Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Assets Assets
Cash and cash equivalents $ 2,117,000,000 $ 1,333,000,000 Cash and cash equivalents
Inventories: Inventories:
Property, plant and 1,999,000,000 1,938,000,000 Property, plant and equipment, net
equipment, net
Other intangible assets, net 12,687,000,000 12,279,000,000 Other intangible assets, net
Earnings reinvested in the 36,539,000,000 43,962,000,000 Common stock, par value $0.33 1/3
business per share (2,805,961,317 shares
issued)
Inventories: Inventories:
Liabilities Current 4
portion of
long-term
debt
$ 43,202,000,000
$ 2,117 $ 1,333 $ 1,253 $ 4,569 $ 2,369
CASH AND CE
CL
400 425 374,000,000 399,000,000 325,000,000
CL
Asset impairment and exit costs, net of cash paid 41 354 (38)
Receivables (8) 0 10
Receivables (27) 3
Accounts payable 24 26
Income taxes (231) (12)
Other 9 (8)
ST
LT
(845) (1,673) (2,917) (1,030) (554)
Buybacks
(6,069) (5,415) (4,807) (4,512) (4,179)
DIVD
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
DEBT $ 28,549 $ 33,121 $ 27,784 $ 40,631 $ 42,914
CASH AND EQUIVALENTS $ 2,369 $ 4,569 $ 1,253 $ 1,333 $ 2,117
no preferred stock!!
2015
Buybacks (845) (1,673) (2,917) (1,030) (554)
DIVD (6,069) (5,415) (4,807) (4,512) (4,179)
6,914 7,088 7,724 5,542 4,733
NI
Traditional Capex
R&D + Adv capex
Acquisitions capex
$ 50,000
$ 45,000
$ 40,000
$ 35,000
$ 30,000
$ 25,000 Debt
Cash and CE
$ 20,000
$ 15,000
$ 10,000
$ 5,000
$0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
15
25Y
2015 2016 2017 2018
WORKING CAPITAL 1,755 1,777 1,993 2,074
CHANGES WK 22 216 81
DEFINITIVE AMORT
21 38
2019 2015 2016
2,120 INV 2,031 2,051
TR 124 151
46 CA 2,155 2,202
NON Debt CL (AP) 400 425
QUARTERLY
108
2019 BURGER SOHNE HOLDING (ON!)
(421) 353 80% HELIX
(12,800)
(1,899)
15,120
2019
$ 246
15,120
168
33
175
376
15,742
2019
44
331
COST
REDUCTION
(REESTRUCTURIN
G: 133)
&REFOCUS
INNOVATIVE
PRODUCT, WINE
IMPAIRMENT
600
85
2019
5177
12687
264
43
70
44 70 70 70
EST EST EST
2017 2018 2019
2,225 2,331 2,293
142 142 152
2,367 2,473 2,445
374 399 325
70 70
EST EST
Cash
Provided by
(Used in)
Financing
Activities
Proceeds 0
from short-
term
borrowings
Repayment (12,800)
of short-
term
borrowings
Long-term 16,265
debt issued
Long-term (1,144)
debt repaid
Other, net (119)
Liabilities
Short-term 0
borrowings
Current 1,000
portion of
long-term
debt
Accounts 325
payable
Accrued
liabilities:
Marketing 393,000,000
Settlement 3,346,000,000
charges
Other 1,545,000,000
Dividends 1,565,000,000
payable
Total 8,174,000,000
current
liabilities
Long-term 27,042
debt
Deferred 5,083,000,000
income
taxes
Accrued 473,000,000
pension
costs
Accrued 1,797,000,000
postretirem
ent health
care costs
Other 345,000,000
liabilities
Total 42,914,000,000
liabilities
Contingenci
es (Note 19)
Redeemable 38,000,000
noncontrolli
ng interest
28,042
0.0115897582198
Minority Holdings
20% Helix
12,800
(864)
(132)
4,716
12,704
1,144
399
586,000,000
3,454,000,000
1,403,000,000
1,503,000,000
21,193,000,000
11,898
4,993,000,000
544,000,000
1,749,000,000
254,000,000
40,631,000,000
39,000,000
25,746
Purchase obligations are cancelable wo a penalty and sith short notice (30d) so shan't be included as debt
OP. LEASES CAPITALIZED NOW SINCE 2019
Cash
Provided by
(Used in)
Financing
Activities
2015 2016
0 Long-term 1,976 0 0
debt issued
Issuance ST 0
0 Premiums (809) (226)
and fees
related to
early
extinguishm
ent of debt
0 0 16265
0 12800 0
0 864 1144
0 0 12800
0 11,936 2,321
and after
12 Months Ended
Consolidated Statements of Earnings (Losses) -
USD ($) $ in Millions Dec. 31, Dec. 31, Dec. 31,
2019 2018 2017
Income Statement [Abstract]
Net revenues $ 25,110 $ 25,364 $ 25,576
Cost of sales 7,085 7,373 7,531
Excise taxes on products 5,314 5,737 6,082
Gross profit 12,711 12,254 11,963
Marketing, administration and research costs 2,226 2,756 2,338
Asset Impairment and Exit Costs 159 383 32
Operating (expense) income 10,326 9,115 9,593
Interest and other debt expense, net 1,280 665 705
Net periodic benefit (income) cost, excluding (37) (34) 37
service cost
Earnings from equity investments (1,725) (890) (532)
Impairment of JUUL equity securities 8,600 0 0
Loss on Cronos-related financial instruments 1,442 0 0
(Gain) loss on ABI/SABMiller business combination 0 33 (445)
R&D + ADV
