Professional Documents
Culture Documents
AIMA Journal 120 Final
AIMA Journal 120 Final
Natural language
processing in finance
Sh a k espe a r e
Wi t ho ut t he
M o nk e ys
04 24 46
2 3
A warm introduction to our 120th edition of the AIMA Duff and Phelps discusses the shift of global tax
journal. We are delighted to showcase a detailed towards a harmonisation across all jurisdictions and
collection of insights provided by our members. We the revised focus on local and territorial substance
would like to convey our thanks and appreciation to all requirements from the Organisation for Economic
those who contributed to our latest edition. Co-operation and Development (OECD), particularly
the implications of the swift introduction of several
The journal opens with a thought-provoking piece substance legislative measures on managers.
04 on cryptocurrency analysis from co-founder and
managing partner of Bardicredit, who seeks to shed Gowling WLG (UK) LLP describes how the new rules
16 light on the future of blockchain - ‘the next big thing for pre-marketing funds and reverse solicitation aims
46 after Bitcoin’. Keeping on trend with how technology to harmonise activities managed within the structure
is impacting the work of finance, Man AHL provides of AIFMD, as well as the current rules in practice,
an insightful overview on natural language processing amongst other aspects.
(NPL).
Finally, Ogier looks at the development of sustainable
The initial performance of the still nascent Canadian investing in Asia. Although there are still challenges
alternative mutual fund market receives a detailed to be overcome when it comes to ESG investing,
evaluation. CIBC notes how the juvenile market Asian asset managers have come a long way and are
has shown signs of solid growth potential since its increasingly embracing sustainable investing as a key
inception. strategy.
28
Considering the recent interest rate cuts in the US We hope you find our new edition of the AIMA Journal
and the potential for future monetary tightening, engaging and informative and wish you both a positive
BNP Paribas poses the question as to what investors and productive end to your year. Please do let us
are seeking amidst a changing market environment. know what your thoughts are on this edition and
The Next Big Thing after Bitcoin 04 New Rules for Pre-Marketing Funds 28 The analysis builds from the June Operational Due whether you wish to contribute to any future editions.
Bardicredit and Reverse Solicitation Diligence conference that the international banking
Gowling WLG (UK) LLP group co-hosted with the Alternative Investment Jack Inglis
The Future Looks Bright for Regulatory 08 Management Association (AIMA). Chief Executive Officer, AIMA
Hosting Platforms Natural language processing in finance 33
Keeping on topic, CME Group explores the extreme
Robert Quinn Consulting Man AHL
sense of frustration by the Federal Reserve, amidst
plans Fed to lower its federal funds rate target even
ountering the Financing of 12
C Cayman Islands Revised Anti-Money 40 further in response to the trade war speculation
Terrorism and Sanctions Post-Brexit Laundering Regulation – One Year On slowing global growth and sparking US spillover fears.
Maples Group INDOS Financial Limited
We also have several articles commenting on various
Alternative Mutual Funds: Growth 16 Un-Cleared Margin Rules in the EU42 industry regulatory developments, INDOS Financial
Limited explores how the revised Anti-Money
Potential Looks Solid Coming Out of The and U.S.: A practical guide for phase 4, 5 Laundering (AML) legislation, which was introduced by
Gate and 6 firms the Cayman Islands in 2018, has been received by the
CIBC Capital Markets SS&C industry. Meanwhile, SS&C, the leading cloud-based
provider of financial services technology solutions,
Operational Due Diligence: What Are20 Sustainable Investing 46 offers a detailed perspective on un-cleared margin
Investors Seeking? Ogier rules (UMR), as well as the regulatory roadmaps
BNP Paribas regarding UMR that firms will need to navigate going
Economic Substance50 forward. Additionally, Consulting and Capricorn
Duff and Phelps Regulatory Hosting looks at the regulatory outlook for
Fed Frustration 24 hosting platforms which are an increasingly important
CME Group part of the business models of smaller managers.
4 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 5
T HE N EX T
B I G T HI N G
A FT E R
BI T CO IN
Source: How Blockchain Could Disrupt Banking. CBInsights
George Salapa The most successful Well, despite this, STOs suffer and custodians. Add a layer of of electronic trading. Not only is negative share (the short seller).
Co-founder & Managing Director application of blockchain, so from being compared to ICOs - the complexity on top, in that stocks it inefficient, but also prone to To make this work, the short
bardicredit now infamous fundraising are represented in electronic errors, which can lead to (nearly) seller has to pay dividends (and
george@bardicredit.com
far, has been Bitcoin. This campaigns that operated through format. unsolvable problems. other payments) to the holder of
is what blockchain excels at the creation of new crypto-coins. the ‘extra’ stock.
- recording transactions and STOs are often confused with When someone buys or sells The case of Dole Food Co.
tracking who owns what ICOs, or - even worse - seen as the a stock, that order is executed illustrates this rather well. Matt Errors of this convoluted system
without the involvement of last-ditch effort by companies through a whole bunch of Levine brilliantly explains how (otherwise called financial
that missed the ICO bubble to middlemen and third parties. it is possible that the company markets) have become apparent
a middleman. raise some dough. Each step of the stock transaction, had at one point some 12M extra when several years after the
from trade (sending order to shares. For one, when a company merger had taken place, the court
It is this attribute of blockchain
This is wrong. Right after the the exchange), through clearing is undergoing larger transaction ordered that the acquirer should
that will have far-reaching
digital payments, STOs could (moving stock from one custodian (like a merger), DTC stops tracking pay extra consideration to original
consequences for the socio-
be the next best application to another) and settlement trades in the company’s stock shareholders who held the stock
economic order that we live in.
for blockchain. STOs are about (cash transfer) to stock servicing because it would be too hard. at the time of the merger. And as
Our mistrust in other people
using blockchain to represent (safekeeping, dividends, voting) DTC ‘places a chill on the stock’. it turned up, there were suddenly
(and our fallibility) begs for costly
and transact ownership rights. involves multiple parties, each of The stocks are still being traded, too many shares. It was up to the
layers of intermediation and the
Present day securities are non- which has to communicate with of course, but DTC doesn’t brokers to figure out who owns
necessity for authorities ‘for the
intelligent pieces of paper that are another in a complex network. want to know about it. It is the what ‘really’ and how to split the
authorities’ sake’.
at best converted to an electronic Each party maintains its own responsibility of the brokers, extra consideration. In many
Security Token Offering (STO)
copy. They cannot perform version of truth in its own ledger. custodians and other DTC cases this was impossible.
is the issuance of tokens on
any actions independently. participants to maintain some
blockchain which represent real
Someone has to do all the So, what’s the problem? After order. Many short sellers yelled in
assets, equity, debt or future
sending, receiving, storing and all, there is nothing wrong with protest, or they were simply
profit rights. Unlike traditional
clearing around transactions of complexity as long as it works, Things got even worse thanks to no longer there to pay up the
ownership rights like stocks
conventional securities. right? short selling. Short selling involves missing money to those who held
or bonds, they are intelligent
To buy or sell a stock, people selling a ‘borrowed share’. The the ‘extra stock’.
because they have inbuilt rules
need a system to keep track Well, that’s the thing - it sort present day financial markets
and actions that are performed
of who owns what. At present, of doesn’t. The mechanism account for this by recording A distributed common ledger
automatically. Imagine a stock
financial markets accomplish this described above somehow two positive shares (the original to keep track of who owns what
with automated dividends.
through a complex net of brokers, evolved from the old system of owner whose broker lends their in real time would make a lot of
Sounds like a true improvement,
exchanges, central security paper ownership, which was share and the buyer who buys this much easier. Aside from the
right?
depositories, clearing houses, later enriched by the element the borrowed share) and one fact that it would eliminate the
6 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 7
LOOKS BRIGHT
lines of responsibility
regulatory hosting platforms
looks bright, but only if you’ve • Effective processes to identify,
Barrie Davey got your act together. The manage and monitor the risks
HOSTING PLATFORMS
including sound
com understanding of regulations, are
administrative and accounting
over. The FCA’s “Dear CEO” letter
procedures and effective
Darryl Noik serves as a benchmark, not only
control and safeguard
Director for regulatory hosting platforms,
arrangements for information
Capricorn Regulatory Hosting but for potential clients and
processing systems
DNoik@capricorncapital.com investors to measure the service,
10 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 11
What this means, is that a hosting the FCA noted, monthly trading Proactive management responsibilities for assessing and
platform must have documented checks on a manager that trades supervising a manager from the
policies and procedures to assess daily are not acceptable. In order to thrive, platforms will cradle to grave. While SMCR will
and monitor the risk profile of need a corporate governance not apply to the ARs themselves,
your strategy. Documenting a Capital requirements and structure that facilitates team the platform needs to assign
risk assessment of a potential liquidity assessment decision-making and withstands individuals to key responsibilities
manager by an independent institutional level challenges. within the principal’s business.
