Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2016
2
Key Highlights
Material progress on key initiatives announced with the Investor Update on 3rd June 2016
- US$500 million rights issue successfully closed
- Sale of Noble Americas Energy Solutions progressing well and on track to complete in 2016
- Progress made on recycling capital out of low return businesses which negatively impacted profitability and
volumes in the period
- Focusing on our highest return and growth franchises including Energy and Gas & Power Segments which
continue to generate good returns despite capital restrictions
- Continued deleveraging with net debt to capitalization at 47% on a pro forma basis(1), as of 30 June 2016
Businesses managed for liquidity in the first six months of 2016, which impacted overall
profitability
- Positive cash flow from operating profit before working capital changes of US$175 million for the six months
ended 30 June 2016
- Positive operating income margin at 2.06%, an increase on FY2015(2) margin of 1.88% and FY2014(2) margin of
2.00%
- Operating income from supply chains of US$476 million, down 38% from H1 2015(2)
- Mining & Metals Segment, although significantly improved from prior year (FY2015 EBIT loss of US$223
million(2)), was impacted by capital restrictions, which resulted in an EBIT loss of US$8 million
- Selling, administrative & operating expenses up 4% year-on-year. Decline in underlying run rate offset by
restructuring costs and retention payments
- Net profit, excluding losses from discontinuing businesses, of US$38 million in a capital constrained
environment
Noble Today
Interim 2016 Results
4
Segment Results
Energy – Oil Liquids positive despite constraints, Energy Coal realization
in line with expectations
Oil Liquids Energy Coal
Oil Liquids volumes grew by 23% from prior year, Energy Coal performed well in a challenging market
while revenues fell, as a result of lower prices. environment, with volumes increasing 6% from H1
2015.
Operating income continued to be impacted by
working capital constraints as we managed the Energy Coal realizations from contracts rolled off in
business for liquidity. line with expectations.
Despite the working capital constraints, all major The new joint venture with a Japanese Power Utility
businesses operated profitably, and the returns on to procure coal and to manage price risk and supply
capital employed continued to be in line with chain commenced operations during Q2 2016.
expectations on the transactions undertaken.
Completed alignment of the Energy Coal, LNG and
Diesel businesses toward the Asian Energy Customers.
Segment Results
Gas & Power – NAES continues to perform, Gas & Power impacted by capital
constraints and business restructure
Energy Solutions Gas & Power
Operating income from supply chains in H1 2016 in Operating income from supply chains for Gas & Power
line with expectations, although slightly below H1 impacted by working capital constraints as we managed
2015. our business for liquidity.
All regions continued to perform well, despite the Results further impacted by the closing/downsizing of
distraction of the sale process. the European and Brazilian businesses.
Sale process underway and progressing well, with The LNG franchise has been re-organized to take
completion expected in 2016. advantage of our existing relationships with Asian
energy customers.
Segment Results
Mining & Metals – Metals results impacted by capital reallocation. Carbon
Steel Materials focused on counterparty performance
Metals Carbon Steel Materials
Tonnage and revenue continued to fall as we Carbon Steel Materials volumes fell 34% from H1
completed the exit from the Base Metals (Copper, 2015, primarily due to reduced volumes in Iron Ore as
Zinc, Lead and Nickel) businesses in North America the business focused on ensuring counterparty
and Europe. performance. Revenues fell in line with overall price
declines.
Operating income from supply chains in Q2 2016
was impacted by capital restrictions and Operating income from supply chains continued to be
management’s focus on the exit from the base metals impacted by the margin pressure faced across the
business. industry.
Profitability of our Jamalco asset improved during
the first half, as it moved toward the bottom quartile
of the cost curve.
Volume(1) Revenue(1) Profit Before Interest & Tax(1),(2)
(Million Tonnes) (US$M) (US$M)
1H 2015 1H 2016
(2)
19.1 4,732
(7)
13.0 2,821
Segment Results
Corporate – Return to profitability for Logistics
Logistics
Freight rates improved in the second quarter of 2016 due to an increase in seaborne demand, which resulted in
Capesize freight rates rallying to over US$8,000 per day. Although daily freight rates have improved from their
historic lows, we expect them to remain range bound between US$5,000 and US$10,000 per day. The market
continues to trade below operating costs, and we continue to expect to see defaults in the later part of the year.
The Logistics business has continued to focus on profitability over volumes, with Q2 2016 volume of 9.5 million
tonnes, down sharply from the same period last year, split 31% in house and 69% for external customers. The
volume decline is a deliberate result of the business actively focusing on credit risk, as counterparty risk within
shipping is at historically high levels.
Operating Income from Supply Chains continued its positive trend from Q1 2016.
Performance of Major Associates & Joint Ventures
The Corporate & Others Segment incorporates the Logistics business as well as the investments in our major
associates and joint ventures including Yancoal Australia Limited (“Yancoal”).
