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Cal2BT Final Spring2014 v2
Cal2BT Final Spring2014 v2
FINAL EXAMINATION
Semester 2, 2013-14 • Date: June 12, 2014 • Duration: 120 minutes
Chair:
INSTRUCTIONS:
• Answer any FIVE of the six questions. DO NOT answer more than
five questions.
3. The rate of change in the concentration of a drug with respect to time (in
hours) in a certain user’s blood is modeled by
dC
= −kC + e−t , C(0) = 0,
dt
where k = 0.02 is the rate that the drug leaves the bloodstream.
(a) (15 marks) Find C(t).
(b) (5 marks) When will C(t) attain its maximum value?
5. A certain drug is known to cause a side effect 10% of the time and there
are five patients given this drug.
(a) (10 marks) What is the probability that at least one of five patients expe-
riences the side effect?
(b) (10 marks) What is the probability that four or more experience the side
effect?
—END—
SOLUTIONS TO CAL2BT FINAL EXAM, SPRING 2014
ln |486 − w| = −0.0152t + C0
This implies
w (t) = 486 − Ce−0.0152t ,
where C is a constant. Using the initial condition w(0) = 30 kg to get C = 456.
Therefore,
w (t) = 486 − 456e−0.0152t (15 marks)
w(t) = 486 − 456e−0.0152t = 200 when t = 1
0.0152
ln( 456
286
) = 30.69.
Thus, w(t) = 200 kg when t ≈ 30.7 weeks. (5 marks)
Using the initial condition y(1) = 1 to get C = e−2/3 . Thus, y (x) = e2(x )/3 .
3 −1
The exact values are y(1.01) = 1.0204, y(1.02) = 1.0416, y(1.03) = 1.0638, y(1.04) =
1.0868, y(1.05) = 1.1108.
The differences between the exact value and the approximate value are
dC
+ 0.02C = e−t
dt
dC 0.02t
e + 0.02e0.02t C = e−0.98t
dt
d 0.02t
e C = e−0.98t
dt
Integrating to obtain
e−t
C (t) = − + C1 e−0.02t
0.98
where C1 is a constant. Using C(0) = 0, we get
e−t e−0.02t
C (t) = − +
0.98 0.98
(b) (5 marks) We have
dC ln 50
=0⇔t= ≈ 4 (hours)
dt 0.98
Zk
k3 k3
3 3
kx − x2 dx =
− =1
32 32 2 3
0
k 3 = 64 ⇔ k = 4
(b) (10 marks) The expected value is
Z4
3
x 4x − x2 dx = 2
E (X) =
32
0
The variance
Z4
3 2 24 4
x 4x − x2 dx − E (X)2 =
V ar (X) = −4=
32 5 5
0
The probability that the length of a given leaf is within one standard deviation
of the expected value is about 0.62.
(b) (10 marks) The probability that four or more experience the side effect is
5
P (X = 4) + P (X = 5) = (0.1)4 (0.9) + (0.1)5 = 0.00046
4
6. (a) (10 marks) Let D be the event that an individual has the disease,
M be the event that an individual will be male, and F be the event that an
individual will be female.
The probability that an individual selected at random from this population
will have the disease is
(b) (10 marks) The conditional probability that an individual who had the
disease will be female is
P (F D) (0.5) (0.08) 3
P (F |D) = = = ≈ 0.43
P (D) 0.07 7