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Investor Presentation - Colombia Inside Out 2020 VF
Investor Presentation - Colombia Inside Out 2020 VF
Presentation
Colombia Inside Out
This presentation is for discussion purposes only and is incomplete without reference
to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, the oral briefing provided by
Ecopetrol. Neither this presentation nor any of its contents may be used for any other
purpose without the prior written consent of Ecopetrol.
Reserves and 759 Mmboe* of Major ESG COP 3.5 Tn in costs EOR
production growth reserves have been investments, and expenses
Existing fields added from 2017 to dividends, and taxes optimization
2019 Domestic gas
Exploration in
Colombia Decarbonization plan, US$ 3.1 Bn in
Reserves replacement renewable energy financing to strengthen Digital transformation
International
>100% in the same expansion and water cash position
Unconventional
period recycling initiatives Renewable energy
(UN SDGs) sources
New investment plan
Strict capital discipline target of US$ 2.5 – 3.0
Strong financial
performance amid Short, mid and long- Bn for 2020 Unconventional pilot
Cash protection and price volatility term goals in terms of projects (PPIR)
cost efficiency GHG emissions
> US$ 130 Mm in
reductions and gas
Delivered COP 3.55 Revenue optimization
flaring usage
Tn in efficiencies from from Commercial
2015 to 2019 Strategy
High corporate
governance standards
* Gross addition 3
Life ensures business continuity
Reserves and
Production
Growth
Exploration
Unconventional
in Colombia
Competitiveness
and
Sustainability
5
Delivering strong returns despite price volatility
718 715 720 725 735
45 55 72 64 51
100
80 70.8
67.8
Brent (US$/Bl)
55.2
60
47.7
40 30.8 31.1
23.1
18.0
20 13.3 15.1
11.6
6.6 5.3
1.6 0.1
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 1Q20
Brent - Peso Brent Exchange Rate Historic Brent Crudes Products Spread Gasoline Diesel Jet
7
Facing this new challenge
13.7
US$ B
Contributed in 2019
Republic of
Shareholders Community* Employees* Suppliers*
Colombia
Salaries
Dividends Social & Environmental Variable Compensation Local
Taxes Dividends Investment Benefits** Procurement
Royalties Training
*Ecopetrol S.A. figures. **Includes: Health and Safety, Education, Loans, Savings and Investments. Calculated with an average exchange rate for 2019 of 3,281 COP/US$. 9
Corporate governance practices
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
+20 years of experience in international business, Former Vice President of Capital Markets and Corporate
public policy, and public & private project finance Development at Bancolombia Group
Former Executive Director of the Inter-American Former board member of Cementos Argos, Compañía Strong corporate
Development Bank Nacional de Chocolates, Conavi, SUAM, among others
governance practices
Chairman of the Bogota Chamber of Commerce, and Sergio Restrepo Isaza B.A. in Management from EAFIT Unversity of Medellín,
board member of Teléfónica and Pragma Independent Board Member with an MBA from Stanford University — Commitment to
Luis G. Echeverri Vélez
Independent Board B.A. in Law from University of Medellin and MSc in +30 years of senior management experience in the transparency
Member Agricultural Economics from Cornell Colombian banking industry, including President of Banco
Colpatria and Scotiabank Group — Multiple venues to look for
+40 years of experience in the global technology
Founding member of the Colombian Institute of Corporate guidance or whistleblowing
industry
Governance
Former Microsoft’s World President for emerging — Robust AML standards to
Luis Perdomo Maldonado B.A. in Management from the CESA School of Advanced
markets, and VP of Sales, Marketing & Support
Independent Board Member Studies in Administration prevent money laundering
Independent director of the Executive Council of
Centene Corp. Former President of the Colombian Agriculture Association and terrorism financing
Orlando Ayala Lopez (SAC), Founder and Director of Corporación Colombia
Independent Board BSc in Information Systems Administration at Jorge — Increased independent
Internacional (CCI), President of the Agrarian Fund, and
Member Tadeo Lozano University in Bogota
President of the newspaper El Espectador directors: from 4 in 2008 to
General Secretary of the Ministry of Finance and Former Minister of Agriculture and Co-Director of Banco de 8 in 2019
Public Credit la República
Former Managing Director of Fogafin and President Carlos Gustavo Cano Sanz Member of the Group on Earth Observations Global Water — Minority governance
of the National Hydrocarbons Agency Independent Board Member Sustainability (GEOGLOWS) in the United States ensured through an elected
Board member at Fiduciaria La Previsora S.A., board member
Central de Inversiones S.A. and Gecelca S.A. E.S.P
Former Dean of the Faculty of Engineering at Universidad
B.A. in Law from Sergio Arboleda University and — No director with ministerial
Surcolombiana, Principal, and Professor.
