradley, Department of Sport & Exercise Sciences, University of Sunderland, Darwin Building, Chester Road, Sunderland SR1
3SD, UK. Email: paul.s.bradley@sunderland.ac.uk

© 2013 Taylor & Francis


2 P. S. Bradley & T. D. Noakes

creatine phosphate, intramuscular acidosis or the fatigue, this would only demonstrate outcome beha-
accumulation of potassium in the muscle interstitium viour and not necessarily the motive. Studies have
(Mohr et al., 2005), but temporary drops also seem to investigated common factors that dictate physical per-
be related to the time the ball is out of play and the formance, such as match location, outcome and stan-
opportunity to engage in match activities (Carling & dard (Castellano, Blanco-Villasenor, & Alvarez,
Dupont, 2011). Alternatively, some suggest that 2011; Lago, Casais, Dominguez, & Sampaio, 2010),
reductions in match running performance could be but not score line or importance, which could present
due to players employing conscious or subconscious motives that modulate match running performance.
pacing strategies to enable successful completion of Furthermore, if pacing or fatigue is evident in soccer
the match (Drust, Atkinson, & Reilly, 2007; Edwards then substitutes introduced in the latter stages of a
& Noakes, 2009). Although this is an attractive match would be expected to cover more high-inten-
hypothesis, limited data exist to support or reject sity running than the equivalent time period when
such a statement. Carling and Bloomfield (2010) completing the full match. Research has reported
observed that teams coped with an early player dis- such a trend (Carling, Espié, Le Gall, Bloomfield, &
missal by sparing low-intensity activity in an attempt Jullien, 2010; Mohr et al., 2003) but either used a
to preserve essential high-intensity running, which separate groups analysis with a small sample or lim-
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may suggest pacing or modified tactics. If players ited differentiation of player position and time. Thus,
pace their efforts then covering ‘low’ to ‘moderate’ it is clear that additional analyses on score line, match
distances in the first half would enable them to have importance and the introduction of substitutes may
the available capacity to maintain match running per- provide an understanding of the factors that influence
formances in the second half. However, this has only high-intensity running. Therefore, the aims of this
been established in elite players across 45-min periods study were to: (1) quantify match running perfor-
(Rampinini et al., 2007), which results in a substantial mance in 5-min periods to determine if players fatigue
loss of information when attempting to elucidate fac- or modulate high-intensity running according to
tors associated with pacing or fatigue. Others have pacing and (2) examine factors impacting high-inten-
examined match-running performance across 5-min sity running in elite soccer matches.
periods but did not demarcate between positions or
investigate the influence of first half activities on sec-
ond half performances (Weston, Drust & Gregson, Method
2011a). Moreover, this study did not quantify match Match analysis
running performance in stoppage time periods, which
could provide additional information as some suggest With approval from the institutional ethics commit-
that an ‘end spurt’ in the latter stages of the match tee, English FA Premier League matches during
could be expected if pacing occurs (Aughey, 2010). successive seasons (2006/07–2008/09) were analysed
This would be characterised by a ‘reversed J-shape’ using a multiple-camera computerised tracking sys-
pacing strategy (Abbiss & Laursen, 2008), whereby tem (Prozone Sports Ltd, Leeds, UK). Players’
players are aware of the duration remaining until the movements were captured during matches by cam-
end of the match. Although this is a common scenario eras positioned at roof level and analysed using pro-
with stoppage time announcements, no evidence prietary software. The systems reliability and validity
exists of a documented ‘end-spurt’ of activity in soc- has been quantified to verify the capture process and
cer. Research using global positioning system (GPS) data accuracy (Bradley et al., 2009; Di Salvo,
technology observed reductions in high-intensity run- Collins, McNeill, & Cardinale, 2006).
ning towards the end of an Australian football match
but players failed to produce an ‘end spurt’ of activity
Match running performance variables
(Aughey, 2010). However, this study used a small
sample and the GPS technology had limited resolu- Players activities were coded into the following
tion to precisely measure high-intensity running. No categories and speed thresholds: standing (0–0.6
studies have investigated whether and to what extent km · h−1), walking (0.7–7.1 km · h−1), jogging
pacing strategies occur for players in other football (7.2–14.3 km · h−1), running (14.4–19.7 km · h−1),
codes such as soccer. Thus, an in-depth examination high-speed running (19.8–25.1 km · h−1) and sprint-
of high-intensity running in 5-min periods of matches ing (>25.1 km · h−1). The speeds for each category
(plus peak and stoppage time periods) specific to have been previously employed (Bradley et al.,
position and the influence of first half activity on 2009). The absolute distances covered by players
second half match running performances may provide (m) were converted to a relative analysis of the dis-
new insight into pacing or fatigue in soccer. tance covered per unit of time (m ∙ min−1). This
Although detailed analyses of match running per- enabled comparisons between various periods of
formance could provide information on pacing or the match including stoppage times. Total distance
Match Running Performance Fluctuations in Soccer 3

