Professional Documents
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1. The number of ships which anchor at a port every week for 26 particular weeks are as
follows:
32 28 43 21 35 19 25 45 35 32 18 26 30
26 27 38 42 18 37 50 46 23 40 20 29 46
(b) 1 3 7
= =
Events A and B are such that P(A) 2 , P(A│B) 10 , and P(A U B) = 10 .
3 It may be assumed that dates of birth in a large population are distributed throughout the
. years so that the probability of a randomly chosen person’s date of birth being in any
1
particular month may be taken as .
12
(a) (i) Find the probability that, of 6 people chosen at random, exactly two will have
birthdays in June.
[1 mark]
(ii) N people chosen at random. Find the least value of N so that the probability that
at least one will have a birthday in June exceeds 0.9.
[3 marks]
(a) (b) Find the probability that, of 100 people chosen at random, at least 40 will have
birthday in January, February, March or April.
[4 marks]
4. A sample of size 100 is taken from a Poisson population with parameter 0.35.
(a) By using the Centre Limit Theorem, determine the approximate distribution of the
sample mean.
[2 marks]
5. (a) A normal distribution is thought to have a mean of 50. A random sample of 100
gave a mean of 52.6 and standard deviation of 14.5. Is there evidence that the
population mean has increased at the 1% significance level?
[5 marks]
(b) What is the least value of % such that it would result in the conclusion that the
population mean has increased at % level of significance?
[2 marks]
6. (a) 2
A value of χ is calculated from the resulting 4 5 table. Find the set of values of
2
the calculated value of χ for which it would be accepted, using a 10%
significance level, the two characteristics are independent.
[2 marks]
(b) Breakdowns on a certain stretch of highway were recorded each day for 80
consecutive days. The results are summarized in the table below:
It is suggested that the number of breakdowns per day can be modeled by a Poisson
distribution. Using a 5% significance level, test whether or not the Poisson
distribution is a suitable model for these data. State your hypotheses clearly.
[7 marks]
(i) State whether A andB are independent, giving a reason for your answer.
[2 marks]
(ii) Find P( A ∪ B).
[3 marks]
(iii) Determine if A and B are mutually exclusive. Justify your answer.
[2 marks]
(b A box contains 5 green wooden blocks, 7 red wooden blocks and 8 blue wooden
) blocks. A game is played by randomly selecting wooden blocks. The blocks are
identical except for their colours and the objective of the game is to select blocks
from the box until a green block is selected. If a green block is not selected, it will
be put back into the container and the process is repeated until a green block is
obtained.
21
(i) Show that the probability that the second piece selected is red is .
80
[2 marks]
(ii) Find the probability that either the second piece selected is red or the fourth
piece selected is green.
[6 marks]
8. In a survey on the quality of service provided by a bank, 12 out of 150 customers think
that the service is unsatisfactory. Test the hypothesis that the proportion of customers
who think that the service is unsatisfactory is 0.10.
Comment on methods (a) and (b) used in the test of the hypothesis.
[1 mark]
954/3
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