Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Newsletter June 2020
Newsletter June 2020
June 2020
ARTICLE ON
MESSAGE FROM THE CEO PAKISTAN BUDGET 2020-21
IFMP ACTIVITIES
TRAINING CALENDAR
ARTICLE
URDU GLOSSARY
TERMS OF THE MONTH
FEEDBACKS
BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC NEWSFLASH
MARKETS IN REVIEW
URDU GLOSSARY
Institute of Financial
MARKETS Markets of Pakistan
IN REVIEW
Article Page: 7
Feedbacks Page: 16
T he last few years have seen a rapid growth in size, quality and
sophistication of financial markets, because of changes in the
policy and regulatory environment, the entrepreneurial initiatives
of individuals and institutions, and the availability of trained man-
power. The continuing growth of financial markets is further adding
to the demand for well-trained professionals.
Mr. Muhammad Ali Khan
Institute of Financial Markets of Pakistan is dedicated to the profes-
sional development of financial markets and research on financial markets as well as the
well being of financial markets by educating the professionals about the norms and ethics
being practiced in the markets. IFMP has had a pioneering role in meeting the demand for
educated manpower. It is Pakistan's first specialized institution devoted to the education
and updating of knowledge of manpower for financial markets. It will provide high-
quality educational standards for all types of financial market participants; investors,
brokers, mutual funds, investment banks and policy makers.
The Institute's main activities are (1) Licensing the professionals working in the financial
markets by certifications. The institute’s key responsibility is to educate the professionals
working in different financial markets of Pakistan through examining their knowledge in
their relevant field of work; (2) Studying the latest developments in the financial markets
in order to discover whether there is such a thing as an ideal market economy; and (3)
Contributing to the development of financial markets in Pakistan. By means of these three
activities the Institute seeks to communicate its ideas to the audience both at home and
overseas. The Institute's research is intended, first and foremost, to be neutral, profes-
sional and practical. Rooted in practice, it aims to contribute to the healthy development
of Pakistani financial markets as well as to related policies by conducting neutral and pro-
fessional studies of how these markets and the financial system are regulated and orga-
nized and how they perform.
The economy is changing all the time. The Institute hopes that, by responding to these
changes positively, it can contribute to the dynamic development of the country's finan-
cial markets as well as of the economy itself.
PROGRAMMES
Securities and Futures Advisors’ Certification Bancassurance Certification Islamic Finance Certification
Programme (Basic and Core Modules) Bancatakaful Certification Fixed Income Certification
AML/CFT Certification
IFMP organized free online training/CPD session on the topic of “Write To Inspire - Draft
Meaningful Business Emails ” for its Members. This workshop was conducted by Senior
Trainer, Muhammad Hassam Siddiqui via zoom, on 9th June, 2020
IFMP organized free online training/CPD session on the topic of “Effective Sales Strategies
during Covid-19 Pandemic” for its Members. This workshop was conducted by Abbas Ali Iq-
bal - High Performance Sales Coach via zoom, on 25th June, 2020
Challenges in Sales
AUGUST Mutual Fund Distributors Certification Training 1,500 4th August, 2020
AUGUST AML Regulations Training - SECP, SBP, FMU 2,500 13th August, 2020
SEPTEMBER Financial Markets: Trading and Analysis 1,500 23rd September, 2020
OCTOBER Investment Banking & Analysis Certification 1,500 21st October, 2020
For the first time in the past 68 years, Pakistan’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth has fallen
to negative 0.38%. Not only it missed almost all the growth targets, whether it was industrial, ser-
vices or agriculture, in most cases, the growth was negative.
Pakistan’s public debt has risen by almost 40% in the past two years – from Rs30 trillion to Rs41
trillion. As a percentage of revenue, debt servicing has gone up from 37% to 62% within one year
and per capita income has further shrunk to $1,271 from $1,363.
Of course, the pandemic has a role in such a worsening situation, but the nine-month data before
Covid-19 was also not very promising.
In this scenario, the best way forward would have been to look at the data and plan the budget ac-
cordingly. We are deceiving ourselves by showing highly exaggerated expected revenues. Last
year, when the revenue target was fixed at Rs5.5 trillion, an increase of 45%, it was patently obvi-
ous that to achieve this in a slowing economy would be impossible.
–Total outlay of budget 2020-21 is Rs 7,294.9 billion. This size is 11 percent lower than the size of
budget estimates 2019-20.
–The resource availability during 2020-21 has been estimated at Rs 6,314.9 billion against Rs
4,917.2 billion in the budget estimates of 2019-20.
–The net revenue receipts for 2020-21 have been estimated at Rs 3,699.5 billion indicating an in-
crease of 6.7 percent over the budget estimates of 2019-20.