regulatory host is the vital first Another point of concern Consistent with the FCA’s Given the risks, a disorganised
step. Does the platform have raised by the FCA in respect of comments on diversity, a senior platform or one with part-time
individuals with experience in Appointed Representative (AR) management team or board of compliance professionals will
the space where the manager platforms, is that platforms need directors with a range of different struggle to find quality senior
trades? Does the platform foresee sufficient financial resources to financial services experience can managers to perform these roles.
any sharp edges (e.g. strategies meet their obligations and the be well placed to identify the risks
in illiquid or difficult to value obligations of their ARs. How and conflicts that each manager Platforms should welcome the
instruments or U.S. clients that that arrangement is structured poses. Senior individuals are a feedback from the FCA following
can trigger registration with may be a commercial matter for product of their experience and this detailed review of the hosting
the SEC or CFTC)? Does your the platform and its managers, lessons learned earlier in their industry. Understanding the
regulatory host have the ability but the obligation remains careers. Focusing on and using regulator’s concerns and putting
to make regulatory disclosures with the regulated firm. It is that diversity of experience will in place controls to meet the FCA’s
should your strategy include also clear that platforms need provide a platform with the tools requirements and expectations
taking major shareholdings, short to be on top of their fixed to succeed, as it will have the will ensure that this pragmatic
positions, or even the ability overhead requirements, liquidity ability to identify and manage and cost-effective turnkey
to operate research payment assessment and the limitations of a much broader set of risks. solution continues to grow in a
accounts should this be your professional indemnity insurance. Having a single stakeholder make post-Brexit environment.
chosen route? Identifying these In addition, the FCA found that decisions that focus only on profit
and other issues should result revenue from regulated activities margin or sales can lead to an
in the platform implementing conducted by the AR was not ineffective control framework.
bespoke monitoring plans and being correctly reported. A
risk frameworks, providing knowledgeable regulatory host All of the above point to
managers and their investors’ will ensure that appropriate regulatory hosts knowing the
comfort that the relevant risks are mechanisms are in place from future and inherent risks of a
being managed. the outset of the engagement business, before the business
to mitigate the risk of incorrect does itself. A new client, a new
Ongoing monitoring reporting. market or a new fund can all
trigger new regulatory issues
The FCA expressed significant Does the regulatory AIFM have and new headaches. Taking a
concern over inadequate the ability to monitor capital less proactive approach may
and ineffective compliance requirements and mechanisms exacerbate that headache
monitoring. Platforms should to deploy more when needed, and put the trust between you
have full-time, dedicated senior for example on the receipt of and your clients at risk. An
compliance practitioners investor capital into the fund? experienced, well resourced,
robustly reviewing all aspects independent regulatory host can
of a manager’s business, as Conflicts of interest prove to be the perfect remedy
well as the ability to monitor for these types of headaches.
daily, weekly and less frequent The FCA has focused on the
trading strategies. These identification and management With the right controls and
arrangements should also include of conflicts for the past few years expertise we believe that
the supervision of recorded and MiFID II highlighted that this platforms will thrive and become
lines and e-comms. All of which trend will continue, regardless the primary solution for new
requires the platform to employ of the potential disruption new start-ups if they can pass
individuals that have significant regulations may cause. Successful the same due diligence from
experience on the buy side, as platforms will recognise that their institutional investors. Having
well as systems that can adapt to business model has inherent senior compliance experts
and monitor its universe. Having conflicts which need to be involved is vital.
this in place means a manager appropriately identified, managed
will have a compliance monitoring and monitored. Following the implementation
programme tailored specifically to of the Senior Managers &
their business. Higher risk areas Certification Regime (SMCR) in
should be flagged and monitored December, platforms should
with an appropriate frequency. As take the opportunity to map out
12 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 13
First, the Financial Action Task (a) TF is different from Money
The focus of Anti-Money Laundering (“AML”) begins with scrutiny Force (“FATF”) has given a clear Laundering (“ML”). For ML, the
indication on how it currently generation of the funds is an
on the investor side however, two key developments have sees Countering the Financing objective in itself where the
of Terrorism (“CFT”) obligations source of funds is illicit and
emerged on the investment side of due diligence. where Proliferation Finance (“PF”) the end apparently legitimate.
is a linked priority. Second, Brexit By contrast, in TF, spending is
will give scope for the United the aim where the funds may
Kingdom (“UK”) to diverge from begin as legitimate but are
European Union (“EU”) sanctions being directed to a harmful
regimes. end;
CFT (b) T
errorists are adaptable and
In July 2019, the FATF published will vary how they raise and
the report Terrorist Financing Risk move funds;
Assessment Guidance. The report
is aimed at governments but gives (c) T
F and actual terrorism may
insight into how CFT will develop be linked, but they are far from
in industry. The FATF states: the same thing; and
The FATF’s report calls for a much Implementation (at HM Treasury) Therefore, the central purpose Simply, international targeted legislative gap. Before Brexit, Again, there is the potential for
more granular approach, and a which maintains a consolidated of SAMLA is to enable the financial sanctions are most the UK is again reliant on the the UK and its overseas territories
careful identification of the nature list of all applicable sanctions, i.e. UK to continue to implement effective when deployed by a European Communities Act to take a different path from the
of threats posed by terrorist the sum total of those emanating UN Sanctions regimes and, large number of countries, acting 1972 to transpose EU Directives EU in the arenas of AML / CFT.
organisations to NPOs deemed to from the UN Security Council, and additionally, to deploy its own in concert to signify disapproval on AML and CTF. Ultimately, This seems more unlikely than
be at risk, as well as consideration those having direct effect under unilateral sanctions to meet and seek to change the behaviour these Directives were driven by in the arena of sanctions, where
of how terrorist actors abuse EU law. In the Cayman Islands, domestic national security and of another nation or international standards and guidance from the an individual Minister (or Prime
those NPOs. by way of further example, its UK foreign policy objectives. actor. That said, the US and EU FATF. Such powers were used Minister) may make more of an
Financial Reporting Authority is There will be the option for the have taken differing approaches in June 2017 to transpose the impact with the designation of
As for the future of CFT, the FATF’s responsible for disseminating UK whether to follow EU regimes. to Cuba and Iran in recent history. Fourth EU Money Laundering targets for financial sanctions. By
report concludes: sanctions applicable in the Presumably, UK overseas Directive and associated Funds contrast, AML and CFT are driven
Cayman Islands, derived from territories will mirror the UK’s path For the first time since 1972, the Transfer Regulation, which by global standards emanating
‘For developed countries with the UK list. The Canadian list of and although the Cayman Islands UK and its overseas territories provided a wholesale revision of from the recommendations
large financial and trade flows, sanctions regimes is maintained has the ability to impose its own now have the potential to take the UK’s 2007 Money Laundering and mutual evaluations of the
the development of smart by its Office of the Superintendent counter-terror sanctions regimes, a different sanctions course Regulations with even greater FATF. There is far less scope for
solutions in order to cope with of Financial Institutions. it has not done so to date. from the EU. Whether this route focus on adoption of a risk based divergence here, at the direction
“big data” and the continued is taken will depend on the approach. of a strong-willed political leader,
development of multi- In the field of targeted financial Just as there is a general transition incumbent in power at Number or otherwise.