PhD candidate from San Pablo CEU University of rank following OECD
German Quintero Rojas BSc in Chemical Engineer and MSc in Public Health from
Board Member Madrid recommendations
Universidad Nacional de Colombia,
Hernando Ramírez Plazas
Former Chairman of Avianca, Alianza Summa Independent Board Member New corporate governance
(Avianca-Aces-Sam) and Aces S.A. model underpins the
Former General Director of the National Planning
Currently serves as Executive Chairman of Táximo
Ltd., President of Direktio S.A.S., and board member
Department, Advisor for the President, Senior Specialist execution of the business
for the Inter-American Development Bank, among others plan
of Grupo Odinsa S.A., among other corporates
President of the Cali Chamber of Commerce and board
Juan E. Posada B.A. in Management from EAFIT University in
member of Cementos Argos, among other corporates
Echeverri Independent Medellín, with an MBA from Pace University in New Esteban Piedrahita Uribe
York BSc in Economics from Harvard University
Board Member Independent Board Member 10
Upstream
ANTILLAS-1***
LORITO A1
OLINI OESTE-1
Cosecha Jaspe Andina Boranda Drilling**(5)
~14
~1-21 660 - 680
Q4 19
4Q19 Operative Field reversion Acquisitions 2019 Security events Q1 20
1Q20 Lower activity Profitability criteria Reduced Other (operating, Natural gas Estimated
2Q20
performance COVID-19 Capex/ non security events) demand* Q2 20
Estimated
operated
Efficiency of Fields
Price/Bl
Review of transportation schemes
Cost efficiency
mboed
Q1 mitigate impact on customers Current
Results Vol. 131 138 Materialize Upsides: commercial strategy
to meet thermal power sector demand with Challenges
surpluses
1Q
1Q 2019
19 1Q
1Q2020
20
31
14 mboed
Unconventional
Colombia
Unconventional MMV Basin 7 - 12 bboe
50 km Potential 4 - 7.4 bboe 8 - 100 TCF
All horizons
1.1 - 1.3 bboe
Anchor Play
0.4 - 0.5 bboe
15
Midstream
1,137 1,136
1,071 1,068 3.18 2.57 2.49
3.05
260 263 2.73 2.19
266 272 2.50 1.94
2020 Milestones
Growth Opportunities
Refined Products
Photo: Reficar 18
Adapting operations to demand
Sales Volume (MBD) Throughput (MBD)
Barrancabermeja Cartagena
Gasoline Diesel Jet
1Q 20
-21% -44%
-23% 350 345 367 365
138 161 165 34 35 305
116 131
90 195 199 219 215
20 165
154 146 149 150 140
Jan 20 Feb 20 Mar 20 Jan 20 Feb 20 Mar 20 Jan 20 Feb 20 Mar 20 1Q 19 1Q 20 Jan 20 Feb 20 Mar 20
Maximize synergies
1Q 19 2Q 19 3Q 19 4Q 19 1Q 20 between refineries
Barrancabermeja Cartagena
19
CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION
Resultados
Financials
Excepcionales
20
1Q20 KPI´s reflect changing market conditions
Gross EBITDA 1Q 20
EBITDA Margin (%)
Debt/EBITDA* COP 5.3 Tn
34.9% 1.6x % by segment
E&P
45.4 46.1 1.6 6.4% 5.3% 3.0% 5.4%
43.9 Midstream
34.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 28.3% 32.2% 34.9%
47.3% Downstream
*Last 12 months
** Without impairments effect. 21
Robust cash position to face volatility
Cashflow
COP Tn
2.6 3.5
12.1
0.6 1.5 11.7
0.4
Cash balance 2019* Cash flow from Capex Debt Dividends Other** Cash balance Q1 20*
operations
Ecopetrol Ocensa ODL Bicentenario Invercolsa Financing
Nuevo Endeudamiento
Maturity profile
11.9
COP Tn
2.7
6.8 8.2 8.1
6.0 -
-
5.1 -
3.7
1.5 8.1
2.1 -
1.6 1.7
0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3
- - - - -
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2040 2043 2045
*Includes: Cash and Cash Equivalents and Other Current and Non-Current Financial Assets. ** Includes variation between periods of Other Current and Non-Current Financial Assets 22
Continued focus on cost efficiency
Lifting Cost Refining Cash Cost
US$/Bl
2017 2018 2019 1Q20 2020 (e) 2017 2018 2019 1Q20
Efficiencies in operational processes (Energy, Subsurface and Operational efficiencies and capture of synergies between both
Dilution) and entry of new production facilities refineries
US$/Bl
US$/Bl
19.0 – 22.0
2017 2018 2019 1Q20 2017 2018 2019 1Q20 2020 (e)
* Includes: Cost of Transport, Operational Expenses, Operational Costs. Calculated over Barrels Sold. 23
Short-term financial framework
@ 30 - 40 US$/Bl
Our priorities:
2Q 2020 (e) 2020 (e)
Commitment to life
Production
660 - 680 664 - 710 Adapting to a new reality
(mboed)
Crude Differential
- 9.0 / - 13.0 - 9.0 / - 11.0 Strategic imperatives remain
(US$/Bl)
25
Head of Capital Markets: Juan Pablo Crane
juan.crane@ecopetrol.com.co
Investor adriana.baptiste@ecopetrol.com.co
Investor
Relations Luisa Marcella Mosquera
luisa.mosquera@ecopetrol.com.co
relations contact
team Vanessa Toro
vanessa.toro@ecopetrol.com.co
Email: investors@ecopetrol.com.co
26
27
Definitions
Acronym Definition
bboe Billion barrels of oil equivalent
Bl Barrel
boed Barrels of oil equivalent per day
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
CEOR Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery
CFFO Cash Flow From Operations
EOR Enhanced Oil Recovery
ESG Environmental, Social and Governance
Gbtud Giga BTU per day
GHG Greenhouse Gas
HCIIP Hydrocarbons Initially In Place
JV Joint Venture
KtCO2e Thousand Metric Tons of Carbon Dioxide equivalent
mbd Thousand barrels per day
mboe Thousand barrels of oil equivalent
mboed Thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day
Mbtu Million BTU
Mmboe Million barrels of oil equivalent
mm3 Million Cubic Meters
MtCO2e Million Metric Tons of Carbon Dioxide equivalent
MW Megawatts
NFE Near Field Exploration
PPIR Pilot Projects for Integral Research
PPM Parts Per Million
ROACE Return on Average Capital Employed
RRR Reserves Replacement Ratio
SOGI Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity
TCF Trillion Cubic Feet
TRIF Total Recordable Case Frequency
US$ B Billion dollars
US$ M Million dollars
28