–The provincial share in federal taxes is estimated at Rs 2,873.7 billion during 2020-21, which is
11.7 percent lower than the budget estimates for 2019-20.
–The net capital receipts for 2020-21 have been estimated at Rs 1,463.2 billion against the budget
estimates of Rs 831.7 billion in 2019-20 reflecting an increase of 75.93 percent.
–The external receipts in 2020-21 are estimated at Rs 2,222.9 billion. This shows a decrease of
26.7 percent over the budget estimates for 2019-20.
–The overall expenditure during 2020-21 has been estimated at Rs 7,294.9 billion, out of which the
current expenditure is Rs 6,345 billion.
–The development expenditure outside PSDP has been estimated at Rs 70 billion in the budget
2020-21.
–The size of Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP) for 2020-21 is Rs 1,324 billion. Out of
this, Rs 676 billion has been allocated to provinces.
–Federal PSDP has been estimated at Rs 650 billion, out of which Rs 418.7 billion for Federal Min-
istries/Divisions, Rs 100.4 billion for Corporations, Rs 3 billion for Earthquake Reconstruction and
Rehabilitation Authority (ERRA), Rs 7 billion for COVID responsive and other natural calamities
programme.
REVENUE RECEIPTS:
–Total Federal Board of Revenue taxes for the year 2020-21 are estimated at Rs 4,963 billion.
— Non-tax revenues for the upcoming year are estimated at Rs 1,108.9 billion.
— Gross revenue receipts are estimated at Rs 6,573.22 billion out of which provincial share is Rs
2,873 billion.
–The net revenue receipts for federal government in budget 2020-21 are estimated at Rs 3,699 bil-
lion, showing an increase of 6.8 percent over the budget estimates of 2019-20 and 19.24 percent
over revised estimates of outgoing fiscal year 2019-20.
EXTERNAL RESOURCES:
–The government obtained loans and grants to bridge the gap between the receipts and expendi-
ture. The net external resources for 2020-21 after deduction of foreign loans repayment (Rs 1,228
billion) and repayment of short term credits (Rs 183 billion) have been projected at Rs 810.34 bil-
lion are lower by 73 percent and 64.34 percent respectively when compared with budget and re-
vised estimates 2019-20.
Current Expenditures:
–Total current expenditures of federal government for the year 2020-21 are estimated at Rs 6,344
billion which are 16.7 percent and 12.99 percent lower when compared to the revised estimation
and actual estimation of current expenditures during outgoing year.
–Mark-up payments for the year 2020-21 have been estimated at Rs 2,946 billion out of which Rs
2,631 billion would be paid on domestic debt and Rs 315 billion on foreign debt.
–Expenditures of Rs 470 billion have been estimated for pensions which are 1.4 percent higher
when compared to the revised estimates of Rs 463.4 billion for the outgoing year 2019-20.
–For Defence Affairs and Services, an amount of Rs 1,289 billion has been estimated for the year
2020-21 compared to revised estimation of Rs 1,227 billion for the outgoing fiscal year 2019-20.
–For grants and transfers, Rs 904 billion have been estimated against Revised estimation of Rs
1,177 billion for the year 2019-20.
–Subsidies have been estimated at Rs 209 billion against revised estimation of Rs 349.5 billion for
2019-20.
–For running of Civil government, Rs 475.7 billion have been estimated for the fiscal year 2020-21
against revised expenditures of Rs 445.8 billion in 2019-20.
****************
Source:
https://www.nation.com.pk
https://www.finance.gov.pk
The services provided for management of open-ended ment of which in the share capital of other companies
schemes and include offering of investment schemes at any one time is of an amount equivalent to eighty
under trust deeds and issue of redeemable securities. per cent of the aggregate of its own paid up capital
and free reserves, but does not include a bank or an
Book and Paper
insurance company or a corporation which is a mem-
Book or paper or Books of accounts include accounts, ber of a Stock Exchange.
deeds, vouchers, registers, writings and documents.
Margin Loan
Clearing Fund Contribution
A loan made by a Non-Banking and Finance Compa-
The contribution required to be made by a clearing
nies, licensed to provide investment finance services
member to the clearing and settlement fund.
to partly finance investment by the client in marketa-
Domestic Insurance Policy ble securities, which shall be held by the Non-Banking
A contract of insurance that provides insurance cover and Finance Companies as collateral, the amount in-
in respect of loss of or damage to a building used pri- vested by the client being the "margin" against the
marily and principally as a residence for the policy loan.
holder, for persons with whom the policy holder has a Notified Entity
family or personal relationship, or for both the policy
A company or class of companies or corporate body
holder and such persons, or loss of or damage to the
or trust or any other entity or person notified by the
contents of such a building, or both.