agency information sharing sanctions, the UK prior to Brexit period for Brexit, so, in the arena 10 Downing Street, and the extent As with sanctions, although the
mechanisms will likely be is dependent on the EU. The EU of sanctions, temporary legislation to which he or she wishes to align European Union (Withdrawal) Act
important in ongoing efforts to provided a mechanism for the will enable the UK government to the UK more with the US than 2018 preserves the UK’s AML /
identify and assess TF risk.’ UK to discharge its duties as a UN amend existing EU sanctions lists the EU. In theory, the UK could CTF regime as at 31 October 2019,
signatory. Without the Sanctions for a two-year period. However, even embark upon a third path of the UK needs an additional power
In summary, though aimed and Anti Money-Laundering this interim power is limited to unilateral sanctions, distinct from to make, amend and repeal
at governments, the July FATF Act 2018 (“SAMLA”), the UK adding or removing the names both the US and EU. relevant regulations by secondary
report gives insight into the could not meet its international of designated persons to existing legislation. The lack of a SAMLA
way global standards on CFT obligations post-Brexit. Further, EU lists. It would be wholly Aside from sanctions, post-Brexit type power would prevent the UK
will be interpreted. Risk based without SAMLA, the UK would inadequate in isolation, being the UK loses its EU mechanism updating that regime to address
approaches in industry will need lack the means to impose its own quickly overtaken by events. for making regulations for matters including emerging
to distinguish CFT from AML, as sanctions independently of the the purposes of AML and risks and updated international
will supervision and enforcement UN, in all but the most limited CFT. SAMLA also bridges this standards from the FATF.
at national level. counter-terrorist
arenas. Nor could
As for discerning a direction of the UK amend its
travel for the FATF, in its thirtieth existing Money
year, it has taken an expanding Laundering
remit. In May 2019, the FATF Regulations,
adopted a ‘new, open-ended absent SAMLA.
mandate’ and turned its attention
to mitigating risks from virtual
assets, and strengthening its
standards on Countering the ‘For developed countries
Financing of Proliferation (of
nuclear weapons). China currently with large financial
holds the FATF’s presidency. and trade flows, the
development of smart
Brexit solutions in order to cope
with “big data” and the
At present, the predominant
sanctions regimes are maintained continued development
by the US (via its Office of of multi-agency
Foreign Assets Control at its
Department of Treasury), the
information sharing
United Nations (“UN”) Security mechanisms will likely
Council (which informs regimes be important in ongoing
of UN member states, sometimes
with immediate effect) and the efforts to identify and
EU. UK sanctions are maintained assess TF risk.’
by its Office of Financial Sanctions
16 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 17
AL TE R NA T I V E M U TU A L F UND S :
GR O WT H P O T E NT IAL LO O K S S OLID
CO M I N G O U T O F T H E G AT E
Paul Holden The Canadian alternative mutual Risk Ratings Are A Good News/ The risk ratings from dealers strategies are more common, funds. Effectively all the funds
Executive Director fund market is less than a year Bad News Story are less transparent. In some which is perhaps a function of offer daily redemption rights
CIBC Capital Markets old and there are already 16 cases the dealers may just regulatory restrictions around with minimum hold periods no
paul.holden.CIBC.ca companies participating with a One of the most common use the rating from the fund shorting (maximum of 50% of different than traditional mutual
total of 42 funds on the shelf. questions asked by investment company, but in many cases gross value). funds. Also the funds are offered
Total AUM stands at $3.6B and companies prior to the launch the dealer will assign their own in multiple series (A, F, I, etc) with
we think the right ingredients of alternative mutual funds was rating. Our understanding is that In terms of asset classes, the pre-authorized purchase plan and
are in place for alternatives to how they would be treated from many dealers have assigned a most common is equity funds systematic withdrawal plans to
grow into a meaningful share of a risk rating perspective. There medium risk rating to strategies followed by multi-asset class. In fit investor needs. Effectively the
the $1.5T mutual fund market. was a concern that the risk rating with a historical track record most, but not all, cases the equity liquidity and accessibility looks
The introduction of alternative might unduly punish strategies (depending of course on the track funds have an alpha generating very similar to traditional mutual
mutual funds is good news for that used more sophisticated record) and a high risk rating to investment objective. The multi- funds, as intended.
the industry and we believe the investment strategies, such as strategies with no track record. asset class tend to have an
product will also benefit investors shorting and derivatives, even if The challenge is that many of absolute return objective. We are Drilling Down On Fee Structure
over time. the intention of such strategies the alternative mutual funds somewhat surprised by the small
was to reduce return volatility. launched to date do not have a number of funds that are focused Fees were a key discussion point
We believe that most of the right There are two sources of risk 3-year return history and hence, on fixed income strategies. It as investment firms contemplated
ingredients are in place for the ratings – the one assigned by have been assigned a high risk would seem like there is strong alternative mutual fund offerings.
market to grow rapidly in the the fund manufacturer and the rating regardless of the actual demand for yield enhancing The average base management
coming years: i) there is broad one assigned by the dealer (i.e. underlying investment mandate. product given low yields and fee on a series-F fund (no trailer
fund sponsorship, including many advisory and financial planning demographic needs. fee) is 0.91%. Funds are clustered
of the largest fund companies companies). A Closer Look At Fund Structure The majority of funds have a around the 0.9%-1.0% range. That
in Canada that have vertically performance fee (30 of 42 funds). is around where we would see
integrated business models; The risk rating assigned by the There were a number of The performance fee is typically most new equity fund product
ii) the vast majority of funds fund is fully transparent and questions that industry 15% or 20% with a couple of fixed priced.
are widely accessible with low appears on regulatory filings. participants had around fund income mandates using a 10%
minimum investment thresholds; The good news is that the structure and competitor performance fee. We count a total of 13 funds that
iii) investors have a broad vast majority of the AUM and intentions before regulations use a traditional hedge fund
selection of product from which funds (24 of 42) are rated low were finalized. Questions Product has generally been performance fee structure – the
to choose, including a wide variety to medium (comparable to a included types of mandates, the designed to be widely accessible fund earns a performance fee
of investment strategies and fee balanced fund or corporate fixed use of sub-advisors, fee structure to investors. A minimum initial based on positive returns over a
structures; iv) some alternative income fund), which we view as and others. We siphoned through investment of only $500 is perpetual high water mark.
funds have already been included a positive outcome as it speaks fund prospectuses and now have required for more than half the
into managed solutions (~21% to the risk mitigating potential specific data points on which to
of AUM is help by other funds); of alternative mutual funds. 13 base answers for these questions.
and v) performance to date, funds have a medium risk rating
albeit over a short time frame, (comparable to a large cap equity We categorized the universe of
demonstrates that the funds portfolio), 3 are rated low risk funds into two broad investment
are delivering the low volatility (comparable to a money market objectives: i) absolute return
returns they are designed to or low risk fixed income fund) (positive returns regardless
achieve. and only 2 are rated medium to of market conditions); and ii)
high (equivalent to an equity fund alpha type strategies where the
that is concentrated in a specific intention is to outperform a
sector or region). benchmark over time on either an
absolute or risk-adjusted return
basis. We find that alpha type Source: Mutual fund reports and CIBC World Markets Inc.
18 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 19
There are also a good proportion return hurdles is 2%-6%. The average return is on pace Total Return Index is up 19% YTD what they are intended to do – proficiency requirements for
of funds (10) that use relative to hit an annualized rate in the and the S&P 500 Index (CAD) provide attractive returns with MFDA planners; and a change in
benchmarks. Common How Is Performance To Date? 6-8% range, a normalized equity is up 19% YTD. But, we should less risk. market conditions that supports
benchmarks include the S&P/TSX return like outcome, and the expect return volatility, which the benefits of investing in
Composite Total Return Index and We think it’s worth looking at funds are doing that with volatility we measure as the standard What’s Next? Growing The uncorrelated strategies. The
FTSE Canada government bond fund performance, even with that looks more like a bond index deviation of daily returns, to be Alternatives Market right ingredients are in place
indexes. These funds also follow very short track records, to see than an equity index. The range lower than equity indexes. This is to support AUM growth and
a perpetual high water market if alternative mutual funds are of fund returns and volatility exactly what we find with the YTD There are a number of factors there are a number of potential
methodology, which provides doing what they are intended to suggests there is no excessive risk results. We think relative returns that could help the alternative developments that could see
an incentive to outperform long do. After all, performance will taking. could look better for equity alpha mutual fund market grow into growth accelerate. Stay tuned.
only benchmarks consistently be one of the primary drivers of funds in a sideways or down the $50B-$100B market we had
from year to year (shortfalls in future demand. We have used Performance from funds that we market. originally envisioned. Broader
any year have to be recovered daily NAVs for funds that were have categorized as equity alpha participation from managed
in subsequent years before created before January 1, 2019 to funds are also encouraging. The The conclusions for fixed income solutions (fund-of-funds), which
performance fees are earned). calculate both YTD returns and funds are generally designed to alpha funds are similar to the account for $555B of AUM;
the daily standard deviation of have a long bias (positive beta), equity alpha funds. Returns have advisor education and awareness;
The other performance fee returns. but with less volatility than the not kept pace during the 2019 performance track records
structure we see is fixed hurdle market. Hence, we should not YTD bull market, but returns have leading to more favourable dealer
rates, but it is far less common Absolute return funds are expect the average return to been attractive and with less risk ratings; the launch of more
with only 5 funds using a fixed generating the types of returns match equity indexes in a year volatility in most cases. Put more alternative mandates through
hurdle. The range of annual that we would view as attractive. when the S&P/TSX Composite simply, these funds are doing an ETF wrapper; more relaxed
Source: Bloomberg, investment company websites and CIBC World Markets Inc.
