UJIAN TENGAH SEMESTER

UNIVERSITAS GADJAH MADA

Kelas MM Reguler Yogyakarta Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis

Nama Diva Tertia Almira Mata Kuliah Statistics for Business Decision
Sekar Utami Setiastuti, S.E., M.Sc., Ph.D.
NIU 470320 Dosen
Shima Dewi Mutiara Trisna, S.E., M.A
Kelas Pra – MBA 78 A Tanggal Kamis, 1 April 2021

Pertanyaan 2
λ=40 % n=9

a)

P ( x ) =n C X π x ( 1−π )n−x

P ( x=2 )=9 C2 π 2 ( 1−40 % )9−2

P ( x=2 )=0.1612

P ( x=2 )=16.12 %

b)

P ( x ) =n C X π x ( 1−π )n−x

P ( x=4 )=9 C2 π 2 ( 1−40 % )9−2

P ( x=4 )=0.1612

P ( x=4 )=16.12 %

Pertanyaan 3
N = 20 n=6

S = 10 x=4

( N −S C ¿ ¿ n−x)
P ( x ) =( S C x ) ¿
Cn

( 20−10 C ¿ ¿ 6−4)
P ( 6 )=( 10 C 6 ) ¿
20 C 6

P ( 6 )=24 %
Pertanyaan 4
μ=0.5

a)

μ x ⅇ−μ
P x=
( )
x!
x −0.5
0.5 ⅇ
P ( 2 )=
2!
P ( 2 )=16 %

b)

μ x ⅇ−μ
P ( x) =
x!

0.5x ⅇ−0.5
P ( 4 )=
4!
P ( 4 )=25 %

Pertanyaan 5
a=¿ Rp. 500.000,00 b=¿ Rp. 4.800.000,00

a) Mean
a+ b
μ=
2
Rp .500.000+ Rp . 4.800 .000
μ=
2
 μ=Rp . 2.650 .000

b) Standard Deviation

( b−a )2 ( Rp . 4.800 .000−Rp .500.000 )2 σ =Rp .1.241 .303,079

σ=
√ 12 √
σ=
12

c)
1
P(≤ Rp. 2.000 .000,00)= ( b−a )
b−a
1
P(≤ Rp. 2.000 .000,00)= ( Rp .2.000 .000−Rp. 500.000 )
Rp . 4.300 .000

P ( ≤ Rp . 2.000.000,00 ) =34.89 %

d)
1
P(¿ Rp .3.000 .000,00)= ( b−a )
b−a
1
P(¿ Rp .3 .000 .000,00)= ( Rp .3.000 .000−Rp.4 .800 .000 )
Rp . 4.300 .000

P ( ¿ Rp . 3 .000.000,00 ) =41.86 %

Pertanyaan 6
μ=280 σ =¿ 25 Menit

a)
x=300
300−280
z=
25
z=0.8

P ( 0¿ z )=0.2881
 P ( x ≥ 300 )=0.5−0.2881
P ( x ≥ 300 )=0.2119

b) x=220
220−280
z=
25
z=−2.4 P ( 0¿ z )=0.4918

P ( x ≥ 220 )=0.5+ 0.4918

P ( x ≥ 220 )=0.9918

c)
P ( 300≤ x ≤ 220 ) =0.2119+0.4918
P ( 300≤ x ≤ 220 ) =0.7799

Pertanyaan 7
1
λ=
400,000
a)

P ( Arrival time < x )=1−ⅇ− λx

 −1
(100,000 )
400,000
P ( Error<100,000 ) =1−ⅇ

P ( Error<100,000 ) =0,221

b)

P ( Arrival time > x )=ⅇ−λx

−1
(500,000)
P ( Arrival time>500,000 )=ⅇ 400,000

P ( Arrival time >500,000 )=0,287

c)

P ( 350,000≤ x ≤ 200,000 )=( 1−ⅇ− λx )−(1−ⅇ− λx )

P ( 350,000≤ x ≤ 200,000 )=19 %

Pertanyaan 8
N=6
n=3

a) Combination
n!
n Cr =
r ! ( n−r ) !
6!
n Cr =
3! ( 6−3 ) !

n Cr =20

Combination Sum Mean

4,
Lionel Ryan Lily 12 00
4,
12
Lionel Ryan Olivia 00
3,
9
Lionel Ryan Lisa 00
3,
10
Lionel Ryan Victoria 33
 3,
9
Lionel Lily Olivia 00
2,
6
Lionel Lily Lisa 00
2,
7
Lionel Lily Victoria 33
2,
6
Lionel Olivia Lisa 00
2,
7
Lionel Olivia Victoria 33
1,
4
Lionel Lisa Victoria 33
4,
12
Ryan Lily Olivia 00
3,
9
Ryan Lily Lisa 00
3,
10
Ryan Lily Victoria 33
3,
9
Ryan Olivia Lisa 00
3,
10
Ryan Olivia Victoria 33
2,
7
Ryan Lisa Victoria 33
2,
6
Lily Olivia Lisa 00
2,
7
Lily Olivia Victoria 33
1,
4
Lily Lisa Victoria 33
1,
4
Olivia Lisa Victoria 33

Pertanyaan 9
n=40
x́=4.01 Kg
s=0.03 Kg
a) Point of estimate adalah 0.03 Kg

b)

s
Margin of Error=t
√n
Pertanyaan 10