represented the summation of distances in all cate- performance. Owing to limited availability of
gories. High-intensity running consisted of the com- matches for the above, we were unable to present
bined distance in running, high-speed running and data in 5-min periods. Although some players were
sprinting (≥14.4 km · h−1). Peak high-intensity run- included in each subsection of Part 2, some of the
ning distance in a 5-min period represented the most data were comprised of a collection of different
intense period of the match (Mohr et al., 2003). players. On account of the subjectivity involved in
Comparisons were then made between the average match selection, recommendations were provided
5-min period (minus the peak) versus the subse- from two UEFA qualified coaches with at least
quent 5-min periods up to a maximum of 15-min 5 years of elite coaching experience.
to quantify the time course of recovery. Data pertaining to score line were collected from
matches that were competitive (≤1 goal differential)
throughout the entire 90-min compared with those
Part 1. Criteria for evaluating discrete periods of match
heavily won or lost (score differential ≥3 goals). All
running performance
data from heavily won or lost matches were single
Data were collected in pre-defined 5-min periods observations versus a median of two competitive
(plus stoppage times), separated into three levels of matches. Match running performances of 54 players
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activity and classified as ‘high’, ‘moderate’ and ‘low’ in five positions were profiled (Table I; Part 2)
based on the total distance covered in the first half Data relating to match importance were collected
(Rampinini et al., 2007). Data were sorted using from 55 players during critical matches whereby the
percentiles to produce each level (‘low’: ≤30th per- outcome directly impacted upon Championships/
centile; ‘moderate’: 35–65th percentile and European places or relegation, with local derby
‘high’: ≥70th percentile). To improve the analytical matches also included. This was compared with
approach, boundaries were drawn between percentile matches of lower importance within the same seaso-
thresholds to ensured demarcation between groups nal period. Data from critical matches were single
(e.g. minimising the chance of players in the low- observations versus a median of two matches for
end of ‘high’ covering a very similar total distance to lower importance. Data were obtained from five
players at the high-end of ‘moderate’). From a total playing positions (Table I; Part 2).
sample of 186 players, 17 were removed to create Data pertaining to substitutions were collected
these boundaries. Matches were played between from 65 players completing full matches versus
teams of a similar end of season league placing. those they were introduced as a substitute.
Teams were ranked into top, middle and bottom Substitution and full match comparisons were cor-
and only matches played between teams within each rected for exactly the same time period and only
rank were analysed. Moreover, equal distribution of included single observations within a similar seaso-
home and away fixtures was ensured. Based on these nal period. Data were collected from players in var-
criteria, the match running performances of 169 ious positions (Table I; Part 2). Independent of
players (single observations) in three levels and five position, data were also sub-divided into substitu-
positions were profiled (Table I; Part 1). tions that occurred early (45- to 65-min: n = 40) or
late in the second half (65- to 90-min: n = 25). To
further improve the analytical approach adopted, the
Part 2. Criteria for evaluating factors influencing match
average match running performance of all outfield
running performance
players at the corresponding time-point minus the
Data were analysed in pre-defined periods (plus substitute was used to account for match tempo
stoppage times) to examine the influence of score using the procedures described by Weston et al.
line, importance and substitutions on match running (2011a,b).

Table I. Sample size (n) differentiated into subsection of the study and positional subsets.

Part 1. Discrete Periods Part 2. Influencing Factors

Position/Variable Low Moderate High Total Score Importance Substitution

Central defenders 29 12 1 42 14 14 9
Full-backs 10 20 9 39 14 15 9
Central midfielders 3 11 23 37 12 11 13
Wide midfielders 1 5 18 24 7 7 20
Attackers 13 9 5 27 7 8 14

All players 56 57 56 169 54 55 65


4 P. S. Bradley & T. D. Noakes

Statistical analysis the first versus last 5-min and stoppage time of the first
half (ES: 1.0–1.3). Although, similar trends were evi-
Analyses were conducted using statistical software
dent between the first versus last 5-min and stoppage
(SPSS Inc., Chicago, USA). Descriptive statistics
time of the second half in the ‘low’ group (ES: 0.5–
were calculated on each variable and z-scores con-
0.8), the ‘high’ group only illustrated differences (P <
firmed data normality. Factorial analysis of variance
0.05) between the first versus last 5-min but not stop-
(ANOVA) tests were used to explore the influence of
page time (ES: 0.5–0.8), with no differences observed
first half activity and the impact of both score line and
for the ‘moderate’ group (ES: 0.4–0.6). The ‘high’
importance on match running performance.
group covered less (P < 0.05) high-intensity running
Interactions were examined between measures of phy-
in the initial 10-min period of the second versus the
sical performance across playing positions and time
first half (ES: 0.6–0.7), but this was not observed for
periods. In the event of a difference occurring, univari-
‘moderate’ and ‘low’ groups (ES: 0.2–0.4; Figure 1
ate analyses using Bonferroni-corrected pairwise com-
(b)). The ‘low’, ‘moderate’ and ‘high’ groups demon-
parisons were employed. Differences between players
strated declines (P < 0.01) in high-intensity running
introduced as substitutes versus the identical period of
between the first versus last 5-min of the first half (ES:
time when completing the full match or against the
0.8–0.9), with differences (P < 0.01) only evident in
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mean match running performances of the remaining


