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In chemical plants, adequate emergency response procedures must be prearranged to prevent incidents (e.g. gas
leakage) from leading to major accidents. Installing gas detectors at appropriate locations is one of the indispensable
conditions for the implementation of emergency response plans. This paper introduces the procedure for optimiza-
tion of gas detector locations by application of atmospheric dispersion modeling tools which take into account dif-
fering plant conditions.
This paper is translated from R&D Repor t, “SUMITOMO KAGAKU”, vol. 2011-I.
Methods for Consequence Analysis required. The Canadian Council for the Reduction of
Major Industrial Accidents (CRAIM) guidelines define
1. Domestic and foreign guidelines the worst case scenario as total leakage from the largest
(1) Status of applications of consequence analysis in storage tank maximizing the area of damage.
various countries3), 4)
As was discussed previously, major accidents antici- (2) Standard for evaluating acute exposure
pated for chemical plants include fires, explosions and The “Risk Manager” risk evaluation system devel-
acute exposure accompanying leaks of flammable sub- oped by the Japan Chemical Industry Association has
stances or toxic substances. In consequence analysis of introduced evaluations divided into the categories of
major accidents for toxic substances in particular, esti- “normal operation,” “field operation” and “accident.” In
mates of the amount of leakage are made from the emissions scenarios for “normal operation” and “field
physical properties of the substance being handled, operation,” most cases set evaluation standards at the
operational conditions, leak size, etc., and the impact concentration permissible for workers. The recom-
area due to atmospheric dispersion is found by taking mended values of the Japan Society for Occupational
into account the weather conditions such as wind Health and the threshold limit value-time-weighted
speed. For processes that might affect areas outside of average (TLV-TWA) (time-weighted average concentra-
the plant as a result of consequence analyses, we must tion for an 8-hour workday) of the American Confer-
strengthen safety measures (Fig. 1). ence of Industrial Hygienists (ACGIH) are widely used
for permissible concentrations. In addition, when the
Site boundary
(3) Atmospheric dispersion modeling tools Moreover, many of the evaluation tools given in
Atmospheric dispersion modeling tools have been Table 2 are comprehensive evaluation tools that are
published by various institutions as a means for predict- used not only in atmospheric dispersion calculations,
ing dispersion consequences according to the leak sce- but also include the effects of fire and the effects of
narios created (Table 2). There are three main types of explosions.
atmospheric dispersion models built into these tools.
(i) Models that simply find the impact distance and 2. Evaluation of consequences in Sumitomo
effect area from the leak flow rate for the chemical Chemical toxic substance handling processes8)
substance. At Sumitomo Chemical, we developed a flowchart for
(ii) Models that calculate the concentration distribu- the consequence analyses for accidents in the process
tion in the atmosphere according to dispersion for- of handling toxic substances based on the scientific
mulas in Gaussian plumes and other models. knowledge and assigned priorities based on the results
(iii) Models that find concentration distributions in gas to strengthen our safety measures in a logical manner.
flows and the air by numerically solving equations The general flow of the consequence analysis is shown
of motion and dispersion equations according to 3D in Fig. 2.
fluid codes.
(1)
Table 2 Modeling tools for atmospheric dispersion Identify target of evaluation
(2)
Models Modeling tools
Determine scenario
Simplified Risk Management Program (EPA)
(3)
Prediction Risk Based Inspection (API)
Reanalysis Off-site Application of
Chemical Exposure Index (Dow)
consequence analysis dispersion models
Gaussian Type Risk Manager (JCIA)
METI-LIS (METI)
(4) (6)
TRACETM, Real-Time® (SAFER Systems) No
Distance to site boundary On-site
PHAST (DNV) consequence analysis
≤ Distance to ERPG-2
ALOHATM (EPA)
EFFECTS, DAMAGE (TNO) Yes
CFD AutoReaGasTM (Century Dynamics) (5)
fluidyn-PANEPR (TRANSOFT) Any applicable No
measures for consequence
FLACS (Gexcon) mitigation
(7)
ABBREVIATIONS
API American Petroleum Institute Yes Risk assessment
JCIA Japan Chemical Industry Association
METI Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan Fig. 2 Sumitomo Chemical’s consequence
TNO Netherlands Organization for Applied Scientific Research analysis flowchart
(1) Identify target of evaluation parameter. In such cases a Gaussian plume model is
The targets of the analysis were selected according used. On the other hand, when targeting the conse-
to the properties of the substances handled and the quences of atmospheric dispersion in a comparatively
amounts handled. As a general rule consequences are small range, we must consider disturbances to local
evaluated for facilities at Sumitomo Chemical where wind fields by individual obstructions (large buildings,
the value for the quantity possessed (kg) divided by the equipment, storage tanks, etc.). Evaluations are carried
ERPG-2 (ppm) is a specific value or greater. However, out with consideration given to the effects of individual
when substances such as chlorine and phosgene with a obstructions using a 3D CFD model.