20 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 21
OPE R A T I O N A L D U E D I L I G E NCE : WH AT
AR E I N V E S T O RS S E E KI NG ?
John Little At the close of the first half ESG to the fore
Director of the year, the equities
BNP Paribas Interest in ESG policies has been
john.little@us.bnpparibas.com
markets continued their growing as a result of end-
decade-long march. investor demand, proliferation
Robert Showers of focus in the UK, and, in some
Director Even with recent rate cuts by cases, generational change
BNP Paribas the Federal Reserve, investors among staff at allocators -
robert.showers@us.bnpparibas.com have not only remained invested, accompanied by new CIOs ESG evaluation; in these cases
but have been willing to explore interested in incorporating operational due diligence is
newer territories, from emerging ESG in investment decisions. flexible and adjusts accordingly.
markets to alternatives like Panelists are now seeing greater
private debt and other non- ESG engagement among fund Evaluation is challenged by
traditional strategies. While managers, and the industry has varying definitions of what
this has kept the spotlight on arrived at a new era where it is ESG means to different clients
protections such as portfolio and increasingly important to consider – diversity for example, is not
reporting transparency, at the business practices and corporate defined by the same parameters
same time many clients continue cultures when thinking about across clients. Additionally, some
to seek allocations that align ESG. For example, establishing investors may have very specific
with environmental, social and protocols for dealing with mandates that may be confined
governance (ESG) investing best workplace harassment, applying to a geographic region, or
practices. diversity and inclusion standards, business type (such as women- or
family leave, and support for minority-owned). Niche requests
These and other themes were community outreach or volunteer like this can be difficult to meet.
the focus of “Operational Due work are among areas of growing
Diligence: What Are Investors importance. Still, ESG remains an investor-
Seeking?” co-hosted by BNP driven, news-making
Paribas Securities Services and When evaluating ESG, ODD phenomenon, and while it’s still
the Alternative Investment professionals emphasized the early days, by consensus the
Management Association (AIMA). need for managers to document movement continues to gain
Held in New York on June 26, the and evidence policies in ways that momentum. Not surprisingly,
conference included operational are quantifiable. Regardless of ODD professionals report a
due diligence (ODD) professionals size and experience, managers significant uptick in investors
from Meketa Investment must be able to present evidence wanting to ensure that managers
Group, Albourne Partners and of monitoring compliance with have proper policies in place.
J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset their policies and have formal As one speaker put it: “In short,
Management as panelists. procedures in place in the ESG is increasingly becoming a
event of a failure to comply. big dollars-and-cents issue for
Participants shared their unique Culture is also highly valued companies.”
viewpoints on the challenges in the evaluation process; the
of navigating gatekeeper satisfaction level of employees, Private markets pivot
requirements, while at the same retention, and support for policies
time working to keep pace with protecting safety and well-being As fund portfolios become
investor priorities. are all important considerations. increasingly tilted toward less-
There is an understanding that liquid alternative strategies
smaller firms will not have all running the gamut from private
the data available for a robust debt to real assets and more, how
22 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 23
Contact: lindsey.parslow@business2schools.com
24 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 25
FE D FRU S T RA T I ON
Blu Putnam The Federal Reserve (Fed) under 4%, which is extremely entering the work force, but
CME Group lowered its federal funds rate low by historical standards (the not in as large of numbers as
bluford.putnam@cmegroup.com target by 0.25% at its July 31 and lowest in 50 years. As regards in the past. The prime working
September 18 FOMC meetings, the inflation objective, core age population in the US, ages
in response to the trade war inflation has been bouncing in 25 through 54, has virtually
possibly causing slower global a narrow range from 1% to 3% stopped growing. Moreover,
growth with fears of a spillover since 1994, which is an amazingly the younger generations are
into the US, mainly from reduced long track record of success, given saddled with huge student debt
business investment. Future the experience of double-digit loads – meaning, they may marry
cuts are in doubt, as there is inflation in the 1970s. later, have kids later, buy a house
plenty of dissension, especially later, and so cannot make up the
from several regional bank Fed Despite achieving both of its slack from the retiring boomers.
Presidents such as Boston and dual mandates, the Fed is quite Thus, potential real GDP growth
Kansas City. The Fed prefers frustrated. Why? Well, the Fed is more like 2.25% and certainly
consensus decisions, so the path welcomes the low unemployment not 3%-plus. This will be the
and pace of future rate cuts is in rate, but the Fed’s not-so-hidden case until the mid-2020s when
doubt, so long as unemployment agenda has been higher real demographic patterns can again
is less than 4% and inflation is GDP growth. The Fed, like many support 3% real GDP growth.
close to the 2% target. A weaker politicians and elected leaders in Since the Fed can do nothing
economy due to the trade war Washington, wanted a stronger about demographic problems, its
would bring a consensus for economic expansion after the efforts with near-zero rates and
lower rates. Still, one can sense Great Recession. They were quantitative easing (QE), while
extreme frustration in many of hoping for a sustained period raising asset prices, have failed to
the Fed board members and of 3% to 4% real GDP growth, encourage more real GDP growth.
regional bank Presidents. The and viewed the 2.3% achieved The corporate tax cut did manage
frustration can be understood, since 2010 as anemic. This to get a quarter or two of higher
yet it may be mis-placed if one interpretation of this longest real GDP growth before its impact
takes a broader view of the Fed’s economic expansion ever as diminished. Now, the trade war
dual mandate. anemic is simply wrong for a is limiting the economy to sub-par
variety of reasons. growth.
Dating from the 1940s and more
explicitly since 1977, the Fed has Demographic Patterns have There is a very optimistic side to
a clear mandate given to it by lowered long-run potential real this story. Even with much lower
the US Congress: to “promote GDP growth potential real GDP growth, the
effectively the goals of maximum unemployment rate has declined
employment, stable prices, and First, due to demographic toward historic lows. With the
moderate long-term interest patterns the US economy is highly labor force hardly growing, it does
rates”. Despite there being unlikely to grow as fast as it did in not take as much GDP growth to
three items, who is counting the two previous long expansions lower the unemployment rate.
All examples in this report are anyway, these objectives are of the 1960s and 1990s. The Put another way, if one focuses
hypothetical interpretations referred to as the dual mandate issue is that Baby Boomers are on real GDP, one might be
of situations and are used for related to employment and retiring and spending less, a lot frustrated. But if one appreciates
explanation purposes only. The inflation. Moreover, the Fed has less than they did when they were the reality of an aging population
views in this report reflect solely traditionally defined stable prices working. In retirement, appetite with virtually no labor force
those of the author and not to mean keeping core inflation for spending shrinks. Their growth, then the achievement
necessarily those of CME Group more or less around a 2% target. retirement income is constrained. of less than 4% unemployment
or its affiliated institutions. Many boomers are dependent should be a point of celebration.