stoppage time for the ‘low’ group (ES: 0.8). The ‘low’,
players were determined using Bonferroni-corrected
‘moderate’ and ‘high’ groups displayed similar high-
dependent and independent t-tests. Effect size (ES)
intensity running between the first versus last 5-min of
was calculated to determine the meaningfulness of
the second half (ES: 0.2–0.5) and stoppage time period
the difference (Cohen, 1988). The magnitude of the
(ES: 0.0–0.3). No differences were observed for sprint-
ES was classified as trivial (<0.2), small (>0.2–0.6),
ing (Figure 1(c)).
moderate (>0.6–1.2), large (>1.2–2.0) and very large
After collapsing categories, total distance covered
(>2.0–4.0) based on guidelines from Batterham and
was greater (P < 0.01) in the initial 10-min of the
Hopkins (2006). Statistical significance was set at P <
first versus the second half (ES: 0.5–0.6), with the
0.05. Data are presented as means and standard error
only other exception occurring at the end of the half
of the mean.
(40- versus 85-min; ES: 0.4). Players covered more
(P < 0.01) total distance in the first versus final
5-min period of each half (ES: 0.6–1.0) and in first
Results
but not second half stoppage time (ES: 0.2–0.9).
Between half match running performance High-intensity running was greater (P < 0.01) during
the initial 10-min of the first versus second half only
Reductions of 4–7% (P < 0.01) were observed for
(ES: 0.3–0.4), with the most comparable periods
total distance in the second half for players maintain-
occurring in stoppage time. High-intensity running
ing ‘moderate’ and ‘high’ levels of activity in the first
was greater (P < 0.01) in the first versus final 5-min
half (ES: 0.9–1.2), while this did not differ for the
and stoppage of the first half (ES: 0.5–0.6) but not in
‘low’ group (ES: 0.2). Maintaining ‘high’ levels of
the second half (ES: 0.1–0.3).
activity in the first half resulted in 12% less
Central defenders and central/wide midfielders
(P < 0.01) high-intensity running in the second half
reduced (P < 0.05) their total distance in the
(ES: 0.8), but no changes were evident for ‘low’ to
initial 10-min of the second versus first half (ES:
‘moderate’ groups (ES: 0.0–0.2). No differences were
0.7–0.9), while full-backs were only lower for the
observed for sprinting. After collapsing categories,
second 5-min period (ES: 0.7; Figure 1(d)). Total
total distance and high-intensity running were greater
distance covered declined (P < 0.01) between the
(P < 0.01) in the first versus the second half (ES: 0.2–
first versus last 5-min period of both halves for
0.4) but sprinting remained unchanged (ES: 0.1).
full-backs and attackers (ES: 0.8–1.0), while cen-
tral defenders, central/wide midfielders only exhib-
Part 1. Discrete periods of match running performance ited first half reductions (ES: 1.2–1.4). Only
midfielders demonstrated reductions (P < 0.01)
The ‘high’ group covered less (P < 0.01) total distance
in high-intensity running in the initial 5-min of
in the initial 10-min of the second half (ES: 0.9–1.0), in
the second versus first half (ES: 0.7; Figure 1
addition to other periods (70- and 85-min) versus the
(e)). Attackers and central/wide midfielders
same first half period (ES: 0.8–0.9; Figure 1(a)). The
demonstrated declines (P < 0.01) in high-intensity
‘low’ and ‘moderate’ groups only covered less (P <
running between the first versus last 5-min period
0.01) total distance in the initial 5- and 10-min periods
of the first half (ES: 0.8–1.2) but this was not
of the second compared with the first half (ES: 0.7–
evident in full-backs and central defenders (ES:
0.8). The ‘low’, ‘moderate’ and ‘high’ groups demon-
0.4–0.5). Although, full-backs reduced (P < 0.05)
strated declines (P < 0.01) in total distance between
their distances in first half stoppage time compared
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st st st
'High' 1 half 'Mod' 1 half 'Low' 1 half

160 A 50 B 6 C

5
140 40 Δ
Δ *
Δ Δ * 4
Δ Δ * * *
Δ
*
120 * * * Δ 30 3
* * Δ
Δ Δ * * * Δ
Δ Δ *
Δ Δ Δ 2
100 Δ Δ ** Δ Δ 20 Δ Δ
Δ Δ Δ
1

HIR Distance (m · min−1)


Sprint Distance (m · min−1)

Total Distance (m · min−1)


80 10 0

5
5

5
+ +

50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90

10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
+ + +
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90

10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
Time (min) Time (min) Time (min)

ATT FB CB CM WM

D 50 E 6 F
160

5
40 Δ **
140 Δ
** 4
Δ Δ
Δ Δ ** Δ
ΔΔ
120 30 3
Δ
Δ * Δ
Δ Δ
Δ Δ 2
100 * 20

HIR Distance (m · min−1)


Sprint Distance (m · min−1)

**
1

Total Distance (m · min−1)


Δ Δ
Δ Δ
80 Δ 10 0

5
5

30
35
+ + + +

10
15
20
25
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
+ +
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90

10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90

Time (min) Time (min) Time (min)

