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METRO MANILA
MARKET UPDATE Q2 2018
6.0%
GDP
as it outpaced wealthier Asean
neighbors, such as Indonesia and
Malaysia. With the aim of
have to access the Philippine
Business Data Bank that stores all
the information. The DICT and
maintaining the country’s good concerned agencies are tasked to
Q2 2018 economic momentum and to
complement the administration’s create and maintain this system.
massive infrastructure programs, Taking the cue from other
5.2%
the EODB and EGSD Act of 2018
developed nations, such as
is expected to result to an efficient
turnaround in the delivery of Singapore and New Zealand that
Inflation Rate government services for both consistently ranked as the top
June 2018 business and non-business-related countries in the World’s Ease of
transactions, as well as avert graft Doing Business Index, the
and corrupt practices. Philippines has finally started
creating its own version of a
2.7%
The Act presents a stringent
governmental action on its business friendlier and a more welcoming
application services, with a business environment for the
OFW Remittances provision for automatic approvals of benefit of its citizens and investors
June 2018 application processes lasting more
than the prescribed period, so long
as all documents required have
been submitted and all applicable Continued on Page 10…
fees are paid. The government is
5.9%
Avg. Bank Lending
tasked to gradually elevate its
3.36%
115 113
110 108
91-Day T-Bill
June 2018 105
99 99
100 97
95
53.05 90
Avg. PHP-USD 85
June 2018 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2
SUSTAINED POSITIVE OUTLOOK FROM AN
EXPANDING METRO MANILA OFFICE SECTOR
OFFICE | Demand for office space remains upbeat and unflagging
12.00%
1,000.00 5.57%
10.00%
6.72%
Alabang ₱734.85 4.89% 800.00
8.00%
600.00
6.00%
Bay Area ₱767.12 1.14% 400.00 4.00%
200.00 2.00%
METRO
₱1,010.17 4.51% 0.00 0.00%
MANILA Makati Fort Bonifacio Alabang Quezon City Ortigas Bay Area
Source: Santos Knight Frank Research Lease Rate (PHP) Growth Rate
3
THE METRO MANILA RESIDENTIAL SECTOR
MAINTAINS MOMENTUM AMIDST CHALLENGES
RESIDENTIAL | Rising demand for residences seen as a product of office sector growth
4
NEW STRATEGIC RETAIL CONCEPTS BOOST
THE METRO MANILA RETAIL SECTOR
RETAIL | Metro Manila retail sector experiences glory days with the launch of new market trends
Consumer spending continued to W Mall (Bay Area, Pasay) SM Mall of Asia in Bay Area, Pasay
ramp up the Metro Manila retail Source: Manila Bulletin reclaimed the top spot as the
sector in the 2nd Quarter of 2018, biggest mall in the Philippines as
causing retailers and developers to SM Supermalls added another
expand in order to continually cater
to the Filipino consumers. The 250,000 square meters of gross
recent report of the Philippine floor area to its current 470,000
Statistics Authority showed a rise in square meters gross floor area. The
consumer spending of the average MOA expansion started in 2016 to
Filipino compared to the previous celebrate the mall’s 10th
quarter of the year. A significant anniversary. This expansion features
increase in the spending on food, a football field, Olympic-size ice
beverages, clothing, and recreation skating rink, food hall, and a lot of
was noted. Ayala Malls Circuit Lane upcoming luxury and international
Source: Circuit Makati
OPENINGS & EXPANSIONS brands such as Rolex and IKEA.
5
and Nadai Fujisoba will soon be NEW TRENDS
opened in SM North EDSA (QC),
Several eyewear and optical brands
Trinoma (QC), Uptown Mall (BGC), are multiplying in different retail
Greenbelt (Makati), Ayala the 30th establishments and shopping malls
Mall (Ortigas), Powerplant Mall within Metro Manila. Japanese
(Makati), and Bonifacio High Street brands, Aojo, Jins, and Owndays,
(BGC), bringing in authentic Korean brand, Starfinder Optical,
Japanese food culture to Filipinos. and local brands, Sunnies Specs
Filipinos love for Korean culture Optical and Visualities by EO The Corner Market
Source: Spot.ph
have given an opportunity for compete in selling the finest and
best-designed eyewear to the
Korean brands and Korean-themed
Filipino consumers.
retail stores to come into the Filipino
market as brands such as The In addition, retail developers and The Grid
Saem International, Hobing, K operators introduced the “food hall” Source: Our Awesome Planet
7
INDUSTRIAL DEMAND AND GOVERNMENT PROJECTS
CONTRIBUTE TO INDUSTRIAL SECTOR PROGRESS
INDUSTRIAL | Metro Manila Manufacturing, Logistics and Warehousing in full swing
8
The 4-segment project will connect
highly industrial areas within Metro
Manila. The project is vital to the
movement and logistics of cargo
and inventory as it provides easier
access to industrial facilities in the
CAMANAVA area and it provides a
direct route from Port of Manila
through the Radial Road 10 (R10) in
Navotas and NLEX connection.
LEASE RATES
There are also available industrial Source: Department of Public Works and Highways
facilities in Bicutan and Barangay
Bagumbayan in Taguig City with an
estimated total of 17,300 square FIGURE 7
meters and leasable at ₱180.00 to AVERAGE LEASE RATES OF INDUSTRIAL
₱430.00 per square meter per
PROPERTIES (PHP/sq.m./mo.)
month.