high potential for harmful effects are handled, evalua-
tions are carried out as needed regardless of the (4) Determinations using ERPG-2
amount possessed. When the maximum off-site concentration reached
for the target substance is less than ERPG-2, evalua-
(2) Determine scenario tions are then conducted within the site of operations.
When leak conditions that might occur at actual facil- On the other hand, when concentrations are equal to or
ities can be identified quantitatively, evaluations of con- greater than ERPG-2, measures to reduce the conse-
sequences are carried out according to these condi- quences are investigated. Such investigations are based
tions. On the other hand, when the conditions are on the guidelines of the U.S. Environmental Protection
difficult to identify, evaluations are carried out using Agency (EPA) risk management program (RPM).10)
the following standard scenario.
(i) Diameter of leak opening: (5) Examining possibility of measures
25.4 mm (φ) (1 inch*) — leaks from pipes and main When it is possible to implement measures for reduc-
equipment units ing additional consequences, the off-site consequences
Full section holes — pipes and hoses with internal are reevaluated after the measures have been put in
diameters less than 1 inch place. When additional measures are difficult, a risk
(ii) Duration of leakage: assessment is then carried out. Moreover, when there
15 minutes — the period of leakage applied when are measures such as plant enclosures and double
all of the content leaks within 15 minutes walled pipes for preventing leaks to the outside and dis-
(iii) Atmospheric conditions: persion, there is no further need for evaluating the con-
Temperature = 25°C, wind speed = 3 m/s, sequences. In such cases, the evaluation is complete
Ground roughness = 10 cm (value estimated for out- because step (6) for evaluations in the operating site is
skirts of cities) unnecessary.
Stability of atmosphere = 3 classes, A, D and F
concentration of these leaks and issue alarms, and they there is a danger that alarm levels cannot be detected
are roughly divided into fixed types and portable types. with gas detectors located as envisioned for case 1
In the Japan Security Regulation for General High-Pres- depending on the direction of the wind.
sure Gas, for example, gas detectors for toxic gases Thus, with general methods for evaluating conse-
must have the following performance. quences, the worst-case scenario is typically envi-
– In general, the indication range for toxic gases is val- sioned, but from the standpoint of detecting gas leaks,
ues from 0 to 3 times the permissible concentration. there is a possibility that the situation may not be evalu-
– In general, the alarm setting for toxic gases is the ated properly by postulating the worst-case scenario.
permissible concentration.
In addition, locations for installing gas detectors are 2. Method for optimizing gas detector location
“near storage equipment for the target substance,” using threshold release rate
“around the plant” and “at site boundaries.” In the fol- We have developed an optimization method for gas
lowing, we will discuss a method for optimizing gas detector location that introduces a new index called
detector locations using atmospheric dispersion model- threshold release rate for improving on problems in the
ing tools for the par ticular case of leaks on a scale application of typical methods for evaluating conse-
requiring off-site emergency measures. quences. This method is shown in Fig. 4.
1. Problems to be solved
Based on the methods for evaluating consequences (1) Determine release points
and
described above, we will consider leaks from a specific tentative locations of gas detectors
diameter opening (complete breakage, which is the
(2)
worst-case scenario for pipes) (case 1). Fig. 3 (1) gives Determine “threshold release rate”
by atmospheric dispersion simulation
an example of predicted concentration contours. When
we have such results from calculations, we predict that (3)
Threshold release rate No
the ERPG-2 value will reach a distance outside the site ≤ Possible release rate
End of study
boundary; therefore, gas detectors must be designed to
Yes
be able to cover the range of alarm generating concen- (4) Evaluate locations of gas detectors
trations (alarm levels). by atmospheric dispersion simulation
at “threshold release rate”
On the other hand, even when the scale of the leak is
smaller than case 1, we can consider cases where the
(5) Detection of Yes
EPRG-2 values are reached off-site (case 2). Fig. 3 (2) target gas by more than End of study
gives an example of predicted concentration contours, one detector
Gas detector Site boundary Fig. 4 Flowchart for optimization of gas detector
Release
point Alarm level
ERPG-2
(2) Determination of threshold release rate by disper- ing the operations starting with step (4) until the num-
sion simulations ber of detectors in step (5) is two or more.