Figure 1. (a) Total distance, (b) high-intensity running and (c) sprinting in 5-min periods of elite matches when players are separated based on ‘high’, ‘moderate’ and ‘low’ activity in the first half. (d)
Total distance, (e) high-intensity running and (f) sprinting in 5-min periods of elite matches when players are separated into playing positions. Lower than same first half period: (*P < 0.05; **P <
0.01). Lower than first 5-min period of the half (ΔP < 0.05; ΔΔP < 0.01). Attacker (ATT), Full-backs (FB), Central defender (CB), Central midfielder (CM), Wide midfielder (WM), High-intensity
running (HIR), Stoppage time (+). Data are presented as means and standard error of the mean.
Match Running Performance Fluctuations in Soccer
5
6 P. S. Bradley & T. D. Noakes

with the first 5-min (ES: 0.8). Sprinting was highly compared with the equivalent time period when
variable and thus no differences were found for completing the full match (ES: 0.5–0.6), although
any position across periods (Figure 1(f)). sprinting did not differ (ES: 0.2; Table IV). Total
Players were tracked in the 15-min after the most distance and high-intensity running were greater
intense period of the match to observe the time (P < 0.05) in central midfielders when introduced
course of recovery. After the most intense period as substitutes compared with the exact time period
of the match, players demonstrated an 8% drop in during full matches (ES: 0.7–0.9). Sprinting was
high-intensity running (P < 0.01) compared with only higher (P < 0.05) in central defenders and
the match average, but this only persisted for 5- full-backs when entering the match as substitutes
min before recovering to mean values (ES: 0.2; (ES: 0.6–0.7). Data separated into early and late
Figure 2). substitutions, produced similar relative increases for
high-intensity running (14–16%; ES: 0.5) and total
distance covered (7–8%; ES: 0.6) compared with the
Part 2: Factors influencing match running performance
equivalent time period when completing the full
High-intensity running and sprinting were similar in match (Table IV). To account for match tempo,
matches that were competitive, heavily won or lost we compared the mean player match running per-
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(Table II). Matches that were competitive or won formances with that of the substitutes. Data trends
produced decrements (P < 0.01) in high-intensity indicated that substitutes also covered more
running in the second half but when losing high- (P < 0.01) distance in total (ES: 1.0) and at high-
intensity running was maintained (ES: 0.1–0.3). intensity (ES: 1.1) compared to the mean for all
Central defenders covered 10–17% less high-inten- remaining players at the same time period, although
sity running (P < 0.01) during matches that were sprinting did not differ (ES: 0.5).
heavily won versus lost or competitive (ES: 0.6–0.9).
Attackers covered 15% and 54% more high-intensity
Discussion
running and sprinting in matches won (P < 0.01)
versus defeated (ES: 0.9–1.4). The present study revealed that total distance and
Match running performance was unchanged high-intensity running were markedly lower in the
between matches of differing importance (Table III). second half for players in a ‘high’ activity group
Between half trends indicated that total distance compared with ‘moderate’ and ‘low’ groups. This
declined (P < 0.01) in the second half of both critical finding agrees with research separating elite players
and less important matches (ES: 0.3–0.4) but high- and referees into similar categories (D’Ottavio &
intensity running only declined in critical matches Castagna, 2001; Rampinini et al., 2007; Weston,
(ES: 0.2). Central defenders and full-backs demon- Castagna, Impellizzeri, Rampinini, & Abt, 2007)
strated reductions (P < 0.05) in second half high- but this is the first study to investigate this trend in
intensity running in critically important matches 5-min periods of matches. Interestingly, high-inten-
only (ES: 0.5–0.6). sity running was lower in the initial 10-min of the
Players introduced as substitutes covered more second versus first half for the ‘high’ group but not
(P < 0.01) total and high-intensity running distance for ‘moderate’ and ‘low’ groups. The differences
denoted immediately after the half time interval
could indicate a pacing strategy but given the com-
50
plexity of soccer match-play and the limitations of
the methods used (time-motion analysis), other fac-
40 tors cannot be discounted. For instance, the decline
HIR Distance (m · min−1)

in high-intensity running may indicate fatigue occurs


30 across the course of the second half due to the ‘high’
*
demands of the first half. This decline was evident
20 across most equivalent periods of the match but the
lack of statistical significance can be explained by the
10 stringent Bonferroni correction applied due to the
large array of pairwise comparisons (small-moderate
0 effect sizes for all). A multitude of mechanisms have
Peak 5-min Post 5-min Post 10-min Post 15-min Average 5-min been proposed to explain fatigue development in
soccer, but researchers have failed to identify its
Figure 2. The most intense 5-min period of a match and the time
course of recovery in the subsequent 15-min. *Lower (P < 0.05) precise cause (Mohr et al., 2005). This is unsurpris-
than average 5-min period minus the peak value. High-intensity ing given the complexities of match running perfor-
running (HIR). Data are presented as means and standard error mance, which is influenced by a myriad of factors
of the mean. (Drust et al., 2007). Fatigue is not causally linked to
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Table II. Match running performance in competitive matches (1 ≤ goal differential) versus those heavily won or lost (≥3 goal differential). αHigher (P < 0.01) in win than loss. xHigher (P < 0.05) in
win than loss. ºLower (P < 0.05) in win compared to loss and competitive. ~Lower (P < 0.01) in win compared to loss and competitive. +Lower (P < 0.05) in loss compared to win and competitive.
Δ
Lower (P < 0.01) in second half. =Lower (P < 0.05) in second half. Total distance covered (TDC), High-intensity running (HIR) and Sprinting (SPR). Data are presented as means and standard
error of the mean.