This report and the information In terms of the employment on interest income from savings,
herein should not be considered objectives, current policy is and super-low interest rates
investment advice or the results a roaring success with the have destroyed that source of
of actual market experience. unemployment rate comfortably income. New generations are
26 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 27
Inflation is no longer something profits, which translates into should never be considered environment.
the Fed can control, for a little or no impact on lending an accommodative policy, and Finally, we have to add to this
diverse set of reasons that might lead to more growth they almost certainly have analysis by considering the
and inflation. As for the more contributed to a coming recession trade war, which has helped
As we have noted, core inflation aggressive use of capital ratios by in Germany. Negative-yielding to slow the global growth and
has been running in a narrow regulators, financial companies debt, of which there is $15 trillion complicate the Fed’s decision-
range close to 2% for 25 years that are capital constrained are in Europe and Japan, also sends making. US real GDP is mostly
and counting. Inflation has had limited in their ability to increase a very compelling message about driven by consumption. So long
a very muted response to the lending regardless of low rates an extreme lack of confidence in as consumers have jobs and
equity tech rally in the 1990s, to or how many Treasuries or the future. the confidence they will keep
the subsequent tech wreck, to mortgages the Fed might buy. their jobs, consumer spending
the housing boom, to the Great There is a trade-off between Another unintended consequence can drive the economy forward,
Recession, to zero rates, to QE. prudential regulation to prevent of zero or negative rates is that it even with a trade war. The
Somethings besides monetary systematic risk and monetary encourages potentially excessive trade war does impact business
policy, or equities, or cycles in policy to manage inflation. As risk-taking. Market analysts call investment, which has slowed
employment are now more the pendulum has swung toward this the search for yield, and dramatically with the uncertainty
important for explaining these prudential regulations involving higher returns only come with over tariffs and disruption of
two and half decades of price capital ratios, monetary policy accepting higher risks. When the supply chains. But a slowdown
stability. has become less effective to fine- reckoning comes, the portfolio in business investment does not
tune the economy. [For those shocks could be severe due to necessitate a recession make,
Again, there are the demographic statisticians among you, this is the search for yield mentality even if it takes real GDP to 2%
patterns of an ageing akin to the trade-offs between encouraged by central banks. or below. Even with 1.5% to 2%
population to consider, which Type I and Type II errors. For the real GDP growth, since there is
are constraining consumption religiously inclined, think about Then, there is the challenge virtually no labor force growth,
and helping to put a lid on sins of omissions and sins of of the wealth divide. Massive unemployment need not rise
inflation. There is the new era of commission.] asset purchases or QE by central with the growth deceleration.
competition. Before the Internet banks, including the Fed, were So, as noted earlier, as long as
Era, companies had much What are the consequences of designed to stimulate inflation. the US unemployment rate is
more pricing power than they frustrated policy makers? Instead, they created asset price under 4% and inflation close to
have today. Companies once inflation, which mostly benefited 2%, the Fed may well go back on
controlled the flow of information Central bank frustration can lead the wealthy, and did nothing to “hold” despite some opposition
about their products and prices to heightened potential for poor stimulate consumption, assist from the doves on the FOMC
were not easily compared. Since policy choices involving unneeded economics growth, or promote and regardless of Presidential
the mid-1990s, we have been experiments with new tools, done inflation. jawboning. If unemployment
evolving to ever greater price with the best of intentions yet at were to rise above 4% and appear
transparency with enhanced the risk of serious unintended The bottom line is that there to be heading higher, then the
competition. The Internet has consequences. Take zero is little central banks can do to Fed would probably react quickly
empowered consumers in the rates, or even negative rates create inflation in the face an to drop its federal funds target
form of price transparency to as practiced by the European aging demographic pattern, the back to near zero and possibly re-
engage easily in competitive Central Bank (ECB) or Bank of era of greater price transparency, institute quantitative easing.
shopping. Companies now focus Japan (BoJ). While zero rates help heightened prudential regulation
on cost-cutting to maintain profit corporate borrowers, zero rates focused on capital ratios, and
margins rather than raising prices take away the income stream improved interest rate risk
because raising prices can mean from anyone depending on management. But then, there
a loss of business. This seismic fixed income investments. This is really no need for frustration,
shift in price discovery, and one includes not only individuals but especially in the US. There is
ignores its implications for price also pension funds, life insurers nothing to fear from hitting one’s
stability at one’s peril. and others whose ability to fund 2% inflation target. Indeed, a
their liabilities is tied to stable modest swing to slight deflation
Limiting the Fed’s power to create income generation, typically via and back again is fine as long as
inflation has been the rise of fixed income returns. This results the economy does not experience
interest rate risk management in decreased consumption when the devasting effects of massive
in the financial sector and the there is an aging population, as deflation, such as occurred in the
increased use of capital ratios is the case for the US, Europe, 1930s. Unfortunately, too many
as a regulatory tool to guard and Japan. Negative rates, which policy-makers have listened to
against systematic risk. Enhanced the Fed has not adopted, are too many economists who have
interest rate risk management even worse. Negative rates are gone astray by not appreciating
means that small changes in a tax on the financial system that the implications of demographics,
short-term rates have little to constrains bank profitability and technological change, and a
no impact on financial company lending activity. Negative rates different capital regulatory
28 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 29
NE W R U L E S F O R P RE -M A RKETI N G
FU N DS A N D RE V E RS E S O L I CI TA TI O N
However the FCA recognises that potential investor to invest in • does not amount to a
other EU member states may take the units or shares of that AIF (or final form constitutional
a different view (as has been the compartment).” document, prospectus or
case). offering document for an
Which AIFMs are in scope? established AIF.
Current rules and practice in
the EU The pre-marketing rules apply to Pre-marketing with draft
authorised EU AIFMs only. In the documents
There is no guidance from the UK this would capture full scope
European Commission or the UK AIFMs and small authorised EU AIFMs may, as part of their
European Securities and Markets UK AIFMs. pre-marketing, provide potential
Authority on the meaning of professional investors with a
marketing pursuant to AIFMD, The CBDR extends the pre- draft prospectus or draft offering
nor is there any consistency in marketing regime to managers documents, but the documents
terms of approaches relating to of qualifying venture capital must not contain information
marketing (or reverse solicitation) funds and qualifying social sufficient to allow investors to
in member states. entrepreneurship funds. take an investment decision.
Similarly for pre-marketing, while Other small registered AIFMs The draft prospectus or draft
some member states permit it, in the UK (such as internally offering documents must clearly
the way in which pre-marketing managed, closed-ended state:
is defined, and the conditions investment companies and
attached to it, tend to vary. In external managers of certain • the document does not
other member states, there property funds) are not in scope constitute an offer or an
is simply no concept of pre- of the pre-marketing rules under invitation to subscribe to units
marketing. the CBDD or the CBDR. or shares in the AIF; and
• the information presented
The CBDD and the CBDR aim to What about non-EU AIFMs?
in the documents should
address this divergence.
not be relied upon because
The pre-marketing rules do not
it is incomplete and may be
What is ‘pre-marketing’? apply to non-EU AIFMs (such as
subject to change.
Canadian or US fund managers)
‘Pre-marketing’ is defined in the marketing their funds in the
Record keeping
CBDD as follows: EU under the national private
placement regime (NPPR).
EU AIFMs must ensure their
pre-marketing activities are
“The provision of information It will be up to the national
adequately documented.
or communication, direct or competent authority in each
indirect, on investment strategies EU member state to determine
New notification requirement
or investment ideas, by an EU whether to extend the pre-
for pre-marketing
AIFM or on its behalf, to potential marketing rules to non-EU AIFMs
professional investors domiciled, under the NPPR.
Within two weeks of starting to
or with a registered office, in the
pre-market, an EU AIFM must
EU, in order to test their interest: Conditions for pre-marketing in
send an informal letter or email
the EU
to its home regulator with the
• in an AIF (or a compartment) following information:
which is not yet established; EU AIFMs may engage in pre-
or marketing, provided that the
• the member states in which
information presented to
• in an AIF (or a compartment) it is (or has) engaged in pre-
potential professional investors:
which is established but not marketing;
yet notified for marketing
• is insufficient to allow • the time periods in which the
under articles 31 or 32 of
investors to commit to pre-marketing is taking (or
AIFMD;
acquiring units or shares of a has taken) place;
particular AIF;
In the member state where the • a description of the pre-
potential investors are domiciled • does not amount to a marketing activities
or have their registered office, subscription form or similar (including a description of
and which does not amount to document (whether in draft or the investment strategies
an offer or placement to the final form); and presented); and
32 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 33
“
• a list of the AIFs and on reverse solicitation. When do the new rules apply?
compartments of AIFs that are
(or were) the subject of pre- Who can engage in pre- The new pre-marketing rules are
marketing. marketing on behalf of an EU expected to apply from August
AIFM? 2021.
The home regulator will then
inform the national competent The following third parties may The European Parliament adopted
authority in each member state in engage in pre-marketing activities the CBDD and CBDR on 16 April
which pre-marketing is taking or on behalf of an EU AIFM: 2019, and the European Council
has taken place. followed shortly after in June 2019.
