Yes Bank

Estimated Probability
Month P1 Return 0 XiP(Xi) (Xi – X )
July,2019 91.2 -8.8 -8.8 0.1 -0.88 9.529230769231
Aug,2019 59.95 -40.05 -40.05 0.2 -8.01 -21.7207692308
Sept,2019 41.4 -58.6 -58.6 0.1 -5.86 -40.2707692308
Oct,2019 70.4 -29.6 -29.6 0.3 -8.88 -11.2707692308
Nov,2019 68.3 -31.7 -31.7 0.4 -12.68 -13.3707692308
Dec,2019 46.95 -53.05 -53.05 0.2 -10.61 -34.7207692308
Jan,2020 39.25 -60.75 -60.75 0.2 -12.15 -42.4207692308
Feb,2020 34.6 -65.4 -65.4 0.3 -19.62 -47.0707692308
Mar,2020 22.45 -77.55 -77.55 0.4 -31.02 -59.2207692308
Apr,2020 27.9 -72.1 -72.1 0.6 -43.26 -53.7707692308
May,2020 26.85 -73.15 -73.15 0.5 -36.575 -54.8207692308
June,2020 25.6 -74.4 -74.4 0.3 -22.32 -56.0707692308
July,2020 11.95 -88.05 -88.05 0.3 -26.415 -69.7207692308

Total 566.8 -733.2 -18.329230769

566.8 -733.2 -733.2 3.9 -238.28 -494.92
Interpretation-
Exp. ROR -238.28 Less from Exp. ROR
Stan. Dev 93.18096 (in percent) -839.01771576
Actual ROR 600.7377
(Xi – X )2 (Xi – X )2P(Xi)
90.8062390532545 9.08062390532545
471.791815976331 94.3583631952663
1621.73485443787 162.173485443787
127.030239053254 38.1090717159763
178.777469822485 71.5109879289941
1205.53181597633 241.106363195266
1799.52166213018 359.904332426036
2215.65731597633 664.6971947929
3507.09950828402 1402.83980331361
2891.29562366864 1734.77737420118
3005.31673905326 1502.65836952663
3143.93116213018 943.179348639054
4860.98566213018 1458.29569863905

8682.69101692308
25119.4801076923 8682.69101692308
Stan. Dev 93.18096
Yes Bank

Month
July,2019
Aug,2019 59.95
Sept,2019 41.4
Oct,2019 70.4
Nov,2019 68.3
Dec,2019 46.95
Jan,2020 39.25
Feb,2020 34.6
Mar,2020 22.45
Apr,2020 27.9
May,2020 26.85
June,2020 25.6
July,2020 11.95

total sale 475.6

sum
sum
total sum
Estimated
Return divide multiply minus
-100 0 0 100
-40.05 -1.496879 -2401 100
-58.6 -0.706485 -2426.04 100
-29.6 -2.378378 -2083.84 100
-31.7 -2.154574 -2165.11 100
-53.05 -0.885014 -2490.698 100
-60.75 -0.646091 -2384.438 100
-65.4 -0.529052 -2262.84 100
-77.55 -0.289491 -1741 100
-72.1 -0.386963 -2011.59 100
-73.15 -0.367054 -1964.078 100
-74.4 -0.344086 -1904.64 100
-88.05 -0.135718 -1052.198 100

-824.4 -10.31978 #NAME? 1300

1300

100
SBI India
Estimated Probability
Month P1 Return Xi
July,2019 332.2 232.2 0.1
Aug,2019 273.85 173.85 0.1
Sept,2019 270.8 170.8 0.2
Oct,2019 312.4 212.4 0.1
Nov,2019 341.85 241.85 0.1
Dec,2019 333.75 233.75 0.1
Jan,2020 318.45 218.45 0.2
Feb,2020 303 203 0.3
Mar,2020 196.85 96.85 0.2
Apr,2020 190.5 90.5 0.1
May,2020 165.45 65.45 0.2
June,2020 178.45 78.45 0.1
July,2020 191.45 91.45 0.1

Total

Interpretation-
Exp. ROR 306.655 Less from Exp. ROR
Stan. Dev. 218.1274 (in percent) 668.898636227629
Actual ROR -362.2436
XiP(Xi) (Xi – X ) (Xi – X )2 (Xi – X )2P(Xi)
23.22 -74.455 5543.547025 554.3547025
17.385 -132.805 17637.168025 1763.7168025
34.16 -135.855 18456.581025 3691.316205
21.24 -94.255 8884.005025 888.4005025
24.185 -64.805 4199.688025 419.968802499999
23.375 -72.905 5315.139025 531.5139025
43.69 -88.205 7780.122025 1556.024405
60.9 -103.655 10744.359025 3223.3077075
19.37 -209.805 44018.138025 8803.627605
9.05 -216.155 46722.984025 4672.2984025
13.09 -241.205 58179.852025 11635.970405
7.845 -228.205 52077.522025 5207.7522025
9.145 -215.205 46313.192025 4631.3192025