The shortest distance to the site boundar y is the
shor test among the horizontal distances to the site 3. Example of application
boundar y from each release point. Next, dispersion An example of carr ying out gas detector location
simulations are carried out by changing the leak flow optimization in the plant shown in Fig. 5 for hydrochlo-
rate, and the leak flow rate where the dispersion dis- ric acid gas will be given below based on the procedure
tance for ERPG-2 matches the shortest distance to the described above.
site boundar y is set as the threshold release rate. In
other words, this is the threshold (minimum) flow rate
such that a leak with an ERPG-2 value does not go off- Wind Direction Release Point Monitor Point
site even if the gas in question leaks from any location N North
ary
nd
6
ou
(3) Confirming validity of threshold release rate
eB
Sit
The threshold release rate discussed in step (2) is a 5
27 C
0m
flow rate found with no relationship to process condi- 7
West
East
in cases where it is determined that the threshold B
1
release rate cannot actually occur as a result of estimat- 4
A
ing the release rate for the pressure and other condi-
tions for handling the gas in question and the maximum
opening diameter (total cross-section of pipe, for exam- 2 3
South
ple) that can be envisioned. East
at a position 270 m downwind. In Fig. 7, the minimum (3) Confirming validity of threshold release rate
release rate for the EPRG-2 concentration of 20 ppm of Assuming the worst case scenario, the maximum
the substance in question to arrive at the downwind dis- release rate when a release rate for the gas in question
tance of 270 m is 2.3 kg/min, and this rate was set as is predicted for complete breakage of the pipe in the
the threshold release rate for this example. plant exceeded the threshold release rate found in step
(2); therefore, we determined that the threshold
release rate in this plant was a numerical value that
Table 3 Modelling tool “TRACETM” input for could be predicted.
determination of “threshold release rate”
15
4 kg/min
detectors. In this example, as shown in Table 5, we
considered four wind directions, east, southeast, west
3 kg/min
10 and north for each of the release points A through C,
2.3 kg/min and carried out calculations for a total of 12 cases. The
east and southeast winds were the directions toward
5 2 kg/min
the site boundary at the closest point and were condi-
tions that were particularly important.
0
0 100 200 300 400
Downwind distance (m)
Fig. 6 ERPG-2 contour for each release rate Table 4 Modelling tool “PANEPR” input for
(Wind speed : 2.0 m/s) evaluation of gas detectors locations
35
Release rate 2.3 kg/min
30 Meteorology Wind speed 2.0 m/sec
Wind direction Case study
25
ERPG-2 (20ppm) Ambient temperature 10 degree C
20
Other Discretization technique Finite difference method
15 conditions Governing equations Continuity eq.
10
Navier-Stokes eq.
Internal energy eq.
5
2.3 kg/min Turbulence model k-ε
0 Gravitational force Buoyancy model
0 1 2 3 4 5
Obstacles in domain Vertical cylinders (tanks)
Release rate (kg/min)
Cuboids (buildings)
Fig. 7 Determination of threshold release rate Oil dikes
(Wind speed : 2.0 m/s) Monitor point 7 points (1 – 7 in Fig. 8)
10
1
2
7
1
Concentration (ppm)
6
2 3
1
3 B
7
0.1
A
4
6
0.01 5
4 C
5
0.001
Release Point 0 20 40 60 80 100 120
N
Monitor Point Time (sec)
Wind Direction Release Point Monitor Point Wind Direction Release Point Monitor Point
(ppm) (ppm)
N N
10 10
9 9
6 6
8 8
7 5 7 5
8 C
A
6 7 6 7
East
5 5
4 4
1 2’ 1
0 2 3 0 2 3
South
East
Fig. 10 Case A-1: Concentration contour at 0.5m Fig. 11 Case C-2: Concentration contour at 0.5m
height above ground height above ground
Similarly, with the concentration contour map for Selection of Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling
Case C-2 shown in Fig. 11, we determined that, at the Tool
very least, it was necessary to move one gas detector to
the high concentration area in addition to gas detector In the application example in the previous section, we
6 or to increase the number of detectors. Here, when investigated using two dispersion models separately.