9
Continued from Page 2 Cover Continued from Page 3 Office Continued from Page 4 Residential
alike. The passage of the EODB Constantly rising rents further Constant competition, rising
and EGSD Act of 2018 is presumed supports market optimism in the demand and diminishing supply
to attract even more foreign Metro Manila office sector. Overall pulled up the second quarter
investors. Additional investments weighted average asking lease average selling price per square
are expected to come in with rates grew 2.42% quarter-on- meter of residential apartments in
China’s Belt and Road Initiative, a quarter and 10.6% year-on-year to Metro Manila. Affordable
21st century revival of the Chinese above P1,000 per square meter per condominiums posted a 21.7% y-o-
Silk Road, wherein Chinese month. The second quarter figure y growth in average selling prices.
investors are looking beyond China was pegged at P1,010.17. Although The price range was from a low of
to trade and invest. The act likewise the Bay Area has been very ₱68,000 per square meter to a high
entices local populace to develop promising, Makati still holds the of ₱104,000 per square meter. In
their own business ventures, taking highest asking rate of P1,362.05 addition, demand for luxury
advantage of the country’s strong per square meter per month, condominiums led to a significantly
consumer base, which has been followed by BGC with P1,099.53 higher y-o-y price growth of 29.5%.
proportionally growing with the per square meter per month. Luxury condominium prices range
entire Philippine GDP for the past from ₱154,000 to ₱486,000 per
years. The Chinese gaming industry square meter. High-end and mid-
continues to display strength with income projects likewise recorded
The Philippine real estate industry is an increasing presence in Metro price increases of 9.3% and 11.5%
constantly booming, with increasing Manila, especially in the Bay Area. respectively.
commitments from offshore Nevertheless, the Business Process
companies, continuous Outsourcing (BPO) industry will Around 24 projects (10,781 units)
development of shopping malls and keep on driving office space take- were turned-over in the second
retail strips in the countryside, and up evidenced by constant large quarter of 2018, which is 5% higher
new residential project launches, commitments from IT and BPO the previous quarter’s 10,288 units.
backed by numerous pipeline companies. BGC is recognized as Towers that were launched in the
infrastructure projects. This is to the most dominant destination for second quarter include: Fame
further continue with the passage of IT-BPO companies. Traditional Residences Tower 4 and Kai
the EODB and EGSD Act of 2018. headquarters and front offices Garden Residences- Hinoki Building
Moreover, land acquisition and likewise occupy a sizable portion of in Mandaluyong City, Avida Vireo
development would be ideally the total office stock but are Tower 2 and Park Cascades Tower
easier, paving the way for considering an upgrade to newer 2 in Taguig City, and Callisto Tower
businesses in the country to expand and modern buildings available in 2 in Makati City.
and extend to the countryside, and the market.
thereby increasing the land value in
other high potential areas. While the threat of automation
challenges the BPO sector, certain
firms wish to address the issue by
improving employee skillset and
FIGURE 8 going up the value chain with more
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE INDEX advance type of services. Voice
services, however, remain essential
to various BPO companies, as
60.0 human interaction is preferred and
55.0 desired by majority of customers.
50.0
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
2Q 2018
2Q 2016
4Q 2016
2Q 2017
4Q 2017
Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Forbes Media Tower
Source: Century Properties
Source: Bangko Sentral Ng Pilipinas (BSP)
10
MANAGEMENT
Rick Santos
Chairman and CEO
+63 917 528 3687
Manila Office Rick.Santos@santos.knightfrank.ph
10th Floor, Ayala Tower One & Exchange Plaza
OCCUPIER SERVICES AND
Ayala Avenue, Makati City, 1226 COMMERCIAL AGENCY
t: (632) 752-2580 / 848-7388
f: (632) 752-2571 Joey Radovan
w: www.santos.knightfrank.ph Vice Chairman
+63 920 906 7517
Joey.Radovan@santos.knightfrank.ph
Mabel Luna
Director
+63 917 865 3712
Mabel.Luna@santos.knightfrank.ph
RESIDENTIAL SERVICES
Toby Miranda
Assistant Manager
+63 917 8077 495
Toby.Miranda@santos.knightfrank.ph
Kim Sanchez
Associate Director
+63 917 537 9650
Kim.Sanchez@santos.knightfrank.ph
PROPERTY MANAGEMENT
Ed Macalintal
Associate Director
+63 917 533 7750
Edgardo.Macalintal@santos.knightfrank.ph
PROJECT MANAGEMENT
Allan Napoles
Executive Director
+63 917 5277638
Santos Knight Frank Research provides strategic advice, consultancy services and forecasting to a Allan.Napoles@santos.knightfrank.ph
wide range of clients worldwide including developers, investors, funding organizations, corporate
institutions and the public sector. All our clients recognize the need for expert independent advice RESEARCH & CONSULTANCY
customized to their specific needs.
Jan Custodio
Senior Director
RECENT MARKET-LEADING RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS +63 917 574 3572
Jan.Custodio@santos.knightfrank.ph
Pai Javillonar
Research Manager
Emlin.Javillonar@santos.knightfrank.ph
Rhys Revecho
Research Analyst
Rhys.Revecho@santos.knighfrank.ph
Maki Takagaki
Research Analyst
Anne.Takagaki@santos.knightfrank.ph
Metro Manila Metro Cebu The Wealth Report Global Cities
Market Update Market Update 2018 The Report 2018
Q1 2018 2H 2017 Gelo Manansala
Research Analyst
Angelo.Manansala@Santos.knightfrank.ph
Santos Knight Frank Research Reports are available at santos.knightfrank.ph/research