306.655 47579.5708475

Stan. Dev. 218.1274

Jet Airways
Estimated Probability
Month P1 Return Xi
July,2019 346.8 336.971910477 0.1
Aug,2019 308.3 298.471910477 0.1
Sept,2019 285.55 275.721910477 0.2
Oct,2019 275.85 266.021910477 0.2
Nov,2019 182.4 172.571910477 0.1
Dec,2019 229.15 219.321910477 0.2
Jan,2020 308.4 298.571910477 0.2
Feb,2020 226 216.171910477 0.3
Mar,2020 234 224.171910477 0.2
Apr,2020 235 225.171910477 0.2
May,2020 260 250.171910477 0.2
June,2020 164.5 154.671910477 0.1
July,2020 125.45 115.621910477 0.1

Total

Interpretation-
Exp. ROR 524.5132 Less from Exp. ROR
Stan. Dev. 430.7302 (in percent) 2259.23697640673
Actual ROR -1734.724
XiP(Xi) (Xi – X ) (Xi – X )2 (Xi – X )2P(Xi)
33.6971910476808 -187.541292523192 35171.7364012693 3517.17364012693
29.8471910476808 -226.041292523192 51094.6659255551 5109.46659255551
55.1443820953617 -248.791292523192 61897.1072353603 12379.4214470721
53.2043820953617 -258.491292523192 66817.7483103102 13363.549662062
17.2571910476808 -351.941292523192 123862.673382895 12386.2673382895
43.8643820953617 -305.191292523192 93141.7250319764 18628.3450063953
59.7143820953617 -225.941292523192 51049.4676670505 10209.8935334101
64.8515731430425 -308.341292523192 95074.3526748725 28522.3058024617
44.8343820953617 -300.341292523192 90204.8919945014 18040.9783989003
45.0343820953617 -299.341292523192 89605.209409455 17921.041881891
50.0343820953617 -274.341292523192 75263.1447832954 15052.6289566591
15.4671910476808 -369.841292523192 136782.581655225 13678.2581655225
11.5621910476808 -408.891292523192 167192.089101286 16719.2089101286

524.513203048978 185528.539335475

S.D.
430.7302
Tata Motors Limited (TTM)
Estimated Probability
Month P1 Return Xi
July,2019 9.71 -90.29 0.1
Aug,2019 8.22 -91.78 0.1
Sept,2019 8.39 -91.61 0.2
Oct,2019 12.08 -87.92 0.1
Nov,2019 11.22 -88.78 0.1
Dec,2019 12.77 -87.23 0.1
Jan,2020 12.13 -87.87 0.2
Feb,2020 9.16 -90.84 0.3
Mar,2020 4.72 -95.28 0.2
Apr,2020 5.92 -94.08 0.1
May,2020 5.71 -94.29 0.2
June,2020 6.57 -93.43 0.1
July,2020 6.82 -93.18 0.1

Total

Interpretation-
Exp. ROR -173.731 Less from Exp. ROR
Stand. Dev. 113.489 (in percent) -197.165583873645
Actual ROR 23.43458
XiP(Xi) (Xi – X ) (Xi – X )2 (Xi – X )2P(Xi)
-9.029 83.441 6962.400481 696.2400481
-9.178 81.951 6715.966401 671.5966401
-18.322 82.121 6743.858641 1348.7717282
-8.792 85.811 7363.527721 736.3527721
-8.878 84.951 7216.672401 721.6672401
-8.723 86.501 7482.423001 748.2423001
-17.574 85.861 7372.111321 1474.4222642
-27.252 82.891 6870.917881 2061.2753643
-19.056 78.451 6154.559401 1230.9118802
-9.408 79.651 6344.281801 634.4281801
-18.858 79.441 6310.872481 1262.1744962
-9.343 80.301 6448.250601 644.8250601
-9.318 80.551 6488.463601 648.8463601

-173.731 12879.7543339

Stand. Dev. 113.489

ONGC
Estimated Probability
Month P1 Return Xi XiP(Xi)
July,2019 161.5 61.5 0.1 6.15
Aug,2019 134.35 34.35 0.2 6.87
Sept,2019 127.95 27.95 0.3 8.385
Oct,2019 129.55 29.55 0.2 5.91
Nov,2019 144.15 44.15 0.1 4.415
Dec,2019 126.55 26.55 0.1 2.655
Jan,2020 128.45 28.45 0.2 5.69
Feb,2020 109.25 9.25 0.3 2.775
Mar,2020 91.95 -8.05 0.2 -1.61
Apr,2020 69.85 -30.15 0.1 -3.015
May,2020 79.9 -20.1 0.2 -4.02
June,2020 86.95 -13.05 0.1 -1.305
July,2020 82.4 -17.6 0.1 -1.76

Total 31.14

Interpretation-
Exp. ROR 31.14 Less from Exp. ROR
Stan. Dev 43.62091 (in percent) 13.5835500560812
Actual ROR 17.55645
(Xi – X ) (Xi – X )2 (Xi – X )2P(Xi)
30.36 921.7296 92.17296
3.21 10.3041 2.06081999999999
-3.19 10.1761 3.05283
-1.59 2.52809999999997 0.50561999999999
13.01 169.2601 16.92601
-4.59 21.0681 2.10681
-2.69 7.23610000000006 1.44722000000001
-21.89 479.1721 143.75163
-39.19 1535.8561 307.17122
-61.29 3756.4641 375.64641
-51.24 2625.5376 525.10752
-44.19 1952.7561 195.27561
-48.74 2375.5876 237.55876

1902.78342

Stan. Dev 43.62091