• an investment firm or a tied The CBDD and CBDR was published
This notification requirement is agent (in accordance with in the Official Journal of the EU on
new and represents a key change the Markets in Financial 12 July 2019 and (subject to limited
for UK AIFMs, who typically Instruments Directive exceptions) entered into force on 1
undertake promotional activities EU/2014/65); August 2019. Member states must
under FSMA (without notifying the transpose the pre-marketing rules
• a credit institution (in
FCA) before they start ‘marketing’ into national law by 2 August 2021.
accordance with the Capital
under AIFMD.
Requirements Directive
Notwithstanding Brexit, the UK is
EU/2013/36);
What does this mean for reverse likely to adopt the CBDD and the
solicitation? • a UCITS management company
(in accordance with the UCITS
CBDR into UK financial services
laws. The Financial Services NAT URAL
Directive EC/2009/65); or
LANGUAGE
Currently, AIFMD does not restrict (Implementation of Legislation) Bill
professional investors who wish to 2017-2019 provides a mechanism
• an AIFM (in accordance with the
invest in AIFs on their own initiative. for HM Treasury to implement EU
PROCESSING IN
CBDD).
Confirmation from the investor that financial services legislation that
the offering or placement of units is currently in the pipeline for a
of shares of the AIF was made at
its initiative is normally sufficient to
period of two years after the UK
leaves the EU, and this includes the FINANCE:
demonstrate reverse solicitation. CBDD and the CBDR.
On a more practical level, it means
the AIFM does not need to submit Funds looking to raise capital
a marketing notification to the from professional investors in
regulator. the EU from 2021 onwards must
factor these new rules into their
Once the new pre-marketing rules fundraising schedule.
come into force, any subscription
by professional investors, within Sha kesp ea re
Withou t the
18 months of an EU AIFM having
begun pre-marketing, to units or
shares of an AIF referred to in the
information provided in the context
of pre-marketing, or established
Monkeys
as a result of the pre-marketing,
is considered to be the result of
‘marketing’ under AIFMD.
be somewhere markets. The share price of Match As we saw in the Facebook 13% after full-year earnings
Group (the company that owns example, it’s useful in uncovering missed expectations, and
where you can Match.com, Tinder and other market-moving events. Facebook Sweden’s Skanska losing 7.8%
dating websites) plunged by more unveiled a new product – like after it cut its dividend and lagged
start meaningful than 20%. Apple unveiling the iPhone – and profit estimates.
relationships,” Why is this example significant?
that resulted in a very strong
market move. Numerous such This may get a score of -9 for
Mark Zuckerberg The answer is simple: Financial
markets were being swayed by a
events happen in financial
markets all the time. Indeed,
Rockwool and Skanska.
said on 1 May, sentence made up of just a few for a lot of them, text, or even While the two examples above
words. There was not a single the spoken word, is the primary are company-specific, sentiment
2018. number in the announcement. source. As such, methods from analysis can also be done with
More interestingly, Zuckerberg’s NLP can be used to automate this respect to the economy in
comment did not impact process: monitoring many text general, or even toward specific
Facebook’s share price – the data streams and automatically topics such as inflation or interest
biggest effect was felt by a issuing notifications upon the rates. Source: Bloomberg; between 9 March, 2019 and 1 June, 2018
What Is NLP? French Cosmetics giant L’Oreal Often, the important information Source: Bloomberg; as of 21 June, 2019.
1. 2 August, 2018: Shares soar as Tesla says production of its lower-cost Model 3 sedan is growing and CEO Elon Musk
said strong demand for luxury in a document is not just the tone, says the company does not expect to need to raise more money from investors.
NLP is a sub-field of artificial skin creams helped it beat fourth- but its focus. In this example, 2. 7 August, 2018: Musk announces on Twitter that he wants to take Tesla private in a deal that would value the company
at USD70 billion.
intelligence (‘AI’), which seeks to quarter sales forecasts - another there are two key topics: the 3. 8 September, 2018: Just hours after Musk finishes smoking marijuana in a more than 2 1/2-hour podcast with comedian
Joe Rogan, it is confirmed that both his chief accounting officer and head of human resources are leaving. Shares plunge.
program computers to process, company reporting better-than- first is oil, with words such as 4. 27 September, 2018: Shares fall as the SEC accuses Musk of misleading investors with his 7 August tweet about taking
understand and analyse large feared demand from China after “oil”, “prices”, “fuel”, “fell” and Tesla private, raising questions about Musk’s future.
5. 18 January, 2019: Shares fall sharply as Musk warns that Tesla could struggle to make a profit in the first quarter and as
amounts of human (or ‘natural’) LVMH last week.1 “climb”; the second is the global he cuts more than 3,000 jobs from the electric carmaker.
Slavi Marinov language. economy, with words such as 6. 1 March, 2019: Shares slide as Musk confirms that Tesla will not be profitable in the first quarter.
Co-Head of Machine Learning This would maybe get a score of “world”, “China”, “demand” and
Man AHL 8. “sales”. Understanding the topic
Slavi.Marinov@man.com
1 https://uk.reuters.com/article/europe-stocks/european-stocks-falter-as-investors-digest-weak-earnings-loreal-impresses-idUKL5N2031VI 2 Source: Reuters.
36 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 37
Figure 3: An Example of Machine Learning Models Inferring Topic For example, in IBM’s 2016 Figure 4: Comparing IBM’s Annual Reports
Structure From a Document annual report, the company had
Oil prices fell on Monday after climbing to their highest this year earlier in the session a snippet related to its brand IBM’s 2016 annual report IBM’s 2017 annual report
as China reported automobile sales in January fell for a seventh month, raising concerns risks under a risk factor called […] IBM has one of the strongest brand names in the Damage to IBM’s Reputation Could Impact the Company’s
about fuel demand in the world’s second-largest oil user. world, and its brand and overall reputation could be Business: IBM has one of the strongest brand names in
“Failure of Innovation Initiatives”.
In the following year’s annual negatively impacted by many factors, including if the the world, and its brand and overall reputation could be
report, IBM decided to extract it company does not continue to be recognized for its negatively impacted by many factors, including if the company
industry-leading technology and solutions and as does not continue to be recognized for its industry-leading
as a separate risk factor called
a cognitive leader. If the company’s brand image is technology and solutions and as a cognitive leader. IBM’s
“Damage to IBM’s Reputation”, tarnished by negative perceptions, its ability to attract reputation is potentially susceptible to damage by events such
and explicitly listed eight broad and retain customers could be impacted. as significant disputes with clients, product defects, internal
categories of example sources of control deficiencies, delivery failures, cybersecurity incidents,
reputation risk. government investigations or legal proceedings or actions of
current or former clients, directors, employees, competitors,
Such subtle changes can be tricky vendors, alliance partners or joint venture partners. If the
and painstaking for a human company’s brand image is tarnished by negative perceptions, its
to identify, especially given the ability to attract and retain customers could be impacted.
typical length of annual reports
and an investible universe of to make the most accurate
thousands of companies. Yet, Going Beyond Written Text Neural network models get their predictions.
to a machine, these changes inspiration from the human brain.
Topic 1: Oil
are obvious: an algorithm can All examples so far assume that Building blocks, called artificial Neural network models have
automatically scan through the text we are interested in neurons, are connected together, successfully modelled problems
Oil 5%
millions of documents and already exists in written form. in code, to form larger networks. ranging from how to represent
Fuel 3% identify the added, deleted, or That is not always the case. For These neurons take some raw the meaning of words in a
OPEC 2% modified risk factors, classify example, every quarter, many input data, fire up and transfer computer (word embeddings 7,8,9),
Topic 2: Global Economy them according to their topic, global public companies host their impulses forward, ultimately through capturing the meaning
China 3% and even check which other earnings conference calls – the resulting in a prediction. A of chunks of words (convolutional
companies have modified timeliest source of financial researcher can define the ‘shape’ neural networks 10,11,12), to
Demnad 2%
their risk factors in similar results.5 Techniques from speech of the network: the connectivity modelling the sequential
World 1%
ways. Another example is the recognition research can be pattern between the neurons. (recurrent neural networks 13,14,15),
Topic 3: Sectors transcripts from the Federal Open used to automatically transcribe By designing different layouts and compositional (recursive
Automobiles 4% Market Committee (‘FOMC’) on documents as the call is and stacking them on top of neural networks16) nature of
Utilities 3% US interest rate policy, where progressing, or even analyse the one another (hence the name, phrases. Indeed, these ideas have
Banking 2%
the market typically reacts not to subtle nuances of management ‘deep’ learning), researchers can been the foundation of many of
the current transcript, but rather tone to measure emotions.6 impose their prior knowledge the recent state of-the-art results
Source: Man Group; for illustration purposes only. The model has determined that the sentence is 45% about Topic to slight changes in wording of the world. Given sufficiently in modern NLP.