Competitive Heavy Win Heavy Loss

Position/Variable First Second Total First Second Total First Second Total

Central defenders (n = 14)


TDC (m ∙ min−1) 105.3 ± 1.8 100.1 ± 1.6Δ 102.6 ± 1.6 103.2 ± 1.8 97.2 ± 1.6Δ 100.2 ± 1.6 105.0 ± 2.3 101.5 ± 1.9 103.2 ± 2.0
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 21.1 ± 0.9 19.2 ± 1.1 20.1 ± 0.9 19.1 ± 1.1 17.0 ± 0.9º= 18.0 ± 0.9~ 21.5 ± 1.5 21.9 ± 1.27 21.7 ± 1.3
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 1.38 ± 0.12 1.69 ± 0.15 1.54 ± 0.12 1.01 ± 0.15º 1.49 ± 0.13 1.21 ± 0.10º 1.67 ± 0.18 1.94 ± 0.25 1.80 ± 0.19
Full-backs (n = 14)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 116.9 ± 1.9 112.2 ± 2.1= 114.5 ± 1.8 117.7 ± 1.9 111.6 ± 2.1Δ 114.6 ± 1.9 119.4 ± 3.0 113.5 ± 2.0 116.4 ± 2.1
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 31.0 ± 1.5 29.0 ± 1.4 30.0 ± 1.4 32.0 ± 1.6 28.2 ± 1.4= 30.1 ± 1.4 33.4 ± 2.1 31.9 ± 1.6 32.7 ± 1.6
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 3.08 ± 0.34 2.99 ± 0.32 3.02 ± 0.30 3.51 ± 0.30 3.00 ± 0.35 3.26 ± 0.28 3.06 ± 0.34 3.69 ± 0.31 3.38 ± 0.28
Central midfielders (n = 12)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 123.7 ± 1.5 117.6 ± 1.8Δ 120.6 ± 1.6 125.7 ± 1.8 116.9 ± 1.7Δ 121.3 ± 1.6 123.1 ± 1.7 120.1 ± 1.5 121.6 ± 1.4
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 33.9 ± 1.6 31.3 ± 1.2= 32.6 ± 1.3 36.1 ± 2.0 31.0 ± 1.5Δ 33.5 ± 1.6 34.8 ± 1.4 33.1 ± 1.1 33.9 ± 1.1
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 2.35 ± 0.25 2.41 ± 0.23 2.39 ± 0.21 2.71 ± 0.39 2.44 ± 0.24 2.57 ± 0.25 2.42 ± 0.24 2.83 ± 0.29 2.64 ± 0.20
Wide midfielders (n = 7)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 126.9 ± 3.2 123.9 ± 2.2 125.4 ± 2.2 127.3 ± 3.2 120.6 ± 2.7Δ 124.0 ± 2.9 121.8 ± 3.9 121.9 ± 4.4 121.8 ± 3.9
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 36.6 ± 2.6 35.7 ± 1.9 36.1 ± 1.9 37.5 ± 2.6 35.4 ± 1.8 36.5 ± 2.1 34.2 ± 2.8 34.4 ± 3.5 34.2 ± 2.9
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 3.49 ± 0.26 3.51 ± 0.39 3.50 ± 0.23 3.49 ± 0.27 3.37 ± 0.30 3.44 ± 0.12 2.70 ± 0.30 2.53 ± 0.39 2.60 ± 0.35
Attackers (n = 7)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 106.3 ± 2.8 103.0 ± 2.8= 104.6 ± 2.7 106.7 ± 2.1 106.3 ± 2.9x 106.5 ± 2.4 107.4 ± 2.8 100.4 ± 1.5= 103.9 ± 2.0
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 24.2 ± 1.6 24.3 ± 1.7 24.3 ± 1.6 25.0 ± 1.2 26.2 ± 2.0 25.6 ± 1.5x 23.8 ± 2.0 20.6 ± 1.0+ 22.2 ± 1.4
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 2.99 ± 0.50 3.89 ± 0.42 3.44 ± 0.42 3.73 ± 0.35x 4.20 ± 0.46x 3.96 ± 0.38α 2.60 ± 0.49 2.53 ± 0.28+ 2.57 ± 0.37
All players (n = 54)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 115.3 ± 1.5 110.6 ± 1.5Δ 112.9 ± 1.4 115.6 ± 1.6 109.5 ± 1.5Δ 112.5 ± 1.5 115.2 ± 1.6 111.3 ± 1.5Δ 113.2 ± 1.5
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 29.0 ± 1.1 27.2 ± 1.0Δ 28.1 ± 1.0 29.4 ± 1.23 26.6 ± 1.1Δ 28.0 ± 1.1 29.5 ± 1.2 28.4 ± 1.1 28.9 ± 1.1
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 2.52 ± 0.16 2.71 ± 0.16 2.61 ± 0.15 2.71 ± 0.20 2.69 ± 0.18 2.69 ± 0.17 2.45 ± 0.15 2.74 ± 0.16 2.60 ± 0.14
Match Running Performance Fluctuations in Soccer
7
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Table III. Match running performance in critical versus less important matches. ΔLower (P < 0.01) in second half. =Lower (P < 0.05) in second half. Total distance covered (TDC), High-intensity
running (HIR) and Sprinting (SPR). Data are presented as means and standard error of the mean.

