Summary of predictions

Prob.
Home - Away Score 1 Score 1 Final Sc of Result
Man Utd vs Leicester 2 - 0 3 - 0 - 0.38
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.48
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.48
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.32
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.48
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.48
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.32
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.48
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.32
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.32
total 4.08
Prob. of
exact score
0.13
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.78
 1 Auto Wimbledon vs
Home Home team Away team
average attack defence Expected % Proba
goals strength weakness goals 0
Home : Wimbledon 1.43 1.09 1.06 1.2 30
Away Away team Home team
average attack defence Expected % Proba
goals strength weakness goals 0
Away : Swindon Town 1.18 0.89 1.19 1.1 34

0
0 10.22
1 11.10
Swindon Town 2 6.03
3 2.18
4 0.59
5+ 0.16
Swindon Town

% Probability of scoring this many goals

1 2 3 4 5+
36 22 9 3 1

% Probability of scoring this many goals

1 2 3 4 5+
37 20 7 2 1

Wimbledon
1 2 3 4 5+
12.21 7.29 2.90 0.87 0.26
13.26 7.92 3.15 0.94 0.28
7.20 4.30 1.71 0.51 0.15
2.61 1.56 0.62 0.19 0.05
0.71 0.42 0.17 0.05 0.01
0.19 0.11 0.04 0.01 0.00

1 X 2
38.46 28.46 33.08

Most likely result: 2/3 - 0

%Probability 13.26
 Attack strength: home and away
aver aver home away
home away Home Away home away attack attack attack
games games for for for for Home-ad strength strength
Bolton 6 6 5 6 0.83 1.00 0.83 0.58 0.85
Bradford 6 6 9 6 1.50 1.00 1.50 1.05 0.85
Bristol Rovers 5 6 8 8 1.60 1.33 1.20 1.12 1.13
Bury 6 6 11 10 1.83 1.67 1.10 1.28 1.41
Charlton 6 5 7 5 1.17 1.00 1.17 0.82 0.85
Chesterfield 6 5 12 4 2.00 0.80 2.50 1.40 0.68
Coventry City 5 6 3 5 0.60 0.83 0.72 0.42 0.71
Fleetwood 6 5 10 6 1.67 1.20 1.39 1.17 1.02
Gillingham 6 6 8 10 1.33 1.67 0.80 0.93 1.41
Millwall 5 6 9 9 1.80 1.50 1.20 1.26 1.27
Milton Keynes 6 6 4 11 0.67 1.83 0.36 0.47 1.56
Northampton 6 6 12 7 2.00 1.17 1.71 1.40 0.99
Oldham 6 6 2 5 0.33 0.83 0.40 0.23 0.71
Oxford Utd 6 6 8 5 1.33 0.83 1.60 0.93 0.71
Peterborough 6 6 13 8 2.17 1.33 1.63 1.52 1.13
Port Vale 6 6 11 5 1.83 0.83 2.20 1.28 0.71
Rochdale 6 6 9 7 1.50 1.17 1.29 1.05 0.99
Scunthorpe 6 6 15 12 2.50 2.00 1.25 1.75 1.70
Sheffield Utd 5 6 5 9 1.00 1.50 0.67 0.70 1.27
Shrewsbury 6 6 6 5 1.00 0.83 1.20 0.70 0.71
Southend Utd 6 6 8 4 1.33 0.67 2.00 0.93 0.57
Swindon Town 6 6 5 7 0.83 1.17 0.71 0.58 0.99
Walsall 6 5 11 2 1.83 0.40 4.58 1.28 0.34
Wimbledon 6 6 9 9 1.50 1.50 1.00 1.05 1.27
140 140
### 200 165 1.43 1.18 1.21 1.00 1.00
dari wide table yg di sortir
Attack home advantage = goals scored at home / goals scored away
Home attack strength = average goals scored at home / average for all clubs (1.67)
Away attack strength = average goals scored away / average for all clubs (1.09)

w = weight given to away goals in weighted home-attack strength, and vice-ver w = 0.21
Set w = 0 if want weighted home attack-strength based only on goals scored at home
Set w = 0.5 if want weighted home attack-strength and weighted away attack-strength to be equal
and away Defence weakness: home and away
weighted weighted average average home
home att. away att. Home Away home away defence defence
streng streng against against against against Home-ad weakn
0.63 0.78 Bolton 5 5 0.83 0.83 1.00 0.71
1.01 0.90 Bradford 4 3 0.67 0.50 0.75 0.57
1.12 1.13 Bristol Rovers 7 9 1.40 1.50 1.07 1.19
1.31 1.38 Bury 6 10 1.00 1.67 1.67 0.85
0.82 0.84 Charlton 6 6 1.00 1.20 1.20 0.85
1.27 0.86 Chesterfield 9 7 1.50 1.40 0.93 1.27
0.47 0.64 Coventry City 3 9 0.60 1.50 2.50 0.51
1.14 1.05 Fleetwood 9 7 1.50 1.40 0.93 1.27
1.02 1.30 Gillingham 8 15 1.33 2.50 1.88 1.13
1.26 1.27 Millwall 6 16 1.20 2.67 2.22 1.02
0.66 1.29 Milton Keynes 10 5 1.67 0.83 0.50 1.41
1.33 1.09 Northampton 6 7 1.00 1.17 1.17 0.85
0.32 0.59 Oldham 7 6 1.17 1.00 0.86 0.99
0.89 0.76 Oxford Utd 6 8 1.00 1.33 1.33 0.85
1.45 1.23 Peterborough 8 7 1.33 1.17 0.88 1.13
1.18 0.85 Port Vale 5 9 0.83 1.50 1.80 0.71
1.04 1.00 Rochdale 6 7 1.00 1.17 1.17 0.85
1.74 1.71 Scunthorpe 4 8 0.67 1.33 2.00 0.57
0.80 1.13 Sheffield Utd 5 9 1.00 1.50 1.50 0.85
0.70 0.71 Shrewsbury 8 10 1.33 1.67 1.25 1.13
0.87 0.66 Southend Utd 9 14 1.50 2.33 1.56 1.27
0.66 0.89 Swindon Town 8 9 1.33 1.50 1.13 1.13
1.11 0.57 Walsall 11 6 1.83 1.20 0.65 1.56
1.09 1.22 Wimbledon 9 8 1.50 1.33 0.89 1.27
1.00 1.00 165 200 1.18 1.43 1.21 1.00