1, 50% about Topic 2, and 5% about other topics. We have explicitly labelled Topic 1 as Oil and Topic 2 as the Global
Economy based on the most probable words associated with each of the topics. between the current and previous Why Should We Care About NLP large and complex datasets and
ones. Now? computer resources, the strength Challenges When Using NLP
structure of a document helps can be a crucial task for computer of the connections between
identifying events, informs the algorithms. Working Across Multiple In the last 10 years, we witnessed the artificial neurons can be The first obvious challenge is
correct attribution of sentiment Languages a major wave of scientific learned. The researchers can scale. Unlike many numerical
and allows to assess document Detecting Subtle Change breakthroughs. These innovations create the blueprint (called the datasets, text data can be very
similarity on a semantic level. All of the above examples are come from the field of neural ‘architecture’), supply the data large and thus requires significant
This theme of subtlety is quite in English. While documents networks – also known as deep and guide the learning process; investments in data storage and
The above example also prevalent in NLP research. The in English are convenient to learning. the neural networks adjust the computation capacities.
highlights another subtle, but information contained in text data consider because there is a vast neuron connection strengths
important, aspect of quantifying is sometimes very obvious to the amount of academic research
text data: timeliness. Even human eye (a new product launch in the area, it clearly isn’t the
5 https://seekingalpha.com/article/4241565-deere-and-company-de-q1-2019-results-earnings-call-transcript
if we correctly identified the in the news; lots of positive case that all market-moving 6 William Mayhew and Mohan Venkatachalam (2012), The Power of Voice: Managerial Affective States and Future Firm Performance,
document’s topics, there are words by a company executive), information originates in English. Journal of Finance.
two timeframes mentioned: “fell but can just as often be buried. To be able to leverage text from 7 Tomas Mikolov, Kai Chen, Greg Corrado, Jeffrey Dean (2013); Efficient Estimation of Word Representations in Vector Space.
8 Jeffrey Pennington, Richard Socher, Christopher D. Manning, GloVe: Global Vectors for Word Representation.
on Monday” and “climbing to One example application of NLP different languages and sources,
9 Armand Joulin, Edouard Grave, Piotr Bojanowski, Tomas Mikolov (2016); Bag of Tricks for Efficient Text Classification.
their highest this year earlier in is measuring textual change: one has to either develop models 10 Ronan Collobert, Jason Weston, Léon Bottou, Michael Karlen, Koray Kavukcuoglu, Pavel Kuksa (2011); Natural Language Processing
the session”. Clearly, these two comparing the same documents specific to that language, or (Almost) from Scratch.
moves were attributed to a single over time, and finding subtle translate documents into English 11 Nal Kalchbrenner, Edward Grefenstette, Phil Blunsom (2014); A Convolutional Neural Network for Modelling Sentences.
12 Yoon Kim (2014); Convolutional Neural Networks for Sentence Classification.
entity – oil prices – yet they have differences. and then apply an English model.
13 Tomáš Mikolov, Martin Karafiát, Lukáš Burget, Jan “Honza” Cernocký, Sanjeev Khudanpur (2010); Recurrent neural network based
opposite directions. Correctly Both applications are currently a language model
identifying the evolution of events heavy focus of NLP.3,4 14 Shujie Liu , Nan Yang , Mu Li and Ming Zhou (2014); A Recursive Recurrent Neural Network for Statistical Machine Translation.
15 Tony Robinson, Mike Hochberg and Steve Renals (1996); The Use of Recurrent Neural Networks in Continuous Speech Recognition.
3 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/51143/000104746917001061/a2230222z10-k.htm 16 Richard Socher, Alex Perelygin, Jean Y. Wu, Jason Chuang, Christopher D. Manning, Andrew Y. Ng and Christopher Potts; Recursive
4 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/51143/000104746918001117/a2233835z10-k.htm Deep Models for Semantic Compositionality Over a Sentiment Treebank.
38 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 39
Man Institute
compete in the talent war for the
best and brightest.
Conclusion
19 https://spark.apache.org/
20 https://github.com/manahl/pynorama
40 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 41
by SS&C
44 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 45
Reference: Operational • Update internal mapping to allow for increased data feeds for in-scope funds
• https://www.cftc. changes • Establish and test data flows with vendors, counterparties, and custodians
gov/PressRoom/ • Establish which department will provide processing and oversight
PressReleases/7845-18 • Establish training and updated procedures for employees
• https://www.federalreserve. • Average project timeline is nine to 12 months
gov/newsevents/
pressreleases/files/ Legal • Update client/fund master agreements to include IM
bcreg20180921a.pdf documentation • Update CSA agreements with custodians and agree MTA for VM and IM
• https://www.bis.org/publ/ • Sign vendor and custody agreement
bcbs261.pdf
• https://www.fca.org.uk/ Risk • Establish an internal process to assess the appropriateness of the SIMM (at least annually)
markets/emir/margin-
governance • Record the annual back and unit testing carried out by chosen vendor using ISDA SIMM licence
requirements-uncleared-
procedures • Audit the integrity of market data sources and management information systems regularly
derivatives • Record annual AANA check
46 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 47
2 The Investor Revolution by Robert G. Eccles and Svetlana Klimenko, Harvard Business Review May-June 2019 issue
48 AIMA JO U R NA L | EDI TI O N 1 2 0 49
have further financial increasing global energy demands shareholder value over the long A 2017 report by the United A notable development in Japan Increasing evidence that ESG
repercussions. Ultimately, a whilst at the same time reducing term, however, environmental Nations Environment Programme occurred in 2014 when the can be good for returns will also
company which fails to address carbon emissions. and social practices can be just as identified3 reinforcing trends Japanese Government Pension help drive investment in this
the demands of the social or fundamental. contributing to growth in Investment Fund, one of the area. The recent white paper by
climatic environment in which it The “negative screening the green finance space: (i) world’s largest investors and asset the Morgan Stanley Institute for
operates may be prone to losing approach” to ESG investing is Impact investing has the aim of increasingly systemic national owners, publicized that it would Sustainable Investing reported
market share or indeed collapsing clear and easy to interpret but it directing capital so as to achieve action, (ii) greater international comply with Japan’s national that sustainable funds provided
altogether. is limited from an ESG outcome a measurable social and/or cooperation, and (iii) increased stewardship code and in 2015 it returns at least in line with
perspective as this approach environmental impact while at the market leadership at the signed up to the UN’s responsible comparable traditional funds
When it comes to ESG investing doesn’t directly address the fact time generating financial returns, individual and collective level. investment rules. Movements but while reducing downside
there are various approaches that most companies face social thereby combing business at the individual level such as risks. Even more compelling was
with differing intended outcomes. and environmental risks and may with purpose. Impact investing Looking at how this might the Extinction Rebellion and the the finding that statistical data
The integration of ESG may also have some sort of social and/ generally requires “patient apply in Asia, certainly we have #MeToo movement have also showed that during periods of
be primarily aimed at risk or environmental impact. capital” on the basis that impact started to see greater national infiltrated parts of Asia. volatility, sustainable funds were
management, it may be part of generally takes time. The idea and corporate action over the more stable.
the process for identification A “positive screening” approach that investing for profit and doing last 5 years. There has been Despite these developments,
of “best in class” businesses, it involves a more detailed due good can co-exist is taking some wider adoption of stewardship as it stands, green finance still Findings such as these will
might also be about “impact”. diligence exercise, selecting getting used to, but as impact codes, including nine codes represents a relatively small contribute to greater investor
Sustainable investing can companies with especially strong funds have started to deliver between 2014 to 2018 in each portion of traditional finance confidence when it comes to
be focused on harnessing ESG performance. At the bedrock returns the story is becoming of Australia, Hong Kong, India, markets and this is particularly sustainable investing and we
the opportunities created as of this form of ESG investing more compelling. At the heart of Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, the case in Asia. An IFC paper expect this to remain a hot topic
companies innovate to address is the recognition that high impact investing is the concept Taiwan, Thailand and Singapore. that came out earlier this year4 for Asian asset managers during
particular environmental or social levels of good ESG practices is a that investors have the power Hong Kong and Singapore have reported that the estimated 2020.