Critical Importance Lower Importance

Position/Variable First Second Total First Second Total

Central defenders (n = 14)


P. S. Bradley & T. D. Noakes

TDC (m ∙ min−1) 103.9 ± 1.6 99.6 ± 1.2Δ 101.7 ± 1.3 103.7 ± 1.6 99.8 ± 1.6Δ 101.7 ± 1.5
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 20.4 ± 0.7 19.0 ± 0.6= 19.7 ± 0.6 20.1 ± 0.8 19.3 ± 1.3 19.7 ± 1.0
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 1.53 ± 0.12 1.59 ± 0.14 1.56 ± 0.10 1.36 ± 0.12 1.60 ± 0.20 1.48 ± 0.13
Full-backs (n = 15)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 117.8 ± 1.7 112.3 ± 1.5Δ 115.0 ± 1.5 114.7 ± 1.3 113.7 ± 1.7 114.2 ± 1.3
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 31.5 ± 1.2 29.3 ± 1.2= 30.4 ± 1.2 29.5 ± 0.9 30.3 ± 1.2 29.9 ± 0.9
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 3.53 ± 0.28 3.28 ± 0.34 3.40 ± 0.29 2.84 ± 0.26 3.43 ± 0.36 3.14 ± 0.28
Central midfielders (n = 11)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 123.8 ± 2.5 118.6 ± 2.3Δ 121.1 ± 2.3 123.8 ± 2.7 117.2 ± 2.8Δ 120.5 ± 2.7
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 33.8 ± 1.6 30.9 ± 1.4 32.3 ± 1.4 33.7 ± 1.9 29.2 ± 1.6Δ 31.4 ± 1.6
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 2.52 ± 0.34 2.62 ± 0.32 2.57 ± 0.28 2.59 ± 0.39 2.25 ± 0.26 2.41 ± 0.25
Wide midfielders (n = 7)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 121.9 ± 2.8 120.7 ± 4.4 121.3 ± 3.4 119.5 ± 4.3 115.6 ± 3.5 117.5 ± 3.7
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 32.8 ± 1.6 34.1 ± 2.7 33.4 ± 2.0 31.7 ± 3.0 30.0 ± 2.3 30.8 ± 2.6
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 3.63 ± 0.48 3.72 ± 0.49 3.67 ± 0.41 3.49 ± 0.46 3.10 ± 0.50 3.29 ± 0.45
Attackers (n = 8)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 113.9 ± 3.3 108.4 ± 4.1 111.1 ± 3.5 111.5 ± 3.3 108.6 ± 3.4 110.0 ± 3.3
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 27.3 ± 2.3 27.1 ± 2.8 27.2 ± 2.5 26.9 ± 1.9 27.8 ± 2.1 27.4 ± 2.0
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 2.93 ± 0.52 3.22 ± 0.37 3.08 ± 0.43 3.06 ± 0.20 3.36 ± 0.36 3.21 ± 0.26
All players (n = 55)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 115.4 ± 1.4 110.8 ± 1.4Δ 113.1 ± 1.4 113.9 ± 1.4 110.4 ± 1.4Δ 112.1 ± 1.3
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 28.7 ± 0.9 27.3 ± 1.0Δ 28.0 ± 0.9 27.9 ± 0.9 26.9 ± 0.9 27.3 ± 0.9
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 2.74 ± 0.18 2.77 ± 0.17 2.75 ± 0.16 2.53 ± 0.16 2.68 ± 0.18 2.60 ± 0.15
Match Running Performance Fluctuations in Soccer 9

