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GROWTH CURVES
• The first row represents the birth year of the cohort, and each subsequent row shows the same group of one year
older.
• The unit of age (x) is years, the number alive (nx) indicates that not all individuals survive yearly.
• Survivorship converts a proportion of alive to the original cohort (lx = nx/n0), x = 0,1,2,3….
• The average number of offspring born to individuals of each age is age-specific fecundity.
• If the key assumptions are met, then the sum of the product of survivorship and fecundity at each age gives a
population growth parameter called Ro (net reproductive rate)
• When Ro > 1, the population is producing more offspring than its losing from deaths meaning, the population is
growing….(vice versa!).
Is the population above growing, shrinking, or stable?
At what age is fecundity maximized? Survivorship?
Adapted from Dr Hasnun lecture notes
Age (year), x Number alive at Survivorship at Age-specific Net reproductive
interval year, (nx) interval year, Ix fertility, mx rate, Ro (Ixmx)
0-1 3,695 1.000 0.000 0
1-2 1,700 0.460 0.315 0.145
2-3 1,016 0.275 0.400 0.110
3-4 657 0.178 0.895 0.159
4-5 371 0.100 1.244 0.124
Exercise
Italy – Decrease/Zero/Negative
growth
• Bottom structure is shrinking – not
many babies are borne
• Few babies grow into reproductive
individuals
• Birth rate < Death rate
• Population continues to decrease
SURVIVORSHIP
• A survivorship curve shows what fraction of a starting group is
still alive at each successive age.
Characteristics Type I
Characteristics Type II
• Small number of
• Die equally at any
offspring
age
• Parental care of their
• Significant parental
offspring
care
• Die at older age
• Relatively few
• Humans and
offspring
primates
• Birds