challenges faced in the world. strong indicator of a sustainable to encourage better behaviours both advocated themselves as investor appetite for impact
An obvious example is in the business. It is of course accepted and drive outcomes by actively green finance centres and have investing is as high as $26 trillion, Kate Hodson is a Partner in
energy space where we are highly that poor governance in a engaging with investee companies put in place initiatives to drive $21 trillion in publicly traded Ogier’s Investment Fund’s practice
reliant on innovations to meet the company is a sure way to destroy and utilising their voting power to this development. This year the stocks and bonds, and $5 trillion based in Hong Kong. She is
drive such behaviours. Hong Kong Monetary Authority in private markets. Indeed this currently completing a Masters
unveiled a set of measures to flow of capital will be critical, in Energy and Environmental
The momentum we are support and promote Hong Kong’s as it has been reported that Law at the Chinese University of
seeing at the individual level green finance market, including investment in the range of US$5 Hong Kong and has been active in
is an important part of the the launch of its first green bond trillion to US$7 trillion will be establishing Ogier’s Sustainable
sustainability story and the under its HK$100 billion green required each year to deliver the Investing and Impact Funds
opportunity to achieve “impact”. bond program. SDGs by 20305. Practice.
The age of social media has
enabled the “sustainability Also this year the Hong Kong For Asia to start playing a
message” to spread far and wide Stock Exchange released a more significant role in this
but also quickly (it is worth noting consultation paper on improved development we will need to see a
that the financial impact of a governance and disclosure of greater number of initiatives and
business “getting it wrong” can ESG activities and metrics and the regulations from governments to
be compounded as a result). This Hong Kong Securities and Futures assist to drive financial systems in
momentum is contributing to a Commission published guidance this direction.
change in consumer demands against “green washing”. When it
but it is also reflected in greater comes to progress in Asia, China We’ll also need better quality data
stakeholder activity. We are in a stands out in its efforts to fund from companies in the region and
new age of shareholder activism a “greener future” albeit that, as regulators will have an important
where shareholders are exerting the largest carbon emitter in the role in setting the standards for
pressure on companies to step up world, there remains much to be companies to adhere to. Investors
and address specific issues. This achieved. China has risen to being will need to go beyond the “low
has particularly been the case in of the largest green bond markets hanging fruit” and deploy their
the oil industry as shareholders and it has introduced swathes of capital in a manner which drives
have applied pressure on new environmental regulations better behaviours rather than a
companies such as Shell to and policies in recent years. simple ESG “tick box” exercise.
decarbonise and transition
towards renewables.
EC O N O MI C S U B S TA NCE
Marie Barber The evolution to a truly global Member States. BEPS Action 5 BEPS Action 5 display certain hallmarks, to When the provisions were first
Managing Director financial world has meant that focusses on addressing substance be reported by the promotor / implemented several jurisdictions
Duff and Phelps tax policies and practices have requirements. The focus on BEPS Action 5 is one of the four taxpayer. were blacklisted. Most have
marie.barber@duffandphelps.com also needed to be reviewed at addressing substance stems from minimum BEPS standards that undertaken remedial legislative
a global level. The last 10 years abusive structures that sought to the EU has made mandatory Part III: Substantial activities action to remove themselves
Dhara Soneji have seen a shift in the global tax take advantage of cross border for all 27 Member States. requirements from the blacklist (e.g. Bermuda).
Vice President, Tax and environment towards seeking to tax arrangements. Action 5 focuses on addressing
Regulatory Compliance create a more level playing field arrangements that could erode The third part of the BEPS Consequences of being
Duff and Phelps across all jurisdictions. As part Historically, profits in the tax base of other jurisdictions. initiative focuses on addressing blacklisted
Dhara.Soneji@duffandphelps.com of this harmonisation project, ‘onshore’ (i.e. EU, UK and U.S.) This is being addressed by this tax abuse in non-EU jurisdictions
there has been a revised focus jurisdictions have been subject Action through three key parts. that operate no or only nominal The new substance requirements
by the Organisation for Economic to higher tax rates. This led tax rates. In order to address the need to be taken seriously. Where
Co-operation and Development to the establishment of multi- Part I: Assessment of preferential abuse, the EU mandated that a country has not implemented
(OECD) on local substance jurisdictional structures to help tax regimes jurisdictions that operate such the appropriate provisions, EU
requirements and more achieve frictionless returns. For regimes implement legislation members states have agreed on
specifically territorial substance. example, a holding company The focus here is on beneficial to address economic substance sanctions including monitoring
This has resulted in the would be set up in a jurisdiction tax provisions that operate requirements by 31 December and audits, withholding taxes and
introduction of several legislative that operated a preferential tax in preferential tax regimes to 2018 to apply from 1 January additional documentation and
measures within a short space of regime (i.e. domestic exemption ensure that treaty access is only 2019. Non-compliance would reporting requirements.
time. The outcome of this focus on investment yields - dividends granted where there is a true result in that jurisdiction being
will be additional compliance and capital gains and low or nil entitlement to income flows added to the blacklist. Where an entity in a blacklisted
and reporting costs. The purpose withholding tax rates). Profits rather than an entity acting as an jurisdiction is part of an EU group
of this article is to discuss what from these jurisdictions would intermediary / conduit. We have The legislation applies to ‘relevant and would ordinarily receive
these changes are and how they then be repatriated to an entity recently seen challenges in this entities’ performing ‘relevant payments from the EU entity
impact asset managers and their in a country with a low or nil tax area by EU jurisdictions that have activities. Where an entity falls gross due to a preferential tax
investment structures. rate. resulted in the denial of certain within this definition, they will regime, following the introduction
treaty benefits (such as reduced be required to complete annual of the economic substance
Background to the substance There was increasing concern at withholding tax rates). reporting. This reporting includes provisions there is a risk that
legislation an EU level that such structures confirmation of the performance any payments made from the
created economic arbitrage and Part II: Transparency framework of the relevant activity and the EU entity will be subject to a
Following the 2008 financial crisis did not reflect the true cost of financial year end. In addition, withholding tax. Therefore, non-
there has been an increased commercial economic operations. The existence of global business to the extent any income from compliance could have serious
focus on tax avoidance and a The Forum of Harmful Tax operations has necessitated the the relevant activity is generated financial as well as reputational
desire to harmonise tax systems Practice (FHTP) was set up in 1998 adoption of tax measures at a outside of that jurisdiction, the implications.
to try and minimise tax arbitrage. to conduct reviews of preferential global level. The introduction entity must provide support of
The OECD sought to address this regimes to determine if the of the Common Reporting tax residence in that jurisdiction. How will these new laws impact
by the introduction of the Base regimes could be harmful to the Standard in 2016 (which followed asset managers and what
Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) tax base of other jurisdictions. FATCA) made it mandatory for An entity will be deemed to be should they do next?
measures. These provisions Since the introduction of the BEPS financial institutions to report a relevant entity where it is tax
seek to create alignment initiatives and EU Commissioner’s certain information about resident in that jurisdiction. • The minimum requirements
between global tax regimes. 2016 ‘External Strategy for overseas beneficiaries to local Where there is a relevant entity to be adopted by jurisdictions
Whilst these measures provided Effective Taxation’ low or nil tax tax authorities. Such information a determination needs to be that operate in low or nil
recommendations on how jurisdictions are required to could then be shared globally. made whether that entity tax regimes mean that
harmonisation may be achieved, implement legislation to address This was a major step towards performs a relevant activity. A investment managers
adoption of the provisions was their economic substance combating tax evasion. This relevant activity includes fund with entities in these
voluntary. requirements to ensure they were was taken a step further by the management businesses but jurisdictions should review
not blacklisted. introduction of the EU Council does not include investment their arrangements to
As a result, the EU made the Directive 2011/16 (DAC6) in 2018 activities. determine if they meet the
adoption of a number of these that requires information about new economic substance
measures mandatory for the 27 cross-border arrangements that requirements. This should
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