Table IV. Match running performance in various playing positions associated with a more pronounced decline in sprint
and time periods for substitutes introduced in the second half performance before the second half (Mohr,
versus the identical period of time in a full match. *Higher (P <
Krustrup, Nybo, Nielsen, & Bangsbo, 2004).
0.01) than the identical time period in full match. ΔHigher (P <
0.05) than the identical time period in full match. Early (45- to 65- Although additional factors could explain the reduc-
min) or late (65- to 90-min) refers to the time period of the second tion in running performance at the start of the sec-
half the substitutes were introduced. Total distance covered ond half, such as the tempo of the match (Weston
(TDC), High-intensity running (HIR) and Sprinting (SPR). et al., 2011b) and the intense nature of the initial
Data are presented as means and standard error of the mean.
period of the first half which could be an inappropri-
Substitution Equivalent Time in ate benchmark to use as a comparison period
Position/Variable Appearance Full Match (Lovell, Barrett, Portas, & Weston, 2013).
Alternatively, some suggest that reductions in
Central defenders (n = 9)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 108.8 ± 4.4 99.7 ± 2.5 match running performance could be due to players
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 25.3 ± 2.7 22.5 ± 2.6 employing a pacing strategy to enable the comple-
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 1.85 ± 0.39Δ 1.11 ± 0.34 tion of a match without any single physiological
Full-backs (n = 9) system failing (Drust et al., 2007). Although limited
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 118.3 ± 4.7 105.0 ± 4.8 data exists to fully explain pacing in team sports, a
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HIR (m ∙ min−1) 32.8 ± 3.1 25.3 ± 1.7 model proposed by Edwards and Noakes (2009)
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 3.85 ± 0.59Δ 2.86 ± 0.49 suggests that players may dynamically modulate
Central midfielders (n = 13) their high-intensity efforts in an attempt to avoid
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 123.3 ± 2.6Δ 111.7 ± 4.3 fatigue. The results of the present study and others
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 35.9 ± 2.4Δ 30.28 ± 2.3
(D’Ottavio & Castagna, 2001; Rampinini et al.,
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 2.34 ± 0.31 2.24 ± 0.41
2007; Weston et al., 2007) could provide support
Wide midfielders (n = 20) for this model as players covering the lowest total
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 124.4 ± 2.7Δ 117.9 ± 2.5
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 37.5 ± 1.8 33.3 ± 1.8
distances in the first half had the available capacity to
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 4.67 ± 0.58 3.63 ± 0.35 be able to maintain match running parameters in the
second half. Additional complexities are found on
Attackers (n = 14)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 106.0 ± 3.0 103.2 ± 3.3 closer inspection of the data in 5-min periods for
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 26.7 ± 2.3 25.2 ± 1.4 various activity groups. Unsurprisingly, the ‘high’
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 2.60 ± 0.43 3.37 ± 0.44 and ‘low’ groups were primarily composed of mid-
All players (n = 65) fielders and central defenders/attackers, respec-
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 117.2 ± 1.7* 109.2 ± 1.7 tively. Rampinini et al. (2007) did not report such
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 32.5 ± 1.2* 28.3 ± 1.0 a trend when observing second half declines in
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 3.25 ± 0.27 2.84 ± 0.21 match running performance after ‘high’ first half
Early substitution (n = 40) activity, despite reporting positional variation in
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 114.1 ± 2.1* 106.7 ± 2.0 match running performance. Midfielders perform
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 30.9 ± 1.5* 27.1 ± 1.2
more total distance and high-intensity running
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 3.13 ± 0.31 2.68 ± 0.25
than attackers and central defenders (Bradley
Late substitution (n = 25) et al., 2009, 2010, 2011; Di Salvo et al., 2009)
TDC (m ∙ min−1) 122.2 ± 2.8Δ 113.1 ± 3.1
HIR (m ∙ min−1) 35.1 ± 2.0Δ 30.4 ± 1.8
and this finding could simply reflect position-speci-
SPR (m ∙ min−1) 3.46 ± 0.48 3.10 ± 0.37 fic decrements or tactical requirements. Thus, cau-
tion is needed before attributing these findings to
fatigue or pacing as the tactical role of the player
could also dictate the amount of high-intensity run-
ning undertaken in the first half and its resultant
a single factor (Edwards & Noakes, 2009); however impact on the second half. Moreover, the analytical
the sustained decline in match running performance approach used in this section of the study (percen-
in the second half has been associated with a low- tiles) could have marginally impacted on the data
ering of muscle glycogen (Krustrup et al., 2006; trends. We separated various groups based on the
Saltin, 1973). This could explain the marked reduc- total distance covered in the first half but a limita-
tions in high-intensity running during the second tion of such an approach is that there was limited
half period for the ‘high’ compared with ‘low’ and separation between some players (e.g. players in the
‘moderate’ groups. Reductions in match running low-end of ‘high’ could have a total distance close
performance in the first period of the second half to players at the high-end of ‘moderate’). This
should be expected and could be attributed to the could have also been an issue with Rampinini
fall in muscle temperature during the half-time et al.’s (2007) analytical approach in which an
break. Research observed a 2°C drop in muscle order function separated similar groups. Although
temperature after the half-time break and this was we removed 17 players from the analysis to separate
10 P. S. Bradley & T. D. Noakes

groups, this is still a factor to consider when evalu- extended opportunities to minimise energy expendi-
ating the data trends. ture. Thus, this study provides evidence of the need
Data collapsed independent of activity level or for recovery after the most intense periods and sports
position highlights some noteworthy trends. High- scientists should design training aimed at coping
intensity running distance was greater in the initial with multiple intense actions. However, caution is
period of the first versus second half but after this needed when attributing these temporary drops to
period no differences were evident, with the most fatigue or pacing due to the low magnitude of the
comparable periods occurring in stoppage time. On effect size statistic and given that they also seem to
the contrary, total distance declined in the first and be related to the time the ball is out of play and the
last part of the second half compared with the same opportunity to engage in match activities (Carling &
first-half period. If team sports players do pace their Dupont, 2011). This was evident in the present
efforts then some suggest an ‘end spurt’ in high- study for players in the same match whereby a large
intensity running in the latter stages of the match stoppage between the 20- to 25-min period resulted
could be expected (Aughey, 2010). Although our in a substantial drop in match running performance
data failed to support the ‘end spurt’ hypothesis, as opposed to fatigue or pacing. Furthermore, the
high-intensity running and sprinting were main- temporary drop in high-intensity running may have
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tained throughout the second half compared with been underestimated, as our results are based on
the same first half period. The maintenance of pre-defined 5-min periods of matches as opposed
high-intensity running and sprinting probably to rolling 1-min periods. Mohr et al. (2003)
occurred at the expense of a more pronounced observed a 12% decline in high-intensity running
decline in total distance throughout the second after the most intense period using a rolling method,
half. Carling and Bloomfield (2010) also observed a indicating that the drop could be even greater and
similar finding when teams attempted to cope with extend for a longer period (Varley, Elias, & Aughey,
an early player dismissal. This trend could demon- 2012). Thus, future studies are advised to use rolling
strate a pacing strategy that spares low-intensity periods that also account for the degree the ball is
activity such as walking and jogging in an attempt out of play to fully establish the magnitude and time
to preserve essential high-intensity running (Drust course of transient fluctuations in high-intensity
et al., 2007; Edwards & Noakes, 2009). Studies running.
have generally observed reductions in total distance Results demonstrated that players entering the
and high-intensity running as the match progresses second half as substitutes covered 15% more high-
(Bradley et al. 2009; Rampinini et al., 2007) and intensity running compared with the identical time
concluded that fatigue mechanisms are responsible. period when completing a full match. This was par-
However, these studies have tracked match running ticularly evident in midfielders. Research reported a
performance in 15- and 45-min periods, which 25% greater distance in high-intensity running dur-
results in a substantial loss of specific information. ing the final 15-min of matches in substitutes versus
Thus, this study illustrates the importance of analys- separate players completing the full match (Mohr
ing data in 5-min periods (including stoppage times) et al., 2003). Discrepancies between studies are
to allow perturbations in match performance to be due to the separate groups analyses and the low
observed. sample size in the Mohr et al. (2003) study. It
Although others have observed declines in high- could be argued that the differences are due to the
intensity running after the most intense period (Di time periods in which match running performance
Mascio & Bradley, 2013; Mohr et al., 2003) this is was monitored in each study (second half versus
the first study published to date that has quantified final 15-min). However, this is the first study to
the time course of recovery. We observed that high- separated data into early and late substitutions, and
intensity running after the most intense period was this resulted in very similar relative changes in high-
below the match average for 5-min before recover- intensity running compared with the same full match
ing. Krustrup et al. (2006) found sprint performance period. Carling et al. (2010) demarcated between
declined after intense periods in the first and second midfielders and attackers but observed that the latter
half but this was not associated with muscle lactate, failed to improve their match running performance
pH, or glycogen content. It has been suggested that during the first 10-min of being introduced as sub-
the temporary decline in high-intensity running dur- stitutes compared with the equivalent full time per-
ing matches could be related to the accumulation of iod. This trend was evident within the present study
potassium in the muscle, which results in electrical and further supports the assertion that coaches repla-
disturbances that impact force development (Mohr cing players still need to consider the contribution
et al., 2005). Alternatively, Edwards and Noakes that a particular substitute can make based on situa-
(2009) suggest that such high demands would cer- tional and positional factors. Our data provide a
tainly threaten homeostasis and players thus seek out more valid expression of full versus partial match
Match Running Performance Fluctuations in Soccer 11