existing gas detector 5 or 7 is moved in Case C-2, there With a case of dispersion over a comparatively long dis-
was the negative ef fect of reducing the number of tance as the target of evaluation, the dispersion formula
detectors detecting the gas in question in other cases for TRACETM is an empirical model based on experimen-
(other release points or wind directions); therefore, a tal data, and predicted concentration in plumes gives a
new gas detector was installed at position 8. Gaussian distribution. While it is possible to evaluate
Table 7 gives the gas leak detection predictions after many cases in a short period of time, the obstructions
optimization of the gas detector locations by moving present in the area being evaluated are represented by
gas detectors and adding them as described above. the single parameter of ground roughness. Therefore,
Compared with Table 6, which was before optimiza- when comparatively large obstructions such as buildings
tion, there was an improvement in the number of detec- and plant equipment are present around the leak point,
tors making detections for all six cases, and the results it is possible that the dispersion results will differ greatly
were that all were detected by multiple detectors. We from what they actually are.
can think in terms of being able to construct a gas PANEPR is a 3D CFD tool based on the finite volume
detection system capable of certain detection of large- method, and it can reproduce the mechanical turbulence
scale gas leaks regardless of leak location and wind structures around the obstructions with three fundamen-
direction. tal equations for fluids and various turbulence models
that are built into it. Therefore, dispersion predictions ing doubled piping for equipment with a high risk of
that take into account the effects of obstacles that cannot leaks and assuring adequate capacities for equipment
be predicted by Gaussian plume models are possible. for safety disposal envisioned during emergencies, and
On the other hand, the computation time is long, and through soft measures typified by preventing opera-
it is difficult to carry out quick evaluations to investigate tional mistakes through operator education. The opti-
many cases. When the dispersion distance is great, the mization method for gas detector location introduced in
predicted values for concentrations that reach far points this article is positioned as a secondary measure that
are accompanied by cumulative calculation errors, and minimizes the damage in case a leak occurs. We would
the precision advantages may be lost compared with the be pleased if it were to contribute to the smooth execu-
Gaussian plume model which is an empirical model. tion of emergency plans when the occurrence of a
From the above, and as a result of examining the two large-scale leak is detected quickly and with certainty.
dispersion models described above, we decided to use
the calculation results of TRACETM, which predicted References
lower flow rates, in determining the threshold release
rate. On the other hand, we selected the 3D CFD tool to 1) S. Hanai, Journal of Japan Society for Safety Engi-
carry out investigations predicting the number of detec- neering, 41 (6), 387 (2002)
tors making detections of gas leaks when using gas de- 2) M. Wakakura, Journal of Japan Society for Safety
tectors in consideration of the arrangement of the many Engineering, 43 (4), 240 (2004)
obstacles within the limited area inside a model plant. 3) Y. Uehara, & T. Ogawa, “Technical Handbook for
Moreover, in addition to TRACETM and PANEPR de- Fire and Explosion Protection”, Technical Systems
scribed above, Sumitomo Chemical has introduced Real- (2004), p.705.
Time®, which is produced by the U.S. company SAFER 4) J. Fidler and R. Wennersten, Proceedings of Loss Pre-
Systems LLC, as a tool for evaluating the consequences vention 2007, Poster 27, CD-ROM.
of physical hazards. With this system, it is possible to 5) U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
monitor the movements of plumes on a map (GIS data) http://www.epa.gov/
by collecting and analyzing gas detector data and 6) U.S. Department of Energy,
weather data in real time when there are leaks of harmful http://www.energy.gov/
substances. Based on this information, our goal is to be 7) AIHA, http://www.aiha.org/
able to rapidly and efficiently issue alarms and emer- 8) E. Miyata, Journal of Japan Society for Safety Engi-
gency communications for targets identified inside and neering, 44 (3), 183 (2005)
outside sites that may be affected.11), 12) 9) API Publication 581, “Risk-Based Inspection, Base
Resource Document”, First Edition (2002).
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