Defence home advantage = goals conceded away / goals conceded at home

Home defence weakness = average goals conceded at home / average for a
Away defence weakness = average goals conceded away / average for all c
ome and away
away home away
defence defence defence
weakn weakn weakn
0.58 0.68 0.61
0.35 0.51 0.39
1.05 1.15 1.08
1.17 0.93 1.11
0.84 0.85 0.84
0.98 1.20 1.03
1.05 0.64 0.95
0.98 1.20 1.03
1.75 1.28 1.64
1.87 1.23 1.71
0.58 1.21 0.73
0.82 0.84 0.82
0.70 0.92 0.75
0.93 0.87 0.92
0.82 1.05 0.87
1.05 0.79 0.99
0.82 0.84 0.82
0.93 0.66 0.87
1.05 0.90 1.01
1.17 1.14 1.16
1.63 1.36 1.57
1.05 1.11 1.06
0.84 1.38 0.97
0.93 1.19 1.00
1.00 1.00 1.00

goals conceded at home

d at home / average for all clubs (1.09)
d away / average for all clubs (1.67)
 Home Stats
Wide table

Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG Wh Dh Lh GFh GAh

5  Bolton  12 5 4 3 11 10 1 19 1:58 2 3 1 5 5
2  Bradford  12 6 6 0 15 7 8 24 2:00 3 3 0 9 4
11  Bristol Rovers  11 4 4 3 16 16 0 16 1:45 2 2 1 8 7
3  Bury  12 6 2 4 21 16 5 20 0.0881944444 4 0 2 11 6
18  Charlton  11 2 6 3 12 12 0 12 1:09 1 3 2 7 6
17  Chesterfield  11 3 3 5 16 16 0 12 1:09 3 1 2 12 9
24  Coventry City  11 1 6 4 8 12 -4 9 0.0569444444 0 5 0 3 3
15  Fleetwood  11 3 4 4 16 16 0 13 1:18 2 3 1 10 9
14  Gillingham  12 4 3 5 18 23 -5 15 1:25 2 2 2 8 8
19  Millwall  11 3 3 5 18 22 -4 12 1:09 2 2 1 9 6
12  Milton Keynes  12 4 3 5 15 15 0 15 1:25 0 2 4 4 10
6  Northampton  12 4 6 2 19 13 6 18 1:50 3 2 1 12 6
21  Oldham  12 2 6 4 7 13 -6 12 1:00 0 3 3 2 7
13  Oxford Utd  12 4 3 5 13 14 -1 15 1:25 3 2 1 8 6
9  Peterborough  12 4 5 3 21 15 6 17 1:42 2 3 1 13 8
4  Port Vale  12 6 2 4 16 14 2 20 0.0881944444 5 0 1 11 5
7  Rochdale  12 5 3 4 16 13 3 18 1:50 3 1 2 9 6
1  Scunthorpe  12 7 4 1 27 12 15 25 2:08 3 3 0 15 4
8  Sheffield Utd  11 5 3 3 14 14 0 18 0.0861111111 3 1 1 5 5
23  Shrewsbury  12 2 4 6 11 18 -7 10 0.0576388889 1 2 3 6 8
22  Southend Utd  12 3 3 6 12 23 -11 12 1:00 2 2 2 8 9
20  Swindon Town  12 3 3 6 12 17 -5 12 1:00 2 0 4 5 8
16  Walsall  11 3 4 4 13 17 -4 13 1:18 3 1 2 11 11
10  Wimbledon  12 4 4 4 18 17 1 16 1:33 2 1 3 9 9
 Away Stats

PPGh     PPGa Wa Da La GFa GAa

3 1 2 6 5
3 3 0 6 3
2 2 2 8 9
2 2 2 10 10
1 3 1 5 6
0 2 3 4 7
1 1 4 5 9
1 1 3 6 7
2 1 3 10 15
1 1 4 9 16
4 1 1 11 5
1 4 1 7 7
2 3 1 5 6
1 1 4 5 8
2 2 2 8 7
1 2 3 5 9
2 2 2 7 7
4 1 1 12 8
2 2 2 9 9
1 2 3 5 10
1 1 4 4 14
1 3 2 7 9
0 3 2 2 6
2 3 1 9 8
Bolton
Bradford
Bristol Rovers
Bury
Charlton
Chesterfield
Coventry City
Fleetwood
Gillingham
Millwall
Milton Keynes
Northampton
Oldham
Oxford Utd
Peterborough
Port Vale
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
Sheffield Utd
Shrewsbury
Southend Utd
Swindon Town
Walsall
Wimbledon