The majority of the total US$32 million in the Group’s share of losses of joint ventures and associates for the six
months ended 30 June 2016 is allocated to this Segment, which primarily reflects the six months performance of
Yancoal.
9
Inventories Trade & other payables Net Debt 3,968 3,687 3,920
Trade receivables Net fair value gains
Prepayments, deposits & other receivables Adjusted Net Debt(4) 2,258 2,293 2,399
The Future
Business Plan & Funding
11
Completed the refinancing of the Revolving Credit Facility and the US Borrowing Base Facility
Repositioned Metals business to release working capital(1) and focus on vertically integrated
Aluminium franchise (including our Jamalco asset) and Asian Base Metals franchise
Managed counterparty and performance risk in Carbon Steel Materials and Freight businesses
resulting in improved profitability albeit on lower volumes
Raised over US$500 million from the oversubscribed rights issue, of which 20% was used to pay
down debt
(1) Repositioning includes closure of Base Metals businesses in Europe and North America
(2) Improvement compares FY2015 actual results (adjusted for exceptional non-cash losses) to Management target
(3) Capital raised to date in 2016. Amount is inclusive of the proceeds from the Noble Agri sale, Metals business repositioning and the US$700 million
generated since 30 June 2016 which is inclusive of the US$500 million rights issue proceeds
12
Actions in Progress
Execute on remaining capital raise initiatives and rationalize cost structure
Sale of Noble Americas Energy Solutions underway with strong interest from potential buyers
Closure of European Power & Gas business and other loss making or low return businesses in
progress
Sale of non-core assets related to loss making or low return businesses to release capital
(1) Remaining US$1.3 billion of the total US$2 billion announced on 3 June 2016 Investor Update
13
Oil Liquids
Metals
Energy Coal
Continued stable cash realization
Coal Cash Cost Curve % Realisation
Global seaborne supply (US$/tonne) Actual realisation as a percentage of forecast (%)
103%
110 99%
96%
100
90 82%
80
Majority of origination
70 contracts relate to producers
in the 1st and 2nd quartiles of
60
the cost curve
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 100 200 300 400 600 700 800 900 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H
Coal is transported from our long-term producers in Realisation from this portfolio of contracts has
Australia, Indonesia, South Africa and Mongolia to continued to be in line with expectations.
customers globally, with the key focus on Asia.
Long term anchor points remain at US$55/tonne,
Majority of level 3 net fair value assets relate to long- below long term market consensus.
term physical contracts in Energy Coal or Met
Coal/Coke.
16
Asian Electricity Generation by Fuel Asian Energy Demand & Noble’s Asian
Twh Energy Customer Franchise:
15,000 Growth in Coal demand outstripped electricity demand
growth over the period 1990 - 2012, totaling 541% (9%
CAGR).
12,000 The share of coal in the electricity mix was 39% in 1990
and is expected to be 56% in 2020.
Gas demand grew by 371% over the period 1990 – 2012
9,000 (7% CAGR).
Gas demand is expected to continue to grow at an
average of 3% p.a. until 2025.
6,000
Noble has spent the last twenty years developing
relationships with Asian energy customers and targets to
deliver 100 million tonnes of coal in 2020.
3,000
These long-term Asian energy customers will also be our
customers for LNG. Realignment across the Coal and
0 LNG businesses has been completed.
2012 2020 2025
Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Other Renewables
Target operating income from supply chains of c. US$1 billion and EBIT of
c. US$550 million
Continue to focus on debt reduction with target net debt to capitalization 45%
Debt reduction underway with US$900 million in debt paid down in 2016
Secured debt as a % of total debt expected to increase as the most cost effective method of financing the businesses
Total debt repayment sources at US$4.4bn on a proforma basis, covering close to 90% of total debt as of 30 June
2016
5,443
4,395
Noble Group
Noble Group (SGX: N21) manages a portfolio of global supply chains covering a range of industrial and energy products, facilitating the
marketing, processing, financing and transportation of essential raw materials. Sourcing bulk commodities from low cost regions such as
South America, South Africa, Australia and Indonesia, the Group supplies high growth demand markets, particularly in Asia and the Middle
East. We are ranked number 77 in the 2015 Fortune Global 500. For more information please visit www.thisisnoble.com.
Disclaimer
The material in this presentation has been prepared by Noble Group Limited (“Noble”) and is general background information about
Noble’s activities current as at the date of this presentation. This information is given in summary form and does not purport to be
complete. Information in this presentation, including forward-looking financial information, should not be considered as advice or a
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This presentation may contain forward-looking statements including statements regarding our intent, belief or current expectations with
respect to Noble’s businesses and operations, market conditions, results of operation and financial condition, capital adequacy, specific
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does not undertake any obligation to publicly release the result of any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or
circumstances after the date hereof to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. While due care has been used in the preparation of
information herein, actual results may vary in a materially positive or negative manner. Forecasts and hypothetical examples are subject to
uncertainty and contingencies outside Noble’s control.