Year Expense Unamortized portion Unamortized portion
2019 Current 201 1 201
2018 -1 289 0.8 231.2
2017 -2 270 0.6 162
2016 -3 230 0.4 92
2015 -4 211 0.2 42.2
2014 -5 197 0 0
Acquisitions
Year Expense Unamortized portion Unamortized portion
2019 Current 15120 1 15120
2018 -1 20 0.8 16
2017 -2 415 0.6 249
2016 -3 45 0.4 18
2015 -4 0 0.2 0
2014 -5 102 0 0
Table summ
Purchase Method (purcPrice paid Year
AS R AND MARGINS ARE THE VITAL BASELINE NUMBERS, CAPITALIZING'S MAIN PURPOSE IS TO GIVE A DIFFERENT PAINT OF
ALSO, TO GET TO THE REINVESTMENT NEEDS (CAPEX, WC, ETC) WHICH IS SUBSTRACTED FROM NI/EBI TO GET TO FCF
Green smoke
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
163 229 189 199 238 246
102 0 45 415 20 15120 10-15y
167 186 203 241 252 168 5y
30 25 27 29 37 33 5y
440 464 884 547 15567
197 211 230 270 289 201
Threreafter 18723
28275
3q 4q
1.0%
0.0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2
-1.0%
-2.0%
Excise taxes: has gone from 26% of S to 21 in 5y. Why? Because it's based on volume (specific tax) not on value (ad valorem)
1,01 per pack
Price 5% 5%
Volume expectations -4% minus 2% volume from higher prices permanent
Revenues $ 25,110
Elasticity
-0.4
% Change in Q = -0,4/5
-2
5,5 volume decline
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
$ 25,576 $ 25,364 $ 25,110 25172.775 25235.7069 25298.7962 25362.0432 25425.4483
-0.7% -0.8% -1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
2017 2018 2019
9,593 9,115 10,326
8.7% -5.2% 11.7%
Op. Income
20.0%
0.0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
-5.0%
Revenue Growth
-10.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
Revenue Growth 45.00%
1.0% 40.00%
0.0% 35.00%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 30.00%
1.0% 25.00%
2.0% 20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
2017 2018 2019 5.00%
$ 25,576 $ 25,364 $ 25,110
7,531 7,373 7,085 0.00%
2011 2012 2013 2
6,082 5,737 5,314
0.23780106 0.22618672 0.211628833134209
Op. Income
Op. Income
Operating Margins
45.00%
40.00%
35.00%
30.00%
25.00% Operating Margins
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
JUUL'S Especulation
Base year 1 2 3
Revenue growth rate 1.00% 1.00% 1.00%
Revenues $ 25,110.00 $ 25,361.10 $ 25,614.71 $ 25,870.86
Operating Growth Rate $ 10,326.00 $ 10,584.15 $ 10,790.77 $ 11,000.47
EBIT (Operating) margin 41.12% 41.51% 41.90% 42.29%
EBIT (Operating income) $ 10,326.00 $ 10,527.58 $ 10,732.17 $ 10,939.79
Tax rate 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00%
EBIT(1-t) $ 7,744.50 $ 7,895.69 $ 8,049.12 $ 8,204.84
- Reinvestment $ 321.47 $ 324.68 $ 327.93
FCFF $ 7,574.22 $ 7,724.44 $ 7,876.91
NOL $ - $ - $ - $ -
45.00%
$ 12,417.91
25.00%
$ 9,313.43
$ 481.19
$ 8,832.24
$ -
6.63%
Revenue CAGR
Operating Mg -1.00%
25% 6214.725
30%
35%
40%
45%
PV(Terminal value) $ -
PV (CF over next 10 years) $ -
Sum of PV $ -
- Debt $ 25,746.00
- Minority interests $ 2.00
+ Cash $ 1,333.00
+ Non-operating assets $ 30,496.00
Value of equity $ 6,081.00
- Value of options $0.00
Value of equity in common stock $ 6,081.00
Number of shares 1,858.37
Estimated value /share $ 3.27
Base year 1
Revenue growth rate 1.00%
Revenues $ 25,110.00 $ 25,361.10
2 3 4 5 6
1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 0.92%
$ 25,614.71 $ 25,870.86 $ 26,129.57 $ 26,390.86 $ 26,634.71
Implied variables
Sales to capital ratio 0.78 0.78 0.78
Invested capital $ 32,147 $ 32,147 $ 32,147 $ 32,147
ROIC 24.09% 24.20% 24.31% 24.42%
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0.00% 0.00% 0.13% 0.25% 0.38% 0.50% 0.63%
$ 25,110.00 $ 25,110.00 $ 25,141.64 $ 25,205.00 $ 25,300.27 $ 25,427.78 $ 25,587.98
41.87% 42.06% 42.25% 42.44% 42.62% 42.81% 43.00%
$ 10,514.52 $ 10,561.65 $ 10,622.15 $ 10,696.22 $ 10,784.14 $ 10,886.22 $ 11,002.83
25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00%
$ 7,885.89 $ 7,921.24 $ 7,966.61 $ 8,022.17 $ 8,088.11 $ 8,164.67 $ 8,252.12
$ - $ - $ 40.51 $ 81.11 $ 121.98 $ 163.25 $ 205.09
$ 7,885.89 $ 7,921.24 $ 7,926.11 $ 7,941.05 $ 7,966.13 $ 8,001.42 $ 8,047.03
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
6.63%
After year 10
6.63%
ROIC
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
20.02% 14.53% 21.40% 24.79% 39.14%
EPS
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
-0.7 3.69 53.31 7.28 2.67