Federal Government in the official Gazette.
Investment Company
Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) released June 2020 National CPI which came in at 8.59% on
YoY. This takes 12MFY20 average inflation to 10.74% YoY.
Inflation in Brief
1. CPI inflation General, increased by 8.6% on year-on-year basis in June 2020 as compared to an
increase of 8.2% in the previous month and 8.0% in June 2019. On month-on-month basis, it in-
creased by 0.8% in June 2020 as compared to an increase of 0.3% in the previous month and an
increase of 0.5% in June 2019.
2. CPI inflation Urban, increased by 7.6% on year-on-year basis in June 2020 as compared to an in-
crease of 7.3% in the previous month and 8.1% in June 2019. On month-on-month basis, it in-
creased by 0.7% in June 2020 as compared to an increase of 0.3% in the previous month and an
increase of 0.3% in June 2019.
3. CPI inflation Rural, increased by 10.0% on year-on-year basis in June 2020 as compared to an
increase of 9.7% in the previous month and 7.9% in June 2019. On month-on-month basis, it in-
creased by 1.0% in June 2020 as compared to an increase of 0.3% in the previous month and an
increase of 0.7% in June 2019.
4. SPI inflation on YoY increased by 11.5% in June 2020 as compared to an increase of 11.0% a
month earlier and an increase of 9.3% in June 2019. On MoM basis, it increased by 1.4% in June
2020 as compared to an increase of 2.2% a month earlier and an increase of 0.9% in June 2019.
5. WPI inflation on YoY basis increased by 0.9% in June 2020 as compared to an increase of 1.5% a
month earlier and an increase of 14.0% in June 2019. WPI inflation on MoM basis decreased by
0.3% in June 2020 as compared to a decrease of 2.1% a month earlier and an increase of 0.2% in
corresponding month of last year i.e. June 2019.
7. Measured by non-food non-energy Urban CPI increased by 6.5% on (YoY) basis in June 2020
as compared to an increase of 6.3% in the previous month and 7.3% in June 2019. On (MoM) ba-
sis, it increased by 0.4% in June 2020 as compared to increase of 0.4% in previous month, and an
increase of 0.2% in corresponding month of last year i.e. June 2019.
8. Measured by non-food non-energy Rural CPI increased by 8.8% on (YoY) basis in June 2020 as
compared to an increase of 8.4% in the previous month and 6.7% in June 2019. On (MoM) basis,
it increased by 0.7% in June 2020 as compared to an increase of 0.4% in previous month.
10. Measured by 20% weighted trimmed mean Rural CPI increased by 9.9% on (YoY) basis in
June 2020 as compared to 8.9% in the previous month and by 7.2% in June 2019. On (MoM) ba-
sis, it increased by 0.9% in June 2020 as compared to an increase of 0.5% in the previous month
and an increase of 0.7% in corresponding month of last year i.e. June 2019.
In view of falling inflation, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) slashed the policy interest rate by
100 basis points to seven per cent to provide easy liquidity to help businesses under stress ow-
ing to the Covid-19 pandemic.
This was the fifth reduction within three months and cumulatively interest rates were slashed by
6.25 per cent. “The inflation outlook has improved further in light of the recent cut in domestic
fuel prices,” said the SBP, adding that inflation could fall closer to the lower end of the previously
announced ranges of 11-12pc this fiscal year and 7-9pc next fiscal year. The central bank said in-
flation could fall further than expected if the economic activity failed to pick up as expected next
fiscal year. On the other hand, there were some upside risks from potential food-price shocks as-
sociated with adverse agricultural conditions.
However, the SBP maintained that easier monetary policy could neither affect the rate of infec-
tion transmission nor prevent the near-term fall in economic activity due to the lockdown; it
could provide liquidity support to households and businesses to help them through the ensuing
temporary phase of economic disruption.
***************
Grant عطا
Growth rate اضافے کی شرح
Guarantee ضمانت
Harmony ہم آہنگی
Honorarium اعزاز
Illustrate واضح کریں
Imminent امیر
Impact متاثر
Impediment ہتھیار
Impersonation ردعمل
Impetus محرک
Import درآمد
Income آمدنی
Inflation افراط زر
◊ June
December
March2020
20192018 IFMPIFMP
Newsletter
Newsletter Page 16
Page
◊ 16 ◊
Markets in Review
10
◊ Monthly Review ◊
Pakistan
KIBOR
Crude Oil Stock
(6 Months)
Exchange
Gold Silver
10 Grams 10 Grams
Contact Us
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