running performance comparisons across all playing importance of the occasion. However, failure to
positions and time periods of the second half. This find an effect for match importance could be due
data support the notion that selected playing posi- to the analysis of 45-min periods as opposed to
tions completing full matches either experience fati- highly sensitive 5-min periods that could have indi-
gue in the second half or use a more effective pacing cated that the initial period of the first half was
strategy compared with being introduced as an early higher in critical versus less important matches as
or late substitute. teams attempt to establish their authority through
This is the first study to demonstrate that players increased tempo, and more research using such an
are able to maintain their high-intensity running approach is warranted.
performances in the second half of heavily defeated This study attempted to investigate match run-
matches, but this was not evident in heavily won ning performance fluctuations in elite soccer
matches. This seems unsurprising as successful matches, but the reader should be aware of certain
teams cover less distance in total and at high-inten- limitations. For instance, studies investigating influ-
sity compared with unsuccessful teams (Di Salvo encing factors in soccer (Lago et al., 2010), gener-
et al., 2009; Rampinini et al., 2007). Playing against ally use multivariate statistical models on variables
strong opposition has been found to be associated common to the entire sample (match outcome,
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with lower ball possession (Bloomfield, Polman, & location, standard) and adjusted data for effective
O’Donoghue, 2005; Lago, 2009) and it is possible playing time (Castellano et al., 2011) but this was
that teams that are heavily defeated have to cover not possible within the present study given the lack
greater high-intensity running distance without the of commonality in the data set (critical/less impor-
ball in an attempt to close players down and regain tance versus heavily won/lost matches). Finally, a
possession (Bradley, Lago-Peñas, Rey, & Gomez limitation of using distances covered in various
Diaz, 2013). Team strategies are also influence by speed thresholds to determine fatigue or pacing is
score line as teams will employ different playing that most maximal accelerations do not result in
styles when ahead, level or behind (Lago and speeds associated with high-intensity running but
Martin, 2007). This is the first study to highlight are metabolically taxing (Varley & Aughey, 2013).
positional differences in match running performance Thus, the true energy cost of match running per-
during various score lines, with attackers covering formance cannot be established.
more and central defenders less high-intensity run- In summary, the data demonstrate that high-
ning in matches heavily won versus lost. Bradley intensity running in the second half is impacted
et al. (2011) found attackers in offensive formations by the activity of the first half and is reduced for
covered more high-intensity running than in defen- 5-min after intense periods. High-intensity running
sive formations and our findings could be linked to is influenced by score line and substitutions but
the tactical characteristics inherent within these sys- not match importance. However, the reader must
tems. This highlights the complexities of match run- be aware of the present study’s limitations and the
ning performance and sports scientists must challenging nature of using time-motion data to
consider the influence of tactical and situational fac- determine if pacing or fatigue occurs in complex
tors before attempting to draw inferences. Caution is sports such as soccer. Thus, more research is war-
also needed when interpreting these findings as a ranted to establish if perturbations in match run-
small sample size was used in some positional sub- ning performance are primarily a consequence of
sets, and this is especially relevant given the variable fatigue, pacing or tactical and situational
nature of some match running parameters (Gregson, influences.
Drust, Atkinson, & Di Salvo, 2010). However, this is
an unavoidable drawback given the elite nature of
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